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Dynamic Reliability Assessment of Hierarchical Multistate Systems With Sensors’ Degradation 考虑传感器退化的分层多状态系统动态可靠性评估
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3524098
Boyuan Zhang;Yu Liu;Yi-Xuan Zheng
Engineered systems are increasingly integrating sensor techniques to trace their specific degradation behaviors, so as to facilitate their dynamic reliability assessment. Due to the hierarchical structure of these systems, sensing data can be collected at multiple physical levels, including the entire system, subsystems, and components. The quality of collected multilevel sensing data, however, decreases inevitably with the degradation of sensors mounted within each system, leading to a declining trustworthiness of dynamic reliability assessment for each specific individual system. This article develops a new dynamic reliability assessment framework of hierarchical multistate systems suffering from sensors’ degradation. The proposed framework mainly contains three steps: 1) utilizing discrete-state and continuous-state stochastic processes to, respectively, model the degradation behaviors of two types of sensors; 2) integrating these two types of sensors’ degradation models to update the joint state probability distribution of both the monitored objects and sensors by fusing multilevel sensing data; 3) deriving the marginal state probability distribution of the entire system to dynamically assess system reliability. A three-component system and an electromechanical actuator system in landing gear systems are exemplified to illustrate the performance of the proposed method.
工程系统越来越多地集成传感器技术来跟踪其特定的退化行为,从而促进其动态可靠性评估。由于这些系统的分层结构,传感数据可以在多个物理层收集,包括整个系统、子系统和组件。然而,随着每个系统内安装的传感器的退化,所收集的多层传感数据的质量不可避免地下降,导致每个特定单个系统动态可靠性评估的可信度下降。本文提出了一种新的受传感器退化影响的分层多状态系统动态可靠性评估框架。该框架主要包括三个步骤:1)分别利用离散状态和连续状态随机过程对两类传感器的退化行为进行建模;2)融合两类传感器的退化模型,通过融合多层次传感数据,更新被监测对象和传感器的联合状态概率分布;3)推导整个系统的边际状态概率分布,动态评估系统可靠性。以起落架系统中的三部件系统和机电致动器系统为例,说明了该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Fed-OLF: Federated Oversampling Learning Framework for Imbalanced Software Defect Prediction Under Privacy Protection 隐私保护下非平衡软件缺陷预测的联邦过采样学习框架
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-15 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3524064
Xiaowen Hu;Ming Zheng;Rui Zhu;Xuan Zhang;Zhi Jin
Software defect prediction technology can discover potential errors or hidden defects by establishing prediction models before the use of products in the field of software engineering, so as to reduce subsequent problems and improve software quality and security. However, building predictive models requires enough software defect dataset support, especially defect samples. Due to the involvement of confidential information from various organizations or enterprises, software defect data cannot be shared and effectively utilized. Therefore, to achieve collaborative training of multiparty shared software defect prediction models while keeping the data local to various organizations, we made the federated learning framework for the issue of software defect prediction. Meanwhile, the nondefect and defect instances in software defect datasets are usually imbalanced, which can seriously affect the software defect prediction performance of the model. Therefore, this study designs a novel federated oversampling learning framework Fed-OLF. First, the TabDiT method based on deep generative model is proposed in Fed-OLF to expand and rebalance the local imbalanced software defect dataset of each client with a certain degree of privacy protection. Second, a parameter aggregation strategy based on local information entropy is proposed in Fed-OLF to further optimize the parameter aggregation effect of the global shared model, thereby achieving better model performance. We conduct extensive experiments on the PROMISE dataset and the NASA Promise repository, and experimental results on the PROMISE dataset and the NASA Promise repository show that, the proposed Fed-OLF exhibits better predictive performance under the F1-score, G-mean, and AUC metrics when compared with the advanced baseline methods. In addition, we verify that both the TabDiT method and the parameter aggregation strategy based on local information entropy in Fed-OLF are useful, and the combination of them can more effectively improve model performance.
软件缺陷预测技术在软件工程领域,通过在产品使用前建立预测模型,发现潜在的错误或隐藏的缺陷,从而减少后续问题,提高软件质量和安全性。然而,构建预测模型需要足够的软件缺陷数据集支持,特别是缺陷样本。由于涉及到来自不同组织或企业的机密信息,软件缺陷数据无法被共享和有效利用。因此,为了实现多方共享软件缺陷预测模型的协同训练,同时保持数据对各个组织的局域性,我们针对软件缺陷预测问题构建了联邦学习框架。同时,软件缺陷数据集中的非缺陷和缺陷实例往往不平衡,严重影响模型的软件缺陷预测性能。因此,本研究设计了一种新的联邦过采样学习框架Fed-OLF。首先,在Fed-OLF中提出基于深度生成模型的TabDiT方法,对每个客户端的局部不平衡软件缺陷数据集进行扩展和再平衡,并保证一定程度的隐私保护。其次,在Fed-OLF中提出一种基于局部信息熵的参数聚合策略,进一步优化全局共享模型的参数聚合效果,从而获得更好的模型性能。我们在PROMISE数据集和NASA PROMISE存储库上进行了大量实验,实验结果表明,与先进的基线方法相比,本文提出的Fed-OLF在F1-score、G-mean和AUC指标下具有更好的预测性能。此外,我们验证了在Fed-OLF中TabDiT方法和基于局部信息熵的参数聚合策略都是有用的,它们的结合可以更有效地提高模型的性能。
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian Analysis of Accelerated Trend Renewal Processes With Application to Lithium-Ion Battery Data 加速趋势更新过程的贝叶斯分析及其在锂离子电池数据中的应用
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-15 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3523180
Tsai-Hung Fan;Yi-Fu Wang;Chun-Kai Wu
During battery reliability tests, quality characteristic (QC) values like capacitance, voltage, or current are repeatedly observed during the cyclic charge-discharge processes. The battery's lifetime is determined by the first cycle where QC values drop below a specific threshold. Despite the recurrent nature of this cyclic data, performance declines with each charge-discharge cycle. The trend renewal process (TRP) transforms this periodic data through a trend function to ensure independent and stationary increments in the transformed data. However, combining the trend function with the renewal distribution complicates the resulting likelihood function. In typical battery reliability tests, sample sizes are small, and batteries exhibit heterogeneous differences. This article examines the inverse Gaussian accelerated trend-renewal process (ATRP) model for analyzing discharge-capacity battery data under various discharge currents, with model parameters being log-linear in discharge current. A hierarchical Bayesian approach is employed for three ATRP random-effects models, introducing latent variables to capture unit-to-unit variation among batteries. By selecting the most appropriate model based on the largest log marginal likelihood, predictive lifetime inference under normal discharging current is derived using the Markov chain Monte Carlo procedure. Monte-Carlo simulations validate the numerical calculations, and the proposed method is successfully applied to lithium-ion battery accelerated degradation test data.
在电池可靠性测试期间,在循环充放电过程中反复观察电容、电压或电流等质量特性(QC)值。电池的寿命由QC值低于特定阈值的第一个周期决定。尽管这种循环数据具有周期性,但每次充放电循环的性能都会下降。趋势更新过程(TRP)通过趋势函数对周期性数据进行变换,以确保变换后的数据具有独立和平稳的增量。然而,将趋势函数与更新分布相结合会使所得的似然函数变得复杂。在典型的电池可靠性测试中,样本量很小,电池表现出异质性差异。本文研究了反高斯加速趋势更新过程(ATRP)模型,该模型用于分析各种放电电流下的电池放电容量数据,模型参数在放电电流中为对数线性。三个ATRP随机效应模型采用了层次贝叶斯方法,引入潜在变量来捕获电池之间的单位间变化。基于最大对数边际似然选择最合适的模型,利用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法推导了正常放电电流下的预测寿命推理。蒙特卡罗仿真验证了数值计算结果,并将该方法成功应用于锂离子电池加速退化试验数据。
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引用次数: 0
Collaborative Cloud-Controlled Defense Mechanism for Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch in Active Distribution Networks Under Interlayer Attack 层间攻击下主动配电网低碳经济调度协同云控防御机制
IF 5 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3523894
Cong Cai;Yunfeng Wang;Qingyu Su;Jian Li
This article presents a collaborative cloud-based control and defense framework designed to address scheduling challenges and interlayer false data injection (FDI) attacks in a low carbon economy. The proposed framework integrates the principles of low carbon economy strategy and new energy (wind turbine, photovoltaic) modeling to coordinate active and reactive power of distributed generation (DG) using a layered control approach. The framework consists of two main layers: a lower layer and an upper layer. The lower layer combines control and attack defense strategies. State feedback control is utilized to regulate the dynamics of the DG and defense strategies are employed to defend against potential controller FDI attacks. The upper layer, on the other hand, consists of interlayer defense strategies and cloud computing. The FDI defense from the lower control layer to the upper cloud computing layer obtains the actual operating state of the DG. And these data are used for cloud computing to get the next reference power. Cloud computing focuses on multiobjective optimization with the aim of minimizing generation cost, line loss, and bus voltage deviation under low carbon conditions. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy, simulations are conducted on a computer and StarSim hardware-in-the-loop experimental platform. The results show that the framework can effectively manage energy consumption in a low-carbon economy.
本文提出了一个基于云的协作控制和防御框架,旨在解决低碳经济中的调度挑战和层间虚假数据注入(FDI)攻击。该框架将低碳经济策略与新能源(风力发电、光伏发电)建模相结合,采用分层控制方法协调分布式发电(DG)的有功和无功功率。该框架由两个主要层组成:下层和上层。下层是控制策略和攻击防御策略的组合。利用状态反馈控制来调节DG的动态,并采用防御策略来防御潜在的控制器FDI攻击。而上层则由层间防御策略和云计算组成。从下层控制层到上层云计算层的FDI防御得到DG的实际运行状态。并将这些数据用于云计算,以获得下一个参考功率。云计算侧重于多目标优化,目的是在低碳条件下最小化发电成本、线损和母线电压偏差。为了验证所提出的控制策略的有效性,在计算机和StarSim硬件在环实验平台上进行了仿真。结果表明,该框架能够有效地管理低碳经济中的能源消耗。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated Temperature and Stress Sensors in Fan-Out Wafer-Level Packaging to Better Achieve the Third-Generation Reliability of Electronic Systems 在扇出晶圆级封装中集成温度和应力传感器,以更好地实现电子系统的第三代可靠性
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3523892
Linwei Cao;Yuexing Wang;Kun Liu;Xiangou Zhang;Shuairong Deng;Quanfeng Zhou;Xiangyu Sun;Wanli Zhang
To satisfy the developmental requirements of applications, such as autonomous driving, high-performance computing, and the Internet of Things (IoT), the integration density, performance, and reliability tradeoff of electronic systems are posing numerous challenges. Prognostics and health management (PHM) using multiple types of sensors can address reliability problems and enhance the functional safety of electronic systems. However, the limited integration density of conventional electronic packaging indicates that functional chips can only replace sensor chips for physical quantity monitoring, without simultaneous functional degradation monitoring and fault identification. This study proposed an integration method that is compatible with front and rear processes to integrate temperature and stress sensors into the power-driven module, that is, fan-out wafer-level packaging technology. First, the temperature and stress sensors are calibrated using a microloading platform and sensitivity consistency is ensured. Second, the temperature inside the module under various working conditions is evaluated using the data obtained by temperature sensors. The stress data inside the micromodule under mechanical loading are obtained through stress sensors. The proposed method can realize in situ monitoring inside advanced packaging and provide considerable data for PHM research.
为了满足自动驾驶、高性能计算和物联网(IoT)等应用的发展需求,电子系统的集成密度、性能和可靠性权衡提出了许多挑战。使用多种类型传感器的预测和健康管理(PHM)可以解决可靠性问题并提高电子系统的功能安全性。然而,传统电子封装的集成度有限,功能芯片只能替代传感器芯片进行物理量监测,无法同时进行功能退化监测和故障识别。本研究提出了一种前后工艺兼容的集成方法,将温度和应力传感器集成到功率驱动模块中,即扇出式晶圆级封装技术。首先,利用微加载平台对温度和应力传感器进行了标定,保证了灵敏度的一致性。其次,利用温度传感器获得的数据,评估各种工况下模块内部的温度。通过应力传感器获得微模块内部在机械载荷作用下的应力数据。该方法可实现先进封装内部的现场监测,为PHM研究提供了可观的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability Evaluation for a Circular Con/k/n:F System With a Novel Differential Repair Policy 一种新型差动维修策略的圆形Con/k/n:F系统可靠性评估
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-13 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3524329
Shan Gao;Jinting Wang;Qin Chen
In many industrial environments, some components fail and cannot be repaired immediately. We propose a novel repair policy for addressing component failure issues in a circular consecutive-$k$-out-of-$n$:F (abbreviated as Cir/Con/k/n:F) system. This repair policy assigns preemptive priority for repair to the component whose breakdown results in system failure (called emergency repair), while renders an ordinary repair to the failed components without causing failure of the system. The ordinary repairs are recorded by the repairman in the order of their failure, which is said that the broken components are stored in “orbit.” When the repairman becomes idle, he makes the orbital search for failed ones according to the first-failed-first-repair discipline, which can be interrupted by an emergency repair. We carry on an extensive investigation on reliability and queueing indices of the considered model. Specifically, we present a Cir/Con/2/6:F system as an example to give sensitivity analysis for the reliability performance. Numerical inversion of Laplace transform–Stehfest method is adopted to obtain approximate solutions for reliability function. Furthermore, the minimization problem of the CBR is addressed by adopting sequential quadratic programming algorithm. This study offers new insights into balancing the expected total repair cost and associated benefits in the Cir/Con/k/n:F system.
在许多工业环境中,一些组件出现故障,无法立即修复。我们提出了一种新的修复策略,用于解决循环连续-$k$-out- $n$:F(缩写为Cir/Con/k/n:F)系统中的组件故障问题。此修复策略为故障导致系统故障的组件(称为紧急修复)分配优先修复优先权,而对故障组件进行普通修复,而不会导致系统故障。普通的修理是由修理工按照故障的先后顺序记录下来的,也就是说,损坏的部件被储存在“轨道”上。当修理工处于空闲状态时,按照先故障先修复的原则对故障进行轨道搜索,可以通过紧急修复来中断。我们对所考虑的模型的可靠性和排队指标进行了广泛的研究。具体以Cir/Con/2/6:F系统为例,对其可靠性性能进行了灵敏度分析。采用Laplace变换- stehfest数值反演方法,得到可靠性函数的近似解。在此基础上,采用顺序二次规划算法解决了CBR的最小化问题。该研究为平衡Cir/Con/k/n:F系统的预期总维修成本和相关效益提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Semantic Structure Invariance-Based Metamorphic Testing for Machine Translation Systems 基于语义结构不变性的机器翻译系统变形测试
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3521029
Chang-ai Sun;Jian Mu;Mingjun Xiao;Huai Liu;Pinjia He
In recent years, deep neural networks have been applied in machine translation systems, resulting in the so-called neural machine translation (NMT) models that can improve translation quality significantly. However, due to the brittleness of deep neural network, machine translation systems could return erroneous translations that lead to misunderstandings or even cause serious losses. To detect translation errors, various testing techniques have been proposed. As a popularly used technique, metamorphic testing mainly relies on text or syntactic structure of translations while ignoring the meaning of sentences (i.e., semantic information). Compared with text and syntactic information, semantic information of sentences is more stable when dealing with languages that have rich vocabulary and flexible word order. Motivated by this observation, we propose semantic structure invariance-based metamorphic testing (SSIMT) for machine translation systems. The key insight is that contextually similar sentences should typically have translations of similar semantic structures. Experiments have been conducted to evaluate SSIMT on two widely used machine translation systems, Microsoft Bing Translator and Google Translate with 600 seed sentences crawled from well-known news websites covering six different corpus topics. The experimental results show that SSIMT is able to find thousands of erroneous translations in both translation systems with high accuracy (over 70%). Translation errors reported by SSIMT covers a wide variety of common error types.
近年来,深度神经网络被应用于机器翻译系统,产生了所谓的神经机器翻译(NMT)模型,可以显著提高翻译质量。然而,由于深度神经网络的脆弱性,机器翻译系统可能会返回错误的译文,从而导致误解,甚至造成严重的损失。为了检测翻译错误,人们提出了各种各样的测试技术。变形测试作为一种常用的技术,主要依赖于译文的文本或句法结构,而忽略了句子的意义(即语义信息)。与文本信息和句法信息相比,在词汇丰富、语序灵活的语言中,句子的语义信息更为稳定。基于这一观察结果,我们提出了基于语义结构不变性的机器翻译系统变形测试(SSIMT)。关键的观点是上下文相似的句子通常应该具有相似语义结构的翻译。在微软必应翻译和谷歌翻译这两个广泛使用的机器翻译系统上,用从知名新闻网站抓取的600个种子句子,涵盖6个不同的语料库主题,对SSIMT进行了实验评估。实验结果表明,在两种翻译系统中,SSIMT都能以较高的准确率(超过70%)发现数千个错误译文。SSIMT报告的翻译错误涵盖了各种常见的错误类型。
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引用次数: 0
Enhancing Java Web Application Security: Injection Vulnerability Detection via Interprocedural Analysis and Deep Learning 增强Java Web应用程序安全性:通过过程间分析和深度学习检测注入漏洞
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2025-01-07 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3521381
Bing Zhang;Xu Zhi;Meng Wang;Rong Ren;Jun Dong
Injection attacks exploit vulnerabilities in how applications handle user input, allowing malicious code to infiltrate the execution environment of web applications, leading to severe consequences, such as data leaks and system crashes. Traditional dynamic and static detection methods suffer from limitations in manual rule or pattern design and intraprocedural analysis, lacking the capability to automatically learn complex features. Meanwhile, deep learning models encounter challenges, such as feature redundancy and inefficiency, in processing long code sequences. Here, we propose a prototype for detecting Injection Vulnerabilities in Java web applications based on Interprocedural analysis and the bidirectional encoder representations from transformers BERT-BiLSTM-CRF model (IVIB), effectively transforming vulnerability detection into text sequence annotation. IVIB employs interprocedural analysis to trace complete program data flow, control flow, method and class dependencies, reducing redundancy through a system dependency graph. Then, we develop intermediate language representation rules and conversion mechanisms specifically for Java programs, symbolically representing code snippets and annotating them to construct a corpus. IVIB achieves remarkable results, with over 96% accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score in binary classification, surpassing other state-of-the-art models in multiclassification performance. Evaluation on real-world projects demonstrates IVIB's effectiveness, detecting 28 vulnerabilities out of 30 vulnerable slices with low false positives and no false negatives.
注入攻击利用应用程序处理用户输入的漏洞,允许恶意代码渗透到web应用程序的执行环境中,导致数据泄露和系统崩溃等严重后果。传统的动态和静态检测方法受到人工规则或模式设计和过程内分析的限制,缺乏自动学习复杂特征的能力。与此同时,深度学习模型在处理长代码序列时遇到了特征冗余和效率低下等挑战。本文提出了一种基于过程间分析和转换BERT-BiLSTM-CRF模型(IVIB)双向编码器表示的Java web应用注入漏洞检测原型,将漏洞检测有效地转化为文本序列注释。IVIB采用过程间分析来跟踪完整的程序数据流、控制流、方法和类依赖关系,通过系统依赖关系图减少冗余。然后,我们开发了专门针对Java程序的中间语言表示规则和转换机制,象征性地表示代码片段并对其进行注释以构建语料库。IVIB取得了显著的成绩,在二元分类中准确率、精密度、召回率和f1得分均超过96%,在多分类性能上超越了其他最先进的模型。对实际项目的评估证明了IVIB的有效性,在30个漏洞切片中检测出28个漏洞,假阳性率很低,没有假阴性。
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引用次数: 0
Reliability Assessment of Reconfigurable k-out-of-n Systems With Functional Dependency 具有功能依赖的可重构k-out- n系统可靠性评估
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3507363
Yi-Xuan Zheng;Boyuan Zhang;Yu Liu
The k-out-of-n system with functional dependency (FDEP), as a typical structure, has widespread applications in a diversity of engineered system. These systems are characterized by components that perform distinct functions, and are connected through flexible intercomponential support relations. This flexibility allows for dynamic adjustment of the support strategy in response to component failures, achieved through connections between components’ interfaces or controlled by additional components, such as valves and switches. Even though previous article has demonstrated effectiveness in assessing reliability of k-out-of-n systems with FDEP, it often overlooks the essential investigation of flexible support relations among components, resulting in inaccurate system reliability assessment. To fill this research gap, this article introduces a novel framework that integrates a parameter time-varying discrete dynamic Bayesian network (PTVDDBN) and a tailored Hungarian algorithm with a depth-first search (DFS) strategy, namely the PTVDDBN–HDFS method, to advance reliability assessment of k-out-of-n systems with flexible support relations. Specifically, the PTVDDBN-based architecture captures the system's stochastic degradation over time, and its components’ lifetime could follow an arbitrary probability distribution. From a graph set-based perspective, the support strategy designated in the system is dynamically adjusted via the DFS strategy. The optimal system performance under various component state combinations is further converted to conditional probability table parameters within the PTVDDBN model. A practical case study of a kerosene filling system at a space launch site is showcased to illustrate the application and effectiveness of the PTVDDBN–HDFS method.
具有功能依赖的k-out- n系统(FDEP)作为一种典型的结构,在各种工程系统中有着广泛的应用。这些系统的特点是执行不同功能的组件,并通过灵活的组件间支持关系连接在一起。这种灵活性允许在组件故障时动态调整支持策略,通过组件接口之间的连接或由附加组件(如阀门和开关)控制来实现。尽管以前的文章已经证明了用FDEP评估k-out- n系统可靠性的有效性,但它往往忽略了对组件之间灵活支持关系的基本研究,导致系统可靠性评估不准确。为了填补这一研究空白,本文引入了一个新的框架,该框架集成了参数时变离散动态贝叶斯网络(PTVDDBN)和具有深度优先搜索(DFS)策略的定制匈牙利算法,即PTVDDBN - hdfs方法,以推进具有灵活支持关系的k- of-n系统的可靠性评估。具体来说,基于ptvddbn的体系结构捕获了系统随时间的随机退化,其组件的寿命可以遵循任意概率分布。从基于图集的角度来看,系统中指定的支持策略通过DFS策略进行动态调整。在PTVDDBN模型中,将各种组件状态组合下的最优系统性能进一步转化为条件概率表参数。以某航天发射场的煤油加注系统为例,说明了PTVDDBN-HDFS方法的应用和有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive and Multigranularity Resilience Assessment of Urban Transportation Based on Neural Controlled Differential Equation 基于神经控制微分方程的城市交通弹性预测多粒度评价
IF 5.7 2区 计算机科学 Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE Pub Date : 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1109/TR.2024.3514712
Zhe Cui;Di Zang;Hong Zhu;Keshuang Tang
Crafting a dynamic and accurate resilience assessment method for urban transportation, marked by complex road networks and frequent disturbances, poses a significant challenge. Existing work mainly focuses on statically assessing historical traffic resilience and cannot dynamically divide spatial regions according to disturbance scales. In this article, we propose a predictive and multigranularity assessment method. First, we develop an attention-based spatial-temporal hypergraph neural controlled differential equation model, which can accurately predict traffic conditions under disturbances. Second, we construct a multigranularity disturbance propagation model that adaptively divides a traffic network into multiple granularities according to disturbance scales. Then, we design a real-time resilience assessment algorithm capable of quantifying spatial-temporal dynamic resilience indicators for each granularity area. Extensive experiments on urban transportation in California during heavy rainfall reveal an inverse relationship between California's resilience and rainfall intensity. In addition, its downtown exhibits strong resilience, while coastal and interior areas show relatively weaker resilience, with some interior areas experiencing prolonged recovery times.
在复杂的道路网络和频繁的干扰下,为城市交通制定动态和准确的弹性评估方法是一项重大挑战。现有工作主要集中在静态评估历史交通弹性,不能根据干扰尺度动态划分空间区域。在本文中,我们提出了一种预测性和多粒度的评估方法。首先,我们建立了一个基于注意力的时空超图神经控制微分方程模型,该模型可以准确预测干扰下的交通状况。其次,构建多粒度干扰传播模型,根据干扰尺度自适应地将交通网络划分为多个粒度;然后,我们设计了一种实时弹性评估算法,该算法能够量化每个粒度区域的时空动态弹性指标。对加州暴雨期间的城市交通进行的大量实验表明,加州的恢复力与降雨强度之间存在反比关系。此外,其中心城区表现出较强的恢复能力,而沿海和内陆地区的恢复能力相对较弱,部分内陆地区的恢复时间较长。
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引用次数: 0
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