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Associations between food insecurity and common mental health problems: a systematic review and meta-analyses of observational studies 粮食不安全与常见心理健康问题之间的关系:观察性研究的系统回顾和荟萃分析
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01496-3
Fawzia Zahidi, Elnaz Daneshzad, Mohammad Ashraf Farahmand, Asma Noori, Mohsen Montazer, Batoul Ghosn, Pamela J. Surkan, Leila Azadbakht

This study aimed to systematically review the literature on the association between food insecurity (FI) and common mental health problems (CMHPs). We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to investigate the existing evidence on the relationship between FI and CMHPs. We searched Web of Science, Scopus, and PubMed for relevant articles published through December 2020. We reported associations between FI with CMHPs using odd ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). ORs were pooled using a random-effects model. Eighteen articles were identified resulting in 113,614 pooled individuals. FI was associated with the risk of depression and stress (OR = 2.01; CI: 1.64–2.46; OR = 2.07: CI; 1.64–2.61, respectively). Sub-group analyses based on gender showed that depression risk was higher among FI males (OR = 2.63; CI:1.74–3.98, I2 = 72.2, P < 0.001). Participants with moderate and severe FI were more likely to be depressed (OR = 2.14; CI: 1.86–2.46, I2 = 0.0, P < 0.001 for moderate; OR = 2.08; CI: 1.24–3.46, I2 = 86.9, P < 0.001 for severe). Cross-sectional studies showed FI was associated with a higher risk of depression (OR = 2.32; CI: 1.86–2.88, I2 = 95.4, P < 0.001) than cohort/longitudinal studies (OR = 1.24; CI:1.12–1.37, I2 = 86.0, P < 0.001). The estimated risk of depression was higher among people with FI in Australia (OR = 5.77; CI: 2.88–11.55, P < 0.001) compared to other continents. FI Asians were at higher risk of stress (OR = 2.23; CI: 1.51–3.28, I2 = 82.4, P < 0.001) than people in the US (OR = 1.88; CI: 1.58–2.39, I2 = 5.7, P < 0.001). To alleviate the burden on CMHPs, the management of FI should be prioritized in the highest-risk regions including Australia, Asia, and Europe.

本研究旨在系统回顾有关粮食不安全(FI)与常见心理健康问题(CMHPs)之间关系的文献。我们进行了一项系统性综述和荟萃分析,以调查有关 FI 与 CMHPs 之间关系的现有证据。我们在 Web of Science、Scopus 和 PubMed 上搜索了截至 2020 年 12 月发表的相关文章。我们使用奇数比 (OR) 和 95% 置信区间 (CI) 报告了 FI 与 CMHPs 之间的关系。ORs采用随机效应模型进行汇总。共发现了 18 篇文章,汇总了 113,614 人。FI 与抑郁和压力风险相关(OR = 2.01;CI:分别为 1.64-2.46;OR = 2.07:CI:1.64-2.61)。基于性别的分组分析表明,FI 男性的抑郁风险更高(OR = 2.63; CI:1.74-3.98, I2 = 72.2, P < 0.001)。中度和重度 FI 患者更有可能患有抑郁症(中度患者 OR = 2.14;CI:1.86-2.46,I2 = 0.0,P <;0.001;重度患者 OR = 2.08;CI:1.24-3.46,I2 = 86.9,P <;0.001)。横断面研究显示,与队列/纵向研究(OR = 1.24; CI:1.12-1.37, I2 = 86.0, P <0.001)相比,FI 与更高的抑郁风险相关(OR = 2.32; CI: 1.86-2.88, I2 = 95.4, P <0.001)。与其他大洲相比,澳大利亚的 FI 患者患抑郁症的估计风险更高(OR = 5.77; CI: 2.88-11.55, P <0.001)。与美国人(OR = 1.88; CI: 1.58-2.39, I2 = 5.7, P <0.001)相比,亚洲 FI 患者的压力风险更高(OR = 2.23; CI: 1.51-3.28, I2 = 82.4, P <0.001)。为减轻中医保健人员的负担,应优先在澳大利亚、亚洲和欧洲等高风险地区对 FI 进行管理。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of immigration policy regime change on state-level participation rates of the special supplemental nutrition program for women, infants, and children in the United States 移民政策制度变化对美国各州妇女、婴儿和儿童特别补充营养计划参与率的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01487-4
Keehyun Lee, Oral Capps Jr

The change in immigration policy in state-level participation rates of the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) in the United States by citizenship and ethnicity was estimated over the period 2013-2018 using the Triple Difference estimate method. The principal finding was that the state-level WIC participation rate for Hispanic non-citizens was lower by 8.6% relative to all other groups (Hispanic citizens, non-Hispanic citizens, and non-Hispanic non-citizens). This study then not only provides quantitative evidence concerning the ongoing debate about the impact of the immigration policy changes under the Trump administration but also extends the extant literature by estimating the causal effects of immigration policy regime change on WIC participation of non-citizens.

采用三重差值估算法估算了 2013-2018 年期间美国各州按公民身份和种族划分的妇女、婴儿和儿童特别补充营养计划(WIC)参与率的移民政策变化。主要发现是,与所有其他群体(西班牙裔公民、非西班牙裔公民和非西班牙裔非公民)相比,非西班牙裔公民的州一级 WIC 参与率低 8.6%。因此,本研究不仅为目前关于特朗普政府移民政策变化的影响的争论提供了定量证据,还通过估算移民政策制度变化对非公民参与 WIC 的因果效应扩展了现有文献。
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引用次数: 0
Determining the sound signatures of insect pests in stored rice grain using an inexpensive acoustic system 利用廉价声学系统确定储藏稻谷中害虫的声音特征
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01493-6
Carlito Balingbing, Sascha Kirchner, Hubertus Siebald, Nguyen Van Hung, Oliver Hensel

Insect pests in storage are causes of major losses worldwide. Acoustic sensors can detect the presence of insects in grain through their sound signature, thus enabling early warning to farmers and traders. This research investigates the applicability of an affordable acoustic sensor, which uses micro-electromechanical systems (MEMS) microphone adapted to detect the sound produced by insect pests. Three major insect pests that commonly feed on paddy and milled rice (the lesser grain borer, Rhyzopertha dominica; the rice weevil, Sitophilus oryzae; and the red flour beetle, Tribolium castaneum), were collected in rice mills and grain storage warehouses in Laguna The Philippines, and reared at the International Rice Research Institute. Baseline sound recordings were replicated for each insect over three days using a completely randomized design (CRD). Recorded sounds were analysed to determine the sound profiles of each insect. Waveforms, root mean square (RMS) energy values, frequency domain, and spectrograms provided characteristics for the sound signal signature specific to each insect. Primary insect pests (R. dominica and S. oryzae) were differentiated from the secondary insect pest (T. castaneum) through signal analyses. Such data are useful to enable insect pest classification, which can be incorporated into more effective and timely postharvest pest management tools.

储存过程中的虫害是造成全球重大损失的原因。声学传感器可以通过声音特征检测谷物中是否存在昆虫,从而向农民和贸易商发出预警。本研究调查了一种经济实惠的声学传感器的适用性,该传感器使用微型机电系统(MEMS)麦克风,可检测害虫发出的声音。研究人员在菲律宾拉古纳省的碾米厂和谷物储藏仓库收集了三种通常以稻谷和碾米为食的主要害虫(小谷螟、稻象甲和红面甲),并在国际水稻研究所进行了饲养。采用完全随机设计(CRD)对每种昆虫进行为期三天的基线声音记录。对记录的声音进行分析,以确定每种昆虫的声音特征。波形、均方根(RMS)能量值、频域和频谱图提供了每种昆虫特有的声音信号特征。通过信号分析,可将主要害虫(R. dominica 和 S. oryzae)与次要害虫(T. castaneum)区分开来。这些数据有助于对害虫进行分类,从而将其纳入更有效、更及时的收获后害虫管理工具中。
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引用次数: 0
Intra-household inequality in food expenditures and diet quality in the Philippines 菲律宾家庭内部在食品支出和饮食质量方面的不平等现象
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01485-6
Zetianyu Wang, Anna Josephson, Felipe Dizon

Many welfare measures, including food expenditures and diet quality, are based on household-level aggregates. This is grounded in the assumption that resources are equally or equitably distributed among household members. Individual-level measures of food expenditures and diet quality may paint a more accurate picture of welfare. We find differences between household- and individual-level measurements of food expenditures and diet quality in the Philippines. We find that 25 percent of food poor individuals live in households that are not classified as food poor. This suggests potential misclassification of individuals if classifications are based on household-level measures. We further find intra-household inequalities in diet quality. Many women and children do not meet the recommended consumption for starchy staples and for meat, fish, and pulses, even within households which, in aggregate, are able to meet the recommended consumption. However, consumption of vegetables, fruits, eggs, and milk is equally low across all household members.

许多福利措施,包括食品支出和饮食质量,都是基于家庭层面的总量。这是基于资源在家庭成员之间平等或公平分配的假设。个人层面的食品支出和饮食质量可能会更准确地反映福利状况。我们发现,在菲律宾,家庭和个人层面的食品支出和饮食质量测量结果存在差异。我们发现,25% 的粮食贫困人口生活在未被归类为粮食贫困人口的家庭中。这表明,如果根据家庭层面的衡量标准进行分类,可能会对个人进行错误分类。我们还发现家庭内部在饮食质量方面存在不平等。许多妇女和儿童的淀粉类主食以及肉类、鱼类和豆类的消费量达不到建议的标准,即使在总体上能够达到建议消费量的家庭中也是如此。然而,所有家庭成员的蔬菜、水果、鸡蛋和牛奶消费量同样很低。
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引用次数: 0
Agricultural commercialisation and food consumption: pathways and trade-offs across four African contexts 农业商业化与粮食消费:四个非洲国家的途径与权衡
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01465-w
Amrita Saha, Jody Harris, Nicholas Nisbett, John Thompson

The relationship between agricultural commercialisation and nutrition is empirically contested, with findings suggesting different trends for different indicators, and across different contexts. Using novel cross-sectional survey data from a study of commercialisation in four African countries, this paper aims to understand associations and trade-offs between agricultural commercialisation and food consumption using three different indicators: household perceptions of their own food security; the dietary diversity of adult women and men; and the consumption of unhealthy ultra-processed foods and drinks. We find that a higher level of commercialisation is associated with respondents perceiving the household as more food secure in three countries and hypothesise that this relationship only holds where food price inflation remains low. Perception of better food security is subsequently associated with better reported dietary diversity, but diversity remains low in all countries even in the most commercialised households, and men’s dietary diversity overtakes women’s, on average, at higher levels of commercialisation. Ultra-processed foods were not highly consumed in our samples but were also linked with increasing commercialisation. Through this analysis, we show that commercialization and food consumption outcomes are linked in both positive and negative ways – and that both, retaining own food production, and the food market context, plays a moderating role, as does household experience of uncertainty in transition to commercial agriculture. Findings for policy in the context of inevitable but highly varied forms of agricultural commercialisation in Africa therefore include ensuring that diverse nutritious foods are available and affordable in local markets, but also that household food security and diets are socially supported through the process of transition where commercialisation is pursued.

农业商业化与营养之间的关系在经验上存在争议,研究结果表明不同指标和不同背景下的趋势各不相同。本文利用来自四个非洲国家商业化研究的新型横截面调查数据,旨在通过三个不同的指标来了解农业商业化与食品消费之间的关联和权衡:家庭对自身食品安全的看法;成年男女的饮食多样性;以及不健康的超加工食品和饮料的消费。我们发现,在三个国家中,较高的商业化水平与受访者认为家庭更有粮食安全有关,并假设只有在食品价格通胀率较低的情况下,这种关系才会成立。更高的食品安全感与更高的膳食多样性相关联,但在所有国家,即使在商业化程度最高的家庭中,膳食多样性仍然很低,平均而言,在商业化程度较高的国家,男性的膳食多样性超过了女性。在我们的样本中,超加工食品的消费量并不高,但也与商业化程度的提高有关。通过分析,我们发现商业化和食品消费结果之间既有积极的联系,也有消极的联系--保留自己的食品生产和食品市场环境都起着调节作用,家庭在向商业化农业转型过程中经历的不确定性也起着调节作用。因此,在非洲农业商业化不可避免但形式多种多样的背景下,对政策的研究结果包括:确保在当地市场上可以买到并负担得起各种营养食品,同时确保在推行商业化的过渡过程中,家庭粮食安全和饮食得到社会支持。
{"title":"Agricultural commercialisation and food consumption: pathways and trade-offs across four African contexts","authors":"Amrita Saha,&nbsp;Jody Harris,&nbsp;Nicholas Nisbett,&nbsp;John Thompson","doi":"10.1007/s12571-024-01465-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12571-024-01465-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The relationship between agricultural commercialisation and nutrition is empirically contested, with findings suggesting different trends for different indicators, and across different contexts. Using novel cross-sectional survey data from a study of commercialisation in four African countries, this paper aims to understand associations and trade-offs between agricultural commercialisation and food consumption using three different indicators: household perceptions of their own food security; the dietary diversity of adult women and men; and the consumption of unhealthy ultra-processed foods and drinks. We find that a higher level of commercialisation is associated with respondents perceiving the household as more food secure in three countries and hypothesise that this relationship only holds where food price inflation remains low. Perception of better food security is subsequently associated with better reported dietary diversity, but diversity remains low in all countries even in the most commercialised households, and men’s dietary diversity overtakes women’s, on average, at higher levels of commercialisation. Ultra-processed foods were not highly consumed in our samples but were also linked with increasing commercialisation. Through this analysis, we show that commercialization and food consumption outcomes are linked in both positive and negative ways – and that both, retaining own food production, and the food market context, plays a moderating role, as does household experience of uncertainty in transition to commercial agriculture. Findings for policy in the context of inevitable but highly varied forms of agricultural commercialisation in Africa therefore include ensuring that diverse nutritious foods are available and affordable in local markets, but also that household food security and diets are socially supported through the process of transition where commercialisation is pursued.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":567,"journal":{"name":"Food Security","volume":"16 6","pages":"1501 - 1528"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2024-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s12571-024-01465-w.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142821342","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Retrofitting food and nutrition programmes to curb the global syndemic of undernutrition, obesity and climate change 改进粮食和营养规划,遏制营养不良、肥胖和气候变化的全球流行病
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01489-2
Simone Michelle Gie, Geraldine McNeill, Elaine Bannerman

To investigate the potential of food security and nutrition programmes to simultaneously address the global syndemic of undernutrition, obesity and climate change, a policy document analysis of World Food Programme (WFP) activities was carried out, using Laos as a case study. A framework for the double burden of malnutrition was adapted, defining six intermediate-level modifiable factors for the global syndemic. Information on 11 WFP food security and nutrition programmes in Laos for all populations was extracted from 33 WFP documents and assessed using the framework method approach. Firstly, current programmes were assessed to determine if they could serve as a platform to address the six factors. Next, identification of pathways to undernutrition, obesity and climate change outcomes was used to determine which programmes were already double or triple duty. Finally, potential adaptations to retrofit programmes into triple duty actions were proposed, drawing on double and triple duty actions from the literature. The analysis found that all 11 programmes provided the opportunity to address two or more factors, four programmes were already double duty and five triple duty, and all programmes in theory could be retrofitted to become triple duty actions through adaptations identified in the literature. These findings suggest that food security and nutrition programmes do have potential to address the global syndemic.

为调查粮食安全和营养计划同时应对营养不良、肥胖和气候变化等全球综合症的潜力,以老挝为案例,对世界粮食计划署(WFP)的活动进行了政策文件分析。对营养不良双重负担框架进行了调整,确定了全球综合症的六个中级可调整因素。从粮食计划署的 33 份文件中提取了有关粮食计划署在老挝针对所有人口开展的 11 项粮食安全和营养计划的信息,并使用框架方法进行了评估。首先,对现有计划进行评估,以确定这些计划是否可作为解决六个因素的平台。其次,确定营养不良、肥胖和气候变化结果的途径,以确定哪些计划已经承担双重或三重责任。最后,借鉴文献中的双重和三重责任行动,提出了将计划改造为三重责任行动的潜在调整方案。分析发现,所有 11 项计划都提供了解决两个或两个以上因素的机会,其中 4 项计划已 经是双重责任行动,5 项是三重责任行动,理论上所有计划都可以通过文献中确定的调整改 造成为三重责任行动。这些研究结果表明,粮食安全和营养计划确实具有解决全球综合症的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating rational and healthy use options for small pelagic fish species in sub-Saharan Africa 评估撒哈拉以南非洲小型中上层鱼类的合理和健康利用方案
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01491-8
Stuart W. Bunting, Djiga Thiao, Molly Ahern, Yaw B. Ansah, Ansen Ward, Joshua Wesana, Rodrigue Yossa, Lena Westlund

Small pelagic fish species (SPFS) from marine waters off Central-West Africa and North-West Africa and the African Great Lakes Region in Eastern Africa and associated value chains sustain several million livelihoods. Catches are used for direct human consumption, to produce fishmeal and fish oil for animal feeds and to manufacture value-added products. SPFS constitute a valuable source of micronutrients, fatty acids and protein that could help alleviate malnutrition and food insecurity in sub-Saharan Africa. Considering this context, this study aimed to identify and prioritise recommendations concerning SPFS use. Preliminary recommendations came from interviews (n = 122) and focus groups (n = 642) with women and men. Representative stakeholders from Gambia, Ghana, Malawi, Mauritania, Republic of Congo, Senegal, Sierra Leone and Uganda engaged in a Delphi study. Responses were received from 150 to 115 participants in Rounds 1 and 2, respectively. Priority recommendations (Round 2 mean rating > 8) included: environmental audits of fishmeal plants, promote health and safety at work, assess health risks, eliminate pollution, locate factories away from residential areas, promote alternative feed ingredients, farmer training and research programmes, enhanced governance, demand assessment, price controls on fish for feed, regular assessment of key fish stocks, assess and monitor fish affordability, consumption and importance in food and nutrition security, promote better handling to avoid food waste, regulate capacity of fishmeal sector. Comprehensive and effective implementation of priority recommendations could ensure that SPFS use can contribute to food and nutrition security and help provide sustainable and healthy diets across sub-Saharan Africa.

中西非、西北非和东非非洲大湖区海域的小型中上层鱼类(SPFS)及相关价值链维系着数百万人的生计。捕获的鱼用于人类直接消费、生产动物饲料所需的鱼粉和鱼油以及制造增值产品。南太平洋渔业是微量营养素、脂肪酸和蛋白质的宝贵来源,有助于缓解撒哈拉以南非洲的营养不良和粮食不安全问题。考虑到这一背景,本研究旨在确定有关使用 SPFS 的建议并确定其优先次序。初步建议来自对女性和男性的访谈(n = 122)和焦点小组(n = 642)。来自冈比亚、加纳、马拉维、毛里塔尼亚、刚果共和国、塞内加尔、塞拉利昂和乌干达的利益相关方代表参与了德尔菲研究。第一轮和第二轮分别收到了来自 150 名和 115 名参与者的答复。优先建议(第二轮平均评级为 8)包括:对鱼粉厂进行环境审计,促进工作场所的健康和安全,评估健康风险,消除污染,将工厂设在远离居民区的地方,推广替代饲料原料,农民培训和研究计划,加强治理,需求评估,对饲料用鱼进行价格控制,定期评估主要鱼类种群,评估和监测鱼类的可负担性、消费量以及在粮食和营养安全方面的重要性,促进更好地处理以避免食物浪费,监管鱼粉行业的能力。全面、有效地实施优先建议可确保 SPFS 的使用有助于粮食和营养安全,并有助于在撒哈拉以南非洲地区提供可持续的健康饮食。
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引用次数: 0
The rice disease of the poor farmer returns a study in the Philippines shows the way 菲律宾的一项研究为贫苦农民的水稻病返乡指明了道路
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01495-4
Serge Savary
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Integrated Soil Fertility Management Practices on the Welfare of Smallholder Farmers in Ethiopia 土壤肥力综合管理方法对埃塞俄比亚小农福利的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01492-7
Million Sileshi, Bekele Wegi Feyisa, Shibire Bekele Eshetu, Reuben M.J. Kadigi, Khamaldin Mutabazi, Stefan Sieber

Enhancing farm productivity in Ethiopia through the adoption of Integrated Soil Fertility Management (ISFM) is crucial for bridging the gap between food demand and supply, while also ensuring the sustainability of agro-ecosystems. However, the synergistic effects of different types of technologies within ISFM remain inadequately understood. This study analyzes individual and combined impacts of adopting ISFM practices, specifically inorganic fertilizer and Soil and Water Conservation (SWC) practices, on net crop value and per capita food consumption expenditure. Using primary data collected from 781 plots in eastern Ethiopia, the study employs Multinomial Endogenous Switching Regression (MESR) to identify those factors associated with the adoption of these practices and evaluate their impacts on households’ welfare, while accounting for both observable and unobservable biases. The average treatment effects of adopting inorganic fertilizer and SWC practices either separately or in combination show that these practices result in improved net crop value and per capita food consumption expenditure. Interestingly, the combined impact of inorganic fertilizer and SWC practices on net crop value and food consumption expenditure is more than double when compared to adopting these practices separately. Moreover, our finding shows that the age and educational level of the household, irrigation use, and cultivated area are positively and significantly associated with the likelihood of adopting the combination of inorganic fertilizer and SWC practices. Therefore, encouraging and supporting farmers to adopt a combination of inorganic fertilizer and SWC practices will result in significant welfare gains.

通过采用土壤肥力综合管理(ISFM)提高埃塞俄比亚的农业生产力,对于弥合粮食需求和供应之间的差距,同时确保农业生态系统的可持续性至关重要。然而,ISFM中不同类型技术的协同效应仍然没有得到充分的了解。本研究分析了采用ISFM做法,特别是无机肥料和水土保持(SWC)做法对作物净价值和人均粮食消费支出的单独和综合影响。该研究利用从埃塞俄比亚东部781个地块收集的原始数据,采用多项内生转换回归(MESR)来确定与采用这些做法相关的因素,并评估其对家庭福利的影响,同时考虑可观察和不可观察的偏差。单独或联合施用无机肥和SWC的平均处理效果表明,这些做法可提高作物净价值和人均粮食消费支出。有趣的是,与单独采用无机肥料和SWC做法相比,无机肥料和SWC做法对作物净价值和粮食消费支出的综合影响超过两倍。此外,我们的发现表明,家庭的年龄和教育水平、灌溉使用和耕地面积与采用无机肥料和SWC组合做法的可能性呈正相关且显著。因此,鼓励和支持农民采用无机肥料和SWC相结合的做法将带来显著的福利收益。
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引用次数: 0
Food demand responses to global price shocks: Contrasts in sub-national evidence from Nigeria 粮食需求对全球价格冲击的反应:尼日利亚国家以下各级证据的对比
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01490-9
Rahul Dhar, Michael Adetayo Olabisi, Iredele Emmanuel Ogunbayo, Nathaniel Siji Olutegbe, Oreoluwa Ibukun Akano, David L. Tschirley

The Russo-Ukrainian war has shocked global food prices and supply chains. Some of the largest impacts are expected in food-importing African countries. This includes Nigeria, where a combination of increasing population, urbanization, and declining domestic production increased households’ exposure to global price shocks. To understand how food demand responds to price shocks, we estimate household-level demand elasticities for selected food categories using the Exact Affine Stone Index (EASI) demand model. We simulate the effect of increasing grain and edible oil prices on demand by households across several food groups and items. Our results vary across regional and income groups and often differ because grains and edible oils represent different proportions of the respective sub-national budget shares. We find that, given their low price elasticity, a shock to the price of edible oils generally leads to changes to the household budget share. We also find that the war is expected to have the highest impact on non-grain starches and vegetable proteins, which had the highest own-price elasticities. Nevertheless, given that palm and groundnut oil are the dominant edible oils in Nigeria, the effects of the war depend on the elasticity of substitution between sunflower and these two oils on the global markets, as well as between edible oils and other foods. One policy implication of the study is the need for targeted food and nutrition interventions in response to crises or global price shocks, given the substantial sub-national variation in observed food budget shares, and in the effects of price shocks.

俄乌战争震惊了全球粮食价格和供应链。预计影响最大的是非洲的一些粮食进口国。其中包括尼日利亚,该国人口增加、城市化和国内产量下降等因素增加了家庭受全球价格冲击的风险。为了解粮食需求如何对价格冲击做出反应,我们使用精确仿射石指数(EASI)需求模型对选定粮食类别的家庭级需求弹性进行了估算。我们模拟了粮食和食用油价格上涨对若干食品类别和项目的家庭需求的影响。我们的结果因地区和收入组别而异,而且由于谷物和食用油在国家以下各级预算中所占比例不同,结果也往往不同。我们发现,由于食用油的价格弹性较低,对其价格的冲击通常会导致家庭预算份额的变化。我们还发现,战争对非谷物淀粉和植物蛋白的影响最大,因为它们的自身价格弹性最高。然而,鉴于棕榈油和花生油是尼日利亚最主要的食用油,战争的影响取决于全球市场上葵花籽油与这两种油之间以及食用油与其他食品之间的替代弹性。本研究的一个政策含义是,鉴于观察到的粮食预算份额和价格冲击的影响在国家以下各级存在巨大差异,有必要采取有针对性的粮食和营养干预措施,以应对危机或全球价格冲击。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Food Security
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