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A systematic literature review on coping mechanisms and food security during pandemics 关于大流行病期间应对机制和粮食安全的系统文献综述
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01445-0
Yeni Budiawati, Ronnie S. Natawidjaja, Dhanan Sarwo Utomo, Tomy Perdana, Maman H. Karmana

Coping strategies are vital during crises, and this review synthesizes existing research on coping strategies related to food security during pandemics while identifying research gaps. The paper examines implemented and needed policies to enhance individual and household food security, particularly during pandemic, which has garnered increased global academic interest. Endnote X9, following PRISMA guidelines, analyzes data collected from ProQuest, EBSCOhost, and Scopus databases. Publications from 2019 to 2022 predominantly focus on health sciences, utilizing quantitative methods and empirical data, with an emphasis on Asia. Categorizing research based on several sub-criteria reveals pandemic impacts, outcomes, geographic locations, economic development, and basic theories employed in the previous studies. Consequences of the pandemic studied include environmental quality and socioeconomic effects. Practical implications for food security policies, including urban planning, rural vulnerability, institutional strengthening, and support for vulnerable communities, are highlighted. The government should implement targeted policies, particularly for vulnerable groups like babies, children, elderly individuals with low incomes, female heads of families, low-income community groups, farmers, fishermen, those without permanent jobs, and the unemployed.

危机期间的应对策略至关重要,本文综述了大流行病期间与粮食安全有关的应对策略方面的现有研究,同时指出了研究缺口。本文探讨了为加强个人和家庭粮食安全而实施的政策和所需的政策,尤其是在大流行病期间,这已引起全球学术界越来越多的关注。Endnote X9 遵循 PRISMA 准则,分析了从 ProQuest、EBSCOhost 和 Scopus 数据库收集的数据。2019 年至 2022 年的出版物主要集中在健康科学领域,采用定量方法和实证数据,重点关注亚洲。根据几个子标准对研究进行分类,揭示了大流行病的影响、结果、地理位置、经济发展以及以往研究采用的基本理论。研究的大流行病后果包括环境质量和社会经济影响。强调了粮食安全政策的实际影响,包括城市规划、农村脆弱性、机构强化和对脆弱社区的支持。政府应实施有针对性的政策,特别是针对弱势群体,如婴儿、儿童、低收入老人、女户主、低收入社区群体、农民、渔民、无固定工作的人和失业者。
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引用次数: 0
Social and ethnic-racial inequities in the occurrence of food deserts in a Brazilian state capital 巴西某州首府出现食物荒漠的社会和种族不平等现象
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01450-3
Daniely Casagrande Borges, Júlio Celso Borello Vargas, Olivia Souza Honório, Larissa Loures Mendes, Raquel Canuto

This study described the occurrence of food deserts and its relationship with the socioeconomic characteristics of the area. This is an ecological study based on secondary data from the city of Porto Alegre, Brazil. Food deserts were defined based on the density of establishments that sell healthy foods. The socioeconomic variables analyzed were the Health Vulnerability Index (HVI), percentage of illiterate people, percentage of people with per capita income of up to half a minimum wage, and percentage of households made up of people who identify as Black, Brown or Indigenous. Statistical and spatial analyses were conducted using census tracts as units of analysis. Almost half of the census tracts were classified as food deserts (n = 1150/48.3%), with higher concentration in the peripheral areas of the city. Tracts with a high risk of health vulnerability (very high HVI), those with the highest percentage of black and indigenous peoples (Quartile 4), the highest percentage of illiterate people (Quartile 4), and the highest percentage of people living on less than (^{1}/_{5}) minimum wage (Quartile 4), were about twice as likely to be classified as a food desert. For all variables, a dose-response relationship was observed. The results show that in the city of Porto Alegre food deserts were associated with worse environmental and social conditions, and a greater presence of ethnic-racial minority groups. Social and ethnic-racial inequities might shape the city environment, making access to healthy foods more difficult for the most vulnerable populations, with possible repercussions on food consumption, food security and other health outcomes.

本研究描述了食物荒漠的发生及其与该地区社会经济特征的关系。这是一项基于巴西阿雷格里港市二手数据的生态研究。食品荒漠是根据销售健康食品的机构密度来定义的。分析的社会经济变量包括健康脆弱性指数(HVI)、文盲人口比例、人均收入不超过最低工资一半的人口比例,以及被认定为黑人、棕色人种或土著人的家庭比例。统计和空间分析以人口普查区为分析单位。近一半的人口普查区被归类为食物荒漠(n = 1150/48.3%),更多集中在城市周边地区。健康脆弱性风险高(HVI 非常高)、黑人和原住民比例最高(四分位数 4)、文盲比例最高(四分位数 4)、最低工资不足(^{1}/_{5})的人口比例最高(四分位数 4)的普查区被归类为食物荒漠的可能性约为其他普查区的两倍。在所有变量中,都观察到了剂量-反应关系。结果表明,在阿雷格里港市,食物荒漠与较差的环境和社会条件以及较多的少数民族群体有关。社会和种族不平等可能会影响城市环境,使最弱势群体更难获得健康食品,从而可能对食品消费、食品安全和其他健康结果产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Increased farmer willingness to pay for quality cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) planting materials: evidence from experimental auctions in Cambodia and Lao PDR 提高农民为优质木薯(Manihot esculenta Crantz)种植材料付费的意愿:柬埔寨和老挝人民民主共和国试验性拍卖的证据
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01453-0
Erik Delaquis, Vanya Slavchevska, Conny J. M. Almekinders, Jonathan C. Newby, Chea Sareth, Chanphasouk Tanthapone, Paul C. Struik

Varietal turnover is a major mechanism for farmer adaptation to rapidly changing environmental and market conditions. Understanding factors related to varietal turnover is critical for safeguarding food security in the face of increasingly rapid changes to production contexts. Preference elicitation methods like experimental auctions reveal farmers’ willingness to pay (WTP) for seeds with different characteristics. We engaged farmers growing cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) across a wide geographic scope in Cambodia (n = 321, 4 provinces) and Lao PDR (n = 391, 5 provinces) in modified second-price experimental auctions to determine WTP for three cassava seed classes: farmer-produced planting stems of an undescribed variety, farmer-produced planting stems of an elite variety with lower susceptibility to Cassava Mosaic Disease (CMD), and virus-free tested planting stems of the same elite variety. In Lao PDR, mean auction bids for a bundle of 20 planting stems were 0.54, 0.92, and 1.40 USD for farmer, elite, and elite tested stems, while in Cambodia the analogous mean bids were 0.58, 0.77, and 1.16 USD, respectively. A significantly higher WTP associated with elite variety and tested stems in both countries was influenced by both geographic location (province) and individual socioeconomic farmer characteristics. In Lao PDR this included lower WTP of women, higher WTP of ethnic minorities, and, for improved stems, lower WTP of farmers with increased cassava growing experience. In Cambodia fewer socioeconomic variables affected WTP. Our results indicate significant increases in WTP for clean planting materials and new varieties, supporting market-based clean seed approaches as a component of regional control strategies for the CMD epidemic currently threatening a global agri-food value chain.

品种更替是农民适应快速变化的环境和市场条件的主要机制。面对生产环境日新月异的变化,了解与品种更替相关的因素对于保障粮食安全至关重要。实验性拍卖等偏好激发方法揭示了农民对不同特性种子的支付意愿(WTP)。我们在柬埔寨(n = 321,4 个省)和老挝人民民主共和国(n = 391,5 个省)广泛的地理范围内让种植木薯(Manihot esculenta Crantz)的农民参与修改后的二次价格实验拍卖,以确定三种木薯种子类别的 WTP:农民生产的未描述品种的种植茎、农民生产的对木薯花叶病(CMD)敏感性较低的优良品种的种植茎,以及同一优良品种的无病毒测试种植茎。在老挝人民民主共和国,农民、优良品种和经测试的优良品种的一捆 20 根种植茎的平均拍卖出价分别为 0.54、0.92 和 1.40 美元,而在柬埔寨,类似的平均出价分别为 0.58、0.77 和 1.16 美元。在这两个国家,与优良品种和经过测试的茎秆相关的 WTP 都明显较高,这既受地理位置(省)的影响,也受农民个人社会经济特征的影响。在老挝人民民主共和国,妇女的 WTP 较低,少数民族的 WTP 较高,对于改良茎,木薯种植经验丰富的农民的 WTP 较低。在柬埔寨,影响 WTP 的社会经济变量较少。我们的研究结果表明,清洁种植材料和新品种的 WTP 显著增加,支持以市场为基础的清洁种子方法,将其作为目前威胁全球农业食品价值链的 CMD 流行病区域控制战略的组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunities to improve goat production and food security in Botswana through forage nutrition and the use of supplemental feeds 通过饲草营养和使用补充饲料提高博茨瓦纳山羊产量和粮食安全的机会
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01452-1
Andrew S. Cooke, Honest Machekano, Javier Ventura-Cordero, Aranzazu Louro-Lopez, Virgil Joseph, Lovemore C. Gwiriri, Taro Takahashi, Eric R. Morgan, Michael R. F. Lee, Casper Nyamukondiwa

Goats fulfil a central role in food and nutritional security across Africa with over half of households owning or rearing goats in rural areas. However, goat performance is poor and mortality high. This study assessed the nutritional quality of commonly used feeds and proposes feed-baskets to enhance goat nutrition and health. Feeds were collected from 11 areas within the Central District of Botswana, and macronutrient analyses were conducted, including crude protein, fibre fractions, ash, and metabolizable energy (ME). Forage nutrition was compared across seasons and soil types. Additionally, seasonal supplementation trials were conducted to evaluate consumption rates of various supplements, including crop residues, pellets, Lablab purpureus, and Dichrostachys cinerea. Each supplement was provided ad libitum for a 24-h period, and consumption rates determined. Findings revealed significant differences in nutrition among various feed sources, across seasons, and in relation to soil types (p < 0.001). Consumption rates of supplements were higher during the dry season, possibly due to reduced forage availability. Supplement consumption rates varied across supplement type, with crop residues accounting for approximately 1% of dry matter intake, compared to up to 45% for pellets, 13% for L. purpureus, and 15% for D. cinerea. While wet season feed baskets exhibited higher ME values compared to dry-season feed-baskets, the relative impact of supplementation was more pronounced during the dry season. These results highlight the potential for optimizing goat diets through improved grazing and browsing management, especially during the reduced nutritional availability in the dry season in Botswana. Such diet optimisation may improve goat health and productivity, which may positively impact the food and financial security of smallholders by providing both increased yields and increased resilience. Importantly, rural communities can experience some of the lowest food security levels in the region. The interventions explored in this study utilise natural capital, often freely available, which can be deployed through existing husbandry systems, potentially making them accessible and practical to smallholders.

山羊在整个非洲的粮食和营养安全中发挥着核心作用,农村地区一半以上的家庭拥有或饲养山羊。然而,山羊的性能很差,死亡率很高。这项研究评估了常用饲料的营养质量,并提出了提高山羊营养和健康水平的饲料篮。从博茨瓦纳中央区的 11 个地区收集了饲料,并进行了宏量营养素分析,包括粗蛋白、纤维成分、灰分和代谢能 (ME)。对不同季节和土壤类型的牧草营养进行了比较。此外,还进行了季节性补充物试验,以评估各种补充物的消耗率,包括作物秸秆、颗粒饲料、紫云英和雏菊。每种营养补充剂均在 24 小时内自由供应,并测定消耗率。研究结果表明,不同饲料来源、不同季节以及不同土壤类型之间的营养差异很大(p < 0.001)。在旱季,补充剂的消耗率较高,这可能是由于饲料供应量减少。不同类型补充剂的消耗率不同,作物残渣约占干物质摄入量的 1%,而颗粒饲料高达 45%,L. purpureus 为 13%,D. cinerea 为 15%。虽然与旱季饲料篮相比,雨季饲料篮的 ME 值更高,但在旱季,补充饲料的相对影响更为明显。这些结果凸显了通过改善放牧和采食管理来优化山羊日粮的潜力,尤其是在博茨瓦纳旱季营养供应减少的情况下。这种饮食优化可能会改善山羊的健康状况并提高其生产率,从而通过提高产量和复原力对小农户的粮食和财务安全产生积极影响。重要的是,农村社区可能是该地区粮食安全水平最低的地区之一。本研究探讨的干预措施利用的是自然资本,这些资本通常是免费提供的,可以通过现有的畜牧系统加以利用,从而可能使这些干预措施对小农户来说既方便又实用。
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引用次数: 0
Cultivating prosperity in Rwanda: the impact of high-yield biofortified bean seeds on farmers’ yield and income 在卢旺达实现繁荣:高产生物强化豆种对农民产量和收入的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01449-w
Jose Funes, Laixiang Sun, Todd Benson, Fernado Sedano, Giovanny Baiocchi, Ekin Birol

In this paper, we investigate the agronomic and economic impact of cultivating seeds of improved bean varieties by smallholder farming households in Rwanda. The improved bean varieties under investigation are conventionally-bred, iron biofortified bush and climbing bean varieties, developed for high yield, climate resilience, and increased bioavailable iron content compared to commonly consumed varieties. Seeds of these varieties were delivered to 383,000 farmers across Rwanda by the time we implemented nationally representative survey of bean farmers in 2015 season B. Our findings indicate that growing the seeds of these improved bean varieties, compared to the bean planting materials used by farmers at the time, significantly enhances farmers’ yield and income. The yield increases amount to 153 kg/ha (23%) for growers of improved bush bean seeds and 182 kg/ha (20%) for growers of improved climbing bean seed, while the income increases amounts to $84/ha (27%) for improved bush bean seed growers and $110/ha (23%) for improved iron climbing bean growers, on average. These results bolster public policies and private sector efforts that aim to expand access to improved seeds in Rwanda and other African countries.

在本文中,我们调查了卢旺达小农户种植改良豆类品种种子对农艺和经济的影响。所调查的改良豆类品种是传统培育的铁生物强化灌木豆和攀援豆品种,与普通豆类品种相比,这些品种产量高、气候适应性强、生物可利用的铁含量更高。我们的研究结果表明,与农民当时使用的豆类种植材料相比,种植这些改良豆类品种的种子可显著提高农民的产量和收入。改良灌木豆种子的种植者每公顷增产 153 公斤(23%),改良攀缘豆种子的种植者每公顷增产 182 公斤(20%);改良灌木豆种子的种植者每公顷平均增收 84 美元(27%),改良铁攀缘豆的种植者每公顷平均增收 110 美元(23%)。这些结果支持了旨在扩大卢旺达和其他非洲国家获得改良种子机会的公共政策和私营部门的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Voice, access, and ownership: enabling environments for nutrition advocacy in India and Nigeria 发言权、使用权和所有权:印度和尼日利亚营养宣传的有利环境
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01451-2
Danielle Resnick, Kola Matthew Anigo, Olufolakemi Anjorin, Shilpa Deshpande

What constitutes an enabling environment for nutrition advocacy in low- and middle-income countries? While a sizeable body of scholarship considers the enabling environment for nutrition policy, we focus specifically on the necessary conditions for advocacy. We argue that three factors—voice, access, and ownership—provide a useful lens into the advocacy enabling environment. These are operationalized, respectively, as the space to articulate and frame policy positions, entry points to interact with policy decision makers, and the existence of committed decision makers rather than those responding to pressures from external actors. These three factors are explored vis-à-vis a comparative analysis of two federal democracies—India and Nigeria—that each have vibrant advocacy communities confronting persistent malnutrition. Drawing on more than 100 structured interviews with nutrition advocates, government actors, donors, and researchers in the two countries, we highlight the ways in which voice, access, and ownership interactively shape advocacy efforts. In doing so, we find that Nigeria has a less ideological approach to certain nutrition issues than in India but also perceived to be more beholden to external actors in defining its nutrition actions. Recent restrictions on freedom of speech and association shrunk the civic space in India but these were less problematic in Nigeria. In both countries, the multi-tiered, multi-party system offers many different points of access into the policy arena, with sometimes negative implications for coordination. Overall, the paper contributes more broadly to the literature on enabling environments by highlighting potential indicators to guide nutrition advocates in other settings.

什么是中低收入国家营养宣传的有利环境?虽然有相当多的学者研究了营养政策的有利环境,但我们特别关注倡导的必要条件。我们认为,"声音"、"获取 "和 "所有权 "这三个因素为宣传有利环境提供了一个有用的视角。这三个因素分别是:阐明和确定政策立场的空间、与政策决策者互动的切入点,以及坚定的决策者的存在,而不是那些迫于外部压力的决策者。通过对两个联邦民主国家--印度和尼日利亚--的比较分析,探讨了这三个因素,这两个国家都有充满活力的宣传团体来应对持续存在的营养不良问题。通过对这两个国家的营养倡导者、政府行为者、捐助者和研究人员进行 100 多次结构化访谈,我们强调了发言权、参与权和自主权如何相互作用地影响倡导工作。我们发现,与印度相比,尼日利亚在某些营养问题上的意识形态较少,但在确定其营养行动时也更多地受制于外部行动者。最近对言论和结社自由的限制缩小了印度的公民空间,但在尼日利亚问题较少。在这两个国家,多层次、多党派的制度为进入政策领域提供了许多不同的途径,有时会对协调产生负面影响。总之,本文强调了在其他环境中指导营养倡导者的潜在指标,从而为有关有利环境的文献做出了更广泛的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Food security and livelihoods in protracted crisis: the experience of rural residents in Syria’s war zones 长期危机中的粮食安全与生计:叙利亚战区农村居民的经验
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01446-z
Kindah Ibrahim, Miroslava Bavorova, Edvin Zhllima

Food insecurity is an increasingly pressing and grave issue in contemporary Syria. The ongoing crisis has severely affected agriculture in a country which used to be food-producing and self-sufficient. This study addresses the factors that impact household-level food security in Syria. Our analysis is based on 1,381 household surveys using a structured questionnaire in 12 governorates of the country. We followed a two-stage least square regression (2SLS) approach to analyse the interconnected factors of food security. We use three different indicators to capture different dimensions of food security: the Food Consumption Score (FCS), the Dietary Diversity Score (DDS), and the Reduced Coping Strategy Index (rCSI). Our findings underscore the vital role of aid programs and post-crisis remedial assistance in bolstering farmers' resilience and enhancing their food security. Despite adverse constraints generated by the prolonged crisis, continued reliance on agricultural activities continued having a positive contribution to food security. Female-headed households experience higher food insecurity than their male-headed counterparts (MHHs). However, Female-headed households excel in nutritional diversity. Both results should be approached carefully due to data limitations. Addressing the repercussions of conflict-induced food insecurity requires mitigating the effects of the proximity of conflict zones and reducing disruptions in food value chains. Future research should consider how food security relates to gender and intra-household gender inequalities during protracted crises.

在当代叙利亚,粮食不安全是一个日益紧迫和严重的问题。叙利亚曾经是一个粮食生产和自给自足的国家,目前的危机严重影响了该国的农业。本研究探讨了影响叙利亚家庭粮食安全的因素。我们的分析基于在叙利亚 12 个省使用结构化问卷进行的 1,381 项家庭调查。我们采用两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS)来分析粮食安全的相互关联因素。我们使用三个不同的指标来反映粮食安全的不同层面:食品消费评分(FCS)、膳食多样性评分(DDS)和减少应对策略指数(rCSI)。我们的研究结果强调了援助计划和危机后补救援助在增强农民的抗灾能力和提高其粮食安全方面的重要作用。尽管长期危机造成了不利制约,但对农业活动的持续依赖仍对粮食安全做出了积极贡献。与男户主家庭(MHHs)相比,女户主家庭的粮食不安全程度更高。不过,女户主家庭在营养多样性方面表现突出。由于数据的局限性,这两项结果都应谨慎对待。要解决冲突引发的粮食不安全问题,就必须减轻冲突地区附近的影响,减少对粮食价值链的干扰。未来的研究应考虑在旷日持久的危机中,粮食安全与性别和家庭内部性别不平等的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Bacillus thuringiensis promotes systemic immunity in tomato, controlling pests and pathogens and promoting yield 苏云金芽孢杆菌促进番茄的系统免疫,控制害虫和病原体,提高产量
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-27 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01441-4
Rupali Gupta, Ravindran Keppanan, Meirav Leibman-Markus, Sabina Matveev, Dalia Rav-David, Ran Shulhani, Yigal Elad, Dana Ment, Maya Bar

Plant pathogens and pests pose an increasing threat to worldwide food security. To improve and strengthen food security under increasingly difficult environmental, economic, and geopolitical conditions, the prospect of using microbial biocontrol agents becomes increasingly desirable. One of the most studied, and commercially used, biopesticide microorganisms is the entomopathogenic, gram-positive, soil bacterium Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt). While Bt has been known for many years as an insecticidal microorganism and used extensively in agriculture, its possible anti-phytopathogen and plant growth-promoting activities have received comparatively limited attention thus far. Here, we examine the ability of Bt to promote systemic immunity in tomato plants. We investigate how Bt influences plant immunity and disease resistance against several fungal and bacterial plant pathogens, as well as several arthropod pests. In order to determine which component of Bt (i.e., Bt spores or pure crystals) is responsible for the observed effects on pathogens or pests, we dissected the different fractions present in a commercial preparation and assessed their effects on pest and pathogen control. As previously reported in the Bt literature, our results indicate that proteins produced by Bt are likely the primary acting components against pests. In the case of pathogens, however, it appears that both the Bt spores and proteins directly act against pathogens such as the fungus Botrytis cinerea. Bt Spores and produced proteins also both induce plant immunity. Understanding the different Bt mode of action mechanisms will help in developing cost-effective and safe plant protection strategies for enhancing food security. Taken together, our findings suggest that Bt could be used in broad-spectrum pest and disease management strategies. Pending validation in agricultural settings, Bt products on the market could have additional uses in sustainable pest management and plant growth promotion.

植物病原体和害虫对全球粮食安全的威胁与日俱增。为了在日益困难的环境、经济和地缘政治条件下改善和加强粮食安全,使用微生物生物控制剂的前景越来越令人期待。苏云金芽孢杆菌(Bt)是研究得最多的生物农药微生物之一,也是商业上使用最多的微生物之一。虽然 Bt 作为一种杀虫微生物已被人们熟知多年,并被广泛应用于农业领域,但迄今为止,人们对其可能具有的抗植物病原体和促进植物生长活性的关注却相对有限。在这里,我们研究了 Bt 促进番茄植物系统免疫的能力。我们研究了 Bt 如何影响植物的免疫力和抗病性,以对抗几种真菌和细菌植物病原体以及几种节肢动物害虫。为了确定 Bt 的哪种成分(即 Bt 孢子或纯晶体)对所观察到的病原体或害虫的影响起作用,我们对商业制剂中的不同组分进行了剖析,并评估了它们对害虫和病原体的控制效果。正如之前 Bt 文献所报道的,我们的研究结果表明,Bt 产生的蛋白质可能是对害虫起作用的主要成分。然而,在病原体方面,Bt 孢子和蛋白质似乎都能直接对病原体(如灰葡萄孢菌)起作用。Bt 孢子和产生的蛋白质还都能诱导植物免疫。了解不同的 Bt 作用模式机制将有助于开发具有成本效益和安全的植物保护战略,从而提高粮食安全。综上所述,我们的研究结果表明,Bt 可用于广谱病虫害管理策略。在农业环境中进行验证之前,市场上的 Bt 产品在可持续病虫害管理和促进植物生长方面可能会有更多的用途。
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引用次数: 0
Addressing future food demand in The Gambia: can increased crop productivity and climate change adaptation close the supply–demand gap? 应对冈比亚未来的粮食需求:提高作物生产率和适应气候变化能否缩小供需差距?
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-26 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01444-1
Tony W. Carr, Felicity Addo, Amanda Palazzo, Petr Havlik, Katya Pérez-Guzmán, Zakari Ali, Rosemary Green, Genevieve Hadida, Alcade C. Segnon, Robert Zougmoré, Pauline Scheelbeek

With rising demand for food and the threats posed by climate change, The Gambia faces significant challenges in ensuring sufficient and nutritious food for its population. To address these challenges, there is a need to increase domestic food production while limiting deforestation and land degradation. In this study, we modified the FABLE Calculator, a food and land-use system model, to focus on The Gambia to simulate scenarios for future food demand and increasing domestic food production. We considered the impacts of climate change on crops, the adoption of climate change adaptation techniques, as well as the potential of enhanced fertiliser use and irrigation to boost crop productivity, and assessed whether these measures would be sufficient to meet the projected increase in food demand. Our results indicate that domestic food production on existing cropland will not be sufficient to meet national food demand by 2050, leading to a significant supply–demand gap. However, investments in fertiliser availability and the development of sustainable irrigation infrastructure, coupled with climate change adaptation strategies like the adoption of climate-resilient crop varieties and optimised planting dates, could halve this gap. Addressing the remaining gap will require additional strategies, such as increasing imports, expanding cropland, or prioritising the production of domestic food crops over export crops. Given the critical role imports play in The Gambia’s food supply, it is essential to ensure a robust flow of food imports by diversifying partners and addressing regional trade barriers. Our study highlights the urgent need for sustained investment and policy support to enhance domestic food production and food imports to secure sufficient and healthy food supplies amidst growing demand and climate change challenges.

随着粮食需求的不断增长和气候变化带来的威胁,冈比亚在确保为其人口提供充足和有营养的粮食方面面临着重大挑战。为应对这些挑战,需要在增加国内粮食生产的同时限制森林砍伐和土地退化。在本研究中,我们修改了粮食和土地利用系统模型 FABLE 计算器,以冈比亚为重点,模拟未来粮食需求和国内粮食增产的情景。我们考虑了气候变化对作物的影响、气候变化适应技术的采用,以及加强化肥使用和灌溉以提高作物产量的潜力,并评估了这些措施是否足以满足预计增加的粮食需求。我们的研究结果表明,到 2050 年,现有耕地上的国内粮食产量将不足以满足全国的粮食需求,从而导致巨大的供需缺口。然而,对化肥供应的投资和可持续灌溉基础设施的发展,再加上气候变化适应战略,如采用气候适应性强的作物品种和优化种植日期,可以将这一缺口减半。要解决剩余的缺口,还需要采取其他战略,如增加进口、扩大耕地面积或优先生产国内粮食作物而非出口作物。鉴于进口在冈比亚粮食供应中的关键作用,必须通过合作伙伴多样化和解决区域贸易壁垒来确保粮食进口的强劲流动。我们的研究强调,迫切需要持续的投资和政策支持,以加强国内粮食生产和粮食进口,从而在需求增长和气候变化挑战下确保充足和健康的粮食供应。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of Chinese rice support policies on rice acreages 中国水稻扶持政策对水稻种植面积的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01447-y
Yan Jin, Cornelis Gardebroek, Nico Heerink

Declining arable land and yield stagnation pose serious challenges to food security in China. Since 2004, the Chinese government has introduced rice support policies to stimulate rice production. A bundle of incentives, including a minimum procurement price, were introduced. Whether they were effective? Rice acreages have increased since the start of this policy, which could also result from rising rice price levels both nationally and globally. Using a natural experiment created by the minimum procurement price policy being introduced in a selected set of Chinese regions, we use a dynamic fixed effects model to perform a difference-in-differences analysis on the effectiveness of these rice support policies. We find that indica rice acreages do respond to changes in the rice prices, and, controlling for rice prices, that China’s rice support policies were effective in increasing rice acreages of both early and late indica after 2004. The paper concludes with policy implications.

耕地面积减少和产量停滞不前给中国的粮食安全带来了严峻挑战。2004 年以来,中国政府出台了水稻扶持政策,以刺激水稻生产。出台了包括最低收购价在内的一系列激励措施。这些政策是否有效?自该政策开始实施以来,水稻种植面积有所增加,这也可能是国内和全球大米价格上涨的结果。通过在中国部分地区推行最低收购价政策这一自然实验,我们使用动态固定效应模型对这些水稻扶持政策的效果进行了差异分析。我们发现,籼稻种植面积确实对稻米价格的变化做出了反应,而且在控制稻米价格的情况下,中国的稻米扶持政策在 2004 年后有效地增加了早籼稻和晚籼稻的种植面积。本文最后提出了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Food Security
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