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Mapping actor networks in global multi-stakeholder initiatives for food system transformation 绘制促进粮食系统转型的全球多方利益相关者倡议中的行动者网络图
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01476-7
Amber van den Akker, Alice Fabbri, Scott Slater, Anna B. Gilmore, Cecile Knai, Harry Rutter

There is growing recognition that global food system transformation requires a fundamental shift in norms, perspectives and structural inclusion and exclusion of different actors in decision-making spaces. As multistakeholder governance approaches become increasingly common, significant concerns have been raised about their ability to deliver such change. Such concerns are based on case study findings repeatedly highlighting their susceptibility to corporate capture. This study goes beyond individual case studies, examining global multi-stakeholder initiatives (MSIs) whose stated aim is to drive a healthier and more sustainable food system. It identified and categorised actors within these MSIs, drawing on social network analysis to provide insights into actor centrality, power structures, and how this might impact MSIs’ potential to drive transformative change. Thirty global MSIs were included in our sample, including a total of 813 actors. Most actors were based in high-income countries (HIC) (n = 548, 67%). The private sector (n = 365, 45%) was the most represented actor category, comprising transnational corporations (TNCs) (n = 127) and numerous others representing their interests. NGOs, affected communities and low- and middle-income country actors remain underrepresented. The central involvement of TNCs which rely on the production and sale of unhealthy and unsustainable commodities represents a clear conflict of interest to the stated objectives of the MSIs. These findings lend weight to concerns that MSIs may reflect rather than challenge existing power structures, thus serving to maintain the status quo. This indicates a need to critically examine the use of multistakeholder governance approaches and their ability to drive global food system transformation.

越来越多的人认识到,全球粮食系统的转型需要从根本上改变决策空间中不同参与者的规范、观点和结构上的包容与排斥。随着多方利益相关者治理方法越来越普遍,人们对其实现这种变革的能力提出了极大的担忧。这些担忧是基于案例研究结果反复强调其容易被企业俘获。本研究在个案研究的基础上,对全球多方利益相关者倡议(MSIs)进行了研究,这些倡议的既定目标是推动建立一个更健康、更可持续的食品体系。它对这些多利益相关者倡议中的参与者进行了识别和分类,并利用社会网络分析深入了解了参与者的中心地位、权力结构,以及这可能如何影响多利益相关者倡议推动变革的潜力。我们的样本包括 30 个全球 MSI,共有 813 名参与者。大多数参与者位于高收入国家(HIC)(548 人,67%)。私营部门(n = 365,占 45%)是参与人数最多的类别,包括跨国公司(n = 127)和代表其利益的众多其他公司。非政府组织、受影响社区以及中低收入国家的参与者仍然代表不足。跨国公司主要依靠生产和销售不健康和不可持续的商品,这与微观经济体指标的既定目标存在明显的利益冲突。这些发现使人们更加担心微观社会指标可能会反映而不是挑战现有的权力结构,从而起到维持现状的作用。这表明有必要对多方利益相关者治理方法的使用及其推动全球粮食系统转型的能力进行批判性审查。
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引用次数: 0
Maize-grain zinc and iron concentrations as influenced by agronomic management and biophysical factors: a meta-analysis 受农艺管理和生物物理因素影响的玉米籽粒锌和铁浓度:一项荟萃分析
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01478-5
Job Kihara, Gudeta W Sileshi, Peter Bolo, Dominic Mutambu, Kalimuthu Senthilkumar, Andrew Sila, Mina Devkota, Kazuki Saito

Human Zn and Fe deficiencies can be reduced through agronomic biofortification, but information on factors influencing maize grain-Zn and -Fe levels remain scanty. This analysis: (1) Establishes the global distribution of Zn and Fe concentrations in maize grain; (2) assess the contribution of different agronomic practices to the effectiveness of Zn fertilizers for increasing grain yields, and Zn and Fe levels in maize grain; and (3) identify key biophysical factors and metrics to more effectively guide agronomic biofortification of Zn. Using 5874 data points in 138 published papers from 34 countries, we estimated a 7.5% probability of grain-Zn concentrations exceeding the benchmark target of 38 mg kg−1. Using 3187 data points from 65 studies across 27 countries we estimated a 8.5% probability of grain-Fe concentrations exceeding the target of 60 mg kg−1. Our 70-paper meta-analysis revealed that applying Zn and/or Fe in combination with inorganic NPK fertilizer can increase maize-grain-Zn and-Fe concentrations by 31% (p < 0.01) relative to the control (NPK only). In 52% and 37.5% of the studies respectively, grain-Zn and -Fe levels showed significant and concomitant increase with grain-yield increases. Soil organic matter, pH, soil-available Zn, organic input applications, and N, Zn and Fe application rates and methods were among the key factors influencing grain Zn and Fe. We conclude there is substantial room for increasing maize-grain Zn and Fe concentrations, and applying Zn, especially in combined soil and foliar applications, gives substantial increases in grain-Zn and -Fe concentrations. This global review reveals large data gaps on maize-grain nutrient levels, and we call for routine collection of such information in future research.

人类的锌和铁缺乏症可通过农艺生物强化来缓解,但有关影响玉米籽粒中锌和铁含量的因素的信息仍然很少。这项分析:(1) 确定玉米籽粒中锌和铁浓度的全球分布;(2) 评估不同农艺措施对锌肥提高籽粒产量的效果以及玉米籽粒中锌和铁含量的贡献;(3) 确定关键的生物物理因素和衡量标准,以便更有效地指导锌的农艺生物强化。利用 34 个国家 138 篇已发表论文中的 5874 个数据点,我们估计谷物中锌浓度超过 38 毫克/千克基准目标的概率为 7.5%。利用来自 27 个国家 65 项研究的 3187 个数据点,我们估计谷物中铁的浓度超过 60 毫克/千克目标值的概率为 8.5%。我们对 70 篇论文进行的荟萃分析表明,锌和/或铁与无机氮磷钾肥料结合施用可使玉米籽粒中的锌和铁浓度比对照组(仅施用氮磷钾肥料)提高 31% (p < 0.01)。分别有 52% 和 37.5% 的研究表明,谷物锌和铁的含量随着谷物产量的增加而显著增加。土壤有机质、pH 值、土壤中可利用的锌、有机投入的施用以及氮、锌和铁的施用率和施用方法是影响谷物锌和铁的关键因素。我们得出的结论是,玉米籽粒中的锌和铁浓度还有很大的提高空间,施用锌,尤其是土壤和叶面联合施用锌,可大幅提高籽粒中的锌和铁浓度。这次全球综述揭示了有关玉米籽粒养分水平的巨大数据缺口,我们呼吁在今后的研究中例行收集此类信息。
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引用次数: 0
Food security effects of forest sector participation in rural Liberia 参与林业部门对利比里亚农村地区粮食安全的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01468-7
Festus O. Amadu, Daniel C. Miller

Forests can help rural households cope with food insecurity challenges in the face of climate change while also sequestering carbon and advancing other sustainability objectives in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). As such, participation in the forestry sector can contribute to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), especially on hunger and food security (SDG 2) in forest rich, but economically poor areas of LMICs. However, analysis of the effects of forest sector participation on food security in such contexts remain limited. Here we estimate the effects of participation in forest-based activities like collection and processing of timber and non-timber forest products (NTFPs) on household food security in Liberia, the most forested country in West Africa. We applied endogenous switching poisson regression to data from 1408 households living in the proximity of forests included in Liberia’s 2019 national household forest survey to estimate the effect of forest sector participation on food security (in terms of reduction in the number of months households reportedly had insufficient food). Results show that forest-sector participation reduced the number of months households had insufficient food by 84% (about 2.7 months). Heterogeneity analyses show that NTFPs affected food security by 80% (about 2.5 months) compared to timber and wood products, which had a 66% effect size (about 2.1 months) on average. Our results provide new, national-scale evidence on the role of forests in enhancing food security in Liberia and suggest the importance of forest sector participation for food security and achieving SDG 2 more generally.

在中低收入国家(LMICs),森林可以帮助农村家庭应对气候变化带来的粮食不安全挑战,同时还能固碳并推进其他可持续发展目标的实现。因此,参与林业部门有助于实现可持续发展目标 (SDGs),尤其是在森林资源丰富但经济贫困的中低收入国家地区实现饥饿和粮食安全目标 (SDG2)。然而,在这种情况下,林业部门的参与对粮食安全影响的分析仍然有限。在此,我们估算了在西非森林覆盖率最高的国家利比里亚,参与以森林为基础的活动(如木材和非木材森林产品(NTFP)的采集和加工)对家庭粮食安全的影响。我们对利比里亚 2019 年全国家庭森林调查中包含的 1408 个生活在森林附近的家庭的数据进行了内生切换泊松回归,以估算森林部门参与对粮食安全的影响(即据报道家庭粮食不足月数的减少)。结果显示,森林部门的参与使家庭粮食不足的月数减少了 84%(约 2.7 个月)。异质性分析表明,与木材和木制品相比,非木材类植物对粮食安全的影响达 80%(约 2.5 个月),而木材和木制品的影响平均为 66%(约 2.1 个月)。我们的研究结果为森林在提高利比里亚粮食安全方面的作用提供了新的、全国范围的证据,并表明林业部门的参与对于粮食安全和更广泛地实现可持续发展目标 2 具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of forage condition on household food security in northern Kenya and southern Ethiopia 肯尼亚北部和埃塞俄比亚南部牧草状况对家庭粮食安全的影响
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01473-w
Vincent Harry Alulu, Kelvin Mashisia Shikuku, Watson Lepariyo, Ambica Paliwal, Diba Galgallo, Wako Gobu, Rupsha Banerjee

We studied the causal link between forage condition and food security in northern Kenya and southern Ethiopia and probed the mechanisms through which the effects occur. The study utilized weekly panel survey data collected over a period of 94 weeks (March 2021–December 2022) from drought-prone pastoral regions and estimated two-stage least squares instrumental variables regression to assess causal impacts. We found that an increase in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) – our proxy for forage condition – by 10% significantly reduced the likelihood of a household experiencing food insecurity by 12 percentage points. The main mechanisms through which improved forage condition increased food security were livestock productivity enhancement, reduced prices of basic food commodities (cereals, legumes, and vegetables), and utilization of better coping strategies by households. These findings suggest the need for interventions and initiatives aimed at boosting livestock productivity and reducing vulnerability to drought-induced poor forage conditions. Efforts focused on the monitoring of forage conditions and supporting market development for livestock feed are important for addressing the adverse impacts of drought and deteriorating forage conditions in the horn of Africa. Furthermore, the monitoring of drought conditions and shocks using high-frequency data has the potential for providing early warning and informing anticipatory action.

我们研究了肯尼亚北部和埃塞俄比亚南部牧草状况与粮食安全之间的因果关系,并探讨了产生影响的机制。该研究利用从易受干旱影响的牧区收集的为期 94 周(2021 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月)的每周面板调查数据,通过估计两阶段最小二乘工具变量回归来评估因果影响。我们发现,归一化差异植被指数(NDVI)--我们对草料状况的替代指标--每增加 10%,就能将家庭遭遇粮食不安全的可能性显著降低 12 个百分点。改善草料状况提高粮食安全的主要机制是提高牲畜生产率、降低基本粮食商品(谷物、豆类和蔬菜)的价格以及家庭采用更好的应对策略。这些研究结果表明,有必要采取干预措施和举措,以提高牲畜生产率,减少因干旱导致的草料条件差而造成的损失。为应对非洲之角干旱和饲草条件恶化的不利影响,必须努力监测饲草条件并支持牲畜饲料市场的发展。此外,利用高频数据监测干旱状况和冲击有可能提供早期预警,并为预期行动提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
A new framework on climate-induced food-security risk for small-scale fishing communities in Tanzania 坦桑尼亚小型渔业社区因气候引起的粮食安全风险新框架
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01472-x
Lara Paige Brodie, Smit Vasquez Caballero, Elena Ojea, Sarah F. W. Taylor, Michael Roberts, Patrick Vianello, Narriman Jiddawi, Shankar Aswani, Juan Bueno

Food insecurity is a pressing issue facing our world, particularly affecting coastal communities who rely on marine resources. The problem is further compounded by the rapidly changing climate, a deteriorating environment and growing human populations. It is essential to evaluate this issue accurately to reduce risk and improve the situation of coastal communities, especially in countries with less socioeconomic development. To this end, we develop a food security social-ecological risk assessment framework for developing communities in coastal areas of the Western Indian Ocean facing a changing environment. The framework integrates local ecological knowledge, expert scientific opinion, survey data, and satellite sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a observation. We conducted a local-scale case study in four regions in Tanzania; Mafia, Pemba, Tanga, and Unguja, revealing that they face moderate to high risk levels of food insecurity. The highest risk was observed in the island communities of Pemba and Unguja, while the communities of Mafia and Tanga had the lowest risk due to lower exposure and sensitivity to climate change. Our results show that recognizing the key differences across risk components is crucial in identifying effective intervention strategies for local practitioners. This study highlights the need for detailed assessments to provide accurate information on local-scale food security dynamics, specifically when assessing impacts induced by environmental and climatic changes.

粮食不安全是我们这个世界面临的一个紧迫问题,尤其影响到依赖海洋资源的沿海社区。迅速变化的气候、日益恶化的环境和不断增长的人口使这一问题变得更加复杂。必须对这一问题进行准确评估,以降低风险,改善沿海社区的状况,尤其是在社会经济发展水平较低的国家。为此,我们为面临环境变化的西印度洋沿海地区的发展中社区制定了粮食安全社会生态风险评估框架。该框架整合了当地生态知识、专家科学意见、调查数据以及卫星海面温度(SST)和叶绿素 a 观测数据。我们在坦桑尼亚的四个地区(马菲亚、奔巴、坦噶和温古贾)开展了地方规模的案例研究,结果显示这些地区面临中度到高度的粮食不安全风险。彭巴岛和温古贾岛社区的风险最高,而马菲亚和坦加社区的风险最低,因为它们对气候变化的暴露程度和敏感度较低。我们的研究结果表明,认识到不同风险因素之间的关键差异对于当地从业人员确定有效的干预策略至关重要。这项研究强调了进行详细评估的必要性,以提供有关当地规模粮食安全动态的准确信息,特别是在评估环境和气候变化引起的影响时。
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引用次数: 0
Changes and correlates of household food insecurity during COVID-19: a repeated cross-sectional survey of low-income households in peri-urban Peru COVID-19 期间家庭粮食不安全状况的变化和相关因素:对秘鲁城郊低收入家庭的重复横断面调查
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01471-y
Rebecca Pradeilles, Sabrina Eymard-Duvernay, Rossina Pareja, Michelle Holdsworth, Edwige Landais, Hilary M. Creed-Kanashiro, Emily K. Rousham

National lockdowns and containment measures to control the spread of COVID-19 led to increased unemployment, lower household incomes and reduced access to affordable and nutritious foods globally. This study aimed to examine changes and correlates of household food insecurity experience and mitigation strategies adopted in peri-urban Peru during the COVID-19 pandemic. Low income households with children age < 2 years in Lima and Huánuco participated in three repeated cross-sectional surveys from 2020 to 2022 (n = 759). We assessed changes in household food insecurity experience using the Food Insecurity Experience Scale. Correlates of moderate-severe food insecurity were analysed using univariate and multivariable linear mixed-effect regressions. We also assessed perceived impacts of the pandemic on livelihoods, coping strategies and receipt of financial or food assistance. Moderate-severe food insecurity was 47.0% in 2020 (survey 1) decreasing to 31.1% in 2022 (survey 3). In adjusted analyses, food insecurity was higher in households with perceived reduced income (β = 12.69 [6.82; 18.56]); in the lower socio-economic status (SES) tertiles (compared to the relatively highest SES tertile; middle tertile (β = 20.91 [9.89; 31.93]), lowest tertile (β = 39.37 [28.35; 50.40]); in households with ≥ 2 children < 5 years (β = 8.78 [2.05; 15.50]); and in Lima (compared to Huánuco; β = 10.47 [1.27; 19.67]). Food insecurity improved more among the relatively lowest SES compared to the relatively highest SES households between survey 1 and 3 (interaction p = 0.007). In conclusion, almost half of households experienced moderate-severe food insecurity mid-pandemic with greater risk observed in the most socio-economically disadvantaged households. The inequality gap in food insecurity associated with SES narrowed over time likely due to household coping strategies and reduced poverty.

为控制 COVID-19 的传播而采取的国家封锁和遏制措施导致全球失业率上升、家庭收入下降,并减少了获得负担得起的营养食品的机会。本研究旨在探讨 COVID-19 大流行期间秘鲁城市周边地区家庭粮食不安全经历的变化和相关因素,以及所采取的缓解策略。利马和瓦努科地区有 2 岁以下儿童的低收入家庭参加了 2020 年至 2022 年的三次重复横断面调查(n = 759)。我们使用 "粮食不安全经历量表 "评估了家庭粮食不安全经历的变化。我们使用单变量和多变量线性混合效应回归分析了中度-严重粮食不安全的相关因素。我们还评估了大流行病对生计、应对策略和接受财政或粮食援助的影响。2020 年(调查 1)中度严重粮食不安全的比例为 47.0%,2022 年(调查 3)下降到 31.1%。在调整分析中,认为收入减少的家庭(β = 12.69 [6.82; 18.56])、社会经济地位(SES)较低的三分位数(与社会经济地位相对较高的三分位数相比)、中间三分位数(β = 20.91[9.89;31.93])、最低三等分位数(β = 39.37 [28.35;50.40]);有≥2 个 5 岁儿童的家庭(β = 8.78 [2.05;15.50]);以及利马(与瓦努科相比;β = 10.47 [1.27;19.67])。与社会经济地位相对较高的家庭相比,社会经济地位相对较低的家庭的粮食不安全状况在调查 1 和调查 3 之间得到了改善(交互作用 p = 0.007)。总之,近一半的家庭在疫情中期经历了中度-严重的粮食不安全,社会经济条件最差的家庭面临的风险更大。随着时间的推移,与社会经济地位相关的粮食不安全的不平等差距缩小了,这可能是由于家庭采取了应对策略并减少了贫困。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the determinants of food waste behavior in China at the consumer level 从消费者层面研究中国食物浪费行为的决定因素
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01466-9
Ricardo Lima, Aizhi Yu, Qinghua Liu, Jingyi Liu

Food loss and waste are global problems for food security, as one-third of all food produced globally does not reach the consumer’s table. These numbers seem unreasonable when the data presented by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) in 2021 accounts for more than 800 million undernourished people and about 2.3 billion without access to adequate food throughout the year. This study examines the determinants of food waste behavior at the consumer level in China, the most populous country in the world. The survey used data from 3,857 online questionnaires of families living in selected Chinese metropolitan areas across all provinces. The research methodology used an ordered multinomial logit model to estimate the impact of the explanatory variables on the frequency and amount of household food waste. The results showed that food waste increased with income, age, and education but at a decreasing rate. Additionally, the demographic characteristics of households, food planning, and meal preparation had a statistically significant influence on food waste. The findings of this study, therefore, provide evidence that household food waste is highly dependent on people's behavior, and its reduction may depend on public policies and educational campaigns to make families aware of the problem.

粮食损失和浪费是影响粮食安全的全球性问题,因为全球生产的所有粮食中有三分之一没有进入消费者的餐桌。根据联合国粮食及农业组织(FAO)提供的数据,2021 年营养不良人口超过 8 亿,全年无法获得充足食物的人口约为 23 亿,这些数字似乎并不合理。本研究探讨了世界上人口最多的国家--中国消费者层面上食物浪费行为的决定因素。调查使用了 3857 份在线问卷中的数据,调查对象是生活在中国各省选定的大都市地区的家庭。研究方法采用有序多叉对数模型来估算解释变量对家庭食物浪费频率和数量的影响。结果表明,食物浪费随收入、年龄和教育程度的增加而增加,但增加的速度在下降。此外,家庭人口特征、食物计划和膳食准备对食物浪费也有显著的统计学影响。因此,本研究的结果证明,家庭食物浪费在很大程度上取决于人们的行为,减少食物浪费可能有赖于公共政策和教育活动,使家庭意识到这一问题。
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引用次数: 0
Book Review: Food Security Issues in Asia 书评:亚洲的粮食安全问题
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01474-9
Nhat Mai Nguyen, Thi Ha Lien Le
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引用次数: 0
Food safety concerns and purchase choices among poor households in the urbanising global south: the case of Dhaka, Bangladesh 全球南部城市化进程中贫困家庭对食品安全的关注和购买选择:孟加拉国达卡的案例
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01464-x
Md. Latiful Haque, Peter Oosterveer, Raffaele Vignola

This article looks into the daily food shopping practices of poor urban households in Dhaka, Bangladesh. A practice theory-based approach is used to explore their coping strategies in response to food safety concerns. By applying an exploratory sequential mixed-method approach, two groups of shoppers are compared: recently arrived migrants and established residents, as recently arrived migrants are expected to face an unfamiliar food shopping environment and therefore need to reconsider their daily food shopping practices. The results describe the elements of food shopping practices: food items, retail outlets, affordability, social networks, and relations to work. We identified the absence of freshness, undesirable substances, and the need for more information about the production process as the primary food safety concerns. Among both shopper groups, the harmful consequence of applying the chemical 'formalin' to food is considered the most prominent food safety concern. Major coping strategies include identifying (un)safe food, proactive selection, and establishing and maintaining social relationships. The two groups have similarities and differences in using skills and competencies to mitigate their food safety concerns in everyday shopping practices. Recently arrived migrants have to adapt to urban lifestyles and reconfigure their food safety concerns into their daily food shopping practices.

本文探讨了孟加拉国达卡城市贫困家庭的日常食品购物行为。文章采用基于实践理论的方法,探讨了他们应对食品安全问题的策略。通过采用探索性顺序混合方法,对两组购物者进行了比较:新近抵达的移民和常住居民,因为新近抵达的移民预计会面临一个陌生的食品购物环境,因此需要重新考虑他们的日常食品购物行为。研究结果描述了食品购物行为的要素:食品项目、零售点、可负担性、社会网络以及与工作的关系。我们发现,食品不新鲜、含有不良物质以及需要更多有关生产过程的信息是食品安全的主要问题。在这两个购物群体中,对食品使用化学物质 "福尔马林 "的有害后果被认为是最突出的食品安全问题。主要的应对策略包括识别(不)安全食品、主动选择以及建立和维护社会关系。这两个群体在利用技能和能力减轻日常购物中的食品安全问题方面有相似之处,也有不同之处。新近抵达的移民必须适应城市生活方式,并将他们对食品安全的担忧重新融入日常食品购物实践中。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 risk perception and food security in the MENA region: evidence from a multi-wave household survey COVID-19 中东和北非地区的风险意识与粮食安全:多波家庭调查的证据
IF 5.6 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-024-01470-z
Assem Abu Hatab, Lena Krautscheid, Mohamed Elsayied, Franklin Amuakwa-Mensah

The COVID-19 pandemic had disruptive consequences for MENA countries’ agri-food value chains that exacerbated poverty and jeopardized food security. This study examines the relationship between individuals’ perception of contracting COVID-19 and their experience of food insecurity, using longitudinal data from the Combined COVID-19 MENA Monitor Household survey. It also investigates the underlying mechanisms of COVID-19 concerns and explores coping strategies employed by households to identify vulnerabilities in food security. The results provide compelling evidence of a strong association between individuals’ concern about the virus and various dimensions of food security, particularly reduced purchasing power and decreased meal frequency. Notably, this association follows an inverted U-shaped curve, with food insecurity initially increasing as worry grows, but declining after individuals contract the virus. High levels of concern were also linked to significant income decreases and worsening economic conditions. Moreover, individuals with higher concerns were more likely to rely on specific coping strategies, particularly spending savings and obtaining funds from relatives or friends. These findings underscore the need for government interventions during disease outbreaks and economic downturns to focus on alleviating individuals’ worry and fear to facilitate informed decision-making that minimizes food insecurity consequences. Additionally, the findings emphasize the need to strengthen social protection systems during public health and economic challenges to ensure food security for vulnerable populations.

COVID-19 大流行对中东和北非国家的农业食品价值链造成了破坏性后果,加剧了贫困并危及粮食安全。本研究利用 COVID-19 中东和北非综合监测住户调查的纵向数据,研究了个人对感染 COVID-19 的看法与他们的粮食不安全经历之间的关系。研究还调查了 COVID-19 问题的潜在机制,并探讨了家庭为识别粮食安全脆弱性而采用的应对策略。研究结果提供了令人信服的证据,证明个人对病毒的担忧与粮食安全的各个方面(尤其是购买力下降和进餐频率减少)之间存在密切联系。值得注意的是,这种关联呈倒 U 型曲线,最初,随着担忧的增加,粮食不安全程度也会增加,但在感染病毒后,这种关联就会下降。高度担忧还与收入大幅减少和经济状况恶化有关。此外,担忧程度较高的人更有可能依赖特定的应对策略,特别是花费储蓄和从亲戚或朋友那里获得资金。这些发现强调,在疾病爆发和经济衰退期间,政府的干预措施需要侧重于减轻个人的担忧和恐惧,以促进做出明智的决策,从而将粮食不安全的后果降至最低。此外,研究结果还强调,在公共卫生和经济挑战期间,有必要加强社会保护体系,以确保弱势群体的粮食安全。
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Food Security
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