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The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on food-related behaviors of low-income rural residents in South Carolina of the United States of America COVID-19大流行对美国南卡罗来纳州低收入农村居民食物相关行为的影响
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01578-w
Ye Luo, Darja Beinenson, Catherine Mobley, Leslie Hossfeld

This study examined the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on various aspects of food related behaviors and how this impact varied by food insecurity status among low-income rural residents in South Carolina of the United States of America (USA) using data from telephone and in-person interviews of a purposive, convenience sample of 662 low-income residents in nine rural South Carolina counties from August 2020 to July 2021. About 21% of respondents reported moderate and 11% reported high food insecurity. The weighted results showed that food insecurity status was significantly associated with five out of the ten food-related behavioral changes after COVID-19; for four behaviors, there was a positive gradient relationship with higher levels of food insecurity associated with experiencing more frequent or more change in the behavior after the onset of COVID-19 than before. On increased frequency of adjusting children’s meals due to budget, experiencing more change in accessing fresh, locally grown food and eating habits, and having made a change in the ranking of the importance of food characteristics, the odds ratios for high food-insecure respondents versus for low food-insecure respondents ranged from 2.88 to 6.17 and all were statistically significant; the odds ratios for moderate food-insecure respondents versus for low food-insecure respondents ranged from 1.32 to 3.24 and two of them were statistically significant. In addition, high food-insecure respondents were 4.43 times more likely to experience an increase in frequency of adjusting one’s own meals due to budget than low food insecure respondents while moderate food insecure respondents were 5.18 times more likely to experience an increase in this behavior than low food-insecure respondents. Our results indicate that the COVID-19 pandemic aggravated both conditions related to food access and food behaviors among low-income residents in rural areas of South Carolina. The pandemic increased the gaps between comparatively food secure and food insecure residents, thus making some poor residents poorer in terms of food security.

本研究利用2020年8月至2021年7月期间对南卡罗来纳州9个农村县的662名低收入居民进行的有目的、方便样本的电话和面对面访谈数据,研究了COVID-19大流行对美国南卡罗来纳州低收入农村居民食品相关行为各方面的影响,以及这种影响如何因粮食不安全状况而变化。约21%的答复者报告中度粮食不安全,11%报告高度粮食不安全。加权结果显示,2019冠状病毒病后,粮食不安全状况与10种食物相关行为变化中的5种显著相关;对于四种行为,与2019冠状病毒病发病后行为变化更频繁或更多相关的粮食不安全程度较高呈正梯度关系。由于预算原因调整儿童膳食的频率增加,在获取新鲜、当地种植的食物和饮食习惯方面发生更多变化,以及在食物特征的重要性排名方面发生变化,粮食不安全程度高的受访者与粮食不安全程度低的受访者的比值比在2.88至6.17之间,均具有统计学意义;中度粮食不安全答复者与轻度粮食不安全答复者的比值比在1.32至3.24之间,其中两个具有统计学显著性。此外,高度粮食不安全答复者因预算而调整自己膳食频率的可能性是低粮食不安全答复者的4.43倍,而中度粮食不安全答复者因这种行为增加的可能性是低粮食不安全答复者的5.18倍。我们的研究结果表明,COVID-19大流行加剧了南卡罗来纳州农村地区低收入居民的食物获取和食物行为相关状况。疫情扩大了粮食相对安全居民与粮食不安全居民之间的差距,从而使一些贫困居民在粮食安全方面更加贫困。
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引用次数: 0
Risk attitudes towards climate variation and food crop diversification, and their implications for food security among farm households in Central Region, Ghana 加纳中部地区农户对气候变化和粮食作物多样化的风险态度及其对粮食安全的影响
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-13 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01571-3
Samuel K. N. Dadzie, Isaac Dasmani, Franklin T. Odamtten, Emmanuel W. Inkoom

Crop diversification has been proposed as a climate risk management strategy to increase food production and food security. However, few empirical studies have been conducted on climate risk attitudes and crop diversification's effects on Food security in Africa. This paper fills that gap by examining the relationship between the climate risk attitudes of food crop farmers and the extent of crop diversification; and subsequently, estimates the impact of crop diversification on farm household food security in the Central Region of Ghana. Data were obtained through a structured interview schedule from 420 food crop farmers who were selected using a multistage sampling technique. We used the Equally Likely Certainty Equivalent Model to estimate the risk attitudes of farmers towards climate change, and the Herfindahl–Hirschman Diversity Index to determine the extent of crop diversification on food-crop farms. We then employed a Heckit Treatment Effect model to examine the empirical relationship between them. We further examined how the extent of crop diversification impacts the Food security of farmers by estimating the Average Treatment Effect using the inverse probability weights regression adjustment estimator. The study found that over 50% of Food crop farmers highly diversified their farms where they cultivated more than four different types of crop, while 30.5% and 16.9% moderately and lowly diversified their farms, with the cultivation of three or less different crop types. The majority (87%) of the farmers had risk aversion attitudes towards climate variability and change. Food crop farmers who were risk averse are more likely to practice crop diversification as a climate-smart agriculture intensification strategy to reduce crop loss due to climate variability. We also found that farmers with more diversified farms were more food secure than their counterparts. By adapting to climate variation through crop diversification, food crop farmers benefit from more diverse food produced from their farms, resulting in greater food security. Our study recommends that farmers be encouraged to plant multiple crops including maize, cassava, plantains, cocoyam, and cowpea, as well as vegetables like tomatoes, pepper, okra, and eggplant/aubergine on their farms in the variable climate of central Ghana.

作物多样化已被提出作为一种气候风险管理战略,以增加粮食生产和粮食安全。然而,关于气候风险态度和作物多样化对非洲粮食安全影响的实证研究很少。本文通过考察粮食种植户的气候风险态度与作物多样化程度之间的关系来填补这一空白;随后,估计了作物多样化对加纳中部地区农户粮食安全的影响。数据是通过结构化访谈时间表从420名粮食作物农民中获得的,他们采用多阶段抽样技术进行选择。我们使用等可能确定性等效模型来估计农民对气候变化的风险态度,并使用赫芬达尔-赫希曼多样性指数来确定粮食作物农场的作物多样化程度。然后,我们采用Heckit治疗效应模型来检验两者之间的实证关系。我们进一步研究了作物多样化程度如何影响农民的粮食安全,利用逆概率权重回归调整估计估计平均处理效应。研究发现,超过50%的粮食种植户农场高度多样化,种植四种以上不同类型的作物,而30.5%和16.9%的农场中度和轻度多样化,种植三种或三种以下不同类型的作物。大多数(87%)农民对气候变率和气候变化持风险厌恶态度。厌恶风险的粮食种植户更有可能将作物多样化作为一种气候智能型农业集约化战略来实施,以减少因气候变化造成的作物损失。我们还发现,拥有更多样化农场的农民比他们的同行更有粮食安全。粮食作物农民通过作物多样化适应气候变化,从其农场生产的更多样化的粮食中受益,从而提高粮食安全。我们的研究建议,在加纳中部多变的气候条件下,应鼓励农民在农场种植多种作物,包括玉米、木薯、大蕉、椰子树和豇豆,以及西红柿、辣椒、秋葵和茄子/茄子等蔬菜。
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引用次数: 0
Patterns of rural and urban food insecurity in Afghanistan after August 2021 2021年8月以后阿富汗农村和城市粮食不安全格局
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01586-w
Najibullah Hassanzoy, Martin Petrick, Ramona Teuber

This study examines the extent and severity of rural and urban food insecurity and compares policy-relevant characteristics of food-insecure rural and urban households in Afghanistan. We collected data from 899 rural and urban households in three provinces administering a semi-structured questionnaire in August and September 2023. We calculate comprehensive food insecurity measures (CARI and FIES) to quantify the prevalence and severity of food insecurity, using the capability approach to guide the analysis. Our results show that, while food insecurity is relatively more prevalent among rural households, urban households are worse off in current consumption status and per capita daily energy intake. Food-insecure urban households display a lower average monthly income and per-capita monthly income than food-insecure rural households, and they also suffer from higher income volatility. A smaller fraction of urban household members was employed or self-employed. Food-insecure rural households typically have access to irrigated land and livestock, they also possess the skills to make productive use of these assets. Food-insecure households’ large food expenditure shares, adoption of coping strategies, and lack of savings not only indicate their vulnerability to shocks but also suggest that they are trapped in a vicious cycle. The results underline the recent calls for more attention to specific forms of urban food insecurity. Moreover, they suggest policy measures to improve income generating opportunities among the urban population that was especially hard-hit by the economic consequences of the regime change in August 2021.

本研究考察了农村和城市粮食不安全的程度和严重程度,并比较了阿富汗农村和城市粮食不安全家庭的政策相关特征。我们于2023年8月和9月对三个省份的899个城乡家庭进行了半结构化问卷调查,收集了数据。我们计算了综合粮食不安全指标(CARI和FIES)来量化粮食不安全的普遍性和严重程度,并使用能力方法来指导分析。我们的研究结果表明,虽然粮食不安全在农村家庭中相对更为普遍,但城市家庭的当前消费状况和人均每日能量摄入量更差。粮食不安全的城市家庭的平均月收入和人均月收入低于粮食不安全的农村家庭,而且他们的收入波动也更大。受雇或自雇的城市家庭成员比例较小。粮食不安全的农村家庭通常可以获得灌溉土地和牲畜,他们还拥有生产利用这些资产的技能。粮食不安全家庭的粮食支出占比大、采取应对策略以及缺乏储蓄不仅表明他们易受冲击,而且表明他们陷入了恶性循环。研究结果表明,最近人们呼吁更多地关注城市粮食不安全的具体形式。此外,他们还建议采取政策措施,改善受2021年8月政权更迭经济后果影响特别严重的城市人口的创收机会。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the role of co-operatives in enhancing food security in East Africa 了解合作社在加强东非粮食安全方面的作用
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01582-0
Machiweyi Kunzekweguta, Marc-Andre Pigeon, Eric Micheels, Carol Henry, Matthew G. Nosworthy

Policymakers and non-government organizations (NGOs) are increasingly looking to democratically governed co-operatives to address food insecurity. We provide what is, to our knowledge, a first-ever scoping review of scholarly literature published between 2000 and 2023 that considers the link between co-operatives and food security on the African continent, with emphasis on East Africa where food insecurity is most acute. Our PRISMA-guided review identified 13 studies that touch on food security after exploring the economic effects of co-operatives. We identify only five studies proposing a direct association between co-operatives and food security based on an empirical strategy connecting the outcome of food security to a dummy variable representing membership in a co-operative. We conclude that the mechanisms connecting co-operative to food security are under-explored. We also observe that while the literature allows us to infer that co-operatives can help address food availability and food access -- two of the four core dimensions of food security -- the link to food utilization (nutrition) and stability is much less clear. Our scoping review further suggests that scholars need to consider how social norms shape the household distribution of available and accessed food, and how co-operatives, as part economic and part social entities, might influence those norms. We conclude by outlining the mechanisms that could provide a richer understanding of how co-operatives shape the components of food security and by setting out some research questions that, if answered, could provide a more solid basis for future policy and NGO interventions.

决策者和非政府组织(ngo)越来越希望通过民主管理的合作社来解决粮食不安全问题。据我们所知,我们将首次对2000年至2023年间发表的学术文献进行范围审查,该文献考虑了合作社与非洲大陆粮食安全之间的联系,重点关注粮食不安全状况最严重的东非。我们在prisma指导下进行的审查在探索合作社的经济影响后,确定了13项涉及粮食安全的研究。我们确定只有五项研究提出合作社与粮食安全之间的直接联系,这些研究基于将粮食安全的结果与代表合作社成员资格的虚拟变量联系起来的经验策略。我们的结论是,将合作社与粮食安全联系起来的机制尚未得到充分探索。我们还观察到,虽然文献允许我们推断合作社可以帮助解决粮食供应和粮食获取问题(粮食安全四个核心维度中的两个),但与粮食利用(营养)和稳定性的联系却不太清楚。我们的范围审查进一步表明,学者们需要考虑社会规范如何影响可获得和可获得的食物的家庭分配,以及合作社作为一部分经济实体和一部分社会实体如何影响这些规范。最后,我们概述了一些机制,这些机制可以让我们更深入地了解合作社如何塑造粮食安全的组成部分,并提出了一些研究问题,如果这些问题得到回答,可以为未来的政策和非政府组织的干预提供更坚实的基础。
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引用次数: 0
Mapping family farming in Brazil’s Midwest: Assessing socioeconomic and environmental factors for enhancing regional food security 绘制巴西中西部家庭农业地图:评估促进区域粮食安全的社会经济和环境因素
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01587-9
Lucas de Almeida Moura, Caroline de Oliveira Gallo, Francisco Chiaravalloti Neto, Alisson Diego Machado, Marina Maintinguer Norde, Giovanna Garrido, Nadine Marques Nunes Galbes, Aline Martins de Carvalho, Dirce Maria Lobo Marchioni

In Brazil, family farming is responsible for producing a large portion of the food that is part of the population's diet. However, its development is hindered by inequality in land distribution and access to productive resources, as well as the concentration of wealth generated by the expansion of large-scale agriculture. This situation is even more evident in the Midwest Region of Brazil, where there is a greater concentration of land at the expense of a greater environmental impact, particularly in terms of greenhouse gas emissions produced by agricultural practices. This study analyzed the spatial distribution of the proportion used for family farming (PFLA) and its spatial correlation and association with socioeconomic and environmental factors in municipalities in the Midwest Region of Brazil. Data from 466 municipalities in three states of the Midwest Region were analyzed. The Moran's Index (global and local) was used to analyze spatial correlation among municipalities. A Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression model was adopted to analyze the association between PFLA and socioeconomic and environmental variables. The results show a greater predominance of non-family farming due to the existence of spatial clusters of municipalities with high or low values of the values of land used for family farming. Family farming was positively associated with population density, and the production value of corn and negatively associated with the land concentration index, GDP per capita, greenhouse gas emissions, and the production value of soybean. The study reveals spatial asymmetries in land use for family farming in Brazil’s Midwest, with non-family farming prevailing in areas of greater land concentration. Family farming shows positive associations with population density and corn production, and negative associations with land concentration, GDP per capita, soybean production, and greenhouse gas emissions. These patterns highlight structural constraints and suggest that, with adequate policy support, family farming may contribute to local food security.

在巴西,家庭农业负责生产人口饮食中很大一部分食物。然而,它的发展受到土地分配和获得生产资源的不平等以及大规模农业扩张所产生的财富集中的阻碍。这种情况在巴西中西部地区更为明显,那里的土地更加集中,对环境造成了更大的影响,特别是在农业生产产生的温室气体排放方面。本研究分析了巴西中西部各市家庭农业用地比例的空间分布及其与社会经济和环境因素的空间相关性。来自中西部地区三个州的466个城市的数据进行了分析。莫兰指数(全球和地方)用于分析城市之间的空间相关性。采用多尺度地理加权回归模型分析PFLA与社会经济和环境变量的关系。结果表明,由于存在家庭农业用地价值高或低的城市空间集群,非家庭农业占有更大的优势。家庭农业与人口密度、玉米产值呈正相关,与土地集中度指数、人均GDP、温室气体排放、大豆产值呈负相关。该研究揭示了巴西中西部家庭农业土地利用的空间不对称,非家庭农业在土地集中度较高的地区普遍存在。家庭农业与人口密度和玉米产量呈正相关,与土地集中度、人均GDP、大豆产量和温室气体排放呈负相关。这些模式突出了结构性限制,并表明在适当的政策支持下,家庭农业可能有助于地方粮食安全。
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引用次数: 0
Tracking price distortions in staple food markets amid recent global shocks 追踪近期全球冲击中主粮市场的价格扭曲
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01579-9
Olcay Bolat, Juan Jose Egas Yerovi, Cristian Morales Opazo, Francesco Marconi
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引用次数: 0
Do nutrition-sensitive agriculture interventions work among ethnic minorities in Northern Vietnam amidst the COVID-19 crisis? 在2019冠状病毒病危机中,营养敏感型农业干预措施对越南北部少数民族有效吗?
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01580-2
Lan Thuy T. Nguyen, Marrit van den Berg, TjeerdJan Stomph, Deborah Nabuuma

Undernutrition remains a significant challenge among ethnic minorities in Northern Vietnam, possibly due to limited diet diversity. Our study explored the potential of a nutrition-sensitive agriculture intervention (NSA) to improve diet quality among the Thai, H’Mong, and Dao communities using a mixed-methods approach. Conducted between December 2020 and July 2022 during the COVID-19 pandemic, the study involved 600 households across 36 clusters, divided into two treatment groups: one received nutrition and agricultural training, another received this training plus a variety of vegetable seeds, and a control group without any intervention. We focused on diet and crop diversity, especially in vegetables and legumes. Quantitative data were collected through one baseline and two end-line rounds to ensure sufficient statistical power, while qualitative data included 14 focused group discussions, seven in-depth interviews, and field notes from field assistants. Our findings revealed that diet diversity, particularly in vegetables and legumes, was limited among the H’Mong and Dao, underscoring the potential of NSAs to improve their diet. Market access and on-farm production were found to complement each other in enhancing both diet and crop diversity across all three communities. The impact of the NSA intervention highlighted the complexity of contextual factors, including initial conditions and the ongoing effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, which influenced the outcomes in unpredictable ways. Nonetheless, combining seed provision with nutrition and agricultural training emerged as a promising strategy to enhance both diet and crop diversity, particularly given the strong vegetable cultivation practices and limited market access in these communities.

营养不良仍然是越南北部少数民族面临的重大挑战,可能是由于饮食多样性有限。我们的研究探索了营养敏感型农业干预(NSA)的潜力,利用混合方法改善泰国人、苗族人和岛人社区的饮食质量。该研究于2020年12月至2022年7月期间在COVID-19大流行期间进行,涉及36个集群的600个家庭,分为两个治疗组:一个组接受营养和农业培训,另一个组接受该培训加上各种蔬菜种子,另一个对照组没有任何干预。我们关注饮食和作物多样性,特别是蔬菜和豆类。定量数据通过一个基线和两个终点轮收集,以确保足够的统计能力,而定性数据包括14个重点小组讨论,7个深度访谈和现场助理的现场记录。我们的研究结果表明,饮食多样性,特别是蔬菜和豆类,在H 'Mong和Dao中是有限的,强调了NSAs改善其饮食的潜力。市场准入和农场生产在提高所有三个社区的饮食和作物多样性方面相辅相成。国家安全局干预的影响凸显了背景因素的复杂性,包括COVID-19大流行的初始条件和持续影响,这些因素以不可预测的方式影响了结果。尽管如此,将种子供应与营养和农业培训相结合成为一项有希望的战略,以提高饮食和作物多样性,特别是考虑到这些社区的蔬菜种植实践和有限的市场准入。
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引用次数: 0
The future of food security: three main avenues for research on trade in food systems 粮食安全的未来:粮食系统贸易研究的三个主要途径
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01572-2
Goedele Van den Broeck

While a rich literature has studied the impacts of trade on food security and nutrition, the debate is far from over. Both theoretical and empirical evidence show mixed effects, and several crucial research gaps remain. We outline three main avenues for further research to better understand how food trade influences food security and nutrition: 1) evaluation of distributional effects across and within countries, and across and within households, accounting for the nature of traded goods; 2) assessment of all forms of malnutrition, includingdietary quality and simultaneous effects; and 3) analysis of spill-overs between global and local food systems.

虽然有大量文献研究了贸易对粮食安全和营养的影响,但辩论远未结束。理论和经验证据都显示出混合效应,而且几个关键的研究空白仍然存在。我们概述了进一步研究的三个主要途径,以更好地了解食品贸易如何影响粮食安全和营养:1)评估国家之间和国家内部以及家庭之间和家庭内部的分配效应,考虑到贸易商品的性质;2)评估各种形式的营养不良,包括膳食质量和同时产生的影响;3)分析全球和地方粮食系统之间的溢出效应。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring grassroots initiatives in food waste reduction - a case study of two Indonesian food banks 探索减少食物浪费的基层行动——以两家印尼食物银行为例
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-02 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01568-y
Ismarini Pratami Putri, Angga Dwiartama, Mia Rosmiati

Food waste is a complex issue closely linked to sustainability. In Indonesia, with a population of over 200 millions, has more potential for food waste generation, particularly from non-household sectors such as food businesses and hotels. Recently, grassroots initiatives (GI), including food banks, have emerged to address this issue by redistributing surplus food to underprivileged families. However, research on the role of GI in reducing food waste remains limited, especially in Indonesia, where food banks began developing only in 2015. This study aims to explore how GI in Indonesia address the food waste problem, focusing specifically on surplus food redistribution practices by two food banks: Food Bank Bandung (FBB) and Garda Pangan. Using a qualitative approach, data were collected through semi-structured interviews with 17 stakeholders, participant observation, and document analysis. The findings highlight three key insights. First, surplus food redistribution is shaped by each food bank’s organizational orientation, which can evolve between social to environmental missions and from non-profit to social enterprise models. Second, food sources come from both distribution and consumption chains, and operations rely heavily on the type of food received, community support, and financial resources, with volunteers playing a crucial role. Third, food banks serve as key intermediaries that connect diverse stakeholders in reducing food waste while supporting vulnerable communities. This study contributes to the literature by positioning food banks as GI with the potential to influence food waste governance in a developing country context, offering insights for policy and practice in sustainable food systems.

食物浪费是一个与可持续性密切相关的复杂问题。在人口超过2亿的印度尼西亚,产生食物浪费的可能性更大,特别是来自食品企业和酒店等非家庭部门。最近,包括食品银行在内的基层倡议(GI)已经出现,通过将多余的食物重新分配给贫困家庭来解决这个问题。然而,关于GI在减少食物浪费方面的作用的研究仍然有限,特别是在印度尼西亚,那里的食物银行直到2015年才开始发展。本研究旨在探讨印度尼西亚的地理标志如何解决食物浪费问题,特别关注万隆食品银行(FBB)和Garda Pangan两家食品银行的剩余食物再分配做法。采用定性方法,通过与17个利益相关者的半结构化访谈、参与者观察和文献分析收集数据。研究结果强调了三个关键的见解。首先,剩余食物的再分配取决于每个食物银行的组织定位,它可以在社会使命到环境使命之间,从非营利模式到社会企业模式之间演变。第二,食物来源来自分销链和消费链,运作很大程度上依赖于收到的食物种类、社区支持和财政资源,志愿者发挥着至关重要的作用。第三,食物银行是连接不同利益相关者的关键中介,在减少食物浪费的同时支持弱势社区。本研究通过将食物银行定位为具有影响发展中国家食物浪费治理潜力的GI,为可持续粮食系统的政策和实践提供见解,从而为文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
A Bayesian insight into improving national food security 提高国家粮食安全的贝叶斯洞察
IF 6.2 1区 农林科学 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s12571-025-01566-0
Ujjwal KC, Lilly Lim-Camacho, Rachel Friedman, Steven Crimp

The disruptions in food systems caused by extreme events have repeatedly challenged food security at multiple levels. Recently, the COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the vulnerabilities of existing global food systems and has resulted in food stress for an additional 145 million people. This paper addresses the critical need for enacting and strengthening policies targeted at securing food systems to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) of Zero Hunger by 2030. We propose a novel systematic approach through the Bayesian network modeling framework to enhance national food security and build resilient food systems by effectively prioritizing areas where interventions are most critical and will have the greatest positive impact on investment. Our analysis utilizes annual data from the Global Food Security Index (GFSI) for Thailand from 2012 to 2020, which includes 59 indicators across four dimensions of food security. The GFSI data is sourced from international organizations including the FAO, WHO, World Bank, and others. Our results, supported by literature, showcase the Bayesian approach as an efficient and convenient decision-support tool that provides concrete and actionable recommendations for policymakers with clearly defined constraints and uncertainties. Further research could explore applying this approach to specific regional contexts, incorporating additional data sources to refine the prioritization of interventions.

极端事件造成的粮食系统中断在多个层面上不断挑战粮食安全。最近,2019冠状病毒病大流行加剧了现有全球粮食系统的脆弱性,并使另外1.45亿人面临粮食压力。本文论述了制定和加强旨在保障粮食系统安全的政策的迫切需要,以实现到2030年实现零饥饿的可持续发展目标。我们通过贝叶斯网络建模框架提出了一种新的系统方法,通过有效地优先考虑干预措施最关键并将对投资产生最大积极影响的领域,来增强国家粮食安全和建立有弹性的粮食系统。我们的分析使用了2012年至2020年泰国全球粮食安全指数(GFSI)的年度数据,其中包括粮食安全四个维度的59个指标。GFSI数据来源于国际组织,包括粮农组织、世界卫生组织、世界银行等。我们的研究结果得到了文献的支持,表明贝叶斯方法是一种高效、便捷的决策支持工具,可以为具有明确约束和不确定性的决策者提供具体、可操作的建议。进一步的研究可以探索将这种方法应用于具体的区域情况,纳入额外的数据来源,以完善干预措施的优先次序。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Food Security
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