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Scaling up private investment in low-carbon energy systems through regional cooperation: Effective trade policy measures 通过区域合作扩大对低碳能源系统的私人投资:有效的贸易政策措施
Pub Date : 2019-05-27 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.02.005
K. Kalirajan, H. Tran, Yichang Liu, V. Anbumozhi
How to ensure energy supply and reduce environment pollution have turned into governments’ top priorities and key factors to maintain sustainable development. In this context, two major trade and investment agreements that could lead to profound influence on low-carbon energy systems development around the Asia-Pacific region are the Regional comprehensive economic partnership (RCEP) consisted of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) plus Australia, China, India, Japan, New Zealand, and Republic of Korea and the Belt and road initiative (BRI) initiated by China. In order to have a smooth transition to low-carbon energy systems in Asia, besides RCEP and BRI it is imperative to boost private sector investment. Success of encouraging private sector investment depends on appropriate government policies towards promoting innovations and reducing financial risks to private investors. The research questions that are examined in this study are: What type of policy measures affects trade in low-carbon transition, particularly renewable energy (RE) transition? How can investment signals and incentives be reframed to scale up private finance in RE? The objective is to investigate and to provide several feasible trade policy and investment policy tools for both national and regional markets that governments could adopt to accelerate the speed of private financing of the low-carbon energy industry, particularly the RE industry.
如何确保能源供应和减少环境污染已成为各国政府维护可持续发展的首要任务和关键因素。在这种背景下,两项可能对亚太地区低碳能源系统发展产生深远影响的主要贸易和投资协议是由东南亚国家联盟(东盟)加上澳大利亚、中国、印度、日本、新西兰、,韩国和中国提出的“一带一路”倡议倡议。为了在亚洲顺利过渡到低碳能源体系,除了RCEP和“一带一路”倡议外,还必须促进私营部门投资。鼓励私营部门投资的成功取决于政府促进创新和降低私人投资者金融风险的适当政策。本研究考察的研究问题是:在低碳转型,特别是可再生能源转型中,什么类型的政策措施会影响贸易?如何重新定义投资信号和激励措施,以扩大可再生能源的私人融资?目标是调查并为国家和地区市场提供一些可行的贸易政策和投资政策工具,政府可以采用这些工具来加快低碳能源行业,特别是可再生能源行业的私人融资速度。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal analysis and multiple scenarios prediction of sustainable ecosystem in China based on ecological footprint method 基于生态足迹法的中国可持续生态系统时空分析与多场景预测
Pub Date : 2019-05-07 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.02.004
Chengzhong Chen, L. Xiang
Dynamic changes of sustainable ecosystem in China have been assessed with long-term series from 1949 to 2006, and the ecosystem sustainability of 30 provinces in 1986, 1996, 2002 and 2006 are analyzed with ecological footprint index (EFI) and ecological footprint efficiency (EFE). The two indices are proposed based on ecological footprint (EF) method. Then, the fluctuant cycles of per capita EF and bicapacity (BC) in China 1949-2006 are decomposed and extracted based on EMD method, and series nonlinear dynamic predictive models are presented with the cycles. Three Forecasting scenarios are analyzed based on their predictive models according to three EF scenarios presented in Living Planet Report 2006 published by WWF et al. (2006). Over last 57 years, China’s EFI has reduced sharply with fluctuation. The change of EFE is very slowly before 1980, subsequently, is sharply increased. There are 6, 5, 12, and 7 provinces which are running ecological surplus in 1986, 1996, 2002, and 2006, respectively. There are 14, 16, 11, and 16 provinces which EFI are smaller than -100% in 1986, 1996, 2002, and 2006, respectively. The provinces with the highest EFE are Shanghai, Beijing, and Tianjin, and the lowest are Xinjiang, Guizhou, Hainan, Ningxia, et al. in 1986, 1996, 2002, and 2006, respectively. The obvious undulation cycles of per capita EF in China are 4.8 years and 10.9 years, and the periods of per capita BC are 3.03 years, 8.35 years, 14.25 years, and 28.15 years. The business-as-usual scenario looks at the consequence that per capita ED would be 11.200hm2 and EFI would be -1307.19% in China in 2050. The slow-shift scenario shows per capita ED would be 0.728hm2 and EFI would be -84.96% in 2050. The rapid-reduce scenario shows per capita ED in China would be 0.498hm2 in 2050 and 0.261hm2 in 2100, respectively. EFI of rapid-reduce scenario would be -58.11% in 2050. China could denote sustainability at the global level if slow-shift scenario and rapid-reduce scenario are implemented.
利用生态足迹指数(EFI)和生态足迹效率(EFE)分析了1986年、1996年、2002年和2006年中国30个省区的生态系统可持续性。这两个指标是基于生态足迹(EF)方法提出的。在此基础上,利用EMD方法对1949-2006年中国人均生态承载力和人均生态承载力的波动周期进行分解和提取,并利用波动周期建立了一系列非线性动态预测模型。根据WWF等(2006)发表的《地球生命力报告2006》中提出的三种EF情景,基于各自的预测模型对三种预测情景进行了分析。57年来,中国的EFI随波动急剧下降。在1980年以前,EFE的变化非常缓慢,随后急剧增加。1986年、1996年、2002年和2006年分别有6个、5个、12个和7个省份出现生态盈余。1986年、1996年、2002年和2006年EFI小于-100%的省份分别有14个、16个、11个和16个。1986年、1996年、2002年和2006年,EFE最高的省份是上海、北京和天津,最低的省份是新疆、贵州、海南、宁夏等。中国人均EF的明显波动周期分别为4.8年和10.9年,人均BC的周期分别为3.03年、8.35年、14.25年和28.15年。在一切照旧的情况下,2050年中国的人均ED为11.200hm2, EFI为-1307.19%。缓慢转变情景显示,到2050年,人均ED为0.728hm2, EFI为-84.96%。在快速减少情景下,2050年中国人均温室气体排放量将分别为0.498hm2和0.261hm2。快速减排情景下,2050年EFI为-58.11%。如果实施缓慢转变情景和快速减少情景,中国可能在全球水平上具有可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Living systems allometric scaling laws 生命系统异速缩放定律
Pub Date : 2019-04-10 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.02.003
P. Bricage
The spatial and temporal structuring and functioning of living systems are associated with scaling independent qualitative characteristics (gauge invariance) and quantitative laws (power laws). This is allowed by the emergence of new blueprints through the systems merging into ‘Associations for the Reciprocal and Mutual Sharing of Advantages and Dis-Advantages’ (ARMSADA). The local actors become more and more mutually integrated into their new global Whole. Then they are more and more independent from their previous local situations of emergence. Reversely (systemic constructal law), the global Whole is more and more integrating local parceners. The relationship between actors within a living system was described using allometric laws, e.g. the metabolic rate of a lot of species was supposed to be proportional to its mass according to a 3/4 exponent power-law (Kleiber’s law). But, according to the gauge invariance paradigm, an other explanation of the invariant scaling of living systems is proposed with a 2/3 power-law. Whatever its level of organization, a living system, ‘system of systems’ emerging by embedments and juxtapositions of previous ones, effectively functions in 4 dimensions (VA: the Adult system Volume, and tg: the time of generation, the duration that is necessary to acquire the capacity of reproduction). Looking at the gauge invariance paradigm as a ‘factual’ system, from the quantum of Planck to the Universe as a Whole, a meta-analysis of a database of the systems internal (endophysiotope) and external (ecoexotope) interactions can allow to quantify 45×18 allometric relationships. This allows to evidence a ‘grammar’: 1. Invariant independent processes (power-laws with exponent € = 0); 2. Simultaneous limiting interactions regulation processes (€ = +1); 3:F eedback (€ = -1); 4. Competition between actors (€ = 1/2); 5. Optimal exchanges flow (€ = 2/3) processes. Brownian motion is the basic fundamental process that governs all functions. From the Monera to the ecosystem levels the increasing of regulation processes allows more and more autonomy of the endophysiotope from the ecoexotope dependence. From the point of view of matter and energy flows, living systems optimize the input and output exchanges at their interface. The greater diversity of regulation processes occurs for the endophysiotope throughput flows. Whatever the organization level, living systems optimize their survival by adjusting ‘the capacity to be hosted’ of their endophysiotope (HOSTED) to the changes of ‘the hosting capacity’ of their ecoexotope (HOSTING).
生命系统的时空结构和功能与尺度无关的定性特征(规范不变性)和定量规律(幂律)有关。这是因为通过合并为“互惠互利共享优势和劣势协会”(ARMSADA)的系统出现了新的蓝图。地方行动者越来越多地相互融入他们新的全球整体。然后,他们越来越独立于之前出现的当地情况。与之相反(系统结构定律),全球整体越来越多地整合了局部参与者。生命系统中行动者之间的关系是使用异速律描述的,例如,根据3/4指数幂律(克莱伯定律),许多物种的代谢率应该与其质量成比例。但是,根据规范不变性范式,用2/3幂律提出了对生命系统不变标度的另一种解释。无论其组织水平如何,一个活的系统,通过嵌入和并置以前的系统而出现的“系统中的系统”,在4个维度上有效地发挥作用(VA:成人系统体积,tg:产生的时间,获得繁殖能力所需的持续时间)。将规范不变性范式视为一个“事实”系统,从普朗克的量子到整个宇宙,对系统内部(内表观)和外部(生态表观)相互作用数据库的荟萃分析可以量化45×18的异速关系。这允许证明一个“语法”:1。不变独立过程(指数为€=0的幂律);2.同时限制相互作用调节过程(€=+1);3:F反馈(€=-1);4.行动者之间的竞争(欧元=1/2);5.最佳交换流程(€=2/3)。布朗运动是支配所有函数的基本过程。从Monera到生态系统水平,调节过程的增加使内表位从生态表位依赖中获得了越来越多的自主权。从物质和能量流动的角度来看,生命系统优化了其界面上的输入和输出交换。调节过程的多样性更大,发生在内生理表流量。无论组织级别如何,生活系统都会通过调整其内表位(宿主)的“被宿主能力”来优化其生存,以适应其生态表位(寄主)的“宿主能力”的变化。
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引用次数: 0
The association between urban pollutants and preterm birth occurrences: a case study of Mashhad-Iran 城市污染物与早产发生之间的关系:以伊朗马什哈德为例
Pub Date : 2019-04-04 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.02.002
Marziye Norooziyan, F. Karami, Marzieh Shahdadnejad, M. Nikbakht, Mohsen Abbasnia
Preterm birth and associated conditions are one of the biggest killers of children in the worldwide. In this regards, current study aimed at investigation of the relationship between air pollutants of Pm10, CO, O3, and SO2 and preterm birth occurrences recorded in Imam Reza (PUH) Hospital of Mashhad for a five-year period from 2007 to 2011. The results of quantile regression showed that the amount of atmospheric pollutants have an important role in rising preterm births. In this way, the pollutants of Pm10 and CO have revealed the strongest effect on preterm birth occurrences especially for the last three months of pregnancy. Moreover, preterm births mostly have occurred in warm seasons of spring and summer, while the seasonal average of pollutants concentration, excepting O3 pollutant, has shown rising in cold seasons of autumn and winter. However, reducing air pollution could also be effective in reducing preterm births across the world.
早产和相关疾病是全球儿童的最大杀手之一。在这方面,目前的研究旨在调查2007年至2011年马什哈德伊玛目礼萨(PUH)医院记录的五年内Pm10、CO、O3和SO2的空气污染物与早产发生之间的关系。分位数回归结果表明,大气污染物的数量在早产率上升中起着重要作用。通过这种方式,Pm10和CO的污染物对早产的影响最大,尤其是在怀孕的最后三个月。此外,早产多发生在温暖的春夏季节,而除O3污染物外,污染物浓度的季节平均值在寒冷的秋冬季节呈上升趋势。然而,减少空气污染也可以有效地减少世界各地的早产。
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引用次数: 0
Towards sustainable, secure and safe energy: A future for thorium power 走向可持续、安全和安全的能源:钍能的未来
Pub Date : 2019-03-21 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.02.001
Muammer Kaya
Thorium (Th) is three to four times more abundant than Uranium (U) in nature and distributed evenly in most developing countries in the World. Th can be mined with relatively cheap and environment friendly mining methods from high grade alluvial deposits. Th extraction is relatively straightforward and inexpensive.  Th has better radiation stability and longer fuel cycle. Th has a higher energy density and fuel economy in the reactors. One ton of mined Th produces as much energy as 200 tons of mined U, or 3.5 million tons of coal. World’s global energy needs for one year can be supplied by approximately burning 6000 tons of Th. Since Th is an abundant and sustainable source of energy for the future, developing countries cannot afford to ignore. Molten salt and accelerator driven reactors have been developed for Th-fuel. Turkey has the sixth biggest Th resources in the world and must declare Th as part of countries national power policy like China and India.
钍(Th)在自然界中的含量是铀(U)的三到四倍,在世界上大多数发展中国家分布均匀。Th可以用相对便宜和环境友好的采矿方法从高品位冲积矿床中开采。Th提取相对简单且价格低廉。Th具有更好的辐射稳定性和更长的燃料循环。Th在反应堆中具有更高的能量密度和燃料经济性。一吨开采的Th产生的能量相当于200吨开采的U,即350万吨煤炭。世界一年的全球能源需求可以通过燃烧大约6000吨Th来提供。由于Th是未来丰富和可持续的能源,发展中国家不能忽视。熔盐和加速器驱动的反应堆已经被开发用于Th燃料。土耳其拥有世界第六大Th资源,必须像中国和印度一样宣布Th为国家权力政策的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Ecologic and economic estimation of land productivity spatial heterogeneity in forest-steppe zone 森林草原带土地生产力空间异质性的生态经济评价
Pub Date : 2019-02-22 DOI: 10.25082/10.25082/REE.2019.01.005
V. Starodubtsev, R. Basarab
The perspectives of the Sentinel-2 satellite imagery use for the ecological and economic assessment of land productivity spatial heterogeneity in territories with microrelief are analyzed. The duration of microdepressions (“potholes”) flooding with melting waters on the winter wheat fields and the resulting decrease in yield have been established. A quantitative determination of the index of heterogeneity of land productivity and its application for the adjustment of the value of agricultural land in the sale and purchase transactions are proposed.
分析了Sentinel-2卫星图像在微地形地区土地生产力空间异质性生态和经济评价中的应用前景。已经确定了冬小麦地里融化的水所造成的微型洼地(“坑洼”)的持续时间以及由此造成的产量下降。提出了土地生产力异质性指数的定量确定及其在农地买卖交易中价值调整中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Barriers related to the deployment of renewable energies in Cameroon and ways to strengthen policies 喀麦隆部署可再生能源的障碍和加强政策的途径
Pub Date : 2019-02-15 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.01.004
Jean Engo
Cameroon's current vision is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 32% by 2035. To this end, there is no doubt that renewable energies should play the leading role in achieving this goal. This paper applied the fishbone diagram as part of strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats analysis related to the deployment of renewable energies in Cameroon. The results showed that the share of renewable energy in the country's energy mix decreased from 98.9 to 76.11% in 2000 and 2015, respectively. This is due to the decline in hydroelectric generation, which has been caused by the growing share of fossil fuels, with solar, wind and biomass remaining underutilized. Meanwhile, the under-exploitation of Cameroon’s energy potential is mainly due to technological, financial, management, and the lack of skills barriers. However, the current rapid development of renewable energy technologies and financial support provided by the International Community under the Paris Agreement are opportunities that Cameroon can seize to engage significantly in R&DV, to promote its energy potential and reduce its dependence on foreign technologies. In this regard, this paper provided some pathways through which policymakers should pay more attention.
喀麦隆目前的愿景是到2035年将温室气体排放量减少32%。为此,毫无疑问,可再生能源应该在实现这一目标方面发挥主导作用。本文将鱼骨图作为喀麦隆可再生能源部署的优势、劣势、机遇和威胁分析的一部分。结果显示,2000年和2015年,可再生能源在该国能源结构中的份额分别从98.9%降至76.11%。这是由于化石燃料的份额不断增加导致水力发电量下降,而太阳能、风能和生物质的利用率仍然不足。与此同时,喀麦隆能源潜力的开发不足主要是由于技术、财务、管理和缺乏技能障碍。然而,目前可再生能源技术的快速发展和国际社会根据《巴黎协定》提供的财政支持是喀麦隆可以抓住的机会,大力参与研发,提高其能源潜力,减少对外国技术的依赖。在这方面,本文提供了一些决策者应该更多关注的途径。
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引用次数: 8
Decoupling greenhouse gas emissions from economic growth in cameroon 将温室气体排放与喀麦隆经济增长脱钩
Pub Date : 2019-02-10 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.01.003
Jean Engo
Knowledge of decoupling indicators and its determinants is useful for formulating targeted policy recommendations. To this end, the Log-Mean Divisia Index and Tapio models were applied in this paper to study the decoupling relationship among economic growth and GHG emissions in Cameroon over the period 1971-2014. The analyzes were conducted according to the three major periods that marked Cameroon after independence and the decoupling indicators were broken down into seven factors while considering the three main GHGs emitted in this country (i.e. CO2, CH4, and N2O). The results showed that weak decoupling, strong decoupling, and strong negative decoupling occurred in Cameroon during the periods 1971-1984 and 1994-2014 which represent the periods before and after the economic crisis, respectively. In addition to these three decoupling statuses, recessive decoupling only appeared during the economic crisis period (1984-1994). From 1971 to 1984 and between 1994 and 2014, carbon intensity, economic activity, population, and emission factor not only contributed to the increase of Cameroon’s GHG (particularly CO2) emissions but also prevented decoupling. Unlike the period 1984-1994, energy intensity contributed to reducing environmental pollution while promoting decoupling during the periods 1971-1984 and 1994-2014. Although all played an important role in decoupling, we found that after the introduction of natural gas into the country’s energy mix from 2007, the effect of renewable energies on the mitigation of Cameroon’s CO2 emissions remained higher than the substitution of fossil fuels. However, to develop a cleaner economy, Cameroon should maintain modest economic growth and continuously transform economic development pathways, while encouraging the use of renewable energy to further reduce energy intensity per unit of GDP per capita.
了解脱钩指标及其决定因素有助于制定有针对性的政策建议。为此,本文应用Log-Mean Divisia指数和Tapio模型研究了1971-2014年喀麦隆经济增长与温室气体排放之间的脱钩关系。分析是根据喀麦隆独立后的三个主要时期进行的,脱钩指标被分解为七个因素,同时考虑到该国排放的三种主要温室气体(即CO2、CH4和N2O)。结果表明,喀麦隆在1971-1984年和1994-2014年期间分别出现了弱脱钩、强脱钩和强负脱钩,这三个时期分别代表了经济危机前后的时期。除了这三种脱钩状态外,隐性脱钩只出现在经济危机时期(1984-1994)。从1971年到1984年以及从1994年到2014年,碳强度、经济活动、人口和排放因素不仅导致喀麦隆温室气体(特别是二氧化碳)排放量的增加,而且阻止了脱钩。与1984-1994年不同,1971-1984年和1994-2014年期间,能源强度有助于减少环境污染,同时促进脱钩。尽管所有这些都在脱钩中发挥了重要作用,但我们发现,自2007年将天然气引入该国能源结构后,可再生能源对缓解喀麦隆二氧化碳排放的影响仍然高于化石燃料的替代。然而,为了发展清洁经济,喀麦隆应保持适度的经济增长,不断转变经济发展道路,同时鼓励使用可再生能源,进一步降低人均单位国内生产总值的能源强度。
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引用次数: 6
Responsibility for Eco-systems and problems of social traps and dilemmas 生态系统责任与社会陷阱困境问题
Pub Date : 2019-02-06 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.01.002
H. Lenk
Responsibility is a function of power, impact and knowledge. The more strategically central one's position is in terms of power, influence and knowledge, the higher his or her responsibility would be. This is an idea which can be worked out in more detail by using distributive models of graph theory and pre-distribution assignments of rights and duties according to different levels.
责任是权力、影响力和知识的作用。在权力、影响力和知识方面,一个人的战略地位越重要,他的责任就越高。这是一个可以通过使用图论的分配模型和根据不同级别预先分配的权利和义务来更详细地制定的想法。
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引用次数: 1
Interdisciplinarity and Responsibility for Land Use, GIS and Eco-systems: Some problems of social traps 土地利用、地理信息系统和生态系统的跨学科性和责任:社会陷阱的一些问题
Pub Date : 2019-02-03 DOI: 10.25082/REE.2019.01.001
H. Lenk
Interdisciplinary studies and cooperations are necessary for practical work as well as studies in geodesy. Responsibility is a function of power, impact and knowledge. The more strategically central one’s position is in terms of power, influence and knowledge, the higher one’s responsibility is. This is an idea which can be worked out in more detail by using interdisciplinary approaches and distributive models on different levels. Social traps, Prisoners’ Dilemma situations etc. as pertaining to land, soil, and environment as well as some examples from geodesics and the study of the usage of nature systems like lakes and flood plain areas are discussed regarding responsibility and distribution problems. “Naturalists’ Dilemmas” (or “Enjoyers’ Dilemmas”) are sketched and potentially solved by proposing a viable distribution strategy.
跨学科的研究和合作对于大地测量学的实际工作和研究是必要的。责任是权力、影响力和知识的作用。在权力、影响力和知识方面,一个人的战略地位越重要,他的责任就越高。这是一个可以通过使用跨学科方法和不同层面的分配模式来更详细地制定的想法。关于责任和分配问题,讨论了与土地、土壤和环境有关的社会陷阱、囚犯困境等,以及测地线和湖泊和洪泛平原等自然系统使用研究的一些例子。“博物学家的困境”(或“享受者的困境”)被勾勒出来,并可能通过提出可行的分配策略来解决。
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引用次数: 0
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