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Seismic risk assessment and damage analysis: Emerging trends and new developments 地震风险评估和损害分析:新趋势和新发展
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.04.005
Yi Liu , Yin Gu , Hui Zhang

Earthquakes are major catastrophes that cause great life and economic losses to human society and environment. This paper reviews and synthesizes relevant studies, drawing from a systematic examination of 4229 articles from the Web of Science core collection (1982–2023). Employing the CiteSpace visualization and analysis tool, current research and emerging trends in seismic risk assessment are discussed and analyzed. This paper provides a holistic overview of principal contributions, knowledge sources, interdisciplinary characteristics, and principal research topics in this field. Additionally, we propose key technologies that are in urgent need of enhancement, including data availability, quantity and quality of data, interpretability of machine learning models, performance improvement of machine learning methods and application of foundation models, as well as real-time risk assessment techniques. These insights support both theoretical understanding and practical applications of seismic risk assessment and damage analysis.

地震是给人类社会和环境造成巨大生命和经济损失的重大灾难。本文通过对 Web of Science 核心数据库(1982-2023 年)中 4229 篇文章的系统研究,对相关研究进行了回顾和总结。利用 CiteSpace 可视化和分析工具,对地震风险评估的当前研究和新趋势进行了讨论和分析。本文全面概述了该领域的主要贡献、知识来源、跨学科特点和主要研究课题。此外,我们还提出了亟需改进的关键技术,包括数据可用性、数据数量和质量、机器学习模型的可解释性、机器学习方法的性能改进和基础模型的应用,以及实时风险评估技术。这些见解为地震风险评估和破坏分析的理论理解和实际应用提供了支持。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating flood and earthquake resilience: a framework for assessing urban community resilience against multiple hazards 综合抗洪和抗震能力:评估城市社区抵御多种灾害能力的框架
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.002
Zahra Ahmadi , Mahdi Ghasemi , Amir Reza KHAVARIAN-GARMSIR , Mohammad Ahmadi

Floods and earthquakes are the most common natural disasters, causing significant damage and casualties in urban communities. Although academic research has focused on assessing cities' ability to withstand these natural disasters, there is a lack of established frameworks for evaluating resilience against multiple hazards. This research integrates the earthquake and flood resilience indicators to create a comprehensive resilience assessment framework. This study integrated seismic and flood resilience indicators and categorized them into 27 clusters. It also used the DEMATEL (Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) method to determine the significance of clusters and prioritize them. This research identified 13 cause clusters and 14 effect clusters of indicators for seismic and flood resilience. The ‘response capacity’ cluster has the most impact on seismic and flood resilience, while the ‘transportation and accessibility’ cluster is the most affected cluster. This article presents a framework for evaluating flood and seismic resilience and makes suggestions for future research.

洪水和地震是最常见的自然灾害,对城市社区造成了重大破坏和人员伤亡。尽管学术研究主要集中在评估城市抵御这些自然灾害的能力上,但目前还缺乏评估城市抵御多种灾害能力的既定框架。本研究整合了地震和洪水抗灾能力指标,创建了一个全面的抗灾能力评估框架。本研究整合了地震和洪水抗灾能力指标,并将其分为 27 个群组。研究还使用了 DEMATEL(决策试验与评估实验室)方法来确定各组群的重要性和优先顺序。这项研究确定了抗震和抗洪指标的 13 个原因群组和 14 个影响群组。其中,"响应能力 "指标群对抗震和抗洪能力的影响最大,而 "交通和可达性 "指标群则是受影响最大的指标群。本文提出了评估抗洪和抗震能力的框架,并为今后的研究提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the impact of safety pictogram training on comprehension scores and knowledge retention among engineering students 评估安全象形图培训对工科学生理解力得分和知识保留的影响
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.003
Celal Gungor

Safety pictograms are essential tools for identifying workplace hazards by providing critical information about health hazard risks, fire safety, emergency evacuation, and accident prevention. Effective safety pictogram training programs are necessary to enhance workers' knowledge of these pictograms. This study evaluates the effectiveness of a safety pictogram training program on the comprehension and retention of knowledge among engineering students. A total of 262 participants were asked to predict the meaning of 22 safety pictograms regulated by International Organization for Standardization (ISO) 7010 before and after a one-hour online training session. A follow-up test was administered six months later to assess long-term knowledge retention. Results showed that the average comprehension rate increased from 60.1 % before training to 68.3 % after training, with a retention rate of 66.0 % six months after training. The study found that training positively affected comprehension of emergency and mandatory action pictograms, while lower scores were observed for warning pictograms. Statistical tests revealed a significant effect of training on comprehension levels 16 out of 22 pictograms, with an average increase in comprehension of 11.2 %. Of these 16 pictograms, the comprehension level of 10 pictograms increased after training and remained at the same level six months later. However, the scores decreased slightly six months after the intervention, indicating the need for continued reinforcement or retraining. These findings have important implications for safety education and training programs, particularly in industries where safety hazards are widespread. The positive impact of training on comprehension scores highlights the ongoing need to improve safety pictogram comprehension to consistently meet standard acceptance criteria. Future training programs may need to focus on categories such as warning pictograms and fire equipment and fire action pictograms, which exhibited lower comprehension scores, to ensure better employee understanding.

安全象形图是识别工作场所危险的重要工具,它提供了有关健康危害风险、消防安全、紧急疏散和事故预防的重要信息。有效的安全象形图培训计划对于增强工人对这些象形图的了解十分必要。本研究评估了安全象形图培训计划对工程专业学生理解和保留知识的效果。在一个小时的在线培训课程前后,共有 262 名参与者被要求预测国际标准化组织 (ISO) 7010 规定的 22 个安全象形图的含义。6 个月后进行了一次跟踪测试,以评估知识的长期保留情况。结果显示,平均理解率从培训前的 60.1% 提高到培训后的 68.3%,培训六个月后的保留率为 66.0%。研究发现,培训对紧急和强制行动象形图的理解有积极影响,而对警告象形图的理解得分较低。统计测试表明,培训对 22 幅象形图中 16 幅的理解水平有明显影响,平均提高了 11.2%。在这 16 幅图画中,有 10 幅图画的理解水平在培训后有所提高,并在 6 个月后保持在同一水平。不过,在干预六个月后,分数略有下降,这表明需要继续加强或再培训。这些发现对安全教育和培训计划具有重要意义,尤其是在安全隐患普遍存在的行业。培训对理解力得分的积极影响突出表明,需要不断提高安全象形图的理解力,使其始终符合标准验收标准。未来的培训计划可能需要把重点放在警告象形图、消防设备和消防行动象形图等理解分数较低的类别上,以确保员工更好地理解。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of urban terrorism literature: Root causes, thematic trends, and future directions 对城市恐怖主义文献的系统回顾:根源、主题趋势和未来方向
Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.03.006
Muhammad Noor E Elahi Mirza , Irfan Ahmad Rana

Urban terrorism is a significant global concern, prompting extensive scholarly inquiry into its underlying causes and effects. However, a comprehensive literature review summarizing this body of knowledge is notably absent. Thus, this study seeks to address this gap by conducting a thorough examination of existing literature on terrorism, particularly focusing on urban contexts, to identify key patterns and recurring themes. The study identified 515 research articles using the keywords "urban" and "terrorism" through the Web of Science and Scopus databases. A bibliometric review was conducted, which included a historical background, author keywords, country and institution, citation, and co-citation analyses. The findings revealed an increase in the number of studies on urban terrorism following the 9/11 attacks in the United States, which accounted for the highest number of publications in the country. Most studies were conducted in government law, international relations, and urban studies. Keyword analysis revealed that counterterrorism, security, and disasters were more closely linked to terrorism. Thematic analysis identified six main themes related to urban spaces and terrorism: tourism, governance, resilience, public health, economy, security, and counterterrorism. This study emphasizes the importance of involving the public in counterterrorism efforts in addition to traditional approaches to addressing urban terrorism.

城市恐怖主义是全球关注的一个重大问题,促使学者们对其根本原因和影响进行了广泛的研究。然而,总结这方面知识的全面文献综述却明显缺乏。因此,本研究试图通过对有关恐怖主义的现有文献进行彻底审查,特别是侧重于城市背景的文献,以确定关键模式和重复出现的主题,从而弥补这一空白。本研究通过 Web of Science 和 Scopus 数据库,使用关键词 "城市 "和 "恐怖主义 "确定了 515 篇研究文章。进行了文献计量学审查,包括历史背景、作者关键词、国家和机构、引文和共同引文分析。研究结果表明,在美国发生 9/11 袭击事件后,有关城市恐怖主义的研究数量有所增加,其中美国的出版物数量最多。大多数研究是在政府法律、国际关系和城市研究领域进行的。关键词分析表明,反恐、安全和灾害与恐怖主义的关系更为密切。专题分析确定了与城市空间和恐怖主义相关的六大主题:旅游、治理、复原力、公共卫生、经济、安全和反恐。这项研究强调,除了传统的应对城市恐怖主义的方法外,让公众参与反恐工作也非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) as a fuel and the associated risks: A quantitative analysis in the scenario of a developing country 压缩天然气 (CNG) 作为燃料及其相关风险:发展中国家的定量分析
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.05.001
Yousaf Ali , Ahsan Younus , Amin Ullah Khan , Ahmed H. Alrefai

Excessive dependence on fossil fuels has precipitated various challenges, including Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions, health hazards, and the depletion of natural resources. Such perils underscore the importance of conducting requisite risk assessments for alternative fuel sources like Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) to ensure their safe utilization. This study undertakes a quantitative risk assessment encompassing diverse facets of the CNG sector holistically, aiming to pinpoint, analyze, and appraise risks, thus empowering policymakers to devise targeted mitigation strategies. To achieve this goal, the collected data undergoes analysis via an integrated approach combining the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (F-AHP) and Fuzzy Technique of Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (F-TOPSIS). The study's findings reveal a heightened risk of explosion within the CNG sector owing to its highly combustible nature. Additionally, it computes an overall risk index of 0.266 for the CNG sector in a developing nation like Pakistan, indicating a relatively lower risk level compared to other fuel sources. Policymakers are thus advised to undertake requisite measures concerning infrastructure, customer safety, and environmental and economic stability to accrue both immediate and long-term benefits. The application of hybrid techniques for the risk assessment of the CNG sector in the case of a developing country marks the novelty of this study and a study of the first of its kind.

对化石燃料的过度依赖引发了各种挑战,包括温室气体(GHG)排放、健康危害和自然资源枯竭。这些危险凸显了对压缩天然气 (CNG) 等替代燃料进行必要风险评估以确保其安全使用的重要性。本研究从整体上对压缩天然气行业的不同方面进行了定量风险评估,旨在确定、分析和评估风险,从而帮助决策者制定有针对性的缓解战略。为实现这一目标,收集到的数据将通过模糊层次分析法(F-AHP)和理想解相似度排序偏好模糊技术(F-TOPSIS)相结合的综合方法进行分析。研究结果表明,由于压缩天然气具有高度可燃性,其爆炸风险非常高。此外,研究还计算出,在巴基斯坦这样的发展中国家,压缩天然气行业的总体风险指数为 0.266,表明与其他燃料来源相比,其风险水平相对较低。因此,建议政策制定者在基础设施、客户安全、环境和经济稳定性方面采取必要措施,以获得近期和长期利益。在发展中国家应用混合技术对压缩天然气行业进行风险评估是本研究的新颖之处,也是同类研究中的首例。
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引用次数: 0
COVID-19 and regional resilience: Trends, priorities, and the geography of research COVID-19 和地区复原力:趋势、优先事项和研究的地域性
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.04.004
Irina D. Turgel , Olga A. Chernova

The global economic crisis of 2008–2013 led to the emergence of the concept of resilience, which focuses on the ability of socio-economic system store cover socially, economically, and environmentally after external impacts. The COVID-19 pandemic spurred scholarly interest in regional resilience as a new conceptual framework for the sustainability theory. This paper aims to examine the influence of the pandemic on the trends and geography of regional resilience studies. We analyzed data derived from Science Direct and used VOSviewer to perform clustering and bibliometric network analysis. The countries that suffered the most from the pandemic and showed the largest regional socioeconomic disparities have become new centers of knowledge on regional resilience. Moreover, the pandemic has led to a visible shift in the research focus. Thus, after 2020, more attention has been paid to the structural and topological characteristics of regions that enable them to reorganize their resources more effectively in times of crisis. This study investigates the potential of the resilient development concept as a framework for gaining insights into the factors supporting regional adaptability.

2008-2013 年的全球经济危机导致了 "复原力 "概念的出现,其重点是社会经济系统在受到外部影响后在社会、经济和环境方面的恢复能力。COVID-19 大流行激发了学者们对地区恢复力作为可持续发展理论的新概念框架的兴趣。本文旨在研究大流行病对地区复原力研究的趋势和地理学的影响。我们分析了来自 Science Direct 的数据,并使用 VOSviewer 进行了聚类和文献计量网络分析。受大流行病影响最严重、地区社会经济差距最大的国家已成为地区复原力知识的新中心。此外,大流行病导致了研究重点的明显转移。因此,2020 年之后,人们更加关注地区的结构和拓扑特征,这些特征使地区能够在危机时期更有效地重组资源。本研究探讨了弹性发展概念作为一个框架的潜力,以深入了解支持地区适应性的因素。
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引用次数: 0
An integrative risk assessment approach to enhancing patient safety in Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy (CRRT) 加强持续性肾脏替代疗法 (CRRT) 患者安全的综合风险评估方法
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.04.003

Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy (CRRT) serves as an intervention strategy for the management of acute kidney injury (AKI) in critically ill patients. However, owing to its complex nature and the potential for complications, the implementation of CRRT demands continuous monitoring to prevent patient safety risks. This study aims to identify and validate prevalent risks linked to CRRT within a real-world clinical setting, intending to propose preventive measures grounded in expert insights. To systematically categorize and visually depict the risks, their consequences, preventive measures, and recovery controls, our study employed the Bowtie method in conjunction with the Systems Engineering Initiative for Patient Safety (SEIPS) model. In addition to considering patient-related factors that exhibit variability among critically ill individuals, our key findings showed that the most influential risks impacting the effective delivery of CRRT are incidents of clotted filters, bleeding risks arising from the necessity of anticoagulation for filter efficacy, vascular catheter-related bloodstream infections, variations in proficiency levels among healthcare professionals regarding CRRT modalities, especially in operating the CRRT machines, high nursing workload, frequent nursing turnover, occurrences of hypophosphatemia, variability in CRRT prescribing patterns, and issues related to communication among stakeholders. This research sheds light on the primary risks associated with CRRT and provides practical and viable strategies for effective management. Furthermore, the Bowtie diagram developed as part of this study serves as a valuable tool for visually representing the healthcare system and facilitating the identification of system-related risks within healthcare settings.

连续性肾脏替代疗法(CRRT)是治疗重症患者急性肾损伤(AKI)的一种干预策略。然而,由于其复杂性和潜在的并发症,CRRT 的实施需要持续监测,以预防患者安全风险。本研究旨在识别和验证真实临床环境中与 CRRT 相关的普遍风险,并根据专家的见解提出预防措施。为了对风险、其后果、预防措施和恢复控制进行系统分类和直观描述,我们的研究采用了 Bowtie 方法和患者安全系统工程倡议(SEIPS)模型。除了考虑危重病人之间存在差异的患者相关因素外,我们的主要研究结果表明,影响 CRRT 有效实施的最大风险是滤器凝血事件、为保证滤器疗效而必须进行抗凝治疗所导致的出血风险、血管导管相关血流感染、医护人员对 CRRT 模式的熟练程度存在差异(尤其是在操作 CRRT 机器方面)、护理工作量大、护理人员流动频繁、低磷血症的发生、CRRT 处方模式的变化以及利益相关者之间的沟通问题。这项研究揭示了与 CRRT 相关的主要风险,并为有效管理提供了切实可行的策略。此外,作为本研究一部分而开发的鲍特图(Bowtie diagram)是一种宝贵的工具,可直观地表示医疗保健系统,并有助于识别医疗保健环境中与系统相关的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Human behaviour detection dataset (HBDset) using computer vision for evacuation safety and emergency management 使用计算机视觉的人类行为检测数据集(HBDset),用于疏散安全和应急管理
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-06-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.04.002

During emergency evacuation, it is crucial to accurately detect and classify different groups of evacuees based on their behaviours using computer vision. Traditional object detection models trained on standard image databases often fail to recognise individuals in specific groups such as the elderly, disabled individuals and pregnant women, who require additional assistance during emergencies. To address this limitation, this study proposes a novel image dataset called the Human Behaviour Detection Dataset (HBDset), specifically collected and annotated for public safety and emergency response purposes. This dataset contains eight types of human behaviour categories, i.e. the normal adult, child, holding a crutch, holding a baby, using a wheelchair, pregnant woman, lugging luggage and using a mobile phone. The dataset comprises more than 1,500 images collected from various public scenarios, with more than 2,900 bounding box annotations. The images were carefully selected, cleaned and subsequently manually annotated using the LabelImg tool. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the dataset, classical object detection algorithms were trained and tested based on the HBDset, and the average detection accuracy exceeds 90 %, highlighting the robustness and universality of the dataset. The developed open HBDset has the potential to enhance public safety, provide early disaster warnings and prioritise the needs of vulnerable individuals during emergency evacuation.

在紧急疏散过程中,利用计算机视觉对不同疏散群体的行为进行准确检测和分类至关重要。在标准图像数据库上训练的传统物体检测模型往往无法识别特定群体中的个人,如老年人、残疾人和孕妇,他们在紧急情况下需要额外的帮助。为解决这一局限性,本研究提出了一个名为 "人类行为检测数据集"(HBDset)的新型图像数据集,该数据集专门为公共安全和应急响应目的而收集和注释。该数据集包含八类人类行为,即正常成人、儿童、手持拐杖、抱着婴儿、使用轮椅、孕妇、拖着行李和使用手机。该数据集包括从各种公共场景中收集的 1,500 多张图片,以及 2,900 多个边界框注释。这些图像经过精心挑选、清洗,随后使用 LabelImg 工具进行了人工标注。为了证明该数据集的有效性,基于 HBDset 对经典的物体检测算法进行了训练和测试,平均检测准确率超过 90%,突出了该数据集的鲁棒性和通用性。所开发的开放式 HBD 数据集具有加强公共安全、提供早期灾难预警以及在紧急疏散过程中优先考虑弱势群体需求的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Cascade failure modeling and resilience analysis of mine cyber physical systems under deliberate attacks 矿山网络物理系统在蓄意攻击下的级联故障建模和复原力分析
Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.03.007
Xinping Wang , Jialin Zhu , Chang Su , Xinyue Zhen

Guided by the intelligent construction of coal mines and integrating the concept of the Cyber-Physical System (CPS), a novel approach to a coal mine information-physical fusion system is proposed. This concept emerges from the advancement of intelligent mines and the growing need for enhanced safety in coal mine operations. From a system safety perspective, this approach aims to effectively evaluate security issues by better integrating the informational and physical layers of intelligent mines. Currently, research in areas such as power grids and water networks has widely adopted concepts of cascade failures and robustness. It is suggested that the CPS framework be adapted to the mining sector. Considering the critical role of coal mines in China's energy security and their vulnerability to cyber attacks, a mine-specific CPS system is designed. This system incorporates a model of mine information-physical fusion, including networks for mine operations, management, and control, tailored to the unique conditions of mine shafts and underground settings. Utilizing Markov process theory, the paper delves into the theoretical study of the cascade failure process under deliberate attack strategies. This analysis is essential to effectively assess the safety issues within the information-physical system, providing vital support for fault prediction and safety analysis. The model of cascading failures in the mine information-physical system is developed, and based on an analysis of resilience and robustness, the study identifies key factors influencing the security of mine information-physical systems. Critical factors affecting the reliability of these systems include the number of system nodes, node coupling, edge count, and the interconnection methods of the dual-layer dependency network. The paper concludes by discussing the challenges in analyzing the security of information-physical systems and suggesting directions for future research.

在煤矿智能化建设的指导下,结合网络物理系统(CPS)的概念,提出了一种煤矿信息物理融合系统的新方法。这一概念源于智能矿井的发展和对加强煤矿运营安全日益增长的需求。从系统安全的角度来看,这种方法旨在通过更好地整合智能矿井的信息层和物理层,有效评估安全问题。目前,电网和水网等领域的研究已广泛采用级联故障和鲁棒性概念。建议将 CPS 框架应用于采矿领域。考虑到煤矿在中国能源安全中的关键作用及其易受网络攻击的脆弱性,本文设计了煤矿专用的 CPS 系统。该系统结合了矿井信息物理融合模型,包括矿井运营、管理和控制网络,适合矿井和地下环境的独特条件。本文利用马尔可夫过程理论,对蓄意攻击策略下的级联失效过程进行了深入的理论研究。这种分析对于有效评估信息物理系统内的安全问题至关重要,可为故障预测和安全分析提供重要支持。本研究建立了矿山信息物理系统级联故障模型,并在分析复原力和稳健性的基础上,确定了影响矿山信息物理系统安全的关键因素。影响这些系统可靠性的关键因素包括系统节点数量、节点耦合、边缘数量以及双层依赖网络的互连方法。论文最后讨论了分析信息物理系统安全所面临的挑战,并提出了未来的研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Shortest or locally quickest? A prediction-based approach for evacuation choice simulation between multiple staircases 最短还是局部最快?基于预测的多楼梯疏散选择模拟方法
IF 3.7 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2024.04.001
Ying Hua , Jincheng Zhao , Hai-Ting Li , Liping Duan

Staircase choice is one of the most critical factors leading to the difference in pedestrian flow and evacuation routes in buildings with multiple staircases. Neither the shortest path to the building exit nor the locally quickest path to the nearest staircase can represent the natural mode of evacuation path choices for an authentic evacuation simulation. Thus, a prediction-based approach is established to predict and simulate evacuation choices, which helps to address three key issues: (1) extracting evacuation data through a controlled experiment; (2) establishing a Logit model for staircase choice prediction based on experimental data; (3) developing a prediction-based cellular automaton model. The proposed approach has achieved the coupling between choice prediction and evacuation simulation. A comparison with Pathfinder software is conducted to reveal the superiority of the prediction-based CA model for simulating staircase choice.

在有多个楼梯的建筑物中,楼梯选择是导致人流和疏散路线差异的最关键因素之一。在真实的疏散模拟中,通往大楼出口的最短路径和通往最近楼梯的局部最快路径都不能代表疏散路径选择的自然模式。因此,建立了一种基于预测的方法来预测和模拟疏散选择,这有助于解决三个关键问题:(1)通过受控实验提取疏散数据;(2)基于实验数据建立楼梯选择预测的 Logit 模型;(3)开发基于预测的蜂窝自动机模型。所提出的方法实现了选择预测与疏散模拟之间的耦合。通过与 Pathfinder 软件的比较,揭示了基于预测的 CA 模型在模拟楼梯选择方面的优越性。
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引用次数: 0
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