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2021 Annual Modeling and Simulation Conference (ANNSIM)最新文献

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X Language: An Integrated Intelligent Modeling and Simulation Language for Complex Products X语言:复杂产品集成智能建模与仿真语言
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552057
Lin Zhang, Fei Ye, Y. Laili, Kunyu Xie, Pengfei Gu, Xiaohan Wang, Chun Zhao, Xuesong Zhang, Minjie Chen
Modeling and simulation have become an important means of supporting analyses and development of complex products. At present, for the development of full-process and full-system modeling and simulation, system modeling languages (such as SysML) are often required to cooperate with multi-physics modeling languages and simulation platforms (such as Modelica, Simulink), which is difficult to ensure the true unity of the whole system, the consistency between the various layers and the traceability of the modeling and simulation process. In response to this problem, this paper proposes a new integrated intelligent modeling and simulation language—X language, which supports the description of system-layer structure and physical behavior, as well as modeling of complex agent models. Interpreter and engine are developed to enable X language to support the simulation of continuous, discrete event and agent models. Finally, the tank model is taken as a case to verify the modeling and simulation capabilities of the X language.
建模和仿真已经成为支持复杂产品分析和开发的重要手段。目前,对于全流程、全系统建模仿真的开发,往往需要系统建模语言(如SysML)与多物理场建模语言和仿真平台(如Modelica、Simulink)协同工作,难以保证整个系统的真正统一性、各层之间的一致性和建模仿真过程的可追溯性。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种新的集成智能建模与仿真语言——x语言,该语言支持系统层结构和物理行为的描述以及复杂agent模型的建模。开发了解释器和引擎,使X语言能够支持连续、离散事件和代理模型的仿真。最后,以坦克模型为例,验证了X语言的建模和仿真能力。
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引用次数: 1
A Novel Hybrid Automaton Framework for Multi-Phase Epidemic Modelling 一种新的多阶段流行病建模混合自动机框架
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552167
E. Navarro-López, N. Çabukoglu
A framework for the multi-phase epidemic modelling of SEIARD (Susceptible-Exposed-symptomatic Infectious-Asymptomatic infectious-Recovered by immunity or by vaccination-Dead due to the disease) subpopulations is produced with switching transmission rate, basic reproduction ratio and vaccination strategy. The key novel feature of our model is that we reproduce the different phases of the evolution of the infectious disease by using a hybrid automaton with different discrete locations corresponding to each of the phases of the disease. This is a general modelling framework applicable to the spreading of infectious diseases. We show how the proposed model works with the simulation of different scenarios.
基于转换传播率、基本繁殖比和疫苗接种策略,建立了SEIARD(易感-暴露-有症状感染-无症状感染-通过免疫或接种恢复-因疾病死亡)亚群的多阶段流行模型框架。该模型的关键新颖之处在于,我们通过使用与疾病的每个阶段对应的具有不同离散位置的混合自动机来再现传染病进化的不同阶段。这是适用于传染病传播的一般建模框架。我们展示了所提出的模型如何与不同场景的模拟一起工作。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunities and Challenges in Developing COVID-19 Simulation Models: Lessons from Six Funded Projects 开发COVID-19模拟模型的机遇与挑战:来自六个资助项目的经验教训
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552089
P. Giabbanelli, J. Badham, B. Castellani, H. Kavak, V. Mago, A. Negahban, S. Swarup
The COVID-19 pandemic showed us the importance of modeling and forecasting efforts to guide decision makers. However, a year into the COVID-19 pandemic, the computational science literature lacks a proper internal exploration of the modeling journey of researchers around the world, including how they responded to the shared challenges our community faced such as data limitations, model fitting and working with public stakeholders. The current paper is a detailed examination of the internal processes of six research teams, which were funded in several countries to model COVID-19. Each team was asked to reflect on the research question and how they solved their respective modeling challenges, as well as how, looking back, they would do things differently.
2019冠状病毒病大流行向我们展示了建模和预测工作对指导决策者的重要性。然而,在2019冠状病毒病大流行一年后,计算科学文献缺乏对世界各地研究人员建模之旅的适当内部探索,包括他们如何应对我们社区面临的共同挑战,如数据限制、模型拟合和与公共利益相关者合作。本论文详细审查了六个研究小组的内部流程,这些研究小组在几个国家获得资助,以模拟COVID-19。每个团队都被要求反思研究问题,以及他们如何解决各自的建模挑战,以及回顾过去,他们将如何以不同的方式做事。
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引用次数: 10
Modeling Pandemic Response for Populations Equipped with Contact-Chain Capable Wearable Devices 配备接触链可穿戴设备的人群的流行病响应建模
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552132
J. Fryer, Paulo Garcia
Extant pandemic detection and prevention strategies are based around contact tracing technologies. In contrast, this manuscript describes a strategy for preemptive pandemic response based on wearable devices with built-in privacy, based on distributed, encrypted and anonymized contact chains. We evaluate such strategy in an agent-based simulation environment that models a wearable-device equipped population in an urban area, comparing it with no response strategy, and with the extant contact-tracing approaches. Our results suggest contact-chaining is an effective way to augment pandemic response, by preemptively isolating persons who are potentially infectious; initial results indicate up to a 23.4% reduction in peak infections compared to the strictest extant approach. Simulations show that this strategy is especially effective during a first wave and can potentially prevent further infection waves. Ongoing work is looking at the privacy issues of such an approach and modeling countermeasures within our simulation framework.
现有的大流行检测和预防战略是基于接触者追踪技术。相比之下,本文描述了一种基于内置隐私的可穿戴设备、基于分布式、加密和匿名接触链的先发制人的流行病应对策略。我们在基于智能体的模拟环境中评估了这种策略,该环境对城市地区配备可穿戴设备的人群进行了建模,并将其与无响应策略以及现有的接触追踪方法进行了比较。我们的研究结果表明,通过先发制人地隔离具有潜在传染性的人,接触链是加强大流行应对的有效方法;初步结果表明,与现有最严格的方法相比,最高可减少23.4%的感染高峰。模拟表明,这种策略在第一波感染中特别有效,并有可能防止进一步的感染波。正在进行的工作是研究这种方法的隐私问题,并在我们的仿真框架内建模对策。
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引用次数: 0
Synthesizing Co-Simulation Algorithms with Step Negotiation and Algebraic Loop Handling 基于步进协商和代数环处理的联合仿真综合算法
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552073
Simon Thrane Hansen, C. Gomes, P. Larsen, J. Pol
Simulation-based analyses of cyber-physical systems are becoming increasingly vital. Co-simulation is one such technique that enables the coupling of specialized simulation tools through an orchestration algorithm that dictates when, with which inputs, and how far each simulation tool should advance its corresponding subsystem. The result of a co-simulation is often sensitive to the orchestration algorithm. This algorithm should be designed based on the simulation tool's implementation to minimize the co-simulation error. The paper extends current graph-based approaches for generating implementation-aware simulation algorithms to cover complex co-simulation scenarios where step negotiation and algebraic loops are part of the simulation. We show how the generation takes place for different complex co-simulation scenarios. An implementation of the approach is available online.
基于仿真的网络物理系统分析变得越来越重要。联合仿真就是这样一种技术,它通过编排算法来实现专用仿真工具的耦合,编排算法规定了何时、使用哪些输入以及每个仿真工具应该将其相应子系统推进多远。协同模拟的结果通常对编排算法很敏感。该算法应根据仿真工具的实现进行设计,以最小化联合仿真误差。本文扩展了当前用于生成实现感知仿真算法的基于图的方法,以涵盖复杂的联合仿真场景,其中步骤协商和代数循环是仿真的一部分。我们展示了如何在不同的复杂联合模拟场景中生成。该方法的实现可以在网上找到。
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引用次数: 5
A Model Based Systems Engineering Approach to Automated Music Arrangement 基于模型的自动编曲系统工程方法
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552105
J. Possik, C. Yaacoub, S. Gorecki, G. Zacharewicz, A. D’Ambrogio
MBSE (Model Based Systems Engineering) is considered a valuable and effective approach not only in engineering domains, although it appears to bring a potential assistance to artistic visions and initiatives. The cross-domain capitalization is the key to further innovation and advances in technology. This paper describes an MBSE approach, applied to the development of a complex multi-component arrangement system, to generate an automated music arrangement for any melody, with a harmonically correct result. The user introduces the melody in the form of a MIDI file. The system analyzes the melody, detects the scale, then follows algorithms based on thorough theoretical and harmonic studies, to finally generate the arrangement based on the selected music genre (classical, jazz, pop, etc.). Compared to other existing systems in the market, the developed system largely reduces the dissonance between the melody and the arrangement, which makes the final arrangement a good accompaniment to the melody.
MBSE(基于模型的系统工程)被认为是一种有价值和有效的方法,不仅在工程领域,尽管它似乎为艺术愿景和计划带来了潜在的帮助。跨领域资本化是进一步创新和技术进步的关键。本文描述了一种MBSE方法,应用于复杂的多组分编曲系统的开发,以生成任何旋律的自动音乐编曲,并具有和谐正确的结果。用户以MIDI文件的形式引入旋律。系统分析旋律,检测音阶,然后在深入的理论和和声研究的基础上遵循算法,最后根据所选的音乐类型(古典、爵士、流行等)生成编曲。与市场上已有的其他系统相比,开发的系统大大减少了旋律与编曲之间的不协调,使最终的编曲成为旋律的良好伴奏。
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引用次数: 1
Multi-Attribute Queries for Stochastic Multi Agent Systems over Short Time Horizons 短时间范围随机多智能体系统的多属性查询
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552173
Y. Ramesh, M. Rao
Statistical Model Checking (SMC) for the analysis of Multi-Agent Systems has been studied in the recent past. A feature peculiar to Multi-Agent Systems in the context of Statistical Model Checking is that of aggregate queries–temporal logic formula that involve a large number of agents. To answer such queries through Monte Carlo sampling, the statistical approach to model checking simulates the entire agent population and evaluates the query. This makes the simulation overhead significantly higher than the query evaluation overhead. To alleviate this problem, one strategy is to choose only a subset of the agents to simulate, through sampling. Further, this problem becomes particularly challenging when the model checking queries involve multiple attributes of the agents. We propose a population sampling algorithm that simulates only a subset of all the agents and scales to multiple attributes, thus making the solution generic. The population sampling approach results in increased efficiency (a gain in running time of 50% to 100% in most experiments) for a marginal loss in accuracy (between 1% to 5% in most experiments), especially for queries that involve limited time horizons.
统计模型检验(SMC)在多智能体系统分析中的应用近年来得到了广泛的研究。在统计模型检查的背景下,多智能体系统特有的一个特征是聚合查询——涉及大量智能体的时间逻辑公式。为了通过蒙特卡罗抽样回答这样的查询,模型检查的统计方法模拟整个代理种群并评估查询。这使得模拟开销明显高于查询求值开销。为了缓解这个问题,一种策略是通过抽样只选择代理的一个子集来模拟。此外,当模型检查查询涉及代理的多个属性时,这个问题变得特别具有挑战性。我们提出了一种总体抽样算法,它只模拟所有代理的一个子集,并扩展到多个属性,从而使解决方案具有通用性。总体抽样方法提高了效率(在大多数实验中,运行时间增加了50%到100%),而准确性的边际损失(在大多数实验中,在1%到5%之间),特别是对于涉及有限时间范围的查询。
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引用次数: 0
A Web Based Modeling and Simulation Environment to Support the DEVS Simulation Lifecycle 一个支持DEVS仿真生命周期的基于Web的建模和仿真环境
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552123
Bruno St-Aubin, Jon Menard, Gabriel A. Wainer
The Discrete Event System Specification (DEVS) is a hierarchical and modular simulation formalism that can represent an unlimited range of real-world systems. Its flexibility comes at a cost: increased complexity when developing simulation models, less model reusability, and lowered adoption rates. In addition, the DEVS software environment is generally fragmented and siloed. Tools have been developed to support model debugging or simulation trace visualization but, they are often closely coupled to simulators and consequently their usefulness is limited. We present a web-based modeling and simulation environment that is meant to alleviate some of the pressure points faced by DEVS users across the simulation lifecycle. The environment provides a library of reusable models meant to favor sharing models and collaboration, a workflow-based approach for modeling large scale systems, front-end resources in the form of an API to develop case-specific simulation-based applications and a set of web resources to facilitate the simulation lifecycle management.
离散事件系统规范(DEVS)是一种分层和模块化的模拟形式,可以代表无限范围的现实世界系统。它的灵活性是以代价为代价的:开发仿真模型时增加了复杂性,模型可重用性降低,采用率降低。此外,DEVS软件环境通常是碎片化和孤立的。已经开发了支持模型调试或仿真跟踪可视化的工具,但是,它们通常与模拟器紧密耦合,因此它们的用途有限。我们提供了一个基于web的建模和仿真环境,旨在减轻DEVS用户在整个仿真生命周期中面临的一些压力点。该环境提供了一个可重用的模型库,用于共享模型和协作,一个基于工作流的方法用于对大型系统进行建模,以API形式的前端资源用于开发基于特定案例的仿真应用程序,以及一组促进仿真生命周期管理的web资源。
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引用次数: 2
Decision of Learning Status Based on Modeling of the Information Measurement of Social Behavioral Tasks in Rhesus Monkeys 基于猕猴社会行为任务信息测量模型的学习状态决策
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552110
S. Lee, J. Rozenblit, K. Gothard
We are interested in identifying the learning status of the social behavioral tasks in the rhesus monkey. In addition, we define the characteristic of stimulus with a numerical quantification. We allow monkeys to interact with individuals of different social status, while we monitor the viewer monkey's behavior by tracking its scan paths. With these observations, we can understand the learning status of this animal via looking behavior analysis on the stimulus. First, the viewer monkey shows different looking patterns among six different classes. Therefore, we can generate different data descriptors of these classes and observe the classification performance of the machine learning algorithm. Second, we design the ground truth model based on the characteristic of each stimulus. We define the distribution of information from the ratio of the face, body, and background area in the stimulus. Lastly, we link them to figure out whether the viewer monkey learned enough about the information in the stimulus.
我们感兴趣的是识别猕猴社会行为任务的学习状态。此外,我们用数值量化的方法定义了刺激的特性。我们允许猴子与不同社会地位的个体互动,同时我们通过跟踪观察猴子的扫描路径来监控它的行为。通过这些观察,我们可以通过观察刺激的行为分析来了解动物的学习状态。首先,观察猴在六个不同的类别中显示不同的外观模式。因此,我们可以为这些类生成不同的数据描述符,并观察机器学习算法的分类性能。其次,我们根据每个刺激的特征设计了真值模型。我们从刺激中面部、身体和背景区域的比例来定义信息的分布。最后,我们将它们联系起来,以确定观看猴子是否对刺激中的信息有足够的了解。
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引用次数: 0
Towards a Universal Representation of DEVS: A Metamodel-Based Definition of DEVS Formal Specification 面向DEVS的通用表示:基于元模型的DEVS形式规范定义
Pub Date : 2021-07-19 DOI: 10.23919/ANNSIM52504.2021.9552162
M. Blas, S. Gonnet, B. Zeigler
The Discrete Event System Specification (DEVS) is one of the key formalisms to define Discrete Event Simulation (DES) models and underlying concepts. In this paper, we propose a conceptualization of DEVS designed as a metamodel that supports the formalization task. Such a conceptualization is part of a multi-level layered structure that defines a universal representation of DEVS as a combination of both theory and practice points of view. For the metamodel specification, we employ UML. With the existing modeling technology, our metamodel can be implemented to provide a framework that supports: (a) consistency validation between discrete event system descriptions and formal models using a DES metamodel, (b) interoperability between formalization and most used implementations using a platform-independent metamodel, and (c) consistency verification between formal models and their implementation. All these benefits are derived from the capability of defining model-to-model transformations over the modeling levels proposed in our conceptualization.
离散事件系统规范(DEVS)是定义离散事件仿真(DES)模型和底层概念的关键形式化之一。在本文中,我们提出了DEVS的概念化设计为支持形式化任务的元模型。这种概念化是多层结构的一部分,该结构将DEVS的通用表示定义为理论和实践观点的结合。对于元模型规范,我们使用UML。使用现有的建模技术,我们的元模型可以实现,以提供一个框架来支持:(a)使用DES元模型的离散事件系统描述和正式模型之间的一致性验证,(b)使用平台无关元模型的形式化和最常用实现之间的互操作性,以及(c)正式模型及其实现之间的一致性验证。所有这些好处都来自于定义模型到模型转换的能力,这些转换是在我们概念化中提出的建模级别上进行的。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
2021 Annual Modeling and Simulation Conference (ANNSIM)
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