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Partially constrained latent class analysis of highway crash injury severities: Investigating discrete spatial heterogeneity from regional data sources 高速公路车祸伤害严重程度的部分约束潜类分析:从区域数据源调查离散空间异质性。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107834
Jiabin Wu , Yiming Bie , Qihang Li , Zuogan Tang
A comprehensive investigation into the mechanisms and causes of traffic crashes holds significant implications for crash prevention and mitigating crash injury severity. Under the influence of unobservable factors, the impact of the same factor on crash injury severity might not only vary spatially but also exhibit temporal instability. Neglecting these characteristics could lead to biased model estimations and confounding effects, potentially resulting in ineffective or even counterproductive traffic safety strategies. Simultaneously considering the spatial heterogeneity and temporal instability of factors that influence crash injury severity, this paper first collects traffic crash data from the Austin metropolitan area in Texas, USA, spanning the years 2017 to 2019, where various independent variables are selected as candidate variables for analyzing crash injury severity, and a latent class logit model is constructed. Subsequently, annual traffic-related statistical exogenous data involving 11 counties are utilized to establish class probability functions within the latent class logit model, thereby accounting for the spatial heterogeneity of crash injury severity. Finally, this study conducts the partially constrained approach for modeling annual basis, simultaneously analyzing the temporal instability of safety factors’ impact on crash injury severity. Notably, this paper not only identifies numerous factors significantly influencing crash injury severity but also discovers that certain factors exhibit significant temporal instability effects on crash injury severity. Several explanatory variables showed temporally instability in terms of their effect on resulting injury severities. Such as, crash locations, lighting conditions, driver age, driver gender, vehicle types, vehicle model year. The findings of this study serve as a valuable reference for delving deeper into the causal mechanisms of crash injury severity as well as formulating effective safety measures.
全面调查交通事故的机理和原因对预防事故和减轻事故伤害严重程度具有重要意义。在不可观测因素的影响下,同一因素对交通事故伤害严重程度的影响不仅可能存在空间上的差异,还可能表现出时间上的不稳定性。忽略这些特征可能会导致模型估计出现偏差和混杂效应,从而可能导致交通安全战略无效甚至适得其反。同时考虑到影响交通事故伤害严重程度因素的空间异质性和时间不稳定性,本文首先收集了美国德克萨斯州奥斯汀大都市区 2017 年至 2019 年的交通事故数据,选取各种自变量作为分析交通事故伤害严重程度的候选变量,并构建了潜类 logit 模型。随后,利用涉及 11 个县的年度交通相关统计外生数据,在潜类 logit 模型中建立类概率函数,从而考虑碰撞伤害严重程度的空间异质性。最后,本研究采用部分约束方法对年度基础进行建模,同时分析了安全因素对碰撞伤害严重程度影响的时间不稳定性。值得注意的是,本文不仅发现了众多对碰撞伤害严重程度有显著影响的因素,还发现某些因素对碰撞伤害严重程度的影响表现出明显的时间不稳定性。一些解释变量对造成的伤害严重程度的影响表现出时间上的不稳定性。例如,碰撞地点、照明条件、驾驶员年龄、驾驶员性别、车辆类型、车型年份。本研究的结果对深入研究碰撞伤害严重程度的成因机制以及制定有效的安全措施具有重要的参考价值。
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引用次数: 0
Study on optimization design of guide signs in dense interchange sections of eight-lane freeway 八车道高速公路密集互通路段引导标志优化设计研究。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107828
Qiqi Liu , Jianling Huang , Xiaohua Zhao , Jia Li , Yanan Chen , Chengyu Wu
The eight-lane freeway resulting from reconstruction and expansion typically exhibits short distances between interchanges and a wide road section. Nonetheless, the absence of specific guidelines for the placement of guide signs in dense interchange sections of the eight-lane freeway results in inadequate design, thereby impeding drivers’ ability to read and comprehend the signs. To tackle this issue, the study employs two interchanges 2.48 km apart on the Jinan-Qingdao Freeway as a case study. Four optimization schemes for guide signs are developed based on drivers’ information requirements and compared with the current guide sign design scheme. Thirty-nine drivers were recruited to gather detailed driving behavior indicators via a driving simulation experiment. The impact of the guide sign optimization scheme on driving behavior is analyzed, and the overall effects are evaluated using the non-integer rank RSR method. This study aims to identify an optimal approach to guide sign design for dense interchange sections.
The results indicate that the impact of guide signs in dense interchange sections on drivers is primarily concentrated between the two interchanges. Specifically, the addition of a 2.5 km exit advance sign enhances drivers’ speed regulation level, the inclusion of navigation voice improves operational stability, and the presence of pavement words at exit diversion locations enhances psychological comfort for drivers. By considering the comprehensive effectiveness of each optimization scheme, it is evident that schemes 5 and 2 exhibit superior optimization effects. This suggests that providing advanced notice of exit information in dense interchange sections of eight-lane freeways is an effective measure to enhance freeway service levels and ensure driving safety. It is recommended that under the conditions of insufficient interchange spacing, the information of interchange exits should be forewarned in advance. Additionally, auxiliary navigation voice and pavement words should be employed to enhance drivers’ information perception levels, thereby mitigating the risk of missing exits due to limited reaction time. This paper serves as a significant reference for informing the optimal configuration of guide signs, thereby contributing to the meticulous development of standardized specifications.
改建和扩建后的八车道高速公路通常具有互通式立交间距短、路面宽的特点。然而,在八车道高速公路的密集互通式立交路段,由于缺乏具体的导向标志设置指南,导致设计不足,从而影响了驾驶员阅读和理解标志的能力。为解决这一问题,本研究以济南至青岛高速公路上相距 2.48 公里的两个互通式立交为案例。根据驾驶员对信息的需求,制定了四种导向标志优化方案,并与现行的导向标志设计方案进行了比较。招募了 39 名驾驶员,通过驾驶模拟实验收集详细的驾驶行为指标。分析了导向标识优化方案对驾驶行为的影响,并使用非整数秩 RSR 方法评估了整体效果。本研究旨在确定密集互通路段导向标志设计的最优方法。结果表明,密集互通路段的导向标志对驾驶员的影响主要集中在两个互通之间。具体来说,增加 2.5 公里出口预告标志可提高驾驶员的速度调节水平,加入导航语音可提高运行稳定性,在出口分流位置设置路面文字可提高驾驶员的心理舒适度。从各优化方案的综合效果来看,方案 5 和方案 2 的优化效果更优。这表明,在八车道高速公路的密集互通路段提供出口信息预告是提高高速公路服务水平、确保行车安全的有效措施。建议在互通式立交间距不足的情况下,提前预告互通式立交出口信息。此外,应采用辅助导航语音和路面文字来提高驾驶员的信息感知水平,从而降低因反应时间有限而错过出口的风险。本文对引导标志的优化配置具有重要的参考价值,从而有助于标准化规范的细致制定。
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引用次数: 0
Recognizing and explaining driving stress using a Shapley additive explanation model by fusing EEG and behavior signals 通过融合脑电图和行为信号,使用夏普利加法解释模型识别和解释驾驶压力。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107835
Liu Yang , Ruoling Zhou , Guofa Li , Ying Yang , Qianxi Zhao
Driving stress is a critical factor leading to road traffic accidents. Despite numerous studies that have been conducted on driving stress recognition, most of them only focus on accuracy improvement without taking model interpretability into account. In this study, an explainable driving stress recognition framework was presented to quantify stress based on electroencephalography (EEG) and behavior data. Based on the extraction of key EEG and behavior features and feature selection, low, medium, and high levels of driving stress were identified using seven machine learning algorithms. The recognition results when only using EEG or behavior features were compared with the result when fusing EEG together with behavior features. Then, the dependency effects between brain activity, driving behavior, and stress were analyzed using the SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) method, and fuzzy rules were obtained by decision tree method. Results indicated that after feature selection, the accuracy of the combined EEG and behavior feature set improved by 8.56% and 26.51% compared to the single EEG and behavior feature sets respectively, and the accuracy rate of 84.93% was achieved. Furthermore, the variations in driver behavior and physiology under stress were identified by the visualization results of SHAP and the quantitative analysis method of decision tree. The changes of different brain regions in the same frequency band showed higher synchronicity under driving stress stimulation. The changes caused by increased stress can be explained by lower speed, smaller maximum lateral lane deviation, smaller accelerator pedal depth and larger brake depth, along with the power changes of the θ and β-band of the brain.
驾驶压力是导致道路交通事故的一个关键因素。尽管对驾驶压力识别进行了大量研究,但大多数研究只关注准确率的提高,而没有考虑模型的可解释性。本研究提出了一个可解释的驾驶压力识别框架,根据脑电图(EEG)和行为数据量化压力。在提取关键脑电图和行为特征并进行特征选择的基础上,使用七种机器学习算法识别出低、中和高水平的驾驶压力。将仅使用脑电图或行为特征的识别结果与将脑电图和行为特征融合在一起的结果进行了比较。然后,使用 SHapley Additive exPlanation(SHAP)方法分析了大脑活动、驾驶行为和压力之间的依赖效应,并通过决策树方法获得了模糊规则。结果表明,经过特征选择后,脑电图和行为特征集的组合准确率比单一脑电图和行为特征集分别提高了 8.56% 和 26.51%,准确率达到 84.93%。此外,通过 SHAP 的可视化结果和决策树的定量分析方法,识别了驾驶员在压力下的行为和生理变化。在驾驶压力刺激下,同一频段不同脑区的变化表现出较高的同步性。车速降低、最大横向车道偏离变小、油门踏板深度变小、刹车深度变大,以及大脑θ和β波段的功率变化,都可以解释压力增加引起的变化。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding factors influencing e-scooterist crash risk: A naturalistic study of rental e-scooters in an urban area 了解影响电动摩托车碰撞风险的因素:对城市地区租赁电动滑板车的自然研究。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107839
Rahul Rajendra Pai, Marco Dozza
In recent years, micromobility has seen unprecedented growth, especially with the introduction of dockless e-scooters. However, the rapid emergence of e-scooters has led to an increase in crashes, resulting in injuries and fatalities, highlighting the need for in-depth analysis to understand the underlying mechanisms. While helpful in quantifying the problem, traditional crash database analysis cannot fully explain the causation mechanisms, e.g., human adaptation failures leading to safety–critical events. Naturalistic data have proven extremely valuable for understanding why crashes happen, but most studies have addressed cars and trucks.
This study is the first to systematically analyze factors contributing to crashes and near-crashes involving rental e-scooters in an urban environment, utilizing naturalistic data. The collected dataset included 6868 trips, covering 9930 km over 709 h with 4694 unique participants. We identified 61 safety–critical events, including 19 crashes and 42 near-crashes, and subsequently labeled variables associated with each event according to the codebook using video data.
Our odds ratio analysis identified that rider experience and behavior (e.g., phone usage, single-handed riding, and pack riding) significantly increase the crash risk. Given the accessibility of rental e-scooters to individuals regardless of their experience, our findings emphasize the need for rider training in addition to education. Influenced by their experience with bicycles, riders may anticipate a similar self-stabilizing mechanism in e-scooters. We found that single-handed riding, which compromises balance, poses a heightened risk, underscoring the crucial role of balance in safe e-scooter operation. Furthermore, the purpose (leisure or commute) and directness (point-to-point or detour) of the trip were also identified as factors influencing the risk, suggesting that user intent plays a role in safety–critical events. Interestingly, our analysis underscores the importance of adapting the crash and near-crash definitions when working with two-wheeled vehicles, especially those in the shared mobility system.
近年来,微型交通得到了前所未有的发展,特别是随着无桩电动滑板车的推出。然而,电动滑板车的迅速兴起导致撞车事故增加,造成人员伤亡,这凸显了进行深入分析以了解内在机制的必要性。传统的碰撞数据库分析虽然有助于量化问题,但无法完全解释成因机制,例如导致安全关键事件的人为适应失灵。事实证明,自然数据对于了解碰撞事故发生的原因非常有价值,但大多数研究都是针对轿车和卡车的。本研究首次利用自然数据对城市环境中涉及租赁电动滑板车的碰撞和险些碰撞的因素进行了系统分析。所收集的数据集包括 6868 次出行,行程 9930 公里,历时 709 小时,共有 4694 名参与者。我们确定了 61 起安全关键事件,包括 19 起撞车事件和 42 起濒临撞车事件,随后根据使用视频数据编写的编码手册对每起事件的相关变量进行了标注。我们的几率分析表明,骑行者的经验和行为(如使用手机、单手骑行和驮背骑行)会显著增加碰撞风险。鉴于租赁电动滑板车对个人的可及性,无论其经验如何,我们的研究结果都强调了除教育之外对骑行者进行培训的必要性。受自行车骑行经验的影响,骑行者可能会期待电动滑板车具有类似的自我稳定机制。我们发现,单手骑行会影响平衡,从而增加了风险,这突出了平衡在电动滑板车安全操作中的关键作用。此外,出行目的(休闲或通勤)和直接性(点到点或绕行)也被认为是影响风险的因素,这表明用户意图在安全关键事件中发挥着作用。有趣的是,我们的分析强调了在处理两轮车辆,尤其是共享交通系统中的两轮车辆时,调整碰撞和濒临碰撞定义的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Personality, functional performance, and travel patterns related to older drivers’ risky driving behavior: A naturalistic driving study 与老年司机危险驾驶行为相关的性格、功能表现和出行模式:自然驾驶研究。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107833
Yuanfang Zhu , Meilan Jiang , Toshiyuki Yamamoto
Older drivers are among the most vulnerable demographics within the road traffic system. The rising number of elderly motorists has raised public concern regarding their driving safety. It is crucial to understand the factors influencing risky driving behaviors among older drivers to enhance their safety. This study aimed to analyze the personality, functional performance, and travel patterns related to older drivers’ risky driving behavior. The analysis utilized a sample of 58 older drivers, aged 65 years and above (mean age = 72.41 years; 40 males and 18 females) from the Nagoya metropolitan area. Risky driving behaviors and travel patterns were assessed using naturalistic driving data. Bivariate correlation analysis revealed that impulsivity and diminished contrast sensitivity were significantly correlated with more frequent risky driving behaviors. Additionally, both low driving exposure and high-risk driving routes (i.e., more frequent left and right turns, driving more on minor roads) were significantly correlated with an increased risk of harsh events. Moreover, a strong association was observed between driving exposure and driving route, indicating that the driving route of lower mileage drivers tend to be riskier. When the relationship between driving exposure and risky driving behaviors was adjusted for driving route, the strength of the correlation diminished from 0.35 to 0.16, rendering it insignificant. This partial correlation analysis suggests that the increased driving risk among low-mileage drivers can be partially attributed to their high-risk driving routes. The findings of this study provide further evidence regarding the role of personality in explaining older drivers’ risky driving behavior and the explanation of older drivers’ low-mileage bias.
老年驾驶员是道路交通系统中最易受伤害的人群之一。老年驾驶者人数的不断增加引发了公众对其驾驶安全的关注。了解影响老年驾驶者危险驾驶行为的因素对提高他们的安全至关重要。本研究旨在分析与老年驾驶者风险驾驶行为相关的性格、功能表现和出行模式。分析对象为名古屋市区的 58 名 65 岁及以上的老年驾驶员(平均年龄为 72.41 岁,男性 40 人,女性 18 人)。利用自然驾驶数据对风险驾驶行为和出行模式进行了评估。双变量相关分析表明,冲动和对比敏感度降低与更频繁的危险驾驶行为显著相关。此外,低驾驶暴露和高风险驾驶路线(即更频繁地左转和右转、更多地在小路上行驶)与发生严重事件的风险增加显著相关。此外,驾驶暴露与驾驶路线之间也存在密切联系,这表明里程数较低的驾驶者的驾驶路线往往风险较高。当驾驶暴露与风险驾驶行为之间的关系根据驾驶路线进行调整后,相关性从 0.35 降至 0.16,变得不显著。这种部分相关性分析表明,低里程驾驶者的驾驶风险增加可能部分归因于他们的高风险驾驶路线。本研究的结果为解释老年驾驶者的风险驾驶行为和解释老年驾驶者的低里程偏好提供了进一步的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting lane change maneuver and associated collision risks based on multi-task learning 基于多任务学习预测变道操作及相关碰撞风险
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107830
Liu Yang , Jike Zhang , Nengchao Lyu , Qianxi Zhao
The lane-changing (LC) maneuver of vehicles significantly impacts highway traffic safety. Therefore, proactively predicting LC maneuver and associated collision risk is of paramount importance. However, most of the previous LC risk prediction research overlooks the prediction of LC maneuver, limiting its practical utility. Furthermore, the effectiveness of LC maneuver recognition tends to be moderate as the prediction horizon extends. To fill the gaps, this paper proposes a multi-task learning model that simultaneously predicts the probability of LC maneuver, LC risk level, and time-to-lane-change (TTLC), while further analyzing the intrinsic correlation between LC maneuver and LC risk. The model consists of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and two Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM). The CNN is employed to extract and fuse shared features from the dynamic driving environment, while one LSTM is dedicated to estimating the probability of LC maneuver and TTLC, and the other LSTM focuses on estimating the LC risk level. Evaluation of the proposed method on the HighD dataset demonstrates its excellent performance. It can almost predict all LC maneuvers within 2 s before the vehicle crosses lane boundaries, with an 80% recall rate for high-risk LC levels. Even 3.6 s before crossing lane boundaries, the model can still predict approximately 95% of LC maneuvers. The use of the multi-task learning strategy enhances the model’s understanding of traffic scenarios and its prediction robustness. LC risk analysis based on the HighD dataset shows that the risk distribution and influencing factors for left and right lane changes differ. In right lane changes, collision risks primarily arise from the leading and following vehicles in the current lane, while in left lane changes, collision risks mainly stem from the leading vehicle in the current lane and the following vehicle in the target lane. The proposed approach can be applied to advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) to reliably and early identify LC during highway driving, while correcting potentially dangerous LC maneuvers, ensuring driving safety.
车辆的变道操作(LC)对高速公路交通安全有重大影响。因此,主动预测 LC 机动性和相关碰撞风险至关重要。然而,以往的变道风险预测研究大多忽视了变道机动的预测,限制了其实际效用。此外,随着预测范围的扩大,低速行驶机动识别的效果也趋于一般。为了填补这些空白,本文提出了一种多任务学习模型,该模型可同时预测 LC 机动的概率、LC 风险等级和变线时间(TTLC),同时进一步分析 LC 机动与 LC 风险之间的内在相关性。该模型由一个卷积神经网络(CNN)和两个长短期记忆网络(LSTM)组成。CNN 用于从动态驾驶环境中提取和融合共享特征,而一个 LSTM 专门用于估计 LC 机动和 TTLC 的概率,另一个 LSTM 则侧重于估计 LC 风险水平。在 HighD 数据集上对所提出的方法进行的评估证明了其卓越的性能。它几乎可以预测车辆越过车道边界前 2 秒内的所有低速行驶动作,对高风险低速行驶级别的召回率高达 80%。即使在跨越车道边界前 3.6 秒,该模型仍能预测约 95% 的低速行驶操纵。多任务学习策略的使用增强了模型对交通场景的理解和预测的稳健性。基于 HighD 数据集的 LC 风险分析表明,左侧和右侧变道的风险分布和影响因素有所不同。在右侧变道中,碰撞风险主要来自当前车道上的前车和后车;而在左侧变道中,碰撞风险主要来自当前车道上的前车和目标车道上的后车。所提出的方法可应用于高级驾驶员辅助系统(ADAS),在高速公路驾驶过程中可靠地早期识别 LC,同时纠正潜在的危险 LC 机动,确保驾驶安全。
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引用次数: 0
Pedestrians’ Interaction with eHMI-equipped Autonomous Vehicles: A Bibliometric Analysis and Systematic Review 行人与配备 eHMI 的自动驾驶汽车的互动:文献计量分析与系统综述
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107826
Siu Shing Man , Chuyu Huang , Qing Ye , Fangrong Chang , Alan Hoi Shou Chan
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) should prioritise pedestrian safety in a traffic accident. External human–machine interfaces (eHMIs), which enhance communication through visual and auditory signals, become essential as AVs become prevalent. This study aimed to investigate the current state of research on eHMIs, with a specific focus on pedestrian interactions with eHMI-equipped AVs. A bibliometric analysis of 234 papers published between January 2014 and December 2023 was conducted using the Web of Science database. The analysis revealed a remarkable increase in eHMI research since 2018, with the principal research topics on crossing behaviour and eHMI evaluations of pedestrians. Subsequently, 38 articles were selected for a systematic review. The systematic review, conducted through a detailed examination of each selected article, showed that pedestrian crossing behaviour is usually measured using crossing initiation time, response time, walking speed and eye tracking data. The eHMI evaluations of pedestrians were made through questionnaires that measure clarity, preference and acceptance. Research findings showed that pedestrians’ crossing behaviour and eHMI evaluations are influenced by human factors (age and nationality), vehicle factors (eHMI type, eHMI colour and eHMI position) and environmental factors (signalisation and distractions). The results also revealed that current eHMI experiments often use virtual reality and video methodologies, which do not fully replicate the complexities of real-world environments. Additionally, the exploration regarding the impact of human factors, such as gender and familiarity with AVs, on pedestrian crossing behaviour is lacking. Furthermore, the investigation of multimodal eHMI systems is limited. This review highlighted the importance of standardising eHMI design, and the key gaps in the current eHMI research were revealed. These insights will guide future research towards effective eHMI solutions through informed theoretical studies and practical applications in autonomous driving.
在交通事故中,自动驾驶汽车(AV)应优先考虑行人安全。随着自动驾驶汽车的普及,通过视觉和听觉信号加强交流的外部人机界面(eHMI)变得至关重要。本研究旨在调查外部人机界面的研究现状,特别关注行人与配备外部人机界面的自动驾驶汽车之间的互动。研究人员利用科学网数据库对 2014 年 1 月至 2023 年 12 月间发表的 234 篇论文进行了文献计量分析。分析结果显示,自 2018 年以来,eHMI 研究显著增加,主要研究课题涉及行人的过街行为和 eHMI 评估。随后,选取了 38 篇文章进行系统综述。通过对每篇入选文章的详细审查,系统综述显示,行人过街行为通常使用过街开始时间、反应时间、行走速度和眼动跟踪数据进行测量。对行人的 eHMI 评估则是通过调查问卷进行的,问卷内容包括清晰度、偏好度和接受度。研究结果表明,行人的过街行为和对电子人机界面的评价受到人为因素(年龄和国籍)、车辆因素(电子人机界面类型、电子人机界面颜色和电子人机界面位置)和环境因素(信号灯和干扰因素)的影响。研究结果还显示,目前的电子人机界面实验通常使用虚拟现实和视频方法,无法完全复制真实世界环境的复杂性。此外,关于性别和对自动驾驶汽车的熟悉程度等人为因素对行人过马路行为的影响的探索也很缺乏。此外,对多模式 eHMI 系统的研究也很有限。本综述强调了电子人机交互界面设计标准化的重要性,并揭示了当前电子人机交互界面研究中存在的主要差距。这些见解将指导未来的研究工作,通过翔实的理论研究和自动驾驶中的实际应用,实现有效的电子人机交互界面解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Collaborative effects of vehicle speed and illumination gradient at highway intersection exits on drivers’ stress response capacity 高速公路交叉路口出口处的车速和照明梯度对驾驶员应激反应能力的协同影响。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107829
Hongtao Li , Linhong Wang , Menglin Yang , Yiming Bie
Inadequate visibility is a critical factor contributing to the heightened occurrence of nighttime accidents at highway intersections. The installation of smart streetlights which are equipped to detect vehicle positions and speed information, thereby dynamically adjusting illumination, offers a promising solution to significantly reduce nighttime accident rates while conserving lighting energy. Nevertheless, as vehicles travel through illuminated intersections in a relative high speed and enter unlighted highway segments, drivers often experience dynamic visual illusions during dark adaptation, consequently impairing their stress response capacity and generating driving safety concerns. Therefore, we investigate the collaborative impact of illumination gradient and vehicle speed at intersection exits on driver stress response, aiming to provide a theoretical foundation for gradual illumination designs dynamically aligning with various vehicle speeds. Specifically, with reaction time employed as a metric to quantify driver stress response, and intersection area illuminance and vehicle speed utilized as input parameters, a safety assessment method for illumination gradients at exit sections is developed using variance analysis and multiple comparison techniques. Subsequently, a high-fidelity nighttime driving simulation platform is established, integrating initial illuminance, vehicle speed, and illumination gradient distance within exit sections as influential factors. Through simulated driving experiments, the collaborative effects of illumination gradient schemes and vehicle speed on reaction time is systematically examined. Ultimately, we propose optimal illumination gradient schemes and the minimum required number of streetlights for exit sections corresponding to specific vehicle speeds. Results reveal that exit section illumination is unnecessary when the vehicle speed is below 40 km·h−1. For vehicle speeds of 50, 60, and 70 km·h−1, the minimum required exit section lengths are determined to be 35, 70, and 105 m, respectively. Moreover, it is established that a minimum of one streetlight is indispensable within the exit section at a speed limit of 50 km·h−1, while at 60 km·h−1, at least two streetlights are required. Lastly, under a speed limit of 70 km·h−1, the exit section should accommodate no fewer than three streetlights to ensure optimal safety conditions.
能见度不足是导致高速公路交叉口夜间事故频发的一个关键因素。安装智能路灯可检测车辆位置和速度信息,从而动态调整照明度,这为大幅降低夜间事故率同时节约照明能源提供了一种可行的解决方案。然而,由于车辆以相对较高的速度通过有照明的交叉路口,并进入无照明的高速公路路段,驾驶员在黑暗适应过程中往往会产生动态视觉错觉,从而影响其应激反应能力,引发驾驶安全问题。因此,我们研究了交叉路口出口处照明梯度和车速对驾驶员压力反应的协同影响,旨在为动态调整不同车速的渐变照明设计提供理论基础。具体而言,将反应时间作为量化驾驶员压力反应的指标,将交叉路口区域照度和车辆速度作为输入参数,利用方差分析和多重比较技术,开发了出口路段照度梯度的安全评估方法。随后,建立了一个高保真夜间驾驶模拟平台,将出口路段内的初始照度、车速和照度梯度距离作为影响因素。通过模拟驾驶实验,系统地研究了照明梯度方案和车速对反应时间的协同影响。最终,我们提出了与特定车速相对应的最佳照明梯度方案和出口路段所需的最少路灯数量。结果表明,当车速低于 40 km-h-1 时,出口路段不需要照明。当车速为 50、60 和 70 km-h-1 时,出口路段所需的最小长度分别为 35、70 和 105 米。此外,车速限制为 50 km-h-1 时,出口段至少需要一个路灯,而车速限制为 60 km-h-1 时,出口段至少需要两个路灯。最后,在速度限制为 70 千米/小时-1 时,出口路段应安装不少于三个路灯,以确保最佳的安全条件。
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引用次数: 0
Risk of apprehension for road traffic law violations in Norway 挪威因违反道路交通法而被逮捕的风险。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107831
Rune Elvik
Violations of road traffic law are widespread in all countries. Probably the most common violation is speeding. It is not uncommon that 50 % of vehicles are speeding. Little is known about the risk of apprehension for various traffic law violations, although it is often assumed that nearly all violations go undetected. This paper quantifies the risk of apprehension for common traffic law violations in Norway, based on data for the period 2006–2022. The violations included are speeding, non-use of seat belts, driving with an illegal blood alcohol concentration (above 0.02 %), driving while impaired by medicines or illegal drugs, use of a hand-held mobile phone while driving and violations of the regulations of hours of service and rest for drivers of heavy vehicles. Risk of apprehension is stated as the number of detected violations per million vehicle kilometres driven while committing the violation. The risk of apprehension is in most cases between 10 and 50 per million vehicle kilometres driven while committing a violation. This is quite low. For speeding, the risk of apprehension was between 10 and 12 per million vehicle kilometres of speeding during 2006–2022. For an average driver, this means that he or she could speed on every trip for about 8–10 years before getting caught. Reducing traffic law violations may contribute to a large reduction of the number of traffic fatalities.
违反道路交通法的现象在各国都很普遍。最常见的违法行为可能就是超速。50% 的车辆超速并不少见。尽管人们通常认为几乎所有的违法行为都不会被发现,但对各种违反交通法规行为被逮捕的风险却知之甚少。本文根据 2006-2022 年期间的数据,量化了挪威常见交通违法行为的被捕风险。这些违法行为包括超速行驶、不使用安全带、血液中酒精浓度超过 0.02%、服用药物或违禁药物后驾车、驾车时使用手持移动电话以及违反重型车辆驾驶员工作和休息时间规定。上路风险是指在驾驶过程中每行驶一百万公里所发现的违规次数。在大多数情况下,违规驾驶时每行驶 100 万车程的被抓风险在 10 至 50 之间。这是相当低的。对于超速行驶,在 2006-2022 年期间,每百万公里超速行驶的被抓风险在 10 到 12 之间。对于一名普通驾驶员来说,这意味着他或她可以在 8-10 年内每次超速行驶都不会被抓。减少交通违法行为可能有助于大幅降低交通事故死亡人数。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogeneity in crash patterns of autonomous vehicles: The latent class analysis coupled with multinomial logit model 自动驾驶汽车碰撞模式的异质性:潜类分析与多叉 Logit 模型相结合。
IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.aap.2024.107827
Qiaoqiao Ren, Min Xu
Understanding the heterogeneity in autonomous vehicle (AV) crash patterns is crucial for enhancing the safety and public acceptance of autonomous transportation systems. In this paper, 584 AV collision reports from the California Department of Motor Vehicles (CA DMV) were first extracted and augmented by a highly automatic and fast variable extraction framework. Crash damage severities, classified as none, minor, moderate, and major, were set as the dependent variables. Factors including crash, road, temporal, vehicle, and environment characteristics were identified as potential determinants. To account for the heterogeneity inherent in crash data and identify key factors influencing the damage severity in AV crashes, a methodology integrating the latent class analysis and multinomial logit model was employed. Two heterogeneous clusters were determined based on the skewed distributions of vehicle status and driving mode. The model estimation results indicate a positive association between severe crash damage and some risk factors, such as head-on, intersection, multiple vehicles, dark with street lights, dark without street lights, and early morning. This study also reveals significant differences among the variables influencing the damage severity across two distinct subclasses. Moreover, partitioning the AV crash dataset into heterogeneous subsets facilitates the identification of critical factors that remain obscured when the dataset is analyzed as a whole, such as the evening indicator. This paper not only enhances our understanding of AV crash patterns but also paves the way for safer AV technology.
了解自动驾驶汽车(AV)碰撞模式的异质性对于提高自动驾驶交通系统的安全性和公众接受度至关重要。本文首先从加利福尼亚州机动车辆管理局(CA DMV)的 584 份自动驾驶汽车碰撞报告中提取了变量,并通过高度自动和快速的变量提取框架进行了扩充。碰撞损坏严重程度分为无、轻微、中等和严重,被设定为因变量。包括碰撞、道路、时间、车辆和环境特征在内的因素被确定为潜在的决定因素。为了考虑碰撞数据固有的异质性,并确定影响反车辆碰撞损害严重程度的关键因素,采用了潜类分析和多叉 Logit 模型相结合的方法。根据车辆状态和驾驶模式的倾斜分布,确定了两个异质性群组。模型估计结果表明,严重碰撞损害与一些风险因素(如迎面、交叉路口、多车、有路灯的黑暗环境、无路灯的黑暗环境和清晨)之间存在正相关。这项研究还揭示了影响两个不同子类损坏严重程度的变量之间的显著差异。此外,将反车辆碰撞数据集划分为不同的子集,有助于识别在对数据集进行整体分析时仍然模糊不清的关键因素,例如傍晚指标。本文不仅加深了我们对反车辆碰撞模式的理解,还为更安全的反车辆技术铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
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Accident; analysis and prevention
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