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A risk assessment and prediction framework for diabetes mellitus using machine learning algorithms 基于机器学习算法的糖尿病风险评估与预测框架
Pub Date : 2023-10-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100273
Salliah Shafi Bhat , Madhina Banu , Gufran Ahmad Ansari , Venkatesan Selvam

Diabetes disease seriously threatens people's health and is becoming more common nowadays. Diabetes Mellitus (DM) is a condition caused by high blood sugar levels, inactivity, unhealthy eating, being overweight, and other factors. This research article analyzed and examined various risk prediction models and algorithms for diabetes, including Type 1, Type 2, and Gestational Diabetes. This study develops several Machine Learning (ML) models for predicting diabetes using various datasets. The process involves producing highly informative features called Feature Engineering (FE). We used the Pima Indian Diabetes Dataset (PIDD) to experiment with and examine the effectiveness of ML models' ability to predict diabetes. Using Python programming, we used three classification algorithms, Logistic Regression, Gradient Boost, and Decision Tree, and combined feature selection techniques among the classification techniques, Decision Tree has the highest accuracy rate (91 %), precision (96 %), recall (92 %), and Fi score (94 %).

糖尿病严重威胁着人们的身体健康,并且越来越普遍。糖尿病(DM)是一种由高血糖、缺乏运动、不健康饮食、超重和其他因素引起的疾病。这篇研究文章分析和检验了糖尿病的各种风险预测模型和算法,包括1型糖尿病、2型糖尿病和妊娠糖尿病。本研究开发了几种机器学习(ML)模型,用于使用各种数据集预测糖尿病。这个过程包括产生高信息量的特征,称为特征工程(Feature Engineering, FE)。我们使用皮马印第安人糖尿病数据集(PIDD)来试验和检验ML模型预测糖尿病能力的有效性。使用Python编程,采用Logistic回归、梯度提升和决策树三种分类算法,并结合分类技术中的特征选择技术,决策树具有最高的准确率(91%)、精密度(96%)、召回率(92%)和Fi分数(94%)。
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引用次数: 0
An integrated infoveillance approach using google trends and Talkwalker: Listening to web concerns about COVID-19 vaccines in Italy 利用谷歌趋势和对讲机的综合信息监测方法:倾听意大利网络上对COVID-19疫苗的担忧
Pub Date : 2023-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100272
Alessandro Rovetta

An infodemic is an information epidemic capable of compromising public health. This manuscript proposes an infoveillance method suitable for listening to web concerns on health to develop adequate infodemiological responses based on the World Health Organization indications. In particular, the case of COVID-19 vaccinations in Italy was investigated. Web interest and concern in COVID-19 vaccines over the past week (January 8–14, 2023) was investigated via the websites Google Trends and Talkwalker by searching for appropriate keywords. Thanks to the analysis of related queries and topics, it was possible to determine and examine the most debated topics relating to specific side effects. Emotional reactions regarding COVID-19 vaccines have been negative in varying percentages between 40 and 70 %, depending on the topic discussed. Feelings of alarm, derision, doubt, and anger were common (about 60 %). The concerns were mainly about the effectiveness against recent COVID-19 variants and alleged side effects such as sudden death, tumors, myocarditis, prion disease, and high ferritin. The most used media among those scrutinized was Twitter (over 90 % of interactions). The male audience participated more and showed more negativity than the female one. The age groups mainly involved were the under-45s. This research discussed the combined use of Google Trends and Talkwalker to conduct rapid infoveillance surveys. The results found showed that the web public has many doubts about COVID-19 vaccines, including the appearance of very rare or unproved side effects. Based on the WHO infodemic management strategy, it is essential that this or similar approaches are adopted by health and government authorities to listen to the community and calibrate appropriate infodemiological responses aimed at preserving public health.

信息流行病是一种能够危害公众健康的信息流行病。本文提出了一种信息监测方法,适合于听取网络对健康的关注,以根据世界卫生组织的指示制定适当的信息流行病学反应。特别是对意大利的COVID-19疫苗接种案例进行了调查。通过谷歌Trends和Talkwalker网站搜索合适的关键词,调查过去一周(2023年1月8日至14日)网络对COVID-19疫苗的兴趣和关注。通过对相关查询和主题的分析,可以确定和检查与特定副作用相关的最具争议的主题。根据讨论的主题,对COVID-19疫苗的情绪反应在40%至70%之间的不同百分比之间是负面的。惊恐、嘲笑、怀疑和愤怒的感觉是常见的(约60%)。人们的担忧主要是针对新冠病毒变体的有效性,以及猝死、肿瘤、心肌炎、朊病毒病和高铁蛋白等副作用。在被调查的人群中,使用最多的媒体是Twitter(超过90%的互动)。男性观众比女性观众参与更多,表现出更多的消极情绪。主要涉及的年龄组是45岁以下。本研究讨论了谷歌Trends和Talkwalker的联合使用,以进行快速信息监控调查。结果发现,网络公众对COVID-19疫苗存在许多疑虑,包括出现非常罕见或未经证实的副作用。根据世卫组织的信息管理战略,卫生和政府当局必须采取这种或类似的方法,听取社区的意见,并制定适当的信息流行病学应对措施,以维护公众健康。
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引用次数: 0
A COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness model using the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model 基于易感-暴露-感染-恢复模型的COVID-19疫苗有效性模型
Pub Date : 2023-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100269
Sabariah Saharan, Cunzhe Tee

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) caused the start of the COVID-19 outbreak in the world, including Malaysia and Thailand. This study identifies the trend of the COVID-19 outbreak before and after the vaccination campaign by using the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) and Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Vaccinated (SEIRV) models. Moreover, we predict the daily reported death and recovery cases using the SEIR model and Holt's linear trend method and then evaluate their performance. The data used in this study is real data from Malaysia and Thailand. The SEIRV model provides a comprehensive view of the efficacy of COVID-19 vaccinations in curbing the COVID-19 outbreak. This research reveals that the SEIR model outperforms Holt's linear trend method in predicting daily reported cases.

严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2型(SARS-CoV-2)引发了包括马来西亚和泰国在内的世界范围内的COVID-19疫情。本研究通过使用易感-暴露-感染-恢复(SEIR)和易感-暴露-感染-恢复-接种(SEIRV)模型确定了疫苗接种运动前后COVID-19爆发的趋势。利用SEIR模型和Holt线性趋势法对日报告死亡病例和康复病例进行预测,并对其性能进行评价。本研究使用的数据是来自马来西亚和泰国的真实数据。SEIRV模型提供了对COVID-19疫苗在遏制COVID-19爆发中的效果的全面看法。本研究表明,SEIR模型在预测每日报告病例方面优于Holt的线性趋势方法。
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引用次数: 0
Transfer learning architectures with fine-tuning for brain tumor classification using magnetic resonance imaging 使用磁共振成像对脑肿瘤分类进行微调的迁移学习架构
Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100270
Md. Monirul Islam , Prema Barua , Moshiur Rahman , Tanvir Ahammed , Laboni Akter , Jia Uddin

Deep learning methods in artificial intelligence are used for brain tumor diagnosis as they handle a huge amount of data. Compared to computerized tomography (CT), Ultrasound, and X-ray imaging, Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) is effectively used for machine vision-based brain tumor diagnosis. However, due to the complex nature of the brain, brain tumor diagnosis is always challenging. This research aims to study the effectiveness of deep transfer learning architectures in brain tumor diagnosis. This paper applies four transfer learning architectures- InceptionV3, VGG19, DenseNet121, and MobileNet. We used a dataset with data from three benchmark databases of figshare, SARTAJ, and Br35H to validate the models. These databases have four classes: pituitary, no tumor, meningioma, and glioma. Image augmentation is applied to make the classes balanced. Experimental results demonstrate that the MobileNet outperforms competing methods by exhibiting an accuracy of 99.60%.

人工智能领域的深度学习方法处理大量数据,因此被用于脑肿瘤诊断。与计算机断层扫描(CT)、超声和x射线成像相比,磁共振成像(MRI)有效地用于基于机器视觉的脑肿瘤诊断。然而,由于大脑的复杂性,脑肿瘤的诊断一直具有挑战性。本研究旨在研究深度迁移学习架构在脑肿瘤诊断中的有效性。本文采用了四种迁移学习架构——InceptionV3、VGG19、DenseNet121和MobileNet。我们使用了来自figshare、SARTAJ和Br35H三个基准数据库的数据集来验证模型。这些数据库分为四类:脑垂体、无肿瘤、脑膜瘤和胶质瘤。应用图像增强使类平衡。实验结果表明,MobileNet的准确率达到99.60%,优于同类方法。
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引用次数: 0
An ordinary differential equation model for assessing the impact of lifestyle intervention on type 2 diabetes epidemic 生活方式干预对2型糖尿病流行影响的常微分方程模型
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100271
Anika Ferdous

Diabetes is a chronic glucose metabolism disorder with severe clinical consequences. The prevalence of diabetes mellitus, in particular Type 2 Diabetes (T2D), is rising dramatically globally. Several clinical trials provide evidence that lifestyle interventions can prevent or delay the development of T2D, but the impact of lifestyle interventions is seldom investigated using a mathematical model. This study assesses the effects of lifestyle interventions on people by constructing an ordinary differential equation model. In this paper, a general model is developed based on the dynamics of T2D by incorporating a control variable termed as healthy lifestyle. The population is subdivided into five classes: susceptible, affected, treated, healthy lifestyle, and prevented. Sensitivity analysis has been performed to identify the most important parameters, and the stability of the equilibrium point is analyzed. Numerical simulations are conducted using a diabetes data set in Bangladesh to investigate the model's dynamic behavior. The results from this study reveal that maintaining a healthy lifestyle slows disease progression. The sensitivity analysis shows that the healthy lifestyle rate, treatment rate, and diabetes rate from susceptible and healthy lifestyle classes are the most sensitive parameters. Moreover, the study also concludes that diabetes cannot completely be eliminated, but with proper control measures, the burden can be reduced. The findings from the study provide strong reasons to continue implementing lifestyle interventions to prevent the global epidemic and its adverse effects.

糖尿病是一种慢性糖代谢紊乱,具有严重的临床后果。糖尿病的患病率,特别是2型糖尿病(T2D),在全球范围内急剧上升。一些临床试验提供证据表明,生活方式干预可以预防或延缓T2D的发展,但很少使用数学模型来研究生活方式干预的影响。本研究通过建立常微分方程模型来评估生活方式干预对人们的影响。在本文中,一般模型是建立在动态的T2D的基础上,通过纳入一个控制变量称为健康的生活方式。人口被细分为五类:易感、受影响、治疗、健康生活方式和预防。通过灵敏度分析确定了最重要的参数,并对平衡点的稳定性进行了分析。利用孟加拉国的糖尿病数据集进行了数值模拟,以研究该模型的动态行为。这项研究的结果表明,保持健康的生活方式可以减缓疾病的发展。敏感性分析显示,健康生活方式率、治愈率和糖尿病发病率是易感人群和健康生活方式人群中最敏感的参数。此外,该研究还得出结论,糖尿病不能完全消除,但通过适当的控制措施,可以减轻负担。这项研究的结果为继续实施生活方式干预措施以预防全球流行病及其不利影响提供了强有力的理由。
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引用次数: 0
A mathematical analysis of the two-strain tuberculosis model dynamics with exogenous re-infection 外源性再感染下两株结核模型动力学的数学分析
Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100266
Benjamin Idoko Omede , Olumuyiwa James Peter , William Atokolo , Bolarinwa Bolaji , Tawakalt Abosede Ayoola

The rise of drug resistance has become a major obstacle in treating tuberculosis (TB), significantly contributing to the increasing disease burden. Therefore, it is essential to study the transmission dynamics of the disease, considering the factors that contribute to the strain’s impact on the disease burden, using an epidemiological model. We present a deterministic mathematical model that explores the dynamics of TB with two strains: drug-susceptible and drug-resistant, taking into account exogenous re-infection. We thoroughly analyze to gain insights into the behavior of the model. The qualitative analysis of the model reveals an interesting phenomenon known as “backward bifurcation,” where both stable disease-free and stable endemic equilibria coexist when the associated reproduction number is less than one. In the absence of exogenous re-infection, the model shows the existence of unique positive endemic equilibria. Numerical simulations were conducted, yielding noteworthy results. Increasing the treatment rate for individuals infected with the drug-susceptible strain reduces the number of new cases of drug-susceptible TB while increasing the detection of drug-resistant TB cases. The simulations demonstrate that drug-susceptible and drug-resistant TB strains can coexist when their reproduction numbers exceed one without competitive exclusion occurring. In summary, this study sheds light on the challenges posed by drug resistance in TB treatment and highlights the importance of understanding the disease dynamics through mathematical modeling to develop effective strategies for its control.

耐药性的增加已成为治疗结核病的一个主要障碍,大大增加了疾病负担。因此,有必要利用流行病学模型研究该病的传播动力学,考虑到导致菌株对疾病负担产生影响的因素。我们提出了一个确定性的数学模型,探讨了两种菌株的结核病动力学:药物敏感和耐药,考虑到外源性再感染。我们进行彻底的分析,以深入了解模型的行为。该模型的定性分析揭示了一个有趣的现象,即“后向分叉”,即当相关的繁殖数小于1时,稳定的无病平衡和稳定的地方性平衡共存。在没有外源再感染的情况下,该模型显示存在唯一的正地方性平衡。进行了数值模拟,得到了显著的结果。提高对感染药物敏感菌株的个体的治疗率,可减少药物敏感结核病新病例的数量,同时增加耐药结核病病例的发现。模拟表明,当它们的繁殖数量超过1时,药物敏感和耐药结核菌株可以共存,而不会发生竞争排斥。总之,这项研究揭示了结核病治疗中耐药性带来的挑战,并强调了通过数学建模了解疾病动态以制定有效控制策略的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
An equitable patient reallocation optimization and temporary facility placement model for maximizing critical care system resilience in disasters 一个公平的病人再分配优化和临时设施安置模型,以最大限度地提高灾害中重症监护系统的恢复能力
Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100268
Chia-Fu Liu, Ali Mostafavi

Medical infrastructure disruptions during disasters pose a major threat to critically ill patients with advanced chronic kidney disease or end-stage renal disease. There is a need to assess the potential threat to critical care facilities from hazardous events to improve patient access to dialysis treatment. We propose optimization models for patient reallocation and temporary medical facility placement to equitably improve critical care system resilience. We leverage human mobility data in Texas to assess patient access to critical care facilities and dialysis centers under the simulated hazard impacts. The optimization model was formulated as an integer programming and solved by COIN-OR Branch-and-Cut (CBC) solver. The results show (1) the capability of the optimization model in efficient patient reallocation to alleviate disrupted access to dialysis facilities; (2) the importance of large facilities in maintaining the system functionality. The critical care system, particularly the network of dialysis centers, is heavily reliant on a few larger facilities, characteristic of scale-free networks, making it susceptible to targeted disruption, such as capacity failures. (3) Considering equity in the optimization model formulation reduces access loss for vulnerable populations in the simulated scenarios. (4) The proposed temporary facilities placement could improve access for the vulnerable population, thereby improving the equity of access to critical care facilities in disaster. The proposed patient reallocation optimization model and temporary facilities placement offer a data-driven and analytics-based decision support tool tailored to the needs of healthcare organizations across private and public sectors to proactively mitigate the potential loss of access to critical care facilities during disasters.

灾害期间医疗基础设施的中断对患有晚期慢性肾病或终末期肾病的危重患者构成重大威胁。有必要评估危险事件对重症监护设施的潜在威胁,以改善患者获得透析治疗的机会。我们提出了优化模型的病人再分配和临时医疗设施的安置,以公平地提高危重护理系统的弹性。我们利用德克萨斯州的人类流动性数据来评估在模拟危险影响下患者进入重症护理设施和透析中心的情况。将优化模型表述为整数规划,采用投币或分切(CBC)求解器求解。结果表明:(1)优化模型能够有效地重新分配患者,以缓解透析设施的中断;(2)大型设施在维护系统功能方面的重要性。重症监护系统,特别是透析中心网络,严重依赖于少数大型设施,这些设施具有无标度网络的特点,使其容易受到有针对性的中断,例如能力失效。(3)在优化模型的制定中考虑公平性,减少了模拟情景下弱势群体的获取损失。(4)建议的临时设施安置可以改善弱势群体的可及性,从而提高灾害中获得重症护理设施的公平性。拟议的患者再分配优化模型和临时设施安置提供了一种数据驱动和基于分析的决策支持工具,可根据私营和公共部门医疗保健组织的需求量身定制,以主动减轻灾害期间重症护理设施的潜在损失。
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引用次数: 0
A real-time deep learning approach for classifying cervical spine fractures 一种用于颈椎骨折分类的实时深度学习方法
Pub Date : 2023-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100265
Showmick Guha Paul, Arpa Saha, Md Assaduzzaman

The first seven vertebrae of our spine are called the cervical spine. It supports the weight of our head, encloses and safeguards our spinal cord, and permits a variety of head motions. The seven cervical vertebrae are joined at the rear of the bone by a kind of joint known as a facet joint. These joints enable us to move our necks forward, backward, and twist. Fractures of the cervical spine are a medical emergency that may lead to lifelong paralysis or even death. If left untreated and undetected, these fractures can worsen over time. Using computed tomography, a cervical spine fracture in individuals can be accurately diagnosed. Given the scarcity of research on the practical use of deep learning methods in detecting spine fractures in persons, it is imperative to address this gap. This study uses a dataset containing fracture and normal cervical spine computed tomography images. This study proposed modified transfer-learning-based MobileNetV2, InceptionV3, and Resnet50V2 models. An ablation study was also conducted to determine the optimal custom layers for models and data augmentation techniques. In addition, evaluation metrics have been used to analyze and compare the model's performance. Among all the approaches, MobileNetV2 with augmentation has achieved the highest accuracy of 99.75%. Furthermore, the best-performing model has been deployed in a smartphone-based Android application.

我们脊柱的前七块椎骨叫做颈椎。它支撑着我们头部的重量,包围和保护我们的脊髓,并允许各种头部运动。七个颈椎在骨头的后部通过一种关节连接在一起,这种关节被称为小关节。这些关节使我们的脖子能够向前、向后和扭动。颈椎骨折是一种医疗紧急情况,可能导致终身瘫痪甚至死亡。如果不及时治疗和不被发现,这些骨折会随着时间的推移而恶化。使用计算机断层扫描,个人颈椎骨折可以准确诊断。鉴于深度学习方法在检测人体脊柱骨折方面的实际应用研究不足,解决这一差距势在必行。本研究使用了一个包含骨折和正常颈椎计算机断层图像的数据集。本研究提出了改进的基于迁移学习的MobileNetV2、InceptionV3和Resnet50V2模型。还进行了消融研究,以确定模型和数据增强技术的最佳定制层。此外,还使用了评估指标来分析和比较模型的性能。在所有方法中,增强的MobileNetV2的准确率最高,达到99.75%。此外,性能最好的模型已经部署在基于智能手机的Android应用程序中。
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引用次数: 0
A new compartmentalized epidemic model to analytically study the impact of awareness on the control and mitigation of the monkeypox disease 分析研究意识对控制和减轻猴痘病影响的一种新的分区流行病模型
Pub Date : 2023-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100267
Oke I. Idisi , Tajudeen T. Yusuf , Ebenezer Adeniyi , Akindele A. Onifade , Yakub T. Oyebo , Akinyemi T. Samuel , Lateef A. Kareem

Monkeypox (Mpox) is a viral disease primarily affecting animals that can occasionally be transmitted to humans. While it can cause a rash and flu-like symptoms, it is generally less severe than smallpox. Awareness of the disease, proper preventive measures, and timely medical care are essential in managing and controlling Mpox outbreaks. We develop a new compartmentalized mathematical model to study the impact of intense awareness on the control and mitigation of the Mpox disease. The model captures the dynamics of humans and hosts (mammals) in transmitting Mpox disease while the human susceptible population was stratified into two subgroups of aware and unaware individuals. The model is analytically analyzed, and the simulation shows the prospect of an effective public awareness campaign program in reducing the cumulative incidence (new cases) of Mpox disease. Furthermore, the results suggest the need for consistency and continuous awareness program, adhering to public health measures to increase awareness of the Mpox disease.

猴痘是一种主要影响动物的病毒性疾病,偶尔可传播给人类。虽然它会引起皮疹和流感样症状,但通常没有天花严重。对这种疾病的认识、适当的预防措施和及时的医疗护理对于管理和控制麻疹疫情至关重要。我们开发了一个新的划分数学模型来研究对控制和缓解Mpox疾病的强烈意识的影响。该模型捕捉了人类和宿主(哺乳动物)传播m痘疾病的动态,同时将人类易感人群分为两个亚组,即意识到和不意识到的个体。对该模型进行了分析,仿真结果显示了有效的公众宣传计划在减少Mpox疾病累积发病率(新病例)方面的前景。此外,研究结果表明,需要制定连贯和持续的宣传方案,坚持公共卫生措施,以提高对Mpox疾病的认识。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of retinal fundus image segmentation and classification methods using convolutional neural networks 综述了基于卷积神经网络的视网膜眼底图像分割与分类方法
Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2023.100261
Ademola E. Ilesanmi , Taiwo Ilesanmi , Gbenga A. Gbotoso

Retinal fundus images play a crucial role in the early detection of eye problems, aiding in timely diagnosis and treatment to prevent vision loss or blindness. With advancements in technology, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) algorithms have emerged as effective tools for recognition, delineation, and classification tasks. This study proposes a comprehensive review of CNN algorithms used for retinal fundus image segmentation and classification. Our review follows a systematic approach, exploring diverse repositories to identify studies employing CNN to segment and classify retinal fundus images. Utilizing CNNs in the segmentation and classification of retinal fundus images can enhance the precision of segmentation outcomes and alleviate the sole dependence on human experts. This approach enables more accurate segmentation results, reducing the burden on human experts. A total of sixty-two studies are included in our review, analyzing aspects such as database usage and the advantages and disadvantages of the methods employed. The review provides valuable insights, limitations, observations, and future directions in the field. Despite certain limitations, the findings indicate that CNN algorithms consistently achieve high accuracies. The comprehensive examination of the included studies sheds light on the potential of CNN in retinal fundus image analysis.

视网膜眼底图像在早期发现眼部问题,帮助及时诊断和治疗以防止视力丧失或失明方面起着至关重要的作用。随着技术的进步,卷积神经网络(CNN)算法已经成为识别、描绘和分类任务的有效工具。本研究对CNN算法在视网膜眼底图像分割和分类中的应用进行了综述。我们的综述采用了一种系统的方法,探索了不同的知识库,以确定使用CNN对视网膜眼底图像进行分割和分类的研究。利用cnn对视网膜眼底图像进行分割分类,可以提高分割结果的精度,减轻对人工专家的依赖。这种方法使分割结果更加准确,减轻了人类专家的负担。我们的综述共纳入了62项研究,分析了数据库使用情况和所采用方法的优缺点等方面。这篇综述提供了有价值的见解、局限性、观察和未来的方向。尽管存在一定的局限性,但研究结果表明,CNN算法始终能够实现较高的准确率。综合分析纳入的研究,揭示了CNN在视网膜眼底图像分析中的潜力。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)
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