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A blockchain-machine learning ecosystem for IoT-Based remote health monitoring of diabetic patients 基于物联网的糖尿病患者远程健康监测区块链-机器学习生态系统
Pub Date : 2024-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100338
Pranav Ratta , Abdullah , Sparsh Sharma

Diabetes poses a global health challenge, demanding continuous monitoring and expert care for effective management. Conventional monitoring methods lack real-time insights and secure data-sharing capabilities, necessitating innovative solutions that leverage emerging technologies. Existing centralized monitoring systems often entail risks such as data breaches and single points of failure, emphasizing the necessity for a secure, decentralized approach that integrates the Internet of Things (IoT), blockchain, and machine learning for efficient and secure diabetes management. This paper introduces a decentralized, blockchain-based framework for remote diabetes monitoring, IoT sensors, machine learning models, and decentralized applications (DApps). The proposed framework comprises five layers: the IoT Sensor Layer, which collects real-time health data from patients; the Blockchain Layer, leveraging smart contracts on the Ethereum blockchain for secure data sharing and transactions; the machine learning Layer, analyzing patient data to detect diabetes; and the DApps Layer, facilitating interactions between patients, doctors, and hospitals. For intelligent decision-making regarding diabetes based on data collected from different sensors, nine machine learning algorithms, including logistic regression, K-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), Decision Tree, Random Forest, AdaBoost, stochastic gradient boosting (SGD), and Naive Bayes, were trained and tested on the PIMA dataset. Based on the performance evaluation parameters such as accuracy, recall, F1-score, and the area under the curve (AUC), it was found that the AdaBoost model achieved the highest predictive accuracy of 92.64%, followed by the Decision Tree with an accuracy of 92.21% in diabetes classification.

糖尿病是一项全球性的健康挑战,需要持续监测和专家护理来进行有效管理。传统的监测方法缺乏实时洞察力和安全的数据共享能力,因此需要利用新兴技术的创新解决方案。现有的集中式监测系统往往存在数据泄露和单点故障等风险,因此有必要采用一种安全、分散的方法,将物联网(IoT)、区块链和机器学习整合在一起,实现高效、安全的糖尿病管理。本文介绍了一种基于区块链的去中心化框架,用于远程糖尿病监测、物联网传感器、机器学习模型和去中心化应用程序(DApps)。拟议的框架由五层组成:物联网传感器层,收集患者的实时健康数据;区块链层,利用以太坊区块链上的智能合约实现安全的数据共享和交易;机器学习层,分析患者数据以检测糖尿病;以及 DApps 层,促进患者、医生和医院之间的互动。为了根据从不同传感器收集到的数据对糖尿病做出智能决策,在 PIMA 数据集上训练和测试了九种机器学习算法,包括逻辑回归、K-近邻(KNN)、支持向量机(SVM)、决策树、随机森林、AdaBoost、随机梯度提升(SGD)和奈夫贝叶斯。根据准确率、召回率、F1-分数和曲线下面积(AUC)等性能评估参数,发现 AdaBoost 模型在糖尿病分类中的预测准确率最高,达到 92.64%,其次是决策树,准确率为 92.21%。
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引用次数: 0
A deterministic mathematical model with non-linear least squares method for investigating the transmission dynamics of lumpy skin disease 采用非线性最小二乘法的确定性数学模型研究块状皮肤病的传播动态
Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100343
Edwiga Renald , Verdiana G. Masanja , Jean M. Tchuenche , Joram Buza

Lumpy skin disease (LSD) is an economically significant viral disease of cattle caused by the lumpy disease virus (LSDV) which is primarily spread mechanically by blood feeding vectors such as particular species in flies, mosquitoes and ticks. Despite efforts to control its spread, LSD has been expanding geographically, posing challenges for effective control measures. This study develops a Susceptible–Exposed–Infectious–Recovered–Susceptible (SEIRS) model that incorporates cattle and vector populations to investigate LSD transmission dynamics. The model considers the waning rate of natural active immunity in recovered cattle, disease-induced mortality, and the biting rate. Using a standard dynamical system approach, we conducted a qualitative analysis of the model, defining the invariant region, establishing conditions for solution positivity, computing the basic reproduction number, and examining the stability of disease-free and endemic equilibria. We employ a non-linear least squares method for model calibration, fitting it to a synthetic dataset. We subsequently test it with actual infectious cases data. Results from the calibration and testing phases demonstrate the model’s validity and reliability for diverse settings. Local and global sensitivity analyses were conducted to determine the model’s robustness to parameter values. The biting rate emerged as the most significant parameter, followed by the probabilities of infection from either population and the recovery rate. Additionally, the waning rate of LSD infection-induced immunity gained positive significance in LSD prevalence from the beginning of the infectious period onward. Simulation results suggest reducing the biting rate as the most effective LSD control measure, which can be achieved by applying vector repellents in cattle farms/herds, thereby mitigating the disease’s prevalence in both cattle and vector populations and reducing the chances of infection from either population. Furthermore, measures aiming to boost LSD infection-induced immunity upon recovery are recommended to preserve the immune systems of the cattle population.

结节性皮肤病(LSD)是由结节病病毒(LSDV)引起的一种经济意义重大的牛病毒性疾病,主要通过蝇、蚊和蜱等特定种类的吸血媒介机械传播。尽管人们努力控制其传播,但 LSD 仍在地域上不断扩大,给有效的控制措施带来了挑战。本研究建立了一个 "易感-暴露-感染-复发-易感"(SEIRS)模型,该模型结合了牛群和病媒种群来研究 LSD 的传播动态。该模型考虑了康复牛自然主动免疫的减弱率、疾病引起的死亡率和叮咬率。我们使用标准的动力系统方法对模型进行了定性分析,定义了不变区域,确定了求解正向性的条件,计算了基本繁殖数,并检验了无病平衡和流行平衡的稳定性。我们采用非线性最小二乘法对模型进行校准,并对合成数据集进行拟合。随后,我们用实际感染病例数据对其进行了测试。校准和测试阶段的结果证明了模型在不同环境下的有效性和可靠性。我们还进行了局部和全局敏感性分析,以确定模型对参数值的稳健性。咬人率是最重要的参数,其次是任一人群的感染概率和恢复率。此外,从感染期开始,LSD 感染引起的免疫力减弱率在 LSD 感染率中获得了正向意义。模拟结果表明,降低叮咬率是最有效的 LSD 控制措施,可通过在牛场/牧场施用病媒驱避剂来实现,从而降低该疾病在牛群和病媒中的流行率,并减少任何一个种群的感染机会。此外,还建议采取措施,在牛群康复后提高 LSD 感染引起的免疫力,以保护牛群的免疫系统。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-stage optimization model for managing epidemic outbreaks and hospital bed planning in Intensive Care Units 管理流行病爆发和重症监护室病床规划的多阶段优化模型
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100342
Ingrid Machado Silveira , João Flávio de Freitas Almeida , Luiz Ricardo Pinto , Luiz Antônio Resende Epaminondas , Samuel Vieira Conceição , Elaine Leandro Machado

Intensive Care Unit (ICU) capacity can be significantly affected by disease outbreaks, epidemics, and pandemics, impeding the operational efficiency of healthcare systems and compromising patient care. This paper presents a multi-stage optimization approach to planning the location and distribution of ICU beds to increase accessibility and reduce mortality caused by a shortage of beds in a geographic region during epidemic events. Using a Brazilian state monthly hospital admissions due to Covid-19 from October 2020 to April 2021, we show the amount and the allocation of extra ICU beds that could reduce mortality, minimize patient travel and transportation, and increase accessibility while considering budget limitations. Our findings show coverage for 21 previously underserved municipalities, providing extra ICU beds for 69 municipalities, ranging from 880 to 1670 beds across seven months. On average, patients are displaced 56% less and access ICUs within 17 ± 2.3 kilometres (CI 95%). The strategy contributes to public health planning and the equitable allocation of hospital resources among the population.

重症监护室(ICU)的容量可能会受到疾病爆发、流行病和大流行的严重影响,从而妨碍医疗系统的运行效率并损害病人护理。本文介绍了一种多阶段优化方法,用于规划重症监护病房床位的位置和分布,以提高可及性并降低流行病事件期间因地理区域床位短缺而导致的死亡率。我们利用巴西某州 2020 年 10 月至 2021 年 4 月期间每月因 Covid-19 而入院的情况,说明了在考虑预算限制的情况下,额外 ICU 病床的数量和分配可降低死亡率、最大限度地减少患者的旅行和运输,并提高可及性。我们的研究结果表明,在七个月的时间里,覆盖了 21 个以前服务不足的城市,为 69 个城市提供了额外的重症监护室床位,床位数从 880 张到 1670 张不等。平均而言,病人搬迁的次数减少了 56%,并可在 17±2.3 公里(CI 95%)的范围内进入重症监护室。该战略有助于公共卫生规划和医院资源在人口中的公平分配。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of deep learning data augmentation in medical imaging: Recent advances and future research directions 系统回顾医学影像中的深度学习数据增强:最新进展与未来研究方向
Pub Date : 2024-05-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100340
Tauhidul Islam , Md. Sadman Hafiz , Jamin Rahman Jim , Md. Mohsin Kabir , M.F. Mridha

Data augmentation involves artificially expanding a dataset by applying various transformations to the existing data. Recent developments in deep learning have advanced data augmentation, enabling more complex transformations. Especially vital in the medical domain, deep learning-based data augmentation improves model robustness by generating realistic variations in medical images, enhancing diagnostic and predictive task performance. Therefore, to assist researchers and experts in their pursuits, there is a need for an extensive and informative study that covers the latest advancements in the growing domain of deep learning-based data augmentation in medical imaging. There is a gap in the literature regarding recent advancements in deep learning-based data augmentation. This study explores the diverse applications of data augmentation in medical imaging and analyzes recent research in these areas to address this gap. The study also explores popular datasets and evaluation metrics to improve understanding. Subsequently, the study provides a short discussion of conventional data augmentation techniques along with a detailed discussion on applying deep learning algorithms in data augmentation. The study further analyzes the results and experimental details from recent state-of-the-art research to understand the advancements and progress of deep learning-based data augmentation in medical imaging. Finally, the study discusses various challenges and proposes future research directions to address these concerns. This systematic review offers a thorough overview of deep learning-based data augmentation in medical imaging, covering application domains, models, results analysis, challenges, and research directions. It provides a valuable resource for multidisciplinary studies and researchers making decisions based on recent analytics.

数据扩增是指通过对现有数据进行各种转换,人为地扩展数据集。深度学习的最新发展推动了数据扩增技术的进步,实现了更复杂的转换。在医疗领域,基于深度学习的数据扩增尤为重要,它通过在医疗图像中生成逼真的变化来提高模型的鲁棒性,从而增强诊断和预测任务的性能。因此,为了帮助研究人员和专家进行研究,有必要开展一项广泛而翔实的研究,涵盖医学影像中基于深度学习的数据增强这一不断发展的领域的最新进展。有关基于深度学习的数据增强技术最新进展的文献还存在空白。本研究探讨了数据增强在医学成像中的各种应用,并分析了这些领域的最新研究,以弥补这一空白。研究还探讨了流行的数据集和评估指标,以加深理解。随后,研究简要讨论了传统的数据增强技术,并详细讨论了在数据增强中应用深度学习算法的问题。研究还进一步分析了近期最新研究的结果和实验细节,以了解基于深度学习的数据增强技术在医学影像领域的发展和进步。最后,研究讨论了各种挑战,并提出了解决这些问题的未来研究方向。这篇系统性综述全面概述了基于深度学习的医学成像数据增强技术,涵盖应用领域、模型、结果分析、挑战和研究方向。它为多学科研究和研究人员根据最新分析结果做出决策提供了宝贵的资源。
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引用次数: 0
A deterministic compartment model for analyzing tuberculosis dynamics considering vaccination and reinfection 考虑疫苗接种和再感染因素的结核病动态分析确定性分区模型
Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100341
Eka D.A.Ginting, Dipo Aldila, Iffatricia H. Febiriana

Tuberculosis is a pressing global health concern, particularly pervasive in many developing nations. This study investigates the influence of treatment failure on tuberculosis control strategies, incorporating vaccination interventions using a deterministic compartmental epidemiological model. Mathematical analysis unveils disease-free and endemic equilibrium points, with the control reproduction number determined using next-generation methods. Identifying endemic equilibrium points and determining the control reproduction number provide essential metrics for assessing the effectiveness of control strategies and guiding policy decisions. The model exhibits a backward bifurcation phenomenon, leading to multiple endemic equilibria despite a reproduction number below one due to reinfection. Sensitivity analysis using Latin Hypercube Sampling/Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient elucidates parameter impacts on the control reproduction number. Vaccination efficacy is crucial for quality and validity, with superior quality and longer validity yielding more significant effects. While reinfection may not directly affect the reproduction number, its influence is pivotal in determining tuberculosis persistence or extinction. This study underscores the intricate interplay of factors in tuberculosis control strategies, providing insights vital for effective interventions and policy formulation.

结核病是一个紧迫的全球健康问题,在许多发展中国家尤为普遍。本研究利用确定性分区流行病学模型,结合疫苗接种干预措施,研究了治疗失败对结核病控制策略的影响。数学分析揭示了无病平衡点和地方病平衡点,并利用新一代方法确定了控制繁殖数。确定流行平衡点和控制繁殖数为评估控制策略的有效性和指导政策决策提供了重要指标。该模型表现出向后分叉现象,尽管由于再感染导致繁殖数低于 1,但仍会出现多个地方性平衡点。利用拉丁超立方采样/部分等级相关系数进行的敏感性分析阐明了参数对控制繁殖数的影响。疫苗接种效果对质量和有效性至关重要,质量越好、有效期越长,效果越显著。虽然再感染可能不会直接影响繁殖数量,但其影响在决定结核病的持续或灭绝方面至关重要。这项研究强调了结核病控制策略中各种因素之间错综复杂的相互作用,为有效干预和政策制定提供了至关重要的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Decision support framework for home health caregiver allocation using optimally tuned spectral clustering and genetic algorithm 利用优化调整的光谱聚类和遗传算法为居家医疗护理人员分配提供决策支持框架
Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100339
S.M. Ebrahim Sharifnia , Faezeh Bagheri , Rupy Sawhney , John E. Kobza , Enrique Macias De Anda , Mostafa Hajiaghaei-Keshteli , Michael Mirrielees

Population aging is a global challenge, leading to increased demand for health care and social services for the elderly. Home Health Care (HHC) is a vital solution to serve this segment of the population. Given the increasing demand for HHC, it is essential to coordinate and regulate caregiver allocation efficiently. This is crucial for both budget-optimized planning and ensuring the delivery of high-quality care. This research addresses a fundamental question in home health agencies (HHAs): “How can caregiver allocation be optimized, especially when caregivers prefer flexibility in their visit sequences?”. While earlier studies proposed rigid visiting sequences, our study introduces a decision support framework that allocates caregivers through a hybrid method that considers the flexibility in visiting sequences and aims to reduce travel mileage, increase the number of visits per planning period, and maintain the continuity of care – a critical metric for patient satisfaction. Utilizing data from an HHA in Tennessee, United States, our approach led to an impressive reduction in average travel mileage (up to 42%, depending on discipline) without imposing restrictions on caregivers. Furthermore, the proposed framework is used for caregivers’ supply analysis to provide valuable insights into caregiver resource management.

人口老龄化是一项全球性挑战,导致老年人对医疗保健和社会服务的需求增加。家庭保健(HHC)是为这部分人口提供服务的重要解决方案。鉴于对家庭医疗保健的需求日益增长,有效协调和管理护理人员的分配至关重要。这对于优化预算规划和确保提供高质量护理都至关重要。这项研究解决了家庭保健机构(HHAs)的一个基本问题:"如何优化护理人员的分配,尤其是当护理人员希望灵活安排探视顺序时?之前的研究提出了严格的探视顺序,而我们的研究则引入了一个决策支持框架,通过一种考虑探视顺序灵活性的混合方法来分配护理人员,目的是减少旅行里程,增加每个计划期的探视次数,并保持护理的连续性--这是患者满意度的一个关键指标。利用美国田纳西州一家保健护理机构的数据,我们的方法在不对护理人员施加限制的情况下,显著减少了平均旅行里程数(最多达 42%,视学科而定)。此外,提出的框架还可用于护理人员供应分析,为护理人员资源管理提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
An integrated deep learning and supervised learning approach for early detection of brain tumor using magnetic resonance imaging 利用磁共振成像早期检测脑肿瘤的深度学习与监督学习集成方法
Pub Date : 2024-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100336
Kamini Lamba , Shalli Rani , Monika Anand , Lakshmana Phaneendra Maguluri

Diagnosing brain tumors is difficult, especially at an early stage of the disease. Conventional approaches often cause delays in providing required treatment to the patients and shorten their lifespan. This paper presents a novel integrated approach with advanced subsets of artificial intelligence, including deep learning and supervised learning algorithms. These new technologies have demonstrated outstanding potential due to their ability to capture the appropriate features based on the input data. They can assist medical experts in identifying abnormal growth of cells inside the brain. We use publicly available brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) datasets to diagnose brain tumors and develop an automated system. The proposed approach uses data augmentation to enhance the image sizes and maintain standardization. We then deploy a visual geometry group with 16 layers following transfer learning to help minimize the medical experts’ workload in making accurate decisions. We extract the most significant features and improve the diagnostic speed and accuracy using a supervised learning algorithm and linear support vector machines (SVM). The proposed model outperforms the existing approaches with an accuracy of 98.87%, precision of 99.09%, recall of 98.73%, specificity of 99.02%, and F1-score of 98.91%.

脑肿瘤的诊断非常困难,尤其是在疾病的早期阶段。传统方法往往会延误为患者提供所需的治疗,缩短他们的寿命。本文介绍了一种新颖的集成方法,它采用了先进的人工智能子集,包括深度学习和监督学习算法。由于这些新技术能够根据输入数据捕捉适当的特征,因此展现出了卓越的潜力。它们可以帮助医学专家识别大脑内部细胞的异常生长。我们利用公开的脑磁共振成像(MRI)数据集诊断脑肿瘤,并开发了一个自动化系统。我们提出的方法使用数据增强技术来增强图像尺寸并保持标准化。然后,我们在迁移学习后部署了一个有 16 层的视觉几何组,以帮助医学专家在做出准确决定时尽量减少工作量。我们利用监督学习算法和线性支持向量机(SVM)提取最重要的特征,提高诊断速度和准确性。所提出的模型优于现有的方法,准确率为 98.87%,精确度为 99.09%,召回率为 98.73%,特异性为 99.02%,F1 分数为 98.91%。
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引用次数: 0
An infectious disease epidemic model with migration and stochastic transmission in deterministic and stochastic environments 在确定性和随机环境中带有迁移和随机传播的传染病流行模型
Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100337
Mohammed Salman , Prativa Sahoo , Anushaya Mohapatra , Sanjay Kumar Mohanty , Libin Rong

Understanding population migration is essential for controlling highly infectious diseases. This paper studies the global dynamics of an infectious disease epidemic model incorporating population migration and a stochastic transmission rate. Our findings demonstrate that in deterministic and stochastic environments, the models exhibit global Lyapunov stability near the disease-free equilibrium point, determined by a threshold parameter. Furthermore, we analyze the effect of migration on infectious diseases. We discover that the number of infections and the peak value of the infection curve increase with a higher level of population migration. These results are supported by numerical illustrations that hold epidemiological relevance. Additionally, the disease-free equilibrium of the associated time delay model is linearly asymptotically stable, and the endemic equilibrium exhibits more bifurcation for larger time delay values.

了解人口迁移对控制高度传染性疾病至关重要。本文研究了包含人口迁移和随机传播率的传染病流行模型的全局动态。我们的研究结果表明,在确定性和随机环境中,模型在由阈值参数决定的无疾病平衡点附近表现出全局李亚普诺夫稳定性。此外,我们还分析了移民对传染病的影响。我们发现,随着人口迁移水平的提高,感染数量和感染曲线的峰值也会增加。这些结果得到了与流行病学相关的数字说明的支持。此外,相关时间延迟模型的无疾病均衡是线性渐近稳定的,而流行均衡在时间延迟值越大时越容易出现分叉。
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引用次数: 0
An integrated multiple-criteria decision-making and data envelopment analysis framework for efficiency assessment in sustainable healthcare systems 可持续医疗系统效率评估的多重标准决策和数据包络分析综合框架
Pub Date : 2024-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100327
Bebek Erdebilli , Cigdem Sicakyuz , İbrahim Yilmaz

Efficiency is critical in allocating sustainable healthcare resources to ensure that hospitals can effectively care for patients while maintaining high-quality care delivery. Hence, it is necessary to monitor efficiency carefully. This study aims to assess hospital unit effectiveness through a novel comprehensive approach integrating Multiple-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) with Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). The proposed MCDM-DEA framework involves allocating varying weights to distinct data categories. It harnesses the capabilities of the q-rung orthopair fuzzy (q-ROF) methodology to address the inherent uncertainties in healthcare performance assessment. The experimental results provide a comprehensively structured ranking system for specific hospital departments. This ranking system allows decision-makers to identify the strengths and weaknesses of each department, enabling them to make informed decisions regarding resource allocation and improvement strategies. Furthermore, the integration of MCDM-DEA provides a robust and objective assessment tool for monitoring and evaluating the performance of hospital departments over time. These rankings offer invaluable insights to decision-makers, equipping them with the strategic information needed to enhance the overall performance of hospital units.

效率是分配可持续医疗资源的关键,以确保医院能够有效地照顾病人,同时保持高质量的医疗服务。因此,有必要认真监测效率。本研究旨在通过一种将多重标准决策(MCDM)与数据包络分析(DEA)相结合的新型综合方法来评估医院的单位效率。所提出的 MCDM-DEA 框架包括为不同的数据类别分配不同的权重。它利用 q-rung orthopair 模糊(q-ROF)方法的能力来解决医疗绩效评估中固有的不确定性问题。实验结果为特定的医院科室提供了一个结构全面的排名系统。该排名系统使决策者能够识别每个科室的优势和劣势,从而在资源分配和改进策略方面做出明智的决策。此外,MCDM-DEA 的整合提供了一个强大而客观的评估工具,用于监测和评估医院各部门的长期绩效。这些排名为决策者提供了宝贵的见解,为他们提供了提高医院各部门整体绩效所需的战略信息。
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引用次数: 0
A hierarchical multi-criteria model for analyzing the barriers to Pharma 4.0 implementation in developing countries 用于分析发展中国家制药 4.0 实施障碍的分层多标准模型
Pub Date : 2024-04-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.health.2024.100334
Akib Zaman , Ismat Jerin , Puja Ghosh , Anika Akther , Salma Sultana Shrity , Ferdous Sarwar

Pharmaceutical industries in most developing countries with limited resources are expected to encounter several barriers while incorporating Industry 4.0 to transform into Pharma 4.0. With limited resources, a developing country must prioritize the barriers consider their impacts, and make a resource utilization plan accordingly. In this study, We employed a hierarchical multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDM) technique to identify potential barriers to Pharma 4.0 in developing countries and examine their effects to generate a prioritization inventory. Firstly, we extracted the likely barriers using a systematic literature study and used an expert opinion-based Delphi Method to choose the most pertinent barriers. Subsequently, we analyzed the correlation and influence of the selected barriers on each other by formulating a hierarchical multi-criteria model integrating Interpretive Structural Modelling (ISM) and the Cross-Impact Matrix Multiplication Applied to Classification (MICMAC). As an outcome, we found three distinct categories of the selected 12 barriers: Prominent (4 of 12), Influencing (5 of 12), and Resulting (3 of 12). The results of this study are intended to assist the government in developing a solid adoption strategy for Pharma 4.0 and supply chain strategists in ensuring optimum resource utilization by resolving the examined barriers during the deployment of Pharma 4.0. The study is the first of its kind to discover barriers to Pharma 4.0 adoption and create hierarchical correlations within the context of the pharmaceutical sector from the perspective of a developing country.

在大多数资源有限的发展中国家,制药业在融入工业 4.0,向制药 4.0 转型的过程中预计会遇到一些障碍。在资源有限的情况下,发展中国家必须对障碍进行优先排序,考虑其影响,并制定相应的资源利用计划。在本研究中,我们采用了分层多重标准决策分析(MCDM)技术来识别发展中国家制药 4.0 的潜在障碍,并研究其影响,从而生成优先级清单。首先,我们通过系统的文献研究提取了可能存在的障碍,并采用基于专家意见的德尔菲法选出了最相关的障碍。随后,我们结合解释性结构建模(ISM)和交叉影响矩阵乘法分类(MICMAC),建立了一个分层多标准模型,分析了所选障碍之间的相关性和相互影响。结果,我们在选定的 12 个障碍中发现了三个不同的类别:突出障碍(12 个障碍中的 4 个)、影响障碍(12 个障碍中的 5 个)和结果障碍(12 个障碍中的 3 个)。本研究的结果旨在帮助政府制定扎实的医药 4.0 应用战略,并帮助供应链战略家在部署医药 4.0 的过程中解决所研究的障碍,从而确保资源的最佳利用。本研究是首次从发展中国家的视角发现制药 4.0 的应用障碍,并在制药行业的背景下创建分层相关性。
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Healthcare analytics (New York, N.Y.)
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