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Long-Term Rainfall Variability and Trends for Climate Risk Management in the Summer Monsoon Region of Southeast Asia 东南亚夏季风区的长期降雨变率和气候风险管理趋势
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1155/2023/2693008
Mahesh Edirisinghe, Niranga Alahacoon, Manjula Ranagalage, Yuji Murayama
This study presents an analysis of long-term rainfall variability and trends in the summer monsoon region of Southeast Asia, encompassing Lao People’s Democratic Republic (Lao PDR), Thailand, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Myanmar, as well as their respective river basins. Utilizing Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station Data (CHIRPS) having a spatial resolution of 5 km spanning from 1981 to 2021, rainfall variability and trends were examined. Data preprocessing and geospatial analysis were conducted using R-Studio and ArcGIS software. The Mann–Kendall (MK) test and Sen’s slope estimator were employed for annual and seasonal rainfall trend analysis. Myanmar exhibited the highest average annual rainfall of 2137 mm during the study period, while Thailand had the lowest (1641 mm). Over the past four decades, the Peninsula Malaysian Basin experienced the highest average annual rainfall (2691 mm), whereas the Chao Praya Basin recorded the lowest (1311 mm). Increasing trends in rainfall were observed across all five countries and nine major river basins. Vietnam displayed the highest annual rainfall trend of 5.63 mm/year, while Lao PDR exhibited the lowest trend (3.16 mm/year). Among the river basins, the Chao Phraya Basin demonstrated the maximum annual rainfall trend (11.21 mm/year), while the Peninsula Malaysia Basin had the minimum trend (1.21 mm/year). These findings could significantly contribute to climate change monitoring in the region and can aid policymakers in sectors such as agriculture, urban planning, and disaster management.
本研究分析了东南亚夏季风区的长期降水变化和趋势,包括老挝人民民主共和国、泰国、越南、柬埔寨和缅甸及其各自的河流流域。利用空间分辨率为5 km的CHIRPS(气候灾害组红外降水),分析了1981 - 2021年的降水变率和趋势。采用R-Studio和ArcGIS软件对数据进行预处理和地理空间分析。采用Mann-Kendall (MK)检验和Sen’s斜率估计法对年、季降水趋势进行分析。研究期间,缅甸年平均降雨量最高,为2137 mm,泰国最低,为1641 mm。在过去的40年里,马来西亚半岛盆地的年平均降雨量最高(2691毫米),而湄南河流域的年平均降雨量最低(1311毫米)。在所有五个国家和九个主要河流流域都观察到降雨量增加的趋势。越南的年降雨量趋势最高,为5.63 mm/年,老挝的年降雨量趋势最低,为3.16 mm/年。其中,湄南河流域年降水量趋势最大(11.21 mm/年),马来西亚半岛流域年降水量趋势最小(1.21 mm/年)。这些发现可以为该地区的气候变化监测做出重大贡献,并可以为农业、城市规划和灾害管理等部门的决策者提供帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Deep Learning-Based English-Chinese Translation Research 撤下:基于深度学习的英汉翻译研究
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9791526
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal Variability and Trends in Rainfall and Temperature in South Ethiopia: Implications for Climate Change Adaptations in Rural Communities 南埃塞俄比亚降雨和温度的时空变异和趋势:对农村社区适应气候变化的影响
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1155/2023/1939528
Daniel Dalle, Yisak Gecho, Sisay Belay Bedeke
Climate change is an environmental challenge for rural communities that rely heavily on rainwater-based agriculture. The main goal of this study is to investigate spatiotemporal variability and trends in rainfall and temperature in southern Ethiopia. Extreme temperature and rainfall indices were computed using the ClimPACT2 software. The detection and quantification of trends in rainfall and temperature extremes were analyzed using a nonparametric modified Mann–Kendall (MMK) test and Sen’s slope estimator. Results indicated that the mean annual rainfall has a declining trend at Boditi School and Mayokote stations with a statistically significant amount at magnitudes of 0.02 mm and 0.04 mm, respectively. The highest average monthly rainfall in the catchment was observed in the months of April, May, June, July, and August up to maximum rainfall of 117.50 mm, 177.43 mm, and 228.84 mm in Bilate Tena, Boditi, and Mayakote stations, respectively. On a seasonal scale, rainfall in Bilate Tena station was highly variable in all months, ranging from 49.54% to 126.92%, and three seasons except spring which showed moderate variation at 40.65%. In addition, the three locations over the catchment exhibited varied drought signs such as severe (1.28 < SRA < 1.65) and extreme drought (SRA > 1.65). The temperature indices, on the other hand, exhibited a warming trend over the catchment which was observed through an increased annual number of warm days (TX90p) and warm nights (TN90p) ranges from 0.274 to 6.03 and 0.274 to 3.16, respectively. The annual maximum value of the daily maximum temperature (TXx) ranges from 30.10 to 33.76°C in the three agroecological zones and showed low, medium, and high values in Dega, Woyna Dega, and Kola agroecologies, while the annual maximum value of the daily minimum temperature (TNx) ranged between 17 and 17.44°C at Dega and Kola, respectively. Therefore, based on trends in rainfall variability and persistent temperature rise, appropriate adaptation strategies should be adopted.
对于严重依赖雨水农业的农村社区来说,气候变化是一个环境挑战。本研究的主要目的是调查埃塞俄比亚南部降雨和温度的时空变化和趋势。利用ClimPACT2软件计算极端温度和降雨指数。利用非参数修正Mann-Kendall (MMK)检验和Sen 's斜率估计分析了降水和极端温度趋势的检测和量化。结果表明:Boditi School站和Mayokote站年平均降雨量呈下降趋势,分别在0.02 mm和0.04 mm量级有显著的统计学意义;4月、5月、6月、7月和8月降水量最高,Bilate Tena站、Boditi站和Mayakote站的最大降水量分别为117.50 mm、177.43 mm和228.84 mm。在季节尺度上,Bilate Tena站各月份的降雨量变化幅度较大,在49.54% ~ 126.92%之间,除春季变化幅度较小(40.65%)外,其余3个季节的降雨量变化幅度较小。此外,流域上的三个地点表现出不同的干旱迹象,如严重(1.28 <SRA & lt;1.65)和极端干旱(SRA >1.65)。暖日数(TX90p)和暖夜数(TN90p)分别为0.274 ~ 6.03和0.274 ~ 3.16,年增温趋势明显。3个农业生态区日最高气温(TXx)的年最大值为30.10 ~ 33.76℃,德加、沃伊纳德加和科拉农业生态区日最高气温(TNx)的年最大值为17 ~ 17.44℃,德加和科拉农业生态区日最高气温(TNx)的年最大值为低、中、高。因此,应根据降雨变率和气温持续上升的趋势,采取适当的适应策略。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial and Temporal Analysis of Rainfall Variability and Trends for Improved Climate Risk Management in Kayonza District, Eastern Rwanda 卢旺达东部Kayonza地区降雨变率和趋势的时空分析及气候风险管理改进
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1155/2023/5372701
Joseph Ndakize Sebaziga, Anthony Twahirwa, Jonah Kazora, Frank Rusanganwa, Mathieu Mugunga Mbati, Steven Higiro, Sandrine Guhirwa, Jean Claude Nyandwi, Jean Marry Vienney Niyitegeka
The variability, intensity, and distribution of rainfall have drawn a lot of interest globally and especially in nations where rainfed agriculture is the norm. This article uses rainfall data from the Rwanda Meteorology Agency for the years 1981 to 2021 to delineate and analyze rainfall variability and trends in the Kayonza District. The time series were grouped using the K-means clustering technique based on computed Euclidean distance, the total within-cluster sum of squares, and the elbow plot technique to determine the optimal number of clusters. The coefficient of variation measures was employed to analyze rainfall variability, while Sen’s slope and the Mann–Kendall (MK) test were used, respectively, to find trends and changes in magnitude. The results indicated four near homogeneous zones named region one to four. The dry seasons indicated higher variability compared to rainy seasons and annual rainfall total with a variability of 128–142% over the southeastern part during June to August (JJA) season, while a variability of 16–48% was observed over most of the district during both annual and rainy seasons. It was further noted that the areas in the central part of the Kayonza District indicated a significant increasing trend at a significance level of 95% and above during January to February (JF), September to December (SOND), and on annual basis, while March to May (MAM) and JJA season exhibited no significant trend. The findings of this study are essential for creating adequate mitigation strategies to lessen climate change’s effects on agriculture as well as other socioeconomic sectors.
降雨的变化、强度和分布在全球引起了人们的极大兴趣,尤其是在以雨养农业为常态的国家。本文使用卢旺达气象局1981年至2021年的降雨数据来描绘和分析Kayonza地区的降雨变化和趋势。使用基于计算欧几里得距离的k均值聚类技术、聚类内总平方和和肘形图技术对时间序列进行分组,以确定最佳聚类数。变异系数测量用于分析降雨变异性,Sen 's slope和Mann-Kendall (MK)检验分别用于发现趋势和变化幅度。结果显示了四个接近均匀的区域,命名为区域1至区域4。旱季的变率高于雨季和年降水量,6 ~ 8月(JJA)季东南地区的变率为128 ~ 142%,大部分地区的年和雨季的变率均为16 ~ 48%。在1 - 2月(JF)、9 - 12月(SOND)和年平均水平上,Kayonza地区中部呈显著增加趋势,显著性水平在95%以上,而3 - 5月(MAM)和JJA季节无显著趋势。这项研究的结果对于制定适当的缓解战略以减轻气候变化对农业以及其他社会经济部门的影响至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Research on Tourism Resource Evaluation Based on Artificial Intelligence Neural Network Model 基于人工智能神经网络模型的旅游资源评价研究
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9781801
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Research on the Design of Public Space in Urban Renewal Based on Multicriteria Cluster Decision-Making 基于多准则集群决策的城市更新公共空间设计研究
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9813087
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Evaluation Model of Eco-Environmental Economic Benefit Based on the Fuzzy Algorithm 基于模糊算法的生态环境经济效益评价模型
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9878041
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Detection Algorithm of Tennis Serve Mistakes Based on Feature Point Trajectory 基于特征点轨迹的网球发球失误检测算法
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9795750
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Automatic Capture Processing Method of Basketball Shooting Trajectory Based on Background Elimination Technology 基于背景消除技术的篮球投篮轨迹自动捕捉处理方法
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9756269
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Interaction Design of Educational App Based on Collaborative Filtering Recommendation 撤下:基于协同过滤推荐的教育App交互设计
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9813468
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
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Advances in Meteorology
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