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Retracted: Nitrogen Inversion Model in a Wetland Environment Based on the Canopy Reflectance of Emergent Plants 基于应急植物冠层反射率的湿地环境氮反演模型
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9794029
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the Return Periods and Hydroclimatic Parameters for Rainwater Drainage in the Coastal City of Cotonou in Benin under Climate Variability 气候变率下贝宁沿海城市科托努雨水回收期及水文气候参数评估
4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-09 DOI: 10.1155/2023/1752805
Djigbo Félicien Badou, José Hounkanrin, Jean Hounkpè, Luc Ollivier Sintondji, Agnidé Emmanuel Lawin
Cotonou, the economic capital of Benin, is suffering from the impacts of climate change, particularly evident through recurrent floods. To effectively manage these floods and address this issue, it is crucial to have a deep understanding of return periods and hydroclimatic parameters (such as intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves and related coefficients), which are essential for designing stormwater drainage structures. Determining return periods and these parameters requires statistical analysis of extreme events, and this analysis needs to be regularly updated in response to climate change. The objective of this study was to determine the necessary return periods and hydroclimatic parameters to improve stormwater drainage systems in the city and its surroundings areas. This required annual maximum precipitation series of 1, 2, 3, 6, 12, and 24 h for 20 years length (1999–2018) as well as flood record data. The intensity series, derived by dividing the amount of rainfall by its duration, was adjusted using Gumbel’s law. IDF curves were constructed based on Montana and Talbot models, and their coefficients were determined according to the corresponding return periods. In 2010, which witnessed devastating floods in the country, the return period for the most intense rainfall events was 40 years, followed by 2013 with a return period of 13.4 years. Consequently, the commonly used 10-year return period for the design of stormwater drainage structures in Cotonou is insufficient. The Talbot model produced the lowest mean square errors for each quantile series and coefficients of determination closest to one, indicating that the parameters obtained from this model are well suited for designing hydraulic structures in Cotonou. The hydroclimatic parameters presented in this study will contribute to the improved design of hydraulic structures in the city of Cotonou.
科托努是贝宁的经济首都,正在遭受气候变化的影响,特别是经常性的洪水。为了有效地管理这些洪水并解决这一问题,对重现期和水文气候参数(如强度-持续时间-频率(IDF)曲线和相关系数)有深入的了解是至关重要的,这对设计雨水排水结构至关重要。确定回复期和这些参数需要对极端事件进行统计分析,并且需要根据气候变化定期更新这种分析。这项研究的目的是确定必要的回潮期和水文气候参数,以改善城市及其周边地区的雨水排水系统。这需要1999-2018年20年(1、2、3、6、12和24 h)的年最大降水序列以及洪水记录数据。强度序列由降雨量除以持续时间得出,并使用甘贝尔定律进行调整。基于Montana和Talbot模型构建IDF曲线,并根据对应的回归期确定其系数。2010年发生特大洪水,最强降雨事件的重现期为40年,其次是2013年,重现期为13.4年。因此,通常用于科托努雨水排水结构设计的10年回复期是不够的。塔尔博特模型的各分位数序列均方误差最小,决定系数最接近于1,表明该模型得到的参数很适合科托努水工结构的设计。本研究中提出的水文气候参数将有助于科托努市水工结构的改进设计。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring and Control of Particulate Matter in Urban Area in Douala-Cameroon Town 杜阿拉-喀麦隆镇市区颗粒物监测与控制
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9967687
Séverin Mbog Mbog, Cyrille Adiang Mezoue, Yannick Cédric Ngangmo, D. Bitondo, Ruben Martin Mouangue
This study focused on the content of fine particle air pollution in the city of Douala. Several studies have analyzed pollution problems due to road traffic in Douala, Cameroon. Particle concentration levels are higher in heavy traffic than in light traffic. The population’s exposure to air pollution in cities is higher near roads. Several studies have analyzed pollution problems due to road traffic in Douala, Cameroon. In this city, the traffic density at the intersections is indeed higher. Thus, the question is as follows: Are these traffic areas hotspots of increased PM exposure levels? To determine it, four particle size fractions (PM10, PM2.5, PM5, and PM1) were collected using an “OC300 Gas and Dust Particle Laser Detector” for three months at different traffic locations (roundabouts or/and crossroads). Statistical analysis of the data shows very high concentrations at most measurement sites. PM concentrations at the different measurement sites are around 35.69-68.08 µg m−3 for PM1, 50.72-99.13 µg m−3 for PM2.5, 54.11-111.22 µg m−3 for PM5, and 57.97-119.25 µg m−3 for PM10. Exceedances of WHO daily guidelines for PM2.5 (45 µg m−3) and PM10 (15 µg m−3) were found during the measurement campaign, indicating that crossroads are the pollution hotspots in urban areas. Occupation of the roadsides for various economic activities (painting, restaurants, donut shops, etc.) is common in Cameroon, increasing health risks for people working around the roadside. Thus, crossroad locations are areas where the level of exposure to PMx is the highest on road traffics.
本研究的重点是杜阿拉市细颗粒物空气污染的含量。几项研究分析了喀麦隆杜阿拉市道路交通造成的污染问题。重度交通中的颗粒物浓度水平高于轻度交通。在城市中,道路附近的人口暴露在空气污染中的比例更高。几项研究分析了喀麦隆杜阿拉市道路交通造成的污染问题。在这个城市,十字路口的交通密度确实更高。因此,问题如下:这些交通区域是否是PM暴露水平增加的热点?为了确定它,使用“OC300气体和灰尘颗粒激光探测器”在不同的交通位置(环形交叉路口或/和十字路口)收集了四种颗粒大小的颗粒(PM10、PM2.5、PM5和PM1),为期三个月。对数据的统计分析显示,大多数测量点的浓度都很高。不同测量点的PM1 PM浓度约为35.69-68.08µg m−3,PM2.5 PM浓度为50.72-99.13µg m–3,PM5 PM浓度为54.11-111.22µg m-3,PM10 PM浓度为57.97-119.25µg m-3。在测量活动中发现PM2.5(45µg m−3)和PM10(15µg m–3)超过了世界卫生组织每日指南,这表明十字路口是城市地区的污染热点。在喀麦隆,各种经济活动(绘画、餐馆、甜甜圈店等)占用路边很常见,这增加了在路边工作的人的健康风险。因此,十字路口位置是道路交通中暴露于PMx水平最高的区域。
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引用次数: 0
Copula-Based Joint Flood Frequency Analysis: The Case of Guder River, Upper Blue Nile Basin, Ethiopia 基于copula的联合洪水频率分析:以埃塞俄比亚上青尼罗河流域古德河为例
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1155/2023/7637884
M. Haile, Rakesh Khosa, Asnake Kassahun Abebe, Ayansa Teshome Gelalcha, Abera Misgana Tolera
The univariate analysis of hydrological extremes is a well-established practice in developing countries such as Ethiopia. However, for the design of hydrological and hydraulic systems, it is essential to have a thorough understanding of flood event characteristics, including volumes, peaks, time of occurrence, and duration. This study utilizes copula functions for bivariate modeling of flood peak and volume characteristics, examining the performance of four Archimedean copulas in the Guder basin located in Ethiopia from 1987 to 2017. Flood peak and volume were extracted using the theory of runs for analysis of their joint characteristics with the truncation level chosen as equal to the lowest annual maximum event. Univariate distributions with the best fitness on both variables were determined, and results showed that gamma and GEV-fitted flood peaks and lognormal-fitted flood volumes are the most suitable. Four Archimedean copulas were evaluated, and the Gumbel-Hougaard copula was found to be the best fit for the data based on graphical and measurable tests. Bivariate probability and return period were computed in “AND” and “OR” states. The joint return period for flood peak (97.49 m3/s) and volume (77.35 m3/s) was found to be 15 years in the “AND” state and approximately 4 years in the “OR” state. The study also evaluates univariate and conditional return periods, comparing them with the primary one. The copula method was an effective method for distributing marginal variables, highlighting its potential as a valuable tool in flood management.
水文极端情况的单变量分析在埃塞俄比亚等发展中国家是一种行之有效的做法。然而,对于水文和水力系统的设计,必须全面了解洪水事件的特征,包括体积、峰值、发生时间和持续时间。本研究利用copula函数对埃塞俄比亚Guder流域1987 - 2017年4个阿基米德copula函数的洪峰和体积特征进行了二元建模。利用运行理论提取洪峰和洪量,分析其联合特征,截断水平取最小年最大事件。结果表明,gamma和gev拟合的洪峰和对数正态拟合的洪量是最合适的。对四种阿基米德联结公式进行了评价,通过图形和可测量的试验,发现Gumbel-Hougaard联结公式最适合数据。二元概率和回归周期在“与”和“或”状态下计算。洪峰(97.49 m3/s)和水量(77.35 m3/s)的联合回归周期在“与”状态下为15年,在“或”状态下约为4年。本文还对单变量回归期和条件回归期进行了评价,并与主要回归期进行了比较。该方法是一种有效的边际变量分布方法,在洪水管理中具有重要的应用价值。
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引用次数: 0
Modes of Atmospheric Energetics Based on HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL Simulations in the Framework of CMIP6 CMIP6框架下基于HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL模拟的大气能量学模式
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-09-02 DOI: 10.1155/2023/3956086
Silas Michaelides
In this study, the focus is on investigating how different climate scenarios, as they have been adopted in Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), can lead to different regimes in the energetics components in Lorenz’s energy cycle, hence impacting the “working rate” of the climate system, which is considered as a “heat engine.” The four energy forms on which this investigation is based on are the zonal and eddy components of the available potential and kinetic energies. The permissible correspondingly considered transformations between these forms of energy are also studied. Generation of available potential energy and dissipation of kinetic energy complete the Lorenz energy cycle that is adopted here. In the CMIP6 approach, the results of different climate change analyses were collected in a matrix defined by two dimensions: climate exposure as characterized by a radiative forcing or temperature level and socioeconomic development as classified by the pathways, known as Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The basis of the calculations in this study is the climatic projection produced by the HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL climatic model in the period from 2015 to 2100. In this respect, the results are presented in terms of time projections of the energetics components under different SSPs. The results have shown that the different SSPs yield diverse energetics regimes, consequently impacting on Lorenz energy cycle and, hence, a “working rate” of the climate system based on the components of this cycle. In this respect, Lorenz energy cycle projections are presented, under different SSPs. The results are also contrasted to the calculations for the historical period 1929 to 2014 as this is simulated by the same climatic model.
在本研究中,重点是研究耦合模式比较项目(CMIP6)第6阶段采用的不同气候情景如何导致洛伦兹能量循环中能量学成分的不同状态,从而影响气候系统的“工作速率”,气候系统被认为是“热机”。本研究所依据的四种能量形式是可用势能和动能的纬向和涡流分量。还研究了这些形式的能量之间允许的相应考虑的转换。可用势能的产生和动能的耗散完成了这里采用的洛伦兹能量循环。在CMIP6方法中,不同气候变化分析的结果被收集到一个由两个维度定义的矩阵中:以辐射强迫或温度水平为特征的气候暴露和按路径分类的社会经济发展,称为共享社会经济路径(ssp)。本研究的计算基础是HadGEM3-GC3.1-LL气候模式2015 - 2100年的气候预估。在这方面,结果是在不同ssp下能量分量的时间投影。结果表明,不同的ssp产生不同的能量机制,从而影响洛伦兹能量循环,从而影响基于该循环组成部分的气候系统的“工作速率”。在这方面,给出了不同ssp下的Lorenz能量周期预测。结果还与1929年至2014年历史时期的计算结果进行了对比,因为这是由相同的气候模式模拟的。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing Variability and Trends of Rainfall and Temperature for the District of Musanze in Rwanda 卢旺达穆桑泽地区降雨量和温度的变化和趋势评估
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-25 DOI: 10.1155/2023/7177776
Anthony Twahirwa, C. Oludhe, P. Omondi, G. Rwanyiziri, Joseph Sebaziga Ndakize
Variability in rainfall and temperature results in different impacts on agricultural practices. Assessesment of variability and trend of rainfall and temperature for the district of Musanze in Rwanda was conducted using six meteorological stations for a period of 37 years, ranging from 1981 to 2018, and data were obtained from Rwanda Meteorology Agency. Musanze district is located in highland areas of Rwanda, understanding the variability and trend in rainfall and temperature is paramount to increase the uptake of climate information and support strategic orientation. The Mann–Kendall nonparametric test and modified Mann–Kendall were used to assess the trend in rainfall and temperature, whereas Sen’s slope estimator was used to assess the magnitude of change. The results from both methods showed much similarity and consistency. The assessment of variability and trend in rainfall and temperature in Musanza district indicated that increasing temperature and decreasing rainfall trends gave an indication of changes in variability and trend in rainfall and temperature. The annual pattern revealed a substantial downward tendency of −25.7% for Nyange, the only station with constant decreasing trend over all seasons, DJF, −61.4%, SON, −12.2%, JJA, −40.3%, and MAM, −4.35. Temperature analysis for both maximum and minimum indicated increasing trend which was signal for constant warming up in the area. The results from coefficient of variation indicated a high disparity in rainfall variation from June to August which ranged between 51 and 74%, and other seasons changes were moderate.
降雨和温度的变化对农业实践产生了不同的影响。利用卢旺达气象局提供的数据,利用1981 - 2018年37年的6个气象站对卢旺达Musanze地区降雨和温度的变率和趋势进行了评估。Musanze地区位于卢旺达的高地地区,了解降雨和温度的变化和趋势对于增加对气候信息的吸收和支持战略定位至关重要。使用Mann-Kendall非参数检验和修正Mann-Kendall检验来评估降雨和温度的趋势,而使用Sen斜率估计来评估变化幅度。两种方法的计算结果具有很大的相似性和一致性。对木桑扎地区降水和温度的变率和趋势评价表明,增温和降水减少的趋势反映了降水和温度的变率和趋势变化。年平均下降趋势为- 25.7%,是唯一一个四季持续下降的站点,DJF为- 61.4%,SON为- 12.2%,JJA为- 40.3%,MAM为- 4.35。最高和最低温度分析均显示出上升趋势,这是该地区持续升温的信号。变异系数结果表明,6 ~ 8月降水量变化差异较大,在51% ~ 74%之间,其他季节变化不大。
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Study on Meteorological Disaster Monitoring of Field Fruit Industry by Remote Sensing Data 撤下:大田果业气象灾害遥感监测研究
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9894576
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: Research on the Optimization of Agricultural Industry Structure Based on Genetic Algorithm 基于遗传算法的农业产业结构优化研究
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9858710
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Retracted: A Personalized Recommendation Method for Short Drama Videos Based on External Index Features 基于外部索引特征的短视频个性化推荐方法
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-23 DOI: 10.1155/2023/9823485
Advances in Meteorology
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引用次数: 0
Application of K-Nearest Neighbor Classification for Static Webcams Visibility Observation k近邻分类在静态网络摄像机能见度观测中的应用
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-21 DOI: 10.1155/2023/6285569
David Sládek
Visibility observations and accurate forecasts are essential in meteorology, requiring a dense network of observation stations. This paper investigates image processing techniques for object detection and visibility determination using static cameras. It proposes a comprehensive method that includes image preprocessing, landmark identification, and visibility estimation, mirroring the observation process of professional meteorological observers. This study validates the visibility observation procedure using the k-nearest neighbors machine learning method across six locations, including four in the Czech Republic, one in the USA, and one in Germany. By comparing our results with professional observations, the paper demonstrates the suitability of the proposed method for operational application, particularly in foggy and low visibility conditions. This versatile method holds potential for adoption by meteorological services worldwide.
能见度观测和准确预报在气象学中是必不可少的,需要一个密集的观测站网络。本文研究了静态摄像机中用于目标检测和能见度确定的图像处理技术。提出了一种包括图像预处理、地标识别和能见度估计在内的综合方法,反映了专业气象观测员的观测过程。本研究使用k近邻机器学习方法在六个地点验证了能见度观测过程,包括四个在捷克共和国,一个在美国,一个在德国。通过将我们的结果与专业观测结果进行比较,本文证明了所提出的方法在实际应用中的适用性,特别是在多雾和低能见度条件下。这种多用途的方法有可能被世界各地的气象部门采用。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Advances in Meteorology
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