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Progressive and Prospective Technology for Cloud Seeding Experiment by Unmanned Aerial Vehicle and Atmospheric Research Aircraft in Korea 韩国无人机和大气研究飞机播云实验技术的进展与展望
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.1155/2022/3128657
Woonseon Jung, J. Cha, A.-Reum Ko, Sanghee Chae, Yonghun Ro, Hyun Jun Hwang, Bu-Yo Kim, J. Ku, Ki-Ho Chang, C. Lee
This study applies a novel cloud seeding method using an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and a research aircraft in Korea. For this experiment, the UAV sprayed a cloud seeding material (calcium chloride), and the aircraft monitored the clouds in the southern part of the Korean Peninsula on April 25, 2019. Cloud observation equipment in the aircraft indicated an increase in the number concentration and average particle size of large cloud particles after the seeding. Weather radar reflectivity increased by approximately 10 dBZ above the experimental area due to the development of clouds and precipitation systems. Rain was observed after seeding, and 0.5 mm was recorded, including natural and mixed precipitation from the cloud seeding. In addition, it showed that the rapid increase in the number of raindrops and vertical reflectivity was approximately 10 dBZ. Therefore, these results showed the possibility of cloud seeding using UAVs and atmospheric research aircraft. The effects of cloud seeding are indicated through the increased number concentration and size of cloud particles, radar reflectivity, and ground-based precipitation detection.
这项研究应用了一种新的云播种方法,使用无人机和韩国的研究飞机。在这次实验中,无人机喷洒了一种播云材料(氯化钙),飞机于2019年4月25日监测了朝鲜半岛南部的云层。飞机上的云观测设备显示,播种后,大型云粒子的数量浓度和平均粒径有所增加。天气雷达反射率增加了约10 由于云层和降水系统的发展,实验区上空的dBZ。播种后出现降雨,0.5 毫米,包括来自云层播种的自然降水和混合降水。此外,研究表明,雨滴数量和垂直反射率的快速增加约为10 dBZ。因此,这些结果显示了使用无人机和大气研究飞机进行云层播种的可能性。通过增加云粒子的数量、浓度和大小、雷达反射率和地面降水探测来表明播云的影响。
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引用次数: 5
Estimation of Solar Insolation and Angstrom–Prescott Coefficients Using Sunshine Hours over Nepal 利用尼泊尔日照时数估算太阳日照和Angstrom-Prescott系数
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-22 DOI: 10.1155/2022/3593922
U. Joshi, P. M. Shrestha, Suraj Maharjan, A. Bhattarai, N. Bhattarai, N. P. Chapagain, I. B. Karki, K. Poudyal
The amount of solar insolation that reaches the Earth in one hour is sufficient to fulfill its annual energy budget. One of the challenges for harvesting this energy is due to a lack of relevant data. In the least developed countries like Nepal, the number of observation stations is insufficient. This data gap can be filled by employing credible empirical models to estimate solar insolation in regions where insolation measurements are not available. In this paper, Angstrom–Prescott model parameters are estimated for fifteen different locations of Nepal. Then, correlation is developed for the prediction of solar insolation using only sunshine hour data. The different statistical parameters such as root mean square error (RMSE = 1.958), mean bias error (MBE = −0.018), mean percentage error (MPE = 2.973), coefficient of residual mass (CRM = 0.001), and correlation coefficient (r = 0.909) were used to validate the developed coefficients. The resulting Angstrom–Prescott coefficients are a = 0.239 and b = 0.508. These coefficients can be utilized for the prediction of solar energy at different parts of the country in similar weather conditions.
每小时到达地球的太阳辐射量足以满足地球一年的能量收支。收集这种能量的挑战之一是由于缺乏相关数据。在尼泊尔等最不发达国家,观测站的数量不足。这一数据缺口可以通过采用可靠的经验模型来估计无法获得日照测量的地区的太阳日照来填补。本文估计了尼泊尔15个不同地点的Angstrom-Prescott模式参数。然后,建立了仅利用日照时数预测太阳日晒的相关关系。采用均方根误差(RMSE = 1.958)、平均偏置误差(MBE =−0.018)、平均百分比误差(MPE = 2.973)、剩余质量系数(CRM = 0.001)和相关系数(r = 0.909)等统计参数对拟合系数进行验证。得到的埃斯特-普雷斯科特系数a = 0.239, b = 0.508。这些系数可用于类似天气条件下全国不同地区的太阳能预报。
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引用次数: 1
Research on the Optimization of Agricultural Industry Structure Based on Genetic Algorithm 基于遗传算法的农业产业结构优化研究
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-13 DOI: 10.1155/2022/3748080
Lingxia Liu
Due to the complexity and importance of optimizing and adjusting the crop planting structure in the Jianghuai hilly Tangba irrigation area between the upper reaches of the Huaihe River from Xinyang to the lower reaches of the Huaihe River in China, and based on experimental results from the Feidong Badou Irrigation Experiment Station, the farmland was modeled using rainfall and runoff data from the Tangba irrigation area. By examining the water balance of submerged irrigation, an optimization model of the agricultural industry structure was developed using genetic algorithms, and the model was solved using an accelerated genetic algorithm. Developing the research findings may provide scientific and technological support for adjusting the planting structure and formulation of irrigation systems in the Jianghuai Hills and Tangba irrigation area between the upper reaches of the Huaihe River and Xinyang, as well as significant practical guiding significance and application value.
考虑到中国淮河上游信阳至淮河下游江淮丘陵汤坝灌区作物种植结构优化调整的复杂性和重要性,基于肥东八斗灌区试验站的试验结果,采用汤坝灌区降雨径流数据对农田进行模拟。在考察浸水灌溉水量平衡的基础上,利用遗传算法建立了农业产业结构优化模型,并采用加速遗传算法对模型进行求解。研究成果的开展,可为淮河上游与信阳之间的江淮丘陵和塘坝灌区调整种植结构和灌溉制度制定提供科技支撑,具有重要的现实指导意义和应用价值。
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引用次数: 2
Solar GHI Ensemble Prediction Based on a Meteorological Model and Method Kalman Filter 基于气象模式和卡尔曼滤波方法的太阳GHI集合预报
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-10 DOI: 10.1155/2022/1523198
Yuanyuan Liu
The intensity of light emanating from sun is determined by using a meteorological version and is altered with the numerical version, and the forecast accuracy is improved in advance by using Kalman Filter. As the accuracy of the version output related to its specific position is often questionable, group prediction constituting three members is suggested and agreed upon measurement. Also, this ensemble prediction provides an estimation of the solar global horizontal irradiance uncertainty (i.e., coverage rate of the prediction interval), which can be useful to provide flexible energy production forecasts. This article displays how the method Kalman filter could be used as an error correction way to alter the predicted irradiance value. The Kalman filter ameliorates the prediction of solar global horizontal irradiance as well as its interval. As the empirical coverage rate increases and closes to the nominal coverage rate, the interval size reduces.
通过使用气象版本来确定太阳发出的光的强度,并用数值版本进行修改,并且通过使用卡尔曼滤波器来提前提高预测精度。由于与版本输出的特定位置相关的版本输出的准确性通常是有问题的,因此建议并商定由三个成员组成的组预测。此外,该集合预测提供了对太阳能全球水平辐照度不确定性(即预测区间的覆盖率)的估计,这对于提供灵活的能源生产预测是有用的。本文展示了如何使用卡尔曼滤波器作为误差校正方法来改变预测辐照度值。卡尔曼滤波器改进了太阳全球水平辐照度及其区间的预测。随着经验覆盖率的增加并接近标称覆盖率,区间大小减小。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical Learning-Based Spatial Downscaling Models for Precipitation Distribution 基于统计学习的降水分布空间降尺度模型
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-07 DOI: 10.1155/2022/3140872
Yichen Wu, Zhihua Zhang, M. Crabbe, Lipon Chandra Das
The downscaling technique produces high spatial resolution precipitation distribution in order to analyze impacts of climate change in data-scarce regions or local scales. In this study, based on three statistical learning algorithms, such as support vector machine (SVM), random forest regression (RF), and gradient boosting regressor (GBR), we proposed an efficient downscaling approach to produce high spatial resolution precipitation. In order to demonstrate efficiency and accuracy of our models over traditional multilinear regression (MLR) downscaling models, we did a downscaling analysis for daily observed precipitation data from 34 monitoring sites in Bangladesh. Validation revealed that R 2 of GBR could reach 0.98, compared with RF (0.94), SVM (0.88), and multilinear regression (MLR) (0.69) models, so the GBR-based downscaling model had the best performance among all four downscaling models. We suggest that the GBR-based downscaling models should be used to replace traditional MLR downscaling models to produce a more accurate map of high-resolution precipitation for flood disaster management, drought forecasting, and long-term planning of land and water resources.
降尺度技术产生高空间分辨率的降水分布,以便在数据匮乏的地区或地方尺度上分析气候变化的影响。在本研究中,基于支持向量机(SVM)、随机森林回归(RF)和梯度增强回归(GBR)三种统计学习算法,我们提出了一种高效的降尺度方法来产生高空间分辨率的降水。为了证明我们的模型相对于传统的多线性回归(MLR)降尺度模型的效率和准确性,我们对孟加拉国34个监测点的每日观测降水数据进行了降尺度分析。验证表明,与RF(0.94)、SVM(0.88)和多线性回归(MLR)(0.69)模型相比,GBR的R2可以达到0.98,因此基于GBR的降尺度模型在所有四个降尺度模型中具有最好的性能。我们建议,应使用基于GBR的降尺度模型来取代传统的MLR降尺度模型,以生成更准确的高分辨率降水图,用于洪水灾害管理、干旱预测和土地和水资源的长期规划。
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引用次数: 3
Characteristics of Summer Precipitation in Chongqing Based on Hourly Rain Gauges Data 基于逐时雨量计的重庆市夏季降水特征
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1155/2022/8187897
Yi Liu, Yaping Zhang, Jianping Zhang, Yonghua Li, Danhua Zhai, Fang Luo, Yong Zhang, Guo-xing Zhou
Based on the hourly precipitation data of 34 meteorological stations in Chongqing in the summers (June to August) from 1996 to 2015, the spatial distribution and daily variation of precipitation amount (PA), precipitation intensity (PI), precipitation frequency (PF), and precipitation extremes in Chongqing are analyzed. The results show that, from the perspective of spatial distribution, the precipitation amount (PA) in Chongqing presents a distribution pattern of more around and less in the middle; the area with high precipitation intensity (PI) is mainly located in the northeast of Chongqing; the large value centers of precipitation frequency (PF) are located in the south and west of Chongqing and near Chengkou. On the spatial distribution of hourly precipitation, the precipitation in most areas of Chongqing is mainly concentrated at night [0200–0900 BT (1800–0100 UTC)], and the rain belt spreads from west to east with the passage of time. On the whole, interannual evolution characteristics of summer precipitation amount, precipitation intensity, and precipitation frequency in Chongqing are basically the same, showing a fluctuation characteristic without obvious trend, but there are some peaks and valleys. From the perspective of diurnal cycle, a larger peak of PA in Chongqing appears near 0300 BT (1900 UTC), another lower peak around 1200 BT (0400 UTC), a larger peak of PI around 0300 BT (1900 UTC), another smaller peak around 1500 BT (0700 UTC), and only one peak of PF around 0700 BT (2300 UTC). The extreme precipitation of different duration in summer in Chongqing is closely related to the topographic characteristics and weather system, the extreme centers of each diachronic precipitation are mainly located near Shapingba, Kaizhou, Youyang, and Shizhu, and the time evolution characteristics of the extreme precipitation are not obvious, but the trend of the extreme precipitation accumulated in 1 h, 3 h, 6 h, or 12 h is basically the same.
利用重庆市34个气象站1996~2015年夏季(6~8月)的小时降水资料,分析了重庆市降水量(PA)、降水强度(PI)、降水频率(PF)和极端降水的空间分布和日变化规律。结果表明,从空间分布的角度看,重庆市降水量呈现出周边多、中部少的分布格局;强降水区主要分布在重庆东北部;降水频率大值中心位于重庆市南部、西部、城口附近。在小时降水量的空间分布上,重庆大部分地区的降水主要集中在夜间[0200–0900 BT(1800–0100 UTC)],随着时间的推移,雨带由西向东扩展。总体而言,重庆夏季降水量、降水强度和降水频率的年际演变特征基本相同,呈现波动特征,没有明显的趋势,但也存在一些波峰和波谷。从日周期来看,重庆PA的一个较大峰值出现在0300 BT(1900 UTC)附近,另一个较低峰值出现在1200 BT(0400 UTC)左右,PI的一个较大峰值出现在10300 BT(1900UTC)附近;另一个较小峰值出现在1500 BT(0700 UTC)附近。PF只有一个峰值出现在0700 BT(2300 UTC)左右。重庆夏季不同持续时间的极端降水与地形特征和天气系统密切相关,各历时性降水的极端中心主要位于沙坪坝、开州、酉阳、石竹附近,极端降水的时间演化特征不明显,但1 h、 3 h、 6 h、 或12 h基本相同。
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引用次数: 1
The Effect of Humidity and Temperature on Indoor and Outdoor COVID-19 Infections 湿度和温度对室内外新冠肺炎感染的影响
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1155/2022/4496679
J. M. Salih
Environmental conditions and their association with COVID-19 have significantly attracted scientists’ attention. The current study links COVID-19 with climate indicators by comparing two configurations: indoor infections in a University of Duhok (UOD) building and outdoor infections within the boundaries of the Duhok Governorate (DG). The collected data included temperature and relative humidity (RH) and confirmed cases for indoor and outdoor configurations over 5 and 11 months, respectively. For the indoor infections, data were collected over the period of 5 weekdays, while for the outdoor infections, they were collected on the days when statistics were published. The prospective cross-section design was used for different statistical analyses. The overall indoor infections were very low, and the maximum values for RH and temperature were approximately <24% and <20°C, respectively; in the one-sample t-test, the results were significantly correlated ( p value <0.05) with the confirmed COVID-19 cases. For outdoor infections, using the correlation bivariate method, the study found that the RH and temperature results significantly correlated ( p value <0.05) with the confirmed COVID-19 cases. However, for indoor configuration, other than for Tmax, the results were not associated. As for the outdoor infections, the RH and temperature averages were high enough to put in groups to employ the one-way repeated ANOVA and general linear model with the same results. The means of the RHlow, RHmedium, and RHh groups were significantly correlated ( p value <0.05) with COVID-19. However, the means of the medium RH and high RH groups were not significantly associated with the increasing outdoor infections. This study will contribute to the reduction of overall COVID-19 infections.
环境条件及其与新冠肺炎的关联显著吸引了科学家的注意。目前的研究通过比较两种配置将新冠肺炎与气候指标联系起来:杜克大学(UOD)大楼内的室内感染和杜克省(DG)边界内的室外感染。收集的数据包括温度和相对湿度(RH),以及分别在5个月和11个月内室内和室外配置的确诊病例。对于室内感染,数据是在5个工作日内收集的,而对于室外感染,数据则是在公布统计数据的当天收集的。前瞻性横截面设计用于不同的统计分析。室内总体感染率非常低,相对湿度和温度的最大值分别约<24%和<20°C;在单样本t检验中,结果与确诊的新冠肺炎病例显著相关(p值<0.05)。对于室外感染,使用相关双变量方法,研究发现RH和温度结果与新冠肺炎确诊病例显著相关(p值<0.05)。然而,对于室内配置,除了Tmax,结果没有关联。至于室外感染,RH和温度的平均值足够高,可以分组使用单向重复方差分析和一般线性模型,得到相同的结果。RHlow、RHmedium和RHh组的平均值与新冠肺炎显著相关(p值<0.05)。然而,中等相对湿度和高相对湿度组的平均值和室外感染的增加并没有显著相关性。这项研究将有助于减少新冠肺炎的总体感染。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Typhoons of Different Intensities on Short-Term Precipitation in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River in Summer 不同强度台风对长江中下游夏季短时降水的影响
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.1155/2022/6227798
Zhongwu Zhang
According to China’s reanalyzed meteorological dataset (CN05.1), a 6-h track intensity typhoon meteorological dataset in the Western Pacific, three types of short-term precipitation are described to study the impact of typhoons on summer rainfall of different intensities in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River: short-term extreme precipitation (95% quantile), short-term heavy precipitation (75% quantile), and normal precipitation (below the lower limit of the 75% quantile threshold). The results show that the amount of short-term extreme precipitation is 1.8 and 3.7 times that of normal precipitation and short-term heavy precipitation, respectively. Considerable interannual and interdecadal fluctuations in the proportion of short-term heavy precipitation and extreme precipitation during summer are affected by typhoons, with a wide range of changes occurring between 1980 and 2000. The areas with high amounts of short-term heavy precipitation and extreme precipitation are distributed mostly in the middle and southern parts of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River, whereas areas with a high amount of normal precipitation are distributed mostly in the southeastern parts of the river. The spatial distribution of the three intensities of rainfall affected by typhoons is consistent, with a gradual decrease from southeast to northwest; in addition, the spatial distribution of the proportion of total summer rainfall has similar characteristics. The three intensities of precipitation are affected by the spatial distribution of the typhoon path frequency, and the distribution of the high-value areas is essentially the same as that of precipitation. This indicates that most of the typhoons that affect summer precipitation pass through the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River.
根据中国西太平洋6小时路径强度台风气象数据集(CN05.1),描述了三种类型的短期降水,研究了台风对长江中下游不同强度夏季降水的影响:短期极端降水(95%分位数),短期强降水(75%分位数)和正常降水(低于75%分位数阈值的下限)。结果表明,短时极端降水量分别是正常降水量和短时强降水量的1.8倍和3.7倍。夏季短期强降水和极端降水比例的年际和年代际波动很大,受台风影响,1980年至2000年期间变化范围很大。短时强降水量和极端降水量高的地区主要分布在长江中下游中南部,正常降水量大的地区多分布在长江东南部。台风影响的三种降雨强度的空间分布是一致的,从东南到西北逐渐减弱;此外,夏季总降水量占比的空间分布也具有相似的特征。三种降水强度受台风路径频率空间分布的影响,高值区的分布与降水基本相同。这表明,影响夏季降水的台风大多经过长江中下游地区。
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引用次数: 1
Interaction Design of Educational App Based on Collaborative Filtering Recommendation 基于协同过滤推荐的教育类App交互设计
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-05-27 DOI: 10.1155/2022/7768730
Ying Xu, Kian Neo Tse, Hin Hew Soon
With the advent of the 5G digital era, cell phones are becoming ubiquitous in all aspects of our lives, and the increasing demand for remote interaction makes the app interaction experience an indispensable part of our lives. Due to the operational characteristics of gesture interaction in the interface of a smart terminal application (app), this mode of human-computer interaction has become the mainstream mode of human-computer interaction. Educational app is the result of a combination between mobile Internet technology and education, which not only provides a more efficient and convenient method of learning for each subject but also expands the possibilities for teaching each subject through intelligent interaction. On this basis, this paper proposes an educational app design method based on collaborative filtering recommendations and investigates ways to improve the use of mobile apps to create an interactive teaching mode. Simultaneously, this paper combines user activity, item popularity, and time factors to comprehensively measure user visibility of items and incorporates them into the collaborative filtering recommendation algorithm in order to effectively mitigate the effects of data sparsity and user selection bias and improve recommendation results.
随着5G数字时代的到来,手机在我们生活的方方面面都变得无处不在,对远程交互的需求不断增加,使应用交互体验成为我们生活中不可或缺的一部分。由于手势交互在智能终端应用程序界面中的操作特性,这种人机交互模式已成为人机交互的主流模式。教育应用程序是移动互联网技术与教育相结合的产物,它不仅为每门学科提供了更高效、更方便的学习方法,而且通过智能交互扩展了每门学科的教学可能性。在此基础上,本文提出了一种基于协同过滤推荐的教育应用程序设计方法,并研究了提高移动应用程序使用率的方法,以创建一种交互式教学模式。同时,本文结合用户活动性、项目受欢迎程度和时间因素,综合衡量项目的用户可见性,并将其纳入协同过滤推荐算法中,以有效缓解数据稀疏性和用户选择偏差的影响,提高推荐结果。
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引用次数: 1
Harmonization and Verification of Three National European Icing Forecast Models Using Pilot Reports 三种欧洲国家结冰预报模式的统一与验证
IF 2.9 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2022-05-26 DOI: 10.1155/2022/7920779
C. Knigge, K. Bennett, C. Le Bot, Mara Gehlen-Zeller, S. Koos
The Single European Sky Air Traffic Management Research (SESAR) program aims at modernizing and harmonizing the European airspace, which currently has a strongly fragmented character. Besides turbulence and convection, in-flight icing is part of SESAR and can be seen as one of the most important meteorological phenomena, which may lead to hazardous flight conditions for aircraft. In this study, several methods with varying complexities are analyzed for combining three individual in-flight icing forecasts based on numerical weather prediction models from Deutscher Wetterdienst, Météo-France, and Met Office. The optimal method will then be used to operate one single harmonized in-flight icing forecast over Europe. As verification data, pilot reports (PIREPs) are used, which provide information about hazardous weather and are currently the only direct regular measure of in-flight icing events available. In order to assess the individual icing forecasts and the resulting combinations, the probability of detection skill score is calculated based on multicategory contingency tables for the forecast icing intensities. The scores are merged into a single skill score to give an overview of the quality of the icing forecast and enable comparison of the different model combination approaches. The concluding results show that the most complex combination approach, which uses iteratively optimized weighting factors for each model, provides the best forecast quality according to the PIREPs. The combination of the three icing forecasts results in a harmonized icing forecast that exceeds the skill of each individual icing forecast, thus providing an improvement to in-flight icing forecasts over Europe.
单一欧洲天空空中交通管理研究(SESAR)计划旨在实现欧洲空域的现代化和统一,目前欧洲空域具有高度分散的特点。除了湍流和对流,飞行中结冰也是SESAR的一部分,可以被视为最重要的气象现象之一,这可能会导致飞机的危险飞行条件。在这项研究中,基于Deutscher Wetterdienst、Météo-France和Met Office的数值天气预测模型,分析了几种具有不同复杂性的方法,以结合三种单独的飞行结冰预测。然后,将使用最佳方法在欧洲上空进行一次统一的飞行结冰预测。作为验证数据,使用了飞行员报告(PIREP),该报告提供了有关危险天气的信息,是目前唯一可用的飞行结冰事件的直接定期测量。为了评估单个结冰预测和由此产生的组合,基于预测结冰强度的多类别列联表来计算检测技能得分的概率。将这些分数合并为单个技能分数,以概述结冰预测的质量,并能够比较不同的模型组合方法。结论结果表明,最复杂的组合方法,即对每个模型使用迭代优化的加权因子,根据PIREP提供了最佳的预测质量。三个结冰预报的结合产生了一个统一的结冰预报,超过了每个单独结冰预报的能力,从而改进了欧洲上空的飞行结冰预报。
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引用次数: 0
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