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MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS AND THEIR IMPACTS ON STOCK MARKET RETURNS: EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ON NIGERIAN STOCK EXCHANGE 宏观经济指标及其对股票市场收益的影响:基于尼日利亚证券交易所的实证分析
Pub Date : 2022-12-02 DOI: 10.56557/jet/2022/v7i27949
Williams Odiche, O. E. Alukpe, K. Agu
This study examines macroeconomic indicators and their impacts on stock market returns in Nigeria from 1986 to 2018. The study employs secondary data culled from the central bank of Nigeria's statistical bulletin. The paper utilized data techniques of the unit root test, Ordinary least square, the Johansen co-integration, the Pairwise Granger causality test, and the error correction model. The study shown a long-run relationship among market capitalization and macroeconomic indicators of inflation rate, interest rate, exchange rate, and money supply estimates for approximately 68% variations in market capitalization in the long run. The parsimonious error correction model which is rightly and significantly signed with a co-efficient of -0.454773 is an indication that over 45% variation in market capitalization can be corrected over a year using our selected independent variables. The Granger causality test shows absence of bidirectional relationship among any of our independent variables and market capitalization. The study recommends that appropriate interest rate policies should be initiated that will guide the operation in the capital markets as well as other macroeconomic indicators in view of demonstrated negative relationship between stock prices and interest rate. Also, authorities should implement policies which will reduce inflation Rate to a minimal level and to boast up standard of living in the countries.
本研究考察了1986年至2018年尼日利亚宏观经济指标及其对股票市场回报的影响。这项研究采用了从尼日利亚中央银行统计公报中挑选出来的二手数据。本文运用了单位根检验、普通最小二乘检验、约翰森协整检验、两两格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型等数据技术。该研究表明,市场资本与宏观经济指标(通货膨胀率、利率、汇率和货币供应量)之间存在长期关系,对市场资本的长期变化估计约为68%。简约的误差修正模型正确且显著地签署了-0.454773的协效,这表明使用我们选择的自变量,超过45%的市值变化可以在一年内得到纠正。格兰杰因果检验表明,自变量与市值之间不存在双向关系。研究报告建议,鉴于股票价格与利率之间已显示出负相关关系,应采取适当的利率政策,指导资本市场的运作以及其他宏观经济指标。此外,当局应该实施政策,将通货膨胀率降低到最低水平,并提高国家的生活水平。
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引用次数: 0
ASYMMETRIC IMPACTS AMONG OIL PRICE SHOCKS, GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES, MONETARY RESERVES, EXCHANGE RATE IN KSA: EVIDENCE FROM A NON-LINEAR ARDL APPROACH 油价冲击、政府支出、货币储备、沙特汇率之间的不对称影响:来自非线性分析方法的证据
Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.56557/jet/2022/v7i17870
H. A. Fadol
This study examines the influence of oil price shocks on government expenditures; monetary reserves; exchange rate in KSA 1970-2020. For this purpose, we employed a non-linear autoregressive distributed lag NARDL approach to disentangle the effects of positive, and negative shocks; identify the existence of structural factors and we employed the traditional unit root tests and the unit root tests with structural breaks to verify stationery. Through the application of the NARDL model, we confirm the presence of co-integration between oil price shocks; government expenditures, monetary reserves, and exchange rate in KSA. The results show that the asymmetry hypothesis is valid for the long run and short run which suggests that the oil price shocks are sensitive to the variation in the macroeconomic indicators. This means that these macroeconomic indicators play an important role in oil price shocks. And how to absorb these shocks in the long run. The findings of this study suggest that in the short run, the oil price is negatively influenced by the Monetary Reserves, and positively by the exchange rate; government expenditures. Results support the nonlinear proposition wherein positive shocks are compared to negative shocks. Complementary macroeconomic policy guidelines; the policy of rationalization of spending and the stability of the exchange rate in KSA can help to reinstate transform their economies away from oil dependence. And this would facilitate in dealing with the shocks that may face oil prices in the future. Accordingly; policy makers must pay attention to the Economic; geopolitical and epidemiological developments in light of unexpected variables.
本研究探讨油价冲击对政府支出的影响;货币储备;1970-2020年沙特阿拉伯汇率。为此,我们采用了非线性自回归分布滞后NARDL方法来解开正冲击和负冲击的影响;确定了结构因素的存在性,采用了传统的单位根检验和带结构断裂的单位根检验对信纸进行了验证。通过应用NARDL模型,我们证实了油价冲击之间存在协整;政府支出、货币储备和沙特阿拉伯的汇率。结果表明,不对称假说在长期和短期都成立,表明油价冲击对宏观经济指标的变化非常敏感。这意味着这些宏观经济指标在油价冲击中发挥着重要作用。以及如何在长期内吸收这些冲击。研究发现,短期内油价受货币储备的负向影响,受汇率的正向影响;政府开支。结果支持非线性命题,其中正冲击比较负冲击。互补的宏观经济政策指导方针;沙特阿拉伯的支出合理化政策和汇率稳定可以帮助恢复转变其经济,摆脱对石油的依赖。这将有助于应对未来油价可能面临的冲击。相应的;政策制定者必须关注经济;考虑到意想不到的变数,地缘政治和流行病学的发展。
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引用次数: 0
SAVINGS AND CONSTRAINTS AMONG RURAL FARMING HOUSEHOLDS IN DELTA STATE, NIGERIA: IMPLICATIONS FOR AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT 尼日利亚三角洲州农村农户的储蓄和制约因素:对农业发展的影响
Pub Date : 2022-09-17 DOI: 10.56557/jet/2022/v7i17854
P. O. Emaziye, Oghenekome Emaziye
The main objective of the study was to evaluate the effects of savings on agricultural development. Data were obtained with the aid of structured questionnaires. The data was analysed using descriptive statistics and regression analysis models. Multi-stage sampling methods were adopted in a random selection of 312 respondents. Most respondents were married with a moderate family size of 10 persons with illiterate male-headed households that were mostly aged (46 years). Most respondents had 19 years of farming experience mostly engaging in crop production with a low annual income of N69,798 ($183.68) which is $0.503 per day less than the $1per day poverty line index. Education of children was the main objective of savings but inadequate funds to save was a major constraint. Most respondents experienced low agricultural output which retard agricultural development. Regression analysis results revealed that household size affects savings negatively while annual income, the sum of borrowed money and interest rate affect saving positively. The study recommends that credits should be made available in form of soft loans and respondents should be encouraged to save towards farm investment that will generate income.
这项研究的主要目的是评价储蓄对农业发展的影响。数据是通过结构化问卷获得的。采用描述性统计和回归分析模型对数据进行分析。采用多阶段抽样方法,随机抽取312名调查对象。大多数答复者已婚,中等家庭规模为10人,男性户主为文盲,大多年龄较大(46岁)。大多数受访者有19年的农业经验,主要从事农作物生产,年收入较低,为69,798奈拉(183.68美元),比每天1美元的贫困线指数少0.503美元。儿童教育是储蓄的主要目的,但储蓄资金不足是一个主要制约因素。大多数回答者都经历过农业产出低,这阻碍了农业发展。回归分析结果显示,家庭规模对储蓄有负向影响,而年收入、借贷金额和利率对储蓄有正向影响。该研究建议,应以软贷款的形式提供信贷,并应鼓励受访者将储蓄用于可产生收入的农业投资。
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引用次数: 0
DETERMINANTS OF TRADE INTENSIFICATION WITH FILLS GAP OF GENDER-SPECIFIC INDICATORS IN ECOWAS COUNTRIES 贸易强化的决定因素,填补了西非经共体国家性别指标的空白
Pub Date : 2022-09-10 DOI: 10.56557/jet/2022/v7i17850
Genaud Roméo Kede, M. Attanasso
The purpose of this paper is to study the determinants of trade openness in ECOWAS countries and fills the gap of gender-specific indicators. The sample is composed of the 15 ECOWAS countries and covers the period from 2004 to 2018. For this purpose, we used three panel data estimation techniques, such as pooled regression, fixed effects model and Generalized Moment Method (GMM). The results of this study reveal that among the significant variables for all three techniques used, FDI represent the variable that positively influences trade openness of ECOWAS countries while variables such as population growth rate and GDP per capita negatively influence the degree of trade openness. Variables such as GDP per capita, population growth rate, labor force participation rate, political stability index, cost of starting a business, and population density were used as determinants for determinants of trade openness estimation. Result discovered that identification of policies to promote FDI and the implementation of measures to increase production is essential to cover the consumption needs of the population of ECOWAS countries. In addition, it would be beneficial for these countries to put in place an export policy for manufactured products other than primary materials in order to promote the expansion of intra-ECOWAS trade.
本文的目的是研究西非经共体国家贸易开放的决定因素,并填补具体性别指标的空白。样本由15个西非经共体国家组成,涵盖时间为2004年至2018年。为此,我们使用了三种面板数据估计技术,即池回归、固定效应模型和广义矩法(GMM)。本研究的结果表明,在所使用的三种技术的显著变量中,FDI代表了正向影响西非经共体国家贸易开放程度的变量,而人口增长率和人均GDP等变量则对贸易开放程度产生了负向影响。将人均GDP、人口增长率、劳动力参与率、政治稳定指数、创业成本、人口密度等变量作为贸易开放估计的决定因素。结果发现,确定促进外国直接投资的政策和执行增加生产的措施对于满足西非经共体各国人民的消费需要是必不可少的。此外,这些国家为初级材料以外的制成品制定出口政策,以促进西非经共体内部贸易的扩大,将是有益的。
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引用次数: 0
CRYPTOCURRENCY AS A MEANS OF PAYMENT: A REVIEW 加密货币作为一种支付手段:回顾
Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.56557/jet/2022/v7i17702
Babayev Hikmat, Nurullayev Javidan, Garayeva Vafa
Cryptocurrencies are a new technology that has given impetus to the modernization of the entire economy. Already, a huge number of people use cryptocoins for payment, participate in their production and earn on market volatility.To date, cryptocurrencies are at the stage of formation and improved versions are released annually, which try to eliminate the shortcomings in the technology. But it is already obvious to many experts that cryptocurrencies are the money of the future with great potential for development.
加密货币是一种推动整个经济现代化的新技术。已经有大量的人使用加密货币进行支付,参与其生产并从市场波动中获利。迄今为止,加密货币处于形成阶段,每年都会发布改进版本,试图消除技术中的缺点。但对于许多专家来说,很明显,加密货币是未来的货币,具有巨大的发展潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of Partnership on Business: A Case Study 伙伴关系对企业的影响:一个案例研究
Pub Date : 2022-05-21 DOI: 10.22158/jetmm.v4n1p45
A. Dar
A partnership offers a lot of advantages which include long term stability and more capitals. However, such an arrangement comes with some disadvantages which include loss of autonomy, liabilities, as well as sharing of profit and emotional issues. Among the many factors that need consideration in a partnership, the one factor of prime importance is the evaluation of the prospective partner so as to ensure he/she is a good match. The purpose of this study is to investigate and analyze the effects of factors as, among others, the loss of autonomy and liabilities on the functioning of partnership based businesses. In this study, taking into account data collected from 50 enterprises in India, statistical methodologies of ANOVA and multiple comparison tests were used for factor comparisons at the significance level of 5%. Results have shown that in most of the partnership businesses the partners were satisfied with each other, except for emotional issues. It would be then important to deeply explore such issues in order to minimize eventual damages caused by such disadvantage.
合伙企业有很多好处,包括长期稳定和更多的资金。然而,这样的安排也有一些缺点,包括自主权的丧失、责任、利润分享和情感问题。在合作关系中需要考虑的诸多因素中,最重要的一个因素是对未来合作伙伴的评估,以确保他/她是一个很好的匹配。本研究的目的是调查和分析因素的影响,其中包括自主权和责任的丧失对合伙制企业的运作。本研究选取了印度50家企业的数据,采用方差分析和多重比较检验的统计方法进行因素比较,显著性水平为5%。结果表明,在大多数合伙企业中,除了情感问题外,合伙人对彼此都很满意。因此,必须深入探讨这些问题,以便尽量减少这种不利情况所造成的最终损害。
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引用次数: 0
On Technological Progress: Analysing Ricardo’s Theory on Unemployment 论技术进步:分析李嘉图的失业理论
Pub Date : 2022-05-21 DOI: 10.22158/jetmm.v4n1p42
Shame Mukoka
n/a
N/A
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引用次数: 0
Role of Asia-Pacific Regions in Partnering UN SDGs 亚太地区在联合国可持续发展目标伙伴关系中的作用
Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.22158/jetmm.v4n1p8
Dr. U. Sarangi
The research paper identifies broad strategies for accelerating transformative change processes in the form of mission orientation and mobilizing the public and stakeholders, aligning systems, readying institutions and people for change, policy making for managing complexity which are considered to be the building blocks in the Asia Pacific region. The focus of the research study is on the growth, development, economics of peace, role and impact of SDGs on the economies and societies in general including justice, peace building, developing strong institutions and in transforming the region into an international hub to achieve the SDGs and the broader agenda of UN 2030 including the overall development of the Asia-Pacific region in the long run. The paper studies the aspects of the inter-linkages between Governments and other stakeholders to deliver the ‘decade of action towards SDG’, particularly in the aftermath of COVID-19. It is observed that COVID-19 pandemic has created many gaps in social protection systems and wider policies for delivering public goods with devastating effects on the poorest and utmost vulnerable in the Asia-Pacific region. The United Nations Sustainable Development Goal Summit held in 2019 had identified six transformative areas to accelerate progress towards the SDGs. In fact, these transformative areas present development challenges that are interlinked, complex and integrate goals and targets across the SDG framework which are strengthening human well-being and capabilities, shifting towards sustainable and just economies, securing the global environmental commons. A proposed action plan with regional interventions in the Asia-Pacific region, alignment with the goals and outcomes of the UNFPA strategic plan 2018-2021 and the Roadmap of PIFS in accelerating the SDGs have been delineated in the study.
该研究报告确定了以使命导向、动员公众和利益相关者、调整系统、为变革做好准备的机构和人员、制定管理复杂性的政策等形式加速转型变革进程的广泛战略,这些被认为是亚太地区的基石。研究的重点是增长、发展、和平经济学、可持续发展目标对经济和社会的作用和影响,包括司法、和平建设、发展强大的机构,以及将该地区转变为实现可持续发展目标的国际中心和联合国2030年更广泛的议程,包括亚太地区的长期整体发展。本文研究了各国政府和其他利益攸关方之间相互联系的各个方面,以实现“可持续发展目标行动十年”,特别是在2019冠状病毒病之后。我们注意到,2019冠状病毒病大流行在社会保护制度和更广泛的公共产品提供政策方面造成了许多空白,对亚太地区最贫困和最脆弱的群体产生了破坏性影响。2019年举行的联合国可持续发展目标首脑会议确定了六个变革性领域,以加速实现可持续发展目标。事实上,这些变革性领域所面临的发展挑战相互关联、复杂且整合了可持续发展目标框架内的目标和具体目标,这些目标和具体目标正在加强人类福祉和能力,向可持续和公正的经济转型,确保全球环境公域。该研究提出了一项行动计划,其中包括亚太地区的区域干预措施,与人口基金2018-2021年战略计划的目标和成果保持一致,以及PIFS加速实现可持续发展目标的路线图。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Using Internet during Covid-19 Lockdown on University Students: A Study of Bangladesh Perspectives 在Covid-19封锁期间使用互联网对大学生的影响:孟加拉国视角研究
Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.22158/jetmm.v4n1p30
Md. Mizanoor Rahman, Md. Abdus Sabur, M. N. Huda, Taushif Rahman
Introduction: Government of Bangladesh declared lock down several times in the educational institutions for the purpose of retains the rapid speed of COVID-19. During the lockdown period students stayed in home and totally depended on internet for spending times, contract friends, attained in online classes etc. The purpose of the study is to measure the impact of long- time internet usage that brought various complications among the students in their physical and mental health during COVID-19 lockdown period. Methods: A structured online based questionnaire link was sent using Google forms and distributed to students via what’s app and Facebook Messenger and 360 respondents were filled up the questionnaire in the period of June 2021-August 2021 COVID-19. The distribution of respondent demographic variables was investigated using descriptive statistical methods; Pearson’s chi-square tests have been applied. Result: About 40.8% of students’ perception was that COVID-19 lockdown had changed their internet usage habits a little more than the normal time. The measures of the duration of time of internet usages there was a significant change. The respondents usage increased rapidly on 5-6 hours (42.05%) and 10 hours + (32.8%) whereas it was 30.3 % and only 6.9% respectively in before the lock down. The usages of internet hampered the students in their studies, night’s sleep, food habits, loneliness, frustration and depression during the lock down situation. Conclusion: The concern authority should take necessary steps to reduce the habit of internet usage the COVID-19 situation and motivate the students for concentrating on their studies and minimize the excessive use of the internet.
孟加拉国政府多次宣布封锁教育机构,以保持COVID-19的快速传播速度。在封锁期间,学生们呆在家里,完全依赖互联网来消磨时间、交友、在线课程等。本研究的目的是衡量在COVID-19封锁期间,长时间使用互联网给学生的身心健康带来的各种并发症的影响。方法:在2021年6月- 2021年8月期间,使用谷歌表格发送结构化在线问卷链接,并通过what 's app和Facebook Messenger分发给学生,360名受访者填写了问卷。采用描述性统计方法调查被调查者人口学变量的分布;应用了皮尔逊卡方检验。结果:约40.8%的学生认为新冠肺炎封锁对他们的互联网使用习惯的影响比平时稍微大一些。上网时长的测量也有了显著的变化。被调查者在5-6小时(42.05%)和10小时以上(32.8%)的使用率增长较快,而锁定前的使用率分别为30.3%和6.9%。互联网的使用影响了学生的学习,夜间睡眠,饮食习惯,孤独感,沮丧和抑郁。结论:在新冠肺炎疫情下,有关部门应采取必要措施减少学生使用互联网的习惯,激励学生集中精力学习,尽量减少过度使用互联网。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer Commitment in Bosnia and Herzegovina to Electronic or Traditional Purchase 波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那消费者对电子或传统购买的承诺
Pub Date : 2022-02-16 DOI: 10.22158/jetmm.v4n1p1
Vidovic Aleksandra, PhD
The subject of the research refers to the attitudes and commitment of consumers to the usual or electronic shopping in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The aim of this paper is to investigate how much electronic is used in Bosnia and Herzegovina in relation to the usual purchase, i.e.. to what extent e-shopping is accepted in these areas, also another goal is to determine the factors that influence their behaviour in e-shopping. The purpose of this research was to determine the extent to which there is interest in this form of shopping in Bosnia and Herzegovina. The research was conducted so that the following hypotheses can be tested on a selected sample: H0-Customers in Bosnia and Herzegovina prefer traditional over online shopping.
本研究的主题是指波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那消费者对日常或电子购物的态度和承诺。本文的目的是调查多少电子是使用在波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的关系到通常的购买,即…网上购物在这些地区被接受的程度,另一个目标是确定影响他们在网上购物行为的因素。这项研究的目的是确定波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那对这种形式的购物有多大兴趣。本研究是为了在选定的样本上检验以下假设:h -波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的顾客更喜欢传统购物而不是网上购物。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of economics, trade and marketing management
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