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Probability assessment of slope instability in seasonally cold regions under climate change 气候变化下季节寒区边坡失稳概率评估
Pub Date : 2021-04-27 DOI: 10.21203/RS.3.RS-408312/V1
Yulong Zhu, T. Ishikawa, T. Yamada, S. Subramanian
To semi-quantitatively assess the effects of climate change on the slope failures, this paper proposes an effective approach for evaluating the influences of climate change on slope stability in seasonally cold regions. To discuss climate change, this study firstly analyzes the trend of the two main climate factors (precipitation and air temperature) based on the regression analysis results of the meteorological monitoring data during the past 120 years in different scales (e.g., world, country (Japan), and city (Sapporo)), and the downscaled outputs of three different regional atmospheric models (RAMs) with lateral boundary conditions from three different general circulation models (GCMs). Next, to discuss the effects of different climate factors (air temperature, precipitation, etc.) and to determine the key climate factors on the slope instability, a slope stability assessment approach for evaluating the effects of climate changes on slope instability is proposed through the water content simulation and slope stability analysis with considering freeze-thaw action. Finally, to check the effectiveness of the above assessment approach, assessment of instability of an actual highway embankment slope with the local layer geometry is done by applying the past and predicted future climate data. The results indicate that affected by global warming, the air temperature rise in some cold cities is more serious. The climate changes (especially the increase in precipitation) in the future will increase the infiltration during the Spring season. It will lengthen the time that the highway slope is in an unstable state due to high volumetric water content, causing the occurrence of slope failures will be more concentrated in April. While during the Ssummer-Autumn period, the time domain of its occurrence will become wider.
为了半定量地评价气候变化对边坡失稳的影响,本文提出了一种评价气候变化对季节性寒区边坡稳定性影响的有效方法。为了探讨气候变化问题,本文首先基于近120年不同尺度(世界、国家(日本)和城市(札幌))的气象监测资料的回归分析结果,以及三种不同大气环流模式(GCMs)在侧向边界条件下的三种不同区域大气模式(RAMs)的降尺度输出,分析了降水和气温两个主要气候因子的变化趋势。其次,为探讨不同气候因子(气温、降水等)对边坡失稳的影响,确定关键气候因子对边坡失稳的影响,提出了一种考虑冻融作用的通过含水量模拟和边坡稳定性分析来评价气候变化对边坡失稳影响的边坡稳定性评价方法。最后,为了验证上述评估方法的有效性,应用过去和预测的未来气候数据,对实际公路路堤边坡进行了具有局部层几何的失稳评估。结果表明,受全球变暖的影响,部分寒冷城市的气温上升更为严重。未来的气候变化(特别是降水的增加)将增加春季的入渗。高体积含水率将延长高速公路边坡处于不稳定状态的时间,导致边坡破坏的发生将更加集中在4月份。而在夏秋季,其发生的时域会变宽。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis methodology and assessment indices of vulnerability for asphalt pavement in cold regions 寒区沥青路面脆弱性分析方法及评价指标
Pub Date : 2021-04-16 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00028-z
Tongxu Wang, Xianyong Ma, Huanyu Li, Zejiao Dong
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引用次数: 4
Machine learning model and strategy for fast and accurate detection of leaks in water supply network 快速准确检测供水管网泄漏的机器学习模型和策略
Pub Date : 2021-04-15 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00021-6
Xudong Fan, Xijin Zhang, X. Yu
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引用次数: 21
Permafrost thaw and ground settlement considering long-term climate impact in northern Alaska 考虑到阿拉斯加北部长期气候影响的永久冻土解冻和地面沉降
Pub Date : 2021-04-13 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00025-2
Z. Yang, Kannon C. Lee, Haibo Liu
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引用次数: 0
Coastal green infrastructure to mitigate coastal squeeze 沿海绿色基础设施缓解沿海拥挤
Pub Date : 2021-04-09 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00026-1
Valeria Chávez, Debora Lithgow, M. Losada, R. Silva-Casarín
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引用次数: 31
Classification of pavement climatic regions through unsupervised and supervised machine learnings 通过无监督和有监督机器学习对路面气候区域进行分类
Pub Date : 2021-03-23 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00020-7
Qiao Dong, Xueqin Chen, S. Dong, Jun Zhang
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引用次数: 7
Time-dependent reliability of (weighted) k-out-of-n systems with identical component deterioration 具有相同部件劣化的(加权)k / n系统的时变可靠性
Pub Date : 2021-03-04 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00018-1
Cao Wang
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引用次数: 3
Understanding the barriers to NET-ZERO transport for rural roads: a Northern Ireland case study. 了解农村道路零净交通的障碍:北爱尔兰案例研究。
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-09-13 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00038-x
Myra Lydon, Darragh Lydon, Nicola-Ann Stevens, Su Taylor, Juliana Early, Adele Marshall

Introduction: Climate-related disasters have cost the world over £450 billion over the last 3 years. In the race to mitigate these effects, the UK government has committed to net-zero emissions by 2050. Transport provides the largest single sector contribution to CO2 emissions, the road network accounts for up to 91%. As the only UK country without a formal climate change bill Northern Ireland could compromise the overall effort.

Case description: In this research a survey of road asset owners, managers, academics, consultants, public transport providers was undertaken to seek to understand the current barriers to adapting a dispersed rural road network in Northern Ireland for net-zero transport. The survey data was collected though an online form with a combination of multiple choice and open ended questions. Thematic analysis was used to code and analyse the data collected which enabled a discussion around the key expert opinions gathered.

Discussion and evaluation: The paper presents details of the current road network in Northern Ireland and highlights some of the issues faced by asset owners. The survey questions were developed though engagement with transport professionals in Northern Ireland and focus predominantly on road use rather than the impact of current land management practices or environmental conditions such as flood risk. The response highlights a clear enthusiasm for change in the operation of the public road network which is hindered by a lack of government strategy and limited public consultation.

Conclusions: The high response rate (41%) for the survey highlights the interest of those in the transport sector to engage in activities which can support a better understanding of how road networks contribute to CO2 emissions. Within the survey data a requirement for behavioural change was highlighted as a key step to reduce transport related emissions, the enthusiasm for change demonstrates this is the optimum time to engage with the public and develop clear transport strategies. More accurate findings and empirical evidence could have been established had the study considered specific, transport planning, environmental and land use conditions for Northern Ireland. This will be the focus of further research in this area to enable clear translation of the research to other countries.

导读:在过去的三年里,与气候有关的灾害给世界造成了超过4500亿英镑的损失。为了减轻这些影响,英国政府承诺到2050年实现净零排放。交通运输是二氧化碳排放的最大单一部门,道路网络占91%。作为英国唯一一个没有正式气候变化法案的国家,北爱尔兰可能会损害整体努力。案例描述:在本研究中,对道路资产所有者、管理者、学者、顾问、公共交通供应商进行了调查,试图了解目前北爱尔兰分散的农村道路网络适应净零运输的障碍。调查数据是通过在线表格收集的,其中包含多项选择和开放式问题。专题分析用于编码和分析收集到的数据,从而能够围绕收集到的关键专家意见进行讨论。讨论和评估:本文介绍了北爱尔兰目前道路网络的细节,并强调了资产所有者面临的一些问题。调查问题是通过与北爱尔兰交通专业人员的接触制定的,主要关注道路使用,而不是当前土地管理实践或洪水风险等环境条件的影响。这一回应凸显了公众对改变公共道路网络运作的明显热情,但由于缺乏政府战略和有限的公众咨询而受到阻碍。结论:调查的高回复率(41%)突出了交通部门人员对参与有助于更好地了解道路网络如何导致二氧化碳排放的活动的兴趣。在调查数据中,行为改变的要求被强调为减少交通相关排放的关键步骤,对改变的热情表明,这是与公众接触并制定明确交通战略的最佳时机。如果这项研究考虑到北爱尔兰的具体交通规划、环境和土地使用条件,就可以得出更准确的结论和经验证据。这将是该领域进一步研究的重点,以便将研究成果清晰地翻译到其他国家。
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引用次数: 0
A review of crack growth models for near-neutral pH stress corrosion cracking on oil and gas pipelines. 油气管道近中性pH应力腐蚀裂纹扩展模型综述。
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-10-24 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00042-1
Haotian Sun, Wenxing Zhou, Jidong Kang

This paper presents a review of four existing growth models for near-neutral pH stress corrosion cracking (NNpHSCC) defects on buried oil and gas pipelines: Chen et al.'s model, two models developed at the Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) and Xing et al.'s model. All four models consider corrosion fatigue enhanced by hydrogen embrittlement as the main growth mechanism for NNpHSCC. The predictive accuracy of these growth models is investigated based on 39 crack growth rates obtained from full-scale tests conducted at the CanmetMATERIALS of Natural Resources Canada of pipe specimens that are in contact with NNpH soils and subjected to cyclic internal pressures. The comparison of the observed and predicted crack growth rates indicates that the hydrogen-enhanced decohesion (HEDE) component of Xing et al.'s model leads to on average reasonably accurate predictions with the corresponding mean and coefficient of variation (COV) of the observed-to-predicted ratios being 1.06 and 61.2%, respectively. The predictive accuracy of the other three models are markedly poorer. The analysis results suggest that further research is needed to improve existing growth models or develop new growth models to facilitate the pipeline integrity management practice with respect to NNpHSCC.

本文综述了埋藏油气管道近中性pH应力腐蚀裂纹(NNpHSCC)缺陷的四种现有生长模型:Chen等人的模型、西南研究院(SwRI)开发的两个模型和Xing等人的模型。四种模型均认为氢脆增强的腐蚀疲劳是NNpHSCC的主要生长机制。这些增长模型的预测准确性是基于加拿大自然资源中心对接触NNpH土壤并承受循环内压的管道试件进行的全尺寸试验获得的39个裂纹增长速率进行的研究。对比观察到的裂纹扩展速率和预测的裂纹扩展速率表明,Xing等人模型的氢增强脱裂(HEDE)分量平均预测较为准确,其观测与预测比的平均值和变异系数(COV)分别为1.06和61.2%。其他三种模型的预测精度明显较差。分析结果表明,需要进一步研究以改进现有的增长模型或开发新的增长模型,以促进NNpHSCC管道完整性管理实践。
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引用次数: 3
Planning considerations of green corridors for the improvement of biodiversity resilience in suburban areas. 提高城郊地区生物多样性弹性的绿色廊道规划考虑
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 Epub Date: 2021-04-06 DOI: 10.1186/s43065-021-00023-4
Yuhong Wang, Siqi Jia, Zhe Wang, Yang Chen, Shicong Mo, N N Sze

The world is experiencing a rapid loss in the biodiversity of pollinator insects. Habitat segmentation caused by infrastructures is one of the contributing factors. To improve the habitat connectivity of pollinator insects, it is proposed in this study to build green corridors for pollinators over linear infrastructures such as highways. In the context of suburban areas of a large city, this study examines differences in air parameters between natural environments and a roadside environment based on monitored and estimated data. Influences of different green corridor designs on floral scent dispersion are also investigated using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling and simulation. It is found that, if flower plants are installed on highway overpasses, the floral scents would be better preserved as compared with those in a natural environment due to the lower concentrations of oxidative radicals in the air above highways. The stronger floral scents and their wider dispersion may help attract pollinators. Conversely, highway air contains a variety of volatine organic compounds (VOCs) that are traced to highway operations and pavements. Hence, the overall profile of VOCs in a highway environment differs from that in a natural environment. Results from CFD modeling and simulation suggest that the use of green corridors planted with flowers on the highway overpass can greatly improve the connectivity of floral scents. Hence, with proper engineering design and right combination of plant species, green corridors built on highway overpasses have the potential to facilitate pollinators to cross the road, thereby improving their habitat connectivity and resilience against declining biodiversity.

世界正在经历传粉昆虫生物多样性的迅速丧失。基础设施造成的生境分割是造成这一现象的因素之一。为了改善传粉昆虫的栖息地连通性,本研究提出在公路等线性基础设施上建设传粉昆虫绿色通道。在大城市郊区的背景下,本研究基于监测和估计数据,研究了自然环境和路边环境之间空气参数的差异。利用计算流体动力学(CFD)建模和仿真研究了不同绿化廊道设计对花香扩散的影响。研究发现,在高速公路立交桥上设置花卉植物,由于公路上空空气中氧化自由基的浓度较低,因此与自然环境相比,花卉植物的花香保存效果更好。更强烈的花香和更广泛的传播可能有助于吸引传粉者。相反,高速公路空气中含有多种挥发性有机化合物(VOCs),可追溯到高速公路运营和路面。因此,公路环境中挥发性有机化合物的总体特征与自然环境不同。CFD建模和仿真结果表明,在高速公路立交桥上设置花卉绿色廊道,可以大大提高花香的连通性。因此,通过适当的工程设计和正确的植物种类组合,在高速公路立交桥上建造绿色走廊有可能为传粉昆虫穿越道路提供便利,从而提高其栖息地的连通性和对生物多样性下降的抵御能力。
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引用次数: 4
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Journal of infrastructure preservation and resilience
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