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Comparative study of cancer profiles between 2020 and 2022 using global cancer statistics (GLOBOCAN) 利用全球癌症统计数据(GLOBOCAN)对 2020 年和 2022 年癌症概况进行比较研究
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.001
Wei Cao , Kang Qin , Feng Li , Wanqing Chen

Background

The International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) released the latest estimates of the global burden of cancer. We present a comparison of cancer profiles between 2020 and 2022, leveraging data from the Global Cancer Statistics (GLOBOCAN).

Methods

Cancer incidence and mortality data were sourced from two different years, 2020 and 2022, in the GLOBOCAN database. We tracked changes in age-standardized incidence and mortality rates, as well as estimated numbers of new cancer cases and deaths of the 15 most common cancer types globally and in China between 2020 and 2022. Additionally, we conducted comparisons to assess alterations in the cancer burden and variations in mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) across different regions and countries for both 2020 and 2022.

Results

Lung cancer remained the most common cancer and the leading cause of cancer death worldwide. The new cases of thyroid cancer witnessed a sharp increase in 2022. Conversely, the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths from stomach and esophageal cancer decreased significantly in 2022. The geographic distribution of cancer incidence and mortality across six continents in 2022 largely mirrored that of 2020. Higher Human Development Index (HDI) levels in countries corresponded with elevated rates of cancer incidence and mortality, consistent with the previous year. Among 185 countries or territories, China's age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) ranked 64th and its age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) ranked 68th, aligning with global averages. Lung cancer continued to impose the greatest burden of incidence and mortality. Stomach, breast, and esophageal cancers showed declines in both case counts and ASIR. Noteworthy reductions in both ASMR and absolute mortality numbers were observed in liver, stomach, and esophageal cancers. The global MIR decreased from 0.516 in 2020 to 0.488 in 2022. MIR trends indicated an upward trajectory with decreasing HDI levels in both 2022 and 2020. While Canada, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom demonstrated increasing MIRs, China exhibited the most significant decrease, followed by Russia and the United States.

Conclusions

The global landscape of cancer incidence and mortality in 2022 reflects ongoing trends observed in 2020. Cancer burdens vary notably across countries with differing socioeconomic statuses. Decreases in stomach, liver, and esophageal cancer cases and deaths signify progress in cancer control efforts. The decrease in the global MIRs highlights potential improvements in cancer management.

背景国际癌症研究机构(IARC)发布了对全球癌症负担的最新估计。我们利用全球癌症统计数据(GLOBOCAN)中的数据,对 2020 年和 2022 年的癌症概况进行了比较。方法癌症发病率和死亡率数据来自 GLOBOCAN 数据库中的 2020 年和 2022 年两个不同年份。我们追踪了 2020 年至 2022 年期间全球和中国 15 种最常见癌症的年龄标准化发病率和死亡率的变化,以及新发癌症病例和死亡人数的估计值。此外,我们还进行了比较,以评估 2020 年和 2022 年不同地区和国家癌症负担的变化以及死亡率与发病率之比(MIR)的变化。2022 年,甲状腺癌新发病例急剧增加。相反,2022 年胃癌和食道癌的新发病例和死亡人数大幅下降。2022 年六大洲癌症发病率和死亡率的地理分布与 2020 年基本一致。人类发展指数(HDI)水平较高的国家癌症发病率和死亡率也相应升高,这与上一年的情况一致。在185个国家或地区中,中国的年龄标准化发病率(ASIR)排名第64位,年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)排名第68位,与全球平均水平持平。肺癌仍然是发病率和死亡率最高的癌症。胃癌、乳腺癌和食道癌的病例数和年龄标准化死亡率均有所下降。值得注意的是,肝癌、胃癌和食道癌的 ASMR 和绝对死亡率都有所下降。全球死亡率中位数从 2020 年的 0.516 降至 2022 年的 0.488。随着 2022 年和 2020 年人类发展指数水平的下降,中位数趋势呈上升趋势。加拿大、德国、印度、意大利、日本和英国的癌症发病率与死亡率中位数呈上升趋势,而中国的癌症发病率与死亡率中位数下降幅度最大,其次是俄罗斯和美国。癌症负担在社会经济地位不同的国家之间存在明显差异。胃癌、肝癌和食道癌发病率和死亡率的下降标志着癌症控制工作取得了进展。全球癌症中位数的下降凸显了癌症管理方面的潜在改进。
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引用次数: 0
Clinical, pathological, and adjuvant chemotherapy use differences among microsatellite unstable and microsatellite stable colon cancers 微卫星不稳定和微卫星稳定结肠癌在临床、病理和辅助化疗使用方面的差异
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.04.003
Baqir Hasan Jafry , Munir Hassan Buhaya , Allante Milsap , Amy Little Jones , Suleyman Yasin Goksu , Nilesh Verma , Timothy J. Brown , Amy Hughes , Rasmi Nair , Nina Sanford , Joseph Su , Emina Huang , Syed Mohammad Ali Kazmi

Background

Colon cancers are categorized into mismatch repair deficient/microsatellite unstable (MSI-H) and mismatch repair proficient/microsatellite stable (MSS) cancers. This study aims to compare the disease characteristics and trends in the utilization of cancer therapies across different age groups and stages in these two groups.

Methods

MSI-H and MSS colon adenocarcinomas from 2010 to 2016 were identified using the National Cancer Database. We compared patient and disease characteristics between the two groups and evaluated the use of adjuvant chemotherapy across age groups and cancer stages. Within MSI-H and MSS groups, we conducted a landmark analysis after propensity score matching for adjuvant chemotherapy versus no chemotherapy to determine its effect on survival.

Results

Of the 542,368 patients that met inclusion criteria, 120,751 (22%) had mismatch repair results available—out of these 96,928 (80%) had MSS colon cancers while 23,823 (19.7%) had MSI-H cancers. MSI-H disease had a bimodal age distribution (<40 years = 22%; ≥75 years = 26%) and was frequent among females (22%) and non-Hispanic Whites (20%). Among those < 65 years, 15% of low-risk stage 2 MSI-H patients and 40% of high-risk stage 2 MSI-H patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. More than two-thirds of stage 3 patients <65 years received adjuvant chemotherapy in both groups. After conducting propensity-score matching for age, gender, and co-morbidities, we found that adjuvant chemotherapy use had a trend towards lower overall survival (OS) in low-risk stage 2 MSI-H (HR = 1.8 [95% CI, 0.8–4.02]) and high-risk stage 2 MSI-H (HR = 1.42 [95% CI, 0.96–2.12]) groups. Adjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved OS in stage 3 colon cancer patients irrespective of microsatellite status or risk category of disease.

Conclusions

MSI-H colon cancer had bimodal age distribution. Among stage 2 MSI-H patients <65 years, a notable proportion received adjuvant chemotherapy. Among MSI-H stage 2 patients, adjuvant chemotherapy use was associated with lower survival while it significantly improved survival for stage 3 patients, irrespective of MSI status.

背景结肠癌分为错配修复缺陷型/微卫星不稳定型(MSI-H)和错配修复熟练型/微卫星稳定型(MSS)癌症。本研究旨在比较这两类癌症不同年龄段和分期的疾病特征和使用癌症疗法的趋势。方法通过国家癌症数据库确定了2010年至2016年的MSI-H和MSS结肠腺癌。我们比较了两组患者和疾病特征,并评估了不同年龄组和癌症分期的辅助化疗使用情况。在MSI-H组和MSS组中,我们对辅助化疗与不化疗进行倾向得分匹配后进行了地标分析,以确定化疗对生存率的影响。结果在542,368名符合纳入标准的患者中,120,751人(22%)有错配修复结果,其中96,928人(80%)患有MSS结肠癌,23,823人(19.7%)患有MSI-H结肠癌。MSI-H 癌症的年龄分布呈双峰分布(40 岁 = 22%;≥75 岁 = 26%),女性(22%)和非西班牙裔白人(20%)多发。在 65 岁以上的患者中,15% 的低危 2 期 MSI-H 患者和 40% 的高危 2 期 MSI-H 患者接受了辅助化疗。在两组患者中,超过三分之二的 3 期 65 岁患者接受了辅助化疗。在对年龄、性别和合并疾病进行倾向得分匹配后,我们发现辅助化疗在低危2期MSI-H组(HR = 1.8 [95% CI, 0.8-4.02])和高危2期MSI-H组(HR = 1.42 [95% CI, 0.96-2.12])有降低总生存率(OS)的趋势。无论微卫星状态或疾病风险类别如何,辅助化疗都能明显改善3期结肠癌患者的OS。在MSI-H 2期患者中,接受辅助化疗的患者比例明显高于65岁的患者。在MSI-H 2期患者中,辅助化疗与较低的生存率相关,而对于3期患者,无论MSI状态如何,辅助化疗都能显著提高生存率。
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引用次数: 0
A glimpse into the future: mapping global research trends in immunotherapy for rare tumors 未来一瞥:绘制全球罕见肿瘤免疫疗法研究趋势图
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2023.11.002
Guo Zhao , Yuning Wang , Shuhang Wang, Ning Li
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy and safety of paclitaxel liposome versus paclitaxel in combination with carboplatin in the first-line chemotherapy for ovarian cancer: a multicenter, open-label, non-inferiority, randomized controlled trial 紫杉醇脂质体与紫杉醇联合卡铂在卵巢癌一线化疗中的疗效和安全性:一项多中心、开放标签、非劣效随机对照试验
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.04.004
Rong Li , Hongping Zhang , Qingshui Li , Guangwen Yuan , Yanjie Zhou , Rutie Yin , He Wang , Chunyan Wang , Yi Huang , Wei Wang , Xiaojian Yan , Lingying Wu , Qi Zhou

Background

The paclitaxel liposome formulation, encapsulating paclitaxel within a phospholipid bilayer, addresses the insolubility of traditional paclitaxel formulations, thereby reducing toxicity without compromising its antitumor efficacy.

Methods

This multicenter, open-label, non-inferiority randomized controlled trial (ChiCTR2000038555) evaluates the efficacy and safety of paclitaxel liposome in comparison to the standard regimen of paclitaxel combined with carboplatin (PLC vs. PC) as first-line therapy in patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.

Results

An analysis of median progression-free survival (PFS) revealed non-inferior outcomes between 263 patients in the PLC group and 260 patients in the PC group (32.3 vs. 29.9 months, hazard ratio [HR], 0.89 [95% CI, 0.64−1.25]), using a non-inferior margin of 1.3. Although the overall incidence of treatment-related adverse events was comparable between groups, the PLC group experienced significantly fewer non-hematologic toxicities than those treated with the PC regimen.

Conclusion

The findings affirm the non-inferiority of paclitaxel liposome compared to the combination of paclitaxel and carboplatin regarding therapeutic efficacy, with an enhanced safety profile marked by reduced non-hematologic toxicities.

背景紫杉醇脂质体制剂将紫杉醇包裹在磷脂双分子层中,解决了传统紫杉醇制剂不溶解的问题,从而在降低毒性的同时不影响其抗肿瘤疗效。方法这项多中心、开放标签、非劣效性随机对照试验(ChiCTR2000038555)评估了紫杉醇脂质体与紫杉醇联合卡铂(PLC vs. PC)标准方案作为一线疗法的疗效和安全性。结果 对中位无进展生存期(PFS)的分析显示,PLC组263例患者的疗效与PC组260例患者的疗效(32.3个月对29.9个月,危险比[HR],0.89[95% CI,0.64-1.25])并无差别,非劣效值为1.3。结论研究结果证实,紫杉醇脂质体与紫杉醇和卡铂联合治疗相比,在疗效方面并无劣势,而且安全性更高,非血液学毒性降低。
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引用次数: 0
Establishing the homologous recombination score threshold in metastatic prostate cancer patients to predict the efficacy of PARP inhibitors 在转移性前列腺癌患者中建立同源重组评分阈值,以预测 PARP 抑制剂的疗效
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.005
Diwei Zhao , Anqi Wang , Yuanwei Li , Xinyang Cai , Junliang Zhao , Tianyou Zhang , Yi Zhao , Yu Dong , Fangjian Zhou , Yonghong Li , Jun Wang

Background

The homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) score serves as a promising biomarker to identify patients who are eligible for treatment with PARP inhibitors (PARPi). Previous studies have suggested a 3-biomarker Genomic Instability Score (GIS) threshold of ≥ 42 as a valid biomarker to predict response to PARPi in patients with ovarian cancer and breast cancer. However, the GIS threshold for prostate cancer (PCa) is still lacking. Here, we conducted an exploratory analysis to investigate an appropriate HRD score threshold and to evaluate its ability to predict response to PARPi in PCa patients.

Methods

A total of 181 patients with metastatic castration-resistant PCa were included in this study. Tumor tissue specimens were collected for targeted next-generation sequencing for homologous recombination repair (HRR) genes and copy number variation (CNV) analysis. The HRD score was calculated based on over 50,000 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) distributed across the human genome, incorporating three SNP-based assays: loss of heterozygosity, telomeric allelic imbalance, and large-scale state transition. The HRD score threshold was set at the last 5th percentile of the HRD scores in our cohort of known HRR-deficient tumors. The relationship between the HRD score and the efficacy in 16 patients of our cohort who received PARPi treatment were retrospectively analyzed.

Results

Genomic testing was succeeded in 162 patients. In our cohort, 61 patients (37.7%) had HRR mutations (HRRm). BRCA mutations occurred in 15 patients (9.3%). The median HRD score was 4 (ranged from 0 to 57) in the total cohort, which is much lower than that in breast and ovarian cancers. Patients who harbored HRRm and BRCA or TP53 mutations had higher HRD scores. CNV occured more frequently in patients with HRRm. The last 5th percentile of HRD scores was 43 in the HRR-mutant cohort and consequently HRD high was defined as HRD scores 43. In the 16 patients who received PARPi in our cohort, 4 patients with a high HRD score achieved an objective response rate (ORR) of 100% while 12 patients with a low HRD score achieved an ORR of 8.3%. Progression-free survival (PFS) in HRD high patients was longer compared to HRD low patients, regardless of HRRm.

Conclusions

A HRD score threshold of 43 was established and preliminarily validated to predict the efficacy of PARPi in this study. Future studies are needed to further verify this threshold.

背景同源重组缺陷(HRD)评分是一种很有前景的生物标志物,可用于确定哪些患者符合接受 PARP 抑制剂(PARPi)治疗的条件。以往的研究表明,3个生物标志物基因组不稳定性评分(GIS)阈值≥42是预测卵巢癌和乳腺癌患者对PARPi反应的有效生物标志物。然而,前列腺癌(PCa)的 GIS 阈值仍然缺乏。在此,我们进行了一项探索性分析,以研究合适的 HRD 评分阈值,并评估其预测 PCa 患者对 PARPi 反应的能力。收集肿瘤组织标本,进行同源重组修复(HRR)基因的靶向新一代测序和拷贝数变异(CNV)分析。HRD评分是根据分布在人类基因组中的5万多个单核苷酸多态性(SNP)计算得出的,其中包含三种基于SNP的检测方法:杂合性缺失、端粒等位基因不平衡和大规模状态转换。HRD评分阈值设定为已知HRR缺陷肿瘤队列中HRD评分的倒数第5百分位数。我们对队列中接受 PARPi 治疗的 16 例患者的 HRD 评分与疗效之间的关系进行了回顾性分析。在我们的队列中,61 例患者(37.7%)发生了 HRR 突变(HRRm)。15名患者(9.3%)出现BRCA突变。所有患者的 HRD 评分中位数为 4(范围从 0 到 57),远低于乳腺癌和卵巢癌。携带HRRm和BRCA或TP53突变的患者HRD评分较高。CNV在HRRm患者中发生得更频繁。在HRR突变组群中,HRD评分的最后5百分位数为43,因此HRD高分被定义为HRD评分≥43。在我们队列中接受PARPi治疗的16名患者中,4名HRD评分高的患者客观反应率(ORR)达到100%,而12名HRD评分低的患者ORR为8.3%。无论HRRm如何,HRD高分患者的无进展生存期(PFS)均长于HRD低分患者。结论 本研究建立并初步验证了预测PARPi疗效的HRD评分阈值43。未来的研究需要进一步验证这一阈值。
{"title":"Establishing the homologous recombination score threshold in metastatic prostate cancer patients to predict the efficacy of PARP inhibitors","authors":"Diwei Zhao ,&nbsp;Anqi Wang ,&nbsp;Yuanwei Li ,&nbsp;Xinyang Cai ,&nbsp;Junliang Zhao ,&nbsp;Tianyou Zhang ,&nbsp;Yi Zhao ,&nbsp;Yu Dong ,&nbsp;Fangjian Zhou ,&nbsp;Yonghong Li ,&nbsp;Jun Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) score serves as a promising biomarker to identify patients who are eligible for treatment with PARP inhibitors (PARPi). Previous studies have suggested a 3-biomarker Genomic Instability Score (GIS) threshold of ≥ 42 as a valid biomarker to predict response to PARPi in patients with ovarian cancer and breast cancer. However, the GIS threshold for prostate cancer (PCa) is still lacking. Here, we conducted an exploratory analysis to investigate an appropriate HRD score threshold and to evaluate its ability to predict response to PARPi in PCa patients.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>A total of 181 patients with metastatic castration-resistant PCa were included in this study. Tumor tissue specimens were collected for targeted next-generation sequencing for homologous recombination repair (HRR) genes and copy number variation (CNV) analysis. The HRD score was calculated based on over 50,000 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) distributed across the human genome, incorporating three SNP-based assays: loss of heterozygosity, telomeric allelic imbalance, and large-scale state transition. The HRD score threshold was set at the last 5th percentile of the HRD scores in our cohort of known HRR-deficient tumors. The relationship between the HRD score and the efficacy in 16 patients of our cohort who received PARPi treatment were retrospectively analyzed.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Genomic testing was succeeded in 162 patients. In our cohort, 61 patients (37.7%) had HRR mutations (HRRm). <em>BRCA</em> mutations occurred in 15 patients (9.3%). The median HRD score was 4 (ranged from 0 to 57) in the total cohort, which is much lower than that in breast and ovarian cancers. Patients who harbored HRRm and <em>BRCA</em> or <em>TP53</em> mutations had higher HRD scores. CNV occured more frequently in patients with HRRm. The last 5th percentile of HRD scores was 43 in the HRR-mutant cohort and consequently HRD high was defined as HRD scores <span><math><mrow><mo>≥</mo><mspace></mspace></mrow></math></span>43. In the 16 patients who received PARPi in our cohort, 4 patients with a high HRD score achieved an objective response rate (ORR) of 100% while 12 patients with a low HRD score achieved an ORR of 8.3%. Progression-free survival (PFS) in HRD high patients was longer compared to HRD low patients, regardless of HRRm.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><p>A HRD score threshold of 43 was established and preliminarily validated to predict the efficacy of PARPi in this study. Future studies are needed to further verify this threshold.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"4 3","pages":"Pages 280-287"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424000437/pdfft?md5=71938580a84e1e26f7364a42bb5c0ec5&pid=1-s2.0-S2667005424000437-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142048652","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Precision radiation therapy in the modern era of multidisciplinary care in oncology: What matters to our patients and beyond? 现代肿瘤多学科治疗时代的精准放射治疗:什么对我们的患者及其他方面至关重要?
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.004
{"title":"Precision radiation therapy in the modern era of multidisciplinary care in oncology: What matters to our patients and beyond?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.004","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"4 3","pages":"Pages 260-262"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424000309/pdfft?md5=a6de2dde265b559dcbf419bd036231a4&pid=1-s2.0-S2667005424000309-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141031323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Burden of malignant mesothelioma in China during 1990–2019 and the projections through 2029 1990-2019 年间中国恶性间皮瘤负担及 2029 年前的预测
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.003

Objective

To provide the most up-to-date data on the burden of malignant mesothelioma (MM) and the projections through 2029 in China.

Methods

Data on patients diagnosed with MM from China during 1990–2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database, including annual cases and deaths data and age-standardized rates of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with MM among different age groups. Temporal trends during 1990–2019 were analyzed by the Joinpoint regression models using 95% confidence interval (CI), while the projections through 2029 were calculated by the Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Data on the production and consumption of asbestos in China were obtained from the United States Geological Survey on Mineral Commodity Summaries during 1996–2023.

Results

We observed a significant elevation in incident new cases and deaths over the last 3 decades, increasing from 1193 in 1990 to 2815 in 2019 for incident cases and from 1134 in 1990 to 2773 in 2019 for death cases. We found a roughly 6% increase in the proportion of incident cases for those aged >70 years (30% in 2019 versus 24% in 1990), while for the proportion of deaths similar elevation for those aged >70 years was found. Additionally, men had significantly higher DALYs due to MM across age groups compared with women. Asbestos consumption in China dramatically dropped since 2012 and reached the bottom in 2017 with 230 kilotons. By 2029, the projected age-standardized rate for incidence and mortality is expected to reach 1.2 per million for both.

Conclusion

We found, for the first time using GBD data on the Chinese population, that the burden of MM has been significantly increasing in China over the last three decades and will continue to increase in the upcoming decade, suggesting an urgent need for a complete ban on chrysotile asbestos in China.

方法从全球疾病负担(GBD)2019数据库中获得1990-2019年中国恶性间皮瘤患者的数据,包括年度病例和死亡数据,以及不同年龄组恶性间皮瘤的发病率、死亡率和残疾调整生命年(DALYs)的年龄标准化率。1990-2019年期间的时间趋势是通过使用95%置信区间(CI)的Joinpoint回归模型进行分析的,而到2029年的预测则是通过贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列模型计算的。有关中国石棉生产和消费的数据来自美国地质调查局 1996-2023 年期间的《矿物商品摘要》。结果 我们观察到,在过去 30 年中,新发病例和死亡病例显著增加,新发病例从 1990 年的 1193 例增加到 2019 年的 2815 例,死亡病例从 1990 年的 1134 例增加到 2019 年的 2773 例。我们发现,70 岁以上人群的发病比例增加了约 6%(2019 年为 30%,1990 年为 24%),而 70 岁以上人群的死亡比例也出现了类似的上升。此外,与女性相比,男性在各年龄组中因MM导致的残疾调整寿命年数要高得多。自2012年以来,中国的石棉消费量急剧下降,并于2017年跌至230千吨的谷底。到2029年,预计年龄标准化的发病率和死亡率都将达到1.2/100万。结论我们首次利用GBD数据发现,在过去30年中,中国人口的MM负担显著增加,并将在未来十年中继续增加,这表明中国迫切需要全面禁止使用温石棉。
{"title":"Burden of malignant mesothelioma in China during 1990–2019 and the projections through 2029","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><p>To provide the most up-to-date data on the burden of malignant mesothelioma (MM) and the projections through 2029 in China.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>Data on patients diagnosed with MM from China during 1990–2019 were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 database, including annual cases and deaths data and age-standardized rates of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) associated with MM among different age groups. Temporal trends during 1990–2019 were analyzed by the Joinpoint regression models using 95% confidence interval (CI), while the projections through 2029 were calculated by the Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Data on the production and consumption of asbestos in China were obtained from the United States Geological Survey on Mineral Commodity Summaries during 1996–2023.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>We observed a significant elevation in incident new cases and deaths over the last 3 decades, increasing from 1193 in 1990 to 2815 in 2019 for incident cases and from 1134 in 1990 to 2773 in 2019 for death cases. We found a roughly 6% increase in the proportion of incident cases for those aged &gt;70 years (30% in 2019 versus 24% in 1990), while for the proportion of deaths similar elevation for those aged &gt;70 years was found. Additionally, men had significantly higher DALYs due to MM across age groups compared with women. Asbestos consumption in China dramatically dropped since 2012 and reached the bottom in 2017 with 230 kilotons. By 2029, the projected age-standardized rate for incidence and mortality is expected to reach 1.2 per million for both.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>We found, for the first time using GBD data on the Chinese population, that the burden of MM has been significantly increasing in China over the last three decades and will continue to increase in the upcoming decade, suggesting an urgent need for a complete ban on chrysotile asbestos in China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"4 3","pages":"Pages 214-222"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424000292/pdfft?md5=1ae76bef0471d1f5a72e72ff1c9c8196&pid=1-s2.0-S2667005424000292-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141050133","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nowcasting and forecasting global aging and cancer burden: analysis of data from the GLOBOCAN and Global Burden of Disease Study 全球老龄化和癌症负担的预测与预报:GLOBOCAN 和全球疾病负担研究的数据分析
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.002

Objective

To analyze the impact of global population aging on cancer epidemiology, with a focus on the incidence and mortality rates among individuals aged 60 years and above.

Methods

We utilized open-source data, retrieving population age estimates from the United Nations Population Division website. The GLOBOCAN 2020 database provided estimates for cancer cases and deaths in 2020 and 2040, while the Global Burden of Disease 2019 database supplied estimates of new cancer cases worldwide from 2000 to 2019. Inclusion criteria considered individuals aged 60 years and over, focusing on the top five deadliest cancers. The cohort-component method was employed for population prediction, with age-specific incidence and mortality rates estimated for 2020 used to forecast the cancer burden.

Results

In 2021, the global population aged over 60 years accounted for 13.7%, with Europe/North America and Australia/New Zealand having the highest proportions. The older population is predicted to reach 19.2% by 2040. In 2020, of the 19.3 million new cancer cases worldwide, 64% occurred in individuals aged 60 and above, contributing to 71.3% of cancer-related deaths. The five most common cancer sites were the lung, colorectum, prostate, breast, and stomach. Cancer incidence and deaths are projected to rise significantly among older individuals, reaching 20.7 million new cases and 12.7 million deaths by 2040. Older age, tobacco use, dietary factors, alcohol consumption, and high body mass index (BMI) were identified as major risk factors for various cancers in this demographic.

Conclusions

This study reveals a significant rise in cancer incidence and mortality among the elderly due to global population aging. The urgency for targeted interventions in cancer prevention, screening, and treatment for older individuals is emphasized. Despite acknowledged limitations, these findings contribute valuable insights to inform strategies for managing cancer in the elderly amidst evolving demographic trends.

目标分析全球人口老龄化对癌症流行病学的影响,重点关注 60 岁及以上人群的发病率和死亡率。方法我们利用开放源码数据,从联合国人口司网站检索人口年龄估计值。GLOBOCAN 2020 数据库提供了 2020 年和 2040 年癌症病例和死亡人数的估计数据,而 2019 年全球疾病负担数据库提供了 2000 年至 2019 年全球新增癌症病例的估计数据。纳入标准考虑了 60 岁及以上的人群,重点关注最致命的五大癌症。结果2021年,全球60岁以上人口占13.7%,其中欧洲/北美和澳大利亚/新西兰所占比例最高。预计到 2040 年,老年人口将达到 19.2%。2020 年,在全球新增的 1930 万癌症病例中,64% 发生在 60 岁及以上的人群中,导致 71.3% 的癌症相关死亡。最常见的五种癌症部位是肺癌、结肠直肠癌、前列腺癌、乳腺癌和胃癌。预计老年人的癌症发病率和死亡率将大幅上升,到 2040 年,新增病例将达到 2070 万例,死亡人数将达到 1270 万。高龄、吸烟、饮食因素、饮酒和高体重指数(BMI)被认为是这一人群罹患各种癌症的主要风险因素。这项研究强调了在癌症预防、筛查和治疗方面对老年人进行有针对性干预的紧迫性。尽管存在公认的局限性,但这些研究结果为在不断变化的人口趋势中管理老年人癌症的策略提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Association of overall survival benefit of radiotherapy with progression-free survival after chemotherapy for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis 中高危弥漫大B细胞淋巴瘤化疗后放疗的总生存期与无进展生存期的关系:系统综述与荟萃分析
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.04.002

Objective

To evaluate whether improved progression-free survival (PFS) from radiotherapy (RT) translates into an overall survival (OS) benefit for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL).

Methods

A systematic literature search identified randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and retrospective studies that compared combined-modality therapy (CMT) with chemotherapy (CT) alone. Weighted regression analyses were used to estimate the correlation between OS and PFS benefits. Cohen's kappa statistic assessed the consistency between DLBCL risk-models and PFS patterns. Furthermore, the benefit trend of RT was analyzed by fitting a linear regression model to the pooled hazard ratio (HR) according to the PFS patterns.

Results

For both 7 RCTs and 52 retrospective studies, correlations were found between PFS HR (HRPFS) and OS HR (HROS) at trial level (r = 0.639–0.876), and between PFS and OS rates at treatment-arm level, regardless of CT regimens (r = 0.882–0.964). Incorporating RT into CT increased about 18% of PFS, and revealed a different OS benefit profile. Patients were stratified into four CT-generated PFS patterns (>80%, >60–80%, >40–60%, and ≤40%), which was consistent with risk-stratified subgroups (kappa > 0.6). Absolute gain in OS from RT ranged from ≤5% at PFS >80% to about 21% at PFS ≤40%, with pooled HROS from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.51–0.97) to 0.48 (95% CI, 0.36–0.63) after rituximab-based CT. The OS benefit of RT was predominant in intermediate- and high-risk patients with PFS ≤ 80%.

Conclusion

We demonstrated a varied OS benefit profile of RT to inform treatment decisions and clinical trial design.

方法通过系统性文献检索确定了比较联合模式疗法(CMT)与单纯化疗(CT)的随机对照试验(RCT)和回顾性研究。加权回归分析用于估计OS和PFS获益之间的相关性。Cohen's kappa 统计评估了 DLBCL 风险模型与 PFS 模式之间的一致性。结果在7项RCT研究和52项回顾性研究中,试验水平的PFS HR(HRPFS)和OS HR(HROS)之间存在相关性(r = 0.639-0.876),治疗组水平的PFS和OS率之间也存在相关性,与CT方案无关(r = 0.882-0.964)。在CT中加入RT可增加约18%的PFS,并显示出不同的OS获益情况。患者被分为四种CT生成的PFS模式(80%、60%-80%、40%-60%和≤40%),这与风险分层亚组一致(kappa >0.6)。RT带来的OS绝对收益从PFS >80%时的≤5%到PFS≤40%时的约21%不等,基于利妥昔单抗的CT后的汇总HROS从0.70(95% CI,0.51-0.97)到0.48(95% CI,0.36-0.63)不等。RT的OS获益主要体现在PFS≤80%的中危和高危患者中。
{"title":"Association of overall survival benefit of radiotherapy with progression-free survival after chemotherapy for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.04.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.04.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><p>To evaluate whether improved progression-free survival (PFS) from radiotherapy (RT) translates into an overall survival (OS) benefit for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL).</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>A systematic literature search identified randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and retrospective studies that compared combined-modality therapy (CMT) with chemotherapy (CT) alone. Weighted regression analyses were used to estimate the correlation between OS and PFS benefits. Cohen's kappa statistic assessed the consistency between DLBCL risk-models and PFS patterns. Furthermore, the benefit trend of RT was analyzed by fitting a linear regression model to the pooled hazard ratio (HR) according to the PFS patterns.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>For both 7 RCTs and 52 retrospective studies, correlations were found between PFS HR (HR<sub>PFS</sub>) and OS HR (HR<sub>OS</sub>) at trial level (<em>r</em> = 0.639–0.876), and between PFS and OS rates at treatment-arm level, regardless of CT regimens (<em>r</em> = 0.882–0.964). Incorporating RT into CT increased about 18% of PFS, and revealed a different OS benefit profile. Patients were stratified into four CT-generated PFS patterns (&gt;80%, &gt;60–80%, &gt;40–60%, and ≤40%), which was consistent with risk-stratified subgroups (kappa &gt; 0.6). Absolute gain in OS from RT ranged from ≤5% at PFS &gt;80% to about 21% at PFS ≤40%, with pooled HR<sub>OS</sub> from 0.70 (95% CI, 0.51–0.97) to 0.48 (95% CI, 0.36–0.63) after rituximab-based CT. The OS benefit of RT was predominant in intermediate- and high-risk patients with PFS ≤ 80%.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>We demonstrated a varied OS benefit profile of RT to inform treatment decisions and clinical trial design.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"4 3","pages":"Pages 249-259"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424000231/pdfft?md5=6ecbbe0e8123ee6ac7c34f77b7ccb7f5&pid=1-s2.0-S2667005424000231-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140764999","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Linking fatty liver diseases to hepatocellular carcinoma by hepatic stellate cells 肝星状细胞将脂肪肝与肝细胞癌联系起来
Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.01.002
Liang'en Chen , Xiangshi Ye , Lixian Yang , Jiangsha Zhao , Jia You , Yuxiong Feng

Hepatic stellate cells (HSCs), a distinct category of non-parenchymal cells in the liver, are critical for liver homeostasis. In healthy livers, HSCs remain non-proliferative and quiescent. However, under conditions of acute or chronic liver damage, HSCs are activated and participate in the progression and regulation of liver diseases such as liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and liver cancer. Fatty liver diseases (FLD), including nonalcoholic (NAFLD) and alcohol-related (ALD), are common chronic inflammatory conditions of the liver. These diseases, often resulting from multiple metabolic disorders, can progress through a sequence of inflammation, fibrosis, and ultimately, cancer. In this review, we focused on the activation and regulatory mechanism of HSCs in the context of FLD. We summarized the molecular pathways of activated HSCs (aHSCs) in mediating FLD and their role in promoting liver tumor development from the perspectives of cell proliferation, invasion, metastasis, angiogenesis, immunosuppression, and chemo-resistance. We aimed to offer an in-depth discussion on the reciprocal regulatory interactions between FLD and HSC activation, providing new insights for researchers in this field.

肝星状细胞(HSCs)是肝脏中一类独特的非实质细胞,对肝脏的稳态至关重要。在健康的肝脏中,造血干细胞保持非增殖和静止状态。然而,在急性或慢性肝损伤的情况下,造血干细胞会被激活,并参与肝纤维化、肝硬化和肝癌等肝脏疾病的进展和调节。脂肪肝(FLD),包括非酒精性脂肪肝(NAFLD)和酒精相关性脂肪肝(ALD),是常见的慢性肝脏炎症。这些疾病通常由多种代谢紊乱引起,可通过炎症、纤维化和最终癌变的顺序发展。在这篇综述中,我们重点研究了FLD背景下造血干细胞的活化和调控机制。我们从细胞增殖、侵袭、转移、血管生成、免疫抑制和化疗抵抗等方面总结了活化造血干细胞(aHSCs)介导FLD的分子途径及其在促进肝脏肿瘤发展中的作用。我们旨在深入探讨FLD与造血干细胞活化之间的相互调控作用,为该领域的研究人员提供新的见解。
{"title":"Linking fatty liver diseases to hepatocellular carcinoma by hepatic stellate cells","authors":"Liang'en Chen ,&nbsp;Xiangshi Ye ,&nbsp;Lixian Yang ,&nbsp;Jiangsha Zhao ,&nbsp;Jia You ,&nbsp;Yuxiong Feng","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.01.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.01.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Hepatic stellate cells (HSCs), a distinct category of non-parenchymal cells in the liver, are critical for liver homeostasis. In healthy livers, HSCs remain non-proliferative and quiescent. However, under conditions of acute or chronic liver damage, HSCs are activated and participate in the progression and regulation of liver diseases such as liver fibrosis, cirrhosis, and liver cancer. Fatty liver diseases (FLD), including nonalcoholic (NAFLD) and alcohol-related (ALD), are common chronic inflammatory conditions of the liver. These diseases, often resulting from multiple metabolic disorders, can progress through a sequence of inflammation, fibrosis, and ultimately, cancer. In this review, we focused on the activation and regulatory mechanism of HSCs in the context of FLD. We summarized the molecular pathways of activated HSCs (aHSCs) in mediating FLD and their role in promoting liver tumor development from the perspectives of cell proliferation, invasion, metastasis, angiogenesis, immunosuppression, and chemo-resistance. We aimed to offer an in-depth discussion on the reciprocal regulatory interactions between FLD and HSC activation, providing new insights for researchers in this field.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"4 1","pages":"Pages 25-35"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667005424000024/pdfft?md5=bb74d72c9a0f791f190599cb50c79c6d&pid=1-s2.0-S2667005424000024-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139639159","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of the National Cancer Center
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