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Global, regional, and national burden of genitourinary cancers in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021 1990-2021年204个国家和地区的全球、区域和国家泌尿生殖系统癌负担:对2021年全球疾病负担研究的系统分析
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2025.03.001
Zhiyong Zhang , Yingwei Xie , Lei Liu , Yongtao Wang , Shuang Li , Li Chen , Xiangbo Zeng , Yuanchao Zhu , Yishan Zhang , Yongyuan Xiao , Fengjin Zhao , Bihong Xu , Xiaocen Liu , Wenbin Guo , Ganping Wang , Wenlian Xie , Wanlong Tan , Hao Ping , Zaosong Zheng
<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Genitourinary cancers constitute a significant portion of the global cancer burden and have emerged as a prominent cause of cancer-related mortality. However, there remains a paucity of up-to-date statistical analyses that meticulously examine the global and national shifts in the epidemiology of genitourinary cancers. Our study aimed to provide a comprehensive understanding of the global distribution and progression of genitourinary cancers through analyses of the recently updated 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This study presented the incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their respective age-standardized rates for four genitourinary cancers (bladder, kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers) by sex, age, and location from 1990 to 2021. Estimates for these data were presented with their 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) and Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) models were utilized to further quantify the temporal dynamics of age-standardized rates (ASRs) in genitourinary cancers. Countries and territories were categorized according to socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Globally, with the exception of a sustained decline in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) for bladder cancer (EAPC = −0.36%), the ASIRs for kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers demonstrated an upward trend from 1990 to 2021 (EAPC = 0.53%, 0.20%, and 1.43%, respectively). In terms of geographical regions, High-income North America had the highest ASIRs for both bladder (13.98 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 12.96 to 14.61]) and prostate (47.02 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 44.47 to 49.04]) cancers. Southern Latin America recorded the highest ASIRs for kidney (13.44 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 12.27 to 14.73]) and testicular (4.98 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 4.33 to 5.72]) cancers. Additionally, Central Europe (1.25% [95% CI, 1.12% to 1.38%]), East Asia (2.40% [95% CI, 2.21% to 2.59%]), Eastern Europe (3.74% [95% CI, 3.55% to 3.92%]), and the Caribbean (5.52% [95% CI, 4.32% to 6.74%]) exhibited the highest EAPCs for bladder, kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers, respectively. Unlike the ASIRs, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and age-standardized DALYs rates (ASDRs) showed a downward trend over time in all types of genitourinary cancers. The disease burdens of bladder, kidney, and prostate cancers were primarily distributed among older men, while testicular cancer mainly occurred in young men. Smoking remained the primary risk factor for bladder cancer. Meanwhile, high fasting plasma glucose and high body-mass index exerted increasingly significant impacts on bladder and kidney cancers, respectively, during the study period. Projections to 2050 suggest that the global burdens of genitourinary cancers are expected to decline to varying degrees. However, regional disparities
背景:泌尿生殖系统癌症是全球癌症负担的重要组成部分,并已成为癌症相关死亡的主要原因。然而,仍然缺乏最新的统计分析,以仔细检查全球和国家的变化,在泌尿生殖系统癌症的流行病学。我们的研究旨在通过分析最近更新的2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)数据库,全面了解泌尿生殖系统癌的全球分布和进展。方法本研究报告了1990年至2021年间按性别、年龄和地点划分的四种泌尿生殖系统癌(膀胱癌、肾癌、前列腺癌和睾丸癌)的发病率、死亡率、残疾调整生命年(DALYs)及其各自的年龄标准化率。对这些数据的估计以其95%的不确定区间(UIs)表示。使用估计年百分比变化(EAPCs)和贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型进一步量化生殖泌尿系统癌年龄标准化率(ASRs)的时间动态。根据社会人口指数(SDI)五分位数对国家和领土进行分类。结果:在全球范围内,除了膀胱癌的年龄标准化发病率(asir)持续下降(EAPC = - 0.36%)外,肾癌、前列腺癌和睾丸癌的asir从1990年到2021年呈上升趋势(EAPC分别为0.53%、0.20%和1.43%)。就地理区域而言,高收入的北美地区膀胱癌(13.98 / 10万人[95% UI, 12.96至14.61])和前列腺癌(47.02 / 10万人[95% UI, 44.47至49.04])的asir最高。南拉丁美洲的肾癌(13.44 / 10万人[95% UI, 12.27至14.73])和睾丸癌(4.98 / 10万人[95% UI, 4.33至5.72])的ASIRs最高。此外,中欧(1.25% [95% CI, 1.12%至1.38%])、东亚(2.40% [95% CI, 2.21%至2.59%])、东欧(3.74% [95% CI, 3.55%至3.92%])和加勒比地区(5.52% [95% CI, 4.32%至6.74%])分别表现出膀胱癌、肾癌、前列腺癌和睾丸癌的最高EAPCs。与asir不同,年龄标准化死亡率(ASMRs)和年龄标准化DALYs率(ASDRs)在所有类型的泌尿生殖系统癌中随时间呈下降趋势。膀胱癌、肾癌和前列腺癌的疾病负担主要分布在老年男性,而睾丸癌主要发生在年轻男性。吸烟仍然是膀胱癌的主要危险因素。同时,在研究期间,高空腹血糖和高体重指数对膀胱癌和肾癌的影响越来越显著。到2050年的预测表明,全球泌尿生殖系统癌的负担预计将有不同程度的下降。然而,预计泌尿生殖系统癌负担的地区差异将持续存在。结论:尽管结果显示泌尿生殖系统癌引起的asr略有下降,但它们仍然造成了相当大的全球负担,并导致大量死亡。本研究从GBD 2021中获取并分析了泌尿生殖系统癌的最新流行病学数据,为国家卫生保健专业人员和政策制定者优化资源配置、更有效地管理成本、制定切实可行的卫生保健政策提供了有价值的信息。
{"title":"Global, regional, and national burden of genitourinary cancers in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021","authors":"Zhiyong Zhang ,&nbsp;Yingwei Xie ,&nbsp;Lei Liu ,&nbsp;Yongtao Wang ,&nbsp;Shuang Li ,&nbsp;Li Chen ,&nbsp;Xiangbo Zeng ,&nbsp;Yuanchao Zhu ,&nbsp;Yishan Zhang ,&nbsp;Yongyuan Xiao ,&nbsp;Fengjin Zhao ,&nbsp;Bihong Xu ,&nbsp;Xiaocen Liu ,&nbsp;Wenbin Guo ,&nbsp;Ganping Wang ,&nbsp;Wenlian Xie ,&nbsp;Wanlong Tan ,&nbsp;Hao Ping ,&nbsp;Zaosong Zheng","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2025.03.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2025.03.001","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Background&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;div&gt;Genitourinary cancers constitute a significant portion of the global cancer burden and have emerged as a prominent cause of cancer-related mortality. However, there remains a paucity of up-to-date statistical analyses that meticulously examine the global and national shifts in the epidemiology of genitourinary cancers. Our study aimed to provide a comprehensive understanding of the global distribution and progression of genitourinary cancers through analyses of the recently updated 2021 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Methods&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;div&gt;This study presented the incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and their respective age-standardized rates for four genitourinary cancers (bladder, kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers) by sex, age, and location from 1990 to 2021. Estimates for these data were presented with their 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs). Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) and Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) models were utilized to further quantify the temporal dynamics of age-standardized rates (ASRs) in genitourinary cancers. Countries and territories were categorized according to socio-demographic index (SDI) quintiles.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;h3&gt;Results&lt;/h3&gt;&lt;div&gt;Globally, with the exception of a sustained decline in age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) for bladder cancer (EAPC = −0.36%), the ASIRs for kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers demonstrated an upward trend from 1990 to 2021 (EAPC = 0.53%, 0.20%, and 1.43%, respectively). In terms of geographical regions, High-income North America had the highest ASIRs for both bladder (13.98 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 12.96 to 14.61]) and prostate (47.02 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 44.47 to 49.04]) cancers. Southern Latin America recorded the highest ASIRs for kidney (13.44 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 12.27 to 14.73]) and testicular (4.98 per 100,000 persons [95% UI, 4.33 to 5.72]) cancers. Additionally, Central Europe (1.25% [95% CI, 1.12% to 1.38%]), East Asia (2.40% [95% CI, 2.21% to 2.59%]), Eastern Europe (3.74% [95% CI, 3.55% to 3.92%]), and the Caribbean (5.52% [95% CI, 4.32% to 6.74%]) exhibited the highest EAPCs for bladder, kidney, prostate, and testicular cancers, respectively. Unlike the ASIRs, age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) and age-standardized DALYs rates (ASDRs) showed a downward trend over time in all types of genitourinary cancers. The disease burdens of bladder, kidney, and prostate cancers were primarily distributed among older men, while testicular cancer mainly occurred in young men. Smoking remained the primary risk factor for bladder cancer. Meanwhile, high fasting plasma glucose and high body-mass index exerted increasingly significant impacts on bladder and kidney cancers, respectively, during the study period. Projections to 2050 suggest that the global burdens of genitourinary cancers are expected to decline to varying degrees. However, regional disparities ","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"5 3","pages":"Pages 330-345"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144470877","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Circulating tumor DNA as a biomarker of prognosis prediction in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta‐analysis 循环肿瘤DNA作为结直肠癌预后预测的生物标志物:一项系统综述和荟萃分析
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.007
Qingxin Zhou , Xiaowei Chen , Baoqi Zeng , Meng Zhang , Nana Guo , Shanshan Wu , Hongmei Zeng , Feng Sun

Objective

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly being used as a potential biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. However, the role of ctDNA in CRC prognosis prediction remains unclear. The objective is to systematically assess the clinical value of ctDNA in colorectal cancer prognosis prediction throughout the treatment cycle.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and clinical trials.gov database was searched from January 2016 to April 2023. Observational studies and randomized clinical trials reporting on ctDNA and prognostic outcomes in CRC patients were included. Pooled hazard risk ratios (HRs) were calculated for the primary outcomes, relapse-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). Random-effects models were preferred considering the potential heterogeneity.

Results

Sixty-five cohort studies were included. Association between ctDNA and shorter RFS or OS was significant, especially after the full-course treatment recommended by the guidelines (HR = 8.92 [ 95 % CI: 6.02–13.22], P < 0.001, I2 = 73 %; HR = 3.05 [ 95 % CI: 1.72–5.41], P < 0.001, I2 = 48 %) for all types of CRC patients. Despite the presence of heterogeneity, subgroup analyses showed that the cancer type and ctDNA detection assays may be the underlying cause. Besides, ctDNA may detect recurrence earlier than radiographic progression, but no uniform sampling time point between studies might bring bias. However, ctDNA detection did not appear to correlate with pathological complete response achievement in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

Conclusion

ctDNA detection was significantly associated with poorer prognosis. The potential applications in prognostic prediction are promising and remain to be evaluated in other fields.
目的循环肿瘤DNA (ctDNA)越来越多地被用作结直肠癌(CRC)患者的潜在生物标志物。然而,ctDNA在CRC预后预测中的作用尚不清楚。目的是系统评估ctDNA在整个治疗周期中预测结直肠癌预后的临床价值。方法检索2016年1月至2023年4月spubmed、Web of Science、Embase、Cochrane Library、Scopus和clinical trials.gov数据库。观察性研究和随机临床试验报告了CRC患者的ctDNA和预后结果。计算主要结局、无复发生存期(RFS)和总生存期(OS)的合并风险比(hr)。考虑到潜在的异质性,首选随机效应模型。结果纳入65项队列研究。ctDNA与较短的RFS或OS之间存在显著相关性,特别是在指南推荐的全程治疗后(HR = 8.92 [95% CI: 6.02-13.22], P <;0.001, i2 = 73%;HR = 3.05 [95% CI: 1.72-5.41], P <;0.001, I2 = 48%)。尽管存在异质性,亚组分析表明,癌症类型和ctDNA检测分析可能是潜在的原因。此外,ctDNA可能比影像学进展更早发现复发,但研究之间没有统一的采样时间点可能会带来偏差。然而,在局部晚期直肠癌患者中,ctDNA检测似乎与病理完全缓解无关。结论ctdna检测与预后不良有显著相关性。在预后预测方面的潜在应用前景广阔,在其他领域有待进一步评估。
{"title":"Circulating tumor DNA as a biomarker of prognosis prediction in colorectal cancer: a systematic review and meta‐analysis","authors":"Qingxin Zhou ,&nbsp;Xiaowei Chen ,&nbsp;Baoqi Zeng ,&nbsp;Meng Zhang ,&nbsp;Nana Guo ,&nbsp;Shanshan Wu ,&nbsp;Hongmei Zeng ,&nbsp;Feng Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.05.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Objective</h3><div>Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) is increasingly being used as a potential biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. However, the role of ctDNA in CRC prognosis prediction remains unclear. The objective is to systematically assess the clinical value of ctDNA in colorectal cancer prognosis prediction throughout the treatment cycle.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and clinical trials.gov database was searched from January 2016 to April 2023. Observational studies and randomized clinical trials reporting on ctDNA and prognostic outcomes in CRC patients were included. Pooled hazard risk ratios (HRs) were calculated for the primary outcomes, relapse-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). Random-effects models were preferred considering the potential heterogeneity.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Sixty-five cohort studies were included. Association between ctDNA and shorter RFS or OS was significant, especially after the full-course treatment recommended by the guidelines (HR = 8.92 [ 95 % CI: 6.02–13.22], <em>P</em> &lt; 0.001, <em>I<sup>2</sup></em> = 73 %; HR = 3.05 [ 95 % CI: 1.72–5.41], <em>P</em> &lt; 0.001, <em>I<sup>2</sup></em> = 48 %) for all types of CRC patients. Despite the presence of heterogeneity, subgroup analyses showed that the cancer type and ctDNA detection assays may be the underlying cause. Besides, ctDNA may detect recurrence earlier than radiographic progression, but no uniform sampling time point between studies might bring bias. However, ctDNA detection did not appear to correlate with pathological complete response achievement in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>ctDNA detection was significantly associated with poorer prognosis. The potential applications in prognostic prediction are promising and remain to be evaluated in other fields.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"5 2","pages":"Pages 167-178"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143816235","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Three-field vs two-field lymphadenectomy in thoracic ESCC patients: a multicenter randomized study (NST 1503) 胸部 ESCC 患者的三野与两野淋巴结切除术:一项多中心随机研究(NST 1503)
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2025.01.002
Yousheng Mao , Shuoyan Liu , Yongtao Han , Shiping Guo , Chun Chen , Shugeng Gao , Anlin Hao , Hongbing Duan , Wentao Fang , Renquan Zhang , Zhentao Yu , Xiangning Fu , Xiaofei Li , Qun Wang , Lijie Tan , Zhigang Li , Yin Li , Zhirong Zhang , Wenqiang Wei , Yan Fang , Jie He

Background

3-field lymph node dissection (3FL) frequently lead to much more perioperative complications than 2-field lymph node dissection (2FL). This study was designed as a non-inferiority trial to evaluate whether 3FL could be omitted without compromising overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) in the patients with resectable thoracic esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) and negative right recurrent laryngeal nerve lymph nodes (RRLN-LNs).

Methods

cT1b-3N0–1M0 thoracic ESCC patients were managed in 3 arms during open or minimally invasive McKeown esophagectomy according to the results of frozen section examination for RRLN-LNs: if positive, direct 3FL (RRLN[+]-3FL); if negative, 2FL (RRLN[-]-2FL) or 3FL (RRLN[-]-3FL) by randomization.

Results

Based on frozen section, of the 829 finally recruited patients, 121 (13.6 %) had positive RRLN-LNs and direct 3FL (RRLN[+]-3FL); 766 had negative RRLN-LNs and were randomized into the RRLN [-]-2FL (386 cases) or RRLN[-]-3FL (380 cases) group. The cervical LN metastasis rate in the RRLN[+]-3FL group (28.9 %) was significantly higher than that in the RRLN[-]-3FL group (8.3 %) (P<0.001). The 5-year OS and DFS were 72.2 % and 65.1 % in the RRLN[-]-3FL group and 68.8 % and 62.8 % in the RRLN[-]-2FL group (OS, P = 0.163; DFS, P = 0.378), versus 50.3 % and 41.2 % in the RRLN[+]-3FL group (both P<0.001), respectively.

Conclusions

Additional cervical lymphadenectomy can be avoided in the patients with middle or lower thoracic ESCC and negative RRLN-LNs by frozen section treated by upfront surgery.
Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT02448953.
背景:三野淋巴结清扫术(3FL)往往比二野淋巴结清扫术(2FL)导致更多的围手术期并发症。本研究设计为一项非劣效性试验,旨在评估可切除胸段食管鳞状细胞癌(ESCC)和右侧喉返神经淋巴结(RRLN-LNs)阴性患者是否可以在不影响总生存期(OS)和无病生存期(DFS)的情况下省略3FL。方法根据RRLN- lns冰冻切片检查结果,将sct1b - 3n0 - 1m0例胸段ESCC患者在开放式或微创McKeown食管切除术中分为3组进行处理:如果RRLN- lns阳性,直接3FL (RRLN[+]-3FL);如果阴性,随机选择2FL (RRLN[-]-2FL)或3FL (RRLN[-]-3FL)。结果根据冷冻切片,最终招募的829例患者中,121例(13.6%)为RRLN- lns阳性和直接3FL (RRLN[+]-3FL);766例RRLN- lns阴性,随机分为RRLN[-]- 2fl组(386例)和RRLN[-]- 3fl组(380例)。RRLN[+]- 3fl组颈淋巴转移率(28.9%)显著高于RRLN[-]- 3fl组(8.3%)(P<0.001)。RRLN[-]- 3fl组5年OS和DFS分别为72.2%和65.1%,RRLN[-]- 2fl组为68.8%和62.8% (OS, P = 0.163;DFS, P = 0.378), RRLN[+]-3FL组分别为50.3%和41.2% (P = 0.001)。结论术前冷冻切片治疗中、下段ESCC及RRLN-LNs阴性患者可避免行额外的颈淋巴清扫手术。试验注册:ClinicalTrials.gov标识符NCT02448953。
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引用次数: 0
A novel risk stratification system for primary small-cell carcinoma of the esophagus: indication for prognostication and staging 原发性食管小细胞癌的一种新的风险分层系统:预后和分期的指征
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2025.02.003
Yong Yang , Jing Yu , Silin Chen , Xiaomin Wang , Furong Wu , Cheng Huang , Yuping Lin , Tianlan Tang , Tiantian Gao , Zewei Zhang , Yiping Zhang , Liyan Wang , Junqiang Chen , Zhenyang Zhang , Weijie Wang , Jiangbo Lin , Ying Wang , Yuanji Xu , Lei Zhao

Background

Primary small cell carcinoma of the oesophagus (PSCCE) is a gastrointestinal tumour of rare onset. The current study was to investigate the role of a novel risk stratification system (RSS) for PSCCE.

Methods

The study included patients with PSCCE attending any of five medical institutions in China in 2008–2021, four of which served as a training set (n = 422) for construction of the RSS while the other served as a separate cohort (n = 256) for validation of the model. The RSS was established based on covariates associated with overall survival (OS) with a two-sided P-value of < 0.05 in multivariable regression. Survival discrimination of RSS was assessed.

Results

In the training cohort, multivariate regression analysis revealed age, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group score, and initial lymph node metastasis to be independent prognostic factors for OS in non-distant metastatic PESCC; concurrent hepatic metastasis was the only significant predictor of distant metastatic PESCC. Accordingly, the RSS was developed and could classify patients into four subgroups: low-risk localized disease (LLD, defined as non-distant metastasis PESCC without risk factors, n = 58); high-risk localized disease (HLD, defined as non-distant metastasis PESCC with ≥ 1 risk factor, n = 199); low-risk metastatic disease (LMD, defined as metastatic PESCC without concomitant liver metastases, n = 103); and high-risk metastatic disease (HMD, definded as metastatic disease with synchronous liver metastases, n = 63). Three-year OS rates were 52.5%, 29.5%, 14.4%, and 5.7% for LLD, HLD, LMD, and HMD, respectively. When compared with the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) system, RSS showed a consistently superior ability to predict OS in both the training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

The RSS is a reliable stratification model that could be used to optimize treatment for PESCC.
背景:原发性食管小细胞癌(PSCCE)是一种罕见的胃肠道肿瘤。本研究旨在探讨一种新的风险分层系统(RSS)在PSCCE中的作用。方法研究纳入2008-2021年在中国5家医疗机构就诊的PSCCE患者,其中4例作为训练集(n = 422)用于构建RSS,另1例作为单独队列(n = 256)用于验证模型。RSS是基于与总生存期(OS)相关的协变量建立的,双侧p值为<;多变量回归0.05。评估RSS的生存歧视。结果在培训队列中,多因素回归分析显示,年龄、东部肿瘤合作组评分和初始淋巴结转移是非远处转移性PESCC发生OS的独立预后因素;并发肝转移是远处转移性PESCC的唯一显著预测因子。据此,RSS被开发出来,并可以将患者分为四个亚组:低风险局限性疾病(LLD,定义为无危险因素的非远处转移的PESCC, n = 58);高风险局部性疾病(HLD,定义为非远处转移且危险因素≥1的PESCC, n = 199);低风险转移性疾病(LMD,定义为无肝转移的转移性PESCC, n = 103);高风险转移性疾病(HMD,定义为伴有同步肝转移的转移性疾病,n = 63)。LLD、HLD、LMD和HMD的3年OS率分别为52.5%、29.5%、14.4%和5.7%。与肿瘤-淋巴结-转移(TNM)系统相比,在训练组和验证组中,RSS显示出一贯优越的预测OS的能力。结论RSS是一种可靠的分层模型,可用于PESCC的优化治疗。
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引用次数: 0
The global progress and quality assessment of research on the association between circulating tumor DNA and clinical prognosis: a systematic review 循环肿瘤DNA与临床预后相关性的全球研究进展及质量评价综述
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.10.002
Meng Zhang , Xiaowei Chen , Qingxin Zhou , Nana Guo , Baoshan Cao , Hongmei Zeng , Wanqing Chen , Feng Sun

Objective

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has shown potential as a prognostic biomarker in patients with solid tumors. This study aimed to systematically summarize the global application of ctDNA in the prognostic management of solid tumor patients and to evaluate the quality of the current studies.

Methods

PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, Scopus, and clinical trials.gov databases were searched to collect cohort studies on ctDNA in the prognosis of solid tumor patients from January 2016 to May 2022. The language was limited to English. Information including general information, participants and cancer characteristics, ctDNA and outcome information were extracted. The quality of the studies was assessed using the Newcastle–Ottawa Scale checklist.

Results

A total of 214 studies were included in the final analysis, encompassing 21,076 patients. The number of studies has increased annually from 2016 to 2022. The most common types of solid tumors studied were colorectal cancer (27.10 %), lung cancer (20.09 %), pancreatic cancer (16.82 %), and breast cancer (14.02 %). The top three journals by number of publications had an impact factor in 2023 greater than 10. Of the studies, the median sample size was 69 (interquartile range: 41–111), 69.81 % had a sample size <100, 68.92 % had a median/mean age ≥60 years, and 74.05 % were from developed countries. Multi-center studies accounted for 40.36 %. Additionally, 29.82 % of the studies had a bias risk score ≤6. Only 16.67 % of studies on liver cancer had a bias risk score >6. The primary criteria not met by the studies included “Adequacy of follow-up of cohorts” (33.33 %), “Assessment of outcome” (32.16 %) and “Representativeness of the exposed cohort” (27.49 %).

Conclusions

The prognostic value of ctDNA in patients with solid tumors is gaining increasing attention, leading to a steady rise in the number of studies. However, many studies still suffer from small sample sizes and a lack of representativeness. Furthermore, details regarding ctDNA detection methods and results reporting are often insufficiently described. There is an urgent need to improve the quality of such research.
目的循环肿瘤DNA (ctDNA)已显示出作为实体肿瘤患者预后生物标志物的潜力。本研究旨在系统总结全球ctDNA在实体瘤患者预后管理中的应用,并对目前研究的质量进行评价。方法检索spubmed、Web of Science、Embase、Cochrane Library、Scopus和clinical trials.gov数据库,收集2016年1月至2022年5月ctDNA对实体瘤患者预后影响的队列研究。当时的语言仅限于英语。信息包括一般信息、参与者和癌症特征、ctDNA和结局信息。使用纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表评估研究的质量。结果最终分析共纳入214项研究,涵盖21,076例患者。从2016年到2022年,研究数量每年都在增加。研究中最常见的实体瘤类型是结直肠癌(27.10%)、肺癌(20.09%)、胰腺癌(16.82%)和乳腺癌(14.02%)。发表数排名前三的期刊2023年的影响因子大于10。在这些研究中,中位样本量为69(四分位数间距为41-111),69.81%的研究样本量为100,68.92%的研究中位/平均年龄≥60岁,74.05%的研究来自发达国家。多中心研究占40.36%。此外,29.82%的研究偏倚风险评分≤6。只有16.67%的肝癌研究有偏倚风险评分[gt;6]。研究未满足的主要标准包括“队列随访的充分性”(33.33%)、“结果评估”(32.16%)和“暴露队列的代表性”(27.49%)。结论ctDNA在实体瘤患者预后中的价值日益受到重视,相关研究数量稳步增加。然而,许多研究仍然存在样本量小,缺乏代表性的问题。此外,关于ctDNA检测方法和结果报告的细节往往描述不足。迫切需要提高这类研究的质量。
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引用次数: 0
Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1-mediated immune suppressive status is positively associated with brain metastasis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer 吲哚胺2,3-双加氧酶1介导的免疫抑制状态与非小细胞肺癌患者脑转移呈正相关
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.12.004
Weiwei Chen , Li Yang , Victor Ho-fun Lee , Liangliang Xu , Lingyu Ma , Zhenghao Ye , Wanli Xu , Caining Zhao , Danyang Zheng , Karrie Mei-Yee Kiang , Stella Sun , Yuan Qu , Jiandong Zha , Dazhi Pang , Yan Zhang , Zhibing Liang , Wenchu Lin , Jinliang Zhang , Jitian Zhang , Min Luo , Feng-Ming (Spring) Kong

Background

Indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO1) activity, measured by kynurenine/tryptophan (K:T) ratio, is known for its association with distant metastasis and overall survival (OS) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Here, we aimed to examine whether IDO1 activity is correlated with OS in NSCLC patients with brain metastasis (Bramet) and has negative effect on modulating the anti-tumor functions of immune cells.

Methods

This study was a part of a prospective clinical trial in circulating biomarkers. Blood or tissues from eligible participants were collected for measurement of kynurenine, tryptophan, immune cell subtype, scRNA-seq analysis, and untargeted metabolomics analysis.

Results

A total of 195 patients were enrolled. The median kynurenine to tryptophan (K:T) ratio was 0.18, with consistent values observed among patients with NSCLC Bramet and those without (0.18 and 0.11, respectively). Notably, student's t-test analysis revealed significantly higher kynurenine concentrations in stage IV patients compared to those in stage I (2.3 vs 1.7 µM, P < 0.001). In patients with Bramet, both kynurenine concentrations and K:T ratios were significantly elevated in comparison with those of extra-cerebral metastasis (2.7 vs 1.9 µM, P < 0.001; 0.12 vs 0.095, P = 0.028; respectively). Single-cell analysis further validated a high level of IDO1 expression in stage IV tumors or Bramet lesions, particularly in macrophages, regulated by chemokines such as CXCL11. Additionally, K:T ratios exhibited significant associations with Treg cell percentages and OS in patients with Bramet (P = 0.039). Treatment with kynurenine led to the upregulation of immune-suppressive molecules, including PD-1, in T cells. Finally, untargeted metabolomics analysis further identified that, apart from the IDO1 metabolic pathway, other metabolites, such as those involved in phospholipid pathways, were also implicated in Bramet.

Conclusion

IDO1 metabolites may play immune-suppressive roles in NSCLC patients with Bramet.
犬尿氨酸/色氨酸(K:T)比值测定的吲哚胺2,3-双加氧酶(IDO1)活性与非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)患者的远处转移和总生存率(OS)有关。在此,我们旨在研究IDO1活性是否与NSCLC脑转移(Bramet)患者的OS相关,以及是否对调节免疫细胞的抗肿瘤功能有负面影响。方法本研究是循环生物标志物前瞻性临床试验的一部分。收集符合条件的参与者的血液或组织,测量犬尿氨酸、色氨酸、免疫细胞亚型、scRNA-seq分析和非靶向代谢组学分析。结果共纳入195例患者。犬尿氨酸与色氨酸(K:T)比值中值为0.18,非小细胞肺癌Bramet患者与非小细胞肺癌Bramet患者的K:T比值中值一致(分别为0.18和0.11)。值得注意的是,学生t检验分析显示,IV期患者的犬尿氨酸浓度明显高于I期患者(2.3 μ M vs 1.7 μ M, P <;0.001)。与脑外转移患者相比,Bramet患者的犬尿氨酸浓度和K:T比值均显著升高(2.7 vs 1.9 μ M, P <;0.001;0.12 vs 0.095, P = 0.028;分别)。单细胞分析进一步证实了IDO1在IV期肿瘤或Bramet病变中的高水平表达,特别是在巨噬细胞中,由CXCL11等趋化因子调节。此外,K:T比值与Bramet患者的Treg细胞百分比和OS有显著相关性(P = 0.039)。犬尿氨酸治疗导致T细胞中免疫抑制分子(包括PD-1)的上调。最后,非靶向代谢组学分析进一步发现,除了IDO1代谢途径外,其他代谢物,如参与磷脂途径的代谢物,也与Bramet有关。结论ido1代谢物可能在Bramet非小细胞肺癌患者中发挥免疫抑制作用。
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引用次数: 0
Ammonia-induced lysosomal and mitochondrial damage: a novel perspective on T cell-based cancer immunotherapy 氨诱导的溶酶体和线粒体损伤:基于T细胞的癌症免疫治疗的新视角
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2025.01.004
Jianqiao Shentu , Hening Xu , Feng Zhu
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引用次数: 0
Lifetime risk of developing and dying from cancer in Henan Province, China: current status, temporal trends, and disparities 中国河南省癌症发生和死亡的终生风险:现状、时间趋势和差异
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.11.005
Qiong Chen, Shuzheng Liu, Yin Liu, Hongwei Liu, Hong Wang, Lanwei Guo, Huifang Xu, Xiaoli Guo, Xiaoyang Wang, Ruihua Kang, Liyang Zheng, Shaokai Zhang

Objective

To understand the current status and changing trends in the lifetime risk of residents in Henan Province, China to develop and die from cancer.

Methods

Lifetime risk was estimated using the Adjusted for Multiple Primaries (AMP) method, incorporating cancer incidence, mortality, and all-cause mortality data from 55 cancer registries in Henan Province, China. Estimates were calculated overall and stratified by gender and area. The annual percent change (APC) in lifetime risk from 2010 to 2020, stratified by gender and cancer site, was estimated using a log-linear model.

Results

In 2020, the lifetime risk of developing and dying from cancer was 30.19 % (95 % CI: 29.63 %–30.76 %) and 23.62 % (95 % CI: 23.28 %–23.95 %), respectively. These estimates were higher in men, with values of 31.22 % (95 % CI: 30.59 %–31.85 %) for developing cancer and 26.73 % (95 % CI: 26.29 %–27.16 %) for dying from cancer, compared with women, who had values of 29.02 % (95 % CI: 28.12 %–29.91 %) and 20.08 % (95 % CI: 19.51 %–20.64 %), respectively. There were also geographical differences, with higher estimates in urban areas compared with rural areas. Residents had the highest lifetime risk of developing lung cancer, with a rate of 6.94 %, followed by breast cancer (4.14 %), stomach cancer (3.95 %), esophageal cancer (3.75 %), and liver cancer (2.86 %). Similarly, the highest lifetime risk of dying from cancer was observed for the following sites: lung (5.99 %), stomach (3.60 %), esophagus (3.39 %), liver (2.78 %), and colorectum (1.55 %). Overall, the lifetime risk of developing cancer increased, with an APC of 0.75 % (P < 0.05). Varying trends were observed across different cancer sites. There were gradual decreases in nasopharynx, esophagus, stomach, and liver cancers. Conversely, increasing trends were noted for most other sites, with the highest APCs observed in thyroid, prostate, lymphoma, kidney, and gallbladder cancers.

Conclusion

The lifetime risks of developing and dying from cancer were 30.19 % and 23.62 %, respectively. Variations in cancer risk across different regions, genders, specific cancer sites, and over calendar years provide important information for cancer prevention and policy making in the population.
目的了解河南省居民癌症发生及死亡风险的现状及变化趋势。方法采用多原发校正(Adjusted for Multiple primary, AMP)方法,结合中国河南省55个癌症登记处的癌症发病率、死亡率和全因死亡率数据,评估患者的终生风险。估计数是按性别和地区进行总体和分层计算的。从2010年到2020年,按性别和癌症部位分层的终身风险的年百分比变化(APC)使用对数线性模型进行估计。结果2020年,患者患癌和死于癌症的风险分别为30.19% (95% CI: 29.63% ~ 30.76%)和23.62% (95% CI: 23.28% ~ 23.95%)。这些估计值在男性中更高,发生癌症的比例为31.22% (95% CI: 30.59% - 31.85%),死于癌症的比例为26.73% (95% CI: 26.29% - 27.16%),而女性的比例分别为29.02% (95% CI: 28.12% - 29.91%)和20.08% (95% CI: 19.51% - 20.64%)。还有地域差异,城市地区的估计数高于农村地区。居民一生中患肺癌的风险最高,为6.94%,其次是乳腺癌(4.14%)、胃癌(3.95%)、食管癌(3.75%)和肝癌(2.86%)。同样,以下部位的癌症死亡风险最高:肺(5.99%)、胃(3.60%)、食道(3.39%)、肝脏(2.78%)和结直肠(1.55%)。总体而言,患癌症的终生风险增加,APC为0.75% (P <;0.05)。在不同的癌症部位观察到不同的趋势。鼻咽癌、食道癌、胃癌和肝癌的发病率逐渐下降。相反,大多数其他部位的apc呈上升趋势,甲状腺癌、前列腺癌、淋巴瘤、肾癌和胆囊癌的apc最高。结论本组患者患癌风险为30.19%,死亡风险为23.62%。癌症风险在不同地区、性别、特定癌症部位以及历年之间的变化为人群中癌症预防和政策制定提供了重要信息。
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引用次数: 0
The application of artificial intelligence in upper gastrointestinal cancers 人工智能在上消化道肿瘤中的应用
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.12.006
Xiaoying Huang , Minghao Qin , Mengjie Fang , Zipei Wang , Chaoen Hu , Tongyu Zhao , Zhuyuan Qin , Haishan Zhu , Ling Wu , Guowei Yu , Francesco De Cobelli , Xuebin Xie , Diego Palumbo , Jie Tian , Di Dong
Upper gastrointestinal cancers, mainly comprising esophageal and gastric cancers, are among the most prevalent cancers worldwide. There are many new cases of upper gastrointestinal cancers annually, and the survival rate tends to be low. Therefore, timely screening, precise diagnosis, appropriate treatment strategies, and effective prognosis are crucial for patients with upper gastrointestinal cancers. In recent years, an increasing number of studies suggest that artificial intelligence (AI) technology can effectively address clinical tasks related to upper gastrointestinal cancers. These studies mainly focus on four aspects: screening, diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis. In this review, we focus on the application of AI technology in clinical tasks related to upper gastrointestinal cancers. Firstly, the basic application pipelines of radiomics and deep learning in medical image analysis were introduced. Furthermore, we separately reviewed the application of AI technology in the aforementioned aspects for both esophageal and gastric cancers. Finally, the current limitations and challenges faced in the field of upper gastrointestinal cancers were summarized, and explorations were conducted on the selection of AI algorithms in various scenarios, the popularization of early screening, the clinical applications of AI, and large multimodal models.
上消化道癌症,主要包括食道癌和胃癌,是世界上最常见的癌症之一。每年都有许多上消化道癌症的新病例,生存率往往很低。因此,及时筛查、准确诊断、适当的治疗策略和有效的预后对上消化道肿瘤患者至关重要。近年来,越来越多的研究表明,人工智能(AI)技术可以有效地解决与上消化道癌症相关的临床任务。这些研究主要集中在筛查、诊断、治疗和预后四个方面。在这篇综述中,我们重点介绍了人工智能技术在上胃肠道癌症相关临床任务中的应用。首先介绍了放射组学和深度学习在医学图像分析中的基本应用流程。此外,我们还分别综述了人工智能技术在上述两方面在食管癌和胃癌中的应用。最后,总结了目前上消化道肿瘤领域面临的局限性和挑战,并对各种场景下AI算法的选择、早期筛查的普及、AI的临床应用、大型多模态模型等方面进行了探索。
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引用次数: 0
Advance and challenge of DNA methylation as cancer biomarkers for risk stratification, screening and early detection DNA甲基化作为癌症风险分层、筛查和早期检测的生物标志物的进展和挑战
IF 7.6 Q1 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jncc.2024.12.007
Na Li , Kai Song , Hongda Chen , Min Dai
{"title":"Advance and challenge of DNA methylation as cancer biomarkers for risk stratification, screening and early detection","authors":"Na Li ,&nbsp;Kai Song ,&nbsp;Hongda Chen ,&nbsp;Min Dai","doi":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.12.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jncc.2024.12.007","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":73987,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the National Cancer Center","volume":"5 2","pages":"Pages 108-112"},"PeriodicalIF":7.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143816370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of the National Cancer Center
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