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Impact of interventions to prevent asbestos-related respiratory disease in an exposed worker registry using a simplified G-computation. 在使用简化g计算的接触工人登记册中预防石棉相关呼吸道疾病的干预措施的影响。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf040
Nathan L DeBono, Louis Everest, David B Richardson, Colin Berriault, Ryann E Yeo, Maya A Meeds, Victoria Arrandale, Paul A Demers

The Ontario Asbestos Workers Registry is a regulatory exposure registry obligating employers to report the number of work hours with asbestos-containing materials for each of their workers. Currently, each worker is notified of the need for a medical examination once they have accrued 2000 reported hours of work with asbestos. We sought to evaluate the impact on disease prevention of alternative policies limiting asbestos work hours among registry participants. A cohort of 26 164 asbestos workers were followed for cancer and nonmalignant disease diagnoses between 1986 and 2019. Analyses of the association between cumulative asbestos work hours and respiratory disease incidence rates showed substantially elevated disease rates well before reaching 2000 asbestos work hours. Using a simplified application of parametric G-computation (G-POSH), limiting cumulative asbestos work hours to 100 h would have prevented 76 asbestosis, 36 pulmonary fibrosis, 27 mesothelioma, and 79 lung cancer cases at the end of follow-up compared to the observed risk in the cohort. Limiting exposure to 2000 asbestos work hours had a smaller but still substantial impact on disease prevention, particularly among workers in the construction industry. Regulatory agencies should intervene sooner to prevent respiratory disease among workers in the registry.

安大略省石棉工人登记处是一个监管暴露登记处,要求雇主报告每个工人使用含石棉材料的工作时数。目前,一旦每名工人报告的接触石棉工作时间累计达到2 000小时,就会通知他们需要进行体检。我们试图在登记参与者中评估限制石棉工作时间的替代政策对疾病预防的影响。1986年至2019年期间,对26164名石棉工人进行了癌症和非恶性疾病诊断。对累积石棉工作时数与呼吸道疾病发病率之间关系的分析表明,早在达到2,000石棉工作时数之前,疾病发病率就大幅上升。使用参数g计算(G-POSH)的简化应用,将累积石棉工作时间限制在100小时,与随访结束时观察到的风险相比,可以预防76例石棉肺、36例肺纤维化、27例间皮瘤和79例肺癌。限制接触2,000个石棉工作小时对预防疾病的影响较小,但仍然很大,特别是对建筑行业的工人而言。监管机构应尽早干预,防止登记工人患呼吸道疾病。
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引用次数: 0
Redefining "excess" in the endemic COVID-19 era. 在COVID-19流行时代重新定义“过剩”。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf244
Nathkapach K Rattanapitoon, Chutharat Thanchonnang, Natnapa H Padchasuwan, Schawanya K Rattanapitoon
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引用次数: 0
Do Europeans really feel better at home than in a nursing home? 欧洲人真的觉得呆在家里比住在养老院好吗?
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf041
Anne Laferrère, Jérôme Schoenmaeckers

The desire to age "in place" avoiding nursing homes (NHs) seems universally acknowledged, and the recent COVID-19 pandemic may have encouraged it. Using data from the Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), we show that those living in NH declared a lower level of life satisfaction than those living in the community. Controlling for demographics, the difference was around -8% over an average score of 6.73/10. Adding controls for the economic situation, health, and disability level the negative association becomes nonsignificant. Functional status seems to explain most of the difference in well-being between nursing and private homes. However, the selection into NH may be linked to unobservable characteristics. We tackle this causality issue in two ways. First by using propensity score matching methods. Living in an NH becomes associated with lower well-being. Finally, we make use of our longitudinal data to further reduce the potential impact of nonobservables. The conclusions are globally reversed: living in an NH is associated with higher well-being. This is coherent with a model of optimal residential choices: living in an NH might not be desired but proves to be the best choice for those who make it. This article is part of a Special Collection on Cross-National Gerontology.

人们普遍希望“原地”养老,避免住进养老院,而最近的COVID-19大流行可能助长了这种愿望。使用来自欧洲健康老龄化和退休调查(SHARE)的数据,我们表明,那些住在养老院的人宣称的生活满意度低于那些住在社区的人。在人口统计因素的控制下,这一差异在6.73/10的平均分数上约为-8%。加上对经济状况、健康和残疾水平的控制,负相关就变得不显著了。功能状态似乎可以解释疗养院和私人住宅之间幸福感的大部分差异。然而,选择进入养老院可能与不可观察的特征有关。我们用两种方法来解决这个因果关系问题。首先采用倾向得分匹配方法。住在养老院与较低的幸福感联系在一起。最后,我们利用我们的纵向数据来进一步减少不可观测的潜在影响。结论在全球范围内是相反的:住在养老院与更高的幸福感有关。这与最佳居住选择模型是一致的:住在养老院可能不是人们想要的,但事实证明,对于那些住在养老院的人来说,这是最好的选择。
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引用次数: 0
Losing sleep? The effects of exposure to shootings near one's residence on self-reported sleep quantity in Chicago, 2020-2021. 失眠吗?2020-2021年,芝加哥居民在住所附近暴露于枪击事件对自我报告睡眠量的影响。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf031
Suzanne G McLone, Chad M Coleman, Hannah J Matzke, Matthew P Fox, Jonathan S Jay

Firearm violence is a public health crisis in the United States and negatively impacts individuals and communities. We used data from The Healthy Chicago Survey, a citywide survey of 8754 respondents from 2020 to 2021, and police-reported shootings to estimate the effect of residential exposure to shootings on sleep duration. Exposure was measured as fatal or non-fatal shootings occurring within 400 meters of the respondent's residence, within 7 days before taking the survey. Sleep was categorized into <6, 6 to <7, 7 to <9 and ≥9 h/day. We used log-binomial regression models to estimate risk ratios (RR). We used probabilistic quantitative bias analysis to estimate the magnitude and direction of the impact of differential outcome misclassification of self-reported sleep on results. Of 8584 survey respondents, 589 (6.9%) were exposed to at least one shooting. The estimated associations between shootings and very short and moderately short sleep duration were null, while the RR for long sleep duration was 1.10 (95% CI, 1.00-1.22); results of the quantitative bias analysis for long sleep duration were null (RR = 1.04 [95% simulation interval: 0.92, 1.15]). Our findings suggest that simply living close to a recent shooting may not affect sleep duration among adults living in Chicago, but further investigation is warranted.

枪支暴力是美国的一场公共卫生危机,对个人和社区产生了负面影响。我们使用了《健康芝加哥调查》(The Healthy Chicago Survey)的数据,这是一项针对2020-2021年全市8754名受访者的调查,以及警方报告的枪击事件,以估计住宅暴露于枪击事件对睡眠持续时间的影响。暴露是指在调查前7天内发生在被调查者住所400米范围内的致命或非致命枪击事件。每天睡眠时间分为9个小时。我们使用对数二项回归模型来估计风险比(RR)。我们使用概率定量偏倚分析来估计自我报告睡眠的差异结果错误分类对结果的影响程度和方向。在8584名受访者中,589人(6.9%)至少接触过一次枪击事件。枪击事件与极短和中短睡眠时间之间的估计关联为零,而长睡眠时间的RR为1.10(95%可信区间:1.00,1.22);长睡眠时间的定量偏倚分析结果为零(RR=1.04[95%模拟区间:0.92,1.15])。我们的研究结果表明,仅仅是住在最近发生枪击事件的附近,可能不会影响芝加哥成年人的睡眠时间,但还需要进一步的调查。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of trends in CPS reports of child maltreatment and child maltreatment-related mortality across time, place and race/ethnicity. 儿童虐待和儿童虐待相关死亡率的CPS报告的趋势在时间、地点和种族/民族间的比较。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf016
Saron Goitom, Krista Neumann, Stephanie Veazie, Kriszta Farkas, Jennifer Ahern, Susan M Mason, Corinne A Riddell

Child maltreatment is a persistent public health problem in the United States. Child Protective Services (CPS) data are the de facto data source for child maltreatment surveillance, despite these data's established limitations. Maltreatment-related mortality could be a complementary source of child maltreatment surveillance data. We calculated trends over time, and patterns across state and by race/ethnicity, comparing child maltreatment report rates to child maltreatment-related mortality rates, between 2005 and 2020. These two measures of maltreatment show different time trends and patterns by state and race/ethnicity. Time trends in maltreatment-related mortality decreased slightly across the study period for all racial/ethnic groups, while maltreatment report rates increased, particularly for Non-Hispanic Black children. Reports and mortality data revealed very different pictures of which states had the highest and lowest maltreatment rates, overall and by race/ethnicity. Only 14 states had report and mortality rates in the same tertile, with less alignment when stratified by race/ethnicity. Patterns in child maltreatment report rates and death rates do not align. Future work should consider additional sources of data to improve maltreatment surveillance. These findings highlight the need to identify a valid and consistent approach to capture patterns of maltreatment in the United States.

背景:儿童虐待是美国长期存在的公共卫生问题。儿童保护服务(CPS)的数据实际上是儿童虐待监测的数据来源,尽管这些数据存在既定的局限性。虐待相关死亡率可作为儿童虐待监测数据的补充来源。方法:我们计算了随着时间的变化趋势,以及各州和种族/民族的模式,比较了2005年至2020年期间儿童虐待报告率与儿童虐待相关死亡率。结果:这两项虐待措施显示出不同国家和种族/民族的不同时间趋势和模式。在整个研究期间,所有种族/族裔群体的虐待相关死亡率的时间趋势略有下降,而虐待报告率上升,特别是非西班牙裔黑人儿童。报告和死亡率数据显示,从总体上和按种族/族裔划分,哪些州的虐待率最高,哪些州的虐待率最低,情况截然不同。只有14个州的报告和死亡率相同,按种族/族裔分层时一致性较差。讨论:儿童虐待报告率和死亡率的模式不一致。未来的工作应考虑其他数据来源,以改善虐待监测。这些发现强调需要确定一种有效和一致的方法来捕捉美国的虐待模式。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies using the network survival method. 利用网络生存法估算复杂人道主义紧急情况下的死亡率。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf101
Casey F Breen, Saeed Rahman, Christina Kay, Joeri Smits, Abraham Azar, Steve Ahuka, Dennis M Feehan

Reliable estimates of death rates in complex humanitarian emergencies are critical for assessing the severity of a crisis and for effectively allocating resources. However, in many humanitarian settings, logistical and security concerns make conventional methods for estimating death rates infeasible. We develop and test a new method for estimating death rates in humanitarian emergencies using reports of deaths in survey respondents' social networks. To test our method, we collected original data in Tanganyika Province of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (n = 5311), a setting where reliable estimates of crude death rates (CDR) are in high demand. Qualitative fieldwork suggested testing 2 different types of personal networks as the basis for CDR estimates: deaths among immediate neighbors and deaths among kin. We compare our network-based estimates (0.44 deaths per 10 000 person-days) against a standard retrospective household mortality survey, which estimated a CDR nearly twice as high (0.81 deaths per 10 000 person-days). Given that both methods are equally plausible, our findings highlight the need for further validation and development of both methods.

在复杂的人道主义紧急情况中,可靠的死亡率估计对于评估危机的严重程度和有效分配资源至关重要。然而,在许多人道主义情况下,后勤和安全方面的考虑使估计死亡率的传统方法不可行。我们开发并测试了一种利用调查对象社交网络中的死亡报告估算人道主义紧急情况下死亡率的新方法。为了验证我们的方法,我们收集了刚果民主共和国坦噶尼喀省(N = 5,311)的原始数据,该地区对粗死亡率(CDR)的可靠估计有很高的需求。定性实地调查建议测试两种不同类型的个人网络作为CDR估计的基础:直系邻居之间的死亡和亲属之间的死亡。我们将基于网络的估计(每10,000人日0.44例死亡)与标准的回顾性家庭死亡率调查进行了比较,后者估计的CDR几乎是前者的两倍(每10,000人日0.81例死亡)。鉴于这两种方法同样合理,我们的发现强调了进一步验证和发展这两种方法的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of voucher receipt on perceived discrimination in boys and girls in the Moving to Opportunity study. “转向机会”研究中,代金券收据对男孩和女孩感知歧视的影响。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf161
Anna Krasnova, Dustin T Duncan, Jeremy Kane, Keely Cheslack-Postava, Sarah E Tom, Kara E Rudolph

Section 8 vouchers help low-income families relocate to lower-poverty neighborhoods, potentially altering neighborhood racial/ethnic composition and exposure to perceived discrimination. The Moving to Opportunity study randomized families to a low-poverty voucher, traditional voucher, or control. Low-poverty voucher recipients could use vouchers in neighborhoods with <20% poverty, while traditional voucher recipients had no restrictions. We estimated the effect of voucher receipt at baseline (1994-1998) on non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic adolescents' perceived racial/ethnic discrimination in 2001 to 2002 (n = 2200), and identified heterogeneity across voucher types, cities (Boston, Chicago, New York, Los Angeles), and sexes. We used a doubly robust adaptive shrinkage approach to identify effect modifiers (sex and city) in each voucher comparison group and discrimination setting. On average, across cities, low-poverty voucher receipt reduced risk of perceived police discrimination among boys and girls. In Los Angeles, among boys and girls, low-poverty voucher and traditional voucher receipt, respectively, reduced risk of perceived school and neighborhood discrimination. Receipt of a traditional voucher increased risk of perceived discrimination at stores in Chicago and perceived neighborhood discrimination in Boston, Chicago, and New York. Offering vouchers may affect participants' risk of perceived discrimination, but this effect depends on voucher type and city.

背景:第8节代金券帮助低收入家庭搬迁到较低贫困的社区,可能改变社区的种族/民族组成和暴露于感知歧视。方法:“抓住机遇”研究将家庭随机分配到低贫困券、传统券或对照。结果:在各个城市的平均水平上,领取低贫困代金券降低了男孩和女孩感受到警察歧视的风险。在洛杉矶,在男孩和女孩中,低贫困代金券和传统代金券分别降低了感受到学校和社区歧视的风险。在芝加哥的商店和波士顿、芝加哥和纽约的社区,接受传统代金券增加了感知歧视的风险。结论:提供代金券可能会影响被试感知歧视的风险,但这种影响取决于代金券类型和城市。
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引用次数: 0
Occupational exposures and kidney cancer among 25 000 male offshore petroleum industry workers: relative risks and healthy worker survivor bias. 25 000名海上石油工业男性工人的职业暴露与肾癌:相对风险和健康工人幸存者偏见。
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf039
Nita K Shala, Marit B Veierød, Ronnie Babigumira, Leon A M Berge, Sven O Samuelsen, Jorunn Kirkeleit, Magne Bråtveit, Melissa C Friesen, Alexander P Keil, Debra T Silverman, Nathaniel Rothman, Lan Qing, Jo S Stenehjem, Tom K Grimsrud

Kidney cancer has been a suspected occupational disease in petroleum workers. Health conditions that are linked to kidney cancer may prompt termination or change of work and thereby restrict occupational exposures in high-risk individuals, creating a healthy worker survivor bias (HWSB). We examined associations between occupational exposures and kidney cancer among males in the Norwegian offshore petroleum workers cohort using a case-cohort design, with 169 incident cancers identified by linkage to national registry data (1999-2021) and a subcohort of 2090 noncases, all employed between 1965 and 1998. Relative risks (hazard ratios [HRs]) by cumulative exposure to benzene, crude oil, chlorinated degreasing agents (CDA), asbestos, welding fumes, or surface treatment (priming, painting) were estimated by weighted Cox regression. Inverse exposure-response trends suggested HWSB, reinforced by analyses of necessary components of HWSB. Bias was partly alleviated by adjustment for total employment duration and by 20-year lagging of cumulative exposure to benzene, crude oil, or CDA. Workers in surface treatment (ever vs never) showed increased HR = 2.22, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-4.72 (9 cases, only). For asbestos and welding fumes, the initial inverse trends largely remained after adjustment. In sum, we could neither confirm nor exclude an occupational impact on kidney cancer.

肾癌一直是石油工人的疑似职业病。与肾癌有关的健康状况可能促使终止或改变工作,从而限制高风险个人的职业暴露,造成健康工人幸存者偏见(HWSB)。我们研究了挪威海上石油工人(NOPW)队列中男性职业暴露与肾癌之间的关系,采用病例队列设计,通过与国家登记数据(1999-2021)的联系确定了169例癌症事件,并建立了一个由2090例非病例组成的亚队列,这些病例均在1965-1998年工作。通过加权Cox回归估计累积暴露于苯、原油、氯化脱脂剂(CDA)、石棉、焊接烟雾或表面处理(底漆、油漆)的相对风险(风险比,hr)。相反的暴露反应趋势表明是HWSB,通过分析HWSB的必要成分加强了这一点。通过调整总就业时间,以及苯、原油或CDA累积暴露的20年滞后,部分缓解了偏倚。表面处理工人(曾经与从未)的HR增加=2.22,95%置信区间为1.04-4.72(仅9例)。对于石棉和焊接烟雾,最初的反向趋势在调整后基本保持不变。总之,我们既不能确认也不能排除职业对肾癌的影响。
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引用次数: 0
High-risk emergency department visits and risk of all-cause mortality, suicide, and fatal overdose among US military veterans. 美国退伍军人的高风险急诊科就诊和全因死亡、自杀和致命用药过量的风险
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf002
Holly Elser, Mathew V Kiang, Keith Humphreys, Jonathan Zhang

Deaths due to overdose and suicide together comprise an urgent public health challenge. Using Veterans Health Administration (VHA) electronic health records, we identified patients with high-risk emergency department (ED) visits related to suicidality or overdose between January 2010 and September 2019 using diagnostic codes from the International Classification of Diseases. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMR) for 90-day all-cause and cause-specific mortality associated with high-risk VHA ED visits compared with other VHA ED users, all VHA users, and the US general population. Among 20 382 060 ED visits from 3 705 984 unique Veterans, we identified 318 950 high-risk ED visits. The 90-day all-cause mortality rate among Veterans with high-risk ED visits was 2.81 times the expected rate (95% CI, 2.72-2.92) for other VHA ED users after adjusting for sex, race, and age. Rates remained elevated compared to all VHA users and the US general population. By race, mortality rates were markedly elevated among veterans identified as Asian or Pacific Islander (SMR = 3.50, 95% CI, 2.86-4.24) compared to other VHA ED users. The 90-day cause-specific SMRs were most pronounced for suicide, overdose, and accidents or unintentional self-harm. These results suggest that high-risk ED visits should trigger assertive, continued mental health care directed at reducing acute mortality through structured suicide prevention programs.

过量用药和自杀导致的死亡共同构成了一项紧迫的公共卫生挑战。使用VHA电子健康记录,我们使用国际疾病分类中的诊断代码确定了2010年1月至2019年9月期间与自杀或过量用药相关的高风险急诊科(ED)就诊患者。我们计算了与其他VHA ED使用者、所有VHA使用者和美国普通人群相比,与高风险VHA ED就诊相关的90天全因和特定原因死亡率的标准化死亡率(SMR)。在3,705,984名退伍军人的20,382,060次急诊科就诊中,我们确定了318,950次高风险急诊科就诊。在调整性别、种族和年龄后,高风险ED就诊的退伍军人90天全因死亡率是其他VHA ED使用者预期死亡率的2.81倍(95%CI:2.72, 2.92)。与所有VHA用户和美国普通人群相比,发病率仍然很高。按种族划分,与其他VHA ED使用者相比,亚洲或太平洋岛民退伍军人的死亡率显著升高(SMR=3.50, 95%CI:2.86,4.24)。90天特定原因的smr最明显的是自杀、服药过量、事故或无意的自残。这些结果表明,高风险的急诊科就诊应该触发果断的、持续的心理健康护理,通过结构化的自杀预防计划来降低急性死亡率。
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引用次数: 0
Heterogenous long-term health and social outcomes of type 1 diabetes: a full population 30-year observational cohort study. 1型糖尿病的异质性长期健康和社会结果——一项30年全人群观察队列研究
IF 4.8 2区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwaf028
Aapo Hiilamo, Niina Metsä-Simola, Philipp Dierker, Pekka Martikainen, Mikko Myrskyla

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is known to have adverse long-term health and social outcomes, but the modifying factors are largely unknown. We investigate to what extent T1D outcomes are modified by area-, household-, and individual-level social and economic characteristics in Finland. National registers from 1987 to 2020 were used to identify all 3048 children with T1D diagnosed at ages 7-17 years and matched controls (n = 78 883). Using causal forests, we estimated the average association between T1D and adult health, social, and economic outcomes at ages 28-30 years, and the modifying roles of more than 30 covariates. Individuals with T1D were more likely to be deceased (2.3% vs 0.9% in the control group), to use antidepressants (17% vs 13%), and to be unpartnered (36% vs 32%), and had more months of unemployment (1.18 vs 1.02) and lower annual income (25 697 euros vs 27 453 euros), but not significantly lower educational attainment (10.8% vs 10.3% with only basic education). Type 1 diabetes had a heterogenous association with all outcomes except mortality and income, but no specific population subgroup was vulnerable across all outcomes. However, women with T1D had particularly high rates of antidepressant use, and individuals from low socioeconomic families were more likely to be unpartnered.

众所周知,1 型糖尿病(T1D)会对长期健康和社会产生不利影响,但其影响因素却大多不为人知。我们调查了芬兰地区、家庭和个人层面的社会和经济特征对 T1D 结果的影响程度。我们利用 1987 年至 2020 年的全国登记册,确定了所有 3,048 名在 7 至 17 岁期间确诊患有 T1D 的儿童以及匹配的对照组(n=78,883)。我们利用因果森林估计了 T1D 与 28-30 岁成人健康、社会和经济结果之间的平均关联,以及 30 多个协变量的调节作用。T1D 患者更有可能死亡(2.3% 对对照组的 0.9%)、使用抗抑郁药物(17% 对 13%)和没有伴侣(36% 对 32%),失业月数(1.18 对 1.02)和年收入(25,697 欧元对 27,453 欧元)也更低,但受教育程度(10.8% 对仅接受过基础教育的 10.3%)并没有明显降低。除死亡率和收入外,T1D 与所有结果都有不同程度的关联,但在所有结果中,没有一个特定的人口亚群是弱势群体。不过,患有 T1D 的女性使用抗抑郁药物的比例特别高,而来自社会经济地位低下家庭的人更有可能没有伴侣。
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引用次数: 0
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American journal of epidemiology
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