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Product mix adjustments and import competition in Vietnam's manufacturing industries 越南制造业的产品结构调整和进口竞争
Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13511
Tien Dzung Nguyen, The Kien Nguyen, Xuan Nam Vu
Abstract In this article, we make use of Vietnam's annual enterprise surveys to investigate the product selection and product mix responses to import competition in manufacturing firms. We estimate the effect of imports from Vietnam's free trade agreement partners on firms' product scope and sales concentration, controlling for firms and industry characteristics and the conditions in export markets. The empirical results consistently indicate that Vietnam's manufacturing firms narrow the product scope and concentrate on better selling products in response to rising import competition. Given the dominant presence of quality sorting in the manufacturing industries, our analysis suggests an aggregate quality improvement as firms reallocate sales towards high‐quality products in responses to competition.
摘要本文利用越南年度企业调查,研究制造业企业的产品选择和产品组合对进口竞争的反应。在控制企业和行业特征以及出口市场条件的情况下,我们估计了从越南自由贸易协定伙伴进口对企业产品范围和销售集中度的影响。实证结果一致表明,越南制造业企业缩小产品范围,集中精力更好地销售产品,以应对日益激烈的进口竞争。鉴于质量分类在制造业中占主导地位,我们的分析表明,随着企业将销售重新分配给高质量产品以应对竞争,总体质量将得到改善。
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引用次数: 0
Foreign direct investment (FDI) and environmental quality: Is greenfield FDI greener than mergers and acquisitions FDI? 外商直接投资(FDI)与环境质量:绿地FDI比并购FDI更环保吗?
Pub Date : 2023-10-09 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13513
Dung Ly‐My, Thai‐Ha Le, Donghyun Park
Abstract Environmental sustainability is a key objective of sustainable development. In this connection, there are growing concerns about the environmental impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), even though it is a potentially powerful engine of growth and development in developing countries. In this study, we empirically examine and compare the environmental impact of two different types of FDI, namely greenfield FDI, and mergers and acquisitions (M&A) FDI. Using data from 91 countries in 2005–2020, we find significant differences in the environmental effects of the two different types of FDI. In particular, our empirical results show that greenfield FDI is more harmful to the environment of host countries than M&A FDI. In addition, FDI from emerging markets and developing countries tends to be more harmful to the environment than FDI from developed countries.
环境可持续性是可持续发展的一个重要目标。在这方面,人们日益关注外国直接投资对环境的影响,尽管它是发展中国家增长和发展的潜在强大动力。在本研究中,我们实证检验和比较了两种不同类型的FDI,即绿地FDI和并购FDI (m&a;A)的环境影响。利用2005-2020年91个国家的数据,我们发现两种不同类型的FDI对环境的影响存在显著差异。特别是,我们的实证结果表明,绿地FDI对东道国环境的危害比M&A FDI更大。此外,来自新兴市场和发展中国家的外国直接投资往往比来自发达国家的外国直接投资对环境的危害更大。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of foreign demand shocks on organisational hierarchies 外国需求冲击对组织等级制度的影响
Pub Date : 2023-10-08 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13512
Santiago Bonilla, Sašo Polanec
Abstract According to the theory of knowledge‐based hierarchies, a sufficiently large change in firm size should induce firms to change their organisational structure by adding or dropping organisational layers. In open economies, one of the main determinants of firm size is the volume of foreign sales, and its changes may also trigger reorganisations. However, changes in foreign sales are not only driven by foreign demand shocks alone, but also by firm characteristics like productivity and quality, which in theory confound both foreign sales and organisational structure. We construct a set of Bartik‐type measures of exogenous foreign demand shocks, and test whether firms respond to these shocks by changing their hierarchical structure. For this purpose, we combine transaction‐level trade data and employer–employee data for a set of Slovenian manufacturing firms that were engaged in exporting during the 1998–2011 period. While we find a positive relationship between changes in actual exports growth and number of organisational layers, we find no evidence that exogenous foreign demand shocks lead to adding or dropping organisational layers.
摘要根据知识层次理论,企业规模的足够大的变化会促使企业通过增加或减少组织层次来改变其组织结构。在开放经济体中,企业规模的主要决定因素之一是对外销售的数量,其变化也可能引发重组。然而,国外销售的变化不仅受到国外需求冲击的单独驱动,而且还受到生产率和质量等公司特征的影响,这些特征在理论上混淆了国外销售和组织结构。我们构建了一套Bartik类型的外生外需冲击测量方法,并测试企业是否通过改变其等级结构来应对这些冲击。为此,我们结合了1998-2011年期间从事出口的斯洛文尼亚制造企业的交易级贸易数据和雇主-雇员数据。虽然我们发现实际出口增长的变化与组织层数量之间存在正相关关系,但我们没有发现外生外国需求冲击导致组织层增加或减少的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Oman's trade achievements with Singapore given the Gulf–Singapore Free Trade Agreement 鉴于海湾-新加坡自由贸易协定,阿曼与新加坡的贸易成就
Pub Date : 2023-10-05 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13510
Azmat Gani
Abstract Oman's trade performance achievements with Singapore are assessed within the Gulf–Singapore Free Trade Agreement (GSFTA) framework. Since coming into force in January 2015, Oman's total export value to Singapore has plunged significantly. The number of imported products from Singapore remained significantly higher than the number of Oman's exports to Singapore, confirming that Omani exports have a weaker presence in the Singaporean market. In the post‐2015 period, Oman's export partner share in trade remained below its import partner share. Although Oman's comparative advantage strengthened in consumer goods, intermediate goods, chemicals and metals since 2015, animals, food, vegetables and wood consistently revealed their comparative disadvantage since 2000. Between 2015 and 2018, Oman's export share of capital and intermediate goods to Singapore fell from 45.23% to 33.57%, while it rose for consumer goods, chemicals, fuels, machinery and electrical products. Oman's trade reforms have resulted in weighted average tariffs on all products falling from around 5% in 2005 to below 0.60% in 2018. While GSFTA has delivered on expanding trade between Oman and Singapore (though with different magnitudes), it has fallen short of delivering the ‘level playing field’ as expected of Oman's bilateral trade.
阿曼与新加坡的贸易绩效成就是在海湾-新加坡自由贸易协定(GSFTA)框架内评估的。自2015年1月生效以来,阿曼对新加坡的出口总值大幅下降。从新加坡进口的产品数量仍然大大高于阿曼向新加坡出口的产品数量,证实阿曼出口在新加坡市场的存在较弱。2015年后,阿曼的出口伙伴在贸易中的份额仍然低于其进口伙伴的份额。2015年以来,阿曼在消费品、半成品、化工、金属等领域的比较优势有所增强,但2000年以来,动物、食品、蔬菜、木材等领域的比较劣势持续显现。2015年至2018年,阿曼对新加坡的资本和中间产品出口份额从45.23%降至33.57%,而消费品、化学品、燃料、机械和电气产品的出口份额则有所上升。阿曼的贸易改革导致所有产品的加权平均关税从2005年的5%左右降至2018年的0.60%以下。虽然GSFTA扩大了阿曼和新加坡之间的贸易(尽管规模不同),但它没有像阿曼双边贸易预期的那样提供“公平竞争的环境”。
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引用次数: 0
African firms in global value chains: What can we learn from firm‐level data in Cameroon and Côte d'Ivoire? 全球价值链中的非洲企业:我们可以从喀麦隆和Côte科特迪瓦的企业层面数据中学到什么?
Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13506
Romaric Coulibaly, Heddie Moreno, Akiko Suwa‐Eisenmann, Nouhoum Traore
Abstract The paper offers a detailed review of African firms' participation to international value chains and provides new quantitative insights on two countries, Cameroon and Ivory Coast, based on a unique dataset, which was obtained by merging firm census and detailed customs transactions over time. “GVC firms” are defined as firms that both export and import, with positive production and labour. The paper characterises GVC firms in the two countries. GVC firms represent about 15% of manufacturing firms; they are more frequent than pure exporters, a sign of the challenges faced by firms in those countries if they want to sell abroad. In line with the literature on firm heterogeneity and trade, firms engaged in GVCs are larger, more productive and live longer than one‐way‐traders or domestic firms. African markets are the main destination of manufacturing GVCs in Ivory Coast, while Cameroon GVC firms rely on OECD (including for agricultural exports). There is limited cross‐penetration between African‐oriented and OECD‐oriented GVC firms over time. The probability of moving into a GVC is higher for exporters than for importers, showing that exporting is a stepping stone for African firms to join a GVC.
本文基于一个独特的数据集,对非洲企业参与国际价值链进行了详细的回顾,并对喀麦隆和科特迪瓦这两个国家提供了新的定量见解,该数据集是通过合并企业普查和详细的海关交易而获得的。“全球价值链企业”被定义为既出口又进口,生产和劳动力均为正的企业。这篇论文描述了两国全球价值链公司的特点。全球价值链公司约占制造业公司的15%;他们比纯粹的出口商更为频繁,这表明这些国家的公司如果想要向海外销售,将面临挑战。根据关于企业异质性和贸易的文献,从事全球价值链的企业比单向贸易商或国内企业规模更大,生产率更高,寿命更长。非洲市场是科特迪瓦制造业全球价值链的主要目的地,而喀麦隆的全球价值链公司依赖于经合组织(包括农业出口)。随着时间的推移,面向非洲和面向经合组织的全球价值链公司之间的交叉渗透有限。出口商进入全球价值链的可能性高于进口商,这表明出口是非洲公司加入全球价值链的垫脚石。
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引用次数: 0
Globalisation, economic growth and quality of infrastructure: New insights 全球化、经济增长和基础设施质量:新见解
Pub Date : 2023-10-03 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13509
Rasmane Ouedraogo, Hamidous Sawadogo, Issa Dianda
Abstract The China's Belt and Road Initiative and the EU's Global Gateway projects are based on the idea that high‐quality infrastructures are key for countries to benefit from globalisation. This article investigates the economic growth effect of globalisation using a panel of 117 countries over the period 1980–2019 and explores whether the state of infrastructure in countries matters. Based on the assumption that there are winners and losers of globalisation, we hypothesize that the effect of globalisation on economic growth differs across groups of countries with similar but unobserved characteristics. Therefore, the article incorporates the potential presence of hidden heterogeneity and tries to explain group membership of countries based on the quality of infrastructure. The finite mixture model regression shows that the effect of globalisation on growth differs across two different groups of countries. While the effect is insignificant in the first group, globalisation spurs economic growth in the second group. In addition, we find that countries with a better quality of infrastructure are more likely to be in the class where globalisation fosters economic growth. The results are robust to a battery of robustness checks. The article provides evidence that countries should improve the quality of infrastructure to fully reap the benefit of globalisation.
中国的“一带一路”倡议和欧盟的“全球门户”项目都基于这样一种理念:高质量的基础设施是各国从全球化中受益的关键。本文调查了1980年至2019年117个国家的经济增长对全球化的影响,并探讨了各国的基础设施状况是否重要。基于全球化有赢家和输家的假设,我们假设全球化对经济增长的影响在具有相似但未观察到的特征的国家群体中是不同的。因此,本文纳入了潜在异质性的存在,并试图根据基础设施的质量来解释国家的集团成员资格。有限混合模型回归显示,全球化对经济增长的影响在两组不同的国家之间存在差异。全球化对第一类人的影响微不足道,但却刺激了第二类人的经济增长。此外,我们发现,基础设施质量较好的国家更有可能属于全球化促进经济增长的国家。通过一系列稳健性检查,结果是稳健性的。这篇文章提供了证据,表明各国应该提高基础设施的质量,以充分从全球化中获益。
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引用次数: 0
Digital connectedness and exports upgrading: Is sub‐Saharan Africa catching up? 数字连接与出口升级:撒哈拉以南非洲正在迎头赶上吗?
Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13501
Camille da Piedade
Abstract We highlight a new dimension of the submarine cable infrastructure network, termed ‘digital connectedness’, reflecting a country's digital proximity to main world markets and assess its impact on export upgrading. Using an instrumental variables approach conducted on a sample of 60 developing countries—including 23 sub‐Saharan African countries—over the period 1995–2017, we find that digital connectedness contributes positively and significantly to the export basket complexity but also points out spatial heterogeneity within our sample. In fact, estimations stress that compared to the Rest of the World, a 10 pp increase in the share of world GDP directly cabled to SSA countries leads to a supplementary increase ranging from 4.6 index points to 5.3 index points in the export complexity index. Moreover, while everywhere else the positive effect of digital connectedness declines with distance from global markets, in sub‐Saharan Africa the benefit increases. Finally, in line with the literature, improved digital connectedness also translates into higher exports of differentiated goods and greater participation in the global value chain.
我们强调了海底电缆基础设施网络的一个新维度,即“数字连通性”,反映了一个国家与世界主要市场的数字接近程度,并评估了其对出口升级的影响。我们使用工具变量方法对1995年至2017年期间60个发展中国家(包括23个撒哈拉以南非洲国家)的样本进行了分析,发现数字连通性对出口篮子复杂性有积极而显著的贡献,但也指出了样本内的空间异质性。事实上,估计强调,与世界其他地区相比,直接电汇给SSA国家的世界GDP份额每增加10个百分点,出口复杂性指数就会增加4.6到5.3个指数点。此外,虽然在其他地方,数字连接的积极影响随着与全球市场的距离而减弱,但在撒哈拉以南非洲,这种好处却在增加。最后,与文献一致,数字连通性的改善也转化为差异化商品出口的增加和对全球价值链的更多参与。
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引用次数: 0
The landscape of CO2 emissions across Africa: A comparative perspective 非洲二氧化碳排放的格局:一个比较的视角
Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13498
Jaime de Melo, Jean-Marc Solleder
Abstract This paper provides evidence on carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions for 51 African and 132 other countries in 163 sectors over the period 1995–2015. The resulting landscape is summarised in four patterns. Patterns identified for Africa differ from those identified for other regions but are closely related to a synthetic aggregate comparator based on key country characteristics. (1) All regions have reduced emission intensities over the period 1995–2015. Africa's share of global CO 2 emissions has remained constant from 1995 to 2015. (2) The carbon intensity of production has increased in Africa in both decades. Over half of the 20 top African emitting countries shifted towards more carbon‐intensive techniques. (3) Over 1995–2015, intra‐regional shares of emissions fell by seven percentage points to 84% for Africa. Africa's share of emissions originating from Asia rose from 4% to 11%. Europe's share of emissions from Africa rose from 2% to 4%, respectively. (4) The export basket of Africa is skewed towards high CO 2 equivalent‐intensity products. CO 2 emission intensities correlate positively with output upstreamness (OU) and input downstreamness (ID). The OU/ID indicator of position in a supply chain is negatively correlated with CO 2 emission intensities within regions.
本文提供了1995-2015年期间51个非洲国家和132个其他国家163个部门的二氧化碳(CO 2)排放的证据。由此产生的景观可归纳为四种模式。为非洲确定的模式不同于为其他区域确定的模式,但与基于关键国家特征的综合综合比较指标密切相关。(1) 1995—2015年各区域排放强度均有所降低。从1995年到2015年,非洲在全球二氧化碳排放中所占的份额保持不变。(2)在这两个十年中,非洲的生产碳强度都有所增加。在20个最大的非洲排放国中,超过一半的国家转向了碳密集程度更高的技术。(3) 1995-2015年间,非洲的区域内排放份额下降了7个百分点,降至84%。非洲占亚洲排放量的比例从4%上升到11%。欧洲占非洲排放量的比例分别从2%上升到4%。(4)非洲出口篮子向高二氧化碳当量强度产品倾斜。co2排放强度与输出上游度(OU)和输入下游度(ID)呈正相关。供应链中位置的OU/ID指标与区域内的CO 2排放强度呈负相关。
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引用次数: 0
The economic impact of broadband access for small firms 宽带接入对小企业的经济影响
Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13485
Pantelis Koutroumpis, Danai Sarri
Abstract This paper investigates the economic effects of improved broadband access at the firm level. Using a detailed micro data set from 2002 to 2017, we cover almost 20,000 small, medium and large Greek firms and test the relationship between their economic performance with the availability and use of broadband services at the postcode level. We trace the effect of increased access and speeds across industrial sectors and firm sizes. Our results highlight that increases in broadband speeds can improve the financial performance of adopting small firms (sales, profits and labour productivity) by 2% for every speed doubling beyond basic broadband access. Unlike other output metrics, small firms do not generate increasing shares of intangible capital through this adoption process. These effects, which remain strong across a range of robustness checks, suggest that the digital transition for small firms should focus on the causes of adoption (including training and skill development) and move beyond policies aimed at increased broadband availability alone.
摘要本文从企业层面研究宽带接入改善的经济效应。利用2002年至2017年的详细微观数据集,我们覆盖了近20,000家小型,中型和大型希腊公司,并测试了其经济绩效与邮政编码层面宽带服务的可用性和使用之间的关系。我们追踪了跨行业和公司规模增加的准入和速度的影响。我们的研究结果强调,宽带速度的提高可以使采用小型公司的财务业绩(销售、利润和劳动生产率)在基本宽带接入速度每增加一倍的情况下提高2%。与其他产出指标不同,小企业不会通过这种采用过程产生越来越多的无形资本份额。这些影响在一系列稳健性检查中仍然很强,这表明小企业的数字化转型应侧重于采用的原因(包括培训和技能发展),而不仅仅是旨在提高宽带可用性的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Service offshoring and its impacts on wages: An occupation‐oriented analysis of Germany 服务外包及其对工资的影响:德国的职业导向分析
Pub Date : 2023-09-24 DOI: 10.1111/twec.13495
Michael Frenkel, Ngoc Tuyet Ngo
Abstract International trade in services has increased significantly in recent decades, mainly due to innovations in information and communication technology. This development has also increased the importance of service offshoring, as companies spread their production processes across several countries. This paper examines the intensity of offshoring of specific tasks of occupations, which in turn leads to higher imports, and explores the impact of such substitution on wages in the home economy. We use micro‐level data from the Occupational Information Network and the Socio‐Economic Panel in Germany and draw on the OECD's Input–Output Database. In total, we used data from about 62,000 person‐years in 45 industries in Germany during 2014–2018. A particular focus of our study is on the interaction between service offshoring and the tradability as well as skill levels of workers. Our main findings suggest that service offshoring itself exerts downward pressure on workers' wages. This effect is amplified by the degree of tradability of the occupations.
近几十年来,国际服务贸易显著增长,这主要是由于信息和通信技术的创新。这种发展也增加了服务外包的重要性,因为公司将其生产过程分散到几个国家。本文考察了特定职业的外包强度,这反过来导致更高的进口,并探讨了这种替代对国内经济工资的影响。我们使用了来自职业信息网络和德国社会经济小组的微观层面数据,并借鉴了经合组织的投入产出数据库。我们总共使用了2014-2018年德国45个行业约6.2万人年的数据。我们研究的一个特别重点是服务外包与可贸易性以及工人技能水平之间的相互作用。我们的主要发现表明,服务外包本身对工人的工资产生了下行压力。这种效应被职业的可交易性程度放大。
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引用次数: 0
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The World economy
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