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Wicked Problems in Public Policy 公共政策中的邪恶问题
Pub Date : 2008-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-94580-0
B. Head
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引用次数: 327
Toward a continuum of care for the elderly: a note of caution. 对老年人的持续照顾:注意事项。
Pub Date : 1981-01-01
W G Weissert

The search for better ways to care for the chronically ill elderly has led to "alternatives to institutional care." A study fo geriatric day care and homemaker services finds that they were used as an add-on to existing care, few patients benefited, and costs were 60-71% higher than costs of a control group. Four more studies have confirmed the lack of substitution effects. Services could be targeted on those who need them even though it is very difficult to do so, and efficacy should be demonstrated before benefits are expended to new services.

寻找更好的方法来照顾慢性病老年人已经导致了“机构护理的替代方案”。一项针对老年日托和家政服务的研究发现,它们被用作现有护理的附加服务,很少有患者从中受益,而且成本比对照组高出60-71%。另有四项研究证实了替代效应的缺失。服务可以针对有需要的人,尽管这样做非常困难,而且在将效益用于新的服务之前,应证明其有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Policy consequences of indirect regulatory costs. 间接监管成本的政策后果。
Pub Date : 1981-01-01
P B Downing

In adopting, implementing, and enforcing regulation, various costs are incurred that typically are not included in benefit-cost analyses. These costs include private and public administrative costs, political activity costs, and growth costs. We estimate these indirect costs to be from 20 to 38 percent of the direct costs of complying with regulations. For pollution control regulations, the range is 22-29 percent. Analysis of 20 Inflation Impact Statements indicates that in all cases the regulating agency neglects these indirect costs. This neglect can lead ceterus paribus to overlie stringent regulations and to adoption of regulations with negative net benefits.

在采用、实施和执行法规的过程中,产生的各种成本通常不包括在收益-成本分析中。这些成本包括私人和公共行政成本、政治活动成本和增长成本。我们估计这些间接成本占遵守法规的直接成本的20%到38%。对于污染控制法规,这个范围是22- 29%。对20份通货膨胀影响报表的分析表明,在所有情况下,监管机构都忽略了这些间接成本。这种忽视可能导致“同等原则”凌驾于严格的法规之上,并导致采用净收益为负的法规。
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引用次数: 0
Structural and operational factors affecting quality of patient care in nursing homes. 影响养老院病人护理质量的结构和操作因素。
Pub Date : 1981-01-01
V L Greene, D J Monahan

This article inquires into structural and operational characteristics of nursing homes that have predictive power for the quality of direct patient care provided to their residents. Data are from nursing homes in the Phoenix, Arizona, metropolitan area. The data were analyzed using multivariate linear regression. Findings of policy interest are that, other things equal: (1) for-profit facilities provide lower levels of care than do nonprofit facilities; and (2) distantly headquartered chain operations provide lower care levels than locally owned facilities. These factors should be considered in long-term care planning and regulation.

本文探讨养老院的结构和运作特征,对提供给其居民的直接病人护理的质量具有预测能力。数据来自亚利桑那州凤凰城市区的养老院。数据采用多元线性回归分析。政策利益的研究结果是,在其他条件相同的情况下:(1)营利性机构提供的护理水平低于非营利机构;(2)总部较远的连锁经营提供的护理水平低于当地拥有的设施。这些因素应在长期护理规划和管理中加以考虑。
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引用次数: 0
Federal funding formulas and the 1980 census. 联邦拨款公式和1980年的人口普查。
Pub Date : 1981-01-01
J L Goodman

Distribution of federal funds has achieved equal status with Congressional reapportionment as a motivation and justification for the Census of Population and Housing. This article describes the effects that U.S. population redistribution during the 1970s, as measured by the 1980 Census, will have on the spatial distribution of federal grants-in-aid provided to state and local governments through programs with formula-based funding systems. The conclusion is that funding changes will not match population changes. The overall redistribution of federal grants-in-aid to state and local governments occurring in response to incorporation of 1980 Census population counts into federal funding formulas will be far less than the level of population redistribution since 1970. Use of intercensal data, formula specifications, limited geographic specificity in many formula allocations, and nonformula determinants of formula-based grants all weaken the relationship between Census-measured population change and the receipt of federal funds at the local level. Despite all the intervening factors, it is probably that in many programs there will be some redistribution of funds when the 1980 Census counts are incorporated into the allocation formulas. But the importance of measurement errors and threshold and reclassification effects may equal that of true population change in determining the funds received by local communities.

作为人口和住房普查的动机和理由,联邦资金的分配与国会的重新分配具有同等的地位。本文描述了1980年人口普查测量的20世纪70年代美国人口再分配对通过基于公式的资助系统的项目向州和地方政府提供的联邦补助金的空间分布的影响。结论是,资金的变化不会与人口的变化相匹配。由于将1980年人口普查数据纳入联邦拨款公式,联邦政府对州和地方政府的援助补助金的总体再分配将远远低于1970年以来的人口再分配水平。普查间数据的使用、公式规格、许多公式分配中有限的地理特殊性以及基于公式的赠款的非公式决定因素都削弱了普查测量的人口变化与地方一级联邦资金接收之间的关系。尽管有这些干扰因素,当1980年的人口普查结果被纳入分配公式时,在许多项目中可能会有一些资金的重新分配。但是,在决定当地社区收到的资金时,测量误差、阈值和重新分类效应的重要性可能与真实人口变化的重要性相当。
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引用次数: 0
State services for children: an exploration of who benefits, who governs. 国家对儿童的服务:谁受益,谁管理的探索。
Pub Date : 1980-01-01
M W Kirst, W Garms, T Oppermann

In recent years, equity, choice, and efficiency issues in the provision of education have received much attention and analysis. Yet, in the area of other state services for children (health, protective services, day care, etc.), there has been scant concern for equity, efficiency, or choice, despite the fact that out-of-school influences can be crucial in determining in-school performance. This paper reports on work in progress that reaches the following initial conclusions: 1. In the field of children's social services, data compilation is approximately 20 years behind the state of the art for education. Basic data on services provided is not collected for submission to state or federal authorities in any standard format on a recurring basis. 2. From the limited data available, the access of children to quantity and quality in social service programs varies enormously within states. The variations are much larger than those discovered in the public financing of education even before the recent school finance reform movement (1968-1978). 3. Federal allocations to states for social service programs comprise a substantial proportion of state Title XX budgets. For several reasons, the degree of accountability for these funds is less than that for federal education grants. 4. In all three states Title XX state allocations to localities are purported to be based on need. Closer examination of the formulas, and interviews with policy makers, revealed that Title XX allocations are determined primarily by political criteria.

近年来,教育提供中的公平、选择和效率问题备受关注和分析。然而,在国家为儿童提供的其他服务(保健、保护服务、日托等)方面,很少关注公平、效率或选择,尽管校外影响可能对决定在校表现至关重要。本文报告了正在进行的工作,得出了以下初步结论:在儿童社会服务领域,数据汇编比教育领域的先进水平落后了大约20年。所提供服务的基本数据不定期以任何标准格式提交给州或联邦当局。2. 从现有的有限数据来看,各州儿童获得社会服务项目的数量和质量差别很大。甚至在最近的学校财政改革运动(1968-1978)之前,这些变化比在公共教育融资中发现的变化要大得多。3.联邦政府对各州社会服务项目的拨款占了州预算的很大一部分。由于一些原因,这些资金的问责程度不如联邦教育拨款。4. 在所有三个州,第XX条规定的州对地方的拨款据称是基于需要的。对这些公式的更仔细审查和对决策者的面谈显示,第20项拨款主要是由政治标准决定的。
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引用次数: 0
Regulatory response to variations in the supply of nursing home beds. 对养老院床位供应变化的监管反应。
Pub Date : 1979-01-01
T R Willemain

Current regulatory practice seeks to reduce the supply of nursing home beds in areas that rank high in number of beds per capita. The presumption is that a high rank signals "overbedding," i.e., an excess of beds over need. A model of service use is employed to interpret data on the appropriateness of skilled nursing facility (SNF) utilization by Medicaid patients. The analysis reveals that beds per capita is a poor indicator of the relative probability that an area is overbedded, and suggests a more discriminating response to variations in the supply of SNF beds.

目前的监管做法旨在减少人均床位数量高的地区养老院床位的供应。他们的假设是,高级别意味着“过度铺床”,即床位过多。采用服务使用模型来解释医疗补助患者对熟练护理设施(SNF)使用的适当性数据。分析表明,人均床位数不能很好地反映一个地区重叠床位数的相对概率,并表明对SNF床位数供应变化的反应更具区别性。
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引用次数: 0
Implementing a human services program: how hard will it be? 实施人类服务项目:会有多难?
Pub Date : 1979-01-01
G Chase

A framework is presented for examining obstacles to the implementation of human services delivery programs. These obstacles appear to arise from three basic sources: (1) from the operational demands implied by a particular program concept, (2) from the nature and availability of the resources required to run the program, and (3) from the need to share authority with, or retain support of, other bureaucratic and political actors in the implementation process. Within these three broad categories, fifteen areas deserve special attention: the people to be served, the nature of the service, the likelihood of distortions or irregularities, the controllability of the program, money, personnel, space, supplies and technical equipment, and intersections with overhead agencies, other line agencies, elected politicians, higher levels of government, private-sector providers, special-interest groups, and the press. By searching each of these fifteen areas diligently and systematically--with the aid of some 44 "factors for consideration"--it appears possible to make relatively powerful predictions about the obstacles that the implementation of a given human services program will entail. In addition, the framework can be used as a comparative instrument in allocating scarce political, managerial, and financial resources among human services programs, and as an aid to decision-making within particular programs and to identifying obstacles that cut across programs. Finally, some general guidance is offered on how implementing agency managers might deal with one of the more important and difficult dimensions of program implementation--namely, getting the cooperation of players in the implementation game whom the managers do not control, and who have different interests and agendas.

提出了一个框架,用于检查实施人力服务交付计划的障碍。这些障碍似乎来自三个基本来源:(1)特定计划概念所隐含的操作需求,(2)运行计划所需资源的性质和可用性,以及(3)在实施过程中需要与其他官僚和政治行为者分享权力或获得支持。在这三大类中,有15个方面值得特别注意:服务对象、服务性质、扭曲或不规范的可能性、项目的可控制性、资金、人员、空间、供应和技术设备,以及与管理机构、其他部门机构、民选政治家、更高级别政府、私营部门提供者、特殊利益集团和新闻界的交集。在大约44个“考虑因素”的帮助下,通过勤奋和系统地搜索这15个领域中的每一个,似乎有可能对实施特定的人类服务计划所需要的障碍做出相对有力的预测。此外,该框架还可以作为在人力服务项目之间分配稀缺的政治、管理和财政资源的比较工具,并有助于在特定项目中做出决策,并确定跨越项目的障碍。最后,对于执行机构管理者如何处理项目实施中一个更重要、更困难的维度,即如何在执行博弈中获得管理者无法控制的、有着不同利益和议程的参与者的合作,本文提供了一些一般性的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Policy analysis for prenatal genetic diagnosis. 产前遗传诊断的政策分析。
Pub Date : 1979-01-01
M Thompson, A Milunsky

Consideration of the analytic difficulties faced in estimating the benefits and costs of prenatal genetic diagnosis, coupled with a brief review of existing benefit-cost studies, leads to the conclusion that public subsidy of prenatal testing can yield benefits substantially in excess of costs. The practical obstacles to such programs include the attitudes of prospective parents, a lack of knowledge, monetary barriers, inadequately organized medical resources, and the political issue of abortion. Policy analysis can now nevertheless formulate principles and guide immediate actions to improve present utilization of prenatal testing and to facilitate possible future expansion of these diagnostic techniques.

考虑到在估计产前遗传诊断的收益和成本时所面临的分析困难,再加上对现有收益-成本研究的简要回顾,得出的结论是,产前检测的公共补贴可以产生大大超过成本的收益。实施这些计划的实际障碍包括准父母的态度、缺乏知识、资金障碍、医疗资源组织不足以及堕胎的政治问题。不过,政策分析现在可以制定原则并指导立即采取行动,以改善目前对产前检查的利用,并促进今后可能扩大这些诊断技术。
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引用次数: 0
Physicians as gatekeepers: illness certification as a rationing device. 医生是看门人:疾病证明是配给装置。
Pub Date : 1979-01-01
D A Stone

Illness or disability is often used as an eligibility criterion by public programs that distribute money, services, privileges, and exemptions. Physicians then play a central role in the allocation process. But physicians are caught between a large pool of applicants who want some benefit, on the one hand, and an organization with limited resources to distribute, on the other hand. Three conflicts are engendered in this gatekeeping role: the tension between trusting and mistrusting information provided by the patient, the tension between erring on the false positive side and the false negative side in diagnostic decision-making, and the tension between doing everything possible for each patient and allocating limited resources among several needy clients. Several non-medical factors influence the ultimate outcome of this allocation process, which, in theory, rests on clinical decision-making: the specificity and restrictiveness of the formal definitions of illness and disability used by a program; the structure of the determination process; the overall policy of the organization on distribution of benefits; and the ability of the organization to use administrative review, direct incentives, and written standards to control the certifying behavior of physicians.

疾病或残疾经常被公共项目用作资格标准,用于分配资金、服务、特权和豁免。然后,医生在分配过程中发挥核心作用。但医生们被夹在了一边,一边是大批想要获得一些好处的申请者,另一边是资源有限的机构。在这个守门人的角色中产生了三种冲突:信任和不信任病人提供的信息之间的紧张关系,诊断决策中错误的假阳性和假阴性之间的紧张关系,以及为每个病人尽一切可能和将有限的资源分配给几个有需要的客户之间的紧张关系。几个非医疗因素影响了分配过程的最终结果,从理论上讲,这取决于临床决策:项目使用的疾病和残疾的正式定义的特异性和限制性;测定过程的结构;组织利益分配的总体政策;以及组织使用行政审查、直接激励和书面标准来控制医生认证行为的能力。
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