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Social Insurance: Connecting Theory to Data 社会保险:理论与数据的联系
Pub Date : 2012-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-444-53759-1.00003-0
Raj Chetty, Amy N. Finkelstein
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引用次数: 144
Investment Decisions in Retirement: The Role of Subjective Expectations 退休投资决策:主观预期的作用
Pub Date : 2012-10-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2188403
M. Angrisani, M. Hurd, Erik Meijer
The rapid transition from defined benefit (DB) pension plans to defined contribution (DC) plans has a potential benefit of offering pension holders greater control over how their pension accumulations are invested. If pension holders are willing to take some risk, investments in the stock market could increase their economic preparation for retirement, and, indeed, economic theory as well as the typical advice of financial advisors calls for stock market investments. Yet, the rate of stock holding is much below what theory suggests it should be, undoing any benefit associated with the greater control coming from DC plans. The leading explanations for this under-investing include excessive risk aversion, costs of entry, and misperceptions about possible returns in the stock market. We show that excessive risk aversion is not able to account for the low fraction of stock holding. However, a model with heterogeneous subjective expectations about stock market returns is able to account for low stock market participation, and tracks the share of risky assets conditional on participation reasonably well. Based on the model with subjective expectations, we estimate a welfare loss of up to 12% compared to investment under rational expectations, if actual returns follow the same distribution as in the past 50 years. The policy implication is that there is considerable scope for welfare improvement as a result of consumer education regarding stock market returns. However, the welfare loss is much smaller if individuals are not very risk averse or if actual returns follow the same distribution as in the past 10 years.
从固定收益(DB)养老金计划到固定缴款(DC)养老金计划的快速过渡有一个潜在的好处,即养老金持有人可以更好地控制其养老金积累的投资方式。如果养老金持有人愿意承担一些风险,投资股市可以增加他们为退休做的经济准备,事实上,经济理论以及财务顾问的典型建议都呼吁投资股市。然而,股票持有量远低于理论建议的水平,抵消了固定缴款计划带来的更大控制权带来的任何好处。对这种投资不足的主要解释包括过度的风险规避、进入成本以及对股市可能回报的误解。我们表明,过度的风险厌恶并不能解释低比例的股票持有。然而,一个对股票市场回报具有异质主观预期的模型能够解释低股票市场参与度,并且可以很好地跟踪以参与为条件的风险资产的份额。基于主观预期模型,我们估计,如果实际回报遵循与过去50年相同的分布,与理性预期下的投资相比,福利损失高达12%。其政策含义是,由于对消费者进行有关股市回报的教育,福利有相当大的改善空间。然而,如果个人不是非常厌恶风险,或者如果实际回报遵循与过去10年相同的分布,那么福利损失就会小得多。
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引用次数: 2
The Impact of Investment Behavior for Individual Welfare 投资行为对个人福利的影响
Pub Date : 2012-09-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1129143
Thomas Post, Helmut Gründl, Joan T. Schmit, Anja Zimmer
The industrialized world experiences a demographic shift that is straining public pension systems. Employer-sponsored pension plans change from defined benefit to defined contribution. More emphasis is put on individually managed retirement funds. One concern with this movement is the potential negative effect on individual welfare if households’ investment behavior is suboptimal. Using micro-level U.S. data, we compare the optimal utility computed using a life-cycle model with the actual utility as reflected in empirical asset allocation choices. Average estimated welfare costs estimated are below three percent of households’ endowment (assets and human capital); yet specific population groups experience higher welfare costs.
工业化国家正在经历人口结构的转变,这给公共养老金体系带来了压力。雇主资助的养老金计划由固定收益改为固定缴款。更强调个人管理的退休基金。对这一运动的一个担忧是,如果家庭的投资行为不是最优的,对个人福利的潜在负面影响。使用微观层面的美国数据,我们比较了使用生命周期模型计算的最佳效用与反映在经验资产配置选择中的实际效用。估计的平均福利成本低于家庭禀赋(资产和人力资本)的3%;然而,特定人群的福利成本更高。
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引用次数: 2
Workplace Characteristics and Employment of Older Workers 工作场所特征与老年工人就业
Pub Date : 2012-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2205216
Chinhui Juhn, Kristin McCue
As aging of the U.S. population places increased demands on public programs such as Social Security, an important question is how long older Americans are willing and able to work before they retire from the labor force. While studies based on household surveys have provided information on the role of savings, health status, pension and health insurance coverage, there is relatively little information on how workplace and employer characteristics affect the employment of older workers. In this study we use linked employer-employee data to explore the relationship between the characteristics of jobs held at age 55 and early retirement. We focus on a sample of 63-year-olds drawn from the 2005-2008 American Community Survey. We match this sample to information on their earnings, employment, employers and coworkers drawn from the Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics data for the years in which they age from 55 to 63. We use employment status as reported in the ACS to split the sample into those who have retired by age 63 and those who continue to work. We then examine differences between early retirees and continuing workers in the characteristics of their employment at age 55, and at how these characteristics change as they approach age 63. We find that early retirees are more likely to be employed by larger employers at age 55 than are continuers. They work for employers with somewhat higher pay than do continuers, and are less likely to have young coworkers.
随着美国人口老龄化对社会保障等公共项目的需求增加,一个重要的问题是,美国老年人在退休前愿意和能够工作多久。虽然基于家庭调查的研究提供了关于储蓄、健康状况、养恤金和健康保险覆盖面的作用的信息,但关于工作场所和雇主特征如何影响老年工人就业的信息相对较少。在这项研究中,我们使用关联的雇主-雇员数据来探索55岁时工作特征与提前退休之间的关系。我们关注的是2005-2008年美国社区调查中抽取的63岁老人的样本。我们将这些样本与他们的收入、就业、雇主和同事的信息相匹配,这些信息来自他们55岁至63岁期间的纵向雇主-家庭动态数据。我们使用ACS报告的就业状况将样本分为63岁退休的人和继续工作的人。然后,我们研究了55岁时提前退休人员和继续工作人员在就业特征方面的差异,以及这些特征在他们接近63岁时的变化。我们发现,提前退休的人比继续退休的人更有可能在55岁时被更大的雇主雇用。他们为雇主工作,薪水略高于继承者,而且不太可能有年轻的同事。
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引用次数: 1
Growth in Health Consumption and Its Implications for Financing OASDI: An International Perspective 健康消费的增长及其对OASDI融资的影响:国际视角
Pub Date : 2012-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2149134
B. Bosworth, Gary T. Burtless
The rising cost of U.S. health care has reduced the share of compensation that is taxable by Social Security. Between 1960 and 2010, non-taxable employer premiums for worker health plans increased from 1 percent of employee compensation to 7 percent. We use international data to examine the determinants of trends in health care spending and the reasons that the U.S. experience has differed from that of other high-income countries. In 2010, the share of U.S. gross domestic product devoted to health care was 7.2 percentage points higher than the share in other rich countries. We document the growth of this gap in the past five decades. Much of it developed between 1980 and the mid-1990s, though we also find another episode of outsized growth in the early 2000s. We identify six countries, including most of Scandinavia, which have seen a slowdown in health spending growth. These were also countries that had higher-than expected health spending, given their average incomes, in the 1960s and 1970s. The slowdown in health expenditure growth may simply reflect a reversion of their spending toward the OECD mean. We find no mean reversion in U.S. health spending growth. Our review of other literature suggests that the current excess in U.S. health costs is mainly traceable to higher prices for health care goods and services. Compared with other OECD countries, the United States has been slow to develop institutions or global budget constraints that restrain the pace of growth in health costs.
美国医疗保健费用的上涨减少了社会保险应纳税的薪酬份额。1960年至2010年间,雇主为员工健康计划支付的非应税保费从占员工薪酬的1%增加到7%。我们使用国际数据来研究医疗保健支出趋势的决定因素,以及美国的经验与其他高收入国家不同的原因。2010年,美国医疗保健支出占国内生产总值(gdp)的比例比其他富裕国家高出7.2个百分点。我们记录了这一差距在过去五十年中的增长。其中大部分是在1980年至20世纪90年代中期发展起来的,尽管我们在21世纪初也发现了另一段超高速增长的时期。我们确定了六个国家,包括斯堪的纳维亚半岛的大部分国家,它们的卫生支出增长有所放缓。在20世纪60年代和70年代,考虑到这些国家的平均收入,它们的卫生支出也高于预期。卫生支出增长的放缓可能只是反映了它们的支出向经合组织平均水平的回归。我们没有发现美国医疗支出增长的均值回归。我们对其他文献的回顾表明,目前美国医疗成本的过剩主要是由于医疗保健产品和服务的价格上涨。与其他经合组织国家相比,美国在制定限制医疗费用增长速度的制度或全球预算限制方面进展缓慢。
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引用次数: 10
Peer Choice in CEO Compensation CEO薪酬中的同伴选择
Pub Date : 2012-08-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1362047
Ana M. Albuquerque, Gus De Franco, Rodrigo S. Verdi
Current research shows that firms are more likely to benchmark against peers that pay their Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) higher compensation, reflecting self-serving behavior. We propose an alternative explanation: the choice of highly paid peers represents a reward for unobserved CEO talent. We test this hypothesis by decomposing the effect of peer selection into talent and self-serving components. Consistent with our prediction, we find that the association between a firm’s selection of highly paid peers and CEO pay mostly represents compensation for CEO talent.
目前的研究表明,公司更有可能以付给首席执行官更高薪酬的同行为基准,反映出自私自利的行为。我们提出了另一种解释:选择高薪同行代表了对未被关注的CEO人才的奖励。我们通过将同伴选择的影响分解为人才和自我服务的成分来检验这一假设。与我们的预测一致,我们发现公司选择高薪同事与CEO薪酬之间的关联主要代表了CEO人才的薪酬。
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引用次数: 213
The Relationship between Professional Exam Performance and Certain Demographic Characteristics of Jordanian Certified Public Accountants Candidates 约旦注册会计师考生专业考试成绩与某些人口统计学特征的关系
Pub Date : 2012-08-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2134406
M. Momany
This study aims to measure the effects of certain demographic factors that may determine the likelihood of passing the Jordanian Certified Public Accountants exam. The researcher used Logistic Binary Regression Analysis to examine the relationship between the result of the exam (pass or fail) as the dependent variable and certain demographic attributes as the independent variables which encompasses: experience, university performance designation, Universities, and area of specialization. Results of the study revealed that university performance, area of specialization, Jordanian and other universities graduates, are significant variables that increase the likelihood of passing the unified JCPA exam.
本研究旨在衡量某些人口因素的影响,这些因素可能决定通过约旦注册会计师考试的可能性。研究人员使用Logistic二元回归分析来检验考试成绩(及格或不及格)作为因变量和某些人口统计属性作为自变量之间的关系,这些属性包括:经验,大学绩效指定,大学和专业领域。研究结果表明,大学成绩、专业领域、约旦和其他大学毕业生是增加通过JCPA统一考试可能性的重要变量。
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引用次数: 0
Do Boards of Trustees of South African Retirement Funds Owe Fiduciary Duties to Both the Funds and Fund Members? - The Debate Continues 南非退休基金董事会是否对基金及基金成员负有信托责任?-争论仍在继续
Pub Date : 2012-08-17 DOI: 10.17159/1727-3781/2012/V15I2A2499
Motseotsile Clement Marumoagae
Over the years, the South African retirement fund industry has experienced major regulatory changes. These changes were aimed at imposing a higher standard of governance on the boards of trustees governing various pension funds. As such, there has been a debate within the retirement fund industry as to whom the board, as the governing and managing body of the retirement fund, is accountable. South African courts and tribunals adjudicating pension fund related disputes and the retirement industry at large seem to share the view that the board of trustees is accountable to both the fund and its members. In that the board of trustees owes fiduciary duties to both the fund and its members, meaning that the board is required to act in the best interest of the fund and its members. However, in this paper I demonstrate that the boards of trustees of South African Pension Funds are accountable to and owe fiduciary duties only to the fund they serve and not members of those funds. Furthermore, I submit that at the very best the board owes a duty of good faith towards the members of the fund. In order to substantiate my submissions, I distinguish the legal position relating to trust law from the law relating to retirement funds in South Africa.
多年来,南非退休基金行业经历了重大的监管变化。这些变化的目的是对管理各种养老基金的受托人委员会施加更高的管理标准。因此,在退休基金行业内部一直存在一场争论,即作为退休基金的管理机构和管理机构,董事会应该对谁负责。南非法院和法庭裁决与养老基金有关的纠纷,以及整个退休行业似乎都认为,受托人委员会对基金及其成员都负有责任。因为董事会对基金及其成员都负有信托责任,这意味着董事会必须为基金及其成员的最大利益行事。然而,在本文中,我证明南非养恤基金的董事会只对它们所服务的基金负责并负有信托义务,而不是对这些基金的成员负责。此外,我认为,在最好的情况下,执董会对基金组织成员国负有诚信义务。为了证实我的意见,我将南非有关信托法的法律立场与有关退休基金的法律立场区分开来。
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引用次数: 3
Executive Compensation: Where We are, and How We Got There 高管薪酬:我们在哪里,以及我们是如何到达那里的
Pub Date : 2012-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/B978-0-44-453594-8.00004-5
Kevin J. Murphy
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引用次数: 599
Does it Matter If Your Health Insurer is For-Profit? Effects of Ownership on Premiums, Insurance Coverage, and Medical Spending 你的健康保险公司是否以营利为目的重要吗?所有权对保费、保险范围和医疗支出的影响
Pub Date : 2012-07-01 DOI: 10.1257/pol.20130370
Leemore S. Dafny, S. Ramanarayanan
There is limited empirical evidence about the impact of for-profit health insurers on various outcomes. I study the effects of conversions to for-profit status by Blue Cross and Blue Shield (BCBS) affiliates in 11 states, spanning 28 geographic markets. I find both the BCBS affiliate and its rivals increased premiums following conversions in markets where the converting affiliate had substantial market share. Medicaid enrollment rates also increased in these markets, a pattern consistent with “crowd in” of families who were formerly privately insured. The results suggest for-profit insurers are likelier than not-for-profit insurers to exercise market power when they possess it. (JEL G22, I13, I18, I38)
关于盈利性健康保险公司对各种结果的影响的经验证据有限。我研究了蓝十字和蓝盾(BCBS)在11个州,跨越28个地理市场的分支机构转变为盈利状态的影响。我发现无论是BCBS附属公司和它的竞争对手增加保费转换后的市场,其中转换附属公司有相当大的市场份额。这些市场的医疗补助注册率也有所上升,这种模式与以前有私人保险的家庭“涌入”一致。研究结果表明,当营利性保险公司拥有市场支配力时,它们比非营利保险公司更有可能行使市场支配力。(凝胶g22, i13, i18, i38)
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引用次数: 16
期刊
Employee benefits journal
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