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The validity of mobley's (1977) model of employee turnover mobley(1977)员工离职模型的有效性
Pub Date : 1984-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90001-1
Peter W. Hom, Rodger W. Griffeth, C.Louise Sellaro

Unlike earlier tests of an oversimplified version of this model, the validity of W. Mobley's (1977, Journal of Applied Psychology, 62, 237–240) original turnover model was fully investigated. Constructs that were neglected in prior studies were assessed and previously examined constructs were operationalized with more reliable measures. Measures of all constructs in Mobley's model were obtained from a survey of 192 hospital employees. Turnover data were collected a year following survey administration. Following the theoretical causal ordering of Mobley's constructs, each construct was regressed on all causally prior constructs. In general, each construct was accurately predicted by the linear combination of predictors representing its causal determinants. In the majority of instances, the best predictor of a model construct was the construct's immediate causal antecedent. Further, an alternative model was evaluated and compared with Mobley's model using path analysis.

与早期对该模型的过度简化版本的测试不同,W. Mobley (1977, Journal of Applied Psychology, 62, 237-240)的原始周转模型的有效性得到了充分的调查。在先前的研究中被忽视的构念被评估,先前检查的构念被更可靠的措施操作。Mobley模型中所有构式的测量均来自对192名医院员工的调查。营业额数据是在调查进行一年后收集的。根据Mobley构念的理论因果顺序,每个构念对所有因果先验构念进行回归。一般来说,每个结构都是通过代表其因果决定因素的预测因子的线性组合来准确预测的。在大多数情况下,模型构念的最佳预测因子是构念的直接因果前词。此外,利用通径分析对备选模型进行了评估,并与Mobley模型进行了比较。
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引用次数: 400
Focusing techniques: A shortcut to improving probability judgments? 聚焦技术:提高概率判断的捷径?
Pub Date : 1984-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90002-3
Baruch Fischhoff, Maya Bar-Hillel

A recurrent finding of judgment research is that people often ignore important kinds of information, such as the base rate of some occurrence. Focusing techniques attempt to improve judgment in inferential problems by helping people to attend to all available information. One such technique is Subjective Sensitivity Analysis, which requires people to consider what judgments they would make were a given item of information to assume each of a series of possible values. A second focusing technique is Isolation Analysis, which requires people to consider what judgment they would make were each item of information to have been the only one available, prior to making a summary judgment based on all given information. In several experimental tasks, both techniques promoted the use of otherwise neglected kinds of information. Unfortunately, they also promoted usage of normatively irrelevant information. Similar effects were obtained both with a more modest technique, Minimal Focusing, which merely instructs subjects to “attend to all the information,” and a more ambitious one, Balanced SSA, which applies subjective sensitivity analysis to both items of information, rather than just to the one that is customarily ignored. All in all, the data suggest that these techniques do not actually enhance people's understanding of the role of base-rate considerations, but merely encourage the use of whatever information is presented. Improving judgment requires more extensive education than can be imparted through mechanical employment of focusing techniques.

判断研究中一个反复出现的发现是,人们经常忽略一些重要的信息,比如某些事件的基本发生率。聚焦技术试图通过帮助人们关注所有可用信息来提高对推理问题的判断力。其中一种技术是主观敏感性分析,它要求人们考虑他们会做出什么样的判断,假设一个给定的信息项目中的每一个可能的值。第二种集中注意力的技术是孤立分析,它要求人们在根据所有给定的信息做出总结判断之前,考虑如果每条信息都是唯一可用的信息,他们会做出什么判断。在一些实验任务中,这两种技术都促进了对其他被忽视的信息的使用。不幸的是,它们也促进了规范无关信息的使用。同样的效果也可以用一种更温和的方法得到,即最小聚焦法(Minimal focus),它只指示受试者“注意所有的信息”,而另一种更大胆的方法是平衡SSA (Balanced SSA),它对两种信息都进行主观敏感度分析,而不仅仅是对习惯上被忽略的那一项。总而言之,这些数据表明,这些技术实际上并没有提高人们对基本率因素的理解,而只是鼓励人们使用所提供的任何信息。提高判断力需要更广泛的教育,而不是机械地使用聚焦技术所能传授的。
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引用次数: 106
Testing moderator variable hypotheses: A reply to stone and hollenbeck 检验调节变量假设:对stone和hollenbeck的回复
Pub Date : 1984-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90004-7
Hugh J. Arnold

E. F. Stone and J. R. Hollenbeck (1984, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 34, 195–213) argue strongly in favor of the use of moderated regression analysis as the appropriate technique in testing for the presence of “moderator variables.” The primary thrust of the Stone and Hollenbeck article is to present criticisms of positions on tests for moderator variables taken by H. J. Arnold (1982, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 29, 143–174) and by M. R. Blood and G. M. Mullet (1977, Where Have All the Moderators Gone: The Perils of Type II Error, College of Industrial Management, Georgia Institute of Technology). The Stone and Hollenbeck critique of the Blood and Mullet position is well placed, consisting essentially of a restatement (with special reference to Blood and Mullet) of arguments previously put forward by H. J. Arnold and M. G. Evans (1979, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 24, 41–59), J. Cohen (1978, Psychological Bulletin, 85, 858–866) and J. Cohen and P. Cohen (1975, Applied multiple regression/correlation analysis for the behavioral sciences, Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum). Their critique of Arnold's (1982) position is without foundation and results from a failure to recognize the different types of information carried by correlation coefficients and regression coefficients when moderator variables are being analyzed.

E. F. Stone和J. R. Hollenbeck(1984,《组织行为与人类绩效》,34,195-213)强烈支持使用适度回归分析作为测试“调节变量”存在的适当技术。Stone和Hollenbeck文章的主要主旨是对H. J. Arnold(1982年,《组织行为和人类绩效》,29,143 - 174)和M. R. Blood和G. M. Mullet(1977年,《所有的调节者都去了哪里:II型错误的危险》,乔治亚理工学院工业管理学院)对调节变量测试的立场提出批评。Stone和Hollenbeck对Blood和Mullet观点的批判很好,主要包括对H. J. Arnold和M. G. Evans(1979,《组织行为和人类绩效》,24,41 - 59)、J. Cohen(1978,《心理学公报》,85,858 - 866)、J. Cohen和P. Cohen(1975,《行为科学的应用多元回归/相关分析》,Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum)先前提出的论点的重述(特别提到Blood和Mullet)。他们对Arnold(1982)观点的批评是没有根据的,这是由于在分析调节变量时未能认识到相关系数和回归系数所携带的不同类型的信息。
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引用次数: 59
Effects of gender differences and selection agent expertise on leader influence and performance evaluations 性别差异和选择代理人专长对领导影响力和绩效评估的影响
Pub Date : 1984-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90005-9
Patrick A. Knight, Frank E. Saal

The effects of selection agent expertise and various gender factors upon the influence and perceived expertise of male and female leaders, and upon group cohesiveness, were examined. Leaders (male or female) were selected by an agent (male or female, expert or nonexpert) to lead groups working on either a masculine or a feminine task. While the influence of the leaders was unaffected by the manipulations, ratings of expertise and group cohesiveness were affected. Leaders selected by experts were given higher expertise ratings than were those selected by nonexperts, as were leaders working on masculine as opposed to feminine tasks. Also, in the feminine task condition, perceived expertise was higher for female leaders and for leaders chosen by female agents. Cohesiveness ratings were highest for groups with leaders chosen by experts, except for groups with male leaders and masculine tasks, where cohesiveness ratings were higher when the agent was a nonexpert. The implications of these results for the effects of selection agent and task characteristics in leader selection, and issues of criterion selection in leadership research, are discussed.

考察了选择代理人专业知识和各种性别因素对男性和女性领导者的影响力和感知专业知识以及对团队凝聚力的影响。领导者(男性或女性)由代理人(男性或女性,专家或非专家)选出,领导小组完成男性或女性的任务。虽然领导者的影响力不受操纵的影响,但专业知识和团队凝聚力的评级受到影响。专家选择的领导者比非专家选择的领导者获得了更高的专业水平评分,从事男性任务的领导者比从事女性任务的领导者也获得了更高的专业水平评分。此外,在女性任务条件下,女性领导者和女性代理人选择的领导者的感知专业知识更高。在由专家选择领导者的小组中,凝聚力评分最高,但在由男性领导者和男性任务组成的小组中,当代理人是非专家时,凝聚力评分更高。讨论了这些结果对选择主体和任务特征在领导者选择中的影响以及领导研究中标准选择问题的启示。
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引用次数: 17
Some issues associated with the use of moderated regression 与使用适度回归相关的一些问题
Pub Date : 1984-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90003-5
Eugene F. Stone, John R. Hollenbeck

In recent years, some degree of controversy has arisen over the methods that researchers should employ in the detection of moderating effects. More specifically, both M. R. Blood and G. M. Mullet (1977, Where have all the moderators gone?: The perils of type II error, Tech. Rep. No. 11, College of Industrial Management, Georgia Institute of Technology) and H. J. Arnold (1982, Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 29, 143–174) have challenged the use of “conventional” moderated regression (e.g., S. Zedeck (1971, Psychological Bulletin, 76, 295–310) as an appropriate method for the analysis of moderating effects. Blood and Mullet, for example, have argued that conventional moderated regression is an overly “conservative” technique that is generally incapable of detecting moderating effects—even in data bases “constructed” so as to have strong interaction components. To remedy this problem, they suggest a “backward entry” regression analysis in which the interaction term is the first variable entered into the regression. Also critical of conventional moderated regression, Arnold argues that the same analytic strategy is inappropriate in instances where the researcher's concern is to demonstrate differing “degrees” of correlation between two variables for moderator variable based “subgroups.” The purpose of the present paper is to show that both the arguments of Blood and Mullet and those of Arnold are incorrect. The difficulties associated with the backward entry procedure are demonstrated through the use of Monte Carlo simulation methods. Results of the simulations revealed that the moderated regression analytic procedure is well suited to the detection of statistical interactions (i.e., moderating effects)—even in data bases constructed so as to have (a) very strong main effects for both the independent variable and the moderator variable, (b) dependent variables having large error components, (c) independent and moderator variables having only modest reliability levels, and (d) partially redundant (multicollinear) independent and moderator variables. The errors inherent in the recent arguments of Arnold are shown to result from (a) an unduly restrictive definition of the “degree of relationship” concept, and (b) a seeming belief that differences in correlation coefficients have necessary implications for the accuracy with which scores on one variables can be predicted on the basis of knowledge of scores on another variable. Implications of the present study's analyses are offered.

近年来,研究人员在检测调节效应时应采用的方法出现了一定程度的争议。更具体地说,M. R. Blood和G. M. Mullet(1977),所有的主持人都去了哪里?: II型错误的危险,乔治亚理工学院工业管理学院技术代表第11期)和H. J. Arnold(1982年,组织行为和人类绩效,29,143 - 174)对“传统的”适度回归的使用提出了挑战(例如,S. Zedeck(1971年,心理学公报,76,295 - 310)作为一种适当的方法来分析调节效应。例如,Blood和Mullet认为,传统的适度回归是一种过于“保守”的技术,通常无法检测到调节效应——即使在“构建”的数据库中,也有很强的交互成分。为了解决这个问题,他们提出了一种“反向输入”回归分析,其中交互项是进入回归的第一个变量。阿诺德对传统的适度回归也持批评态度,他认为,在研究人员关注的是证明基于调节变量的“子组”的两个变量之间不同“程度”的相关性的情况下,相同的分析策略是不合适的。本文的目的是证明Blood和Mullet的论点以及Arnold的论点都是不正确的。通过使用蒙特卡罗模拟方法演示了与反向输入程序相关的困难。模拟结果表明,适度回归分析过程非常适合于统计相互作用(即调节效应)的检测-即使在数据库中构建为(a)自变量和调节变量都具有很强的主效应,(b)具有较大误差分量的因变量,(c)只有适度可靠性水平的自变量和调节变量。(d)部分冗余(多重共线性)自变量和调节变量。阿诺德最近的论点中固有的错误是由于(a)对“关系程度”概念的定义过于严格,以及(b)似乎认为,相关系数的差异对根据对另一个变量的分数的了解来预测一个变量的分数的准确性有必要的影响。提出了本研究分析的意义。
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引用次数: 213
A time of transition 过渡时期
Pub Date : 1984-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90034-5
James C. Naylor (Editor)
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引用次数: 5
Situational moderators of leader reward and punishment behaviors: Fact or fiction? 情境对领导者奖惩行为的调节:事实还是虚构?
Pub Date : 1984-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90036-9
Philip M. Podsakoff, William D. Todor, Richard A. Grover, Vandra L. Huber

One assumption shared by many contemporary models of leadership is that situational variables moderate the relationships between leader behaviors and subordinate responses. Recently, however, R. J. House and J. L. Baetz (1979 in B. Staw & L. Cummings, Eds., Research in Organizational Behavior (Vol. 1), Greenwich, Connecticut, JAI Press) have suggested that the effects of some leader traits and behaviors may be relatively invariant; that is, have the same effects in a variety of situations. One possible class of leader behaviors which may have relatively consistent effects across situations are those known as leader reward and punishment behaviors. The first goal of the research reported here was to increase our understanding of the relationships between leader contingent and noncontingent reward and punishment behaviors and subordinate responses. Contingent reward behavior was found to have the most pronounced relationships with subordinate performance and satisfaction, followed by noncontingent punishment behavior. Neither leader noncontingent reward nor contingent punishment behavior were found to be related to either subordinate performance or satisfaction, with the exception that noncontingent reward behavior was negatively related to subordinates' satisfaction with work. The second goal of the research was to examine the effects of a variety of potential moderators on the relationships between leader reward and punishment behaviors and subordinate responses. The results of this study suggest that the relationships between leader reward and punishment behaviors and subordinates' performance are relatively free of moderating effects.

许多当代领导力模型的一个共同假设是,情境变量调节了领导者行为和下属反应之间的关系。然而,最近R. J. House和J. L. Baetz(1979)在B. Staw &卡明斯,埃德。,《组织行为学研究》(第1卷),康涅狄格州格林威治,JAI出版社)提出,一些领导特质和行为的影响可能相对不变;也就是说,在各种情况下都有相同的效果。一种可能在不同情况下产生相对一致影响的领导行为是那些被称为领导奖惩行为的行为。本研究报告的第一个目标是增加我们对领导者偶然和非偶然奖罚行为与下属反应之间关系的理解。偶然奖励行为与下属绩效和满意度的关系最为显著,其次是非偶然惩罚行为。除非偶然奖励行为与下属工作满意度呈负相关外,领导者非偶然奖励行为和偶然惩罚行为与下属绩效和满意度均无显著相关性。本研究的第二个目的是考察各种潜在调节因子对领导奖罚行为与下属反应之间关系的影响。本研究结果表明,领导奖惩行为与下属绩效之间的关系相对不存在调节效应。
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引用次数: 455
A partition of small group predecision performance into informational and social components 小群体预决策性能的信息和社会成分的划分
Pub Date : 1984-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90039-4
Jeff T. Casey, Charles F. Gettys, Rebecca M. Pliske, Tom Mehle

New theoretical and methodological techniques for partitioning and identifying the sources of performance differences between groups and individuals in hypothesis and act generation tasks are presented in two experiments. Experiment 1 presents a two-component model which separates group performance into informational and social components. The model proposes that the pooling of information in an interacting group (the information component) is mediated by the social factors (e.g., level of arousal, cohesiveness) which are present in a given situation (the social component). Interacting groups were found to be inferior to nominal groups in a hypothesis generation task. Thus, in Experiment 1, the social component was found to have a negative effect and the information component was found to be positive. Experiment 2 further partitions the social component into a social information component which accounts for the additional information which becomes available as a result of group interaction and a social, noninformational component which consists of purely social factors. The social information component estimates the synergistic effect of group interaction on information retrieval. The social informational component was estimated by including a group of subjects who exchanged ideas (information) via computers but had no social interaction. The “information exchange” group was found to be somewhat superior to a nominal group in an act generation task, and both of these groups were superior to an interacting group. Experiment 2 illustrates that even when the social, noninformational component has a negative effect on the informational component, the social information component may have a positive effect.

在两个实验中,提出了新的理论和方法技术,用于划分和识别假设和行为生成任务中群体和个人之间表现差异的来源。实验1提出了一个双成分模型,将群体绩效分为信息成分和社会成分。该模型提出,在一个相互作用的群体(信息成分)中,信息的汇集是由特定情境(社会成分)中存在的社会因素(例如,觉醒水平、凝聚力)介导的。在假设生成任务中,发现相互作用组不如名义组。因此,在实验1中,社会成分被发现具有负向影响,信息成分被发现具有正向影响。实验2进一步将社会成分划分为社会信息成分和社会非信息成分,前者是由于群体互动而获得的额外信息,后者是由纯粹的社会因素组成的。社会信息分量估计群体互动对信息检索的协同效应。社会信息成分是通过包括一组通过电脑交换想法(信息)但没有社会互动的受试者来估计的。研究发现,在行为生成任务中,“信息交换”组略优于名义组,而这两个组都优于互动组。实验2表明,即使社会非信息成分对信息成分产生负面影响,社会信息成分也可能产生积极影响。
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引用次数: 23
The vertical dyad linkage model of leadership: Problems and prospects 领导力纵向二元联动模型:问题与展望
Pub Date : 1984-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90035-7
Robert P. Vecchio, Bruce C. Gobdel

In a test of hypotheses derived from the literature surrounding the Vertical Dyad Linkage (VDL) Model of Leadership, 45 supervisor-subordinate dyads were studied in a setting which differed from much of past VDL research. The results generally confirmed previous findings in that IN-group status was associated with higher performance ratings, reduced propensity to quit, and greater satisfaction with supervision. Also, objective measures of actual job performance yielded results which were in a predicted direction. The need for conceptual and operational revisions of VDL constructs is discussed.

在一项关于垂直二元联动(VDL)领导力模型的文献假设测试中,研究人员在一个不同于以往VDL研究的环境中研究了45对上下级二元。结果普遍证实了先前的研究结果,即in组状态与更高的绩效评分、更低的辞职倾向和更高的监督满意度有关。此外,对实际工作表现的客观衡量所产生的结果与预测的方向一致。讨论了对VDL结构进行概念和操作修订的必要性。
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引用次数: 280
A role set analysis of managerial reputation 管理声誉的角色集分析
Pub Date : 1984-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/0030-5073(84)90037-0
Anne S. Tsui

This paper offers an alternative perspective on managerial effectiveness. Effectiveness of managers is analyzed from their reputation in the role set. It is proposed that focal managers gain the reputation of being effective by meeting the self-interested expectations of role set members. It is further proposed that the most reputationally effective managers tend to be more successful in their careers than the least reputationally effective managers. Five hypotheses relating to this reputational viewpoint were tested using a sample of 217 middle managers, 173 superiors, 387 subordinates, and 303 peers. Results confirm the hypotheses and provide the foundation for a new direction of managerial effectiveness research.

本文为管理有效性提供了另一种视角。从管理者在角色集中的声誉来分析管理者的有效性。有人建议,焦点管理者通过满足角色组成员的自利期望而获得有效的声誉。研究进一步提出,声誉最有效的管理者往往比声誉最不有效的管理者在职业生涯中更成功。研究人员对217名中层管理者、173名上级、387名下属和303名同事的样本进行了检验。研究结果证实了上述假设,并为管理有效性研究的新方向提供了基础。
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引用次数: 349
期刊
Organizational behavior and human performance
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