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Flare Energetics, CME Launch and Heliospheric Propagation for the May 2024 Events, as Derived from Ensemble MHD Modelling 基于Ensemble MHD模型的2024年5月事件的耀斑能量学、日冕物质抛射和日球层传播
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02553-6
Brigitte Schmieder, Jinhan Guo, Guillaume Aulanier, Anwesha Maharana, Stefaan Poedts

Many questions must be answered before understanding the relationship between the emerging magnetic flux through the solar surface and the extreme geoeffective events. The main ingredients for getting X-ray class flares and large interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) are the buildup of electric current in the corona, the existence of magnetic free energy, magnetic energy/helicity ratio, twist, and magnetic stress in active regions (ARs). The upper limit of solar energy in the space research era, as well as the potential for experiencing superflares and extreme solar events, can be predicted using MHD simulations of CMEs.

To address this problem, we consider the recent events of May 2024 and use three MHD models:

1) OHM (“Observationally driven High order scheme Magnetohydrodynamic code”) for investigating the magnetic evolutions at a synthetic dipole structure.

2) TMF (time-dependent magneto-friction) for setting up an initial non-potential magnetic field in the active region. A zero-beta MHD model for tracing the magnetic evolution of active regions.

3) EUHFORIA (“European heliospheric forecasting information asset”) for interplanetary CME propagations.

For the eruptive flares with CMEs, magnetic solar energy is computed along with data-constrained MHD simulations for the May 2024 events. We show the consistency between the data-initiated, realistic simulation of the May 2024 big event and energy scalings from an idealised simulation of a bipolar eruption using OHM. The estimated free magnetic energy did not surpass (5.2 times 10^{32}text{ erg}). Good arrival time predictions ((<3) hours) are achieved with the EUHFORIA simulation with the cone model. We note the interest in coupling all the chains of codes from the Sun to the Earth and developing different approaches to test the results.

在理解通过太阳表面的新出现的磁通量与极端地球有效事件之间的关系之前,必须回答许多问题。产生x射线级耀斑和大型行星际日冕物质抛射(cme)的主要原因是日冕中电流的积累、磁自由能的存在、磁能/螺旋比、扭曲和活动区域(ARs)的磁应力。利用MHD模拟日冕物质抛射,可以预测空间研究时代的太阳能量上限,以及发生超级耀斑和极端太阳事件的可能性。为了解决这个问题,我们考虑了最近发生在2024年5月的事件,并使用了三个MHD模型:1)OHM(“观测驱动的高阶格式磁流体动力学代码”)来研究合成偶极子结构的磁演化。2)在有源区建立初始非势磁场的时相关磁摩擦(TMF)。追踪活跃区磁演化的零beta MHD模型。3) EUHFORIA(“欧洲日球层预报信息资产”)用于星际CME传播。对于日冕物质抛射的爆发耀斑,利用数据受限的MHD模拟计算了2024年5月事件的太阳磁场能量。我们展示了数据发起的、对2024年5月大事件的真实模拟与使用欧姆法对两极喷发进行理想化模拟的能量缩放之间的一致性。估计的自由磁能不超过(5.2 times 10^{32}text{ erg})。使用锥形模型的EUHFORIA模拟实现了良好的到达时间预测((<3)小时)。我们注意到对从太阳到地球的所有代码链的耦合以及开发不同方法来测试结果的兴趣。
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引用次数: 0
Observations of Flare Induced Doppler Shifts in the Si iii 1206 Å Line Si ii1206 Å线耀斑诱导多普勒频移的观测
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02548-3
Luke H. Majury, Ryan O. Milligan

Doppler shifts in chromospheric and transition-region lines during solar flares are often interpreted as chromospheric condensation or evaporation. However, alternative sources of Doppler-shifted emission have been suggested, such as filament eruptions, jets or chromospheric bubbles. We analyse high-cadence scans from SORCE/SOLSTICE, which provide one-minute resolution profiles of the transition-region Si iii (1206 Å, (textrm{T} = 10^{4.6},textrm{K})) line. 11 X-, M-, and C-class events observed during these scans with clear impulsive phase Si iii enhancements were identified. By subtracting a quiet-Sun profile and fitting Gaussian profiles to the Si iii line, measurements of flare-induced Doppler shifts were made. After correcting for a systematic trend in these shifts with solar longitude, two of the 11 events were found to exhibit a significant Doppler shift, one with a (201.36pm 21.94;textrm{km,s}^{-1}) redshift and the other with a (-39.75pm 11.00;textrm{km,s}^{-1}) blueshift. Intriguingly, SDO/AIA 304 Å and 1600 Å imaging revealed a bright eruption coincident with the event that exhibited a blueshift, suggesting the shift may have resulted from the eruption rather than evaporation alone. Our results highlight Si iii as a useful diagnostic of flaring dynamics at a temperature that has received limited attention to date. Future comparisons of these observations with radiative hydrodynamic simulations, along with new observations from state-of-the-art spectrometers such as SOLAR-C/EUVST and MUSE, should clarify the mechanisms behind the observed shifts in this study.

在太阳耀斑期间色球和过渡区线的多普勒频移常被解释为色球凝结或蒸发。然而,已经提出了多普勒移发射的其他来源,如长丝喷发、喷流或色球泡。我们分析了来自SORCE/SOLSTICE的高节奏扫描,它提供了过渡区Si iii (1206 Å, (textrm{T} = 10^{4.6},textrm{K}))线的一分钟分辨率剖面。在这些扫描中观察到11个X级、M级和c级事件,并确定了明显的脉冲相Si iii增强。通过减去安静太阳剖面和拟合高斯剖面到Si iii线,测量了耀斑引起的多普勒频移。在校正了这些随太阳经度变化的系统趋势后,发现11个事件中有两个表现出显著的多普勒频移,一个是(201.36pm 21.94;textrm{km,s}^{-1})红移,另一个是(-39.75pm 11.00;textrm{km,s}^{-1})蓝移。有趣的是,SDO/AIA 304 Å和1600 Å的成像显示明亮的喷发与蓝移同时发生,这表明蓝移可能是由喷发而不是蒸发引起的。我们的结果强调Si iii作为一种有用的诊断在温度下的燃烧动力学,迄今为止受到有限的关注。未来将这些观测结果与辐射流体动力学模拟进行比较,以及来自最先进的光谱仪(如SOLAR-C/EUVST和MUSE)的新观测结果,将阐明本研究中观测到的变化背后的机制。
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引用次数: 0
Activity-Cycle Variations of Convection Scales in Subsurface Layers of the Sun 太阳亚表层对流尺度的活动周期变化
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02546-5
Alexander V. Getling, Alexander G. Kosovichev

We use subsurface-flow velocity maps inferred by time–distance helioseismology from Doppler measurements with the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) of the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) to investigate variations of large-scale convection during Solar Cycles 24 and 25 in the 19-Mm-deep layer. The spatial power spectra of the horizontal-flow divergence reveal well-defined characteristic scales of solar supergranulation in the upper 4 Mm layer, while the giant-cell scale is prominent below levels of (d sim 8) Mm. We find that the characteristic scales of supergranulation remain stable while the giant scales increase during the periods of the 11-year activity cycle maxima. The power of the giant-cell scales increases with the enhancement of solar activity. This may be due to large-scale flows around active regions and, presumably, solar-cycle variations of the convection-zone stratification.

利用太阳动力学观测台(SDO)的日震和磁成像仪(HMI)的多普勒测量数据,利用时距日震学推断出的地下流速度图,研究了太阳周期24和25期间19 mm深层大尺度对流的变化。水平流散度的空间功率谱显示,在4 Mm以上的太阳超颗粒特征尺度较为明确,而在(d sim 8) Mm以下的太阳巨细胞尺度较为突出。研究发现,在11年活动周期的极大期,超颗粒特征尺度保持稳定,而巨细胞尺度有所增加。巨型电池的能量随着太阳活动的增强而增加。这可能是由于活跃区域周围的大规模流动,并且可能是对流区分层的太阳周期变化。
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引用次数: 0
MHD Simulations of CME with Associated Prominence Eruption 日珥喷发伴随日冕物质抛射的MHD模拟
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02547-4
Yuhong Fan

We present an overview of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations of prominence-forming coronal flux ropes and the development of coronal mass ejection (CME) with associated prominence eruption. The simulations found the formation of a prominence–cavity system that qualitatively reproduces several observed features including the cavity, the prominence “horns”, and the central “cavity” enclosed in the “horns” above the prominence. We discuss the magnetic structure corresponding to these observed features and the effect of the prominence weight on the stability and eruption of the flux rope.

我们概述了日珥形成日冕通量绳的磁流体动力学(MHD)模拟以及日冕物质抛射(CME)与日珥喷发相关的发展。模拟发现了一个日珥-空腔系统的形成,定性地再现了几个观测到的特征,包括空腔、日珥“角”和日珥上方“角”包围的中心“洞”。我们讨论了与这些观测特征相对应的磁结构,以及日珥重量对磁通绳稳定性和喷发的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Aditya-L1 - An Observatory Class Mission: Spacecraft, Mission, and Operations Aditya-L1 -天文台级任务:航天器、任务和操作
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02533-w
Nashiket Premlal Parate, Nigar Shaji, Motamarri Srikanth, K. Sankarasubramanian, Narashimha Murthy Patnaik, S. Narendra, Abhijit Avinash Adoni, Kuldeep Negi, Pragyan Pattanaik, Bharat Kumar G. V. P, Vivek R. Subramanian, Hemanth Kumar Reddy N., Shree Niwas Sahu, Vishnu Kishore Pai, Sajjade Faisal Mustafa, Richa Pathak, Amit Maji, T. R. Haridas, Anand Raj, Pankaj Agarwal, Arvind Kumar Singh, Smruti Ranjan Panigrahi, A. Ravi

Aditya-L1 is an observatory class mission designed and developed by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) to study the Sun and the inner heliosphere. Aditya-L1, currently orbiting around the first Lagrange point L1, is in a periodic halo orbit located approximately at 1.5 million km from Earth on the Sun–Earth line (about 1% of the Sun-Earth distance and closer to Earth). The orbital parameters of Aditya-L1 around L1 are Ax = 208,951 km, Ay = 670,024 km and Az = 120,000 km, where Ax, Ay and Az are semi-diameters of the orbit with an orbital period of 177.86 days. The primary objective of the Aditya-L1 mission is to understand the coronal and chromospheric dynamics of the Sun along with its influence on the heliosphere, especially at the L1 location. To achieve these goals, the spacecraft is configured to accommodate seven payloads of which four are remote sensing and three are in situ experiments. The scientific payloads are designed and developed by various Indian Research Institutes in close collaboration with different ISRO centers. The spacecraft is configured with the modified Mars orbiter mission (MOM) bus and is a three-axis stabilized spacecraft with a lift of mass of 1480.73 kg and power generation of ≈ 1820 W. Pointing stability will be better than 15 arcsec as required by the coronagraph payload. Aditya-L1 payload produces around 240 Gbits of science data per day (≈ 90% data is from the imaging payloads). Planning, coordination, and operation of the spacecraft and the scientific payloads are conducted from ISRO telemetry, tracking, and command network in Bengaluru, India. Aditya-L1 was launched on board the Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV C57) at 11:50 Indian standard time (IST) from the second launch pad of the Satish Dhawan Space Centre (SDSC), Sriharikota, India on 2 September 2023. It was inserted at the L1 point on 6 January 2024, at 4:17 pm IST. The spacecraft, mission, and operation aspects of the Aditya-L1 spacecraft are discussed in this paper.

Aditya-L1是由印度空间研究组织(ISRO)设计和开发的观测级任务,用于研究太阳和内日球层。Aditya-L1目前围绕第一个拉格朗日点L1运行,处于一个周期晕轨道上,位于距离地球约150万公里的日地线上(约为日地距离的1%,更接近地球)。Aditya-L1围绕L1的轨道参数为Ax = 208,951 km, Ay = 670,024 km, Az = 120,000 km,其中Ax, Ay和Az为轨道的半直径,轨道周期为177.86天。Aditya-L1任务的主要目标是了解太阳的日冕和色球动力学,以及它对日球层的影响,特别是在L1位置。为了实现这些目标,该航天器被配置为容纳七个有效载荷,其中四个是遥感载荷,三个是原位实验载荷。科学有效载荷由印度各研究机构与ISRO不同中心密切合作设计和开发。该航天器配置了改进的火星轨道飞行器任务(MOM)总线,是一个三轴稳定航天器,质量升力为1480.73 kg,发电≈1820 W。指向稳定性将优于日冕仪载荷要求的15弧秒。Aditya-L1有效载荷每天产生约240 gb的科学数据(≈90%的数据来自成像有效载荷)。航天器和科学有效载荷的规划、协调和操作由位于印度班加罗尔的ISRO遥测、跟踪和指挥网络进行。Aditya-L1于2023年9月2日印度标准时间11:50在印度斯里赫里哥达省萨迪什达万航天中心(SDSC)的第二个发射台搭载极地卫星运载火箭(PSLV C57)发射。2024年1月6日下午4点17分,它被插入到L1点。本文讨论了Aditya-L1航天器的航天器、任务和运行方面的问题。
{"title":"Aditya-L1 - An Observatory Class Mission: Spacecraft, Mission, and Operations","authors":"Nashiket Premlal Parate,&nbsp;Nigar Shaji,&nbsp;Motamarri Srikanth,&nbsp;K. Sankarasubramanian,&nbsp;Narashimha Murthy Patnaik,&nbsp;S. Narendra,&nbsp;Abhijit Avinash Adoni,&nbsp;Kuldeep Negi,&nbsp;Pragyan Pattanaik,&nbsp;Bharat Kumar G. V. P,&nbsp;Vivek R. Subramanian,&nbsp;Hemanth Kumar Reddy N.,&nbsp;Shree Niwas Sahu,&nbsp;Vishnu Kishore Pai,&nbsp;Sajjade Faisal Mustafa,&nbsp;Richa Pathak,&nbsp;Amit Maji,&nbsp;T. R. Haridas,&nbsp;Anand Raj,&nbsp;Pankaj Agarwal,&nbsp;Arvind Kumar Singh,&nbsp;Smruti Ranjan Panigrahi,&nbsp;A. Ravi","doi":"10.1007/s11207-025-02533-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s11207-025-02533-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Aditya-L1 is an observatory class mission designed and developed by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) to study the Sun and the inner heliosphere. Aditya-L1, currently orbiting around the first Lagrange point L1, is in a periodic halo orbit located approximately at 1.5 million km from Earth on the Sun–Earth line (about 1% of the Sun-Earth distance and closer to Earth). The orbital parameters of Aditya-L1 around L1 are Ax = 208,951 km, Ay = 670,024 km and Az = 120,000 km, where Ax, Ay and Az are semi-diameters of the orbit with an orbital period of 177.86 days. The primary objective of the Aditya-L1 mission is to understand the coronal and chromospheric dynamics of the Sun along with its influence on the heliosphere, especially at the L1 location. To achieve these goals, the spacecraft is configured to accommodate seven payloads of which four are remote sensing and three are in situ experiments. The scientific payloads are designed and developed by various Indian Research Institutes in close collaboration with different ISRO centers. The spacecraft is configured with the modified Mars orbiter mission (MOM) bus and is a three-axis stabilized spacecraft with a lift of mass of 1480.73 kg and power generation of ≈ 1820 W. Pointing stability will be better than 15 arcsec as required by the coronagraph payload. Aditya-L1 payload produces around 240 Gbits of science data per day (≈ 90% data is from the imaging payloads). Planning, coordination, and operation of the spacecraft and the scientific payloads are conducted from ISRO telemetry, tracking, and command network in Bengaluru, India. Aditya-L1 was launched on board the Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV C57) at 11:50 Indian standard time (IST) from the second launch pad of the Satish Dhawan Space Centre (SDSC), Sriharikota, India on 2 September 2023. It was inserted at the L1 point on 6 January 2024, at 4:17 pm IST. The spacecraft, mission, and operation aspects of the Aditya-L1 spacecraft are discussed in this paper.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":777,"journal":{"name":"Solar Physics","volume":"300 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145062135","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Automatic Detection of Ellerman Bombs in the H(alpha ) Line H (alpha )线中埃勒曼炸弹的自动探测
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02534-9
Arooj Faryad, Alexander G. M. Pietrow, Meetu Verma, Carsten Denker

Ellerman bombs (EBs) are small and short-lived magnetic reconnection events in the lower solar atmosphere, most commonly reported in the line wings of the H(alpha ) line. These events are thought to play a role in heating the solar chromosphere and corona, but their size, short lifetime, and similarity to other brightenings make them difficult to detect. We aim to automatically detect and statistically analyze EBs at different heliocentric angles to find trends in their physical properties. We developed an automated EB detection pipeline based on a star-finding algorithm. This pipeline was used on ten high-resolution H(alpha ) datasets from the 1-meter Swedish Solar Telescope (SST). This pipeline identifies and tracks EBs in time, while separating them from visually similar pseudo-EBs. It returns key parameters such as size, contrast, lifetime, and occurrence rates based on a dynamic threshold and the more classical static ‘contrast threshold’ of 1.5 times the mean quiet-Sun (QS) intensity. For our dynamic threshold we found a total of 2257 EBs from 28,772 individual detections across our datasets. On average, the full detection set exhibits an area of 0.44 arcsec2 (0.37 Mm2), a peak intensity contrast of 1.4 relative to the QS, and a median lifetime of 2.3 min. The stricter threshold yielded 549 EBs from 15,997 detections, with a higher median area of 0.66 arcsec2 (0.57 Mm2), an intensity contrast of 1.7, and a median lifetime of 3 min. These comparisons highlight the sensitivity of EB statistics to selection thresholds and motivate further work towards consistent EB definitions. Several long-lived EBs were observed with lifetimes exceeding one hour. While the EB intensity contrast increases towards the limb, no clear trends were found between the other EB parameters and the heliocentric angle, suggesting that the local magnetic complexity and evolutionary stage dominate EB properties.

埃勒曼炸弹(EBs)是发生在太阳低层大气中的小而短暂的磁重联事件,最常报道的是H (alpha )线的线翼。这些事件被认为在加热太阳色球层和日冕方面起着作用,但它们的大小,寿命短,以及与其他增亮的相似性使得它们很难被探测到。我们的目标是自动检测和统计分析不同日心角的电子粒子,以发现其物理性质的趋势。我们开发了一个基于寻星算法的EB自动探测管道。该管道被用于10个来自1米瑞典太阳望远镜(SST)的高分辨率H (alpha )数据集。该管道及时识别和跟踪EBs,同时将它们与视觉上相似的伪EBs分开。它根据动态阈值和更经典的静态“对比度阈值”(平均安静太阳(QS)强度的1.5倍)返回关键参数,如大小、对比度、寿命和发生率。对于我们的动态阈值,我们从数据集中的28,772个单独检测中发现了总共2257个EBs。平均而言,整个检测集的面积为0.44 arcsec2 (0.37 Mm2),相对于QS的峰值强度对比度为1.4,中位寿命为2.3 min。更严格的阈值从15,997个检测中产生549个EBs,中位面积为0.66 arcsec2 (0.57 Mm2),强度对比为1.7,中位寿命为3分钟。这些比较突出了EB统计对选择阈值的敏感性,并激励进一步努力实现一致的EB定义。观测到几个寿命超过1小时的长EBs。EB的强度对比在近端增大,但其他参数与日心角之间没有明显的变化趋势,表明局地磁复杂性和演化阶段主导着EB的性质。
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引用次数: 0
Incorporating Magnetic-Field Characteristics into EUV-Based Automated Segmentation of Coronal Holes 结合磁场特性的euv自动分割日冕洞
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02536-7
Jeremy A. Grajeda, Laura E. Boucheron, Michael S. Kirk, Andrew Leisner, Jaime A. Landeros, C. Nick Arge

Coronal holes (CHs) are magnetically open regions that allow hot coronal plasma to escape from the Sun and form the high-speed solar wind. This wind can interact with Earth’s magnetic field. For this reason, developing an accurate understanding of CH regions is vital for understanding space weather and its effects on Earth. The process of identifying CH regions typically relies on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) imagery, leveraging the fact that CHs appear dark at these wavelengths. Accurate identification of CHs in EUV, however, can be difficult due to a variety of factors, including stray light from nearby regions, limb brightening, and the presence of filaments (which also appear dark, but are not sources of solar wind). In order to overcome these issues, this work incorporates photospheric magnetic-field data into a classical EUV-based segmentation algorithm based on the Active Contours Without Edges (ACWE) segmentation method. In this work magnetic-field data are incorporated directly into the segmentation process, serving both as a method for removing non-CH regions in advance, and as a method to constrain evolution of the segmented CH boundary. This reduces the presence of filaments while allowing the segmentation to include CH regions that may be difficult to identify due to inconsistent intensities.

日冕洞(CHs)是一种具有磁性的开放区域,可以让炙热的日冕等离子体从太阳逸出,形成高速的太阳风。这种风可以与地球磁场相互作用。因此,准确了解CH区域对于了解空间天气及其对地球的影响至关重要。识别CH区域的过程通常依赖于极紫外(EUV)图像,利用CH在这些波长下呈现黑暗的事实。然而,由于各种因素,包括来自附近区域的杂散光、边缘变亮和细丝的存在(这些细丝看起来也很暗,但不是太阳风的来源),在EUV中准确识别CHs可能很困难。为了克服这些问题,本文将光球磁场数据整合到基于活动轮廓无边缘(Active Contours Without Edges, ACWE)分割方法的经典euv分割算法中。在这项工作中,磁场数据被直接纳入分割过程,既可以作为预先去除非CH区域的方法,也可以作为约束分割后CH边界演变的方法。这减少了细丝的存在,同时允许分割包括由于强度不一致而难以识别的CH区域。
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引用次数: 0
Direct Observational Evidence of Solar Wind Density Controlling the Evolution of the Ring Current During the 2024 October Major Storm 2024年10月大风暴期间太阳风密度控制环流演变的直接观测证据
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02539-4
Ming-Xian Zhao, Gui-Ming Le

We investigated the interplanetary source of the October 2024 major storm and determined that it was triggered by a sheath region and a magnetic cloud (MC), with the sheath region playing a decisive role. The MC has a larger and longer duration of southward interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) and solar wind electric field compared to the sheath, and the largest southward IMF and solar wind electric field were observed within the MC. As expect, the solar wind density in the sheath region is much larger than that in the MC. The results of this study not only provide direct evidence that solar wind density controls the evolution of the ring current, but also demonstrate that the correlation coefficients between the largest southward IMF and geomagnetic storm intensity, as well as between the largest solar wind electric field and geomagnetic storm intensity, lack physical meaning. The contribution of the sheath region to the intensity of the major storm, as estimated by the empirical formula developed by Burton, McPherron, and Russell (1975) (hereafter referred to as the BMR equation), was found to be smaller than that of the MC. However, actual observations indicate the opposite. This discrepancy suggests that the BMR equation is not capable of accurately estimating the ring current variation. The injection term in the BMR equation is merely a linear function of the solar wind electric field, without considering the solar wind density. This indicates that if we overlook the influence of solar wind density on the evolution of the ring current, estimating the intensity of a geomagnetic storm based solely on the integral of the solar wind electric field during the main phase of the storm would yield incorrect results. The October 2024 major storm also provides direct evidence that solar wind velocity, density, and the southward component of the IMF are all important parameters in the evolution of the ring current.

我们研究了2024年10月大风暴的行星际来源,并确定它是由鞘区和磁云(MC)触发的,其中鞘区起着决定性作用。MC区南向行星际磁场(IMF)和太阳风电场的持续时间比鞘区大,且在MC区内观测到最大的南向行星际磁场和太阳风电场。正如预期的那样,鞘区太阳风密度远大于MC区。本研究结果不仅为太阳风密度控制环电流演化提供了直接证据,但也证明了最大南向国际货币基金组织与地磁风暴强度的相关系数,以及最大太阳风电场与地磁风暴强度的相关系数缺乏物理意义。根据Burton, mcphron, and Russell(1975)开发的经验公式(以下简称BMR方程),鞘区对大风暴强度的贡献小于MC。然而,实际观测结果显示相反。这种差异表明,BMR方程不能准确地估计环电流的变化。BMR方程中的注入项仅仅是太阳风电场的线性函数,没有考虑太阳风密度。这表明,如果忽略太阳风密度对环电流演变的影响,仅根据风暴主阶段太阳风电场的积分来估计地磁风暴的强度将会得到不正确的结果。2024年10月的大风暴也提供了直接证据,证明太阳风的速度、密度和IMF的南向分量都是环流演变的重要参数。
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引用次数: 0
Recovery of the Solar Cycle from Maunder-Like Grand Minima Episodes: A Quantification of the Necessary Polar Flux Threshold Through Solar Dynamo Simulations 从蒙德样大极小期恢复太阳周期:通过太阳发电机模拟量化必要的极通量阈值
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-03 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02538-5
Chitradeep Saha, Sanghita Chandra, Dibyendu Nandy

The 11-yr cycle of sunspots undergoes amplitude modulation over longer timescales. As a part of this long-term modulation in solar activity, the decennial rhythm occasionally breaks, with quiescent phases with very few sunspots observed over multiple decades. These episodes are termed as solar grand minima. Observation of solar magnetic activity proxies complemented by solar dynamo simulations suggests that the large-scale solar polar fields become very weak during these minima phases with a temporary halt in the polar field reversal. Eventually, with the accumulation of sufficient polar fluxes, the polarity reversal and regular cyclic activity is thought to resume, Using multi-millennial dynamo simulations with stochastic forcing, we quantify the polar flux threshold necessary to recover global solar polarity reversal and surmount grand minima phases. We find that the duration of a grand minimum is independent of the onset rate and does not affect the recovery rate. Our results suggest a method to forecast the Sun’s recovery from a grand minima phase. However, based on our approach, we could not identify specific precursors that signal entry in to a grand minima phase – implying that predicting the onset of grand minima remains an outstanding challenge.

太阳黑子的11年周期在更长的时间尺度上经历幅度调制。作为太阳活动长期调制的一部分,十年节律偶尔会中断,在几十年里观测到很少的太阳黑子的静止阶段。这些事件被称为太阳极小期。利用太阳发电机模拟对太阳磁活动替代指标的观测表明,在这些极小期,大尺度太阳极场变得非常微弱,极场反转暂时停止。最终,随着足够的极通量的积累,极性反转和规律的周期活动被认为会恢复。利用随机强迫的千年发电机模拟,我们量化了恢复全球太阳极性反转和超越大极小期所需的极通量阈值。我们发现极小期的持续时间与开始率无关,也不影响恢复率。我们的结果提出了一种预测太阳从极小期恢复的方法。然而,基于我们的方法,我们不能确定信号进入大极小期的具体前兆-这意味着预测大极小期的开始仍然是一个突出的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Correlation of Coronal Hole Area Indices and Solar Wind Speed 日冕洞面积指数与太阳风速度的相关性
IF 2.4 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s11207-025-02530-z
Egor Illarionov, Andrey Tlatov, Ivan Berezin, Nadezhda Skorbezh

Coronal holes (CHs) are widely considered as the main sources of high-speed solar wind streams. We validate this thesis comparing the smoothed time series of solar wind speed measured by the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) and various indices of CH areas constructed from the CH catalog compiled at the Kislovodsk Mountain Astronomical Station for the period 2010 – 2025. The main result is that we find specific indices of CH areas that give a strong correlation with smoothed solar wind speed variations. As an example, 1-year averaged areas of CHs located within 30 degrees of the solar equator yield a correlation of 0.9 with 1-year averaged solar wind speed. This strong correlation is a feature of the particular CH catalog, and considering an alternative CH catalog obtained using the Spatial Possibilistic Clustering Algorithm (SPoCA) from the Heliophysics Event Knowledgebase (HEK), the same index provides a correlation of only 0.3. Although the fact that the correlation significantly depends on the catalog requires a separate discussion, we conclude that if some of the catalogs can be used to construct a reliable indicator of solar wind speed variations, then this methodology should be maintained further. Additionally, we present time-latitude diagrams of rolling correlation between CH areas and solar wind speed, which, in our opinion, can be used to reveal source CHs for high-speed solar wind streams.

日冕洞被广泛认为是高速太阳风流的主要来源。我们比较了先进成分探测器(ACE)测量的平滑时间序列和基斯洛沃茨克山天文台编制的CH目录中2010 - 2025年CH区域的各项指标,验证了本文的观点。主要结果是我们发现CH区域的特定指数与平滑的太阳风速度变化具有很强的相关性。例如,位于太阳赤道30度以内的CHs的1年平均面积与1年平均太阳风速度的相关系数为0.9。这种强相关性是特定CH星表的特征,考虑到使用来自太阳物理事件知识库(HEK)的空间可能性聚类算法(SPoCA)获得的另一个CH星表,相同的索引提供的相关性仅为0.3。尽管相关性在很大程度上取决于星表这一事实需要单独讨论,但我们的结论是,如果某些星表可以用来构建太阳风速度变化的可靠指标,那么这种方法应该进一步保持下去。此外,我们给出了CH面积与太阳风速度的时间-纬度滚动相关图,我们认为这可以用来揭示高速太阳风流的源CHs。
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Solar Physics
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