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Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications 净零:科学、起源和影响
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-08-26 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-105050
M. Allen, P. Friedlingstein, C. Girardin, Stuart Jenkins, Y. Malhi, E. Mitchell-Larson, G. Peters, L. Rajamani
This review explains the science behind the drive for global net zero emissions and why this is needed to halt the ongoing rise in global temperatures. We document how the concept of net zero carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions emerged from an earlier focus on stabilization of atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Using simple conceptual models of the coupled climate–carbon cycle system, we explain why approximately net zero CO2 emissions and declining net energy imbalance due to other climate drivers are required to halt global warming on multidecadal timescales, introducing important concepts, including the rate of adjustment to constant forcing and the rate of adjustment to zero emissions. The concept of net zero was taken up through the 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Structured Expert Dialogue, culminating in Article 4 of the 2015 Paris Agreement. Increasing numbers of net zero targets have since been adopted by countries, cities, corporations, and investors. The degree to which any entity can claim to have achieved net zero while continuing to rely on distinct removals to compensate for ongoing emissions is at the heart of current debates over carbon markets and offsetting both inside and outside the UNFCCC. We argue that what matters here is not the precise makeup of a basket of emissions and removals at any given point in time, but the sustainability of a net zero strategy as a whole and its implications for global temperature over multidecadal timescales. Durable, climate-neutral net zero strategies require like-for-like balancing of anthropogenic greenhouse gases sources and sinks in terms of both origin (biogenic versus geological) and gas lifetime. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
这篇综述解释了推动全球净零排放背后的科学,以及为什么需要这样做来阻止全球气温的持续上升。我们记录了净零二氧化碳(CO2)排放的概念是如何从早期对稳定大气温室气体浓度的关注中出现的。利用耦合气候-碳循环系统的简单概念模型,我们解释了为什么在多年代际时间尺度上,阻止全球变暖需要二氧化碳净零排放和其他气候驱动因素导致的净能量不平衡下降,并引入了重要的概念,包括向恒定强迫的调整速率和向零排放的调整速率。政府间气候变化专门委员会(ipcc)第五次评估报告和《联合国气候变化框架公约》(UNFCCC)结构化专家对话采纳了净零概念,并在2015年《巴黎协定》第4条中达到高潮。此后,越来越多的国家、城市、企业和投资者采用了净零目标。任何实体能够在多大程度上宣称自己实现了净零排放,同时继续依靠明显的减排来补偿正在发生的排放,这是当前有关碳市场和《联合国气候变化框架公约》内外碳补偿的争论的核心。我们认为,这里重要的不是在任何给定时间点的一篮子排放和清除的精确构成,而是净零战略作为一个整体的可持续性及其在几十年时间尺度上对全球温度的影响。持久的、气候中性的净零战略要求在来源(生物源与地质源)和气体寿命方面实现人为温室气体源和汇的对等平衡。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 29
Transnational Social Movements: Environmentalist, Indigenous, and Agrarian Visions for Planetary Futures 跨国社会运动:地球未来的环保主义者、土著和农业愿景
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-08-17 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-084822
Carwil Bjork‐James, Melissa Checker, M. Edelman
Environmentalist, Indigenous, and agrarian and food justice movements that mobilize across and beyond national borders are demanding recognition and participation in debates and policies that shape planetary futures. We review recent social movements that challenge agendas set by corporations, elites, states, conservative movements, and some international governance institutions. We pay particular attention to novel concepts that emerged from or were popularized by these movements, such as environmental justice, climate debt, Indigenous-led conservation, food sovereignty, agroecology, extractivism, and Vivir Bien (“Living Well”). Such concepts and agendas increasingly enter international governance spaces, influence global policy debates, build innovative institutions, and converge across class, geographic, and sectoral lines. Although they face daunting obstacles—particularly the free-market zealotry that dominates international policymaking and the agribusiness, mining, energy, and other corporate-philanthropic lobbies—the visions proffered by these movements offer new possibilities for creating a world that prioritizes the intrinsic value of nature and all its beings. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
跨越国界的环保主义者、土著居民、农业和粮食正义运动,要求在塑造地球未来的辩论和政策中得到承认和参与。我们回顾了最近的社会运动,这些运动挑战了企业、精英、国家、保守运动和一些国际治理机构设定的议程。我们特别关注从这些运动中产生或被推广的新概念,如环境正义、气候债务、土著主导的保护、粮食主权、农业生态学、采掘主义和Vivir Bien(“生活得好”)。这些概念和议程越来越多地进入国际治理空间,影响全球政策辩论,建立创新机构,并跨越阶级、地理和部门界限。尽管他们面临着令人生畏的障碍——尤其是主导国际政策制定的自由市场狂热,以及农业综合企业、矿业、能源和其他企业慈善游说团体——这些运动提供的愿景为创造一个优先考虑自然及其所有生物的内在价值的世界提供了新的可能性。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 5
Community Monitoring of Natural Resource Systems and the Environment 自然资源系统和环境的社区监测
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-08-17 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-012220-022325
F. Danielsen, H. Eicken, Mikkel Funder, N. Johnson, O. Lee, I. Theilade, Dimitrios Argyriou, N. Burgess
Community monitoring can track environmental phenomena, resource use, and natural resource management processes of concern to community members. It can also contribute to planning and decision-making and empower community members in resource management. While community monitoring that addresses the environmental crisis is growing, it also gathers data on other global challenges: climate change, social welfare, and health. Some environmental community monitoring programs are challenged by limited collective action and community participation, insufficient state responsiveness to data and proposals, and lack of sustainability over time. Additionally, community members monitoring the environment are increasingly harassed and sometimes killed. Community monitoring is more effective with improved data collection, improved data management and sharing, and stronger efforts to meet community information needs, enable conflict resolution, and strengthen self-determination. Other promising areas for development are further incorporating governance issues, embracing integrated approaches at the community level, and establishing stronger links to national and global frameworks. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
社区监测可以跟踪社区成员关心的环境现象、资源利用和自然资源管理过程。它还有助于规划和决策,并在资源管理方面赋予社区成员权力。在解决环境危机的社区监测日益增长的同时,它还收集有关其他全球挑战的数据:气候变化、社会福利和健康。一些环境社区监测项目受到集体行动和社区参与有限、国家对数据和建议的响应不足以及长期缺乏可持续性的挑战。此外,监测环境的社区成员受到越来越多的骚扰,有时甚至被杀害。通过改进数据收集、改进数据管理和共享、加强努力满足社区信息需求、促进冲突解决和加强自决,社区监测将更加有效。其他有希望的发展领域是进一步纳入治理问题,在社区一级采用综合办法,并与国家和全球框架建立更强的联系。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 20
The Concept of Adaptation 适应的概念
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-08-17 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-095719
Ben Orlove
Adaptation (i.e., actions that reduce the harms caused by climate change) is widely recognized as one of two pillars of climate action, along with mitigation (i.e., actions that reduce the concentrations of greenhouse gases which cause climate change). Action to date in both pillars is widely recognized as insufficient. This article argues that a major source of this deficiency of adaptation is ambiguity in the concept of adaptation, which hinders planning and implementation of action. The review traces the origins and consequences of this ambiguity and examines three major conceptual obstacles: the unclear relationship between adaptation and mitigation, the tendency to define adaptation by listing distinct types that are not directly comparable and hence difficult to measure, and a persistent separation of short-term and long-term perspectives that limits the ability to build from current action to transformation. The article identifies recent efforts that have addressed these obstacles, although new areas of concern have emerged, particularly maladaptation and Loss and Damage. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
适应(即减少气候变化造成的危害的行动)和缓解(即减少导致气候变化的温室气体浓度的行动)被广泛认为是气候行动的两大支柱之一。人们普遍认为,迄今在这两个支柱方面采取的行动是不够的。本文认为,这种适应不足的一个主要原因是适应概念的模糊性,这阻碍了行动的规划和实施。本审查报告追溯了这种模糊性的起源和后果,并审查了三个主要的概念性障碍:适应与缓解之间的关系不明确,通过列出无法直接比较因而难以衡量的不同类型来定义适应的倾向,以及长期和短期观点的持续分离,限制了从当前行动转向转型的能力。文章指出了最近为解决这些障碍所做的努力,尽管出现了新的关切领域,特别是适应不良和损失与损害。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 10
Feminist Ecologies 女权主义生态
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-092246
Diana Ojeda, Padini Nirmal, Dianne Rocheleau, Jody Emel
In times of devastating ecological crisis, where can we find a route map to collectively halt current trends of destruction? In this review, we examine feminist studies’ recent contributions to activism and theorizing regarding extraction, emerging ecologies, and multispecies justice. By bringing in salient research from the fields of feminist political ecology, ecofeminism, and decolonial/anticolonial feminisms, we point to the ways in which feminist thought and action has opened up spaces for recognizing, envisioning, and making life-affirming ecologies rather than extractive systems of destruction. We refer to the former as emergent and emancipatory ecologies, that is, ecologies always in the process of becoming and capable of defying and subverting oppression based on gender, race, ethnicity, class, sexuality, caste, ability, species and other forms of discrimination—and, thus, capable of protecting and defending life and living worlds.
在毁灭性的生态危机时期,我们在哪里可以找到一个路线图来共同制止目前的破坏趋势?在这篇综述中,我们考察了女权主义研究最近在采掘、新兴生态和多物种正义方面对行动主义和理论化的贡献。通过引入女性主义政治生态学、生态女性主义和去殖民/反殖民女性主义领域的突出研究,我们指出了女性主义思想和行动为认识、设想和创造肯定生命的生态而不是破坏的采掘系统开辟了空间的方式。我们把前者称为新兴的和解放的生态,也就是说,生态总是在成为并有能力反抗和颠覆基于性别、种族、民族、阶级、性、种姓、能力、物种和其他形式的歧视的压迫的过程中,因此,有能力保护和捍卫生命和生活世界。
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引用次数: 0
Feminist Ecologies 女权主义生态
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-64385-4
Diana Ojeda, Padini Nirmal, D. Rocheleau, J. Emel
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引用次数: 4
Grassy Ecosystems in the Anthropocene 人类世的草地生态系统
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-08-01 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112420-015211
N. Stevens, W. Bond, A. Feurdean, C. Lehmann
As the Anthropocene advances, there are few parts of Earth that have not been impacted by human influence. Humans have had a long-sustained interaction with grassy ecosystems, but they are becoming severely impacted by direct and indirect impacts as the Anthropocene advances. Grassy ecosystems are easy to clear and cultivate, poorly protected, and poorly defined due to legacies of colonial narratives that can describe them as deforested, wastelands, or derived. Climate change, land conversion, and the erosion of the processes that have shaped grassy ecosystems for millennia have had cascading and cumulative impacts on grassy ecosystem extent and integrity. We examine how these changes are impacting grassy ecosystems, more specifically, those that fall into ecosystem uncertain space—a climate envelope where vegetation is not at equilibrium with climate and either grassy or forest ecosystems can occur. It is within this space that climate, CO2, and disturbances (fire, herbivores) interact to determine the presence of grassy ecosystems. Changes to any of these components reduce the integrity of grassy ecosystems. The loss of these ancient biodiverse ecosystems means loss of an array of ecosystem services fundamental to the lives of more than 1 billion people alongside Earth system impacts of altered albedo, carbon, and hydrological cycles. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
随着人类世的推进,地球上几乎没有地方没有受到人类的影响。人类与草地生态系统有着长期持续的相互作用,但随着人类世的推进,它们正受到直接和间接影响的严重影响。草地生态系统很容易清理和培育,保护不力,定义不清,这是由于殖民叙事的遗留问题,它们可能被描述为森林被砍伐、荒地或衍生品。气候变化、土地转换和侵蚀过程几千年来塑造了草地生态系统,对草地生态系统的范围和完整性产生了级联和累积影响。我们研究了这些变化是如何影响草地生态系统的,更具体地说,是那些落入生态系统不确定空间的气候包络层,其中植被与气候不平衡,草地或森林生态系统都可能发生。在这个空间内,气候、二氧化碳和干扰(火、食草动物)相互作用,决定了草生态系统的存在。任何这些成分的变化都会降低草地生态系统的完整性。这些古老的生物多样性生态系统的丧失,意味着对超过10亿人的生活至关重要的一系列生态系统服务的丧失,以及反照率、碳和水文循环改变对地球系统的影响。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 8
The Ocean Carbon Cycle 海洋碳循环
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-07-25 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-120920-111307
T. DeVries
The ocean holds vast quantities of carbon that it continually exchanges with the atmosphere through the air-sea interface. Because of its enormous size and relatively rapid exchange of carbon with the atmosphere, the ocean controls atmospheric CO2 concentration and thereby Earth's climate on timescales of tens to thousands of years. This review examines the basic functions of the ocean's carbon cycle, demonstrating that the ocean carbon inventory is determined primarily by the mass of the ocean, by the chemical buffering of CO2 in seawater, and by the action of the solubility and biological pumps that draw carbon into the ocean's deeper layers, where it can be sequestered for decades to millennia. The ocean also plays a critical role in moderating the impacts of climate change by absorbing about 25% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions over the past several decades. However, this also leads to ocean acidification and reduces the chemical buffering capacity of the ocean and its future ability to take up CO2. This review closes with a look at the uncertain future of the ocean carbon cycle and the scientific challenges that this uncertainty brings. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
海洋含有大量的碳,它通过海气界面不断地与大气交换。由于其巨大的规模和与大气相对快速的碳交换,海洋控制着大气中的二氧化碳浓度,从而在数万年到数千年的时间尺度上控制着地球的气候。这篇综述考察了海洋碳循环的基本功能,表明海洋碳储量主要取决于海洋的质量、海水中二氧化碳的化学缓冲作用,以及将碳吸收到海洋深层的溶解度和生物泵的作用,在那里碳可以被隔离数十年至数千年。在过去几十年里,海洋吸收了大约25%的人为二氧化碳排放,在减缓气候变化的影响方面也发挥着关键作用。然而,这也会导致海洋酸化,降低海洋的化学缓冲能力及其未来吸收二氧化碳的能力。这篇综述以海洋碳循环不确定的未来以及这种不确定性带来的科学挑战作为结尾。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 17
Sustainability in Health Care 保健的可持续性
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-095157
Howard Hu, Gary Cohen, Bhavna Sharma, H. Yin, R. McConnell
The academic public health and biomedical communities have a long history of researching and documenting the adverse impacts of pollution on human health. However, the healthcare industry itself is a major contributor to pollution as well as the greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions responsible for global warming. For example, the health sectors of the United States, Australia, England, and Canada are estimated to emit a combined 748 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents annually, equivalent to a nation that would rank seventh in the world for GHG emissions. Moreover, the healthcare sector is a major consumer of natural resources, thereby contributing to the imbalances characteristic of what is increasingly being referred to as the Anthropocene and a threat to planetary health. In this article, we summarize current information on the healthcare industry's environmental footprint and the potential for markedly reducing that footprint by applying the principles and tools of sustainability science. We discuss some of the industry's special challenges, including those associated with new construction (which have undergone relatively little examination in relation to sustainability, despite predictions of accelerated growth). We examine current ideas and efforts to advance sustainability solutions in the healthcare industry, in high-, middle-, and low-income countries alike, where the healthcare industry can be expected to grow the fastest. Finally, we review case studies and discuss research needs. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
公共卫生和生物医学界在研究和记录污染对人类健康的不利影响方面有着悠久的历史。然而,医疗保健行业本身是造成全球变暖的污染和温室气体(GHG)排放的主要贡献者。例如,据估计,美国、澳大利亚、英国和加拿大的卫生部门每年总共排放7.48亿公吨二氧化碳当量,相当于一个温室气体排放量居世界第七位的国家。此外,保健部门是自然资源的主要消耗者,因此助长了日益被称为“人类世”的不平衡特征,并对地球健康构成威胁。在本文中,我们总结了有关医疗保健行业环境足迹的当前信息,以及通过应用可持续性科学的原则和工具显着减少该足迹的潜力。我们讨论了该行业的一些特殊挑战,包括与新建筑相关的挑战(尽管预测会加速增长,但在可持续性方面进行的研究相对较少)。我们研究了目前在高、中、低收入国家推进医疗保健行业可持续性解决方案的想法和努力,这些国家的医疗保健行业预计将增长最快。最后,我们回顾了案例研究并讨论了研究需求。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 6
A New Dark Age? Truth, Trust, and Environmental Science 一个新的黑暗时代?真理、信任与环境科学
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2022-07-18 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-120920-015909
Torbjørn Gundersen, D. Alinejad, T. Y. Branch, B. Duffy, K. Hewlett, Cathrine Holst, S. Owens, Folco Panizza, S. Tellmann, José van Dijck, M. Baghramian
This review examines the alleged crisis of trust in environmental science and its impact on public opinion, policy decisions in the context of democratic governance, and the interaction between science and society. In an interdisciplinary manner, the review focuses on the following themes: the trustworthiness of environmental science, empirical studies of levels of trust and trust formation; social media, environmental science, and disinformation; trust in environmental governance and democracy; and co-production of knowledge and the production of trust in knowledge. The review explores both the normative issue of trustworthiness and empirical studies on how to build trust. The review does not provide any simple answers to whether trust in science is generally in decline or whether we are returning to a less enlightened era in public life with decreased appreciation of knowledge and truth. The findings are more nuanced, showing signs of both distrust and trust in environmental science. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 47 is October 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
这篇综述考察了所谓的环境科学信任危机及其对公众舆论、民主治理背景下的政策决策以及科学与社会之间的相互作用的影响。以跨学科的方式,审查侧重于以下主题:环境科学的可信度,信任水平和信任形成的实证研究;社交媒体、环境科学和虚假信息;对环境治理和民主的信任;知识的共同生产和对知识的信任的生产。本文探讨了诚信的规范性问题和如何建立信任的实证研究。对于对科学的信任是否普遍在下降,或者我们是否正在回到公共生活中一个不那么开明的时代,对知识和真理的欣赏程度在下降,这篇综述并没有给出任何简单的答案。调查结果更加微妙,显示出对环境科学的不信任和信任。《环境与资源年鉴》第47卷的最终在线出版日期预计为2022年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 4
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