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Overheating of Cities: Magnitude, Characteristics, Impact, Mitigation and Adaptation, and Future Challenges 城市过热:规模、特征、影响、缓解和适应以及未来挑战
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112321-093021
Jie Feng, Kai Gao, H. Khan, G. Ulpiani, K. Vasilakopoulou, G. Young Yun, M. Santamouris
Urban overheating is the most documented phenomenon of climate change impacting humans. This article presents the most recent developments on the magnitude and characteristics of urban overheating and the potential synergies with global climatic change. It analyses the latest qualitative and quantitative data on the impact of higher urban temperatures on buildings’ energy supply and demand, heat-related mortality, morbidity and wellbeing, human productivity, survivability of low-income populations, and environmental quality of cities. It describes the state of the art on the development of innovative mitigation materials, advanced urban greenery, heat dissipation, and evaporative techniques as the main mitigation and adaptation technologies to offset the impact of urban overheating. It also analyses the current knowledge on the impact of each mitigation technology on energy, health, environmental quality, urban economy, and survivability. Finally, this article presents the main future challenges related to urban overheating and proposes a specific research agenda to alleviate and counterbalance its impact on human life.
城市过热是有文献记载的影响人类的气候变化现象。本文介绍了城市过热的规模和特征以及与全球气候变化的潜在协同作用的最新进展。报告分析了城市温度升高对建筑物能源供需、热相关死亡率、发病率和福祉、人类生产力、低收入人群生存能力和城市环境质量影响的最新定性和定量数据。报告介绍了创新缓解材料、先进城市绿化、散热和蒸发技术的发展现状,这些技术是抵消城市过热影响的主要缓解和适应技术。它还分析了目前关于每种缓解技术对能源、健康、环境质量、城市经济和生存能力的影响的知识。最后,本文提出了未来与城市过热相关的主要挑战,并提出了具体的研究议程,以减轻和平衡其对人类生活的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Exploring Alternative Futures in the Anthropocene 探索人类世的不同未来
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112321-095011
Steven Cork, Carla Alexandra, Jorge G. Alvarez-Romero, Elena M. Bennett, Marta Berbés-Blázquez, Erin Bohensky, Barbara Bok, Robert Costanza, Shizuka Hashimoto, Rosemary Hill, Sohail Inayatullah, Kasper Kok, Jan J. Kuiper, Magnus Moglia, Laura Pereira, Garry Peterson, Rebecca Weeks, Carina Wyborn
Many challenges posed by the current Anthropocene epoch require fundamental transformations to humanity's relationships with the rest of the planet. Achieving such transformations requires that humanity improve its understanding of the current situation and enhance its ability to imagine pathways toward alternative, preferable futures. We review advances in addressing these challenges that employ systematic and structured thinking about multiple possible futures (futures-thinking). Over seven decades, especially the past two, approaches to futures-thinking have helped people from diverse backgrounds reach a common understanding of important issues, underlying causes, and pathways toward optimistic futures. A recent focus has been the stimulation of imagination to produce new options. The roles of futures-thinking in breaking unhelpful social addictions and in conflict resolution are key emerging topics. We summarize cognitive, cultural, and institutional constraints on the societal uptake of futures-thinking, concluding that none are insurmountable once understood.
当前人类世时代提出的许多挑战要求人类与地球其他地区的关系发生根本性的转变。要实现这样的转变,人类需要提高对现状的理解,增强想象通往更美好未来的道路的能力。我们回顾了在应对这些挑战方面的进展,这些挑战采用了对多种可能的未来(未来思维)的系统和结构化思考。在过去的70年里,特别是在过去的20年里,对未来的思考方法已经帮助来自不同背景的人们对重要问题、潜在原因和通往乐观未来的途径达成了共识。最近的一个重点是激发想象力,以产生新的选择。未来思维在打破无益的社交成瘾和解决冲突方面的作用是关键的新兴话题。我们总结了社会对未来思考的认知、文化和制度限制,并得出结论,一旦理解,没有什么是不可克服的。
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引用次数: 5
Pushing the Frontiers of Biodiversity Research: Unveiling the Global Diversity, Distribution, and Conservation of Fungi 推动生物多样性研究的前沿:揭示真菌的全球多样性、分布和保护
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112621-090937
Tuula Niskanen, Robert Lücking, Anders Dahlberg, Ester Gaya, Laura M. Suz, Vladimir Mikryukov, Kare Liimatainen, Irina Druzhinina, James R.S. Westrip, Gregory M. Mueller, Kelmer Martins-Cunha, Paul Kirk, Leho Tedersoo, Alexandre Antonelli
Fungi comprise approximately 20% of all eukaryotic species and are connected to virtually all life forms on Earth. Yet, their diversity remains contentious, their distribution elusive, and their conservation neglected. We aim to flip this situation by synthesizing current knowledge. We present a revised estimate of 2–3 million fungal species with a “best estimate” at 2.5 million. To name the unknown >90% of these by the end of this century, we propose recognition of species known only from DNA data and call for large-scale sampling campaigns. We present an updated global map of fungal richness, highlighting tropical and temperate ecoregions of high diversity. We call for further Red List assessments and enhanced management guidelines to aid fungal conservation. Given that fungi play an inseparable role in our lives and in all ecosystems, and considering the fascinating questions remaining to be answered, we argue that fungi constitute the next frontier of biodiversity research.
真菌约占所有真核生物物种的20%,与地球上几乎所有的生命形式都有联系。然而,它们的多样性仍然存在争议,它们的分布难以捉摸,它们的保护被忽视了。我们的目标是通过综合现有知识来扭转这种局面。我们提出了一个修正的估计2-3百万真菌物种与“最佳估计”在250万。为了在本世纪末之前命名其中未知的90%,我们建议识别仅从DNA数据中已知的物种,并呼吁进行大规模采样活动。我们提出了一个更新的真菌丰富度的全球地图,突出了高多样性的热带和温带生态区域。我们呼吁进一步的红色名录评估和加强管理指南,以帮助真菌保护。鉴于真菌在我们的生活和所有生态系统中发挥着不可分割的作用,并且考虑到仍有待回答的迷人问题,我们认为真菌构成了生物多样性研究的下一个前沿。
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引用次数: 6
The Global Technical, Economic, and Feasible Potential of Renewable Electricity 可再生电力的全球技术、经济和可行性潜力
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112321-091140
Nils Angliviel de La Beaumelle, Kornelis Blok, Jacques A. de Chalendar, Leon Clarke, Andrea N. Hahmann, Jonathan Huster, Gregory F. Nemet, Dhruv Suri, Thomas B. Wild, Inês M.L. Azevedo
Renewable electricity generation will need to be rapidly scaled to address climate change and other environmental challenges. Doing so effectively will require an understanding of resource availability. We review estimates for renewable electricity of the global technical potential, defined as the amount of electricity that could be produced with current technologies when accounting for geographical and technical limitations as well as conversion efficiencies; economic potential, which also includes cost; and feasible potential, which accounts for societal and environmental constraints. We consider utility-scale and rooftop solar photovoltaics, concentrated solar power, onshore and offshore wind, hydropower, geothermal electricity, and ocean (wave, tidal, ocean thermal energy conversion, and salinity gradient energy) technologies. We find that the reported technical potential for each energy resource ranges over several orders of magnitude across and often within technologies. Therefore, we also discuss the main factors explaining why authors find such different results. According to this review and on the basis of the most robust studies, we find that technical potentials for utility-scale solar photovoltaic, concentrated solar power, onshore wind, and offshore wind are above 100 PWh/year. Hydropower, geothermal electricity, and ocean thermal energy conversion have technical potentials above 10 PWh/year. Rooftop solar photovoltaic, wave, and tidal have technical potentials above 1 PWh/year. Salinity gradient has a technical potential above 0.1 PWh/year. The literature assessing the global economic potential of renewables, which considers the cost of each renewable resource, shows that the economic potential is higher than current and near-future electricity demand. Fewer studies have calculated the global feasible potential, which considers societal and environmental constraints. While these ranges are useful for assessing the magnitude of available energy sources, they may omit challenges for large-scale renewable portfolios.
可再生能源发电需要迅速扩大规模,以应对气候变化和其他环境挑战。要有效地做到这一点,就需要了解资源的可用性。我们回顾了对全球技术潜力的可再生电力的估计,其定义为在考虑地理和技术限制以及转换效率的情况下,使用当前技术可以生产的电量;经济潜力,也包括成本;可行的潜力,这说明了社会和环境的限制。我们考虑了公用事业规模和屋顶太阳能光伏发电、聚光太阳能发电、陆上和海上风能、水力发电、地热能发电和海洋(波浪、潮汐、海洋热能转换和盐度梯度能源)技术。我们发现,所报道的每种能源的技术潜力在不同的技术和技术范围内都有好几个数量级的差异。因此,我们还讨论了解释作者得出如此不同结果的主要因素。根据这篇综述和最可靠的研究,我们发现,公用事业规模的太阳能光伏发电、聚光太阳能发电、陆上风能和海上风能的技术潜力都在100千瓦时/年以上。水电、地热能、海洋热能转换技术潜力均在10pwh /年以上。屋顶太阳能光伏、波浪和潮汐能的技术潜力在1千瓦时/年以上。盐度梯度的技术潜力高于0.1 PWh/年。评估可再生能源全球经济潜力的文献(考虑了每种可再生资源的成本)表明,经济潜力高于当前和近期的电力需求。很少有研究计算了考虑社会和环境制约因素的全球可行潜力。虽然这些范围对评估可用能源的规模是有用的,但它们可能忽略了大规模可再生能源组合的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Implications of Green Technologies for Environmental Justice 绿色技术对环境正义的影响
1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-09-14 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-120920-101002
Parth Vaishnav
There are large disparities in access to green technologies between countries and among different demographic groups within countries. Unless carefully managed, the energy transition risks exacerbating some of these inequalities, for example, by burdening those who are excluded from efficient new technologies with the costs of maintaining legacy infrastructure. The energy transition will create new interdependencies between sectors—for example, between buildings, the power sector, and transportation—requiring integrated design of policies and infrastructure in different sectors. The equitable adoption of new technologies is contingent on broadening access to enabling technologies such as the Internet and payment systems. Decisionmakers must focus on new technologies that remove disparities in access to services but do not replicate current inefficiencies in providing those services (e.g., equitable access to mobility—not only to motorized personal vehicles). Data at higher resolutions and with boarder coverage are needed to design equitable technology deployment strategies and evaluate their success. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 48 is October 2023. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
在获得绿色技术方面,国家之间和国家内部不同人口群体之间存在很大差异。除非得到谨慎的管理,否则能源转型可能会加剧这些不平等,例如,让那些被排除在高效新技术之外的人承担维护传统基础设施的成本。能源转型将在各部门之间产生新的相互依赖关系,例如建筑、电力部门和交通部门之间的相互依赖关系,这就要求对不同部门的政策和基础设施进行综合设计。公平采用新技术取决于扩大获得因特网和支付系统等使能技术的机会。决策者必须把重点放在新技术上,这些新技术可以消除在获得服务方面的差距,但不能重复目前在提供这些服务方面的低效率(例如,公平获得流动性——不仅是机动个人车辆)。需要更高分辨率和更广泛覆盖的数据来设计公平的技术部署战略并评估其成功情况。《环境与资源年鉴》第48卷预计最终在线出版日期为2023年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 0
Harmful Cyanobacterial Blooms: Biological Traits, Mechanisms, Risks, and Control Strategies 有害的蓝藻繁殖:生物学特性、机制、风险和控制策略
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-081653
Lirong Song, Yunlu Jia, Boqiang Qin, Renhui Li, Wayne W. Carmichael, N. Gan, Hai Xu, Kun Shan, A. Sukenik
Harmful cyanobacterial blooms (CyanoHABs) impact lakes, estuaries, and freshwater reservoirs worldwide. The duration, severity, and spread of CyanoHABs have markedly increased over the past decades and will likely continue to increase. This article addresses the universal phenomena of cyanobacterial blooms occurring in many freshwater ecosystems worldwide. Based on analysis of ecophysiological traits of bloom-forming cyanobacteria and their interactions with environmental processes, we summarize and decipher the driving forces leading to the initiation, outbreak, and persistence of the blooms. Due to the coupling effects of eutrophication, rising CO2 levels and global warming, a multidisciplinary joint research approach is critical for better understanding the CyanoHAB phenomenon and its prediction, remediation, and prevention. There is an urgent need to evaluate and guide proper use of bloom control techniques at large scales, using science-based and environmentally friendly approaches. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 48 is October 2023. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
有害的蓝藻华(CyanoHABs)影响湖泊,河口和淡水水库全世界。在过去的几十年里,蓝藻藻华的持续时间、严重程度和蔓延范围都显著增加,并可能继续增加。这篇文章解决了普遍现象的蓝藻华发生在世界各地的许多淡水生态系统。在分析蓝藻华形成的生态生理特征及其与环境过程相互作用的基础上,总结并解读了蓝藻华产生、爆发和持续的驱动力。由于富营养化、CO2水平上升和全球变暖的耦合效应,多学科联合研究方法对于更好地了解蓝藻有害藻现象及其预测、修复和预防至关重要。目前迫切需要评估和指导大规模合理使用以科学为基础的环境友好型防治技术。《环境与资源年鉴》第48卷预计最终在线出版日期为2023年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 3
Soils as Carbon Stores and Sinks: Expectations, Patterns, Processes, and Prospects of Transitions 土壤作为碳储存和汇:过渡的期望、模式、过程和前景
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-09-05 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112621-083121
M. van Noordwijk, E. Aynekulu, Renske Hijbeek, Eleanor Milne, B. Minasny, Danny Dwi Saputra
The few percent of soil organic carbon (SOC) among mineral components form the interface of climate, plant growth, soil biological processes, physical transport infrastructure, and chemical transformations. We explore maps, models, myths, motivation, means of implementation, and modalities for transformation. Theories of place relate geographic variation in SOC to climate, soil types, land cover, and profile depth. Process-level theories of biophysical change and socioeconomic theories of induced change explain SOC transitions that follow from land use change when a declining curve is bent and recovery toward SOC saturation starts. While the desirability of recovering from SOC deficits has been mainstreamed into climate policy, the effectiveness of proposed measures taken remains contested. Process-level requirements for transitions at plot and landscape scales remain uncertain. Expectations of policy-induced SOC transitions have to align with national cross-sectoral C accounting and be managed realistically with land users (farmers) and commodity supply chains (private sector, consumers). Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 48 is October 2023. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
土壤有机碳(SOC)在矿物组分中占少数,构成了气候、植物生长、土壤生物过程、物理运输基础设施和化学转化的界面。我们探索地图、模型、神话、动机、实施手段和转型模式。地点理论将土壤有机碳的地理变化与气候、土壤类型、土地覆盖和剖面深度联系起来。生物物理变化的过程水平理论和诱导变化的社会经济理论解释了土地利用变化引起的有机碳转变,当下降曲线弯曲并开始向有机碳饱和度恢复时。虽然从有机碳赤字中恢复的可取性已被纳入气候政策的主流,但所采取的拟议措施的有效性仍存在争议。在地块和景观尺度上对过渡的过程级要求仍然不确定。政策引导的SOC转型的预期必须与国家跨部门的C核算相一致,并与土地使用者(农民)和商品供应链(私营部门、消费者)进行现实管理。《环境与资源年鉴》第48卷预计最终在线出版日期为2023年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 4
Understanding Fire Regimes for a Better Anthropocene 为更好的人类世了解火灾制度
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-08-31 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-120220-055357
L. Kelly, M. Fletcher, I. O. Menor, A. Pellegrini, Ella S. Plumanns-Pouton, P. Pons, G. Williamson, D. Bowman
Fire is an integral part of the Earth System and humans have skillfully used fire for millennia. Yet human activities are scaling up and reinforcing each other in ways that are reshaping fire patterns across the planet. We review these changes using the concept of the fire regime, which describes the timing, location, and type of fires. We then explore the consequences of fire regime changes on the biological, chemical, and physical processes that sustain life on Earth. Anthropogenic drivers such as climate change, land use, and invasive species are shifting fire regimes and creating environments unlike any humanity has previously experienced. Although human exposure to extreme wildfire events is increasing, we highlight how knowledge of fire regimes can be mobilized to achieve a wide range of goals, from reducing carbon emissions to promoting biodiversity and human well-being. A fire regime perspective is critical to navigating toward a sustainable future—a better Anthropocene. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 48 is October 2023. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
火是地球系统不可分割的一部分,几千年来,人类一直在巧妙地使用火。然而,人类活动正在以某种方式扩大和加强彼此,从而重塑全球的火灾模式。我们使用火灾制度的概念来回顾这些变化,该概念描述了火灾的时间、地点和类型。然后,我们探讨了火灾制度变化对维持地球上生命的生物、化学和物理过程的影响。气候变化、土地利用和入侵物种等人为驱动因素正在改变火灾制度,并创造出人类以前从未经历过的环境。尽管人类对极端野火事件的暴露程度正在增加,但我们强调如何利用对火灾制度的了解来实现从减少碳排放到促进生物多样性和人类福祉的广泛目标。从火灾制度的角度来看,对于走向一个可持续的未来——一个更好的人类世——至关重要。《环境与资源年鉴》第48卷预计最终在线出版日期为2023年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 1
Mitigation of Concurrent Flood and Drought Risks Through Land Modifications: Potential and Perspectives of Land Users 通过土地改造缓解旱涝风险:土地使用者的潜力和前景
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-08-30 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-110922-031849
Lenka Slavíková, Anita Milman
Modifications to land can serve to jointly reduce risks of floods and droughts to people and to ecosystems. Whether land modifications are implemented will depend on the willingness and ability of a diversity of actors. This article reviews the state of knowledge on land modification use in areas exposed to dual hydrologic risks and the land owners, managers, and users who directly make decisions about action on lands they control. The review presents a typology of land modifications and explains how land modifications interact with the hydrological cycle to reduce risks. It then addresses the roles and perspectives of the land owners, managers, and users undertaking land modifications, summarizing theories explaining motivations for, as well as barriers to and enablers of, land modification implementation. The analysis reveals geographical differences in narratives on land modifications as well as knowledge gaps regarding variation across actors and types of land modifications. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 48 is October 2023. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
对土地的改造可以共同减少洪水和干旱给人类和生态系统带来的风险。是否实施土地修改将取决于不同行为者的意愿和能力。本文综述了面临双重水文风险地区的土地改造利用知识状况,以及土地所有者、管理者和直接决定其控制土地行动的使用者。这篇综述提出了土地改造的类型,并解释了土地改造如何与水文循环相互作用以降低风险。然后,它解决了土地所有者、管理者和进行土地修改的用户的角色和观点,总结了解释土地修改实施的动机、障碍和推动因素的理论。该分析揭示了关于土地修改的叙述的地理差异,以及关于行动者和土地修改类型之间差异的知识差距。《环境与资源年鉴》第48卷预计最终在线出版日期为2023年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 3
The State of the World's Arable Land 《世界耕地状况》
IF 16.4 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Environmental Science Pub Date : 2023-08-25 DOI: 10.1146/annurev-environ-112320-113741
Lennart Olsson, F. Cotrufo, T. Crews, J. Franklin, A. King, A. Mirzabaev, M. Scown, A. Tengberg, S. Villarino, Yafei Wang
For millennia, agriculture has been shaping landscapes on Earth. Technological change has increased agricultural productivity dramatically, especially in the past six decades, but also resulted in trade-offs such as land and soil degradation, emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs), and spreading of toxic substances. In this article we review the impacts of agriculture on the world's arable land. We start by synthesizing information on the extent of arable land and associated agricultural practices, followed by a review of the state of the art of soil health and soil carbon. We review processes of land degradation, emission of GHGs, and threats to biodiversity. To conclude, we review key social and economic aspects of arable land and identify some important concerns for the future. The article ends on a positive note describing a potential new pathway for agriculture—to gradually adopt polycultures of novel perennial grain crops. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Volume 48 is October 2023. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
几千年来,农业一直在塑造着地球上的景观。技术变革极大地提高了农业生产力,特别是在过去六十年中,但也导致了土地和土壤退化、温室气体排放和有毒物质扩散等权衡。在本文中,我们回顾了农业对世界耕地的影响。我们首先综合了可耕地范围和相关农业实践的信息,然后回顾了土壤健康和土壤碳的最新状况。我们回顾了土地退化的过程、温室气体的排放和对生物多样性的威胁。最后,我们回顾了可耕地的关键社会和经济方面,并确定了未来的一些重要问题。文章最后积极地描述了一条潜在的农业新途径——逐步采用新的多年生粮食作物的杂交栽培。《环境与资源年鉴》第48卷预计最终在线出版日期为2023年10月。修订后的估计数请参阅http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates。
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引用次数: 1
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Annual Review of Environment and Resources
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