首页 > 最新文献

Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania最新文献

英文 中文
Where Consumers Diverge from Others: Identity Signaling and Product Domains 消费者在哪里与其他人不同:身份信号和产品领域
Jonah A. Berger, C. Heath
We propose that consumers often make choices that diverge from those of others to ensure that they effectively communicate desired identities. Consistent with this identity-signaling perspective, four studies illustrate that consumers are more likely to diverge from majorities, or members of other social groups, in product domains that are seen as symbolic of identity (e.g., music or hairstyles, rather than backpacks or stereos). In identity domains, participants avoided options preferred by majorities and abandoned preferences shared with majorities. The social group associated with a product influenced choice more in identity domains and when a given product was framed as identity relevant. People diverge, in part, to avoid communicating undesired identities.
我们建议消费者经常做出与其他人不同的选择,以确保他们有效地传达所需的身份。与这种身份信号观点相一致的是,有四项研究表明,在被视为身份象征的产品领域(例如,音乐或发型,而不是背包或音响),消费者更有可能与大多数人或其他社会群体的成员产生分歧。在身份域,参与者避免了大多数人喜欢的选项,放弃了与大多数人共享的选项。与产品相关的社会群体对身份领域的选择影响更大,当给定的产品被框架为身份相关时。人们的分歧部分是为了避免交流不想要的身份。
{"title":"Where Consumers Diverge from Others: Identity Signaling and Product Domains","authors":"Jonah A. Berger, C. Heath","doi":"10.1086/519142","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1086/519142","url":null,"abstract":"We propose that consumers often make choices that diverge from those of others to ensure that they effectively communicate desired identities. Consistent with this identity-signaling perspective, four studies illustrate that consumers are more likely to diverge from majorities, or members of other social groups, in product domains that are seen as symbolic of identity (e.g., music or hairstyles, rather than backpacks or stereos). In identity domains, participants avoided options preferred by majorities and abandoned preferences shared with majorities. The social group associated with a product influenced choice more in identity domains and when a given product was framed as identity relevant. People diverge, in part, to avoid communicating undesired identities.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2007-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91229153","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1133
The Positive Effects of Biased Self-Perceptions in Firms 企业偏见自我认知的积极作用
Simon Gervais, Itay Goldstein
We study a firm in which the marginal productivity of agents' effort increases with the effort of others. We show that the presence of an agent who overestimates his marginal productivity may make all agents better off, including the biased agent himself. This Pareto improvement is obtained even when compensation contracts are set endogenously to maximize firm value. We show that the presence of a leader improves coordination, but self-perception biases can never be Pareto-improving when they affect the leader. Self-perception biases are also shown to affect job assignments within firms and the likelihood and value of mergers.
我们研究了一个企业,在这个企业中,代理人努力的边际生产率随着其他人的努力而增加。我们证明了一个高估其边际生产率的代理人的存在可能使所有代理人都变得更好,包括有偏见的代理人自己。这种帕累托改进即使在薪酬契约内生地设定为最大化企业价值时也能得到。我们的研究表明,领导者的存在改善了协调,但当自我感知偏见影响到领导者时,它永远不会改善帕累托。自我认知偏差也被证明会影响公司内部的工作分配以及合并的可能性和价值。
{"title":"The Positive Effects of Biased Self-Perceptions in Firms","authors":"Simon Gervais, Itay Goldstein","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.963249","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.963249","url":null,"abstract":"We study a firm in which the marginal productivity of agents' effort increases with the effort of others. We show that the presence of an agent who overestimates his marginal productivity may make all agents better off, including the biased agent himself. This Pareto improvement is obtained even when compensation contracts are set endogenously to maximize firm value. We show that the presence of a leader improves coordination, but self-perception biases can never be Pareto-improving when they affect the leader. Self-perception biases are also shown to affect job assignments within firms and the likelihood and value of mergers.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"2017 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2007-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73665567","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 134
Do School Entry Laws Affect Educational Attainment and Labor Market Outcomes? 入学法影响教育成就和劳动力市场结果吗?
Carlos Dobkin, Fernando V. Ferreira
Age based school entry laws force parents and educators to consider an important tradeoff: Though students who are the youngest in their school cohort typically have poorer academic performance, on average, they have slightly higher educational attainment. In this paper we document that for a large cohort of California and Texas natives the school entry laws increased educational attainment of students who enter school early, but also lowered their academic performance while in school. However, we find no evidence that the age at which children enter school effects job market outcomes, such as wages or the probability of employment. This suggests that the net effect on adult labor market outcomes of the increased educational attainment and poorer academic performance is close to zero.
以年龄为基础的入学法律迫使家长和教育工作者考虑一个重要的权衡:尽管同龄学生中年龄最小的学生通常学习成绩较差,但平均而言,他们的受教育程度略高。在本文中,我们记录了大量的加州和德克萨斯州本地人的入学法提高了早期入学学生的教育程度,但也降低了他们在校期间的学习成绩。然而,我们没有发现证据表明孩子入学的年龄会影响就业市场的结果,比如工资或就业的可能性。这表明,教育程度的提高和学习成绩的下降对成人劳动力市场结果的净影响接近于零。
{"title":"Do School Entry Laws Affect Educational Attainment and Labor Market Outcomes?","authors":"Carlos Dobkin, Fernando V. Ferreira","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1007492","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1007492","url":null,"abstract":"Age based school entry laws force parents and educators to consider an important tradeoff: Though students who are the youngest in their school cohort typically have poorer academic performance, on average, they have slightly higher educational attainment. In this paper we document that for a large cohort of California and Texas natives the school entry laws increased educational attainment of students who enter school early, but also lowered their academic performance while in school. However, we find no evidence that the age at which children enter school effects job market outcomes, such as wages or the probability of employment. This suggests that the net effect on adult labor market outcomes of the increased educational attainment and poorer academic performance is close to zero.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"56 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2007-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83411994","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 160
Coupled Search Processes: Why is it so Difficult to Find that Organizational Design Matters? 耦合搜索过程:为什么很难发现组织设计的重要性?
Nicolaj Siggelkow, Jan W. Rivkin
Organizational design affects performance via coupled search processes. At low frequency, managers search for appropriate organizational designs. At higher frequency, managers use designs to search for high-performing operational choices. The two searches are coupled: organizational design molds the choice among operational alternatives, and performance feedback from operational choices shapes design. Our simulation model shows how coupled search processes can dramatically obscure the true impact of design on performance, confounding empirical research. We identify research strategies for tackling this difficulty; discuss population-level advantages of coupled search processes; and highlight implications for analogous coupled search processes that shape networks, cognition, and capabilities.
组织设计通过耦合搜索过程影响绩效。在低频率下,管理者寻找合适的组织设计。在更高的频率下,管理者使用设计来寻找高绩效的运营选择。这两种搜索是耦合的:组织设计塑造了在操作选项之间的选择,而来自操作选择的性能反馈塑造了设计。我们的模拟模型显示了耦合搜索过程如何极大地掩盖了设计对性能的真正影响,混淆了实证研究。我们确定了解决这一困难的研究策略;讨论耦合搜索过程的群体级优势并强调对形成网络、认知和能力的类似耦合搜索过程的影响。
{"title":"Coupled Search Processes: Why is it so Difficult to Find that Organizational Design Matters?","authors":"Nicolaj Siggelkow, Jan W. Rivkin","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1001704","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1001704","url":null,"abstract":"Organizational design affects performance via coupled search processes. At low frequency, managers search for appropriate organizational designs. At higher frequency, managers use designs to search for high-performing operational choices. The two searches are coupled: organizational design molds the choice among operational alternatives, and performance feedback from operational choices shapes design. Our simulation model shows how coupled search processes can dramatically obscure the true impact of design on performance, confounding empirical research. We identify research strategies for tackling this difficulty; discuss population-level advantages of coupled search processes; and highlight implications for analogous coupled search processes that shape networks, cognition, and capabilities.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2007-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88955171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Reinsurance for Natural and Man-Made Catastrophes in the United States: Current State of the Market and Regulatory Reforms 美国自然灾害和人为灾害再保险:市场现状和监管改革
J. Cummins
U.S. insurers are heavily dependent on global reinsurance markets to enable them to provide adequate primary market insurance coverage. This paper reviews the response of the world's reinsurance industry to recent mega-catastrophes and provides recommendations for regulatory reforms that would improve the efficiency of reinsurance markets. The paper also considers the supply of insurance and reinsurance for terrorism and makes recommendations for joint public-private responses to insuring terrorism losses. The analysis shows that reinsurance markets responded efficiently to recent catastrophe losses and that substantial amounts of new capital enter the reinsurance industry very quickly following major catastrophic events. Considerable progress has been made in improving risk and exposure management, capital allocation, and rate of return targeting. Insurance price regulation for catastrophe-prone lines of business is a major source of inefficiency in insurance and reinsurance markets. Deregulation of insurance prices would improve the efficiency of insurance markets, enabling markets to deal more effectively with mega-catastrophes. The current inadequacy of the private terrorism reinsurance market suggests that the federal government may need to remain involved in this market, at least for the next several years.
美国保险公司严重依赖全球再保险市场,以使它们能够提供足够的初级市场保险。本文回顾了世界再保险行业对近期巨灾的反应,并提出了监管改革的建议,以提高再保险市场的效率。本文还考虑了恐怖主义保险和再保险的供应,并提出了公私联合应对恐怖主义损失保险的建议。分析表明,再保险市场对最近的巨灾损失做出了有效的反应,在重大巨灾事件发生后,大量的新资本很快进入了再保险行业。在风险敞口管理、资本配置、投资回报率目标等方面取得显著进展。针对易发生巨灾业务的保险价格监管是保险和再保险市场效率低下的一个主要原因。放松对保险价格的管制将提高保险市场的效率,使市场能够更有效地应对特大灾难。目前私人恐怖主义再保险市场的不足表明,联邦政府可能需要继续参与这个市场,至少在未来几年是这样。
{"title":"Reinsurance for Natural and Man-Made Catastrophes in the United States: Current State of the Market and Regulatory Reforms","authors":"J. Cummins","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.997928","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.997928","url":null,"abstract":"U.S. insurers are heavily dependent on global reinsurance markets to enable them to provide adequate primary market insurance coverage. This paper reviews the response of the world's reinsurance industry to recent mega-catastrophes and provides recommendations for regulatory reforms that would improve the efficiency of reinsurance markets. The paper also considers the supply of insurance and reinsurance for terrorism and makes recommendations for joint public-private responses to insuring terrorism losses. The analysis shows that reinsurance markets responded efficiently to recent catastrophe losses and that substantial amounts of new capital enter the reinsurance industry very quickly following major catastrophic events. Considerable progress has been made in improving risk and exposure management, capital allocation, and rate of return targeting. Insurance price regulation for catastrophe-prone lines of business is a major source of inefficiency in insurance and reinsurance markets. Deregulation of insurance prices would improve the efficiency of insurance markets, enabling markets to deal more effectively with mega-catastrophes. The current inadequacy of the private terrorism reinsurance market suggests that the federal government may need to remain involved in this market, at least for the next several years.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"46 4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2007-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89182400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Why We Don't Really Know What Statistical Significance Means: A Major Educational Failure 为什么我们不知道统计意义意味着什么:一个重大的教育失败
J. Armstrong, R. Hubbard
The Neyman-Pearson theory of hypothesis testing, with the Type I error rate, α, as the significance level, is widely regarded as statistical testing orthodoxy. Fisher’s model of significance testing, where the evidential p value denotes the level of significance, nevertheless dominates statistical testing practice. This paradox has occurred because these two incompatible theories of classical statistical testing have been anonymously mixed together, creating the false impression of a single, coherent model of statistical inference. We show that this hybrid approach to testing, with its misleading p
假设检验的Neyman-Pearson理论以I型错误率α作为显著性水平,被广泛认为是统计检验的正统理论。Fisher的显著性检验模型,其中证据p值表示显著性水平,仍然主导着统计检验实践。之所以出现这种悖论,是因为这两种不相容的经典统计检验理论被匿名地混合在一起,造成了一种单一的、连贯的统计推断模型的错误印象。我们证明了这种混合测试方法,其误导性的p
{"title":"Why We Don't Really Know What Statistical Significance Means: A Major Educational Failure","authors":"J. Armstrong, R. Hubbard","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1154386","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1154386","url":null,"abstract":"The Neyman-Pearson theory of hypothesis testing, with the Type I error rate, α, as the significance level, is widely regarded as statistical testing orthodoxy. Fisher’s model of significance testing, where the evidential p value denotes the level of significance, nevertheless dominates statistical testing practice. This paradox has occurred because these two incompatible theories of classical statistical testing have been anonymously mixed together, creating the false impression of a single, coherent model of statistical inference. We show that this hybrid approach to testing, with its misleading p","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"108 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2006-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"87878082","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 29
Supermodularity and Tipping 超模块化和小费
G. Heal, H. Kunreuther
We model tipping as a game-theoretic phenomenon and investigate the connection between supermodular games, tipping of equilibria and cascading, and apply the results to issues that arise in the context of homeland security and computer security. We show that tipping and cascading can occur in supermodular games and that "increasing differences"is a sufficient condition for tipping. Supermodularity and tipping of equilibria are closely related. We relate our results to Schelling%u2019s early work on tipping.
我们将小费作为一种博弈论现象建模,并研究了超模博弈、均衡的小费和级联之间的联系,并将结果应用于国土安全和计算机安全背景下出现的问题。我们证明了小费和级联可以发生在超模博弈中,并且“增加差异”是小费的充分条件。超模性和平衡点的引爆是密切相关的。我们将我们的研究结果与谢林2019年关于小费的早期研究联系起来。
{"title":"Supermodularity and Tipping","authors":"G. Heal, H. Kunreuther","doi":"10.3386/W12281","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W12281","url":null,"abstract":"We model tipping as a game-theoretic phenomenon and investigate the connection between supermodular games, tipping of equilibria and cascading, and apply the results to issues that arise in the context of homeland security and computer security. We show that tipping and cascading can occur in supermodular games and that \"increasing differences\"is a sufficient condition for tipping. Supermodularity and tipping of equilibria are closely related. We relate our results to Schelling%u2019s early work on tipping.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"38 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2006-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72997714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 16
Executive Loyalty and Employer Attributes 高管忠诚度和雇主属性
Monika Hamori, P. Cappelli
An employee´s attachment to their employer is one of the central topics across the social sciences. We examine an important aspect of attachment, job search, in the context of executive jobs using a unique data set from a prominent executive search firm that identifies whether executives have declined or pursued offers of employment at other companies. This measure offers an improvement over previous studies on attachment, which rely on actual turnover and, as such, are confounded by opportunities in the labor market.
employeeÂ对雇主的依恋是整个社会科学的中心话题之一。我们研究了依恋的一个重要方面,求职,在高管职位的背景下,使用来自一家著名高管猎头公司的独特数据集,确定高管是否拒绝或追求其他公司的工作机会。这一措施比以往的依恋研究有了改进,这些研究依赖于实际的人员流动,因此受到劳动力市场机会的影响。
{"title":"Executive Loyalty and Employer Attributes","authors":"Monika Hamori, P. Cappelli","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1011202","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1011202","url":null,"abstract":"An employee´s attachment to their employer is one of the central topics across the social sciences. We examine an important aspect of attachment, job search, in the context of executive jobs using a unique data set from a prominent executive search firm that identifies whether executives have declined or pursued offers of employment at other companies. This measure offers an improvement over previous studies on attachment, which rely on actual turnover and, as such, are confounded by opportunities in the labor market.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2006-02-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84715298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Large Investors, Price Manipulation, and Limits to Arbitrage: An Anatomy of Market Corners 大投资者、价格操纵和套利限制:对市场角落的剖析
Franklin Allen, Lubomir P. Litov, J. Mei
{"title":"Large Investors, Price Manipulation, and Limits to Arbitrage: An Anatomy of Market Corners","authors":"Franklin Allen, Lubomir P. Litov, J. Mei","doi":"10.1007/S10679-006-9008-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/S10679-006-9008-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2004-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84308950","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 101
A Consumption-Based Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates 基于消费的利率期限结构模型
Jessica A. Wachter
This paper proposes a consumption-based model that can account for many features of the nominal term structure of interest rates. The driving force behind the model is a time-varying price of risk generated by external habit. Nominal bonds depend on past consumption growth through habit and on expected inflation. When calibrated data on consumption, inflation, and the average level of bond yields, the model produces realistic volatility of bond yields and can explain key aspects of the expectations puzzle documented by Campbell and Shiller (1991) and Fama and Bliss (1987). When Actual consumption and inflation data are fed into the model, the model is shown to account for many of the short and long-run fluctuations in the short-term interest rate and the yield spread. At the same time, the model captures the high equity premium and excess stock market volatility.
本文提出了一个基于消费的模型,该模型可以解释利率名义期限结构的许多特征。该模型背后的驱动力是外部习惯产生的时变风险价格。名义债券取决于过去习惯性的消费增长和预期的通胀。当对消费、通胀和债券收益率平均水平的数据进行校准时,该模型产生了债券收益率的现实波动,并可以解释坎贝尔和席勒(1991)以及法玛和布利斯(1987)所记录的预期难题的关键方面。当实际消费和通货膨胀数据被输入模型时,该模型被证明可以解释短期利率和收益率差的许多短期和长期波动。同时,该模型捕捉到了股票的高溢价和股票市场的过度波动。
{"title":"A Consumption-Based Model of the Term Structure of Interest Rates","authors":"Jessica A. Wachter","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.587952","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.587952","url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a consumption-based model that can account for many features of the nominal term structure of interest rates. The driving force behind the model is a time-varying price of risk generated by external habit. Nominal bonds depend on past consumption growth through habit and on expected inflation. When calibrated data on consumption, inflation, and the average level of bond yields, the model produces realistic volatility of bond yields and can explain key aspects of the expectations puzzle documented by Campbell and Shiller (1991) and Fama and Bliss (1987). When Actual consumption and inflation data are fed into the model, the model is shown to account for many of the short and long-run fluctuations in the short-term interest rate and the yield spread. At the same time, the model captures the high equity premium and excess stock market volatility.","PeriodicalId":80976,"journal":{"name":"Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania","volume":"77 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2004-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83749944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 540
期刊
Comparative labor law journal : a publication of the U.S. National Branch of the International Society for Labor Law and Social Security [and] the Wharton School, and the Law School of the University of Pennsylvania
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1