首页 > 最新文献

Annals of Operations Research最新文献

英文 中文
Remembering Marco Tucci 缅怀马可-图齐
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06186-z
Hans Amman, William A. Barnett, Fredj Jawadi

This paper aims to analyze the main contributions of Marco Tucci, with whom we had the great pleasure of guest-editing this special issue of the Annals of Operations Research. Unfortunately, Marco passed away in December 2023. Therefore, this special issue is dedicated to Marco, and this note summarizes his main contributions.

本文旨在分析马可-图奇(Marco Tucci)的主要贡献,我们非常荣幸能与他一起客座编辑本期《运筹学年鉴》特刊。不幸的是,马可于 2023 年 12 月去世。因此,我们将本特刊献给马可,本文将总结他的主要贡献。
{"title":"Remembering Marco Tucci","authors":"Hans Amman, William A. Barnett, Fredj Jawadi","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06186-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06186-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper aims to analyze the main contributions of Marco Tucci, with whom we had the great pleasure of guest-editing this special issue of the <i>Annals of Operations Research</i>. Unfortunately, Marco passed away in December 2023. Therefore, this special issue is dedicated to Marco, and this note summarizes his main contributions.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"41 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Home healthcare routing and scheduling: operations research approaches and contemporary challenges 家庭医疗路由和调度:运筹学方法和当代挑战
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06244-6
Malek Masmoudi, Jalel Euchi, Patrick Siarry

Home Health Care services aim to provide comprehensive care and support to patients in the comfort of their homes, ensuring a quality of service comparable to that of hospitals while also addressing additional objectives such as cost management and enhancing living conditions. Previous literature, exemplified by the paper authored by Euchi et al. (4OR 20(3):351–389, 2022), delineates the Home Healthcare Routing and Scheduling Problem (HHCRSP), presenting a taxonomy of its characteristics and constraints, along with an overview of state-of-the-art decision-making solutions. This study proposes an update to this research, highlighting the significant evolution of HHCRSP as it adapts to technological advancements and accommodates variant objectives and constraints across past, present, and future challenges. Through exhaustive literature reviews, this paper meticulously constructs a framework that delineates the intricate and diverse paths of HHCRSP’s evolution, fostering a deeper understanding of the impacts of emerging challenges such as digitization and sustainability. It offers invaluable insights for academic researchers and industry professionals, facilitating better alignment with the evolving landscape for consistently improved performance.

家庭医疗保健服务的目的是在病人舒适的家中为其提供全面的护理和支持,确保与医院相媲美的服务质量,同时还要实现成本管理和改善生活条件等其他目标。以前的文献,如 Euchi 等人撰写的论文(4OR 20(3):351-389,2022 年),描述了家庭医疗路由和调度问题(HHCRSP),提出了其特征和约束条件的分类法,并概述了最先进的决策解决方案。本研究对这一研究提出了更新建议,强调了 HHCRSP 在适应技术进步、适应过去、现在和未来挑战的不同目标和约束条件方面的重大演变。通过详尽的文献综述,本文精心构建了一个框架,勾勒出 HHCRSP 演变的错综复杂的不同路径,有助于加深对数字化和可持续性等新兴挑战的影响的理解。它为学术研究人员和行业专业人士提供了宝贵的见解,有助于更好地适应不断变化的环境,持续提高绩效。
{"title":"Home healthcare routing and scheduling: operations research approaches and contemporary challenges","authors":"Malek Masmoudi, Jalel Euchi, Patrick Siarry","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06244-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06244-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Home Health Care services aim to provide comprehensive care and support to patients in the comfort of their homes, ensuring a quality of service comparable to that of hospitals while also addressing additional objectives such as cost management and enhancing living conditions. Previous literature, exemplified by the paper authored by Euchi et al. (4OR 20(3):351–389, 2022), delineates the Home Healthcare Routing and Scheduling Problem (HHCRSP), presenting a taxonomy of its characteristics and constraints, along with an overview of state-of-the-art decision-making solutions. This study proposes an update to this research, highlighting the significant evolution of HHCRSP as it adapts to technological advancements and accommodates variant objectives and constraints across past, present, and future challenges. Through exhaustive literature reviews, this paper meticulously constructs a framework that delineates the intricate and diverse paths of HHCRSP’s evolution, fostering a deeper understanding of the impacts of emerging challenges such as digitization and sustainability. It offers invaluable insights for academic researchers and industry professionals, facilitating better alignment with the evolving landscape for consistently improved performance.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197687","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Optimizing joint operations decision-making involving substitute products: a Stackelberg game model and nested PSO 优化涉及替代产品的联合运营决策:斯塔克尔伯格博弈模型和嵌套 PSO
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06171-6
Shuang Ma, Linda L. Zhang

It is not uncommon that supply chain partners carry out cooperative advertising in green production involving green and dirty products (i.e., substitute products). Besides the advertising decisions, they need to jointly make many other decisions, such as substitute products’ production quantities, wholesale prices, and retail prices. Practice and literature have shown that manufacturers-retailers’ joint decision-making is of paramount importance yet challenging. This decision-making difficulty is compounded by governments’ carbon tax policies and financial subsidies. To facilitate firms in making decisions, this study examines the joint decision-making mechanism involving local governments’ carbon taxes and subsidies. To overcome the limitations of the relevant literature addressing one product and relatively fewer decisions, we include both dirty and green products and consider diverse decisions, including technology selection, production quantities, wholesale prices, and retail prices for both products. Additionally, we consider the retailers’ advertising investment decisions for both products and the manufacturers’ ratios of advertising investment paid to retailers. Capitalizing on decision interactions, we develop a Stackelberg game-based bilevel optimization model. Caused by the large number of decisions and their interactions, solving the game model analytically is barely possible. Consequently, we propose an algorithm of nested particle swarm optimization (NPSO). We perform numerical examples to show how the game model and the NPSO can help firms make complex joint decisions with many interactions. We also carry out sensitivity analysis based on which managerial insights are drawn.

在涉及绿色产品和脏污产品(即替代产品)的绿色生产中,供应链合作伙伴开展合作性广告宣传的情况并不少见。除了广告决策,他们还需要共同做出许多其他决策,如替代产品的生产数量、批发价格和零售价格等。实践和文献表明,制造商和零售商的联合决策至关重要,但又充满挑战。政府的碳税政策和财政补贴更加剧了这种决策难度。为促进企业决策,本研究探讨了地方政府碳税和补贴的联合决策机制。为了克服相关文献只涉及一种产品和相对较少决策的局限性,我们同时纳入了污染产品和绿色产品,并考虑了多种决策,包括两种产品的技术选择、生产数量、批发价格和零售价格。此外,我们还考虑了零售商对两种产品的广告投资决策,以及制造商支付给零售商的广告投资比例。利用决策的相互作用,我们建立了一个基于斯塔克尔伯格博弈的双层优化模型。由于决策数量庞大且相互影响,用分析方法求解博弈模型几乎是不可能的。因此,我们提出了嵌套粒子群优化(NPSO)算法。我们通过数字示例说明了博弈模型和 NPSO 如何帮助企业做出具有许多交互作用的复杂联合决策。我们还进行了敏感性分析,并在此基础上得出了管理见解。
{"title":"Optimizing joint operations decision-making involving substitute products: a Stackelberg game model and nested PSO","authors":"Shuang Ma, Linda L. Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06171-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06171-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>It is not uncommon that supply chain partners carry out cooperative advertising in green production involving green and dirty products (i.e., substitute products). Besides the advertising decisions, they need to jointly make many other decisions, such as substitute products’ production quantities, wholesale prices, and retail prices. Practice and literature have shown that manufacturers-retailers’ joint decision-making is of paramount importance yet challenging. This decision-making difficulty is compounded by governments’ carbon tax policies and financial subsidies. To facilitate firms in making decisions, this study examines the joint decision-making mechanism involving local governments’ carbon taxes and subsidies. To overcome the limitations of the relevant literature addressing one product and relatively fewer decisions, we include both dirty and green products and consider diverse decisions, including technology selection, production quantities, wholesale prices, and retail prices for both products. Additionally, we consider the retailers’ advertising investment decisions for both products and the manufacturers’ ratios of advertising investment paid to retailers. Capitalizing on decision interactions, we develop a Stackelberg game-based bilevel optimization model. Caused by the large number of decisions and their interactions, solving the game model analytically is barely possible. Consequently, we propose an algorithm of nested particle swarm optimization (NPSO). We perform numerical examples to show how the game model and the NPSO can help firms make complex joint decisions with many interactions. We also carry out sensitivity analysis based on which managerial insights are drawn.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Learning mobility in European higher education: How has the Union’s flagship initiative progressed? 欧洲高等教育中的学习流动性:欧盟的旗舰倡议进展如何?
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06195-y
Miguel Alves Pereira, Giovanna D’Inverno, Ana Santos Camanho

In 2010, the European Commission set out the development of an economy based on knowledge and innovation as one of the priorities of its Europe 2020 strategy for smart, sustainable, and inclusive growth. This culminated in the ‘Youth on the Move’ flagship initiative, aimed at enhancing the performance and international attractiveness of Europe’s higher education institutions and raising the Union’s overall education and training levels. Therefore, it is relevant to assess the performance of the ‘Youth on the Move’ initiative via the creation of composite indicators (CIs) and, ultimately, monitor the progress made by European countries in creating a positive environment supporting learner mobility. For this reason, we make use of the CI-building ‘Benefit-of-the-Doubt’ approach, in its robust and conditional setting to account for outliers and the human development of those nations, to exploit the European Commission’s Mobility Scoreboard framework between 2015/2016 and 2022/2023. Furthermore, we incorporate the value judgements of experts in the sector to construct utility scales and compute weight restrictions through multi-criteria decision analysis. This enables the conversion of ordinal scales into interval ones based on knowledgeable information about reality in higher education. In the end, the results point to a slight performance improvement, but highlight the need to improve the ‘Recognition of learning outcomes’, ‘Foreign language preparation’, and ‘Information and guidance’.

2010 年,欧盟委员会将发展以知识和创新为基础的经济作为其 "欧洲 2020 "战略 的优先事项之一,以实现智能、可持续和包容性增长。这最终促成了 "青年在行动 "旗舰倡议,旨在提高欧洲高等教育机构的绩效和国际吸引力,并提高欧盟的整体教育和培训水平。因此,有必要通过创建综合指标(CIs)来评估 "青年在行动 "倡议的绩效,并最终监测欧洲各国在营造支持学习者流动的积极环境方面所取得的进展。为此,我们利用建立 CI 的 "疑点收益 "方法,以其稳健和有条件的设置来考虑异常值和这些国家的人类发展情况,从而利用欧盟委员会 2015/2016 年至 2022/2023 年期间的 "流动记分牌 "框架。此外,我们还纳入了该领域专家的价值判断,通过多标准决策分析构建效用标度并计算权重限制。这使得我们能够根据对高等教育现实情况的了解,将序时量表转换为区间量表。最后,结果表明绩效略有提高,但强调需要改进 "学习成果认可"、"外语准备 "和 "信息与指导"。
{"title":"Learning mobility in European higher education: How has the Union’s flagship initiative progressed?","authors":"Miguel Alves Pereira, Giovanna D’Inverno, Ana Santos Camanho","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06195-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06195-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In 2010, the European Commission set out the development of an economy based on knowledge and innovation as one of the priorities of its Europe 2020 strategy for smart, sustainable, and inclusive growth. This culminated in the ‘Youth on the Move’ flagship initiative, aimed at enhancing the performance and international attractiveness of Europe’s higher education institutions and raising the Union’s overall education and training levels. Therefore, it is relevant to assess the performance of the ‘Youth on the Move’ initiative via the creation of composite indicators (CIs) and, ultimately, monitor the progress made by European countries in creating a positive environment supporting learner mobility. For this reason, we make use of the CI-building ‘Benefit-of-the-Doubt’ approach, in its robust and conditional setting to account for outliers and the human development of those nations, to exploit the European Commission’s Mobility Scoreboard framework between 2015/2016 and 2022/2023. Furthermore, we incorporate the value judgements of experts in the sector to construct utility scales and compute weight restrictions through multi-criteria decision analysis. This enables the conversion of ordinal scales into interval ones based on knowledgeable information about reality in higher education. In the end, the results point to a slight performance improvement, but highlight the need to improve the ‘Recognition of learning outcomes’, ‘Foreign language preparation’, and ‘Information and guidance’.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Explicit results for the distributions of queue lengths for a non-preemptive two-level priority queue 非抢占式两级优先队列队列长度分布的明确结果
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06237-5
Josef Zuk, David Kirszenblat

Explicit results are derived using simple and exact methods for the joint and marginal queue-length distributions for the M/M/c queue with two non-preemptive priority levels. Equal service rates are assumed. Two approaches are considered. One is based on numerically robust quadratic recurrence relations. The other is based on a complex contour-integral representation that yields exact closed-form analytical expressions, not hitherto available in the literature, that can also be evaluated numerically with very high accuracy.

对于具有两个非抢占式优先级的 M/M/c 队列,使用简单而精确的方法得出了队列长度的联合分布和边际分布的明确结果。假设服务率相等。考虑了两种方法。一种是基于数值稳健的二次递推关系。另一种是基于复杂的等值线-积分表示法,这种表示法可以得到精确的闭式分析表达式,迄今为止文献中还没有这种表达式,而且还能以极高的精度进行数值评估。
{"title":"Explicit results for the distributions of queue lengths for a non-preemptive two-level priority queue","authors":"Josef Zuk,&nbsp;David Kirszenblat","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06237-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10479-024-06237-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Explicit results are derived using simple and exact methods for the joint and marginal queue-length distributions for the M/M/<i>c</i> queue with two non-preemptive priority levels. Equal service rates are assumed. Two approaches are considered. One is based on numerically robust quadratic recurrence relations. The other is based on a complex contour-integral representation that yields exact closed-form analytical expressions, not hitherto available in the literature, that can also be evaluated numerically with very high accuracy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"341 2-3","pages":"1223 - 1246"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A MIP-heuristic approach for solving a bi-objective optimization model for integrated production planning of sugarcane and energy-cane 解决甘蔗和能源蔗综合生产规划双目标优化模型的 MIP 启发式方法
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06229-5
Gilmar Tolentino, Antônio Roberto Balbo, Sônia Cristina Poltroniere, Angelo Aliano Filho, Helenice de Oliveira Florentino

This paper proposes a modeling and solution approach for the integrated planning of the planting and harvesting of sucrose cane and energy-cane considering multiple harvesters. An integer linear bi-objective optimization model is proposed, which seeks to find a trade-off between the maximization of the production volumes of sucrose and fiber and the minimization of the operational costs. The model considers the technical constraints of the mill, such as the milling capacity and meeting the monthly demand. A MIP-heuristic based on relax-and-fix and fix-and-optimize strategies with exact decomposition is appropriately proposed to determine approximations to Pareto optimal solutions to this problem. These approximations are used as incumbents for a branch-and-bound tree to generate potentially Pareto optimal solutions. The results reveal that the MIP-heuristic efficiently solves the problem for real and semi-random instances, generating approximate solutions with a reduced error and a reasonable computational effort. Moreover, the different solutions quantify the trade-off between cost and production volume, opening up the possibility of increasing sucrose and fiber content or decreasing the costs of solutions found. Thus, the proposed bi-objective approach, the solution technique and the different Pareto optimal solutions obtained can assist mill managers in making better decisions in sugarcane production.

本文针对蔗糖甘蔗和能源甘蔗的种植和收割综合规划提出了一种建模和解决方法,其中考虑到了多台收割机。本文提出了一个整数线性双目标优化模型,旨在寻求蔗糖和纤维产量最大化与运营成本最小化之间的权衡。该模型考虑了碾磨厂的技术限制,如碾磨能力和满足每月需求。基于放松-修正和修正-优化策略以及精确分解的 MIP 启发式被恰当地提出来,以确定该问题的帕累托最优解近似值。这些近似值被用作分支和边界树的现任者,以生成潜在的帕累托最优解。结果表明,MIP 启发式能有效解决实际和半随机实例的问题,生成的近似解误差较小,计算量合理。此外,不同的解决方案量化了成本与产量之间的权衡,为增加蔗糖和纤维含量或降低所找到解决方案的成本提供了可能性。因此,所提出的双目标方法、求解技术和所获得的不同帕累托最优解可以帮助工厂管理人员在甘蔗生产中做出更好的决策。
{"title":"A MIP-heuristic approach for solving a bi-objective optimization model for integrated production planning of sugarcane and energy-cane","authors":"Gilmar Tolentino, Antônio Roberto Balbo, Sônia Cristina Poltroniere, Angelo Aliano Filho, Helenice de Oliveira Florentino","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06229-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06229-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper proposes a modeling and solution approach for the integrated planning of the planting and harvesting of sucrose cane and energy-cane considering multiple harvesters. An integer linear bi-objective optimization model is proposed, which seeks to find a trade-off between the maximization of the production volumes of sucrose and fiber and the minimization of the operational costs. The model considers the technical constraints of the mill, such as the milling capacity and meeting the monthly demand. A MIP-heuristic based on relax-and-fix and fix-and-optimize strategies with exact decomposition is appropriately proposed to determine approximations to Pareto optimal solutions to this problem. These approximations are used as incumbents for a branch-and-bound tree to generate potentially Pareto optimal solutions. The results reveal that the MIP-heuristic efficiently solves the problem for real and semi-random instances, generating approximate solutions with a reduced error and a reasonable computational effort. Moreover, the different solutions quantify the trade-off between cost and production volume, opening up the possibility of increasing sucrose and fiber content or decreasing the costs of solutions found. Thus, the proposed bi-objective approach, the solution technique and the different Pareto optimal solutions obtained can assist mill managers in making better decisions in sugarcane production.\u0000</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142225191","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Alternatives to classical option pricing 经典期权定价的替代方案
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06213-z
W. Brent Lindquist, Svetlozar T. Rachev

We develop two alternate approaches to arbitrage-free, market-complete, option pricing. The first approach requires no riskless asset. We develop the general framework for this approach and illustrate it with two specific examples. The second approach does use a riskless asset. However, by ensuring equality between real-world and risk-neutral price-change probabilities, the second approach enables the computation of risk-neutral option prices utilizing expectations under the natural world probability ({mathbb{P}}). This produces the same option prices as the classical approach in which prices are computed under the risk neutral measure ({mathbb{Q}}). The second approach and the two specific examples of the first approach require the introduction of new, marketable asset types, specifically perpetual derivatives of a stock, and a stock whose cumulative return (rather than price) is deflated. These two asset types are designed specifically for hedgers who don’t have access to sovereign riskless rates or may be hesitant to utilize interbank rates such as SOFR.

我们开发了两种无套利、市场完全、期权定价的替代方法。第一种方法不需要无风险资产。我们为这种方法制定了一般框架,并用两个具体例子加以说明。第二种方法确实使用了无风险资产。然而,通过确保现实世界和风险中性价格变化概率之间的相等,第二种方法可以利用自然世界概率下的预期来计算风险中性期权价格。这种方法产生的期权价格与经典方法中根据风险中性度量计算的价格是一样的。第二种方法和第一种方法的两个具体例子需要引入新的、可销售的资产类型,特别是股票的永 久衍生品和累计收益(而不是价格)被缩减的股票。这两种资产类型是专门为那些无法获得主权无风险利率或对利用银行间利率(如 SOFR)犹豫不决的套期保值者设计的。
{"title":"Alternatives to classical option pricing","authors":"W. Brent Lindquist, Svetlozar T. Rachev","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06213-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06213-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We develop two alternate approaches to arbitrage-free, market-complete, option pricing. The first approach requires no riskless asset. We develop the general framework for this approach and illustrate it with two specific examples. The second approach does use a riskless asset. However, by ensuring equality between real-world and risk-neutral price-change probabilities, the second approach enables the computation of risk-neutral option prices utilizing expectations under the natural world probability <span>({mathbb{P}})</span>. This produces the same option prices as the classical approach in which prices are computed under the risk neutral measure <span>({mathbb{Q}})</span>. The second approach and the two specific examples of the first approach require the introduction of new, marketable asset types, specifically perpetual derivatives of a stock, and a stock whose cumulative return (rather than price) is deflated. These two asset types are designed specifically for hedgers who don’t have access to sovereign riskless rates or may be hesitant to utilize interbank rates such as SOFR.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"88 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Interpretable machine learning models for ESG stock prices under transition and physical climate risk 过渡和实际气候风险下 ESG 股票价格的可解释机器学习模型
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06231-x
Haithem Awijen, Sami Ben Jabeur, Julien Pillot

This study investigates the relationship between climate change risks, namely transition and physical risks, and their predictive effects on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) stock prices. We assessed the performance of various machine learning models by analyzing daily time series data from January 2006 to July 2022. Our results indicate that incorporating climate risk variables significantly enhances the accuracy and effectiveness of these models in predicting ESG stock market prices, highlighting the crucial role of climate-related factors in financial modeling. To better understand the dependencies between the variables, we employ a novel copula-based dependence measure (qda) to quantify the deviation from independence in the dependency structure. In addition, we utilized explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques such as SHAP plots to interpret the complex machine learning algorithms used in this study. These techniques reveal the significant impacts of variables, such as inflation, recession, pollution levels, and climate risk indices, on the SP 500 ESG index. From a policy perspective, our findings emphasize the need for policymakers to integrate climate change risks into stock market regulations and guidance, thereby enhancing market resilience and supporting informed decision-making among investors.

本研究调查了气候变化风险(即过渡风险和物理风险)之间的关系及其对环境、社会和治理(ESG)股票价格的预测作用。我们通过分析 2006 年 1 月至 2022 年 7 月的每日时间序列数据,评估了各种机器学习模型的性能。我们的结果表明,纳入气候风险变量可显著提高这些模型在预测环境、社会和治理股票市场价格方面的准确性和有效性,这凸显了气候相关因素在金融建模中的关键作用。为了更好地理解变量之间的依赖关系,我们采用了一种新颖的基于 copula 的依赖度量(qda)来量化依赖结构中偏离独立性的情况。此外,我们还利用了可解释人工智能(XAI)技术,如 SHAP 图,来解释本研究中使用的复杂机器学习算法。这些技术揭示了通货膨胀、经济衰退、污染程度和气候风险指数等变量对 SP 500 ESG 指数的重大影响。从政策角度来看,我们的研究结果强调了政策制定者将气候变化风险纳入股票市场法规和指导的必要性,从而提高市场弹性,支持投资者做出明智决策。
{"title":"Interpretable machine learning models for ESG stock prices under transition and physical climate risk","authors":"Haithem Awijen, Sami Ben Jabeur, Julien Pillot","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06231-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06231-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study investigates the relationship between climate change risks, namely transition and physical risks, and their predictive effects on Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) stock prices. We assessed the performance of various machine learning models by analyzing daily time series data from January 2006 to July 2022. Our results indicate that incorporating climate risk variables significantly enhances the accuracy and effectiveness of these models in predicting ESG stock market prices, highlighting the crucial role of climate-related factors in financial modeling. To better understand the dependencies between the variables, we employ a novel copula-based dependence measure (qda) to quantify the deviation from independence in the dependency structure. In addition, we utilized explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques such as SHAP plots to interpret the complex machine learning algorithms used in this study. These techniques reveal the significant impacts of variables, such as inflation, recession, pollution levels, and climate risk indices, on the SP 500 ESG index. From a policy perspective, our findings emphasize the need for policymakers to integrate climate change risks into stock market regulations and guidance, thereby enhancing market resilience and supporting informed decision-making among investors.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142225190","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Portfolio optimization with relative tail risk 具有相对尾部风险的投资组合优化
IF 4.4 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-08-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06204-0
Young Shin Kim, Frank J. Fabozzi

This paper proposes analytic forms of portfolio conditional value at risk (CoVaR) and the mean of the portfolio loss conditional on it being in financial distress (CoCVaR) on the normal tempered stable market model. Since CoCVaR captures the relative risk of the portfolio with respect to a benchmark return, we apply it to relative portfolio optimization. Moreover, we derive analytic forms for the marginal contribution to CoVaR and the marginal contribution to CoCVaR. We discuss the Monte-Carlo simulation method for calculating CoCVaR and the marginal contributions of CoVaR and CoCVaR. We provide an empirical illustration to show relative portfolio optimization with 30 stocks included in the Dow Jones Industrial Average under distressed conditions. Finally, we apply the risk budgeting method to reduce the CoVaR and CoCVaR of the portfolio based on the marginal contributions to CoVaR and CoCVaR.

本文在正态节制稳定市场模型上提出了投资组合条件风险价值(CoVaR)和处于财务困境条件下的投资组合损失均值(CoCVaR)的分析形式。由于 CoCVaR 反映了投资组合相对于基准收益的相对风险,因此我们将其应用于相对投资组合优化。此外,我们还推导出了 CoVaR 的边际贡献和 CoCVaR 的边际贡献的解析形式。我们讨论了计算 CoCVaR 以及 CoVaR 和 CoCVaR 边际贡献的蒙特卡洛模拟方法。我们提供了一个经验图解,展示了在困境条件下,道琼斯工业平均指数中 30 种股票的相对投资组合优化。最后,我们应用风险预算方法,根据 CoVaR 和 CoCVaR 的边际贡献降低投资组合的 CoVaR 和 CoCVaR。
{"title":"Portfolio optimization with relative tail risk","authors":"Young Shin Kim,&nbsp;Frank J. Fabozzi","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06204-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10479-024-06204-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper proposes analytic forms of portfolio conditional value at risk (CoVaR) and the mean of the portfolio loss conditional on it being in financial distress (CoCVaR) on the normal tempered stable market model. Since CoCVaR captures the relative risk of the portfolio with respect to a benchmark return, we apply it to relative portfolio optimization. Moreover, we derive analytic forms for the marginal contribution to CoVaR and the marginal contribution to CoCVaR. We discuss the Monte-Carlo simulation method for calculating CoCVaR and the marginal contributions of CoVaR and CoCVaR. We provide an empirical illustration to show relative portfolio optimization with 30 stocks included in the Dow Jones Industrial Average under distressed conditions. Finally, we apply the risk budgeting method to reduce the CoVaR and CoCVaR of the portfolio based on the marginal contributions to CoVaR and CoCVaR.\u0000</p></div>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"341 2-3","pages":"1023 - 1055"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Goal-based investing with goal postponement: multistage stochastic mixed-integer programming approach 基于目标的投资与目标延迟:多阶段随机混合整数编程法
IF 4.8 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-024-06146-7
Sanghyeon Bae, Yongjae Lee, Woo Chang Kim, Jang Ho Kim, Frank J. Fabozzi

This paper introduces a multistage stochastic mixed-integer programming model designed for a goal-based investing (GBI) problem, incorporating the option of goal postponement. Our model allows individuals to defer the fulfillment of their goals within a predefined timeframe. We emphasize the advantages of incorporating goal postponement into the GBI framework, including its ability to accommodate stage-preference ambiguity, address mistiming issues, and enhance utility for individuals. Theoretical results of a GBI problem with goal postponement are presented, and to tackle large-scale multistage GBI problems, we employ a decomposition algorithm known as stochastic dual dynamic integer programming (SDDiP). Numerical results demonstrate that the option to postpone a goal proves especially advantageous when goals are exposed to high inflation rates, and SDDiP emerges as a computationally efficient approach for handling large-scale GBI problems.

本文介绍了一种多阶段随机混合整数编程模型,该模型专为基于目标的投资(GBI)问题而设计,其中包含目标推迟选项。我们的模型允许个人在预定的时间范围内推迟目标的实现。我们强调了将目标推迟纳入 GBI 框架的优势,包括其适应阶段偏好模糊性的能力、解决错时问题的能力以及提高个人效用的能力。我们介绍了目标推迟的 GBI 问题的理论结果,为了解决大规模多阶段 GBI 问题,我们采用了一种称为随机二元动态整数编程(SDDiP)的分解算法。数值结果表明,当目标面临高膨胀率时,推迟目标的选择尤其有利,而且 SDDiP 成为处理大规模 GBI 问题的一种计算高效的方法。
{"title":"Goal-based investing with goal postponement: multistage stochastic mixed-integer programming approach","authors":"Sanghyeon Bae, Yongjae Lee, Woo Chang Kim, Jang Ho Kim, Frank J. Fabozzi","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06146-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06146-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper introduces a multistage stochastic mixed-integer programming model designed for a goal-based investing (GBI) problem, incorporating the option of goal postponement. Our model allows individuals to defer the fulfillment of their goals within a predefined timeframe. We emphasize the advantages of incorporating goal postponement into the GBI framework, including its ability to accommodate stage-preference ambiguity, address mistiming issues, and enhance utility for individuals. Theoretical results of a GBI problem with goal postponement are presented, and to tackle large-scale multistage GBI problems, we employ a decomposition algorithm known as stochastic dual dynamic integer programming (SDDiP). Numerical results demonstrate that the option to postpone a goal proves especially advantageous when goals are exposed to high inflation rates, and SDDiP emerges as a computationally efficient approach for handling large-scale GBI problems.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"64 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142225193","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Annals of Operations Research
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1