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Learning ensembles of interpretable simple structure 学习可解释的简单结构的集合
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-17 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06674-w
Gaurav Arwade, Sigurdur Olafsson

Decision-making in complex systems often relies on machine learning models, yet highly accurate models such as XGBoost and neural networks can obscure the reasoning behind their predictions. In operations research applications, understanding how a decision is made is often as crucial as the decision itself. Traditional interpretable models, such as decision trees and logistic regression, provide transparency but may struggle with datasets containing intricate feature interactions. However, complexity in decision-making stems from interactions that are only relevant within certain subsets of data. Within these subsets, feature interactions may be simplified, forming simple structures where simple interpretable models can perform effectively. We propose a bottom-up simple structure-identifying algorithm that partitions data into interpretable subgroups known as simple structures, where feature interactions are minimized, allowing simple models to be trained within each subgroup. We demonstrate the robustness of the algorithm on synthetic data and show that the decision boundaries derived from simple structures are more interpretable and aligned with the intuition of the domain than those learned from a global model. By improving both explainability and predictive accuracy, our approach provides a principled framework for decision support in applications where model transparency is essential.

复杂系统中的决策通常依赖于机器学习模型,但XGBoost和神经网络等高度精确的模型可能会掩盖其预测背后的推理。在运筹学应用中,理解决策是如何做出的通常与决策本身一样重要。传统的可解释模型,如决策树和逻辑回归,提供了透明度,但可能难以处理包含复杂特征交互的数据集。然而,决策的复杂性源于仅在某些数据子集内相关的交互。在这些子集中,可以简化特征交互,形成简单的结构,其中简单的可解释模型可以有效地执行。我们提出了一种自下而上的简单结构识别算法,该算法将数据划分为可解释的子组,称为简单结构,其中特征交互最小化,允许在每个子组中训练简单模型。我们证明了该算法在综合数据上的鲁棒性,并表明从简单结构中获得的决策边界比从全局模型中学习的决策边界更具可解释性,并且更符合领域的直觉。通过提高可解释性和预测准确性,我们的方法为模型透明度至关重要的应用程序中的决策支持提供了一个原则性框架。
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引用次数: 0
Correction: Column-and-constraint generation approach to partition-based risk-averse two-stage stochastic programs 修正:基于分区的风险规避两阶段随机规划的列约束生成方法
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06680-y
Jongheon Lee, Kyungsik Lee
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引用次数: 0
A mathheuristic approach for the vehicle routing problem with queuing considerations 考虑排队的车辆路径问题的数学启发式方法
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06647-z
Ala-Eddine Yahiaoui, Mikael Rönnqvist, Jean-François Audy

Queuing in vehicle routing problems happens when a given node requires to be visited by several vehicles, whereas only a limited number of vehicles can perform the service simultaneously. Hence, some vehicles must wait until the node is available. We present in this paper a mathheuristic approach to solve the problem. This approach incorporates two phases. The first phase executes a rolling horizon heuristic multiple times to generate an initial set of solutions. Those generated solutions are used to initialize a pool of routes. In the second phase, a column-generation based procedure is used to generate new routes. The contribution of our paper can be summarized as follows. (1) We implemented an efficient set partitioning model that allocates pre-determined slots of time to service operations of vehicles. (2) We proposed fast pricing heuristics to generate new routes with negative reduced costs. (3) The newly generated routes are based on existing ones, keeping the same physical description but the starting times of service operations are modified to better fit the queuing aspects. Performance evaluation has been conducted using instances derived from data provided by forest companies. Experiments proved the effectiveness of the proposed approach, by recording low route duration and achieving almost zero queuing times compared to the initial pool of solutions.

车辆路径问题中的排队问题发生在给定节点需要若干车辆访问,而只有有限数量的车辆可以同时执行服务的情况下。因此,一些车辆必须等到节点可用。本文提出了一种数学启发式方法来解决这一问题。这种方法包含两个阶段。第一阶段多次执行滚动地平线启发式来生成一组初始解。这些生成的解决方案用于初始化路由池。在第二阶段,使用基于列生成的过程来生成新的路由。本文的贡献可以概括如下。(1)实现了一种高效的集合划分模型,将预先确定的时段分配给车辆的服务操作。(2)提出快速定价启发式算法,生成成本负降低的新路线。(3)新生成的路线以现有路线为基础,保持相同的物理描述,但修改了服务操作的开始时间,以更好地适应排队方面。利用从森林公司提供的数据得出的实例进行了业绩评价。实验证明了该方法的有效性,与初始解决方案池相比,该方法记录了较低的路由持续时间,并且几乎实现了零排队时间。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable supply chains with socially undesirable and intermediate outputs: evidence from Chinese agricultural cities 具有社会不良产出和中间产出的可持续供应链:来自中国农业城市的证据
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-06 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06658-w
Yunguo Mu, Jean-Philippe Boussemart, Zhiyang Shen, Michael Vardanyan

This paper uses a novel data envelopment analysis approach to assess the performance of supply chains in agriculture. Our network model treats the overall production and distribution process as consisting of separate stages. We account for the environmental externalities in agriculture and consider the links between different stages of the multi-stage process approximating agricultural supply chains. Additionally, we propose a new approach for modeling the impact of intermediate goods and calculate their marginal products. The empirical illustration is based on a panel of 18 cities in China’s Henan province during the period 2008–2021. Our results provide evidence of a significant potential for reducing carbon dioxide emission and increasing the agricultural output reaching final consumers in Henan. Notably, we find that overproduction of intermediate products can have an inhibitory effect on the final output, underscoring the importance of optimal resource allocation within the agricultural supply chain. We believe our findings can provide valuable insights for a more sustainable management of agricultural resources.

本文采用一种新颖的数据包络分析方法来评估农业供应链的绩效。我们的网络模型将整个生产和分销过程视为由不同阶段组成。我们考虑了农业的环境外部性,并考虑了近似农业供应链的多阶段过程中不同阶段之间的联系。此外,我们提出了一种新的方法来模拟中间产品的影响,并计算其边际产品。实证说明是基于2008-2021年期间中国河南省18个城市的面板。我们的研究结果为减少二氧化碳排放和增加河南省最终消费者的农业产出提供了重要的证据。值得注意的是,我们发现中间产品的生产过剩会对最终产出产生抑制作用,这强调了农业供应链中优化资源配置的重要性。我们相信我们的发现可以为更可持续的农业资源管理提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Emergency preparedness: optimal pharmacy purchasing strategies 应急准备:最佳药品采购策略
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-05 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06677-7
Renbang Shan, Li Luo, Jie Xiang

This study examines the purchasing decision-making of retail pharmacies when the potential for emergencies arises within a single cycle. Beyond accounting for conventional demand, retail pharmacies also need to plan for emergency demand. This paper employs the classic newsvendor model as a benchmark (PN) and explores three pre-purchasing strategies: a combination of conventional procurement and option procurement (POM), one-time procurement taking possible emergencies into account (PNO), a combination of conventional procurement and emergency procurement (PNE). Through an analysis of these procurement strategies, we find that, while POM usually performs better as a strategy, its position is affected by emergency shortage cost, exercise price, inventory cost, and the timing of emergency situations. Especially, exercise price changes does not always benefit retail pharmacies. Furthermore, neither PNO nor PNE provide any absolute advantages. PNO performs excellently when faced with higher emergency wholesale prices or lower emergency shortage costs. On the contrary, under certain conditions, PNE becomes a favorable choice for retail pharmacies. Specifically, when the emergency demand of retail pharmacies increases significantly, PNE is most suitable for retail pharmacies, while PNO is more advantageous when emergency situations occur near the end of the cycle.

本研究检视零售药房在单一周期内发生突发事件时的购买决策。除了考虑常规需求外,零售药店还需要为紧急需求做好计划。本文以经典报贩模型为基准,探讨了三种预采购策略:常规采购与期权采购相结合(POM)、考虑突发事件的一次性采购(PNO)、常规采购与应急采购相结合(PNE)。通过对这些采购策略的分析,我们发现,虽然POM作为一种策略通常表现较好,但其地位受到紧急短缺成本、行使价格、库存成本和紧急情况时机的影响。特别是,期权价格的变化并不总是有利于零售药店。此外,PNO和PNE都没有提供任何绝对的优势。当面临较高的紧急批发价格或较低的紧急短缺成本时,PNO表现出色。相反,在一定条件下,PNE成为零售药店的有利选择。具体而言,当零售药店的应急需求显著增加时,PNE最适合零售药店,而PNO在应急情况接近周期结束时更有利。
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引用次数: 0
Computing job-tailored degree plans towards the acquisition of professional skills 计算机职业定制学位计划旨在获得专业技能
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-06-02 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06678-6
Roger X. Lera-Leri, Filippo Bistaffa, Tomas Trescak, Juan A. Rodríguez-Aguilar

Sensibly planning the subjects to study during a university degree is one of the most crucial tasks that impact the future professional life of a student. Nonetheless, to the best of our knowledge, no automated solution is available for students who want to plan their desired degree path and maximize the skills required by desired or target job(s). In this paper, we consider the Degree Planning Problem (DPP), which aims at computing degree plans composed of university subjects for students during the completion of an undergraduate degree. Specifically, we aim to obtain the best set of skills matching the requirements of students’ preferred job(s). To achieve this objective, we propose a flexible and scalable approach that solves the DPP in real-time by means of a non-trivial formalization as an optimization problem that can be solved with standard solvers. Finally, we employ real data from our University’s Bachelor in Information and Communications Technology to show, through several use cases, that our approach can be a valuable decision-support tool for students and curriculum designers.

在大学期间合理规划学习科目是影响学生未来职业生涯的最重要任务之一。尽管如此,据我们所知,对于那些想要规划自己想要的学位路径并最大限度地提高期望或目标工作所需技能的学生来说,没有自动化的解决方案可用。在本文中,我们考虑学位计划问题(DPP),其目的是计算学生在完成本科学位期间由大学学科组成的学位计划。具体来说,我们的目标是获得符合学生首选工作要求的最佳技能。为了实现这一目标,我们提出了一种灵活且可扩展的方法,通过非平凡形式化作为可以用标准求解器解决的优化问题来实时解决DPP。最后,我们使用了来自我校信息与通信技术学士学位的真实数据,通过几个用例表明,我们的方法可以成为学生和课程设计师有价值的决策支持工具。
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引用次数: 0
Applications of advances in operations research methods to achieve sustainable development goals (SDGs) in a supply chain management environment: review and future direction of research 运筹学方法在供应链管理环境中实现可持续发展目标(sdg)的应用:回顾和未来研究方向
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-05-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06643-3
Kannan Govindan

Evidence of the impact of climate change has increased in recent years, forcing supply chain management (SCM) entities to promote sustainability in their operations. Meanwhile, global nations promote their sustainable development goals (SDGs) as one of the most important indicators to achieve sustainability regardless of application. SCM is a complex phenomenon of decision-making, which becomes even more complex when SDGs are adopted in SCM. Despite the central importance of the topic, only a small number of studies have reported on decision-making methods to improve the adoption of SDGs in SCM. To explore the state-of-the-art knowledge of operations research methods (ORMs) and models, we present this important Annals of Operations Research (ANOR) special issue. To introduce the special issue, we review the existing literature on models and methods to promote sustainability in SCM effectively and establish some associated future research directions. The findings of this editorial paper, as well as the articles in the special issue, can be used by both researchers and practitioners to consolidate recent advances and practices for establishing ORMs and models in SCM for effective decision-making to adopt SDGs. Additionally, this special issue paves the way for a solid foundation of advanced methods.

近年来,气候变化影响的证据越来越多,迫使供应链管理(SCM)实体在其运营中促进可持续性。与此同时,全球各国将可持续发展目标(SDGs)作为实现可持续发展的最重要指标之一,无论其应用如何。供应链管理是一种复杂的决策现象,当可持续发展目标在供应链管理中被采用时,这一现象变得更加复杂。尽管该主题具有核心重要性,但只有少数研究报告了提高供应链中可持续发展目标采用的决策方法。为了探索运筹学方法(orm)和模型的最新知识,我们提出了这个重要的运筹学年鉴(ANOR)特刊。为了介绍这一专题,我们回顾了现有的有效促进供应链可持续发展的模型和方法,并提出了相关的未来研究方向。这篇社论的发现,以及特刊中的文章,可以被研究人员和实践者用来巩固在供应链管理中建立orm和模型的最新进展和实践,以有效地决策采用可持续发展目标。此外,本特刊为高级方法的坚实基础铺平了道路。
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引用次数: 0
Optimizing bunkering and sailing strategies for sustainable shipping: a decision model for reducing costs and carbon emissions 优化可持续航运的加油和航行策略:降低成本和碳排放的决策模型
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06650-4
Wei Wang, Haoqing Wang, King-Wah Pang, Lu Zhen, Shuaian Wang

Bunkering costs constitute the largest portion of operational expenses in the shipping industry, directly influencing both economic efficiency and environmental impact. In line with Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 12 and 13, this study develops a decision model that jointly optimizes bunkering and sailing speed in liner shipping, with the aim of minimizing fuel costs and reducing carbon emissions. The model explicitly incorporates two often-overlooked aspects of the bunkering process: the requirement for empty tanks before refueling and the fuel inspection process. Due to the presence of infinite-dimensional and nonlinear terms, solving the model is computationally challenging. To address this complexity, we employ approximation algorithms and linearization techniques to transform the model into a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) formulation. Additionally, we implement a Branch-and-Cut algorithm to enhance computational efficiency. Numerical experiments are conducted to evaluate the model’s performance, along with sensitivity analyses to assess the impact of key parameters. The results demonstrate that both the empty tank requirement and fuel inspection significantly influence bunkering decisions and sailing strategies, with the latter having a more pronounced effect. Moreover, our findings highlight the potential for sustainable fuel management practices to contribute to carbon reduction in maritime transportation. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers and industry stakeholders seeking to balance cost efficiency and environmental sustainability in shipping operations.

燃油成本是航运业运营费用中最大的一部分,直接影响着经济效率和环境影响。根据可持续发展目标(sdg) 12和13,本研究开发了一个决策模型,共同优化班轮运输中的加油和航行速度,以最大限度地降低燃料成本并减少碳排放。该模型明确地包含了加油过程中经常被忽视的两个方面:加油前对空油箱的要求和燃料检查过程。由于存在无限维和非线性项,求解模型在计算上具有挑战性。为了解决这种复杂性,我们采用近似算法和线性化技术将模型转换为混合整数线性规划(MILP)公式。此外,我们还实现了分支切断算法,以提高计算效率。通过数值实验对模型的性能进行了评价,并对关键参数的影响进行了敏感性分析。结果表明,空舱要求和燃油检查对加油决策和航行策略都有显著影响,其中后者的影响更为显著。此外,我们的研究结果强调了可持续燃料管理实践在减少海上运输碳排放方面的潜力。本研究为寻求在航运运营中平衡成本效率和环境可持续性的政策制定者和行业利益相关者提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of investor heterogeneity and interactions on price discovery in futures markets: Based on dynamical system and stability analysis 投资者异质性和相互作用对期货市场价格发现的影响:基于动态系统和稳定性分析
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06676-8
Qingbin Gong, Zhe Yang, Xundi Diao

This paper investigates the impacts of trading behaviors on price discovery in futures markets. A dynamical model with difference equations is proposed to depict the interactions of heterogenous investors and the spot-futures coevolution. The system equilibrium and its stability conditions are mathematically analyzed. In the equilibrium, the futures price and the spot price converge to the fundamental value simultaneously. Stability conditions are necessary for the convergence process as well as the price discovery function. To ensure stability conditions, factors such as investor bounded rationality, risk appetites and market liquidity need to satisfy specific relationships. As the findings show, the arbitrage is not always beneficial to market stability and price discovery. It may increase price fluctuations in some cases. If investors have high degree of rationality, they tend to switch trading strategies with high intensity, which may destabilize the market. The simulations suggest the occurrence of complicated dynamics when stability conditions are violated. It provides theoretical insights into complicated phenomena in futures markets.

本文研究了期货市场中交易行为对价格发现的影响。提出了一个带有差分方程的动力学模型来描述异质投资者之间的相互作用和现货期货的共同演化。用数学方法分析了系统的平衡状态和稳定条件。在均衡状态下,期货价格和现货价格同时向基本价值靠拢。稳定性条件是收敛过程和价格发现函数的必要条件。为了确保稳定条件,投资者有限理性、风险偏好和市场流动性等因素需要满足特定的关系。研究结果表明,套利并不总是有利于市场稳定和价格发现。在某些情况下,这可能会增加价格波动。如果投资者具有高度的理性,他们倾向于高强度地转换交易策略,这可能会破坏市场的稳定。仿真结果表明,当不满足稳定条件时,会发生复杂的动力学。它为期货市场的复杂现象提供了理论见解。
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引用次数: 0
Interactions between store brand introduction and information sharing decisions considering store brand spillover 考虑品牌溢出效应的品牌导入与信息共享决策之间的相互作用
IF 4.5 3区 管理学 Q1 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1007/s10479-025-06628-2
Hui Cao, Jinjiang Yan

This paper proposes a game-theoretic model to investigate store brand (SB) introduction and information sharing decisions within a co-opetitive supply chain between a national brand (NB) manufacturer and a retailer, where the retailer chooses whether to introduce a store brand and share demand information with the NB manufacturer. In the main model, we consider that the retailer’s store brand introduction decision precedes the information sharing decision. We fully explore four scenarios involving the retailer’s strategic decision characteristics: no store brand introduction and no information sharing (NN), no store brand introduction and information sharing (NS), store brand introduction and no information sharing (IN), and store brand introduction and information sharing (IS). Our analysis draws the following interesting conclusions: Firstly, our research reveals that the NB manufacturer will benefit from SB introduction under certain conditions. Secondly, we demonstrate that the retailer’s store brand introduction and information sharing reinforce each other. Finally, our study also makes a contribution to how the degree of SB spillover and the fixed introduction cost affect the equilibrium strategy outcome.

本文提出了一个博弈论模型,用于研究在合作竞争的供应链中,零售商选择是否引入商店品牌并与品牌制造商共享需求信息。在主模型中,我们认为零售商的店铺品牌引进决策先于信息共享决策。我们充分探讨了涉及零售商战略决策特征的四种场景:无门店品牌引入无信息共享(NN)、无门店品牌引入无信息共享(NS)、门店品牌引入无信息共享(IN)、门店品牌引入无信息共享(IS)。我们的分析得出了以下有趣的结论:首先,我们的研究表明,在一定条件下,NB制造商将受益于SB的引入。其次,我们论证了零售商的店铺品牌导入与信息共享是相互促进的。最后,本文还探讨了企业企业外溢程度和固定引进成本对均衡战略结果的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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Annals of Operations Research
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