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Firm-Learning and Productivity in Nigeria's Manufacturing Sector 尼日利亚制造业的企业学习和生产力
Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2023.a907731
Adeyinka Foluso Modupe, Popoola Olufemi Adebola, Adeoti John Olatunji
ABSTRACT: The manufacturing sector plays a strategic role as a major contributor to economic growth and development. However, the harsh business environment in Nigeria has constrained learning and capability building in the Nigerian manufacturing sector. The present state of the manufacturing sector underscores the need for firm-level learning and strategic policy actions. This paper utilized data from the Enterprise Survey Panel covering the periods 2007, 2009, and 2014/2015 to investigate firm learning and productivity in the Nigerian manufacturing sector. Case study illustrations were also undertaken to further provide insights into the links between learning variables and the productivity of selected firms in the sector. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics; dynamic panel model (DPM) via ordinary least squares (OLS) and General Method of Moments (GMM) techniques. The results of the estimation show there is a positive and significant relationship between export participation lagged by one period (t-1) and the current firm performance. A one-period lag of the learning variables, namely: skills and training increased the productivity of firms. The case study illustrations revealed that major learning capabilities include customer feedback; through employees, staff training/seminars/workshops, and supplier feedback. The paper provides evidence to conjecture that the STI mode of learning, which involves formal research and development (R&D) in firms is not deep enough, and that domestic firms have less productivity relative to firms with some proportion of foreign ownership. Also, some of the constraints to learning and productivity are an unstable regulatory environment, poor infrastructure and high cost of doing business. The paper recommends both formal and informal modes/mechanisms of learning are important to ensure improved productivity of manufacturing firms in Nigeria Also, learning opportunities may differ within and across manufacturing subsectors. Industry regulators or agencies should organize to provide a forum for firms and relevant stakeholders to regularly interact on learning experiences to learn from each other and collaborate to address obstacles to productivity.
摘要:制造业作为经济增长和发展的主要贡献者,具有重要的战略作用。然而,尼日利亚恶劣的商业环境限制了尼日利亚制造业的学习和能力建设。制造业部门的现状强调需要公司一级的学习和战略政策行动。本文利用企业调查小组涵盖2007年、2009年和2014/2015年期间的数据,调查尼日利亚制造业的企业学习和生产力。还进行了案例研究说明,以进一步深入了解学习变量与该部门选定公司的生产率之间的联系。数据分析采用描述性统计;利用普通最小二乘(OLS)和一般矩量法(GMM)技术建立动态面板模型(DPM)。估计结果表明,滞后一个时期(t-1)的出口参与与当前企业绩效之间存在显著的正相关关系。学习变量的一个周期滞后,即:技能和培训提高了企业的生产率。案例研究表明,主要的学习能力包括客户反馈;通过员工,员工培训/研讨会/工作坊,以及供应商的反馈。本文提供的证据可以推测,科技创新学习模式涉及企业的正式研发(R&D)不够深入,国内企业的生产率相对于有一定比例外资所有权的企业更低。此外,制约学习和生产力的因素还包括不稳定的监管环境、落后的基础设施和高昂的经营成本。该报告建议,正式和非正式的学习模式/机制对于确保提高尼日利亚制造业企业的生产力都很重要。此外,制造业分部门内部和不同部门之间的学习机会可能有所不同。行业监管机构或机构应该组织起来,为企业和相关利益相关者提供一个论坛,定期交流学习经验,相互学习,合作解决生产力障碍。
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引用次数: 0
Entrepreneurial Aspiration: An Empirical Analysis of the Role of Achievement Striving Behavior, Personal Growth Initiative & Goal Setting 创业抱负:成就奋斗行为、个人成长主动性作用的实证分析目标设定
Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2023.0033
Ajibola Olusoga Ogunyemi, Olugbenga Adeyanju Akintola, Emmanuel Adesoye
Fostering entrepreneurial aspiration of the vibrant segment of a nation's population is quite strategic during global economic inconsistencies. Thriving economies explore the human capital in business faculties to bring about entrepreneurial revolution. Hence, this study investigated the entrepreneurial aspiration of business faculties' graduates, focusing on the contributions of Achievement striving, personal growth initiative and goal-setting. Correlational research design was adopted because the researchers were only interested in knowing the influence of the predictor variables on the criterion measure without necessarily manipulating any of the variables. Non-proportional stratified and simple random sampling techniques were employed to select three hundred respondents from business faculties of three public universities in South-West Nigeria. Four self-report scales (Entrepreneur Aspiration Scale: R= 0.87; Achievement striving scale: R=0.78; Personal Growth Initiative Scale: R= 0.741 and Goal Commitment scale: R= 0.82) were used to generate data while two hypotheses were raised and tested at 0.05 level of significance using multiple regression and Pearson product moment correlation statistics. The findings revealed that Achievement striving (β = .493; t = 5.843; p<.01) significantly and independently predicted entrepreneurial aspiration of graduate students in business faculties. Also, personal growth initiative (β=.005; t =0.035; p>.05) and Goal setting (β = .040; t=0.266; p>.05) did not significantly and independently predict entrepreneurial aspiration. This implies that achievement striving is the most influential predictor of entrepreneurial Aspiration, while personal growth initiative and goal setting did not significantly predict entrepreneurial aspiration respectively. The finding further revealed that all the independent variables (Achievement striving behavior, Personal growth initiative and Goal setting) significantly and jointly influenced dependent variable (F(3,280)= 11.426; R2 = .244; Adj R2 = .223; p<.001), accounted for 22.3% of the variance in entrepreneurial aspiration. Based on the findings of the study, some fundamental implications were drawn, such that the employers of labor and Human Resource practitioners should ensure that Achievement Striving behavior be fostered and also be part of indicators for personnel selection. Entrepreneurial mentoring programs should be established with successful entrepreneurs. In addition, academic activities that can make students to be enterprising, adventuresome and daring (such as discovery and problem-solving methods of instruction) should be embraced by teachers in the ivory towers.
在全球经济不稳定的情况下,培养一个国家人口中充满活力的部分的创业愿望是非常有战略意义的。繁荣的经济体探索商学院的人力资本,以带来创业革命。因此,本研究对商学院毕业生的创业愿望进行了调查,重点关注成就追求、个人成长主动性和目标设定的贡献。采用相关研究设计是因为研究人员只对预测变量对标准测量的影响感兴趣,而不必对任何变量进行操作。采用非比例分层和简单随机抽样技术,从尼日利亚西南部三所公立大学的商学院中选择了300名受访者。四个自我报告量表(企业家抱负量表:R= 0.87;成就奋斗量表:R=0.78;采用个人成长主动量表(R= 0.741)和目标承诺量表(R= 0.82)生成数据,提出两个假设,并采用多元回归和Pearson积差相关统计在0.05显著性水平上进行检验。结果显示,成就追求(β = .493;T = 5.843;p.05)和目标设定(β = .040;t = 0.266;P < 0.05)对创业愿望没有显著且独立的预测作用。这表明,成就奋斗是最具影响力的创业抱负的预测因子,而个人成长主动性和目标设定对创业抱负的预测分别不显著。结果进一步表明,所有自变量(成就奋斗行为、个人成长主动性和目标设定)显著且共同影响因变量(F(3,280)= 11.426;R2 = 0.244;Adj R2 = 0.223;P <.001),占创业愿望方差的22.3%。根据研究结果,得出了一些基本的启示,例如,劳工和人力资源从业人员的雇主应确保培养成就追求行为,并将其作为人员选择指标的一部分。应该为成功的企业家建立创业指导项目。此外,能够使学生进取、冒险和大胆的学术活动(如发现和解决问题的教学方法)应该被象牙塔里的教师所接受。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Soybean Farmers' Adoption of Green Revolution Technologies in Oyo State, Nigeria 尼日利亚奥约州大豆种植者采用绿色革命技术的决定因素
Pub Date : 2021-05-19 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2021.0069
Ashraf O. Olawale, F. Oyawole, O. O. Ogunmola, R. Aminu
ABSTRACT:Soybean is a non-indigenous crop in Nigeria, but has become an important food security crop due to its nutritive, economic and agronomic benefits. In recognition of these benefits, numerous efforts have been made to boost soybean output and productivity in Nigeria through the 'green revolution' pathway. However, despite the impressive widespread adoption of high yielding varieties of soybean in Nigeria, observed yields are still below regional and global averages, prompting research into the disparity between actual yields observed and obtainable potential yield. One of the reasons suggested in literature is that farmers do not fully adopt the 'green revolution' technology package that includes fertilizers, herbicides and pesticides, leading to sub-optimal yields. This study therefore assessed the adoption rate and determinants of adopting the complementary components of high yielding varieties of soybean (fertilizer, pesticides and herbicides) among its farmers in Oyo State, Nigeria. The study made use of primary data collected from 108 soybean farmers in a cross-sectional survey with the aid of a questionnaire. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and Multivariate Probit regression model. The results show that most of the soybean farmers are male, married and middle aged (average of 50 years), with a mean household size and years of formal education of 9 persons and 4 years respectively. However, while herbicides (93.5%) and pesticides (92.6%) are widely adopted, the adoption rate of fertilizer is low (38.9%) among the soybean farmers. The adoption of these technologies is significantly influenced by gender, education, age, household size, extension contact and credit access, albeit heterogeneously. Soybean farmers that had contact with extension service are more likely to adopt fertilizers, while education and credit access positively influence the adoption of herbicides and pesticides. Female farmers have a higher likelihood of adopting herbicides, but are less likely to adopt fertilizers relative to male farmers. Based on these findings, it is recommended that efforts to expand the rural financial market to improve farmers' access to credit should be made. Similarly, extension activities designed to inform, train and monitor farmers about fertilizer use in soybean production should be intensified in order to encourage the adoption of these complementary components for improved yield, nutrition and welfare of soybean farmers.
摘要:大豆是尼日利亚的一种非本土作物,但由于其营养、经济和农艺效益,已成为重要的粮食安全作物。认识到这些好处,尼日利亚通过“绿色革命”途径做出了许多努力来提高大豆产量和生产力。然而,尽管尼日利亚广泛采用高产大豆品种,但观测到的产量仍低于区域和全球平均水平,促使人们对观测到的实际产量与可获得的潜在产量之间的差异进行研究。文献中提出的原因之一是农民没有完全采用包括化肥、除草剂和杀虫剂在内的“绿色革命”一揽子技术,导致产量达不到最佳水平。因此,本研究评估了尼日利亚奥约州农民采用高产大豆品种互补成分(肥料、农药和除草剂)的采用率和决定因素。本研究采用问卷调查的方式,对108名大豆农户进行了横断面调查。采用描述性统计和多元Probit回归模型对数据进行分析。结果表明:大豆农户以男性、已婚、中年为主(平均50岁),平均家庭规模9人,平均受教育年限4年;然而,虽然除草剂(93.5%)和农药(92.6%)被广泛使用,但大豆农民对化肥的采用率较低(38.9%)。这些技术的采用受到性别、教育、年龄、家庭规模、扩展联系和信贷获取的重大影响,尽管影响程度不同。接触过推广服务的大豆农民更有可能采用化肥,而教育和信贷获取对除草剂和农药的采用有积极影响。与男性农民相比,女性农民使用除草剂的可能性较高,但使用化肥的可能性较低。基于这些发现,建议努力扩大农村金融市场,以改善农民获得信贷的机会。同样,应加强旨在向农民通报、培训和监测大豆生产中肥料使用情况的推广活动,以鼓励采用这些补充组成部分,提高大豆农民的产量、营养和福利。
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引用次数: 4
Exchange Rate, Trade Balance And Growth In Nigeria: An Asymmetric Cointegration Analysis 汇率、贸易平衡与尼日利亚经济增长:非对称协整分析
Pub Date : 2019-03-02 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2018.0074
Onakoya Aworinde Yinusa Adegbemi Babatunde, Aworinde Olalekan Bashir, Yinusa Olumuyiwa Ganiyu
ABSTRACT:Background and Statement of the Problem: It has been established that countries with high political and economic risks will draws investment funds away prospective investors from other countries, thus, such countries are at greater risks of loss of confidence in her currency stability and movement of capital to more stable economies. The aforementioned problems may discourage growth, macroeconomic stability, human capital development and institutional changes. Thus, there is the need to investigate the asymmetric cointegrating relationship, if any among the rate of exchange, trade balance and growth in Nigeria. Research Methodology and Data: With the primary assumption of the likelihood of an asymmetric adjustment process in the disequilibrium, the study deployed the M-TAR (Momentum - Threshold Autoregressive) and the TAR (Threshold Autoregressive) models. Annual data on imports, exports, domestic real income, world real income, domestic consumer price index and US consumer price index were used and this comes from the World Bank Development Indicators for the period 1960–2016 and all data are denominated in US-Dollars. Research Findings: The result shows that for the TAR model, cointegration exists among the three variables (economic growth, balance of trade and real exchange rate). An asymmetric adjustment disequilibrium process also exists. The point estimates suggest that the adjustment speed is lower when the balance of trade is worsens. The asymmetric ECM suggests that trade balance, real exchange rate and growth respond to disequilibrium and that the coefficient of domestic income and exchange rate are negative and that of foreign income is positive and statistically significant. Policy Implication: Government of Nigeria should concentrate her policy efforts towards import substitution strategy that will facilitate the production of currently imported goods locally, thereby creating sustainable employment and development of industrial manufacturing sector in Nigeria.
摘要:问题背景与说明:众所周知,政治经济风险高的国家会吸引潜在投资者的投资资金,因此,这些国家对其货币稳定性失去信心和资本流向更稳定的经济体的风险更大。上述问题可能阻碍增长、宏观经济稳定、人力资本发展和制度变革。因此,有必要调查尼日利亚汇率、贸易平衡和增长之间的非对称协整关系。研究方法和数据:在假定不均衡中可能存在不对称调整过程的基础上,本研究采用了动量阈值自回归模型(M-TAR)和阈值自回归模型(TAR)。年度数据包括进口、出口、国内实际收入、世界实际收入、国内消费者价格指数和美国消费者价格指数,这些数据来自世界银行1960-2016年期间的发展指标,所有数据均以美元计价。研究发现:结果表明,在TAR模型中,经济增长、贸易收支和实际汇率三个变量之间存在协整关系。不对称调整不平衡过程也存在。点估计表明,贸易差额越差,调整速度越慢。非对称ECM表明,贸易平衡、实际汇率和经济增长对非均衡有响应,国内收入和汇率的系数为负,国外收入的系数为正,且具有统计学意义。政策含义:尼日利亚政府应将其政策努力集中于进口替代战略,这将促进目前进口商品在当地的生产,从而在尼日利亚创造可持续的就业和工业制造部门的发展。
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引用次数: 4
Linkage Between Rural Non-Farm Income and Agricultural Productivity in Nigeria: A Tobit-Two-Stage Least Square Regression Approach 尼日利亚农村非农业收入与农业生产率之间的联系:tobit -两阶段最小二乘回归方法
Pub Date : 2017-06-14 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2017.0075
Yinka Abiodun Adetunji Adelekan, Abiodun Olusola Omotayo *
ABSTRACT:Multiple motive prompt agricultural households to diversify their income activities. Some of these activities were due to the "push" and "Pull" factors. The consequence(s) of these factors are the widespread households' income diversification. One of such is Non-farm activity which seems to offer a pathway out of poverty. This study therefore examines the effect of rural non-farm income on agricultural productivity in Nigeria. Data from Nigeria General Household Survey–Panel 2010 was used to generate information on households' access to non-farm income, agricultural production, investment and socio-economic characteristics. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistic (mean, frequency and percentage) and inferential statistics such as Tobit regression and Two Stage Least Square (2SLS). Tobit regression was used to analyze factors influencing non-farm income in the study area. While 2SLS model was further employed to analyze the effect of non-farm earnings on agricultural productivity of the respondents. In this study, the descriptive result shows that the mean age of households' head in Nigeria was 52 years, with most households being married and having mean households' size of about 12 persons. Also, the majority (88.3%) of the households were male headed. The mean non-farm income among the participating households was 251, 723 ($1,678.18) per annum. In addition, the mean value of surplus crop produced was 34, 274 ($228.49) while mean area cultivated was 1.99 Ha per respondent. Also, of the six regions in the country, South west was the most favourable to earnings in both cropping and non-farm activities. The households participating in non-farm activities were more productive agriculturally than their non-participating counterparts. Tobit regression result of the factors influencing non-farm income across rural areas in Nigeria indicates that estimates of equation of the model are jointly significant at 1% level of significance. The pseudo R square was 38% and from the thirteen included variables only four (Educational attainment, non-farm enterprise investment, sex of households' head and marital status) were statistically significant at different levels. Furthermore, the effect of nonfarm income on agricultural productivity is positive and significant at 5% in both the 2SLS and Ordinary Least Square Regression (OLS). Educational attainment of the household and capital investment significantly increase the ability of a typical rural household in Nigeria to earn non-farm income. The important linkage between farm and non-farm activities among rural households in Nigeria therefore suggests that attention needs to be given to non-farm sector for rural development as non-farm activity was not only a source of income for the participating household but a source of investment fund to boost agricultural productivity.
摘要:多种动机促使农户进行多元化的收入活动。其中一些活动是由于“推”和“拉”因素造成的。这些因素的结果是广泛的家庭收入多样化。其中之一就是非农业活动,它似乎提供了一条摆脱贫困的途径。因此,本研究考察了尼日利亚农村非农业收入对农业生产率的影响。来自2010年尼日利亚综合家庭调查小组的数据被用来生成关于家庭获得非农业收入、农业生产、投资和社会经济特征的信息。采用描述性统计(平均值、频率和百分比)和推理统计(如Tobit回归和两阶段最小二乘法(2SLS))对数据进行分析。采用Tobit回归分析研究区非农收入的影响因素。同时利用2SLS模型进一步分析了非农收入对被调查者农业生产率的影响。在本研究中,描述性结果表明,尼日利亚户主的平均年龄为52岁,大多数家庭已婚,平均家庭规模约为12人。此外,大多数(88.3%)家庭为男性户主。参与调查的家庭平均非农业收入为每年251,723美元(1,678.18美元)。此外,每个回答者的平均剩余作物产值为34,274公顷(228.49美元),而平均种植面积为1.99公顷。此外,在该国的六个地区中,西南地区在种植和非农业活动方面的收入最有利。参与非农业活动的家庭在农业上的生产力高于不参与的家庭。尼日利亚农村地区非农收入影响因素的Tobit回归结果表明,模型方程的估计在1%的显著性水平下联合显著。伪R方为38%,在13个纳入变量中,只有4个(受教育程度、非农业企业投资、户主性别和婚姻状况)在不同水平上具有统计学显著性。此外,在2SLS和普通最小二乘回归(OLS)中,非农收入对农业生产率的影响都是显著的,且在5%左右。家庭的教育程度和资本投资显著提高了尼日利亚典型农村家庭赚取非农业收入的能力。因此,尼日利亚农村家庭中农业和非农业活动之间的重要联系表明,必须注意非农业部门促进农村发展,因为非农业活动不仅是参与家庭的收入来源,而且是提高农业生产力的投资基金来源。
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引用次数: 14
Self-employment in Latin America 拉丁美洲的自营职业
Pub Date : 2017-06-14 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2017.0059
Luis Susan Rene Caceres, Susan Ann Caceres*
This paper investigates the determinants of self employment in a sample of six Latin American countries (El Salvador, Costa Rica, Honduras, Ecuador, Paraguay and Jamaica) by the estimation of OLS equations that express the change in the rate of self employment in terms of the rate of: unemployment, salaried employment, participation, economic growth, and remittances. The paper finds that female and male self employment have different responses to participation, unemployment, remittances and economic growth, suggesting the need for particular attention to gender. Particular importance resides in the result that male self employment increases as male unemployment increases, but it does not respond to female unemployment. As well, male self employment decreases when economic growth increases, a response that does not take place in the case of female self employment. Human development and per capita social expenditures represent "lifeguards" that prevent falling into self employment, particularly important to women, and remittances have a stronger "push" effect on women to work in self employment than men. The results indicate that self employment is a means of subsistence in response to unemployment, economic stagnation, and inequality of opportunity and, as such, it is associated with poverty. Given the evidence that poor people die at an earlier age than the non-poor, in both developed and developing countries, the paper finds associations between self employment, poverty and premature death in Latin America. The paper concludes that self employment is a manifestation of a historical framework of inequality of opportunities and low taxation, which gives rise to persistent poverty trap. Low taxation results from income inequality and of the "capture" of government by the high income strata. This is a situation where tax increases are blocked and, in consequence, the public sector does not have sufficient revenues to strengthen equality of opportunity. The results contradict the argument that low taxation is conducive to the creation of jobs; instead, the results demostrate that the lack of sufficient tax revenues have incidence upon the expansion of the informal economy, poverty, and premature death. Low taxation relative to social needs violates the rights to live and work as contained in the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.
本文通过估计OLS方程来研究六个拉丁美洲国家(萨尔瓦多、哥斯达黎加、洪都拉斯、厄瓜多尔、巴拉圭和牙买加)样本中自我雇佣的决定因素,这些方程表达了自我雇佣率在失业率、受薪就业率、参与率、经济增长和汇款方面的变化。研究发现,女性和男性自营职业对参与、失业、汇款和经济增长的反应不同,这表明需要特别关注性别问题。特别重要的是,男性自雇随着男性失业的增加而增加,但这对女性失业没有反应。同样,当经济增长增加时,男性自营职业也会减少,而女性自营职业则不会出现这种情况。人力发展和人均社会支出是防止陷入自营职业的“救生员”,对妇女尤其重要,而汇款对妇女从事自营职业的“推动”作用比男子更强。结果表明,自营职业是应对失业、经济停滞和机会不平等的一种生存手段,因此,它与贫困有关。鉴于有证据表明,在发达国家和发展中国家,穷人比非穷人早死,该论文发现,在拉丁美洲,自营职业、贫困和过早死亡之间存在关联。本文的结论是,个体经营是机会不平等和低税收的历史框架的表现,这导致了持续的贫困陷阱。低税收是收入不平等和高收入阶层“占领”政府的结果。在这种情况下,增税受到阻碍,因此,公共部门没有足够的收入来加强机会平等。研究结果反驳了低税收有助于创造就业机会的观点;相反,研究结果表明,缺乏足够的税收收入与非正规经济的扩张、贫困和过早死亡有关。相对于社会需要的低税收侵犯了《世界人权宣言》所载的生活和工作权利。
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引用次数: 14
Can Agricultural Input Subsidy Help The Poor More Than Food Aid Supplies In Malawi? 在马拉维,农业投入补贴比粮食援助更能帮助穷人吗?
Pub Date : 2017-05-11 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2017.0048
Alabi Adams Osasogie Reuben Adeolu, Adams Oshobugie Ojor, Osasogie Daniel Izevbuwa
The study compared the pro-poorness of food aid and fertilizer input subsidy in Malawi. As a land-locked country food imports in Malawi are very expensive. The fertiliser subsidy enables farmers to grow more of their own food rather than rely on imported handouts in an increasingly volatile global market. The study relied on food aid and fertilizer subsidy data from Malawi Integrated Household Survey (IHS) of 2005. The survey was drawn using a two-stage stratified sampling procedure based on population census. The population covered by the survey was all individuals living in selected households. The sample frame includes all three regions of Malawi: North, Centre and South. The survey stratified the country into rural and urban strata. The total sample was 11,280 households. We analysed the data using Distributive Analysis Stata Package (DASP) procedure as indicated in Araar and Duclos (2009). In doing this, we compared the Lorenz curve of per capita consumption expenditure with concentration curve of participation in food aid distribution or fertilizer subsidy in the household. The result from the analysis reveals that food aid is not allocated based on food need in Malawi. For example, the proportions of under-weighed in Centre and Northern regions were about 40% and 28% respectively, and each of the region was allocated about 32% of free food aid. It also shows that the distribution of food-for-work is more pro-poor than that of free food aid, while fertilizer subsidy distribution is more pro-poor than any of the food aid. However, none of the three programmes is well-targeted at poor households and the differences among the three programmes are trivial. This is beacause the share of the poorest household in the fertilizer subsidy, free food and food for work aid were only 19.8%, 19.7% and 20% respectively. This implies that more has to be done to improve targeting of fertilizer subsidy and food aid distribution to reach the intended beneficiaries which are poorest housholds in Malawi. The starting point is to ensure that the most food insecured region(s) and rural areas are well targeted in the distribution of food aid and fertilizer subsidy.
该研究比较了马拉维粮食援助和化肥投入补贴的扶贫效果。作为一个内陆国家,马拉维的食品进口非常昂贵。化肥补贴使农民能够在日益动荡的全球市场上种植更多自己的粮食,而不是依赖进口。这项研究依据的是2005年马拉维综合家庭调查(IHS)的粮食援助和化肥补贴数据。本次调查采用基于人口普查的两阶段分层抽样方法。调查所涵盖的人口是生活在选定家庭中的所有个人。样本框架包括马拉维所有三个区域:北部、中部和南部。这项调查把这个国家分为农村和城市两个阶层。样本总数为11280户。我们使用分布分析软件包(DASP)程序分析数据,如Araar和Duclos(2009)所示。为此,我们将人均消费支出的Lorenz曲线与家庭参与粮食援助分配或肥料补贴的集中度曲线进行了比较。分析的结果显示,粮食援助不是根据马拉维的粮食需求分配的。例如,中部和北部地区体重不足的比例分别约为40%和28%,每个地区分配了约32%的免费粮食援助。研究还表明,以工代赈的分配比免费粮食援助更有利于贫困人口,而肥料补贴的分配比任何一种粮食援助都更有利于贫困人口。然而,这三个方案都没有很好地针对贫困家庭,三个方案之间的差异微不足道。这是因为最贫困家庭在肥料补贴、免费食品和以工代赈中所占的比例分别只有19.8%、19.7%和20%。这意味着必须做更多的工作来改善肥料补贴和粮食援助分配的目标,以使马拉维最贫穷的家庭受益。出发点是确保粮食最缺乏保障的地区和农村地区在分配粮食援助和化肥补贴方面有很好的针对性。
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引用次数: 0
Do microloans induce performance of traditional-loans? Evidence from borrowers of Grameen and similar banks 小额贷款会导致传统贷款的表现吗?来自格莱珉银行和类似银行的借款人的证据
Pub Date : 2016-12-02 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2016.0159
Anichul Nazrul Haque Khan, Nazrul Islam Kazi
Timely access to bank loans is essential for undertaking economic activities in most developing countries, especially where bond and stock markets are weak and immature. Financial institutions’ ability to provide such loans depends on the scheduled recovery of previously issued loans. However, in most developing countries, including Bangladesh, the scheduled recovery of traditional loans—the key indicator of loan performance—is often dismal. By contrast, the recovery rate of microloans has been highly satisfactory. This apparent paradox warrants a study to determine whether microloans facilitate the recovery of traditional loans, particularly, whether microloans enhance the financial ability of borrowers and allow them to repay both types of loan more frequently than those who take only traditional loans. Using household level micro data on borrowers who took both microloans and traditional loans in Bangladesh, this analysis tested several hypotheses, including whether microloans increased borrowers’ “ability to repay traditional loans,” and whether recovery rates were higher in regions with a higher percentage of people with both types of loan, compared with regions where traditional loans predominate. Regression analysis of loan recovery was conducted using a set of control variables—such as collaterals, the amount of traditional loans, and the interest rate on traditional loans—to assess the effect of microloans taken by a household on the repayment of households’ traditional loans. The study derived additional control variables and examined the robustness of the estimators. Findings reveal that microloans improved the performance of traditional loans. In fact, households with a larger number, as well as amount, of microloans were more capable of repaying traditional loans. Furthermore, microloans had a positive externality effect on other borrowers in a region—the higher the number of microloans taken by a region’s households along with traditional loans, the higher the recovery rate of traditional loans. Close monitoring of loans, in particular, was found to play a greater role in the success of a loan than collateralization. Providing guidelines, educating borrowers, and adequate monitoring are the key policy implications of this study. In sum, more emphasis should be given to monitoring to ensure the proper utilization of traditional loans, rather than merely relying on collateral to improve the performance of these loans.
在大多数发展中国家,特别是在债券和股票市场薄弱和不成熟的国家,及时获得银行贷款对开展经济活动至关重要。金融机构提供此类贷款的能力取决于以前发放的贷款能否如期收回。然而,在包括孟加拉国在内的大多数发展中国家,传统贷款的预定回收——贷款绩效的关键指标——往往令人沮丧。相比之下,小额贷款的回收率非常令人满意。这一明显的悖论值得进行研究,以确定小额贷款是否促进了传统贷款的恢复,特别是小额贷款是否提高了借款人的财务能力,并使他们比那些只接受传统贷款的人更频繁地偿还两种贷款。利用孟加拉国同时获得小额贷款和传统贷款的借款人的家庭微观数据,该分析测试了几个假设,包括小额贷款是否提高了借款人的“偿还传统贷款的能力”,以及与传统贷款占主导地位的地区相比,两种贷款比例较高的地区的回收率是否更高。利用抵押物、传统贷款金额、传统贷款利率等控制变量对贷款回收量进行回归分析,评估家庭小额贷款对家庭传统贷款还款的影响。该研究导出了额外的控制变量,并检验了估计器的鲁棒性。研究结果表明,小额贷款改善了传统贷款的绩效。事实上,小额贷款数量和金额较大的家庭更有能力偿还传统贷款。此外,小额贷款对该地区的其他借款人具有正的外部性效应——一个地区的家庭在传统贷款的同时小额贷款的数量越多,传统贷款的回收率就越高。研究发现,对贷款的密切监控在贷款成功与否方面比抵押发挥更大的作用。提供指导方针、教育借款人和适当的监测是本研究的关键政策含义。总之,应该更加重视监测,以确保传统贷款的适当利用,而不是仅仅依靠抵押品来改善这些贷款的绩效。
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引用次数: 2
Sustainable financial reporting practice in Australian companies - does quality matter? 澳大利亚公司的可持续财务报告实践——质量重要吗?
Pub Date : 2016-07-24 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2016.0138
Omar Al Farooque
This study explores whether accounting and disclosure quality have been achieved in the current reporting practice (i.e. post-IFRS period) in Australian non-financial listed companies and whether stock market is sufficiently responsive (i.e. value relevance) to quality accounting numbers. Given the role of IFRS in enhancing reporting quality, it explores whether post-2005 reporting practice sufficiently effective (i.e. sustainable) in mitigating earnings management concerns of the investors and stakeholders’ at large, as well as explaining predictive value and return under the current regulatory environment. Applying GLS regression in a full sample of 2000-2014 and sub-samples of pre-IFRS and post-IFRS adoption periods, we document that accounting quality has been improved marginally in explaining change in profitability and cash flow in post-IFRS period as compared to pre-IFRS period. However, there is no significant progress in explaining change in receivables and sales between the pre and post-IFRS periods. Despite expectation of high value relevance of accounting information in post-IFRS period, our results suggest the opposite, i.e. value relevance is either disappeared or counter active in post-IFRS period as compared to pre-IFRS period. However, significant accounting quality improvement is observed in restraining earnings management practices in post-IFRS period. Overall, the findings highlight a mix representation of accounting/disclosure quality in post-IFRS period, which suggest that accounting quality still remains as a matter of concern in delivering quality financial reporting. Our findings raise questions, in an asymmetric information environment, about long-term decision usefulness of accounting numbers and sustainable financial reporting practice in Australia. Policy makers, regulators, accounting standard setters, investors and other stakeholders should understand that for Australian companies the accounting quality journey has not fully achieved yet as per expectation even after adopting IFRS and more to be done in this direction. While some improvements are commendable, further road-map is warranted for sustainable financial reporting practices in Australian companies.
本研究探讨了澳大利亚非金融上市公司在当前的报告实践(即后国际财务报告准则时期)中是否达到了会计和披露质量,以及股票市场是否对高质量的会计数字有足够的反应(即价值相关性)。鉴于国际财务报告准则在提高报告质量方面的作用,它探讨了2005年后的报告实践是否足够有效(即可持续),以减轻投资者和利益相关者对盈余管理的担忧,以及解释当前监管环境下的预测价值和回报。在2000-2014年的完整样本以及采用国际财务报告准则前和采用国际财务报告准则后的子样本中应用GLS回归,我们发现,与采用国际财务报告准则前相比,会计质量在解释国际财务报告准则后期间的盈利能力和现金流量变化方面略有改善。但是,在解释国际财务报告准则之前和之后期间的应收账款和销售额的变化方面没有取得重大进展。尽管预期会计信息在后国际财务报告准则期间具有高价值相关性,但我们的结果表明情况恰恰相反,即与前国际财务报告准则期间相比,在后国际财务报告准则期间的价值相关性要么消失,要么反活跃。然而,在国际财务报告准则之后的时期,会计质量的显著改善被观察到约束盈余管理实践。总体而言,调查结果强调了后国际财务报告准则时期会计/披露质量的混合表现,这表明会计质量仍然是提供高质量财务报告的关注事项。在信息不对称的环境下,我们的研究结果提出了关于澳大利亚会计数字和可持续财务报告实践的长期决策有用性的问题。政策制定者、监管机构、会计准则制定者、投资者和其他利益相关者应该明白,即使在采用国际财务报告准则后,澳大利亚公司的会计质量之路仍未完全达到预期,而且在这方面还有更多工作要做。虽然一些改进是值得赞扬的,但澳大利亚公司的可持续财务报告实践需要进一步的路线图。
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引用次数: 2
Factors essential for longevity among Dow Jones index organisations: QCA analysis 道琼斯指数组织长寿的关键因素:QCA分析
Pub Date : 2015-07-22 DOI: 10.1353/jda.2015.0097
Malik Muhammad Sheheryar Khan
Organisational longevity paves the way towards phenomenal changes and creates linkages with strategy depending on the organisation. The primary aim of this research study is to identify the vital factors of organisational longevity and to determine the priorities attributed to those factors by companies in their formal documentation. The research has developed a model based on previous established models like the Mckinsey 7S Model, Weisbord’s Six Box Model, the Nadler-Tushman Congruence Model, Jay Galbraith’s Star Model, Burke-Litwin Model of Organisational Performance and Change and Four Theoretical Frameworks of Bolman and Deal (on Leadership). Based on this model, the following factors have been identified; resources, organisational culture, organisational systems, innovative capability and strategy. Factors responsible for longevity have been tested among two groups of companies by first applying content analysis, followed by a Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA). The longevity group consists of companies which were in the Dow Jones Index on Jun 1 1986 and are still present in the index. The fallen out group consists of companies which were in the Dow Jones Index on Jun 1 1986 but they subsequently fell out of the Dow Jones Index. QCA analysis uses truth tables to represent and analyse causal complexities and assess the differences in the existing data. The QCA analysis shows that the main drivers of longevity are “resources” and “innovation”. This means that companies tend to sustain for long periods if its organisational resources are effectively managed and at the same time, an environment of innovative capabilities is created within the organisation. Further, the underlying conditions which support these main drivers are a combination of “strategy” and “culture”. This means that one of the two factors, strategy and culture, may be present as a support for the main drivers. When there is prevalence of cultural environment, emphasis on strategy is not necessary and vice versa. Lastly, the absence of longevity in an organisation is explained when either the resources are not effectively managed, or “Innovative capabilities” are not duly enhanced as per the need.
组织的长寿为显著的变化铺平了道路,并与组织的战略建立了联系。本研究的主要目的是确定组织寿命的重要因素,并确定公司在其正式文件中归因于这些因素的优先级。本研究在麦肯锡7S模型、Weisbord六盒模型、Nadler-Tushman一致性模型、Jay Galbraith的Star模型、Burke-Litwin组织绩效与变革模型以及Bolman和Deal(关于领导力)的四个理论框架的基础上开发了一个模型。基于该模型,确定了以下因素;资源、组织文化、组织体系、创新能力和战略。影响长寿的因素在两组公司中进行了测试,首先采用内容分析,然后采用定性比较分析(QCA)。长寿组是指1986年6月1日在道琼斯指数成份股,目前仍在该指数成份股的公司。退出组包括1986年6月1日在道琼斯指数中,但随后从道琼斯指数中退出的公司。QCA分析使用真值表来表示和分析因果复杂性,并评估现有数据中的差异。QCA分析表明,企业寿命的主要驱动因素是“资源”和“创新”。这意味着,如果组织资源得到有效管理,同时在组织内部创造一个创新能力的环境,公司往往会持续很长一段时间。此外,支持这些主要驱动因素的基本条件是“战略”和“文化”的结合。这意味着两个因素中的一个,战略和文化,可能作为主要驱动因素的支持而存在。当文化环境盛行时,不需要强调策略,反之亦然。最后,当资源没有得到有效管理,或者“创新能力”没有根据需要适当增强时,就可以解释组织中缺乏长寿的原因。
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引用次数: 5
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Journal Of Developing Areas
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