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Air Quality Forecasting Using Big Data and Machine Learning Algorithms 利用大数据和机器学习算法进行空气质量预测
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-12-04 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00347-z
Youn-Seo Koo, Yunsoo Choi, Chang‐Hoi Ho
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引用次数: 0
Parameterizations of Snow Cover, Snow Albedo and Snow Density in Land Surface Models: A Comparative Review 地表模式中积雪覆盖、雪反照率和雪密度的参数化:比较综述
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00344-2
Won Young Lee, Hyeon-Ju Gim, Seon Ki Park

Snow plays a vital role in the interaction between land and atmosphere in the state-of-the-art land surface models (LSMs) and the real world. While snow plays a crucial role as a boundary condition in meteorological applications and serves as a vital water resource in certain regions, the acquisition of its observational data poses significant challenges. An effective alternative lies in utilizing simulation data generated by Land Surface Models (LSMs), which accurately calculate the snow-related physical processes. The LSMs show significant differences in the complexities of the snow parameterizations in terms of variables and processes considered. In this regard, the synthetic intercomparisons of the snow physics in the LSMs can give insight for further improvement of each LSM. This study revealed and discussed the differences in the parameterizations among LSMs related to snow cover fraction, albedo, and snow density. We selected the most popular and well-documented LSMs embedded in the earth system models or operational forecasting systems. We examined single-layer schemes, including the Unified Noah Land Surface Model (Noah LSM), the Hydrology Tiled ECMWF Scheme of Surface Exchanges over Land (HTESSEL), the Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS), the Canadian Land Surface Scheme (CLASS), the University of Torino land surface Process Interaction model in Atmosphere (UTOPIA), and multilayer schemes of intermediate complexity including the Community Noah Land Surface Model with Multi-Parameterization Options (Noah-MP), the Community Land Model version 5 (CLM5), the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES), and the Interaction Soil-Biosphere-Atmosphere (ISBA). Through the comparison analysis, we emphasized that inclusion of geomorphic and vegetation-related variables such as elevation, slope, time-varying roughness length, and vegetation indexes as well as optimized parameters for specific regions, in the snow-related physical processes, are crucial for further improvement of the LSMs.

在最先进的地表模式(LSMs)和现实世界中,雪在陆地和大气之间的相互作用中起着至关重要的作用。虽然雪在气象应用中作为边界条件发挥着至关重要的作用,并在某些地区作为重要的水资源,但其观测数据的获取面临着重大挑战。一个有效的替代方案是利用陆地表面模式(LSMs)产生的模拟数据,它可以准确地计算与雪相关的物理过程。在考虑的变量和过程方面,lsm在雪参数化的复杂性方面表现出显著差异。在这方面,对LSM中积雪物理特性的综合比较可以为每个LSM的进一步改进提供参考。本研究揭示并讨论了与积雪覆盖度、反照率和雪密度相关的lsm参数化的差异。我们选择了在地球系统模型或业务预报系统中嵌入的最受欢迎和记录良好的lsm。我们研究了单层方案,包括统一诺亚陆面模型(Noah LSM)、陆地表面交换水文平铺ECMWF方案(HTESSEL)、生物圈-大气转移方案(BATS)、加拿大陆面方案(CLASS)、托里诺大学陆面过程大气相互作用模型(UTOPIA),以及中等复杂程度的多层方案,包括多参数化选项社区诺亚陆面模型(Noah- mp)。社区土地模型第5版(CLM5)、联合英国土地环境模拟器(JULES)和土壤-生物圈-大气相互作用(ISBA)。通过对比分析,我们强调在雪相关物理过程中纳入高程、坡度、时变粗糙度长度、植被指数等地貌和植被相关变量,并针对特定区域进行参数优化,是进一步完善LSMs的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of CMIP6 GCMs for Simulating Atmospheric Rivers: Relating The Model Skill For Key AR Variables to the Skill for Winds and Water Vapor CMIP6 GCMs对大气河流模拟的评价:关键AR变量模式技能与风和水汽技能的关系
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00342-4
Jinwon Kim, Tae-Jun Kim, Jin-Uk Kim, Chu-Yong Chung, Young-Hwa Byun

Fifteen GCMs in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 are evaluated for the skill in simulating the atmospheric river (AR) frequency (FAR) and integrated vapor transport (IVT) during 1995–2014. All GCMs simulate well the annual and seasonal climatology of FAR and IVT for both the global and East Asia domains. Large biases in FAR and IVT occur in the same regions characterized by high AR activities including the midlatitude Pacific and Atlantic oceans, the Southern Ocean, and the tropical region from the eastern Indian Ocean to the western Pacific. The sign and magnitude of large model errors vary across the GCMs to result in small model-mean biases. The seasonal variation of the skill of individual GCMs is smaller than the variation of the skill across the GCMs, implying that the model skill varies more widely by the difference in model formulations than the response of individual GCMs to seasonal forcing variations. A novel method to relate the skill for simulating FAR and IVT to that for winds and water vapor is introduced. The method shows that the vertical integration of the covariance of wind and water vapor in the definition of IVT can be well approximated by the multiplication of two separate functions obtained by vertically integrating either winds or water vapor, especially in the regions of strong AR activities. Spearman’s rank correlation in conjunction with this method suggests that the model skill for FAR and IVT is significantly related only to that for winds.

对耦合模式比对项目第6阶段15个gcm在1995-2014年模拟大气河(AR)频率(FAR)和综合水汽输送(IVT)的能力进行了评价。所有gcm都很好地模拟了FAR和IVT在全球和东亚地区的年和季节气候学。FAR和IVT的较大偏差发生在具有高AR活动特征的相同区域,包括中纬度太平洋和大西洋、南大洋以及从东印度洋到西太平洋的热带地区。大模型误差的符号和大小在不同的gcm中变化,导致较小的模型均值偏差。单个gcm技能的季节变化小于整个gcm技能的变化,这意味着模式技能因模式配方的差异而变化的范围比单个gcm对季节强迫变化的响应更大。本文介绍了一种将模拟风和水汽的技术与模拟远场和IVT技术联系起来的新方法。该方法表明,在IVT定义中,风和水汽的协方差的垂直积分可以很好地近似为由风或水汽垂直积分得到的两个独立函数的乘法,特别是在强AR活动区域。Spearman的等级相关性与该方法结合表明,FAR和IVT的模型技能仅与风的模型技能显著相关。
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引用次数: 0
Insights of Boundary Layer Turbulence Over the Complex Terrain of Central Himalaya from GVAX Field Campaign GVAX野外运动对喜马拉雅中部复杂地形边界层湍流的洞察
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00341-5
Akanksha Rajput, Narendra Singh, Jaydeep Singh, Shantanu Rastogi

Limited observations hinder understanding of turbulent characteristics in mountainous terrain resulting from heating or cooling of slopes, wind, vertical motions, and heat or moisture advection, which disperse aerosols and other pollutants over the region. In this study, the 1290 MHz radar wind profiler data are utilized to compute the boundary layer height (BLH), the refractive index structure constant (Cn2), and the energy dissipation rate (ɛ) over the central Himalayan site for the period of November 2011 to March 2012, from the intense Ganges Valley Aerosol Experiment (GVAX) field measurements. The radar wind profiler (RWP) based estimation of BLH and ɛ is validated against the radiosonde, representing the effectiveness of the datasets for further investigation. The strong seasonal variation of log Cn2 and log ɛ, with average values of ≈ -12 m−2/3 and -2 m2 s−3, respectively, is associated with the mountain-induced local circulations and stability in the atmospheric boundary layer. The weak stratification during weak flow is found to be responsible for deep mixing, particularly in the nocturnal boundary layer in spring. Furthermore, the level of cloud cover significantly impacts the strength of turbulence, with the highest cloud cover resulting in a substantial increase in log Cn2 (approximately -11 m−2/3) due to intense updraft and downdraft motions compared to clear skies. Additionally, the distribution of aerosol loading across the site, coupled with the behavior of BLH, atmospheric stability, and orographic-induced circulations, implies distinctive seasonal mechanisms for transporting aerosols toward the mountains. This study offers valuable insights into the diurnal and seasonal patterns of turbulent mixing and the mechanisms behind the transport of pollutants through boundary layer processes over the region.

有限的观测妨碍了对山区地形湍流特征的理解,这些湍流特征是由斜坡的加热或冷却、风、垂直运动以及热或湿平流造成的,这些平流将气溶胶和其他污染物分散到该地区。本文利用1290 MHz雷达风廓线资料,计算了2011年11月至2012年3月恒河流域气溶胶实验(GVAX)强强度野外观测的喜马拉雅中部站点的边界层高度(BLH)、折射率结构常数(Cn2)和能量耗散率(η)。基于雷达风廓线(RWP)估算的BLH和i与无线电探空仪进行了验证,表明数据集的有效性,为进一步的研究提供了依据。log Cn2和log _2的季节变化,平均值分别为≈-12 m−2/3和-2 m2 s−3,与高山引起的局地环流和大气边界层的稳定性有关。发现弱气流中的弱分层是深层混合的主要原因,特别是在春季夜间边界层。此外,云层覆盖水平显著影响湍流强度,与晴朗天空相比,由于强烈的上升气流和下降气流运动,最高云层覆盖导致log Cn2(约-11 m−2/3)大幅增加。此外,整个站点的气溶胶负荷分布,加上BLH、大气稳定性和地形诱导环流的行为,表明气溶胶向山区输送的独特季节机制。这项研究为湍流混合的日和季节模式以及污染物通过该地区边界层过程输送的机制提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Designing an Atmospheric Monitoring Network to Verify National CO2 Emissions 设计大气监测网络以核实国家二氧化碳排放量
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-11-15 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00343-3
Sojung Sim, Sujong Jeong, Chaerin Park, Jaewon Shin, Insun Kim, Sujin Ban, Cheol-Soo Lim

To achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, it is vital to prioritize climate action and monitor the progress of policies with accurate emission estimates. As CO2 emission estimates can be independently verified using atmospheric CO2 measurements, the need for optimal CO2 monitoring networks has increased. This study proposed an experimental method for designing national-scale atmospheric CO2 monitoring networks. We used gridded data for fossil fuel CO2 emissions, facilitating the selection of emission grids as potential monitoring sites. First, we determined the appropriate number of CO2 monitoring sites, which increased in proportion to the magnitude and variability of CO2 emissions within the region. Subsequently, the emission grids corresponding to the region were arranged in descending order of emissions. Grids were then selected at regular intervals as potential monitoring sites, aligning with the predetermined number of sites. This selection process ensured that monitoring sites were evenly distributed, ranging from areas with high emissions to those with lower emissions. Lastly, as a verification step to assess the suitability of this potential network, a transport model simulating meteorological conditions was employed to evaluate its coverage to detect the influence of CO2 emissions. This method was applied to South Korea, and 96 candidate monitoring sites were created. The optimal CO2 monitoring network distributed evenly across South Korea could evaluate variations in CO2 emissions. The simple monitoring network design method proposed in this study can accelerate the installation of a national CO2 monitoring network, ultimately enabling the verification of CO2 emissions and supporting climate policies.

为了到2050年实现净零碳排放,必须优先考虑气候行动,并根据准确的排放估算监测政策进展。由于CO2排放估算可以使用大气CO2测量独立验证,因此对最佳CO2监测网络的需求增加了。本研究提出了一种设计国家级大气CO2监测网络的实验方法。我们对化石燃料二氧化碳排放使用网格数据,方便选择排放网格作为潜在的监测点。首先,我们确定了二氧化碳监测点的适当数量,这些监测点的数量与区域内二氧化碳排放的大小和变异性成比例增加。随后,按排放降序排列区域对应的排放网格。然后定期选择网格作为潜在的监测站点,与预定的站点数量对齐。这一选择过程确保了监测点的均匀分布,从高排放地区到低排放地区。最后,作为评估该潜在网络适用性的验证步骤,采用模拟气象条件的运输模型来评估其覆盖范围,以检测CO2排放的影响。将该方法应用于韩国,建立了96个候选监测点。在韩国均匀分布的最佳二氧化碳监测网络可以评估二氧化碳排放的变化。本研究提出的简单的监测网络设计方法可以加速国家二氧化碳监测网络的安装,最终实现二氧化碳排放的验证和气候政策的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Contribution Assessment of Northern Hemispheric Atmospheric Circulations to Korean Mid-Summer Surface Warming by the Atmospheric Nudging Experiment 大气推移实验对北半球大气环流对韩国仲夏地表变暖的贡献评估
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-20 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00339-z
Min-Hee Lee, El Noh, Joo-Hong Kim, Joowan Kim, Sang-Yoon Jun

Anomalous surface warming in Korea has been explained by the high-pressure anomaly accompanied by the vertical sinking motion and weakening of westerlies at the exit of the East Asian Jet. The large-scale circulations linked to this high pressure over East Asia are characterized by the low pressure over the Arctic (AC) and the high pressure over Western Europe (WE), East Asia, and the North Pacific (NP). To assess the contribution of these circulation anomalies to the hot summer in Korea, the four nudging experiments (AC, NP, AC + NP, and WE) are applied to the simulations with 50 different initial conditions in July. As a result, the most similar patterns on local and hemispheric scales are found in the AC + NP nudging experiment. However, the near-surface response in the AC + NP is still weak, and its center shifts to the north compared to the observed, which is induced by the weaker diabatic contribution for the downward motion in the nudging experiment. Using the quasi-geostrophic omega equation, we find that the simulated radiative feedback process is not sufficient to build up the large-scale subsidence with the short nudging period. Despite this limitation, AC + NP well simulates the coherent sinking motion and high-pressure system near Korea by the vorticity advection associated with the upper-level westerlies. It implies that the contribution of the North Pacific circulation (a downstream region) should also be considered to reasonably simulate the East Asia surface warming along with those in the upstream regions.

韩国地表异常变暖的原因是东亚喷流出口处西风的垂直下沉运动和减弱所伴随的高压异常。与东亚上空的高压相关联的大尺度环流的特征是北极上空的低压(AC)和西欧、东亚和北太平洋上空的高压(NP)。为了评估这些环流异常对韩国炎热夏季的影响,在 7 月模拟 50 种不同初始条件时,采用了四种推移实验(AC、NP、AC + NP 和 WE)。结果发现,AC + NP 推移实验在局地和半球尺度上的模式最为相似。然而,AC + NP 的近地面响应仍然较弱,与观测结果相比,其中心向北偏移,这是由于挤压实验中的向下运动的二重贡献较弱所引起的。利用准地转欧米茄方程,我们发现模拟的辐射反馈过程不足以在短推移周期内形成大尺度下沉。尽管存在这种局限性,AC + NP 还是很好地模拟了韩国附近由高层西风涡度平流引起的连贯下沉运动和高压系统。这意味着还应该考虑北太平洋环流(下游地区)的贡献,以便与上游地区一起合理模拟东亚地表变暖。
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引用次数: 0
New Definition Method for Urban and Rural Regions Considering Surrounding Environments of Observation Stations Over South Korea 考虑韩国上空观测站周边环境的城乡区域新定义方法
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00340-6
Tae-Won Park, Chan-Gi Lee, Doo-Sun R. Park, Jin Gi Hong, Suyeon Oh

This study proposes a new approach to defining and analyzing the urbanization effects of temperature over South Korea. While the conventional method of distinguishing between urban and rural stations relies on population criteria, this study has developed an approach to differentiate between urban and rural stations by considering the proportion of natural environments and artificial objects surrounding each station. The long-term temperature changes exhibit a statistically more significant relationship with the proportion of artificial objects compared to the population size, and the new method provides a clearer distinction between urban and rural stations. In addition, based on the categorized stations, an urbanization contribution index (UCI) is calculated to quantitatively compare temperature changes between urban and rural stations. As a result, it is confirmed that the method based on the ratio of artificial features better captures the urbanization effect of temperature compared to the population-based method. In particular, the urbanization effect is found to be more pronounced during nighttime, with the largest difference between urban and rural stations observed in the daily minimum temperature. The new method effectively captures the thermal attributes of urban and rural stations, with a stronger emphasis on nocturnal differentiations. This study emphasizes the importance of considering the surrounding environments rather than population alone to accurately understand the urbanization effects.

本研究提出了一种界定和分析韩国气温城市化效应的新方法。区分城市和农村站点的传统方法依赖于人口标准,而本研究则通过考虑各站点周围自然环境和人工物体的比例,开发了一种区分城市和农村站点的方法。与人口数量相比,长期气温变化与人工物体比例的关系在统计学上更为显著,新方法能更清晰地区分城市和农村站点。此外,还根据分类站点计算了城市化贡献指数(UCI),以定量比较城市和农村站点的气温变化。结果证实,与基于人口的方法相比,基于人工特征比的方法能更好地捕捉气温的城市化效应。特别是,城市化效应在夜间更为明显,城市和农村站点之间最大的差异出现在日最低气温上。新方法有效地捕捉了城市和农村站点的热属性,并更加强调夜间的差异。这项研究强调,要准确理解城市化效应,必须考虑周边环境而非人口。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying Sources of Atmospheric Pollutants in Densely Populated Urban Areas from a Particle Toxicity Perspective: a Study Using PMF Model and Vehicle Flux Analysis 从粒子毒性角度识别人口稠密城市地区的大气污染物来源:利用 PMF 模型和车辆通量分析进行的研究
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-13 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00338-0
Myoungki Song, Seoyeong Choe, Min Young Song, Sung-Kyun Shin, Sea-Ho Oh, Hajeong Jeon, Geun-Hye Yu, Taehyoung Lee, Min-Suk Bae

The aim of this study was to identify the sources of atmospheric pollutants in densely populated urban areas from a particle toxicity perspective. To this end, the Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) model and vehicle flux analysis were used to identify the sources of atmospheric pollutants in an urban area based on the measured compounds and wind speed at the receptor site. Moreover, the toxicity of each emission source was compared with the dithiothreitol-oxidation potential normalized to 9,10-Phenanthrenequinone (QDTT-OP) analysis using the PMF source apportionment results. The study found that the dominant sources of atmospheric pollutants in the urban area examined were secondary product (43.7%), resuspended dust (25.4%), and vehicle emissions (14.4%). The vehicle flux analysis demonstrated that reducing the number of vehicles could directly reduce urban atmospheric pollutants. By comparing the time series of PMF source profiles with QDTT-OP, the QDTT-OP analysis showed an r2 value of 0.9, thus indicating a strong correlation with biomass burning as the most harmful source of PM2.5 based on emission sources. Overall, this study is expected to provide valuable guidance for managing atmospheric pollutants in densely populated urban areas, and the findings could serve as a helpful resource for improving urban air quality in the future.

本研究旨在从颗粒物毒性的角度确定人口稠密城市地区的大气污染物来源。为此,研究人员利用正矩阵因式分解(PMF)模型和车辆通量分析,根据受体点的测量化合物和风速,确定了城市地区的大气污染物来源。此外,还利用 PMF 源分配结果,将各排放源的毒性与归一化为 9,10-菲醌的二硫苏糖醇氧化潜能值(QDTT-OP)分析进行了比较。研究发现,在所考察的城市地区,大气污染物的主要来源是二次产品(43.7%)、再悬浮粉尘(25.4%)和车辆排放(14.4%)。车辆通量分析表明,减少车辆数量可以直接减少城市大气污染物。通过将 PMF 源剖面时间序列与 QDTT-OP 进行比较,QDTT-OP 分析显示 r2 值为 0.9,从而表明根据排放源,生物质燃烧与 PM2.5 的最大有害源有很强的相关性。总之,这项研究有望为管理人口稠密城市地区的大气污染物提供有价值的指导,研究结果可作为未来改善城市空气质量的有用资源。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment and Projection of Compound Wind and Precipitation Extremes in EC-Earth3 of CMIP6 Simulations CMIP6 模拟的 EC-Earth3 中复合风和极端降水的评估与预测
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-12 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00337-1
Xiaoyu Zhu, Jianping Tang, Yi Yang

Compound wind and precipitation extremes (CWPEs) are severe weather events that can have significant impacts on human health, ecological systems, and socioeconomic factors. Compared to isolated extreme events, CWPEs can result in higher economic losses and casualties. This study evaluates the ability of EC-Earth3, the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), to capture CWPEs by using ERA5 reanalysis as a reference dataset for model evaluation. Additionally, this study examines changes in CWPEs in the future, considering different Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, including SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. Our analysis indicates that EC-Earth3 accurately captures the spatial and temporal characteristics of global CWPEs during the historical period of 1979-2014. More CWPEs occur in the northern and southern hemispheres during their respective cold seasons, especially for the oceans. The frequency of CWPEs has increased over the historical period, with a greater increasing trend in the ocean than on land. The seasonal cycle of CWPEs differs significantly in land and ocean. Regarding future projections, the occurrence of CWPEs will change significantly with the increase of emissions, particularly in the late 21st century and over high latitudes. CWPEs will increase significantly at mid- and high-latitude regions and mainly decrease over low latitudes. The feature of more CWPEs occurring during the respective cold seasons will be more pronounced in the future.

风和降水复合极端事件(CWPEs)是一种恶劣天气事件,可对人类健康、生态系统和社会经济因素产生重大影响。与孤立的极端事件相比,复合极端风力和降水事件可造成更高的经济损失和人员伤亡。本研究使用ERA5再分析作为模型评估的参考数据集,评估了耦合模式相互比较项目(CMIP6)第六阶段EC-Earth3捕捉CWPE的能力。此外,本研究还考虑了不同的共享社会经济路径(SSP)情景,包括 SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5 和 SSP5-8.5,研究了未来 CWPE 的变化。我们的分析表明,EC-Earth3 准确捕捉到了 1979-2014 年历史时期全球 CWPE 的时空特征。更多的 CWPE 发生在南北半球各自的寒冷季节,尤其是海洋。在这一历史时期,CWPE 的发生频率有所上升,海洋的上升趋势大于陆地。陆地和海洋的 CWPE 季节周期差异很大。在未来预测方面,CWPE 的发生率将随着排放量的增加而发生显著变化,尤其是在 21 世纪晚期和高纬度地区。在中纬度和高纬度地区,CWPE 将显著增加,而在低纬度地区则主要减少。未来,在相应的寒冷季节出现更多 CWPE 的特征将更加明显。
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引用次数: 0
Variability of the South Java Current from 1993 to 2021, and its relationship to ENSO and IOD events 1993 年至 2021 年南爪哇洋流的变化及其与厄尔尼诺/南方涛动和国际大洋环流事件的关系
IF 2.2 4区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1007/s13143-023-00336-2
Yusuf Jati Wijaya, Ulung Jantama Wisha, Hasti Amrih Rejeki, Dwi Haryo Ismunarti

The variability of the South Java Current (SJC) was observed by using reanalysis data spanning the years 1993 to 2021. This was done in order to determine whether or not the SJC was more influenced by the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), or a combination of the two. Employing empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analyses, we were able to determine that the time series of the principal component in the first mode (PC1) had an association with one of these occurrences. During the northwest monsoon in December, January, and February (DJF), it would appear that the IOD has a greater impact on the SJC than ENSO does, with a correlation of more than 0.8. During the first transition, which occurs in March, April, and May (MAM), the time series PC1 demonstrates that the SJC has a greater association with the ENSO (coefficient correlation more than 0.7). The study demonstrates that the PC1 has a negative association with both the IOD and the ENSO during the months of JJA, with a coefficient value less than 0.4. The JJA's SJC, however, is positively influenced by the coastal Kelvin wave in the vicinity of western Sumatra and southern Java. Moreover, the magnitude of the SJC, which was observed in DJF months, is affected by the Rossby wave that is moving in a westward direction south of 9˚S.

利用横跨 1993 年至 2021 年的再分析数据观测了南爪哇洋流(SJC)的变化。这样做是为了确定南爪哇洋流是否更多地受到印度洋偶极子(IOD)、厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)或二者的共同影响。通过经验正交函数(EOF)分析,我们能够确定第一模式主成分(PC1)的时间序列与其中一种情况有关。在 12 月、1 月和 2 月的西北季风期间(DJF),IOD 似乎比 ENSO 对 SJC 的影响更大,相关性超过 0.8。在 3 月、4 月和 5 月(MAM)发生的第一次过渡期间,时间序列 PC1 表明,澳门博彩的网站与厄尔尼诺/南方涛动的相关性更大(相关系数大于 0.7)。研究表明,在 JJA 月期间,PC1 与 IOD 和厄尔尼诺/南方涛动均呈负相关,相关系数小于 0.4。然而,JJA 的 SJC 受苏门答腊西部和爪哇南部沿海开尔文波的正向影响。此外,在 DJF 月份观测到的 SJC 的大小受到南纬 9 度以南向西移动的罗斯比波的影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
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