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Auctions with Privately Known Capacities: Understanding Competition among Renewables 私有容量拍卖:了解可再生能源之间的竞争
Pub Date : 2022-11-21 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac080
Natalia Fabra, Gerard Llobet
We study a multi-unit auction model in which bidders are privately informed about the maximum number of units they are willing to trade (which we refer to as ‘capacity’). No matter how big or small, private information on capacities changes the nature of the equilibrium as compared to when private information is on costs (or valuations). Also, the uniform-price and discriminatory auctions are not revenue equivalent, in contrast to when costs are independently drawn. In particular, with independently drawn capacities (and possibly costs), the discriminatory format reduces payments to firms relative to the uniform-price format. Our analysis is motivated by the performance of future electricity markets in which renewable energies will be predominant, but the setup also applies to a variety of contexts (from central bank liquidity auctions to emissions trading).
我们研究了一个多单元拍卖模型,在这个模型中,竞标者私下被告知他们愿意交易的最大单元数量(我们称之为“容量”)。与关于成本(或估值)的私人信息相比,关于能力的私人信息无论大小都会改变均衡的性质。此外,与独立计算成本相比,统一价格拍卖和歧视性拍卖的收入并不相等。特别是,在独立抽取能力(和可能的成本)的情况下,歧视性形式相对于统一价格形式减少了对公司的支付。我们的分析是由可再生能源将占主导地位的未来电力市场的表现所驱动的,但这种设置也适用于各种情况(从央行流动性拍卖到排放交易)。
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引用次数: 6
The Long-term Effects of Student Absence: Evidence from Sweden 学生缺勤的长期影响:来自瑞典的证据
Pub Date : 2022-11-12 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac078
S. Cattan, Daniel A. Kamhöfer, M. Karlsson, Thérèse H. Nilsson
Despite the relatively uncontested importance of promoting school attendance in the policy arena, little evidence exists on the causal effect of school absence on long-run outcomes. We address this question by combining historical and administrative records for cohorts of Swedish individuals born in the 1930s. We find that elementary school absence significantly reduces contemporaneous academic performance, final educational attainment and labor income throughout the life-cycle. The findings are consistent with a dynamic model of human capital formation, whereby absence causes small immediate learning losses, which cumulate to larger human capital losses over time and lead to worse labor market performance.
尽管在政策领域促进上学的重要性相对无可争议,但很少有证据表明缺课对长期结果的因果影响。我们通过结合20世纪30年代出生的瑞典人的历史和行政记录来解决这个问题。我们发现,小学缺学显著降低了学生在整个生命周期中的同期学习成绩、最终教育成就和劳动收入。研究结果与人力资本形成的动态模型一致,即缺勤会导致小的即时学习损失,随着时间的推移,这些损失会累积成更大的人力资本损失,并导致更糟糕的劳动力市场表现。
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引用次数: 2
Pledge-and-Review Bargaining: From Kyoto to Paris 承诺与审查谈判:从京都到巴黎
Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac076
Bård Harstad
A tractable dynamic model of international climate policies is analysed. Different bargaining games influence participation levels, emission quotas, and technology investment levels. I derive several predictions which are arguably consistent with the differences between the 1997 Kyoto Protocol and the 2015 Paris Agreement – including the transitioning from the former to the latter.
分析了一个可处理的国际气候政策动态模型。不同的议价博弈影响参与水平、排放配额和技术投资水平。我得出了几个预测,这些预测可以说与1997年《京都议定书》和2015年《巴黎协定》之间的差异是一致的——包括从前者向后者的过渡。
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引用次数: 4
Welfare Cuts and Crime: Evidence from the New Poor Law 削减福利与犯罪:来自新济贫法的证据
Pub Date : 2022-11-04 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac083
Eric Melander, Martina Miotto
The New Poor Law reform of 1834 induced dramatic and heterogeneous reductions in welfare spending across English and Welsh counties. Using the reform in a difference-in-differences instrumental variables strategy, we document a robust negative relationship between the generosity of welfare provision and criminal activity. Results are driven by non-violent property crimes and are stronger during months of seasonal agricultural unemployment, highlighting the particularly criminogenic combination of welfare cuts and precarious work opportunities for the economically vulnerable.
1834年的新济贫法改革导致英格兰和威尔士各县的福利支出大幅减少。利用差异中的差异工具变量策略的改革,我们记录了福利提供慷慨与犯罪活动之间的强大负相关关系。结果是由非暴力财产犯罪驱动的,在季节性农业失业的几个月里,这种结果更加强烈,突出了福利削减和经济弱势群体不稳定的工作机会的特别犯罪组合。
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引用次数: 3
Multidimensional Skills and Gender Differences in Stem Majors Stem专业学生的多维技能与性别差异
Pub Date : 2022-10-25 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac079
F. Saltiel
This paper studies the relationship between pre-college skills and gender differences in STEM majors. I use longitudinal data to estimate a generalized Roy model of initial major choices and subsequent graduation outcomes. I recover students’ latent math ability, non-cognitive skills and math self-efficacy. High math ability women have lower math self-efficacy than men. Mathematical ability and self-efficacy shape the likelihood of STEM enrollment. A lack of math self-efficacy drives women’s drop out from STEM majors. I find large returns to STEM enrollment for high math-ability women. Well-focused math self-efficacy interventions could improve women’s STEM graduation rates and labour market outcomes.
本文研究了STEM专业学生大学前技能与性别差异之间的关系。我使用纵向数据来估计初始专业选择和随后毕业结果的广义罗伊模型。我恢复了学生的潜在数学能力、非认知技能和数学自我效能感。女性的数学自我效能感比男性低。数学能力和自我效能感影响STEM入学的可能性。缺乏数学自我效能感导致女性从STEM专业退学。我发现,对数学能力高的女性来说,参加STEM课程的回报很大。重点突出的数学自我效能干预可以提高女性的STEM毕业率和劳动力市场结果。
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引用次数: 5
The Central Bank Strikes Back! Credibility of Monetary Policy under Fiscal Influence 央行反击!财政影响下货币政策的可信度
Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac055
Antoine Camous, D. Matveev
How should independent central banks react if pressured by fiscal policymakers? We contrast the implications of two monetary frameworks: one, where the central bank follows a standard rule aiming exclusively at price stability against the other, where monetary policy additionally leans against fiscal influence. The latter rule improves economic outcomes by providing appropriate incentives to the fiscal authority. More importantly, the additional fiscal conditionality can enhance the credibility of the central bank to achieve price stability. We emphasise how the level and structure of government debt emerge as key factors affecting the credibility of monetary policy with fiscal conditionality.
如果受到财政政策制定者的压力,独立的央行应该如何应对?我们对比了两种货币框架的影响:一种是中央银行遵循专门针对价格稳定的标准规则,另一种是货币政策额外倾向于财政影响。后一条规则通过向财政当局提供适当的激励,改善了经济结果。更重要的是,额外的财政条件可以增强央行实现价格稳定的可信度。我们强调政府债务的水平和结构如何成为影响具有财政条件的货币政策可信度的关键因素。
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引用次数: 5
Correction to: Emotion and Reason in Political Language 更正:政治语言中的情感与理性
Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac072
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引用次数: 0
Gone with the wind: The consequences of US drone strikes in Pakistan 飘:美国无人机袭击巴基斯坦的后果
Pub Date : 2022-10-07 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac049
Rafat Mahmood, Michael Jetter
Employing day-to-day wind conditions as an identification strategy, we explore the consequences of the 420 US drone strikes in Pakistan between 2006 and 2016. Results suggest drone strikes encourage terrorism over the upcoming days and weeks, causing up to 19 per cent of all terror attacks with more than 3,000 terror deaths in Pakistan during that period. Studying a leading Pakistani newspaper, we identify a polarised response to drone strikes as negative emotions and anger, but also positive emotions, in drone-related articles increase. Finally, anti-US protests and online searches exhibiting radical Islamist concepts increase as a consequence of drone strikes.
我们采用日常风力条件作为识别策略,探讨了2006年至2016年期间美国在巴基斯坦进行的420次无人机袭击的后果。结果表明,无人机袭击在未来几天和几周内助长了恐怖主义,在此期间巴基斯坦造成了多达19%的恐怖袭击,3000多人死于恐怖袭击。通过对巴基斯坦一家主要报纸的研究,我们发现人们对无人机袭击的反应两极分化,在与无人机相关的文章中,负面情绪和愤怒有所增加,但积极情绪也有所增加。最后,无人机袭击增加了反美抗议活动和展示激进伊斯兰主义概念的在线搜索。
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引用次数: 1
Jumping the gun: how dictators got ahead of their subjects 操之过急:独裁者如何领先于其臣民
Pub Date : 2022-10-06 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac073
J. Hariri, Asger Mose Wingender
Economic modernisation is widely seen as a path to democracy, but the technological progress that drives modernisation also provides rulers with new means of repression. We collect data on the international diffusion of 29 repressive military technologies and demonstrate that such technologies spread faster from Western Europe and the United States than economic development. Moreover, in a panel of all independent countries 1820-2010, we show that the rapid diffusion of repressive technologies has impeded democratisation around the world by allowing autocratic rulers to suppress popular resistance against their regimes.
经济现代化被广泛视为通往民主的道路,但推动现代化的技术进步也为统治者提供了新的镇压手段。我们收集了29种压制性军事技术在国际上扩散的数据,并证明这些技术从西欧和美国传播的速度快于经济发展。此外,在1820年至2010年的所有独立国家的小组中,我们表明,压制性技术的快速传播通过允许专制统治者镇压民众对其政权的抵抗,阻碍了世界各地的民主化。
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引用次数: 2
Teaching Norms: Direct Evidence of Parental Transmission (Short title: Teaching norms and parental transmission) 教学规范:家长传承的直接证据(简称:教学规范与家长传承)
Pub Date : 2022-10-04 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac074
Thijs Brouwer, Fabio Galeotti, M. Villeval
We examine the educative role played by parents in social norm transmission. Using a field experiment, we study whether parents enforce and comply more with norms when their children are present compared to when they are not. We compare similar parents when or after they bring or pick up their children at school. We find that parents accompanying children, in contrast to parents alone, are more likely to punish norm violators and to provide help to strangers when there is no violation. They also tend to substitute more direct punishment with withholding help as a means of indirect punishment.
我们考察了父母在社会规范传递中所扮演的教育角色。通过实地实验,我们研究了当孩子在场时,父母是否比不在场时更能执行和遵守规范。我们比较了相似的父母在接孩子上学的时候和之后。我们发现,与单独的父母相比,陪伴孩子的父母更有可能惩罚违反规范的人,并在没有违反规范的情况下为陌生人提供帮助。他们还倾向于用不提供帮助来代替更直接的惩罚,作为间接惩罚的手段。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
The Economic journal of Nepal
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