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How to Regulate Carbon Emissions with Climate-conscious Consumers 如何与有气候意识的消费者一起监管碳排放
Pub Date : 2022-08-06 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac045
F. Herweg, Klaus M. Schmidt
Carbon prices are the most cost-effective instrument to reduce CO2 emissions, but there is strong political opposition to raising them to the efficient level. Therefore, additional efforts of consumers, firms, and local governments are required. We study how different regulatory regimes affect moral behaviour and show that a carbon tax complements voluntary efforts to reduce emissions, while cap-and-trade discourages them. The opportunity to invest in offsets increases welfare, while the option to buy and delete emission rights induces more emissions and reduces welfare. Furthermore, cap-and-trade shifts the burden of adjustment to poor consumers and has dysfunctional incentive effects.
碳价格是减少二氧化碳排放的最具成本效益的工具,但将其提高到有效水平存在强烈的政治反对。因此,需要消费者、企业和地方政府的进一步努力。我们研究了不同的监管制度是如何影响道德行为的,并表明碳税是对自愿减排努力的补充,而“总量管制与交易”则阻碍了自愿减排努力。投资碳补偿的机会增加了福利,而购买和删除排放权的选择则导致了更多的排放,并减少了福利。此外,总量管制与交易将调整的负担转移给了贫穷的消费者,并产生了功能失调的激励效应。
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引用次数: 8
A matching model of co-residence with a family network: Empirical evidence from China 与家庭网络共同居住的匹配模型:来自中国的经验证据
Pub Date : 2022-08-02 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac043
Naijia Guo, Xiaoyu Xia, Junsen Zhang
We develop a co-residence model between young adults and the elderly as an application of the Shapley-Shubik-Becker bilateral matching framework. This model captures competition between adult children and between parents and parents-in-law. Using micro data from China, we estimate our model by using a network simulation method to fill in partially unobservable marriage links. We find that our model explains the child-side and parent-side competitions observed in the data better than two alternative multinomial logit models with only one-side competition. In addition, counterfactual experiments quantify the effects of changes in the one-child policy and housing prices on intergenerational co-residence.
作为Shapley-Shubik-Becker双边匹配框架的应用,我们开发了年轻人和老年人之间的共同居住模型。这个模型捕捉到了成年子女之间以及父母与公婆之间的竞争。利用中国的微观数据,我们利用网络模拟的方法来填补部分不可观测的婚姻联系来估计我们的模型。我们发现我们的模型能更好地解释数据中观察到的子侧和父侧竞争,而不是只有一方竞争的两个备选多项式逻辑模型。此外,反事实实验量化了独生子女政策和房价变化对代际共同居住的影响。
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引用次数: 1
On Target? Sanctions and the Economic Interests of Elite Policymakers in Iran 在目标?制裁与伊朗精英决策者的经济利益
Pub Date : 2022-07-29 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac042
M. Draca, J. Garred, L. Stickland, Nele Warrinnier
How successful are sanctions at targeting the economic interests of political elites in affected countries? We study the case of Iran, using information on the stock exchange-listed assets of two specific political entities with significant influence over the direction of Iran’s nuclear programme. Our identification strategy focuses on the process of negotiations for sanctions removal, examining which interests benefit most from news about diplomatic progress. The results indicate the ‘bluntness’ of sanctions on Iran, but also provide evidence of their effectiveness in generating substantial economic incentives for elite policymakers to negotiate a deal for sanctions relief.
针对受影响国家政治精英经济利益的制裁有多成功?我们研究了伊朗的案例,使用了对伊朗核计划方向有重大影响的两个特定政治实体的证券交易所上市资产信息。我们的识别战略侧重于解除制裁的谈判进程,审查哪些利益集团从有关外交进展的消息中获益最多。研究结果表明,对伊朗的制裁是“直截了当的”,但也提供了证据,证明它们在为精英决策者提供实质性的经济激励以谈判解除制裁的协议方面是有效的。
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引用次数: 11
Teacher Effectiveness and Classroom Composition: Understanding Match Effects in the Classroom 教师效能与课堂构成:理解课堂匹配效应
Pub Date : 2022-07-27 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac046
Esteban M. Aucejo, Patrick Coate, Jane Cooley Fruehwirth, Sean Kelly, Zachary Mozenter
This paper provides evidence of match effects in the teacher labour market by considering how teacher effectiveness varies by classroom composition. We combine random assignment of teachers with rich measures of teaching practices based on a popular teacher-evaluation protocol to overcome endogeneity challenges. We find significant complementarities between teaching practice and classroom composition for maths achievement. We use these estimates to simulate the effects of reallocating classrooms among teachers within schools and find substantial differences between counterfactual and actual teacher effectiveness rankings. These findings support the importance of classroom composition for key teacher-related policies, including teacher allocations, accountability, and training.
本文通过考虑教师效能如何随课堂构成而变化,为教师劳动力市场中的匹配效应提供了证据。我们将随机分配教师与基于流行的教师评价协议的丰富教学实践措施相结合,以克服内生性挑战。我们发现教学实践与课堂作文对数学成绩有显著的互补性。我们使用这些估计来模拟在学校教师之间重新分配教室的影响,并发现反事实和实际教师效率排名之间的实质性差异。这些发现支持了课堂构成对教师分配、问责制和培训等关键教师相关政策的重要性。
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引用次数: 5
Spatial Polarization 空间极化
Pub Date : 2022-07-26 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac040
F. Cerina, E. Dienesch, Alessio Moro, M. Rendall
We document the emergence of spatial polarization in the U.S. during the 1980-2008 period. This phenomenon is characterised by stronger employment polarization in larger cities, both at the occupational and the worker level. We quantitatively evaluate the role of technology in generating these patterns by constructing and calibrating a spatial equilibrium model. We find that faster skill-biased technological change in larger cities can account for a substantial fraction of spatial polarization in the U.S. Counterfactual exercises suggest that the differential increase in the share of low-skilled workers across city size is due mainly to the large demand by high-skilled workers for low-skilled services and to a smaller extent to the higher complementarity between low- and high-skilled workers in production relative to middle-skilled workers.
我们记录了1980-2008年期间美国空间极化的出现。这一现象的特点是,大城市的就业两极分化更强,无论是在职业层面还是在工人层面。我们通过构建和校准空间平衡模型来定量评估技术在产生这些模式中的作用。我们发现,在较大的城市中,更快的技能偏向的技术变革可以解释美国空间极化的很大一部分。反事实的练习表明,不同城市规模的低技能工人份额的差异增加主要是由于高技能工人对低技能服务的大量需求,而相对于中等技能工人,低技能工人和高技能工人在生产中的互补性更高,这在较小程度上是由于。
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引用次数: 3
Dynamics of Trade Credit in China 中国贸易信贷动态
Pub Date : 2022-07-07 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac036
Wu Cun, Vincenzo Quadrini, Q. Sun, Junjie Xia
We use Chinese manufacturing data to show that upstream manufacturing industries received higher credit during the monetary expansion of 2005-2011. However, the higher credit received by upstream industries did not generate a similar increase in ‘trade lending’ to downstream industries, which limited the transmission of the credit expansion to the whole manufacturing sector. We develop a model that formalizes some of the key features of the Chinese economy and show why a credit expansion tilted toward the upstream sector may not fully cascade to the whole economy.
我们利用中国制造业数据表明,在2005-2011年货币扩张期间,上游制造业获得了更高的信贷。然而,上游行业获得的较高信贷并没有产生类似的下游行业“贸易贷款”的增加,这限制了信贷扩张向整个制造业的传导。我们开发了一个模型,将中国经济的一些关键特征正规化,并说明为什么向上游部门倾斜的信贷扩张可能不会完全波及整个经济。
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引用次数: 1
Monopsony Power and Wages: Evidence from the Introduction of Serfdom in Denmark 垄断权力与工资:来自丹麦农奴制引进的证据
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac037
Kathryn E. Gary, P. S. Jensen, M. Olsson, C. Radu, Battista Severgnini, P. Sharp
We exploit a large historical shock to the Danish labour market to provide evidence of how restrictions on labour mobility increase monopsony power and thereby reduce wages. By severely limiting the possibility of the rural population to work beyond their place of birth, the reintroduction of serfdom in 1733 aimed to increase monopsony power and secure cheaper labour in the countryside. Using a unique data source based on the archives of estates from the eighteenth century, we test whether serfdom affected the wages of farmhands more strongly than other groups in the labour market, and results based on a difference-in-differences approach reveal evidence consistent with a strong negative effect following its introduction. This is confirmed when we use a different control group from the Swedish province of Scania. We also investigate whether one mechanism was that boys with rural backgrounds were prevented from taking up apprenticeships in towns and find suggestive evidence that this was indeed the case.
我们利用对丹麦劳动力市场的巨大历史冲击来提供证据,证明对劳动力流动的限制如何增加垄断力量,从而降低工资。1733年,农奴制的重新引入,通过严格限制农村人口在出生地以外工作的可能性,旨在增加垄断力量,并确保农村的廉价劳动力。使用基于18世纪庄园档案的独特数据源,我们测试农奴制对农场工人工资的影响是否比劳动力市场上的其他群体更强烈,基于差异中的差异方法的结果揭示了与引入农奴制后的强烈负面影响相一致的证据。当我们使用来自瑞典斯堪尼亚省的另一个对照组时,这一点得到了证实。我们还调查了是否有一种机制是农村背景的男孩被阻止去城镇当学徒,并发现了暗示的证据,证明确实如此。
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引用次数: 2
Political Selection and Economic Policy 政治选择与经济政策
Pub Date : 2022-06-09 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac035
Jaakko Meriläinen
Does political selection matter for policy in representative governments? I use administrative data on local politicians in Finland and exploit exogenous variation generated by close elections to show that electing more high-income, incumbent, and competent politicians (who earn more than observably similar politicians) improves fiscal sustainability outcomes but does not decrease the size of the public sector. I also provide suggestive evidence that electing more university-educated local councillors leads to more public spending without adverse effects on fiscal sustainability. I reconcile these findings with survey data on candidate ideology and demonstrate that different qualities are differentially associated with economic ideology.
代议制政府的政治选择对政策有影响吗?我使用芬兰地方政客的行政数据,并利用相近选举产生的外生差异,表明选举更多高收入、在职和有能力的政客(他们的收入高于明显相似的政客)可以改善财政可持续性结果,但不会减少公共部门的规模。我还提供了一些具有启发性的证据,证明选出更多受过大学教育的地方议员会增加公共支出,而不会对财政可持续性产生不利影响。我将这些发现与候选人意识形态的调查数据相结合,并证明不同的品质与经济意识形态之间存在差异。
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引用次数: 2
Moral Hazard Versus Liquidity and the Optimal Timing of Unemployment Benefits 道德风险与流动性及失业救济的最优时机
Pub Date : 2022-05-31 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac034
R. Campos, J. I. Garc´ıa-P´erez, Iliana Reggio, Samuel Bentolila, Julio C´aceres-Delpiano, Ricardo Mora, Enrico Moretti, Jeff Wooldridge
We develop a novel way of identifying the liquidity and moral hazard effects of unemployment insurance exclusively from how job-finding rates respond to unemployment benefits that vary over an unemployment spell. We derive a sufficient statistics formula for the dynamically optimal level of unemployment benefits based on these two effects. Using a Regression Kink Design (RKD) that simultaneously exploits two kinks in the schedule of unemployment benefits, we apply our method to Spain for the years 1992–2012 and find that moral hazard effects dominated liquidity effects, suggesting that Spanish unemployment benefits exceeded the optimal level in that period.
我们开发了一种新的方法来识别失业保险的流动性和道德风险效应,仅从求职率如何响应在失业期间变化的失业救济金。在此基础上推导出动态最优失业救济水平的充分统计公式。我们使用回归扭点设计(RKD),同时利用失业救济金时间表中的两个扭点,将我们的方法应用于1992-2012年的西班牙,发现道德风险效应主导了流动性效应,这表明西班牙失业救济金在该时期超过了最佳水平。
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引用次数: 7
Are Women Held to Higher Standards? Evidence from Peer Review 女性是否有更高的标准?来自同行评审的证据
Pub Date : 2022-05-16 DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueac032
E. Hengel
Female authors are underrepresented in top economics journals. In this paper, I investigate whether higher writing standards contribute to the problem. I find: (i) female-authored papers are 1–6 percent better written than equivalent papers by men; (ii) the gap widens during peer review; (iii) women improve their writing as they publish more papers (but men do not); (iv) female-authored papers take longer under review. Using a subjective expected utility framework, I argue that higher writing standards for women are consistent with these stylised facts. A counterfactual analysis suggests senior female economists may, as a result, write at least five percent more clearly than they otherwise would. As a final exercise, I show tentative evidence that women adapt to biased treatment in ways that may disguise it as voluntary choice.
女性作者在顶级经济学期刊上的代表性不足。在本文中,我调查了更高的写作标准是否导致了这个问题。我发现:(I)女性作者的论文比男性作者的论文写得好1 - 6%;(ii)在同行评审期间差距扩大;(iii)女性发表的论文越多,她们的写作水平就越高(但男性没有);(iv)女性撰写的论文需要更长的审查时间。使用主观预期效用框架,我认为女性更高的写作标准与这些程式化的事实是一致的。一项反事实的分析表明,资深女性经济学家的写作可能因此比她们原本的写作水平至少高出5%。作为最后的练习,我展示了一些初步证据,证明女性适应偏见待遇的方式可能会将其伪装成自愿选择。
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引用次数: 39
期刊
The Economic journal of Nepal
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