Ocean acidification due to anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake threatens marine ecosystems, but coastal waters have complex and highly variable carbonate system dynamics. More coastal time series are therefore needed to better constrain coastal pH dynamics, but especially in the tropics such time series are rare. Southeast Asia’s Sunda Shelf Sea has exceptionally high marine biodiversity and rapidly increasing anthropogenic pressures, but we have little knowledge of coastal carbonate system dynamics in the region. We analyzed 7-years of monthly carbonate system data from the Singapore Strait in the central Sunda Shelf. Our results show consistently low seawater pH (total scale; pHT; < 8.0) and aragonite saturation state (ΩAr, usually < 3.0), but with a clear seasonal pHT variation by 0.11–0.19 units. The observed seasonality reflects the monsoon-driven advection of water masses that have been shaped by different biogeochemical processes. Specifically, during the southwest monsoon, remineralization of terrestrial dissolved organic carbon originating from regional peatlands lowers pHT, while calcium carbonate (CaCO3) formation and dissolution are more important during other seasons. Comparing our data to predicted values for purely conservative mixing of river water and seawater shows that these non-conservative biogeochemical processes are dominant drivers. Our time series shows a significant decreasing trend in pHT of –0.043 units per decade, exceeding the theoretical trend detection time (TDT) of 5.0 ± 1.3 years. However, the seasonal pHT variability itself shows interannual variability, and pHT is also correlated with the El Niño Southern Oscillation. This longer-term climatic control may complicate trend quantification. Our study highlights how terrestrial dissolved organic carbon remineralization may enhance future ocean acidification in Sunda Shelf region, emphasizing the importance of continuing the time series to better quantify climatic drivers and long-term trends.
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