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Second-order efficiency of fully sequential designs for estimating the product of two means with application in reliability estimation 全序贯设计估计两均值乘积的二阶效率及其在可靠性估计中的应用
Pub Date : 2019-05-13 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00275
Xing Xia, K. Rekab
The problem of estimating system reliability is the same as estimating the product of means of independent Bernoulli populations. We use independent Beta priors for the means and propose a sequential design that is second order efficient, it converges faster to the optimal ratio than the first order designs. Second order sequential designs are sought and show the optimality of the fully sequential design through an application of reliability estimation using Monte Carlo simulation.
系统可靠性的估计问题与独立伯努利总体均值积的估计问题是一样的。我们使用独立的Beta先验方法,并提出了一种二阶有效的序列设计,它比一阶设计更快地收敛到最优比率。通过蒙特卡罗仿真的可靠性估计,寻求二阶序列设计并证明了全序列设计的最优性。
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引用次数: 0
Computer-based methods in environmental data organization and management 基于计算机的环境数据组织和管理方法
Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00274
S. Tzortzios, G. Adam, N. Dalezios
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引用次数: 0
Bayesian generalized linear model for identifying predictors of child nutritional status in Ethiopia 确定埃塞俄比亚儿童营养状况预测因子的贝叶斯广义线性模型
Pub Date : 2019-04-30 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00273
Reta Habtamu Bacha, M. Tadesse
Malnutrition is the underlying cause of more than 2.6 million child deaths each year. Globally significant numbers of people are affected by malnutrition(undernutrition). The Food and Agriculture Organization(FAO) estimated that undernutrition affects approximately 789 million people in 2014-16.1,2 The prevalence of undernourshment and underweight among children under age five were primarily used internationally to measure and compare the burden of undernutrition.2
营养不良是每年260多万儿童死亡的根本原因。全球有相当数量的人受到营养不良(营养不足)的影响。据粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)估计,2014年营养不足影响了约7.89亿人。国际上主要用五岁以下儿童营养不足和体重不足的发生率来衡量和比较营养不足的负担
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引用次数: 3
Application of a mixture design to optimize textile azo-dye decolorization using a bacterial consortium 利用细菌联合体优化纺织品偶氮染料脱色的混合设计的应用
Pub Date : 2019-04-10 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00272
Imtinen Sghaier, Rania Ouertani, M. Mahjoubi, Darine El-Hidri, W. Hassen, A. Chamkhi, H. Chouchane, A. Jaouani, A. Cherif, Mohamed Neifar
In recent years, the release of textile wastewaters (TWWs), without adequate treatment, into natural ecosystem has become a great threat and one of the main sources of environmental pollution.1 Apart the high amounts, TWWs have a complex and specific nature.2 TWWs are highly charged by synthetic dyes. One of the most frequently synthetic dyes used in dyeing units, is azo dyes.3 More than 10,000 dyes are available commercially and more than 7×105 tons of dyestuffs are produced annually.4 Azo dyes can be grouped as mono-, di-, or tri-azo, according to the number of azo bonds (-N=N-) in their structure.5 There are about 15% of dyes are lost due to inefficiency dyeing process in wastewater.6 The release of these dyes in large quantities into surrounding environment have serious concerns in aquatic life and public health especially as they are considered as recalcitrant compounds,7 stable towards light and temperature and resist to microbial attack.8,9 Indeed, removal of these toxic compounds remained mandatory. So, different physical and chemical methods have been employed but their continuous application put forth their limitations as they require high energy, time and cost, and generate large amount of sludge and toxic by-products.10 Bioremediation has been considered as a good alternative process to deal this threat. Different azo dyes decolorizing microorganisms have been reported, including bacteria,11,12 fungi13,14 and yeast.15,16 Since different textile processing steps require an excessive use of salt and sodium hydroxide, TWWs are characterized by alkaline pH and high salinity.1 Considering the specific nature of TWWs, fungal treatment remained inadequate in TWWs treatment as that are functional at low pH.17 Researchers have been focused on bacteria dye removal as that it is more adequate to support TWWs characteristics; particularly the focus has been on haloalkaliphilic bacteria. Bioremediation by bacteria can be carried out using two approaches either mono or mixed culture to exploit decolorization potency of each strain and also cooperative interactions between them.18,19
近年来,纺织废水未经适当处理排放到自然生态系统中,已成为环境污染的主要来源之一除了数量大之外,tww还具有复杂和特定的性质tww被合成染料高度带电。偶氮染料是染色装置中最常用的合成染料之一有超过10,000种染料可供商业使用,每年生产的染料超过7×105吨偶氮染料根据其结构中偶氮键(-N=N-)的数目可分为单偶氮、二偶氮或三偶氮由于废水中染色工艺效率低下,约有15%的染料损失这些染料大量释放到周围环境中,对水生生物和公众健康造成了严重的影响,特别是因为它们被认为是顽固性化合物,对光和温度稳定,抗微生物攻击。8,9事实上,清除这些有毒化合物仍然是强制性的。因此,人们采用了不同的物理和化学方法,但它们的持续应用都有其局限性,因为它们需要高能量、时间和成本,并且产生大量的污泥和有毒副产品生物修复被认为是解决这一威胁的一个很好的替代方法。不同的偶氮染料脱色微生物已被报道,包括细菌、真菌、酵母等。15,16由于不同的纺织加工步骤需要大量使用盐和氢氧化钠,tww具有碱性和高盐度的特点考虑到tww的特殊性,真菌处理在tww处理中仍然存在不足,因为它们在低ph下起作用。研究人员一直关注细菌去除染料,因为它更能支持tww的特性;尤其关注的是嗜盐嗜碱细菌。细菌的生物修复可以采用单培养或混合培养两种方法,以利用每种菌株的脱色能力和它们之间的合作相互作用18,19
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引用次数: 6
Dynamic study of cervical cancer incidence and mortality in Tashkent city 塔什干市宫颈癌发病率和死亡率动态研究
Pub Date : 2019-04-02 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00271
Almuhamedova Bg, Aliev Da, Tillashaykhov Mn, Igissinov Ns, Yusupov Bd
Cervical cancer (cervical cancer) remains one of the global problems of public health and public health. According to the International Agency for the Study of Cancer in the world, about 528,000 new cases of cervical cancer are recorded annually and about 266,000 women die from this pathology.1 In this case, the incidence and mortality from cervical cancer has a significant geographical variability2–8 and depends on many exogenous and endogenous causes, which of course, in turn, are associated with socioeconomic, demographic factors, reproductive history, etc., as evidenced by numerous studies.9–11 In Uzbekistan, as in many countries, cervical cancer also represents one of the urgent problems in oncogynecology. The capital of Uzbekistan is the city of Tashkent, which is the largest city in Central Asia, the center of the Tashkent agglomeration, the main cultural, scientific, political and economic center in Uzbekistan, as well as a transport hub.
宫颈癌(子宫颈癌)仍然是公共卫生和公共卫生的全球性问题之一。根据国际癌症研究机构的数据,每年约有528,000例新发宫颈癌病例,约有266,000名妇女死于这种病理在这种情况下,宫颈癌的发病率和死亡率具有显著的地理差异2 - 8,取决于许多外源性和内源性原因,当然,这些原因又与社会经济、人口因素、生殖史等有关,许多研究都证明了这一点。9-11在乌兹别克斯坦,如同在许多国家一样,宫颈癌也是妇科肿瘤的紧迫问题之一。乌兹别克斯坦的首都是塔什干市,它是中亚最大的城市,塔什干城市群的中心,是乌兹别克斯坦主要的文化、科学、政治和经济中心,也是交通枢纽。
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引用次数: 0
Study of skin and nail Trichosporon species as a normal flora based on age groups in healthy persons in Tehran-Iran 德黑兰-伊朗健康人群中皮肤和指甲毛孢子属正常菌群的研究
Pub Date : 2019-03-22 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00269
Z. Rafat, S. Hashemi, Roshank Daie Ghazvini, M. Yarahmadi, Maryam Sharafkhah
Skin as the largest organ of human body is significantly colonized by a variety of bacterial and fungal population1,2 and richosporon is a normal fungal inhabitant of the skin. Opportunistic infections by this fungus has been increasingly often report in immune compromised patients.3–6 Two of the most factors influencing the complex of inhabitants on the skin are gender7 and age.8,9 There is little information about Trichosporon distribution inhabiting on human skin in the world and it should be noted, this is the first study about this subject in Iran. The purpose of this study were to create new information about the type and percentage of Trichosporon population in each site of the human skin, attempting to determine what influences the individual’s age and sex have on the composition and percentage of cutaneous Trichosporon community in Iranian people. As we know, Iran is a tropical country and fungal organisms can significantly growth over this condition.
皮肤作为人体最大的器官,被大量的细菌和真菌所定植1,2,而richosporon是皮肤上正常的真菌居民。这种真菌的机会性感染在免疫功能低下的患者中越来越常见。3-6影响居民皮肤复合体的两个最主要因素是性别和年龄。8,9世界上关于毛磷体在人体皮肤上分布的资料很少,值得注意的是,本研究在伊朗尚属首次。本研究的目的是建立关于人体皮肤各部位毛丝虫种群的类型和百分比的新信息,试图确定个人的年龄和性别对伊朗人皮肤毛丝虫群落的组成和百分比的影响。正如我们所知,伊朗是一个热带国家,真菌生物可以在这种条件下显著生长。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling lifetime data with the odd generalized exponentiated inverse Lomax distribution 用奇数广义指数逆Lomax分布建模寿命数据
Pub Date : 2019-03-11 DOI: 10.32474/CTBB.2019.01.000112
O. Maxwell, C. NwokikeChukwudike, C. OfforhaBright, I. OlayemiJoshua, E. J. Thomas
The Lomax distribution also called “Pareto type II” is a special case of the generalized beta distribution of the second kind [1], and can be seen in many application areas, such as actuarial science, economics, biological sciences, engineering, lifetime and reliability modeling and so on [2]. This heavy-duty distribution is considered useful as an alternative distribution to survival problems and lifetesting in engineering and survival analysis [3]. Inverse Lomax distribution is a member of the inverted family of distributions and discovered to be very flexible in analyzing situations with a realized non-monotonic failure rate [4]. The probability density function and cumulative density function of the Inverted Lomax distribution are given by [5]:
Lomax分布也称为“Pareto II型”,是第二类广义beta分布的一种特例[1],在精算、经济学、生物科学、工程、寿命和可靠性建模等许多应用领域中都可以看到它的身影[2]。这种重型分布被认为是工程和生存分析中生存问题和寿命测试的替代分布[3]。逆Lomax分布是逆分布族中的一员,在分析已实现非单调故障率的情况时被发现是非常灵活的[4]。倒Lomax分布的概率密度函数和累积密度函数如[5]所示:
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引用次数: 8
A discrete Pranav distribution and its applications 离散Pranav分布及其应用
Pub Date : 2019-02-26 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00267
Berhane Abebe, K. Shukla
In many cases, it is not easy to get samples from continuous distributions. The observed values, in the most of cases, are collected actually discrete in nature for the reason that they are measured to only finite number of decimal places and cannot completely presents all points in a continuum. According to Lai,1 discretization of a continuous lifetime model is an appealing approach to derive a discrete lifetime model corresponding to the continuous one. Therefore, it is reasonable and convenient to model the situation by an appropriate discrete distribution generated from the underlying continuous distribution preserving one or more important characteristics including probability density function (pdf), mean residual life function etc. and important statistical properties of the distribution.
在许多情况下,从连续分布中获取样本并不容易。在大多数情况下,观测值实际上是离散的,因为它们只能测量到有限个小数点后的位数,不能完全表示连续体中的所有点。根据Lai的说法,连续寿命模型的离散化是一种很有吸引力的方法,可以推导出与连续寿命模型相对应的离散寿命模型。因此,通过由底层连续分布生成一个适当的离散分布来建模是合理和方便的,该分布保留了一个或多个重要的特征,包括概率密度函数(pdf)、平均残差寿命函数等,以及分布的重要统计性质。
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引用次数: 1
Management of huge amounts of data using qualitative and statistical modeling: an agricultural case study 使用定性和统计模型管理大量数据:一个农业案例研究
Pub Date : 2019-02-25 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00266
S. Tzortzios, N. Gitsakis, G. Adam
The approaches and methodologies used for agricultural data analysis and processing in general continuously evolve (e.g. specific statistical analysis methods and tools, such as SPSS, are used quite intensively to assist the researcher’s work). The basic idea in our research work is to provide an integrated environment, where various data analysis and modeling tools would be at the disposal of the researcher to be used in processing farming production problems and extracting adequate solutions. For this purpose, certain database management and qualitative modeling techniques have been used in conjunction, as an integrated computing environment, called AgroModel, and tested upon specific cattle breeding cases. Artificial intelligence and qualitative modeling techniques have been applied for a long period of time, with quite successful results in most of the cases.1 However in the field of agriculture there is still a need for further research work to be carried out. We decided to use and apply qualitative techniques describing the structure and performance of plants and animals within agricultural environments, in order to assist the agriculturist to manage easily complicated processes, associated in particular with cattle breeding, and provide the ability to extract and evaluate the most valuable information from a set of complicated with various factors quantitative data. The retrieval of all the relevant information on the control treatments in various agricultural cases could be considered as a quite important research material for interesting studies of the plant species or livestock breeds in various experimental environments.
通常用于农业数据分析和处理的方法和方法不断发展(例如,特定的统计分析方法和工具,如SPSS,被大量用于协助研究人员的工作)。我们研究工作的基本思想是提供一个综合环境,在这个环境中,研究人员可以使用各种数据分析和建模工具来处理农业生产问题并提取适当的解决方案。为此目的,某些数据库管理和定性建模技术作为一个称为AgroModel的综合计算环境一起使用,并在具体的养牛案例中进行了测试。人工智能和定性建模技术已经应用了很长一段时间,在大多数情况下都取得了相当成功的结果但在农业领域,还需要开展进一步的研究工作。我们决定使用和应用定性技术来描述农业环境中动植物的结构和性能,以帮助农学家管理容易复杂的过程,特别是与牛养殖相关的过程,并提供从一组复杂的各种因素定量数据中提取和评估最有价值信息的能力。检索各种农业案例中防治措施的所有相关信息,可作为在各种实验环境下对植物物种或牲畜品种进行有趣研究的重要研究资料。
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence of Strabismus and its type in Pediatric age group 6-15 years in a tertiary eye care hospital, Karachi 卡拉奇一家三级眼科医院6-15岁儿童斜视患病率及其类型
Pub Date : 2019-02-14 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2019.08.00265
M. Fahim
Strabismus, also called squint, tropia and heterotropia, is a common ocular disorder having 1% to 4% of prevalence.1 There are two types of strabismus: concomitant and incomitant. Concomitant strabismus is a condition in which the ocular angle of deviation remains constant in each direction of gaze. It includes the most common types of strabismus, including exotropia, esotropia, hypetropia, monofixation syndrome and microstrabismus. In the incomitant strabismus, which is also called as complex or paralytic strabismus, the misalignment of eyes or the angle of deviation differs with each direction of gaze. According to different surveys the global prevalence of strabismus shows the estimated prevalence of squint in the general population is from 2 to 5%. Between 5 and 15 million individuals in the United States may have this condition, several studies of clinical populations have reported that esotropia appears to occur approximately 3 times as often as exotropia in children.2 However, the National Health Survey of individual’s 4−74 years of age found a higher prevalence of exotropia (2.1%) than esotropia (1.2%) in the U.S population. This difference is probably related to the fact that the overall prevalence of strabismus in persons 55−75 years of age (in whom exotropia is more common) is 6.1% substantially greater than for very young children 1−3 years of age (1.9%) or children and adults 4−54 years of age (3.3%).3 The prevalence of exotropia may be underestimated, because it is most often an intermittent strabismus. For Hispanic/Latino and African American children ages 6−72 months in Los Angeles, California. The prevalence of strabismus was 2.4% for the former and 2.5% for the latter group. Exotropia was more common than esotropia.4 Approximately 50% of all childhood esotropia are either fully or partially accommodative. An esotropia is partially accommodative when the accommodative factors of uncorrected hyperopia and/or a high accommodative convergence/accommodation (AC/A) ratio contribute to, but do not account for. The entire strabismus, non-accommodative esotropia is the second most common form of childhood esotropia, accounting for approximately 10% of all strabismus. Infantile esotropia accounts for approximately 8.1% of cases of esotropia, affecting 1 in every 100−500 persons.5 Intermittent exotropia is the most common type of exotropia, affecting nearly 1% of the population. Exotropia has been reported to be more prevalent among Asian and African American populations than among Caucasians women comprise 60 -70% of patients with exotropia.6 The prevalence of strabismus in Nigeria was 0.14%.7 In Pakistan, children under the age of 15 years account for 45% of the total population. The overall estimated prevalence of strabismus in Pakistan is 5.4%. Out of this 2.5% strabismus patients are under the age of the 5 years while 2.9% patients are over the age of 5 years. The national prevalence of squint 5.4% suggests that there are 7.02 million
斜视,也称为斜视、斜视和异斜视,是一种常见的眼部疾病,患病率为1%至4%斜视有两种类型:伴斜视和非伴斜视。伴随性斜视是一种在每个凝视方向上的眼睛角度偏差保持恒定的情况。它包括最常见的斜视类型,包括外斜视、内斜视、远视、单注视综合征和微斜视。在非共同性斜视中,也被称为复杂或麻痹性斜视,眼睛的不对准或偏差的角度随着凝视的不同方向而不同。根据不同的调查,斜视的全球患病率显示,一般人群中斜视的患病率估计为2%至5%。在美国有500万到1500万人可能患有这种疾病,一些临床人群的研究报告称,儿童内斜视的发生率大约是外斜视的3倍然而,美国4 - 74岁人群的国家健康调查发现,在美国人群中,外斜视的患病率(2.1%)高于内斜视(1.2%)。这种差异可能与以下事实有关:55 ~ 75岁人群(外斜视更为常见)斜视的总体患病率为6.1%,大大高于1 ~ 3岁幼儿(1.9%)或4 ~ 54岁儿童和成人(3.3%)外斜视的患病率可能被低估了,因为它通常是一种间歇性斜视。适用于加利福尼亚州洛杉矶6 - 72个月的西班牙裔/拉丁裔和非洲裔美国儿童。前者的斜视患病率为2.4%,后者为2.5%。外斜视比内斜视更常见大约50%的儿童内斜视是完全或部分可调节的。当未矫正远视的调节因素和/或较高的调节收敛/调节(AC/ a)比有助于,但不能解释,内斜视是部分调节的。在整个斜视中,非调节性内斜视是儿童内斜视的第二常见形式,约占所有斜视的10%。婴儿内斜视约占内斜视病例的8.1%,每100 - 500人中就有1人受其影响间歇性外斜视是最常见的外斜视类型,影响近1%的人口。据报道,外斜视在亚裔和非裔美国人中比在白种人中更为普遍,女性占外斜视患者的60 -70%尼日利亚的斜视患病率为0.14%在巴基斯坦,15岁以下的儿童占总人口的45%。巴基斯坦斜视的总体估计患病率为5.4%。其中2.5%的斜视患者年龄在5岁以下,2.9%的患者年龄在5岁以上。全国的斜视患病率为5.4%,这表明在1.3亿人口中有702万斜视患者在白沙瓦的Lady Reading医院进行的斜视患病率调查显示,本研究中发现的共同性会聚性斜视的发生率为2.5%,与巴基斯坦的斜视患病率2.75%几乎相似在拉瓦尔品第人口中,所有垂直偏差的频率为11.4%。纯垂直偏差
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引用次数: 3
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