首页 > 最新文献

Biometrics & biostatistics international journal最新文献

英文 中文
Integrated evidence strategy and drug development efficiency 综合证据策略与药物开发效率
Pub Date : 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00315
Zhongwen Tang
Drug development has many moving parts. Traditionally they are handled in a more sequential and segmented way. This has served us well due to relatively slow pace of drug development. As the pace of drug development becomes faster and faster, we need to think more in a holistic way. This is especially important due to the advancement of new technologies, which has upended the way how we generate and analyze data. We present a framework to identify integrated evidence opportunities in drug development and demonstrate these opportunities using some real examples.
药物开发有许多活动部分。传统上,它们是以更顺序和分段的方式处理的。由于药物开发速度相对较慢,这对我们很有帮助。随着药物开发的步伐越来越快,我们需要更多地以整体的方式思考。这一点尤其重要,因为新技术的进步颠覆了我们生成和分析数据的方式。我们提出了一个框架来确定药物开发中的综合证据机会,并使用一些真实的例子来展示这些机会。
{"title":"Integrated evidence strategy and drug development efficiency","authors":"Zhongwen Tang","doi":"10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00315","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00315","url":null,"abstract":"Drug development has many moving parts. Traditionally they are handled in a more sequential and segmented way. This has served us well due to relatively slow pace of drug development. As the pace of drug development becomes faster and faster, we need to think more in a holistic way. This is especially important due to the advancement of new technologies, which has upended the way how we generate and analyze data. We present a framework to identify integrated evidence opportunities in drug development and demonstrate these opportunities using some real examples.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79469878","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An artificial neural network to classify healthy aging in elderly Brazilians 用人工神经网络对巴西老年人的健康老龄化进行分类
Pub Date : 2020-10-16 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00314
Ágatha Yasmin de Sousa Araujo, Maylon Sivalcley da Costa Rocha, E. Alves, A. C. Campos
Aging in Brazil, especially in the Amazon, is a complex and irregular process. Something is happening here that cannot be explained simply due to social inequalities. The objective of this study was to present the development of an artificial neural network and the stages of training, validation and testing for the classification of healthy aging among elderly Brazilians. We constructed a protocol for rapid diagnosis and health screening for the elderly. The form was developed offline in Microsoft Excel. Macros (routines capable of performing pre-programmed tasks) were created using Microsoft's Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) language. In the analysis of the confusion matrix, good accuracy were obtained in all stages, training (61.5%), validation (60.0%) and test (80.0%), which indicates that the network learned through the inputs and outputs initially defined and during the sample divisions performed for testing and validation. In the test stage, a ROC curve was obtained with better true positive rates and lower false positive rates, being close to the Y axis (left side), thus indicating better results. We conducted a pilot study with thirty-six community active elderlies from a city in Eastern Amazonia, Brazil. This study was divided into four parts: data collection, data pre-processing, training of an artificial neural network and evaluation methods.
在巴西,尤其是在亚马逊地区,老龄化是一个复杂而不规则的过程。这里发生的事情不能简单地用社会不平等来解释。这项研究的目的是介绍人工神经网络的发展以及巴西老年人健康老龄化分类的训练、验证和测试阶段。我们为老年人构建了快速诊断和健康筛查方案。该表单是在Microsoft Excel中离线开发的。宏(能够执行预编程任务的例程)是使用微软的Visual Basic for Applications (VBA)语言创建的。在混淆矩阵的分析中,训练(61.5%)、验证(60.0%)和测试(80.0%)三个阶段都获得了很好的准确率,这表明网络通过初始定义的输入和输出以及进行测试和验证的样本划分进行学习。在测试阶段,得到的ROC曲线真阳性率较好,假阳性率较低,接近Y轴(左侧),表明结果较好。我们对巴西东亚马逊地区的一个城市的36名社区活跃老人进行了一项试点研究。本研究分为数据采集、数据预处理、人工神经网络训练和评价方法四个部分。
{"title":"An artificial neural network to classify healthy aging in elderly Brazilians","authors":"Ágatha Yasmin de Sousa Araujo, Maylon Sivalcley da Costa Rocha, E. Alves, A. C. Campos","doi":"10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00314","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00314","url":null,"abstract":"Aging in Brazil, especially in the Amazon, is a complex and irregular process. Something is happening here that cannot be explained simply due to social inequalities. The objective of this study was to present the development of an artificial neural network and the stages of training, validation and testing for the classification of healthy aging among elderly Brazilians. We constructed a protocol for rapid diagnosis and health screening for the elderly. The form was developed offline in Microsoft Excel. Macros (routines capable of performing pre-programmed tasks) were created using Microsoft's Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) language. In the analysis of the confusion matrix, good accuracy were obtained in all stages, training (61.5%), validation (60.0%) and test (80.0%), which indicates that the network learned through the inputs and outputs initially defined and during the sample divisions performed for testing and validation. In the test stage, a ROC curve was obtained with better true positive rates and lower false positive rates, being close to the Y axis (left side), thus indicating better results. We conducted a pilot study with thirty-six community active elderlies from a city in Eastern Amazonia, Brazil. This study was divided into four parts: data collection, data pre-processing, training of an artificial neural network and evaluation methods.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90688256","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A review on recent generalizations of exponential distribution 指数分布的最新推广述评
Pub Date : 2020-08-31 DOI: 10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00313
Lishamol Tomy, Manju Jose, Veena G
These distributions have been widely used to analyze lifetime data, on account of its analytical tractability, also used in physics, queueing theory, and hydrology, often used to model the reliability of electronic systems, which do not typically experience wear-out type failures. Exponential variables can also be used to model situations where certain events occur with a constant probability per unit length, such as the distance between mutations on a DNA strand, or between road kills on a given road.
由于其分析的可追溯性,这些分布已被广泛用于分析寿命数据,也用于物理学、排队理论和水文学,通常用于模拟电子系统的可靠性,这些系统通常不会经历磨损型故障。指数变量还可以用来模拟特定事件以单位长度的恒定概率发生的情况,例如DNA链突变之间的距离,或者给定道路上的道路死亡之间的距离。
{"title":"A review on recent generalizations of exponential distribution","authors":"Lishamol Tomy, Manju Jose, Veena G","doi":"10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00313","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00313","url":null,"abstract":"These distributions have been widely used to analyze lifetime data, on account of its analytical tractability, also used in physics, queueing theory, and hydrology, often used to model the reliability of electronic systems, which do not typically experience wear-out type failures. Exponential variables can also be used to model situations where certain events occur with a constant probability per unit length, such as the distance between mutations on a DNA strand, or between road kills on a given road.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85942040","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
Reclassifying inferential statistics into diagnostic and predictive statistics with an application on gynecologic cancer 将推论统计学重新分类为诊断统计学和预测统计学,并在妇科癌症中的应用
Pub Date : 2020-08-31 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00312
Abdelfattah Ezz
Statisticians use to classify Statistics into two main parts, namely Descriptive and Inferential Statistics. Here, we suggest reclassifying Inferential Statistics into two parts, namely Diagnostic Statistics and Predictive Statistics. Based on that we will have four levels to analyze data (Descriptive, Diagnostic, Predictive and Perspective Statistics). Descriptive statistics mainly related to Graphs, Frequency tables, Measures of Central Tendency, Measures of Variation and Measures of Shape. Diagnostic statistics mainly related to the effects of the Independent variables (inputs) on the Dependent (Target) variable based on the Tests of Correlation or Association, Tests for Means differences and Tests for Classification. Predictive statistics mainly related to Estimation, Regression techniques and Time series Analysis for the Dependent (Target) variable. Perspective statistics mainly related to the previous three levels and acts as a prescription to how to solve or prevent the problem. In this paper, we will clarify the statistical tests used in each level of statistical analysis and will give an example on a real data related to Gynecologic Cancer
统计学家通常把统计分为两个主要部分,即描述性统计和推断性统计。在这里,我们建议将推论统计重新划分为诊断统计和预测统计两部分。在此基础上,我们将有四个层次来分析数据(描述性、诊断性、预测性和透视统计)。描述性统计主要涉及图形、频率表、集中趋势测量、变化测量和形状测量。诊断统计主要与自变量(输入)对因变量(目标)的影响有关,基于相关性或关联检验、均值差异检验和分类检验。预测统计主要涉及因变量(目标变量)的估计、回归技术和时间序列分析。透视统计主要与前三个层次有关,并作为如何解决或预防问题的处方。在本文中,我们将阐明在统计分析的各个层面所使用的统计检验,并以一个与妇科癌症相关的真实数据为例
{"title":"Reclassifying inferential statistics into diagnostic and predictive statistics with an application on gynecologic cancer","authors":"Abdelfattah Ezz","doi":"10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00312","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00312","url":null,"abstract":"Statisticians use to classify Statistics into two main parts, namely Descriptive and Inferential Statistics. Here, we suggest reclassifying Inferential Statistics into two parts, namely Diagnostic Statistics and Predictive Statistics. Based on that we will have four levels to analyze data (Descriptive, Diagnostic, Predictive and Perspective Statistics). Descriptive statistics mainly related to Graphs, Frequency tables, Measures of Central Tendency, Measures of Variation and Measures of Shape. Diagnostic statistics mainly related to the effects of the Independent variables (inputs) on the Dependent (Target) variable based on the Tests of Correlation or Association, Tests for Means differences and Tests for Classification. Predictive statistics mainly related to Estimation, Regression techniques and Time series Analysis for the Dependent (Target) variable. Perspective statistics mainly related to the previous three levels and acts as a prescription to how to solve or prevent the problem. In this paper, we will clarify the statistical tests used in each level of statistical analysis and will give an example on a real data related to Gynecologic Cancer","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"84409592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Effect of physical exercises on anthropometric parameters, blood pressure and heart rate of young people and adults in Matola city–Mozambique 体育锻炼对莫桑比克马托拉市年轻人和成年人的人体测量参数、血压和心率的影响
Pub Date : 2020-08-14 DOI: 10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00311
José Luís Sousa Manjate, Félix Salvador Chavane, L. Nhantumbo
Introduction: physical inactivity is a risk factor for chronic non-communicable diseases, causing morbidity and mortality and weight gain in the economy of nations. Objective: to analyze the effect of combined physical exercises on anthropometric and hemodynamic parameters in young and adults people in Cidade da Matola. Methodology: 22 subjects from 23 to 60 years old (8 female and 14 male) were randomly selected in 2017. The anthropometric assessment consisted of weight, height, BMI and waist circumference. Hemodynamic variables were evaluated with an Omron M3-HEM-7131-E tensiometer. The sample performed combined physical exercises for three consecutive months. Using SPSS, 20.0, at 95% CI, the non-parametric WILCOXON test was applied to examine the effect of physical exercises on the variables of interest. Results: globally, weight and BMI increased over the course of the intervention, however without statistical differences, on the other hand, height, WP, SBP, DBP and HR differed statistically: P=(0.019; 0.008; 0.048; 0.006; 0.000) respectively. After analyzing the sex, only male individuals registered statistically significant differences for WP, DBP and HR: P=(0.023; 0.006; 0.000) respectively. The age range of individuals aged ≥ 36 years revealed a significant effect of the intervention on the variables WP, DBP and HR: P=(0.022; 0.042; 0.001) respectively. Conclusions: although the sample size was small, globally, the effect of the intervention on the variables of interest was notorious, especially in Blood Pressure, Heart Rate and Waist Perimeter.
导言:缺乏身体活动是慢性非传染性疾病的一个风险因素,在各国经济中造成发病率和死亡率以及体重增加。目的:分析综合体育锻炼对马托拉市青年和成人人体测量学和血流动力学参数的影响。方法:2017年随机抽取22名年龄在23 ~ 60岁之间的受试者,其中女性8名,男性14名。人体测量评估包括体重、身高、身体质量指数和腰围。使用欧姆龙M3-HEM-7131-E张力计评估血流动力学变量。样本连续三个月进行综合体育锻炼。使用SPSS 20.0,在95% CI下,应用非参数WILCOXON检验来检验体育锻炼对感兴趣变量的影响。结果:总体而言,体重和BMI在干预过程中有所增加,但无统计学差异;另方面,身高、WP、收缩压、舒张压和HR在干预过程中有统计学差异:P=(0.019;0.008;0.048;0.006;分别为0.000)。性别分析后,只有男性个体的WP、DBP和HR有统计学差异:P=(0.023;0.006;分别为0.000)。在年龄≥36岁的个体中,干预对变量WP、DBP和HR有显著影响:P=(0.022;0.042;分别为0.001)。结论:虽然样本量很小,但在全球范围内,干预对感兴趣的变量的影响是臭名昭著的,特别是在血压、心率和腰围方面。
{"title":"Effect of physical exercises on anthropometric parameters, blood pressure and heart rate of young people and adults in Matola city–Mozambique","authors":"José Luís Sousa Manjate, Félix Salvador Chavane, L. Nhantumbo","doi":"10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00311","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00311","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: physical inactivity is a risk factor for chronic non-communicable diseases, causing morbidity and mortality and weight gain in the economy of nations. Objective: to analyze the effect of combined physical exercises on anthropometric and hemodynamic parameters in young and adults people in Cidade da Matola. Methodology: 22 subjects from 23 to 60 years old (8 female and 14 male) were randomly selected in 2017. The anthropometric assessment consisted of weight, height, BMI and waist circumference. Hemodynamic variables were evaluated with an Omron M3-HEM-7131-E tensiometer. The sample performed combined physical exercises for three consecutive months. Using SPSS, 20.0, at 95% CI, the non-parametric WILCOXON test was applied to examine the effect of physical exercises on the variables of interest. Results: globally, weight and BMI increased over the course of the intervention, however without statistical differences, on the other hand, height, WP, SBP, DBP and HR differed statistically: P=(0.019; 0.008; 0.048; 0.006; 0.000) respectively. After analyzing the sex, only male individuals registered statistically significant differences for WP, DBP and HR: P=(0.023; 0.006; 0.000) respectively. The age range of individuals aged ≥ 36 years revealed a significant effect of the intervention on the variables WP, DBP and HR: P=(0.022; 0.042; 0.001) respectively. Conclusions: although the sample size was small, globally, the effect of the intervention on the variables of interest was notorious, especially in Blood Pressure, Heart Rate and Waist Perimeter.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74176663","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Low-Cost Enhancement of Facial Mask Filtration to Prevent Transmission of COVID-19 低成本增强口罩过滤预防COVID-19传播
Pub Date : 2020-08-04 DOI: 10.1101/2020.08.01.20166637
Hari Bhimaraju, Nitish Nag, Ramesh C. Jain
The use of face masks is recommended worldwide to reduce the spread of COVID-19. A plethora of facial coverings and respirators, both commercial and homemade, pervade the market, but the true filtration capabilities of many homemade measures against the virus are unclear and continue to be unexplored. In this work, we compare the efficacy of the following masks in keeping out particulate matter below 2.5 microns: N95 respirators, surgical masks, cloth masks, cloth masks with activated carbon air filters, cloth masks with HVAC air filters, lightly starch-enhanced cloth masks, and heavily-starched cloth masks. The experiments utilize an inhalation system and aerosol chamber to simulate a masked individual respiring aerosolized air. COVID-19 disproportionately affects people in low-income communities, who often lack the resources to acquire appropriate personal protective equipment and tend to lack the flexibility to shelter in place due to their public-facing occupations. This work tests low-cost enhancements to homemade masks to assist these communities in making better masks to reduce viral transmission. Experimental results demonstrate that the filtration efficacy of cloth masks with either a light or heavy starch can approach the performance of much costlier masks. This discovery supports the idea of low-cost enhancements to reduce transmission and protect individuals from contracting COVID-19.
建议在世界范围内使用口罩,以减少COVID-19的传播。市面上充斥着大量商用和自制的口罩和呼吸器,但许多自制措施的真正过滤能力尚不清楚,而且仍未得到探索。在这项工作中,我们比较了以下几种口罩在阻挡2.5微米以下颗粒物方面的效果:N95口罩、外科口罩、布口罩、带活性炭空气过滤器的布口罩、带HVAC空气过滤器的布口罩、轻度淀粉增强的布口罩和重度淀粉增强的布口罩。该实验利用吸入系统和气溶胶室来模拟蒙面个体呼吸雾化空气。COVID-19对低收入社区人群的影响尤为严重,他们往往缺乏获得适当个人防护装备的资源,而且由于其面向公众的职业,往往缺乏在适当地点安置的灵活性。这项工作测试了自制口罩的低成本改进,以帮助这些社区制造更好的口罩,以减少病毒传播。实验结果表明,无论是轻淀粉还是重淀粉,布口罩的过滤效果都可以接近昂贵的口罩的性能。这一发现支持了低成本增强措施以减少传播和保护个人免受COVID-19感染的想法。
{"title":"Low-Cost Enhancement of Facial Mask Filtration to Prevent Transmission of COVID-19","authors":"Hari Bhimaraju, Nitish Nag, Ramesh C. Jain","doi":"10.1101/2020.08.01.20166637","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.08.01.20166637","url":null,"abstract":"The use of face masks is recommended worldwide to reduce the spread of COVID-19. A plethora of facial coverings and respirators, both commercial and homemade, pervade the market, but the true filtration capabilities of many homemade measures against the virus are unclear and continue to be unexplored. In this work, we compare the efficacy of the following masks in keeping out particulate matter below 2.5 microns: N95 respirators, surgical masks, cloth masks, cloth masks with activated carbon air filters, cloth masks with HVAC air filters, lightly starch-enhanced cloth masks, and heavily-starched cloth masks. The experiments utilize an inhalation system and aerosol chamber to simulate a masked individual respiring aerosolized air. COVID-19 disproportionately affects people in low-income communities, who often lack the resources to acquire appropriate personal protective equipment and tend to lack the flexibility to shelter in place due to their public-facing occupations. This work tests low-cost enhancements to homemade masks to assist these communities in making better masks to reduce viral transmission. Experimental results demonstrate that the filtration efficacy of cloth masks with either a light or heavy starch can approach the performance of much costlier masks. This discovery supports the idea of low-cost enhancements to reduce transmission and protect individuals from contracting COVID-19.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74797375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Estimation of survival and hazard curves of mixture Mirra cure rate model: Application to gastric and breast cancer data 混合Mirra治愈率模型的生存和危险曲线估计:在胃癌和乳腺癌数据中的应用
Pub Date : 2020-07-21 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00310
Marcos Vinicius de Oliveira Peres, F. D. dos Santos, Ricado Puziol de Oliveira
In many applications related to time to event data, especially in the medical field, it is common the presence of a fraction of individuals not expecting to experience the event of interest, these individuals immune to the event or cured for the disease during the study are known as long–term survivors. To estimate survival and hazard curves, in this situation, it is common the use of Weibull cure rate model due to its great flexibility and simplicity. In this paper, we present the estimation of survival and hazard curves using a extension of Mirra model using the classical cure rate approach and applying it to gastric and breast cancer data. The inferences of interest were obtained using a Bayesian approach and the results achieved from this study showed that the Mirra model has a good fit and could be an useful alternative for estimation and shape prediction of survival and hazard curves for long– term survivors, especially for cancer data. The results could be extended using regression approach in order to identify risk factor that affects the survival probability.
在与时间到事件数据相关的许多应用中,特别是在医疗领域,通常存在一小部分不期望经历感兴趣事件的个体,这些个体对该事件免疫或在研究期间治愈了该疾病,这些个体被称为长期幸存者。在这种情况下,通常使用威布尔治愈率模型来估计生存和危险曲线,因为它具有很大的灵活性和简单性。在本文中,我们提出了使用经典治愈率方法的Mirra模型的扩展并将其应用于胃癌和乳腺癌数据的生存和危险曲线的估计。使用贝叶斯方法获得感兴趣的推论,本研究的结果表明Mirra模型具有良好的拟合性,可以作为长期幸存者,特别是癌症数据的生存和危险曲线的估计和形状预测的有用替代方案。结果可以用回归方法进行扩展,以确定影响生存概率的危险因素。
{"title":"Estimation of survival and hazard curves of mixture Mirra cure rate model: Application to gastric and breast cancer data","authors":"Marcos Vinicius de Oliveira Peres, F. D. dos Santos, Ricado Puziol de Oliveira","doi":"10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00310","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00310","url":null,"abstract":"In many applications related to time to event data, especially in the medical field, it is common the presence of a fraction of individuals not expecting to experience the event of interest, these individuals immune to the event or cured for the disease during the study are known as long–term survivors. To estimate survival and hazard curves, in this situation, it is common the use of Weibull cure rate model due to its great flexibility and simplicity. In this paper, we present the estimation of survival and hazard curves using a extension of Mirra model using the classical cure rate approach and applying it to gastric and breast cancer data. The inferences of interest were obtained using a Bayesian approach and the results achieved from this study showed that the Mirra model has a good fit and could be an useful alternative for estimation and shape prediction of survival and hazard curves for long– term survivors, especially for cancer data. The results could be extended using regression approach in order to identify risk factor that affects the survival probability.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"88616261","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Profiling European countries on COVID–19 prevalence and association with non–pharmaceutical interventions 分析欧洲国家COVID-19流行情况及其与非药物干预措施的关系
Pub Date : 2020-07-14 DOI: 10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00309
J. Tallon, Paulo Gomes, L. Bacelar-Nicolau
Introduction It is essential to understand, on a large geographical scale, the dimension of the COVID–19 pandemic by identifying the most affected countries, knowing that all the world is suffering an unusual disruption regarding several health impacts, but also heavy economic, financial and social effects. A key role is reserved to Data Science to understand the present and to deepen a prospective analysis at COVID–19 day after. Objective The main objective of the present study is to describe the COVID–19 prevalence in EU and five other OECD countries using five epidemiological variables. Secondly their association with non–pharmaceutical measures taken in some countries to control and attenuate the evolution of the epidemic was analyzed. Methods The COVID–19 study covers twenty–six EU countries and additionally Switzerland, Norway, Turkey, Israel and United Kingdom. Five epidemiologic variables were analyzed by 100.000 inhabitants at the beginning of May 2020: total number of cases, total number of deaths, total number of active cases, total number of critical or serious cases and total number of tests. Also, eight non–pharmaceutical measures were selected for association purposes. A multivariate statistical exploratory approach with principal components, hierarchical and non–hierarchical (k–means) cluster analyses was applied. Results A COVID–19 prevalence typology of four country clusters was identified regarding EU countries and five OECD countries on early May. In the two clusters, with a total of ten countries where the pandemic seemed to evolve more seriously, different patterns regarding the number of tests are observed. Two other clusters, with 12 and 9 countries, show an intermediate or low prevalence but differences in testing patterns. For EU countries of both clusters more affected, COVID–19 containment strategies were studied considering three modalities of implementation timing for eight non–pharmaceutical measures. The three different behaviors mirrored the clusters findings. Countries previously classified into cluster 1 appear together again, as do countries belonging to cluster 2. In spite of a common behavior for some measures, generally countries of cluster 2 implemented other interventions later in time. Sweden is a “special case”, taking just a few of these measures, most of them later than other countries.
必须通过确定受影响最严重的国家,在广泛的地理范围内了解COVID-19大流行的规模,因为要知道全世界正在遭受几种健康影响方面的不寻常中断,以及严重的经济、金融和社会影响。数据科学在了解现状和深化对2019冠状病毒病的前瞻性分析方面发挥着关键作用。本研究的主要目的是使用五个流行病学变量描述COVID-19在欧盟和其他五个经合组织国家的流行情况。其次,分析了它们与一些国家为控制和减轻流行病演变而采取的非药物措施的关系。方法对26个欧盟国家以及瑞士、挪威、土耳其、以色列和英国进行COVID-19研究。2020年5月初,以10万名居民为对象,分析了5个流行病学变量:病例总数、死亡总数、活跃病例总数、危重病例总数和检测总数。此外,还选择了8种非药物措施进行关联。采用多元统计探索性方法,包括主成分、分层和非分层(k-means)聚类分析。结果5月初,在欧盟国家和5个经合组织国家中确定了4个国家的COVID-19流行类型。在这两个集群中,共有10个国家的大流行似乎发展得更为严重,但在检测次数方面观察到不同的模式。另外两组,分别有12个和9个国家,显示出中等或低流行率,但检测模式有所不同。对于受影响更严重的两个群集的欧盟国家,研究了COVID-19遏制战略,考虑了八项非药物措施的三种实施时间模式。这三种不同的行为反映了群集的发现。以前属于第一类的国家再次出现在一起,属于第二类的国家也是如此。尽管某些措施具有共同的行为,但第2类国家通常较晚实施了其他干预措施。瑞典是一个“特例”,它只采取了其中的几项措施,而且大多数都比其他国家晚。
{"title":"Profiling European countries on COVID–19 prevalence and association with non–pharmaceutical interventions","authors":"J. Tallon, Paulo Gomes, L. Bacelar-Nicolau","doi":"10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00309","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00309","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction It is essential to understand, on a large geographical scale, the dimension of the COVID–19 pandemic by identifying the most affected countries, knowing that all the world is suffering an unusual disruption regarding several health impacts, but also heavy economic, financial and social effects. A key role is reserved to Data Science to understand the present and to deepen a prospective analysis at COVID–19 day after. Objective The main objective of the present study is to describe the COVID–19 prevalence in EU and five other OECD countries using five epidemiological variables. Secondly their association with non–pharmaceutical measures taken in some countries to control and attenuate the evolution of the epidemic was analyzed. Methods The COVID–19 study covers twenty–six EU countries and additionally Switzerland, Norway, Turkey, Israel and United Kingdom. Five epidemiologic variables were analyzed by 100.000 inhabitants at the beginning of May 2020: total number of cases, total number of deaths, total number of active cases, total number of critical or serious cases and total number of tests. Also, eight non–pharmaceutical measures were selected for association purposes. A multivariate statistical exploratory approach with principal components, hierarchical and non–hierarchical (k–means) cluster analyses was applied. Results A COVID–19 prevalence typology of four country clusters was identified regarding EU countries and five OECD countries on early May. In the two clusters, with a total of ten countries where the pandemic seemed to evolve more seriously, different patterns regarding the number of tests are observed. Two other clusters, with 12 and 9 countries, show an intermediate or low prevalence but differences in testing patterns. For EU countries of both clusters more affected, COVID–19 containment strategies were studied considering three modalities of implementation timing for eight non–pharmaceutical measures. The three different behaviors mirrored the clusters findings. Countries previously classified into cluster 1 appear together again, as do countries belonging to cluster 2. In spite of a common behavior for some measures, generally countries of cluster 2 implemented other interventions later in time. Sweden is a “special case”, taking just a few of these measures, most of them later than other countries.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78253073","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Volume techniques for estimating standing and lying dead wood in Okomu national park, Edo state, Nigeria 估算尼日利亚埃多州Okomu国家公园立木和躺木的体积技术
Pub Date : 2020-06-15 DOI: 10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00308
Aghimien E.V, Osikabor B, A. M.S, Adams O.T
Dimensions are essential characteristics to estimate standing and lying dead wood volumes. Therefore, the study is aimed at estimating standing and lying dead wood volumes with a view to identify the variation that exist amongst volume equations in Okomu National Park. Hossfeld’s equation and other volume equations should be considered suitable for estimating volume of standing and lying deadwood, depending on the available variable.
尺寸是估算直立和躺卧枯木体积的基本特征。因此,该研究旨在估计直立和躺卧的枯木量,以确定Okomu国家公园中存在的体积方程之间的变化。根据可用变量的不同,应认为Hossfeld方程和其他体积方程适用于估算立木和卧木的体积。
{"title":"Volume techniques for estimating standing and lying dead wood in Okomu national park, Edo state, Nigeria","authors":"Aghimien E.V, Osikabor B, A. M.S, Adams O.T","doi":"10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00308","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00308","url":null,"abstract":"Dimensions are essential characteristics to estimate standing and lying dead wood volumes. Therefore, the study is aimed at estimating standing and lying dead wood volumes with a view to identify the variation that exist amongst volume equations in Okomu National Park. Hossfeld’s equation and other volume equations should be considered suitable for estimating volume of standing and lying deadwood, depending on the available variable.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80446090","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A simple Fibonacci weighted scoring system to rate examinations of children with respiratory illness 一个简单的斐波那契加权评分系统来评估患有呼吸道疾病的儿童的检查
Pub Date : 2020-06-11 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00307
Flynn Mf, Black Ct
A thorough examination of the head and neck is necessary to establish a diagnosis in pyrexial children, and for the exclusion of rare, but not to be missed conditions, such as Lymphoma and EBV. Scoring systems are a key tool in providing feedback to clinicians on how well these are carried out, and tracking their improvements. This audit looked at how well children with suspected respiratory illness were examined and how this was improved with such a tool. Feverish children over the age of 6 months were tracked: by whom they saw and how well they were examined. The quality of examination was stratified under a 3-teir standard (Gold, Silver and Bronze) with the “Gold” examinations including correct documentation of the state of ears, throat and lymph nodes, with Silver and Bronze allocated to standards approaching this. This Fennobacci-weighted scoring system was employed to average a score achieved by each grade over 21-month periods. Clinicians had re-education on the clinical exams in the interim. Junior doctors improved scores by 25%, nurse practitioners by 112% and more senior grades by 6%. The scoring system proved a motivational feedback mechanism across teams. Revalidation and confidence-building are required for doctors in training to achieve a high consistency in clinical examination, and novel scoring systems can be helpful in achieving this.
对发热儿童进行彻底的头颈部检查是必要的,以确定诊断,并排除罕见但不可错过的疾病,如淋巴瘤和EBV。评分系统是向临床医生提供反馈的关键工具,可以了解这些措施的实施情况,并跟踪其改进情况。这次审计着眼于对疑似呼吸道疾病儿童的检查情况,以及如何利用这种工具改善检查情况。研究人员对6个月以上的发烧儿童进行了跟踪调查:他们与谁见面,接受了怎样的检查。检查质量按3级标准(金、银、铜)分层,“金”级检查包括耳朵、喉咙和淋巴结状态的正确记录,银和铜级检查的标准与此相近。采用fennobaci加权评分系统对每个年级在21个月期间取得的分数进行平均。在此期间,临床医生接受了临床考试的再教育。初级医生的得分提高了25%,执业护士提高了112%,高级护士提高了6%。得分系统被证明是跨团队的激励反馈机制。培训医生需要重新验证和建立信任,以实现临床检查的高度一致性,而新的评分系统可以帮助实现这一目标。
{"title":"A simple Fibonacci weighted scoring system to rate examinations of children with respiratory illness","authors":"Flynn Mf, Black Ct","doi":"10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00307","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00307","url":null,"abstract":"A thorough examination of the head and neck is necessary to establish a diagnosis in pyrexial children, and for the exclusion of rare, but not to be missed conditions, such as Lymphoma and EBV. Scoring systems are a key tool in providing feedback to clinicians on how well these are carried out, and tracking their improvements. This audit looked at how well children with suspected respiratory illness were examined and how this was improved with such a tool. Feverish children over the age of 6 months were tracked: by whom they saw and how well they were examined. The quality of examination was stratified under a 3-teir standard (Gold, Silver and Bronze) with the “Gold” examinations including correct documentation of the state of ears, throat and lymph nodes, with Silver and Bronze allocated to standards approaching this. This Fennobacci-weighted scoring system was employed to average a score achieved by each grade over 21-month periods. Clinicians had re-education on the clinical exams in the interim. Junior doctors improved scores by 25%, nurse practitioners by 112% and more senior grades by 6%. The scoring system proved a motivational feedback mechanism across teams. Revalidation and confidence-building are required for doctors in training to achieve a high consistency in clinical examination, and novel scoring systems can be helpful in achieving this.","PeriodicalId":90455,"journal":{"name":"Biometrics & biostatistics international journal","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85859210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Biometrics & biostatistics international journal
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1