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A note on size– biased new quasi Poisson– Lindley distribution 关于尺寸偏置的新拟泊松-林德利分布的注记
Pub Date : 2020-06-09 DOI: 10.15406/BBIJ.2020.09.00306
R. Shanker, Kamlesh Kumar Shukla, Ravi Shanker
In this paper some important properties including coefficients of variation, skewness, kurtosis and index of dispersion of size–biased new quasi Poisson–Lindley distribution (SBNQPLD) have been discussed and their behaviors have been explained graphically for varying values of parameters. Some applications of SBNQPLD have also been discussed.
本文讨论了尺寸偏新拟泊松-林德利分布(SBNQPLD)的一些重要性质,包括变异系数、偏度、峰度和色散指数,并图解地解释了它们在参数值变化时的行为。讨论了SBNQPLD的一些应用。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of risk factors for mortality among adult HIV infected patients on antiretroviral therapy: A case of hossana queen elleni mohammad memorial hospital, hossana, Ethiopia 接受抗逆转录病毒治疗的成年艾滋病毒感染者死亡率的危险因素分析:以埃塞俄比亚荷萨纳埃莱尼·穆罕默德皇后纪念医院为例
Pub Date : 2020-05-20 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00304
G. Mekebo, Adinew Handiso, O. Reddy
ven though the use of ART has brought a significant reduction in the mortality and morbidity of patients living with HIV/AIDS, a number of patients still die after the start of ART. This study was aimed at identifying factors associated with mortality among adult HIV infected patients who are on ART in HQEMM Hospital. The data for the study was obtained from HQEMM Hospital ART clinic. The HIV infected patients 15 years of age and who were under ART from March 2009 up to May 2015 were included in the study. Logistic regression model was employed to analyze the data to identify factors associated with Mortality of HIV infected patients. A total of 400 adult HIV infected patients who were taking ART were included in the study. Out of these patients, 18.75% of them died. The results obtained from logistic regression analysis showed that age, level of education, alcohol, baseline weight, TB status, and baseline CD4 count were significant factors of mortality of HIV infected patients taking ART in HQEMM Hospital. Patients with no education were more likely to die than those who attended at least primary school. Patients who drink alcohol were also more likely to die than those who do not. Health workers need to support those patients with no or little education by continuous awareness creation of taking care of themselves and knowing what factors facilitate death. Patients who drink alcohol need to be given advice to reduce excessive drinking.
尽管抗逆转录病毒疗法的使用大大降低了艾滋病毒/艾滋病患者的死亡率和发病率,但仍有一些患者在开始抗逆转录病毒疗法后死亡。本研究旨在确定在HQEMM医院接受抗逆转录病毒治疗的成年艾滋病毒感染者死亡率的相关因素。本研究的数据来自HQEMM医院ART诊所。研究对象为2009年3月至2015年5月期间接受抗逆转录病毒治疗的15岁艾滋病毒感染者。采用Logistic回归模型对数据进行分析,找出与HIV感染者死亡率相关的因素。共有400名接受抗逆转录病毒治疗的成年艾滋病毒感染者参与了这项研究。在这些患者中,18.75%的人死亡。logistic回归分析结果显示,年龄、文化程度、酒精、基线体重、结核病状况、基线CD4计数是影响HQEMM医院接受ART治疗的HIV感染者死亡率的显著因素。没有受过教育的患者比那些至少上过小学的患者更容易死亡。喝酒的病人也比不喝酒的病人更容易死亡。卫生工作者需要通过不断提高对照顾自己和了解导致死亡的因素的认识,来支持那些没有或很少接受教育的病人。饮酒的病人需要得到减少过度饮酒的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Target classification using machine learning approaches with applications to clinical studies 机器学习方法在临床研究中的应用
Pub Date : 2020-05-02 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00305
Chen Qian, Jayesh P. Rai, Jianmin Pan, A. Bhatnagar, C. McClain, S. Rai
Machine learning has been a trending topic for which almost every research area would like to incorporate some of the technique in their studies. In this paper, we demonstrate several machine learning models using two different data sets. One data set is the thermograms time series data on a cancer study that was conducted at the University of Louisville Hospital, and the other set is from the world-renowned Framingham Heart Study. Thermograms can be used to determine a patient’s health status, yet the difficulty of analyzing such a high-dimensional dataset makes it rarely applied, especially in cancer research. Previously, Rai et al.1 proposed an approach for data reduction along with comparison between parametric method, non-parametric method (KNN), and semiparametric method (DTW-KNN) for group classification. They concluded that the performance of two-group classification is better than the three-group classification. In addition, the classifications between types of cancer are somewhat challenging. The Framingham Heart Study is a famous longitudinal dataset which includes risk factors that could potentially lead to the heart disease. Previously, Weng et al.2 and Alaa et al.3 concluded that machine learning could significantly improve the accuracy of cardiovascular risk prediction. Since the original Framingham data have been thoroughly analyzed, it would be interesting to see how machine learning models could improve prediction. In this manuscript, we further analyze both the thermogram and the Framingham Heart Study datasets with several learning models such as gradient boosting, neural network, and random forest by using SAS Visual Data Mining and Machine Learning on SAS Viya. Each method is briefly discussed along with a model comparison. Based on the Youden’s index and misclassification rate, we select the best learning model. For big data inference, SAS Visual Data Mining and Machine Learning on SAS Viya, a cloud computing and structured statistical solution, may become a choice of computing.
机器学习已经成为一个热门话题,几乎每个研究领域都希望在他们的研究中纳入一些技术。在本文中,我们使用两个不同的数据集演示了几个机器学习模型。一组数据是在路易斯维尔大学医院进行的一项癌症研究的热成像时间序列数据,另一组来自世界著名的弗雷明汉心脏研究。热像图可用于确定患者的健康状况,但分析这种高维数据集的难度使其很少应用,特别是在癌症研究中。之前,Rai et al.1提出了一种数据约简方法,并比较了参数方法、非参数方法(KNN)和半参数方法(dww -KNN)进行分组分类。他们得出结论,两组分类的表现优于三组分类。此外,癌症类型之间的分类有些挑战性。弗雷明汉心脏研究是一个著名的纵向数据集,其中包括可能导致心脏病的风险因素。此前,Weng et al.2和Alaa et al.3得出结论,机器学习可以显著提高心血管风险预测的准确性。由于原始的Framingham数据已经被彻底分析过,所以看看机器学习模型如何改进预测将是一件很有趣的事情。在本文中,我们使用SAS可视化数据挖掘和SAS Viya上的机器学习,利用梯度增强、神经网络和随机森林等几种学习模型进一步分析了热像图和Framingham心脏研究数据集。每种方法都进行了简要讨论,并进行了模型比较。基于约登指数和误分类率,选择最佳学习模型。对于大数据推理,基于SAS Viya的SAS可视化数据挖掘和机器学习,这是一种云计算和结构化统计解决方案,可能成为计算的选择。
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引用次数: 1
Time truncated control chart using log logistic distribution 使用对数逻辑分布的时间截断控制图
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00303
G. Srinivasa Rao, Edward R. Paul
Control charts are considered as important tools when producer wants to produce goods or services of high–quality. These charts help producers to manufacture products based on specified limits by monitoring the quality beforehand.1 There are a number of control charts developed to monitor production process in different situations. One of the major characteristics of many control charts is that the production process should follow normal distribution. Ouyang et al.2 and Pearn and Wu3 they mentioned efficiency of process capability (PC) based on the production process which follows normally distributed processes. According to Aslam and Jun1 there are also other control charts which are developed based on non–normal distributions which are being used when the production process follows other distributions rather than normal. Rao4 developed a control chart for time truncated life tests using exponentiated half logistic distribution and Rao et al.5 constructed attribute control charts for the Dagum distribution under truncated life tests.
当生产者想要生产高质量的产品或服务时,控制图被认为是重要的工具。这些图表通过事先监测质量,帮助生产者根据规定的限量生产产品在不同的情况下,开发了许多控制图来监控生产过程。许多控制图的主要特征之一是生产过程应遵循正态分布。欧阳等人2和Pearn和Wu3他们提到了基于遵循正态分布过程的生产过程的过程能力(PC)效率。根据Aslam和Jun1的说法,还有其他基于非正态分布的控制图,当生产过程遵循其他分布而不是正态分布时,使用这些控制图。Rao4利用指数半logistic分布构造了时间截断寿命试验的控制图,Rao等5构造了截断寿命试验下Dagum分布的属性控制图。
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引用次数: 2
Predicting cessation of orthodontic treatments using a classification-based approach 使用基于分类的方法预测正畸治疗的停止
Pub Date : 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00302
R. Dharmasena, Lakshika S. Nawarathna, Ruwan D. Nawarathna, V. Vithanaarachchi
In recent years, dental care has received increasing attention from people across the globe. With growing living conditions, people are more aware of preventable conditions that might be avoided. Malocclusion is one among the most studied problems in orthodontics. The statistical predictive model building plays a vital role in dentistry particularly, for clinical decision making. Developing a model for predicting the factors affecting for discontinuation of treatment is a vital step in assessing the therapeutic effect of treatment, resource management and cost reduction in the healthcare industry. Logistic regression and Probit regression models are considered as a successful widely used approach to analyze a classification problem with factor predictor variables. In this study, Naïve Bayes classifier and random forest classification models are introduced to predict discontinuation of orthodontic treatments of dental patients. Based on this study the duration of active treatment was the most significant factor affecting the discontinuation of the treatment. When comparing the four approaches, random forest classifier showed the highest accuracy and specificity, while Naïve Bayes model indicated the highest sensitivity on the prediction of discontinuation of the treatment. Besides, the classification-based approach with modern predictive algorithms shows a robust result for orthodontic data.
近年来,牙科保健越来越受到全球人们的关注。随着生活条件的提高,人们更加意识到可以避免的可预防疾病。错牙合是正畸学中研究最多的问题之一。统计预测模型的建立在牙科临床决策中起着至关重要的作用。开发一个模型来预测影响停止治疗的因素是评估治疗效果、资源管理和降低医疗保健行业成本的重要步骤。逻辑回归和Probit回归模型被认为是分析具有因子预测变量的分类问题的一种成功的、广泛使用的方法。在本研究中,引入Naïve贝叶斯分类器和随机森林分类模型来预测牙科患者停止正畸治疗。根据本研究,积极治疗的持续时间是影响停止治疗的最重要因素。在四种方法的比较中,随机森林分类器的准确率和特异性最高,而Naïve贝叶斯模型对停药的预测灵敏度最高。此外,基于分类的方法与现代预测算法对正畸数据显示了鲁棒性结果。
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引用次数: 2
Shock models leading to G* class of lifetime distributions 导致G*类寿命分布的冲击模型
Pub Date : 2020-04-29 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00301
K. V. Jayamol, K. K. Jose
In this paper we study a stochastic ordering namely alternate probability generating function (a.p.g.f .... ) ordering and its properties. The life distribution H(t) of a device subject to shocks governed by a Poisson process is considered as a function of the probabilities Pk of surviving the first k shocks. Various properties of the discrete failure distribution Pk are shown to be reflected in corresponding properties of the continuous life distribution H(t). A certain cumulative damage model and various applications of these models in reliability modeling are also considered.
本文研究了一种随机排序即交替概率生成函数(a.p.g.f ....)。排序及其性质。受泊松过程控制的冲击的设备的寿命分布H(t)被认为是前k次冲击幸存概率Pk的函数。可以看出,离散失效分布Pk的各种性质反映在连续寿命分布H(t)的相应性质中。考虑了某一累积损伤模型及其在可靠性建模中的各种应用。
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引用次数: 0
A New coefficient of Skewness for grouped data 一种新的分组数据偏度系数
Pub Date : 2020-04-06 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00300
M. Eltehiwy, Abu-Bakr A. AbdulMotaal
The primary objective of this paper is to introduce a new measure for detecting skewness for grouped data, which is simpler than the current measures in its application. The new proposed coefficient of skewness based on the cumulative frequency data and hence uses more information from the tails of the distribution and thus will be more appropriate to detect asymmetry in the data. Another advantage of the new statistic is that it is bounded by -1 and +1; hence, the coefficients of skewness can be interpreted easily. Simulation study is employed to assess the performance of the proposed coefficient of skewness with three of the classical measure of skewness appeared in the literature using the mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). The simulation study strongly supports the use of the proposed measure for comparing the degrees of skewness of different frequency distributions.
本文的主要目的是介绍一种新的检测分组数据偏度的方法,该方法在应用上比现有的方法更简单。新提出的偏度系数基于累积频率数据,因此使用了更多来自分布尾部的信息,因此将更适合于检测数据中的不对称性。新统计量的另一个优点是它的边界是-1和+1;因此,偏度系数可以很容易地解释。利用均方误差(MSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)对文献中出现的三种经典偏度度量方法进行了仿真研究,以评估所提出的偏度系数的性能。仿真研究有力地支持使用所提出的度量来比较不同频率分布的偏度。
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引用次数: 0
Healthcare professionals’ perception of hospital and unit-Level managers’ contribution to improving safety 医疗保健专业人员对医院和单位管理人员对改善安全的贡献的看法
Pub Date : 2020-03-09 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00299
Heon-Jae Jeong, S. Han, H. Liao, Wui-Chiang Lee
The Safety Attitudes Questionnaire (SAQ) is a popular instrument to measure safety culture; however, its six domains have not been equally analyzed and used. Perception of management (PM), one of the underutilized domains, consists of two sets of the same items: one set for unit-level managers and the other for hospital-level managers. The SAQ was administered in a large tertiary hospital in Seoul, with 1,381 questionnaires being returned, including approximately 74% from women and 54% from nurses, which reflects Korea’s healthcare professional composition well. Respondents were asked to score management’s behavior in improving quality and safety. To calculate the score difference (unit managers’ score less hospital managers’ score), the generalized estimating equation was used to take the clinical unit’s clustering effects into account. In all subgroups and all PM items, the unit managers’ score was higher than that of hospital managers; most differences were statistically significant. On a scale of 0 to 100, the greatest difference was observed in the pharmacist group (14.5). In most cases, the score difference was around four to six. Various hypothetical explanations were offered. In Korea, many hospital managers are evaluated by hospitals’ financial performance and, quite often, monetary compensation for adverse events costs less than investing in improving safety, although there is no concrete evidence for this yet. In addition, hospital management’s term lasts around two to three years, which is too short of a time for a hospital’s reputation to drop in Korea’s healthcare environment. Consequently, hospital managers naturally put less emphasis on preventing medical errors. Another explanation arises from healthcare professionals’ fear of being reprimanded after giving a low score to unit managers. Although this survey was administered anonymously, respondents could have felt uncomfortable being critical of their unit managers, who will supervise respondents for a long time. These reasons are all conjecture. Further study is needed.
安全态度问卷(SAQ)是衡量安全文化的常用工具;然而,它的六个领域并没有得到平等的分析和使用。管理感知(PM)是未充分利用的领域之一,由两组相同的项目组成:一组用于单位级管理人员,另一组用于医院级管理人员。SAQ在首尔的一家大型三级医院进行,共收到1,381份问卷,其中约74%来自女性,54%来自护士,这很好地反映了韩国医疗保健专业人员的构成。受访者被要求对管理层在提高质量和安全方面的行为进行评分。为了计算分值差(单位管理者的分值减去医院管理者的分值),我们使用广义估计方程来考虑临床单位的聚类效应。在所有亚组和所有项目管理中,单位管理人员得分均高于医院管理人员;大多数差异具有统计学意义。在0到100的范围内,药剂师组的差异最大(14.5)。在大多数情况下,得分差距大约在4到6分之间。人们提出了各种假设的解释。在韩国,许多医院的管理人员都是通过医院的财务业绩来评估的,而且,对不良事件的金钱补偿往往比投资于提高安全性的成本要低,尽管目前还没有具体的证据证明这一点。另外,医院的经营周期为2 ~ 3年,在韩国的医疗环境中,医院的声誉会下降,这是非常短的时间。因此,医院管理者自然不太重视预防医疗差错。另一种解释是,医护人员害怕在给部门经理打低分后受到训斥。虽然这项调查是匿名进行的,但受访者可能会对他们的部门经理提出批评感到不舒服,因为他们将长期监督受访者。这些理由都是推测。需要进一步的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying prognosticators covariates of child nutritional status in ethiopia: A bayesian generalized additive modelling approach 识别埃塞俄比亚儿童营养状况的预测协变量:贝叶斯广义加性建模方法
Pub Date : 2020-02-28 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00297
Reta Habtamu Bacha
Malnutrition among children under age five is the major public health delinquent issue in the developing world, particularly in Ethiopia. This study aimed to figure out determinants of Ethiopian children malnutrition by applying Bayesian approach with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques on the 2011 EDHS data. The preliminary analysis indicated that the overall prevalence of underweight among children in Ethiopia is found 36.4%. Bayesian generalized additive regression model applied to flexibly estimate effects of socio-economic, demographic, health and environmental covariates. The estimation result showed that covariates succeeding birth interval, gender of child, child by choice not by chance, vaccination and cough are significantly affect the children nutritional status in Ethiopia. The effect of child age, mother’s age at child birth, succeeding birth intervals, number of household member and birth order were also explored non-parametrically as determinants of children nutritional status. Based up on this biometric analysis, concerned governmental and non-governmental bodies should give emphasis on the significant covariates to improve the children nutritional status of the country.
5岁以下儿童营养不良是发展中国家,特别是埃塞俄比亚的主要公共卫生问题。本研究旨在通过将贝叶斯方法与马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)技术应用于2011年EDHS数据,找出埃塞俄比亚儿童营养不良的决定因素。初步分析表明,埃塞俄比亚儿童体重不足的总体患病率为36.4%。应用贝叶斯广义加性回归模型灵活估计社会经济、人口、健康和环境协变量的影响。估计结果表明,继生育间隔、儿童性别、选择而非偶然、接种疫苗和咳嗽等协变量对埃塞俄比亚儿童营养状况有显著影响。儿童年龄、母亲分娩年龄、后续生育间隔、家庭成员数量和出生顺序的影响也被作为儿童营养状况的非参数决定因素进行了探讨。基于这种生物特征分析,有关的政府和非政府机构应重视重要的协变量,以改善该国儿童的营养状况。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing the livelihood status of fishermen at Sunamganj district in Bangladesh 评估孟加拉国Sunamganj地区渔民的生计状况
Pub Date : 2020-02-28 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2020.09.00295
M. Hossain, Shahnaj Sultana Sathi, Md. Sabbir Hossain, Mst Farzana Akter, M. O. Ullah
Fish is considered as one of the most essential food items that provide proteins to build our body throughout the world. In Bangladesh, Fish and Fisheries sectors play an immensely important role in terms of nutrition, income, employment generation and foreign exchange earnings. Most of the lands in Sunamganj covered by haors and cannals and therefore many people in this area are involved in capturing fish than fish farming. In this study we aimed to assess the livelihood status of fishermen at Sunamganj. For this we randomly collected data based on a questionnaire from 425 fishermen during April 2018. We found most of the fishermen belong to middle age group and had middle family size. Around 56.3% fishermen took loan from different banks while only 3.1% received loan from NGO. The financial condition of fishers was observed very poor as the land owned by them was decreasing day by day. Though there was significant increase in monthly income compare to last 10 years, however it’s not sufficient for better livelihood. Their socio-economic condition doesn’t match with national economic progress. The results of logistic regression model shows that earning members had significant influence (OR=1.77, CI: 0.965,3.272, P<0.10) on taking loan, indicates that households with only one earning member are 1.77 times as likely to take loan than household with more than one earning members. That is taking loan is likely to increase around 77% for households with only one earning member. About 89.9% fishermen were afraid about their future earnings due to early/flash flood. Taken together, we may conclude that overall situation of the livelihood status is not so good because of more illiteracy, more loan and natural disasters like flood. So government and non-government organizations should play role to improve their economic status by providing well education to their children as well as give more incentives so that they don’t need to take loan. In addition, need to construct of embankment or dam for protecting them from flood as well.
鱼被认为是世界上最重要的食物之一,为我们的身体提供蛋白质。在孟加拉国,鱼类和渔业部门在营养、收入、创造就业和外汇收入方面发挥着极其重要的作用。suamganj的大部分土地都被haors和运河覆盖,因此该地区的许多人从事捕鱼而不是养鱼。在本研究中,我们旨在评估Sunamganj渔民的生计状况。为此,我们根据2018年4月对425名渔民的调查问卷随机收集了数据。我们发现大多数渔民属于中年群体,家庭规模中等。大约56.3%的渔民从不同的银行贷款,而只有3.1%的渔民从非政府组织获得贷款。渔民的经济状况很差,因为他们拥有的土地日益减少。虽然与过去10年相比,月收入有了显著的增长,但这还不足以改善生活。他们的社会经济状况与国家经济发展不相适应。logistic回归模型结果显示,家庭成员对贷款有显著影响(OR=1.77, CI: 0.965,3.272, P<0.10),表明只有一个家庭成员的家庭贷款可能性是家庭成员多于一个家庭贷款可能性的1.77倍。对于只有一个收入成员的家庭来说,贷款可能会增加77%左右。约有89.9%的渔民担心他们未来的收入会因早期/山洪暴发而受到影响。综上所述,我们可以得出结论,由于更多的文盲,更多的贷款和像洪水这样的自然灾害,整体的生活状况并不好。所以政府和非政府组织应该发挥作用,通过为他们的孩子提供良好的教育来提高他们的经济地位,并给予更多的激励,这样他们就不需要贷款了。此外,还需要修建堤坝或大坝来保护它们免受洪水的侵袭。
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引用次数: 5
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Biometrics & biostatistics international journal
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