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Construction and validation of a prognostic nomogram for predicting short-term mortality in acute respiratory failure patients: a retrospective cohort study based on the MIMIC-IV database. 构建和验证预测急性呼吸衰竭患者短期死亡率的预后nomogram:基于MIMIC-IV数据库的回顾性队列研究
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04067-0
Yunlong Wang, Haichao Zhang, Xinyue Ma, Wei Yang

Objective: This study aimed to identify short-term mortality risk factors for patients with acute respiratory failure (ARF) the MIMIC-IV database, construct a prognostic nomogram and evaluate its predictive performance compared to conventional scoring systems.

Methods: Clinical data from patients diagnosed with ARF were retrospectively collected from the MIMIC-IV database and randomly divided into training and validation groups. The variables were selected via the Lasson regression, and a nomogram was constructed. The nomogram was compared with acute physiology score III (APSIII), simplified acute physiology scores II (SAPS II) and oxford acute severity of illness score (OASIS) model via the C-index, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI), decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: A total of 559 patients were included. The study identified nine independent risk factors: age (HR: 1.022, 95% CI: 1.008-1.036, P = 0.002), WBC (HR: 1.060, 95% CI:1.033-1.086, P < 0.001), glucose levels (HR:1.002, 95% CI: 1.001-1.004, P = 0.003), temperature (HR: 0.544, 95% CI: 0.430-0.689, P < 0.001), metastatic solid tumor (HR: 2.138, 95% CI: 1.045-4.372, P = 0.037), malignant cancer (HR: 2.455, 95% CI: 1.456-4.138, P < 0.001), diabetes without chronic complications (HR: 0.288, 95% CI: 0.157-0.807, P < 0.001), cerebrovascular disease (HR: 2.156, 95% CI: 1.180-3.940, P = 0.012), dementia (HR: 2.23, 95% CI: 1.132-4.392, P = 0.020). The nomogram demonstrated strong discriminative performance with C-indices of 0.782 and 0.749 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The AUC for the Training and Validation cohorts were 0.811 (APS III: 0.652; SAPS II: 0.672; OASIS: 0.624) and 0.790 (APS III: 0.634; SAPS II: 0.652; OASIS: 0.609), respectively. The nomogram also significantly outperformed traditional scoring systems, as evidenced by positive NRI and IDI values.

Conclusion: The newly developed nomogram exhibits superior predictive capability to traditional scoring systems (APS III, SAPS II and OASIS scores), offering clinicians a practical and reliable tool for accurately assessing short-term mortality risks in ICU patients with ARF.

目的:本研究旨在通过MIMIC-IV数据库识别急性呼吸衰竭(ARF)患者的短期死亡危险因素,构建预后nomogram,并比较其与传统评分系统的预测效果。方法:从MIMIC-IV数据库中回顾性收集诊断为ARF的患者的临床资料,随机分为训练组和验证组。通过Lasson回归选择变量,并构建nomogram。通过c指数、受试者工作特征曲线下面积(ROC)、净重分类指数(NRI)、综合判别改善指数(IDI)、决策曲线分析(DCA)将nomogram与急性生理评分III (APSIII)、简化急性生理评分II (SAPS II)和牛津急性疾病严重程度评分(OASIS)模型进行比较。结果:共纳入559例患者。研究确定了9个独立的危险因素:年龄(HR: 1.022, 95% CI: 1.008-1.036, P = 0.002)、白细胞(HR: 1.060, 95% CI:1.033-1.086, P)。结论:新开发的nomogram预测能力优于传统的评分系统(APS III, SAPS II和OASIS评分),为临床医生准确评估ICU ARF患者的短期死亡风险提供了实用可靠的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Age > 50 years and PaO₂ ≤ 90 mmHg are the two dominant predictive factors for secondary spontaneous pneumothorax in male patients: an observational study. 一项观察性研究表明,年龄> ~ 50岁和pao2≤90 mmHg是男性患者继发性自发性气胸的两个主要预测因素。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2026-01-02 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04096-9
Bangfeng Zhao, Xiaobo Song

Background: Current understanding indicates that primary spontaneous pneumothorax (PSP) typically occurs in younger individuals, whereas secondary spontaneous pneumothorax (SSP) is more common in older patients. However, the specific age distribution patterns distinguishing these two types of spontaneous pneumothorax (SP) remain poorly characterized. Furthermore, while a low partial pressure of oxygen (PaO₂) is a recognized clinical feature of pneumothorax, limited research has explored whether lower PaO₂ levels are specifically indicative of underlying lung disease in patients with SSP.

Methods: In this observational cohort study, we enrolled 473 male SP patients over a six-year period. We use frequency distribution plots to observe the distribution differences of continuous variables between SSP and PSP patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and logistic regression modeling were employed to quantify the association between age, PaO₂, and SSP.

Results: The frequency distributions of age and PaO₂ were bimodal in patients with PSP and SSP. Multivariate logistic regression analysis identified age (using a cutoff of > 50 vs. ≤50 years) and PaO₂ (using a cutoff of > 90 vs. ≤90 mmHg) as independent factors associated with SSP, with odds ratios (ORs) of 10.58 (95% CI: 6.15-18.20) and 0.45 (95% CI: 0.27-0.74), respectively. While alternative cutoffs of age (> 40 vs. ≤40 years) and PaO₂ (> 85 vs. ≤85 mmHg) were also significant, with ORs of 7.74 (95% CI: 4.46-13.41) and 0.32 (95% CI: 0.19-0.55), the OR for age was lower (a decrease of 2.84 from the > 50-year cutoff). ROC curve analysis showed that the sensitivity and specificity for distinguishing SSP were 0.835 (95%CI: 0.812-0.853) and 0.789 (95%CI: 0.779-0.801), respectively, for the 50-year age cutoff, and 0.746 (95% CI: 0.721-0.762) and 0.679 (95%CI: 0.652-0.698) for the 90 mmHg PaO₂ cutoff.

Conclusion: Among male patients with SP, an age of 50 years offers higher sensitivity and specificity than an age of 40 years in distinguishing SSP from PSP. Furthermore, even after oxygen administration, PaO₂ levels in SSP patients remain lower than those in PSP patients. A PaO₂ threshold of 90 mmHg also demonstrates high sensitivity and specificity in differentiating SSP from PSP.

背景:目前的认识表明,原发性自发性气胸(PSP)通常发生在年轻人中,而继发性自发性气胸(SSP)更常见于老年患者。然而,区分这两种类型的自发性气胸(SP)的具体年龄分布模式仍然缺乏特征。此外,虽然低氧分压(PaO₂)是公认的气胸临床特征,但有限的研究探讨了较低的PaO₂水平是否特别表明SSP患者存在潜在的肺部疾病。方法:在这项观察性队列研究中,我们在6年的时间里招募了473名男性SP患者。我们使用频率分布图来观察连续变量在SSP和PSP患者之间的分布差异。采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析和logistic回归模型量化年龄、PaO₂和SSP之间的关系。结果:PSP和SSP患者年龄和PaO 2的频率分布呈双峰分布。多因素logistic回归分析发现,年龄(使用截断值> 50 vs.≤50岁)和PaO 2(使用截断值> 90 vs.≤90 mmHg)是与SSP相关的独立因素,比值比(or)分别为10.58 (95% CI: 6.15-18.20)和0.45 (95% CI: 0.27-0.74)。虽然年龄的替代临界值(bbb40 vs.≤40岁)和pao2 (bbb85 vs.≤85 mmHg)也很显著,OR为7.74 (95% CI: 4.46-13.41)和0.32 (95% CI: 0.19-0.55),但年龄的OR较低(比> 50岁临界值降低2.84)。ROC曲线分析显示,对于50岁年龄临界值,区分SSP的敏感性和特异性分别为0.835 (95%CI: 0.812-0.853)和0.789 (95%CI: 0.779-0.801),对于90 mmHg PaO 2临界值,分别为0.746 (95%CI: 0.721-0.762)和0.679 (95%CI: 0.652-0.698)。结论:在男性SP患者中,年龄50岁对SSP和PSP鉴别的敏感性和特异性高于年龄40岁。此外,即使在给氧后,SSP患者的PaO₂水平仍低于PSP患者。PaO 2阈值为90 mmHg也显示了区分SSP和PSP的高灵敏度和特异性。
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引用次数: 0
Concurrent e-cigarette or vaping product use-associated lung injury (EVALI) and myopericarditis: a rare case report and literature review. 并发电子烟或电子烟产品使用相关肺损伤(EVALI)和心包炎:罕见病例报告和文献综述
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-31 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04057-2
Hanh-Duyen Bui-Thi, Quoc-Khanh Tran-Le, Anh Huynh-My, Kien Phan-Trung, Lan Le-Thi-Tuyet, Thao Thi Ngoc Pham
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引用次数: 0
Integration of circulating biomarkers and clinical factors: construction and validation of a prediction model for lung cancer metastasis. 循环生物标志物与临床因素的整合:肺癌转移预测模型的构建与验证。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04019-8
Wenlong Qi, Zhenyu Li, Jianan Xu, Tan Wang

Objective: To develop and validate a prediction model for metastasis risk in lung cancer patients based on circulating biomarkers and clinical factors, thereby facilitating early risk assessment.

Methods: A total of 511 lung cancer patients who received treatment in the hospital from January 2020 to December 2024 were selected. Their clinical data and laboratory test indicators were collected and divided into a training set (n = 358) and a validation set (n = 153) at a ratio of 7:3. In the training set, risk factors were screened by univariate and multivariate Logistic regression to construct a nomogram model. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and calibration curve were drawn to evaluate the model's efficacy, and the model was validated in the validation set. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical value.

Results: In the training set, 143 cases (39.94%) had lung cancer metastasis, and in the validation set, 61 cases (39.87%) had lung cancer metastasis. Multivariate Logistic regression showed that lymph node status, Total Prostate-Specific Antigen (TPSA), Carcinoembryonic Antigen (CEA), tumor size, Carbohydrate Antigen 19 - 9(CA199) and Alpha-Fetoprotein were significantly associated with the risk of lung cancer metastasis (all P < 0.05). The nomogram demonstrated consistent performance across the training and validation sets, with C-indices of 0.714 and 0.710, and AUCs of 0.714 (95% CI: 0.649-0.778), with a sensitivity of 0.571 and a specificity of 0.745 and 0.710 (95% CI: 0.609-0.812), with a sensitivity of 0.622 and a specificity of 0.629, respectively. The P values of the Hosmer - Lemeshow test were 0.183 and 0.075, indicating a good model fit, respectively.

Conclusion: The nomogram model constructed based on circulating biomarkers and clinical factors can effectively predict the metastasis risk of lung cancer patients and has certain clinical application value. However, multi - center and large - sample studies are still needed for further validation.

目的:建立并验证基于循环生物标志物和临床因素的肺癌患者转移风险预测模型,为早期风险评估提供依据。方法:选取2020年1月至2024年12月在该院接受治疗的肺癌患者511例。收集他们的临床资料和实验室检测指标,按7:3的比例分为训练集(n = 358)和验证集(n = 153)。在训练集中,通过单因素和多因素Logistic回归筛选危险因素,构建nomogram模型。绘制受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)和标定曲线,评价模型的疗效,并在验证集中对模型进行验证。采用决策曲线分析(DCA)评价其临床价值。结果:训练集中肺癌转移143例(39.94%),验证集中肺癌转移61例(39.87%)。多因素Logistic回归结果显示,淋巴结状态、总前列腺特异性抗原(TPSA)、癌胚抗原(CEA)、肿瘤大小、碳水化合物抗原19 - 9(CA199)、甲胎蛋白与肺癌转移风险显著相关(P)。结论:基于循环生物标志物与临床因素构建的nomogram模型能够有效预测肺癌患者的转移风险,具有一定的临床应用价值。然而,还需要多中心和大样本的研究来进一步验证。
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引用次数: 0
Breaking the invisible cage: social isolation and coping strategies among patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. 打破无形的牢笼:特发性肺纤维化患者的社会隔离和应对策略。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04089-8
Shengnan Xu, Lingxi Chen, Ning Liu, Xiang Fang, Yue Zhang, Xi Zhan, Bixuan Yan, Yanling Ding, Siyan Zhan, Hongling Chu, Yunxian Zhou
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引用次数: 0
Latent classes of self-management and associated factors in patients with COPD. COPD患者自我管理的潜在分类及相关因素
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04074-1
Jie Yu, Jianmei Fu, Shujuan Zhao, Shuting Zhang, Qing Li, Dan Zhang, Yulan Li
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引用次数: 0
A novel tool to predict the probability of pulmonary metastasis in patients with primary osseous sacral/pelvic tumors: a large real-world multicenter study. 预测原发性骨性骶骨/盆腔肿瘤患者肺转移概率的新工具:一项大型真实世界多中心研究。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-03766-y
Zhenbang Zhou, Sanjun Chen, Zhangheng Huang, Binbin Yang, Zhen Zhao, Kai Chen, Peiling Dai

Background: In patients with primary osseous sacral/pelvic tumors, once pulmonary metastasis has occurred, their prognosis is worrying. It is therefore essential to construct a novel tool to achieve accurate prediction of the probability of pulmonary metastasis from primary osseous sacral/pelvic tumors.

Methods: This study retrospectively analyzed data from 407 patients with primary osseous sacral/pelvic tumors from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify risk factors. Construction of predictive models based on logistic regression algorithm in R software. The calibration, discrimination, and clinical utility of the models are validated in a validation cohort. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve and log-rank test were used to examine the pulmonary metastasis risk classification system for evaluation.

Results: The total cohort was randomly divided into a training cohort (287 patients) and a validation cohort (120 patients). Five independent risk factors were identified to develop a nomogram model to predict the probability of pulmonary metastasis in patients. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.860 for the training cohort and 0.895 for the validation cohort) showed that the model showed satisfactory discrimination in both validation cohorts. The calibration curve showed a high predictive accuracy of the model and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test indicated a good model fit (p > 0.05). The decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram is clinically useful and can provide a net benefit to patients within certain limits.

Conclusion: We have successfully developed a nomogram and risk classification system to accurately predict the probability of pulmonary metastasis from primary osseous sacral/pelvic tumors.

背景:原发性骶骨/盆腔骨肿瘤患者,一旦发生肺转移,其预后令人担忧。因此,有必要建立一种新的工具来准确预测原发性骶骨/盆腔骨肿瘤肺转移的可能性。方法:本研究回顾性分析了来自监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库的407例原发性骶骨/骨盆骨肿瘤患者的数据。采用单因素和多因素logistic回归分析确定危险因素。R软件中基于逻辑回归算法的预测模型构建。在验证队列中验证了模型的校准、鉴别和临床效用。采用Kaplan-Meier生存曲线和log-rank检验对肺转移风险分级系统进行评价。结果:总队列随机分为训练队列(287例)和验证队列(120例)。确定了五个独立的危险因素,建立了一个nomogram模型来预测患者发生肺转移的概率。受试者工作特征曲线下面积(训练组为0.860,验证组为0.895)表明该模型在两个验证组中均具有令人满意的鉴别效果。校正曲线显示模型具有较高的预测精度,Hosmer-Lemeshow检验显示模型拟合良好(p < 0.05)。决策曲线分析表明,nomogram在临床上是有用的,在一定范围内可以为患者提供净收益。结论:我们成功地建立了一种nomogram和风险分类系统,可以准确预测原发性骶骨/盆腔骨肿瘤肺转移的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Symptomatic pleural effusion in adult liver transplant candidates: prevalence, disease severity and post-transplant mortality. 成年肝移植候选者的症状性胸腔积液:患病率、疾病严重程度和移植后死亡率。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04081-2
Ilker Kolbas, Adem Tuncer, Emrah Sahin, Abuzer Dirican
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引用次数: 0
Transbronchial cryobiopsy for diagnosing pulmonary hyalinizing granuloma: a case report. 经支气管低温活检诊断肺透明性肉芽肿1例。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-04075-0
Akihiko Amano, Takashi Niwa, Masamitsu Hamakawa, Yasushi Fukuda, Toshihide Yokoyama, Tadashi Ishida

Background: Pulmonary hyalinizing granuloma (PHG) is a rare, benign pulmonary disease characterized by dense hyalinized collagen deposition. Diagnosis is often challenging because conventional transbronchial forceps biopsy frequently fails to obtain adequate tissue samples, necessitating surgical lung biopsy. While transbronchial cryobiopsy has been successfully employed in similar sclerotic diseases, its use in PHG has not been reported to date. Herein, we present a case of PHG diagnosed using transbronchial cryobiopsy.

Case presentation: A 61-year-old man was evaluated due to a 5-mm nodular lesion in the right lower pulmonary lobe incidentally detected on chest computed tomography performed as part of a routine health check-up. He was asymptomatic, and physical examination revealed no remarkable clinical findings. Over a 2-year follow-up, the lesion enlarged slightly to 6 mm. Bronchoscopy revealed a firm, whitish endobronchial tumor in the right B10 bronchus. Forceps biopsy was unsuccessful due to the lesion's hardness. Transbronchial cryobiopsy using a 1.7-mm cryoprobe successfully obtained a sufficient tissue sample. Histopathological examination showed dense hyalinized collagen bundles with lymphoplasmacytic infiltration, consistent with PHG. No immediate complications occurred. The lesion remained stable during 18 months of follow-up without intervention.

Conclusions: This case suggests that transbronchial cryobiopsy may be a useful, less-invasive option for diagnosing firm, fibrotic pulmonary lesions, including PHG, and may help reduce the need for surgical procedures in selected patients.

背景:肺透明性肉芽肿(PHG)是一种罕见的良性肺部疾病,其特征是密集的透明性胶原沉积。诊断通常具有挑战性,因为传统的经支气管钳活检经常不能获得足够的组织样本,需要手术肺活检。虽然经支气管冷冻活检已成功应用于类似的硬化性疾病,但其在PHG中的应用迄今尚未报道。在此,我们报告一个使用经支气管冷冻活检诊断PHG的病例。病例介绍:一名61岁男性,在常规健康检查时,胸部计算机断层扫描偶然发现右下肺叶5毫米结节性病变。患者无症状,体格检查未见明显临床表现。在2年的随访中,病变轻微扩大至6mm。支气管镜检查显示右侧B10支气管有一坚硬的白色支气管内肿瘤。由于病变的硬度,钳活检失败。使用1.7 mm冷冻探针经支气管冷冻活检成功获得足够的组织样本。组织病理学检查显示胶原束密集透明化,伴淋巴浆细胞浸润,与PHG一致。没有立即发生并发症。在没有干预的18个月随访期间,病变保持稳定。结论:本病例提示,经支气管冷冻活检可能是诊断包括PHG在内的坚固纤维化肺病变的一种有用的、侵入性较小的选择,并可能有助于减少某些患者手术治疗的需要。
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引用次数: 0
Multimodal innovations and clinical applications of Robotic-assisted bronchoscopy in pulmonary nodule diagnosis: a review of recent advances. 机器人辅助支气管镜在肺结节诊断中的多模式创新和临床应用:最新进展综述。
IF 2.8 3区 医学 Q2 RESPIRATORY SYSTEM Pub Date : 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1186/s12890-025-03936-y
Xiao-Bin Zhang, D Kyle Hogarth

Background: The increasing use of low-dose CT (LDCT) screening has significantly enhanced the detection of pulmonary nodules, particularly in early-stage lung cancer. However, diagnosing peripheral pulmonary nodules (PPNs) presents unique challenges due to their distal location, rendering traditional methods like CT-guided biopsy less effective and associated with higher complication risks. Robotic-assisted bronchoscopy (RAB) has emerged as a promising minimally invasive technology that offers improved diagnostic accuracy and safety.

Methods: This review explores recent advancements in RAB technology for PPN diagnosis, focusing on the integration of multimodal imaging innovations. These include shape-sensing technology, electromagnetic navigation bronchoscopy (ENB), radial endobronchial ultrasound (rEBUS), cone-beam CT (CBCT), and needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (nCLE). Additionally, advanced biopsy techniques such as transbronchial cryobiopsy (TBCB) are discussed for their contributions to improving diagnostic yield.

Results: The integration of multimodal imaging technologies has significantly enhanced the precision of navigation and biopsy, reducing the risk of complications associated with traditional methods. Comparative studies show that RAB achieves similar or superior diagnostic outcomes compared to conventional approaches, with improved lesion targeting and tissue sampling. The use of techniques like TBCB has further improved the diagnostic yield and quality of tissue samples.

Conclusions: RAB represents a safer and more accurate alternative to conventional biopsy methods for diagnosing peripheral pulmonary nodules. The combined use of advanced imaging and biopsy techniques has solidified RAB's clinical utility, making it a promising tool for current and future developments in pulmonary nodule diagnosis.

背景:低剂量CT (LDCT)筛查的增加显著提高了肺结节的检出率,尤其是早期肺癌。然而,外周肺结节(ppn)的诊断由于其远端位置而面临独特的挑战,使得ct引导活检等传统方法效果不佳,且并发症风险更高。机器人辅助支气管镜检查(RAB)已经成为一种有前途的微创技术,提供了更高的诊断准确性和安全性。方法:本文综述了RAB技术用于PPN诊断的最新进展,重点是多模式成像创新的整合。这些技术包括形状传感技术、电磁导航支气管镜检查(ENB)、径向支气管内超声检查(rEBUS)、锥束CT (CBCT)和针基共聚焦激光内镜检查(nCLE)。此外,先进的活检技术,如经支气管低温活检(TBCB),讨论其对提高诊断率的贡献。结果:多模态成像技术的整合显著提高了导航和活检的精度,降低了传统方法相关并发症的风险。比较研究表明,与传统方法相比,RAB具有改进的病变靶向和组织采样,可以达到相似或更好的诊断结果。TBCB等技术的使用进一步提高了组织样本的诊断率和质量。结论:相对于传统的肺周围结节活检方法,RAB是一种更安全、更准确的诊断方法。先进的成像和活检技术的结合使用巩固了RAB的临床应用,使其成为当前和未来肺结节诊断的一个有前途的工具。
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引用次数: 0
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BMC Pulmonary Medicine
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