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Trends in clinical studies evaluating neurofilament light chain as a biomarker. 评价神经丝轻链作为生物标志物的临床研究趋势。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2562546
Sydney Stern, Kristin Jamenis, Sreedharan Sabarinath, Shawna L Weis, Robert Schuck, Michael Pacanowski

Introduction: The use of biomarkers as surrogate endpoints, supported by strong mechanistic, epidemiologic, and/or clinical data, provides drug development programs with endpoints that predict clinical benefit and may be more sensitive to drug effects than clinical endpoints. Neurofilament light chain (NfL) is a marker of neuroaxonal injury that has emerged as a promising biomarker for neurodegenerative diseases.

Methods: We identified Investigational New Drug programs submitted to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration between 2005-2024 that proposed to use NfL as a pharmacodynamic biomarker, biomarker for patient selection or stratification, and/or surrogate endpoint for accelerated approval.

Results: A total of 50 programs were identified with most from the last five years. Of the 50 programs, 94% (n = 47) proposed NfL as a pharmacodynamic biomarker, 8% (n = 4) for patient selection, 52% (n = 26) for patient stratification, and 20% (n = 10) as a surrogate endpoint. Of the programs evaluating NfL as a pharmacodynamic biomarker with available data on NfL levels (n = 21), approximately 50% reported NfL changes that correlated with drug exposure.

Conclusion: This analysis highlights the important role that NfL plays in clinical trials and identifies future areas of research and study design considerations to strengthen the support of NfL as a biomarker.

生物标志物作为替代终点的使用,在强有力的机制、流行病学和/或临床数据的支持下,为药物开发项目提供了预测临床获益的终点,并且可能比临床终点对药物效应更敏感。神经丝轻链(Neurofilament light chain, NfL)是神经轴突损伤的标志物,是一种很有前景的神经退行性疾病的生物标志物。方法:我们确定了2005-2024年间提交给美国食品和药物管理局的新药研究项目,这些项目建议使用NfL作为药效学生物标志物、患者选择或分层的生物标志物和/或加速批准的替代终点。结果:共有50个项目被确定,其中大多数来自最近五年。在50个项目中,94% (n = 47)建议将NfL作为药效学生物标志物,8% (n = 4)用于患者选择,52% (n = 26)用于患者分层,20% (n = 10)作为替代终点。在评估NfL作为药效学生物标志物的项目中,有关于NfL水平的可用数据(n = 21),大约50%的项目报告NfL变化与药物暴露相关。结论:该分析强调了NfL在临床试验中的重要作用,并确定了未来的研究领域和研究设计考虑因素,以加强NfL作为生物标志物的支持。
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引用次数: 0
From molecules to meaning: non-coding RNAs as biomarkers in obstructive sleep apnea. 从分子到意义:非编码rna作为阻塞性睡眠呼吸暂停的生物标志物。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2562551
Manuel Sánchez-de-la-Torre, Clémentine Puech, David de Gonzalo-Calvo
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引用次数: 0
Prognostic impact of Naples prognostic score on long-term mortality in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. 那不勒斯预后评分对非st段抬高型心肌梗死长期死亡率的影响。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2548759
Berhan Keskin, Aykun Hakgor, Fatih Erkam Olgun, Ahmet Berk Duman, Beytullah Cakal, Seda Tanyeri, Barkın Kultursay, Canan Elif Yildiz, Emir Dervis, Ibrahim Oguz Karaca, Bilal Boztosun

Background: The Naples Prognostic Score (NPS) is a composite index of inflammation and nutritional status. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of NPS for long-term all-cause mortality in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI).

Methods: In this study, 396 consecutive NSTEMI patients who underwent coronary angiography/percutaneous coronary intervention between 1 August 2023, and 31 July 2024, were included. Patients were stratified into low (NPS: 0-1), intermediate (NPS: 2), and high (NPS: 3-4) risk groups. Median follow-up was 433 days. Univariate logistic regression identified predictors of longterm mortality. These were then entered into LASSOpenalized logistic regression for variable selection. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models assessed the independent predictors of long-term mortality, adjusting for SYNTAX score, hemoglobin, sodium, age, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

Results: High-risk NPS patients (n = 91) had higher long-term mortality (17.6%) compared with intermediate-risk (3.7%) and low-risk (3.5%) groups (p < 0.001). In the adjusted Cox model, high-risk NPS independently predicted long-term mortality (HR:3.79; 95% CI 1.55-9.27; p = 0.003), whereas neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and C-reactive protein (CRP) were not significant when substituted for NPS.

Conclusion: In NSTEMI patients, NPS independently predicts long-term all-cause mortality beyond traditional risk markers and outperforms isolated inflammatory indices such as NLR and CRP.

背景:那不勒斯预后评分(NPS)是炎症和营养状况的综合指数。本研究旨在评估NPS对非st段抬高型心肌梗死(NSTEMI)长期全因死亡率的预后价值。方法:本研究纳入了396例在2023年8月1日至2024年7月31日期间连续接受冠状动脉造影/经皮冠状动脉介入治疗的NSTEMI患者。患者被分为低(NPS: 0-1)、中(NPS: 2)和高(NPS: 3-4)风险组。中位随访时间为433天。单变量逻辑回归确定了长期死亡率的预测因素。然后将这些输入到lassopenized逻辑回归中进行变量选择。多变量Cox比例风险模型评估了长期死亡率的独立预测因子,调整了SYNTAX评分、血红蛋白、钠、年龄和左心室射血分数(LVEF)。结果:高风险NPS患者(n = 91)的长期死亡率(17.6%)高于中危组(3.7%)和低危组(3.5%)(p = 0.003),而中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比率(NLR)和c反应蛋白(CRP)在替代NPS时无显著性差异。结论:在NSTEMI患者中,NPS独立预测长期全因死亡率,优于传统风险指标,优于NLR和CRP等孤立炎症指标。
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引用次数: 0
Letter to the Editor: Association is not prediction - choosing the right tools for diagnostic evidence synthesis. 给编辑的信:联合不是预测——选择正确的工具来合成诊断证据。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2561397
Javier Arredondo Montero
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引用次数: 0
Serum inflammatory and coagulation markers in GBS infection and adverse pregnancy outcomes. GBS感染和不良妊娠结局的血清炎症和凝血标志物。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-22 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2538429
Lin Li, Xiaoying Wang, Dan Li, Zhenfang Liu

Objective: To investigate the relationship between Group B Streptococcus (GBS) infection in pregnant women and adverse pregnancy events (APEs), as well as serum inflammatory factors (IFs) and coagulation parameters.

Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 2,200 late-pregnancy women who delivered at Maternal and Child Health Hospital from March 2020 to January 2023. Data on GBS infection, serotyping, immunofluorescence, coagulation parameters, and APEs were collected. APE incidence was compared between groups, and logistic regression was performed to analyze inflammatory factors and coagulation parameters in GBS-positive women with and without APEs.

Results: Among the participants, 593 (26.95%) were GBS-positive, and 1,607 (73.05%) were GBS-negative. The GBS-positive group had significantly higher rates of preterm birth, intrauterine infection, premature rupture of membranes, placental abruption, postpartum hemorrhage, and meconium-stained amniotic fluid compared to the GBS-negative group (p < 0.05). Logistic regression identified white blood cell count, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, tumor necrosis factor-α, interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-1β, procalcitonin, and fibrinogen as independent risk factors for APEs (p < 0.05).

Conclusion: GBS infection increases the risk of adverse pregnancy events and is closely associated with alterations in inflammatory and coagulation markers.

目的:探讨孕妇B族链球菌(GBS)感染与妊娠不良事件(APEs)、血清炎症因子(IFs)及凝血指标的关系。方法:对2020年3月至2023年1月在妇幼保健院分娩的2200例晚期妊娠妇女进行回顾性分析。收集GBS感染、血清分型、免疫荧光、凝血参数和类人猿的数据。比较两组间APE发生率,并进行logistic回归分析伴有和不伴有APE的gbs阳性女性的炎症因子和凝血参数。结果:593人(26.95%)为gbs阳性,1607人(73.05%)为gbs阴性。与GBS阴性组相比,GBS阳性组早产、宫内感染、胎膜早破、胎盘早剥、产后出血、羊水粪染色发生率均显著高于阴性组(p p)。结论:GBS感染增加妊娠不良事件发生风险,并与炎症及凝血标志物改变密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
Systemic immune-inflammation index as a biomarker for stroke prognosis: insights from a multi-time point analysis. 全身免疫炎症指数作为脑卒中预后的生物标志物:来自多时间点分析的见解。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2540760
Yanan Wang, Jiaojiao Wang, Fengmei Tian, Mengyun Peng, Xiaomin Ma, Dahong Zheng, Xiaoxiao Li, Jingya Jiao, Liping Zheng, Zhengbao Zhu, Shu Ji, Daoxia Guo

Aims: This study aimed to investigate the association between the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and prognosis trajectories in ischemic stroke(IS).

Methods: Patients from two tertiary hospitals in Suzhou were included in this study. SII was calculated as neutrophils×platelets/lymphocytes, and patients were categorized into quartiles based on SII values. Latent class growth modeling (LCGM) was employed to describe the trajectories of modified Rankin Scale (mRS) at different time points.Logistic regression models were used to evaluate the association between SII quartiles and prognosis trajectories at multiple time points (14 days, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months)and prognostic trajectories.

Results: Patients in the highest quartile (Q4) of SII had a significantly higher risk of adverse outcomes compared to those in the lowest quartile (Q1). A three-group model was identified as the optimal trajectory model for stroke prognosis. SII was associated with 4.06-fold increased odds (95% CI: 1.64-10.08) of unfavorable prognosis trajectories. Per standard deviation increase in the logarithmic SII, the odds of unfavorable prognosis trajectories were 1.64 (95% CI: 1.18-2.29).

Conclusions: Baseline SII is significantly associated with unfavorable outcome trajectories across multiple time points in IS. These findings highlight the potential value of SII as a predictive biomarker for sequential prognosis in stroke patients.

目的:本研究旨在探讨缺血性脑卒中(IS)患者全身免疫炎症指数(SII)与预后轨迹的关系。方法:选取苏州市两所三级医院的患者为研究对象。SII计算为neutrophils×platelets/淋巴细胞,并根据SII值将患者分为四分位数。采用潜在类别增长模型(LCGM)描述修正Rankin量表(mRS)在不同时间点的轨迹。采用Logistic回归模型评估SII四分位数与预后轨迹在多个时间点(14天、1个月、3个月、6个月)和预后轨迹之间的关系。结果:SII最高四分位数(Q4)的患者发生不良结局的风险明显高于最低四分位数(Q1)的患者。三组模型是脑卒中预后的最佳轨迹模型。SII与不良预后轨迹的几率增加4.06倍相关(95% CI: 1.64-10.08)。对数SII每增加一个标准差,出现不良预后轨迹的几率为1.64 (95% CI: 1.18-2.29)。结论:在is的多个时间点上,基线SII与不利的结局轨迹显著相关。这些发现突出了SII作为脑卒中患者序贯预后预测生物标志物的潜在价值。
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引用次数: 0
Diagnostic value of lnc-RNAs TINCR, GC1 and AFAP1-AS1 in gastric cancer differentiation from healthy people. lnc- rna TINCR、GC1和AFAP1-AS1在健康人胃癌分化中的诊断价值。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2542112
Pouneh Pourfarzam, Mohammad Bagher Khademerfan, Ramin Shakeri, Reza Ghanbari, Asaad Azarnezhad

Aims and background: Gastric cancer is a significant health challenge globally, necessitating the identification of novel biomarkers for improved diagnosis. Our study aimed to address this gap by investigating the diagnostic potential a set of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in gastric cancer patients compared to healthy controls.

Materials and methods: We conducted a retrospective case-control analysis involving 256 participants, including 128 gastric cancer patients and 128 healthy individuals. Alongside the measurement of serum levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19.9), the plasma expression profiling of eight lnc-RNAs was performed in the selected samples.

Results: Our findings revealed significant alterations in CEA and CA19.9 levels in gastric cancer patients compared to controls (p < 0.05). Moreover, upregulated expression of lncRNAs, including HOTIP, BANCR, ZFAS1, TINCR, GC1, and AFAP1-AS1, were all observed in gastric cancer patients (p < 0.05). Excluding lncUGC1 and FAM49B-AS, ROC curve analysis demonstrated the diagnostic potential of lncRNAs in gastric cancer detection, with notable specificity and sensitivity.

Conclusion: Our study disclosed the diagnostic utility of plasma HOTIP, BANCR, ZFAS1, TINCR, GC1, and AFAP1-AS1 lncRNAs as appropriate diagnostic biomarkers for gastric cancer. The identification of dysregulated lncRNAs offers promising avenues for noninvasive diagnostic assessment in gastric cancer.

目的和背景:胃癌是全球性的重大健康挑战,需要鉴定新的生物标志物来改善诊断。我们的研究旨在通过研究一组长链非编码rna (lncRNAs)在胃癌患者中与健康对照组相比的诊断潜力来解决这一空白。材料与方法:采用回顾性病例对照分析,共纳入256例受试者,其中胃癌患者128例,健康人128例。在测定血清癌胚抗原(CEA)和碳水化合物抗原19-9 (CA19.9)水平的同时,对所选样本进行8种lnc- rna的血浆表达谱分析。结论:我们的研究揭示了血浆HOTIP、BANCR、ZFAS1、TINCR、GC1和AFAP1-AS1 lncRNAs作为胃癌诊断的合适生物标志物的诊断价值。失调lncrna的鉴定为胃癌的无创诊断评估提供了有希望的途径。
{"title":"Diagnostic value of lnc-RNAs TINCR, GC1 and AFAP1-AS1 in gastric cancer differentiation from healthy people.","authors":"Pouneh Pourfarzam, Mohammad Bagher Khademerfan, Ramin Shakeri, Reza Ghanbari, Asaad Azarnezhad","doi":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2542112","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2542112","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims and background: </strong>Gastric cancer is a significant health challenge globally, necessitating the identification of novel biomarkers for improved diagnosis. Our study aimed to address this gap by investigating the diagnostic potential a set of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in gastric cancer patients compared to healthy controls.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>We conducted a retrospective case-control analysis involving 256 participants, including 128 gastric cancer patients and 128 healthy individuals. Alongside the measurement of serum levels of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19.9), the plasma expression profiling of eight lnc-RNAs was performed in the selected samples.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Our findings revealed significant alterations in CEA and CA19.9 levels in gastric cancer patients compared to controls (<i>p</i> < 0.05). Moreover, upregulated expression of lncRNAs, including HOTIP, BANCR, ZFAS1, TINCR, GC1, and AFAP1-AS1, were all observed in gastric cancer patients (<i>p</i> < 0.05). Excluding lncUGC1 and FAM49B-AS, ROC curve analysis demonstrated the diagnostic potential of lncRNAs in gastric cancer detection, with notable specificity and sensitivity.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Our study disclosed the diagnostic utility of plasma HOTIP, BANCR, ZFAS1, TINCR, GC1, and AFAP1-AS1 lncRNAs as appropriate diagnostic biomarkers for gastric cancer. The identification of dysregulated lncRNAs offers promising avenues for noninvasive diagnostic assessment in gastric cancer.</p>","PeriodicalId":9182,"journal":{"name":"Biomarkers in medicine","volume":" ","pages":"757-767"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12416196/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144783554","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Association between red cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio and In-hospital mortality in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and respiratory failure: a retrospective cohort study. 慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重和呼吸衰竭患者的红细胞分布宽度与白蛋白比与住院死亡率的关系:一项回顾性队列研究
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-19 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2548189
Ruoqing Zhou, Dianzhu Pan

Aims: This study aimed to investigate the association between the Red cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio (RAR) and in-hospital mortality in patients experiencing Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (AECOPD) with concurrent Respiratory Failure (RF).

Methods: This retrospective study included 594 patients diagnosed with AECOPD and RF at the first affiliated hospital of Jinzhou Medical University, China, between January 2021 and September 2023. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality rate. The participants were categorized into three groups according to RAR tertiles: T1 (2.535-3.871), N = 198; T2 (3.88-4.547), N = 196; and T3 (4.56-11.031), N = 200. Logistic regression and subgroup analyses were performed to investigate the relationship between RAR and AECOPD and RF prognosis in patients.

Results: The average age of the participants was 72.1 ± 9.7 years, with 52.2% men (n = 310). The mean RAR was 4.3 ± 1.0%/g/dL. After adjusting for covariates, the odds ratio for in-hospital mortality per unit increase in RAR was 1.74 [95% Confidence Interval: 1.19-2.55], p = 0.004. A linear relationship was observed between RAR and in-hospital mortality among patients with AECOPD and RF.

Conclusion: RAR is an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD complicated by RF. Elevated RAR levels were associated with increased in-hospital mortality in our patient cohort.

目的:本研究旨在探讨慢性阻塞性肺疾病急性加重期(AECOPD)并发呼吸衰竭(RF)患者的红细胞分布宽度与白蛋白比(RAR)与住院死亡率之间的关系。方法:本回顾性研究纳入2021年1月至2023年9月在中国锦州医科大学第一附属医院诊断为AECOPD和RF的594例患者。主要结局指标为住院死亡率。根据RAR值将参与者分为3组:T1 (2.535 ~ 3.871), N = 198;T2 (3.88-4.547), n = 196;T3 (4.56 ~ 11.031), N = 200。采用Logistic回归和亚组分析探讨RAR和AECOPD与患者RF预后的关系。结果:参与者的平均年龄为72.1±9.7岁,男性占52.2% (n = 310)。平均RAR为4.3±1.0%/g/dL。调整协变量后,RAR每单位增加的住院死亡率的优势比为1.74[95%置信区间:1.19-2.55],p = 0.004。在AECOPD和RF患者中,RAR与住院死亡率之间存在线性关系。结论:RAR是AECOPD合并RF患者院内死亡的独立危险因素。在我们的患者队列中,RAR水平升高与住院死亡率增加相关。
{"title":"Association between red cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio and In-hospital mortality in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and respiratory failure: a retrospective cohort study.","authors":"Ruoqing Zhou, Dianzhu Pan","doi":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2548189","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2548189","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>This study aimed to investigate the association between the Red cell distribution width-to-albumin ratio (RAR) and in-hospital mortality in patients experiencing Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (AECOPD) with concurrent Respiratory Failure (RF).</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective study included 594 patients diagnosed with AECOPD and RF at the first affiliated hospital of Jinzhou Medical University, China, between January 2021 and September 2023. The primary outcome measure was in-hospital mortality rate. The participants were categorized into three groups according to RAR tertiles: T1 (2.535-3.871), <i>N</i> = 198; T2 (3.88-4.547), <i>N</i> = 196; and T3 (4.56-11.031), <i>N</i> = 200. Logistic regression and subgroup analyses were performed to investigate the relationship between RAR and AECOPD and RF prognosis in patients.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The average age of the participants was 72.1 ± 9.7 years, with 52.2% men (<i>n</i> = 310). The mean RAR was 4.3 ± 1.0%/g/dL. After adjusting for covariates, the odds ratio for in-hospital mortality per unit increase in RAR was 1.74 [95% Confidence Interval: 1.19-2.55], <i>p</i> = 0.004. A linear relationship was observed between RAR and in-hospital mortality among patients with AECOPD and RF.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>RAR is an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD complicated by RF. Elevated RAR levels were associated with increased in-hospital mortality in our patient cohort.</p>","PeriodicalId":9182,"journal":{"name":"Biomarkers in medicine","volume":" ","pages":"717-724"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12416183/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144882182","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Integrating cell-free DNA methylation of SEPT9 and SFRP2 into a machine learning model for early diagnosis of HCC. 将SEPT9和SFRP2的游离DNA甲基化整合到HCC早期诊断的机器学习模型中。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2541574
Dong Wang, Zhihao Dai, Minghua Bai, Dong Liu, Yanru Feng, Quanquan Sun, Tong Zhang, Liang Han, Rui Wang, Ji Zhu, Weifeng Hong, Weiwei Li

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a primary contributor to cancer-associated mortality, necessitates enhanced early detection. This study evaluated machine learning models that merge methylated SEPTIN9 (SEPT9) and secreted frizzled-related protein 2 (SFRP2) within circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect HCC.

Methods: A cohort of 165 healthy volunteers, 24 precancerous patients of HCC and 112 HCC patients were divided into training and validation sets. Methylated SEPT9 and SFRP2 (mSEPT9/mSFRP2) were detected using real-time PCR. Based on those methylation biomarkers and/or conventional biomarkers (CEA, AFP, CA125, and CA19-9), six machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest (RF), were employed to establish models for the training set. Models were evaluated for area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity, and subsequently validated in the validation set.

Results: The RF model outperformed other models. In training, it achieved an AUC of 0.834 (95% CI: 0.745-0.923), exhibiting 69.3% sensitivity and 80.6% specificity for the methylation-specific signature group (mSS group: mSEPT9/mSFRP2). In validation, the RF model for the mSS group showed an AUC of 0.865 (95% CI: 0.811-0.946), with 85.4% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity.

Conclusions: The RF-based model integrating mSEPT9/mSFRP2 in cfDNA can be a promising approach for HCC diagnosis.

背景:肝细胞癌(HCC)是癌症相关死亡的主要原因之一,需要加强早期检测。该研究评估了在循环无细胞DNA (cfDNA)中合并甲基化SEPTIN9 (SEPT9)和分泌卷曲相关蛋白2 (SFRP2)的机器学习模型,以检测HCC。方法:将165名健康志愿者、24名肝癌前患者和112名肝癌患者分为训练组和验证组。实时荧光定量PCR检测甲基化的SEPT9和SFRP2 (mSEPT9/mSFRP2)。基于甲基化生物标记物和/或常规生物标记物(CEA、AFP、CA125和CA19-9),采用随机森林(Random Forest, RF)等6种机器学习算法建立训练集模型。评估模型的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)、敏感性和特异性,并随后在验证集中进行验证。结果:RF模型优于其他模型。在训练中,它的AUC为0.834 (95% CI: 0.745-0.923),对甲基化特异性特征组(mSS组:mSEPT9/mSFRP2)的敏感性为69.3%,特异性为80.6%。在验证中,mSS组的RF模型的AUC为0.865 (95% CI: 0.811-0.946),敏感性为85.4%,特异性为71.4%。结论:在cfDNA中整合mSEPT9/mSFRP2的基于rf的模型可能是一种很有前景的HCC诊断方法。
{"title":"Integrating cell-free DNA methylation of SEPT9 and SFRP2 into a machine learning model for early diagnosis of HCC.","authors":"Dong Wang, Zhihao Dai, Minghua Bai, Dong Liu, Yanru Feng, Quanquan Sun, Tong Zhang, Liang Han, Rui Wang, Ji Zhu, Weifeng Hong, Weiwei Li","doi":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2541574","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2541574","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a primary contributor to cancer-associated mortality, necessitates enhanced early detection. This study evaluated machine learning models that merge methylated SEPTIN9 (SEPT9) and secreted frizzled-related protein 2 (SFRP2) within circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to detect HCC.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A cohort of 165 healthy volunteers, 24 precancerous patients of HCC and 112 HCC patients were divided into training and validation sets. Methylated SEPT9 and SFRP2 (mSEPT9/mSFRP2) were detected using real-time PCR. Based on those methylation biomarkers and/or conventional biomarkers (CEA, AFP, CA125, and CA19-9), six machine learning algorithms, including Random Forest (RF), were employed to establish models for the training set. Models were evaluated for area under the ROC curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity, and subsequently validated in the validation set.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The RF model outperformed other models. In training, it achieved an AUC of 0.834 (95% CI: 0.745-0.923), exhibiting 69.3% sensitivity and 80.6% specificity for the methylation-specific signature group (mSS group: mSEPT9/mSFRP2). In validation, the RF model for the mSS group showed an AUC of 0.865 (95% CI: 0.811-0.946), with 85.4% sensitivity and 71.4% specificity.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The RF-based model integrating mSEPT9/mSFRP2 in cfDNA can be a promising approach for HCC diagnosis.</p>","PeriodicalId":9182,"journal":{"name":"Biomarkers in medicine","volume":" ","pages":"737-745"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12416165/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144774642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shock indices as predictors in blunt trauma patients in the emergency department. 休克指标在急诊科钝性创伤患者中的预测作用。
IF 2.1 4区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1080/17520363.2025.2542109
Ozan Utku Deveci, Ataman Köse, Çağrı Safa Buyurgan, Akif Yarkaç, Seyran Bozkurt, Cumhur Özcan, Didem Derici Yıldırım

Aims: To evaluate the effectiveness of Shock Index (SI), Modified Shock Index (MSI), and Age Shock Index (Age SI) in predicting blood transfusion need, surgical intervention, hospital outcomes, and injury severity in blunt trauma patients.

Methods: This retrospective study included 267 adult patients admitted with blunt trauma to the emergency department of a tertiary university hospital between 1 December 2018, and 1 December 2019. Patients with isolated hand/foot trauma, isolated traumatic brain injury, isolated spinal injuries, or minor trauma (AIS ≤2) were excluded. SI, MSI, and Age SI were calculated and analyzed.

Results: SI (p < 0.001), Age SI (p = 0.001), and MSI (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with blood transfusion and mortality. SI > 0.933 and MSI > 1.159 showed good predictive accuracy for blood transfusion; Age SI > 30.945 showed moderate accuracy. For mortality, SI > 1.015, MSI > 1.333, and Age SI > 67.065 demonstrated good predictive power (all p < 0.001). SI and MSI correlated moderately with injury severity (p < 0.001), with SI > 0.905 and MSI > 1.181 indicating significant predictive value.

Conclusion: SI, MSI, and Age SI can predict early blood transfusion and mortality in blunt trauma patients. SI and MSI appear more reliable than Age SI, particularly in predicting transfusion need and injury severity.

目的:评价休克指数(SI)、修正休克指数(MSI)和年龄休克指数(Age SI)在预测钝性创伤患者输血需求、手术干预、医院预后和损伤严重程度方面的有效性。方法:本回顾性研究包括2018年12月1日至2019年12月1日在某三级大学医院急诊科收治的267名成年钝性创伤患者。排除孤立性手/足创伤、孤立性创伤性脑损伤、孤立性脊髓损伤或轻微创伤(AIS≤2)的患者。计算并分析SI、MSI和Age SI。结果:SI (p p = 0.001)、MSI (p 0.933、MSI > 1.159)对输血有较好的预测准确性;年龄SI bbbb30 .945为中等准确度。对于死亡率,SI > 1.015、MSI > 1.333、Age SI > 67.065具有较好的预测能力(p均为0.905,MSI > 1.181具有显著的预测价值)。结论:SI、MSI和Age SI可以预测钝性创伤患者的早期输血和死亡率。SI和MSI似乎比Age SI更可靠,特别是在预测输血需求和损伤严重程度方面。
{"title":"Shock indices as predictors in blunt trauma patients in the emergency department.","authors":"Ozan Utku Deveci, Ataman Köse, Çağrı Safa Buyurgan, Akif Yarkaç, Seyran Bozkurt, Cumhur Özcan, Didem Derici Yıldırım","doi":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2542109","DOIUrl":"10.1080/17520363.2025.2542109","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aims: </strong>To evaluate the effectiveness of Shock Index (SI), Modified Shock Index (MSI), and Age Shock Index (Age SI) in predicting blood transfusion need, surgical intervention, hospital outcomes, and injury severity in blunt trauma patients.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This retrospective study included 267 adult patients admitted with blunt trauma to the emergency department of a tertiary university hospital between 1 December 2018, and 1 December 2019. Patients with isolated hand/foot trauma, isolated traumatic brain injury, isolated spinal injuries, or minor trauma (AIS ≤2) were excluded. SI, MSI, and Age SI were calculated and analyzed.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>SI (<i>p</i> < 0.001), Age SI (<i>p</i> = 0.001), and MSI (<i>p</i> < 0.001) were significantly associated with blood transfusion and mortality. SI > 0.933 and MSI > 1.159 showed good predictive accuracy for blood transfusion; Age SI > 30.945 showed moderate accuracy. For mortality, SI > 1.015, MSI > 1.333, and Age SI > 67.065 demonstrated good predictive power (all <i>p</i> < 0.001). SI and MSI correlated moderately with injury severity (<i>p</i> < 0.001), with SI > 0.905 and MSI > 1.181 indicating significant predictive value.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>SI, MSI, and Age SI can predict early blood transfusion and mortality in blunt trauma patients. SI and MSI appear more reliable than Age SI, particularly in predicting transfusion need and injury severity.</p>","PeriodicalId":9182,"journal":{"name":"Biomarkers in medicine","volume":" ","pages":"747-755"},"PeriodicalIF":2.1,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12416162/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144764585","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Biomarkers in medicine
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