Pub Date : 2024-05-04DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249729
C. Snowber
These poems and one video danced poem explore the relationship between the sea, land and ecology and shift the relationship to the ecology and climate crisis through a visceral intimacy. The poems emerge from dancing, kayaking, swimming, walking, in liminal spaces between land and sea. The poems serve as an embodied and poetic place of inquiry. My invitation is for the reader to walk along the shore of a poetics of the sea, in hope that by paying attention to what we care for now will lead us into a future we desire.
{"title":"A Poetics of the Sea","authors":"C. Snowber","doi":"10.1177/19467567241249729","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567241249729","url":null,"abstract":"These poems and one video danced poem explore the relationship between the sea, land and ecology and shift the relationship to the ecology and climate crisis through a visceral intimacy. The poems emerge from dancing, kayaking, swimming, walking, in liminal spaces between land and sea. The poems serve as an embodied and poetic place of inquiry. My invitation is for the reader to walk along the shore of a poetics of the sea, in hope that by paying attention to what we care for now will lead us into a future we desire.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"87 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141014865","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-05-01DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249710
Richard B. MacGeorge
This study examines the application of comics in futures research to involve stakeholders in infrastructure strategy discussions for disruptive futures. It employs a graphic novel called “Vanishing Point! Our Built World,” which augments generative AI art with human storytelling to transport participants into a speculative 2150 with a solarpunk theme. The narrative applies the concept of future-self continuity and a temporal discontinuity framework to promote visions of sustainability for both humanity and the environment. The research emphasises the ability of comics to foster meaningful discussions on future infrastructure coordination by incorporating Social Construction Theory, Social Construction of Technology Theory, and Actor Network Theory. Comics being adapted into videos and used in workshops highlight their effectiveness in promoting engagement and facilitating semi-structured discussions. This demonstrates comics as a dynamic tool in futures research and participatory methodologies. Relevant themes: Anthropocene, Ecocene and Climate Change/Post-capitalism/Utopias, Eutopias and Dystopias/Solar Punk and its relations/Artificial Intelligence and Automation/Wicked Problems/Futures and Metaphor/Reimagining Futures Tools and Methodologies. Statement acknowledging use of Generative AI Art and copyright ownership: “Vanishing Point! Our Built World” graphic novel artwork was created with Midjourney generative AI. These images were created using the author’s prompts and ideas. The author owns these AI-generated photos and their derivatives. Synthesia was used to create animated films and AI-generated avatars from comic artwork. Statement on the use of Generative AI in the production of this manuscript: Referring to Author Guidelines on Using Generative AI and Large Language Models| Sage Learning Resources (sagepub.com ), this manuscript employed various AI tools to assist with research and writing. ChatGPT4 and its plugin, Scholar AI, helped identify relevant literature in addition to traditional research. Litmaps revealed article linkages, clarifying the research landscape. ChatGPT4 critiqued the manuscript. Quillbot improved the manuscript's clarity and consistency by improving its language.
{"title":"Illustrating Tomorrow: The Role of Comics in Engaging Research Participants in Disruptive Futures Research","authors":"Richard B. MacGeorge","doi":"10.1177/19467567241249710","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567241249710","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines the application of comics in futures research to involve stakeholders in infrastructure strategy discussions for disruptive futures. It employs a graphic novel called “Vanishing Point! Our Built World,” which augments generative AI art with human storytelling to transport participants into a speculative 2150 with a solarpunk theme. The narrative applies the concept of future-self continuity and a temporal discontinuity framework to promote visions of sustainability for both humanity and the environment. The research emphasises the ability of comics to foster meaningful discussions on future infrastructure coordination by incorporating Social Construction Theory, Social Construction of Technology Theory, and Actor Network Theory. Comics being adapted into videos and used in workshops highlight their effectiveness in promoting engagement and facilitating semi-structured discussions. This demonstrates comics as a dynamic tool in futures research and participatory methodologies. Relevant themes: Anthropocene, Ecocene and Climate Change/Post-capitalism/Utopias, Eutopias and Dystopias/Solar Punk and its relations/Artificial Intelligence and Automation/Wicked Problems/Futures and Metaphor/Reimagining Futures Tools and Methodologies. Statement acknowledging use of Generative AI Art and copyright ownership: “Vanishing Point! Our Built World” graphic novel artwork was created with Midjourney generative AI. These images were created using the author’s prompts and ideas. The author owns these AI-generated photos and their derivatives. Synthesia was used to create animated films and AI-generated avatars from comic artwork. Statement on the use of Generative AI in the production of this manuscript: Referring to Author Guidelines on Using Generative AI and Large Language Models| Sage Learning Resources (sagepub.com ), this manuscript employed various AI tools to assist with research and writing. ChatGPT4 and its plugin, Scholar AI, helped identify relevant literature in addition to traditional research. Litmaps revealed article linkages, clarifying the research landscape. ChatGPT4 critiqued the manuscript. Quillbot improved the manuscript's clarity and consistency by improving its language.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"71 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141052720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-25DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249712
Abdul Wahab
Purpose: This study aims to analyze 292 peer-reviewed articles and conference papers on Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) published from 2000 to 2022. The paper delves into the scientific studies conducted over the past two decades regarding CLA. Design/Methodology/Approach: This bibliometric analysis offers a comprehensive overview of CLA research, covering trends, topics, influential authors, sources, universities, and journals. It highlights notable figures, such as Sohail Inayatullah and Ivana Milojević, recognizing their influence. The study also identifies the widespread utilization of CLA in futures studies (FS) and metaphor analysis. Biblioshiny, Excel, and Zotero were employed for analysis and mapping. Results: The findings reveal an increasing publication trend, while the number of citations has experienced a significant decline. Australia, the USA, Iran, Finland, and Taiwan are the top five countries with the most publications. Similarly, Sohail Inayatullah has the most publications and citations at the top. The Journal of Futures Studies, Futures and Foresight has published the highest number of CLA articles, while Foresight by Emerald has the most citations. In terms of author collaboration, the Single-authored studies outnumber co-authored studies. Originality/Value: Over the past decade, research on CLA has proliferated due to increased interest in futures studies and critical methods factors. The analysis also indicates constraints in data collection and biases in inclusion criteria, underscoring the necessity for future research to address these issues. This study furnishes a comprehensive overview of CLA research, enhancing understanding of the method and its implications for academic and practical applications.
{"title":"Two Decades of Causal Layered Analysis: A Bibliometric Analysis and Review (2000–2022)","authors":"Abdul Wahab","doi":"10.1177/19467567241249712","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567241249712","url":null,"abstract":"Purpose: This study aims to analyze 292 peer-reviewed articles and conference papers on Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) published from 2000 to 2022. The paper delves into the scientific studies conducted over the past two decades regarding CLA. Design/Methodology/Approach: This bibliometric analysis offers a comprehensive overview of CLA research, covering trends, topics, influential authors, sources, universities, and journals. It highlights notable figures, such as Sohail Inayatullah and Ivana Milojević, recognizing their influence. The study also identifies the widespread utilization of CLA in futures studies (FS) and metaphor analysis. Biblioshiny, Excel, and Zotero were employed for analysis and mapping. Results: The findings reveal an increasing publication trend, while the number of citations has experienced a significant decline. Australia, the USA, Iran, Finland, and Taiwan are the top five countries with the most publications. Similarly, Sohail Inayatullah has the most publications and citations at the top. The Journal of Futures Studies, Futures and Foresight has published the highest number of CLA articles, while Foresight by Emerald has the most citations. In terms of author collaboration, the Single-authored studies outnumber co-authored studies. Originality/Value: Over the past decade, research on CLA has proliferated due to increased interest in futures studies and critical methods factors. The analysis also indicates constraints in data collection and biases in inclusion criteria, underscoring the necessity for future research to address these issues. This study furnishes a comprehensive overview of CLA research, enhancing understanding of the method and its implications for academic and practical applications.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140653916","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-04-24DOI: 10.1177/19467567241249718
Marcus Bussey, Cecilia Kristoffersson
This poem is a reflection on the contradictions inherent to futures work. Pasts, presents and futures fold in on each other and this is reflected in the deliberately tribal image offered by Kristoffersson. In both image and poem lies biography and memory both personal and also epochal. Time is sticky and we must deal with that as best we can.
{"title":"Time’s Gifting","authors":"Marcus Bussey, Cecilia Kristoffersson","doi":"10.1177/19467567241249718","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567241249718","url":null,"abstract":"This poem is a reflection on the contradictions inherent to futures work. Pasts, presents and futures fold in on each other and this is reflected in the deliberately tribal image offered by Kristoffersson. In both image and poem lies biography and memory both personal and also epochal. Time is sticky and we must deal with that as best we can.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140660743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-21DOI: 10.1177/19467567231215126
Shermon Cruz, Nicole Anne Moura, Joanna Marie Lim, Michael Niel Angelo Bulatao, Ghelvin Auriele Aguirre, Joel Dela Paz
The simplicity of the futures triangle as a foresight mapping methodology belies its brilliance to draw out complex phenomena and ingenious ways of seeing the future. In the hands of those who eagerly and sincerely wish to discover profound and authentic futures, the method provides an elegant way to surface the obscure and emergent conditions of change from the past, present, and the future. Apart from being a scanning technique for foresight practitioners to activate the future in the present, it bestows upon its users an introspective and experiential journey of flow against the riptides of inertia and the stagnancy of default. The futures triangle provides an anchor for understanding how the three facets of the future influence the way we imagine possibilities and infer meaning from the interplay of hindsight, insight, and foresight. As a tool for building foresight capacity, it increases the capability to map, make sense, and connect the drivers of change among three time horizons. Through analyzing and questioning the dynamics and tensions of change, issues are collectively framed and contextualized from the community’s perspective. The shared experience from participants of workshops and facilitated conversations accentuates the usefulness of foresight in their field of work through a better understanding of futures thinking, gaining through effort a panoramic future view of consequential issues, and realizing that enacting the future is a necessity. This reflective piece on the Futures Triangle shares the authors’ insights, cases, and views on the value and the futures of the method. It offers suggestions on how to thoughtfully facilitate a purposeful and enriching Futures Triangle workshop.
{"title":"From Insight to Foresight: The Transformative Potential of the Futures Triangle","authors":"Shermon Cruz, Nicole Anne Moura, Joanna Marie Lim, Michael Niel Angelo Bulatao, Ghelvin Auriele Aguirre, Joel Dela Paz","doi":"10.1177/19467567231215126","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231215126","url":null,"abstract":"The simplicity of the futures triangle as a foresight mapping methodology belies its brilliance to draw out complex phenomena and ingenious ways of seeing the future. In the hands of those who eagerly and sincerely wish to discover profound and authentic futures, the method provides an elegant way to surface the obscure and emergent conditions of change from the past, present, and the future. Apart from being a scanning technique for foresight practitioners to activate the future in the present, it bestows upon its users an introspective and experiential journey of flow against the riptides of inertia and the stagnancy of default. The futures triangle provides an anchor for understanding how the three facets of the future influence the way we imagine possibilities and infer meaning from the interplay of hindsight, insight, and foresight. As a tool for building foresight capacity, it increases the capability to map, make sense, and connect the drivers of change among three time horizons. Through analyzing and questioning the dynamics and tensions of change, issues are collectively framed and contextualized from the community’s perspective. The shared experience from participants of workshops and facilitated conversations accentuates the usefulness of foresight in their field of work through a better understanding of futures thinking, gaining through effort a panoramic future view of consequential issues, and realizing that enacting the future is a necessity. This reflective piece on the Futures Triangle shares the authors’ insights, cases, and views on the value and the futures of the method. It offers suggestions on how to thoughtfully facilitate a purposeful and enriching Futures Triangle workshop.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"241 2","pages":"156 - 169"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139253993","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-11-16DOI: 10.1177/19467567231215128
Adam Cowart
The purpose of this paper is to propose the application of the futures triangle as an organizing device for emplotting future-oriented narrative ecosystems and that the plausibility of a particular future can be explicitly reframed through a storytelling lens as the internal consistency of the story about the future. The paper draws on research on futures and storytelling, as well as the application of the futures triangle in academic and organizational settings beyond the traditional mapping phase of the six pillars. The paper then provides examples of applications of the futures triangle in three case study vignettes, as a method for surveying assumptions of change in narrative systems, audience reception in experiential futures stories or “sparks” and transition design stakeholder persona creation. The paper concludes by arguing that re-employing the futures triangle as an organizing device for contested story systems can support richer and more nuanced narratives about the future to emerge that are both plausible and challenge audiences and stakeholders by maintaining internal consistency.
{"title":"Temporalizing Internal Consistency: Using the Futures Triangle as an Organizing Device for the Emplotment of Anticipatory Narrative Ecosystems","authors":"Adam Cowart","doi":"10.1177/19467567231215128","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231215128","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this paper is to propose the application of the futures triangle as an organizing device for emplotting future-oriented narrative ecosystems and that the plausibility of a particular future can be explicitly reframed through a storytelling lens as the internal consistency of the story about the future. The paper draws on research on futures and storytelling, as well as the application of the futures triangle in academic and organizational settings beyond the traditional mapping phase of the six pillars. The paper then provides examples of applications of the futures triangle in three case study vignettes, as a method for surveying assumptions of change in narrative systems, audience reception in experiential futures stories or “sparks” and transition design stakeholder persona creation. The paper concludes by arguing that re-employing the futures triangle as an organizing device for contested story systems can support richer and more nuanced narratives about the future to emerge that are both plausible and challenge audiences and stakeholders by maintaining internal consistency.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"89 1-2","pages":"202 - 212"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139268576","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-27DOI: 10.1177/19467567231203160
Ivana Milojević
This article offers an overview and theoretical analysis of the practical applications of the Futures Triangle framework, drawing insights from multiple case studies. It commences with the case study of “The Equal Crossing Initiative,” which resulted in the installation of a female pedestrian light symbol at the intersection of Flinders and Swanston Streets in Melbourne on March 9, 2017. The analysis of public opinions on this initiative reveals a diversity of views, with many expressing strong opinions. Major Australian newspapers, non-scientific surveys, and social media platforms reflected a spectrum of reactions, ranging from enthusiastic endorsement (“how cool is this?”) to critical perspectives that deemed it overly politically correct, questioned the allocation of funds, the necessity of gendered symbols, and even the attire of the female figure. Building upon this case study of community conflict, the article then explores the application of the Futures Triangle framework to better comprehend resistance to progressive social initiatives and to address the challenges inherent in social change efforts. It posits that the Futures Triangle offers a valuable tool for conflict resolution, fostering a deeper understanding of backlash dynamics, and enhancing the likelihood of successful implementation of innovative initiatives. Finally, it emphasizes the significant connections between change agents and change progression scenarios method, as elucidated in previously published texts.
{"title":"Contextualising Conflict: The Futures Triangle","authors":"Ivana Milojević","doi":"10.1177/19467567231203160","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231203160","url":null,"abstract":"This article offers an overview and theoretical analysis of the practical applications of the Futures Triangle framework, drawing insights from multiple case studies. It commences with the case study of “The Equal Crossing Initiative,” which resulted in the installation of a female pedestrian light symbol at the intersection of Flinders and Swanston Streets in Melbourne on March 9, 2017. The analysis of public opinions on this initiative reveals a diversity of views, with many expressing strong opinions. Major Australian newspapers, non-scientific surveys, and social media platforms reflected a spectrum of reactions, ranging from enthusiastic endorsement (“how cool is this?”) to critical perspectives that deemed it overly politically correct, questioned the allocation of funds, the necessity of gendered symbols, and even the attire of the female figure. Building upon this case study of community conflict, the article then explores the application of the Futures Triangle framework to better comprehend resistance to progressive social initiatives and to address the challenges inherent in social change efforts. It posits that the Futures Triangle offers a valuable tool for conflict resolution, fostering a deeper understanding of backlash dynamics, and enhancing the likelihood of successful implementation of innovative initiatives. Finally, it emphasizes the significant connections between change agents and change progression scenarios method, as elucidated in previously published texts.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"66 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136312401","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-19DOI: 10.1177/19467567231203171
Victoria Mulligan
The future of work is constantly evolving and changing, making it increasingly challenging for businesses to anticipate and respond to these changes. Strategic foresight, the process of systematically exploring the future to identify and understand potential opportunities and threats, has become an essential tool for organisations that want to remain competitive and adapt to the changing nature of work. This paper focuses on the futures triangle tool, a widely used strategic foresight tool, and provides examples of how it can be used by organisations to prepare for the future of work.
{"title":"The Futures Triangle in the Workplace - Using Strategic Foresight to Anticipate, Plan for and Respond to New Challenges in Business","authors":"Victoria Mulligan","doi":"10.1177/19467567231203171","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231203171","url":null,"abstract":"The future of work is constantly evolving and changing, making it increasingly challenging for businesses to anticipate and respond to these changes. Strategic foresight, the process of systematically exploring the future to identify and understand potential opportunities and threats, has become an essential tool for organisations that want to remain competitive and adapt to the changing nature of work. This paper focuses on the futures triangle tool, a widely used strategic foresight tool, and provides examples of how it can be used by organisations to prepare for the future of work.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"49 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135729914","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-16DOI: 10.1177/19467567231203162
Sohail Inayatullah
This article presents a genealogy of the Futures Triangle. The method's evolution is explained. Problems, iteration and benefits are presented. The Futures Triangle is a simple method to map three competing factors: the pull of the future, the push of the present, and the weight of history. It can be used as a stand-alone futures method or in conjunction with other methods such as Emerging Issues Analysis, Causal Layered Analysis, or Scenarios.
{"title":"The Futures Triangle: Origins and Iterations","authors":"Sohail Inayatullah","doi":"10.1177/19467567231203162","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231203162","url":null,"abstract":"This article presents a genealogy of the Futures Triangle. The method's evolution is explained. Problems, iteration and benefits are presented. The Futures Triangle is a simple method to map three competing factors: the pull of the future, the push of the present, and the weight of history. It can be used as a stand-alone futures method or in conjunction with other methods such as Emerging Issues Analysis, Causal Layered Analysis, or Scenarios.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136114242","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-10-05DOI: 10.1177/19467567231203166
Diego Gauna, Susana Márquez, Soledad Puechagut
The different perceptions of food and agriculture stakeholders about the future is a key input to design future-oriented public policies and to build a shared vision of the future. By applying the futures triangle to the results of a qualitative study concerning the future of food and agriculture innovation system in Argentine, five archetypes of images of the future were inferred. The archetypes reflect a distinct combination between the weight of history, the pushes of the present and the pulls of the future, corresponding to the perception of the future of nine distinct stakeholders of the food and agriculture system in Argentine. The archetypes are named: stuck in the present, the future is not ours, the future never comes, the future is being built and the future is ours. The analysis show that the stakeholders can envision the future of the world’s agriculture with a certain degree of creativity. However, they find it difficult to imagine the future of the Argentine agricultural industry in new ways: they repeat the old ideas or notions they have about it. All those visions lead to a demand for changes that are more connected to the present than to the future. This foresight study offers a first approach to explore the different views regarding the future of food and agriculture and it reveals how such views influence the type and characteristics of the new stakeholders demands to the public agriculture sector in Argentina to the year 2030.
{"title":"Using the Futures Triangle to Infer Images of the Future of Food and Agriculture in the Southern Cone: The Case of Argentina","authors":"Diego Gauna, Susana Márquez, Soledad Puechagut","doi":"10.1177/19467567231203166","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231203166","url":null,"abstract":"The different perceptions of food and agriculture stakeholders about the future is a key input to design future-oriented public policies and to build a shared vision of the future. By applying the futures triangle to the results of a qualitative study concerning the future of food and agriculture innovation system in Argentine, five archetypes of images of the future were inferred. The archetypes reflect a distinct combination between the weight of history, the pushes of the present and the pulls of the future, corresponding to the perception of the future of nine distinct stakeholders of the food and agriculture system in Argentine. The archetypes are named: stuck in the present, the future is not ours, the future never comes, the future is being built and the future is ours. The analysis show that the stakeholders can envision the future of the world’s agriculture with a certain degree of creativity. However, they find it difficult to imagine the future of the Argentine agricultural industry in new ways: they repeat the old ideas or notions they have about it. All those visions lead to a demand for changes that are more connected to the present than to the future. This foresight study offers a first approach to explore the different views regarding the future of food and agriculture and it reveals how such views influence the type and characteristics of the new stakeholders demands to the public agriculture sector in Argentina to the year 2030.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"440 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135435852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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