Pub Date : 2023-09-28DOI: 10.1177/19467567231203188
Ralph Mercer
This contribution to the Futures Triangle special edition aims to open dialogue with the reader about what lies ahead for the Futures Triangle method and Futures Studies in general. The subsequent paragraphs explore how viewing the Futures Triangle through the lenses of new philosophies and approaches could impact the traditional concepts of Futures Studies.
{"title":"Futures Triangle: A Method Examined","authors":"Ralph Mercer","doi":"10.1177/19467567231203188","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231203188","url":null,"abstract":"This contribution to the Futures Triangle special edition aims to open dialogue with the reader about what lies ahead for the Futures Triangle method and Futures Studies in general. The subsequent paragraphs explore how viewing the Futures Triangle through the lenses of new philosophies and approaches could impact the traditional concepts of Futures Studies.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"32 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135425802","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-09-28DOI: 10.1177/19467567231203164
Lavonne Leong, Kelly Kornet Weber
Although the Futures Triangle, developed by Sohail Inayatullah in the 1990s, has become a staple mental model for the futures/foresight field, it has not been well explored in the academic literature in the context of other futures tools. Here, the authors use a variation of the Futures Triangle as a springboard for foresight work in groups of any size, with a particular focus on facilitating the mindset shift that precedes organizational transformation. The authors present directions and an 80-stakeholder use case of the Co-Creative Futures Triangle, an effective tool to help diverse members of a system to co-ideate unique, positive futures created from a pool of shared values and current realities.
{"title":"The Co-Creative Futures Triangle: A Workshop to Build Shared Intent for Transformation","authors":"Lavonne Leong, Kelly Kornet Weber","doi":"10.1177/19467567231203164","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231203164","url":null,"abstract":"Although the Futures Triangle, developed by Sohail Inayatullah in the 1990s, has become a staple mental model for the futures/foresight field, it has not been well explored in the academic literature in the context of other futures tools. Here, the authors use a variation of the Futures Triangle as a springboard for foresight work in groups of any size, with a particular focus on facilitating the mindset shift that precedes organizational transformation. The authors present directions and an 80-stakeholder use case of the Co-Creative Futures Triangle, an effective tool to help diverse members of a system to co-ideate unique, positive futures created from a pool of shared values and current realities.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135425803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-09-19DOI: 10.1177/19467567231203167
Nur Anisah Abdullah
This paper presents the Futures Triangle as a framework to help guide thinking about the future. It works as a thinking tool or cognitive map, helping us interpret the past, orientate the present in charting our move to the future. This article uses four case studies to demonstrate the use and usefulness of the Futures Triangle for advancing futures studies in that it scaffolds the thinking about possible, probable and plausible futures, eliciting images of the future, interpreting the past and orientating the present, integrating knowledge and values for charting plausible futures, and increasing democratic participation in imaging desired futures. These case studies illustrates the effectiveness and utility of the Futures Triangle in enhancing futures studies and its potential for broadening engagement and understanding in the field.
{"title":"The Use and Usefulness of The Futures Triangle","authors":"Nur Anisah Abdullah","doi":"10.1177/19467567231203167","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231203167","url":null,"abstract":"This paper presents the Futures Triangle as a framework to help guide thinking about the future. It works as a thinking tool or cognitive map, helping us interpret the past, orientate the present in charting our move to the future. This article uses four case studies to demonstrate the use and usefulness of the Futures Triangle for advancing futures studies in that it scaffolds the thinking about possible, probable and plausible futures, eliciting images of the future, interpreting the past and orientating the present, integrating knowledge and values for charting plausible futures, and increasing democratic participation in imaging desired futures. These case studies illustrates the effectiveness and utility of the Futures Triangle in enhancing futures studies and its potential for broadening engagement and understanding in the field.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"170 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135014163","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-08-18DOI: 10.1080/02604027.2023.2246339
Christian de Quincey
{"title":"Augmented Intelligence: Can Machines Be Conscious?","authors":"Christian de Quincey","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2023.2246339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2023.2246339","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"29 1","pages":"611 - 615"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73463798","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-29DOI: 10.1177/19467567231170833
S. Inayatullah
A chat with ChatGPT about the Futures Triangle led by Sohail Inayatullah, who created the method.
与ChatGPT讨论由Sohail Inayatullah领导的期货三角，他创建了该方法。
{"title":"Investigating the Futures Triangle with ChatGPT","authors":"S. Inayatullah","doi":"10.1177/19467567231170833","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/19467567231170833","url":null,"abstract":"A chat with ChatGPT about the Futures Triangle led by Sohail Inayatullah, who created the method.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90340370","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-11DOI: 10.1080/02604027.2023.2226593
Artur Modliński, Dominik Skowroński
Abstract In recent decades, improvements in cognitive studies have given rise to opportunities for technology to become involved in decision-making processes. Autonomous machines are mainly performing support actions that avoid distracting people from their primary tasks in the workplace. Nevertheless, there are already examples of machines that make decisions of greater responsibility. The text’s thesis is that technology has been empowered in organizations as a result of developments in artificial intelligence. This paper shows that both humans and technology can have autonomy in decision-making, defines techno-empowerment, and presents various examples of autonomous machines that are currently used in organizations.
{"title":"The Phenomenon of Techno-Empowerment in the Socio-Organizational Context","authors":"Artur Modliński, Dominik Skowroński","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2023.2226593","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2023.2226593","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In recent decades, improvements in cognitive studies have given rise to opportunities for technology to become involved in decision-making processes. Autonomous machines are mainly performing support actions that avoid distracting people from their primary tasks in the workplace. Nevertheless, there are already examples of machines that make decisions of greater responsibility. The text’s thesis is that technology has been empowered in organizations as a result of developments in artificial intelligence. This paper shows that both humans and technology can have autonomy in decision-making, defines techno-empowerment, and presents various examples of autonomous machines that are currently used in organizations.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"38 1","pages":"669 - 685"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89784303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-04DOI: 10.1080/02604027.2023.2183014
Hiroki Kasamatsu, M. Shimagami, Sri Manovita Pateda, Muziatun , Y. Pongoliu, Yowan Tamu, Sahrin Bumulo
Abstract The artisanal and small-scale gold mining site (ASGM) located in the forest of Suwawa Timur District, Bone Bolango Regency, was found to be host to a number of unique problems. To solve those problems, we, the researchers, seek to endorse the implementation of transdisciplinary communities of practice (TDCOP). Through dialogue and discussion amongst stakeholders, the concept of “The Health Resilience Village” was derived. Furthermore, in order to solve the problems, our project is leading to ongoing discussions in villages near mines, the development of methods to reduce mercury emissions, and the creation of livelihoods, through TDCOP.
{"title":"Transdisciplinary Approach for Solving Problems in an Artisanal and small-scale gold mining in Gorontalo, Indonesia","authors":"Hiroki Kasamatsu, M. Shimagami, Sri Manovita Pateda, Muziatun , Y. Pongoliu, Yowan Tamu, Sahrin Bumulo","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2023.2183014","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2023.2183014","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The artisanal and small-scale gold mining site (ASGM) located in the forest of Suwawa Timur District, Bone Bolango Regency, was found to be host to a number of unique problems. To solve those problems, we, the researchers, seek to endorse the implementation of transdisciplinary communities of practice (TDCOP). Through dialogue and discussion amongst stakeholders, the concept of “The Health Resilience Village” was derived. Furthermore, in order to solve the problems, our project is leading to ongoing discussions in villages near mines, the development of methods to reduce mercury emissions, and the creation of livelihoods, through TDCOP.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"16 1","pages":"593 - 609"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75466910","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-03DOI: 10.1080/02604027.2023.2226592
Ta-Wei Chu
Abstract In this paper, I argue that rigorous attempts to grasp the challenges unique to transdisciplinary projects in the Global South (TPGSs) require an understanding of the target state’s political-economic dynamics, which can undermine TPGSs. In this regard, I harness social-conflict theory to examine how and why Cambodia’s political-economic dynamics affected my own transdisciplinary project, which addressed dam-induced problems in the northeast of the country from 2018 to 2021. The present paper’s findings clarify the relationships among various nonacademic TPGS stakeholders—a topic that has attracted little attention from transdisciplinarians but that can significantly shape TPGS outcomes.
{"title":"Explaining Challenges That Beset Transdisciplinary Projects in the Global South: The Shift from Methodological Perspectives to a Political-Economic Dynamic Analysis","authors":"Ta-Wei Chu","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2023.2226592","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2023.2226592","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In this paper, I argue that rigorous attempts to grasp the challenges unique to transdisciplinary projects in the Global South (TPGSs) require an understanding of the target state’s political-economic dynamics, which can undermine TPGSs. In this regard, I harness social-conflict theory to examine how and why Cambodia’s political-economic dynamics affected my own transdisciplinary project, which addressed dam-induced problems in the northeast of the country from 2018 to 2021. The present paper’s findings clarify the relationships among various nonacademic TPGS stakeholders—a topic that has attracted little attention from transdisciplinarians but that can significantly shape TPGS outcomes.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75777601","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-03DOI: 10.1080/02604027.2023.2226594
F. Menger, Syed A. A. Rizvi
Abstract Preassembly refers to an evolutionary mechanism that complements current theory. It proposes that genes and gene fragments, formed over the eons among libraries of noncoding genes, ultimately contributed to coding sequences. Previous publications of ours on preassembly have helped explain many enigmas that beset modern biology; for example, the Cambrian explosion (“one of the most remarkable and puzzling events in the history of life,” S. J. Gould), and the appearance of flowering plants with their sparsity of precursors (an “abominable mystery,” C. R. Darwin). The rapid evolutionary development of the domestic cat and human intelligence is also viewed as evidence for a mechanism supplementing neo-Darwinism. The current account centers on convergent evolution as interpreted via DNA preassembly. Convergent evolution refers to the development of near-identical traits in organisms that lack a common ancestor. A prime example is the remarkable similarity between the eyes of humans and octopuses. When early ancestors of these species split apart on the evolution tree, hundreds of millions of years ago, only eyespots existed. Clearly, convergent eyes in the two organisms evolved independently. Current evolutionary belief says that the eyes appeared after Nature had first screened hundreds of mutations, one at a time, and that this multistep and random process produced, fortuitously, two near identical structures. Preassembly, on the other hand, proposes primeval genes, or DNA segments, that had been collected over vast time periods within huge libraries of noncoding DNA (i.e., “preassembled genes”). Ultimately, these DNA units were incorporated into functional genes, a process possibly aided by genetic site-scanning. Graphical Abstract Key References Menger, F. M. (2017). Molecular Lamarckism. On the evolution of human intelligence. World Futures, 73, 89–103. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2017.1319669 Menger, F. M. (2020). An alternative view of evolution, how DNA was altered over geological time. Molecules, 25, 5081. https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules25215081 Menger, F. M., & Rizvi, S. A. A. (2021). Evolution of complexity. Molecular aspects of preassembly. Molecules, 26, 6618. https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules26216618
预装配是一种与现有理论互补的进化机制。它提出基因和基因片段在非编码基因文库中形成，最终促成了编码序列。我们之前关于预组装的出版物帮助解释了困扰现代生物学的许多谜题;例如，寒武纪大爆发(“生命史上最引人注目和最令人费解的事件之一，”s·j·古尔德说)，以及开花植物的出现及其稀少的前体(一个“可恶的谜团”，c·r·达尔文说)。家猫和人类智力的快速进化也被视为一种补充新达尔文主义的机制的证据。目前的解释集中在趋同进化上，这是通过DNA预组装来解释的。趋同进化是指在缺乏共同祖先的生物体中发展出几乎相同的特征。一个典型的例子就是人类和章鱼的眼睛惊人的相似。数亿年前，当这些物种的早期祖先在进化树上分裂时，只有眼点存在。显然，这两种生物的趋同眼是独立进化的。目前的进化论观点认为，眼睛是在大自然第一次筛选了数百个突变之后出现的，一次一个，这个多步骤和随机的过程偶然地产生了两个几乎相同的结构。另一方面，预组装提出了原始基因或DNA片段，这些基因是在巨大的非编码DNA文库(即“预组装基因”)中经过长时间收集而成的。最终，这些DNA单元被整合到功能基因中，这一过程可能得益于基因位点扫描。图形摘要[关键参考文献]Menger, f.m.(2017)。分子拉马克学说。关于人类智力的进化。期货学报，23(3):893 - 893。https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2017.1319669门格尔，f.m.(2020)。另一种关于进化的观点，DNA是如何随着地质时间而改变的。分子学报，25,5081。https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules25215081 Menger, F. M， & Rizvi, S. A. A.(2021)。复杂性的进化。预组装的分子方面。分子，26,6618。https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules26216618
{"title":"Preassembly Theory Invoking Prehistoric DNA Alterations","authors":"F. Menger, Syed A. A. Rizvi","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2023.2226594","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2023.2226594","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Preassembly refers to an evolutionary mechanism that complements current theory. It proposes that genes and gene fragments, formed over the eons among libraries of noncoding genes, ultimately contributed to coding sequences. Previous publications of ours on preassembly have helped explain many enigmas that beset modern biology; for example, the Cambrian explosion (“one of the most remarkable and puzzling events in the history of life,” S. J. Gould), and the appearance of flowering plants with their sparsity of precursors (an “abominable mystery,” C. R. Darwin). The rapid evolutionary development of the domestic cat and human intelligence is also viewed as evidence for a mechanism supplementing neo-Darwinism. The current account centers on convergent evolution as interpreted via DNA preassembly. Convergent evolution refers to the development of near-identical traits in organisms that lack a common ancestor. A prime example is the remarkable similarity between the eyes of humans and octopuses. When early ancestors of these species split apart on the evolution tree, hundreds of millions of years ago, only eyespots existed. Clearly, convergent eyes in the two organisms evolved independently. Current evolutionary belief says that the eyes appeared after Nature had first screened hundreds of mutations, one at a time, and that this multistep and random process produced, fortuitously, two near identical structures. Preassembly, on the other hand, proposes primeval genes, or DNA segments, that had been collected over vast time periods within huge libraries of noncoding DNA (i.e., “preassembled genes”). Ultimately, these DNA units were incorporated into functional genes, a process possibly aided by genetic site-scanning. Graphical Abstract Key References Menger, F. M. (2017). Molecular Lamarckism. On the evolution of human intelligence. World Futures, 73, 89–103. https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2017.1319669 Menger, F. M. (2020). An alternative view of evolution, how DNA was altered over geological time. Molecules, 25, 5081. https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules25215081 Menger, F. M., & Rizvi, S. A. A. (2021). Evolution of complexity. Molecular aspects of preassembly. Molecules, 26, 6618. https://doi.org/10.3390/molecules26216618","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"12 1","pages":"635 - 646"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82280340","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2023-07-03DOI: 10.1080/02604027.2023.2226591
Vinny Tafuro
Abstract This article provides historical context for the current state of discourse in academic economics and an assessment of disparate and viable heterodox economic methodologies to support a proposal for establishing the disciplines of design economics and speculative economics. Coherent, modern, and viable academic challenges to economic orthodoxy exist but are largely ignored by departments of economics. This proposal addresses the disconnect between economics and the rest of academia with a collaborative and interdisciplinary effort based on three tenets. Borrowing from established foresight methods design economics and speculative economics create a framework from which economics can evolve to embrace paradigm change.
{"title":"A Case for Design and Speculative Economics: Leveraging Interdisciplinary Pressure to Disrupt Economic Orthodoxy","authors":"Vinny Tafuro","doi":"10.1080/02604027.2023.2226591","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02604027.2023.2226591","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This article provides historical context for the current state of discourse in academic economics and an assessment of disparate and viable heterodox economic methodologies to support a proposal for establishing the disciplines of design economics and speculative economics. Coherent, modern, and viable academic challenges to economic orthodoxy exist but are largely ignored by departments of economics. This proposal addresses the disconnect between economics and the rest of academia with a collaborative and interdisciplinary effort based on three tenets. Borrowing from established foresight methods design economics and speculative economics create a framework from which economics can evolve to embrace paradigm change.","PeriodicalId":92860,"journal":{"name":"World futures review","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75814904","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
扫码关注我们
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：