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Handling finding counts in handwriting analysis - Avoiding the overrepresentation of unusual writing scenarios. 处理笔迹分析中的查找次数--避免不寻常书写情况过多出现。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-30 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15643
Rolf Berty

In forensic handwriting analysis, it is crucial to understand the relative frequencies of findings relevant to the specific author, especially when using statistical methods. These are factored into the likelihoods used to determine the probabilities for the different authorship hypotheses. However, if ad hoc writings are included in the comparison materials, the representation of a comparison writer's habits can be distorted. An overrepresentation of certain creation time points can be avoided by treating ad hoc series of comparison writing samples as internally homogeneous agglomerates, incorporating only a single value per series into the average relative frequency of a given finding for a comparison writer. Additionally, the proposed approach produces finding counts largely independent of the length of the handwriting sample, which has a positive impact on the efficiency and cost-effectiveness of the expert evaluation.

在法医笔迹分析中,了解与特定作者相关的调查结果的相对频率至关重要,尤其是在使用统计方法时。在确定不同作者假设的可能性时,会将这些因素考虑在内。然而,如果对比材料中包含了临时写作,那么对比作者习惯的代表性可能会被扭曲。将特别系列的比对写作样本视为内部同质的集合体,每个系列只用一个值来计算比对作家特定发现的平均相对频率,就可以避免某些创作时间点的过度代表性。此外,所提议的方法所产生的发现计数在很大程度上与手写样本的长度无关,这对专家评估的效率和成本效益具有积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
A statistical analysis for deepfake videos forgery traces recognition followed by a fine-tuned InceptionResNetV2 detection technique. 对深度伪造视频的伪造痕迹识别进行统计分析,然后采用经过微调的 InceptionResNetV2 检测技术。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15665
Sandhya, Abhishek Kashyap

Deepfake videos are growing progressively more competent because of the rapid advancements in artificial intelligence and deep learning technology. This has led to substantial problems around propaganda, privacy, and security. This research provides an analytically novel method for detecting deepfake videos using temporal discrepancies of the various statistical features of video at the pixel level, followed by a deep learning algorithm. To detect minute aberrations typical of deepfake manipulations, this study focuses on both spatial information inside individual frames and temporal correlations between subsequent frames. This study primarily provides a novel Euclidean distance variation probability score value for directly commenting on the authenticity of a deepfake video. Next, fine-tuning of InceptionResNetV2 with the addition of a dense layer is trained FaceForensics++ for deepfake detection. The proposed fine-tuned model outperforms the existing techniques as its testing accuracy on unseen data outperforms the existing methods. The propsd method achieved an accuracy of 99.80% for FF++ dataset and 97.60% accuracy for CelebDF dataset.

由于人工智能和深度学习技术的飞速发展,深度伪造视频的能力日益增强。这导致了围绕宣传、隐私和安全的大量问题。本研究提供了一种新颖的分析方法,利用像素级视频各种统计特征的时间差异,再利用深度学习算法来检测深度伪造视频。为了检测典型的深度伪造操作的微小畸变,本研究重点关注单个帧内的空间信息和后续帧之间的时间相关性。本研究主要提供了一种新颖的欧氏距离变化概率分值,用于直接评判深度伪造视频的真伪。接下来,通过增加密集层对 InceptionResNetV2 进行微调,训练 FaceForensics++ 进行深度伪造检测。所提出的微调模型优于现有技术,因为它在未见数据上的测试准确率优于现有方法。propsd 方法在 FF++ 数据集上的准确率达到 99.80%,在 CelebDF 数据集上的准确率达到 97.60%。
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引用次数: 0
Facing the future: Technology and "advocacy" at the American Academy of Forensic Sciences. 面对未来:美国法医学会的技术与 "宣传"。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-16 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15676
Christopher R Thompson
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引用次数: 0
Beyond binary: Analyzing closed-source data to compare specific roles and behaviors within violent and nonviolent terrorist involvement. 超越二元对立:分析闭源数据,比较暴力和非暴力恐怖主义参与中的特定角色和行为。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15648
Amber Seaward, Zoe Marchment, Caitlin Clemmow, Frank Farnham, Richard Taylor, Luc Taperell, Sara Henley, Sara Boulter, Karen Townend, Paul Gill

Increasingly, studies compare risk and protective factors for involvement in violent and nonviolent terrorist behaviors. This exploratory study investigates whether this distinction is sufficient, or whether it should be disaggregated further into more granular terrorist roles and behaviors. Using data on 404 referrals to a UK countering violent extremism Prevent hub specializing in mental health and associated needs, we compare violent and nonviolent referrals, and then more specific behaviors (vulnerability, proactive extremism, foreign fighting, and violence planning). Bivariate and multivariate analyses show there is value in disaggregating beyond the binary violence versus nonviolence distinction, as more (and more detailed) relationships emerged when using the disaggregated set of behaviors. While gender did not differentiate violent and nonviolent referrals, women were more likely to be referred for radicalization vulnerability or potential foreign fighting. Extreme right-wing and extreme Islamist referrals were no more or less violent overall, but Islamist referrals were disproportionately referred for both the most and least violent behaviors. Personality and developmental disorders were associated with violence, and disaggregated behaviors provided detailed insight into the drivers of these associations. These exploratory findings, while interesting, likely do not generalize beyond our specific sample. Instead, this study's value lies in demonstrating the utility for both research and, eventually, practice of disaggregating beyond violence and nonviolence. The results demonstrate clear operational implications for threat assessment in the need to include a more refined set of risk factors to aid in assessing risk of more relevant outcomes than terrorist involvement overall.

越来越多的研究对参与暴力和非暴力恐怖主义行为的风险和保护因素进行了比较。这项探索性研究探讨了这种区分是否足够,或者是否应进一步细分为更细化的恐怖主义角色和行为。我们利用英国打击暴力极端主义预防中心的 404 个转介数据,比较了暴力和非暴力转介,以及更具体的行为(脆弱性、主动极端主义、对外战斗和暴力计划)。双变量和多变量分析表明,除了暴力与非暴力的二元区分外,还有其他分类价值,因为在使用分类行为集时,会出现更多(更详细)的关系。虽然性别并没有区分暴力和非暴力的转介,但女性更有可能因激进化脆弱性或潜在的对外战斗而被转介。极端右翼和极端伊斯兰教转介人员的暴力程度总体上并无高低之分,但伊斯兰教转介人员因最严重和最轻微的暴力行为而被转介的比例过高。人格障碍和发育障碍与暴力有关,而分类行为则提供了对这些关联驱动因素的详细了解。这些探索性发现虽然很有趣,但很可能不会超出我们特定样本的范围。相反,本研究的价值在于证明了对暴力和非暴力行为进行分类对研究和最终实践的实用性。研究结果对威胁评估具有明确的操作意义,即需要纳入一套更精细的风险因素,以帮助评估比参与恐怖活动更相关的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Mercy killing of a 72-year-old woman through heroin intoxication. 因海洛因中毒而怜悯杀害一名 72 岁的妇女。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15637
Johann Zwirner, Stefanie Iwersen-Bergmann, Klaus Püschel, Benjamin Ondruschka

Active euthanasia is legally permissible in only eight jurisdictions worldwide and may only be administered by qualified personnel following specific selection criteria. Mercy killing refers to the deliberate termination of the life of an individual suffering from a terminal chronic medical condition. Detecting both illegally performed active euthanasia and instances of mercy killing presents challenges for forensic pathologists. The presented case describes a mercy killing involving a 72-year-old woman with multiple chronic conditions who was killed by her grandson via heroin intoxication after administration of the anxiolytic alprazolam. Key findings from the external postmortem examination included a single fresh injection site on the inside of the elbow and a superficial T-shaped cut on the flexor side of the left forearm. Toxicological analyses revealed elevated blood levels of heroin metabolites, including 6-monoacetylmorphine and absence of hydroxyalprazolam, indicating an only short survival time following heroin injection. A cocaine concentration in blood was comparatively low but rather high in hair samples. Elderly individuals with multiple chronic conditions are at increased risk of becoming homicide victims. Comprehensive forensic documentation of injection sites is essential to avoid overlooking deaths caused by injection and to differentiate them from medical measures during resuscitation attempts.

全世界只有八个司法管辖区在法律上允许主动安乐死,而且只能由合格人员按照特定的选择标准实施。仁慈杀害是指蓄意终止患有晚期慢性疾病的人的生命。检测非法实施的主动安乐死和怜悯杀人事件对法医病理学家来说都是一项挑战。本病例描述了一起涉及一名患有多种慢性疾病的 72 岁妇女的怜悯杀人案,她在服用抗焦虑药阿普唑仑后被其孙子以海洛因中毒的方式杀害。尸检的主要发现包括:肘部内侧有一处新鲜注射部位,左前臂屈侧有一处浅表 T 形切口。毒理学分析表明,血液中的海洛因代谢物(包括 6-monoacetylmorphine)含量升高,但没有羟丙唑仑,这表明注射海洛因后存活时间很短。血液中的可卡因浓度相对较低,但头发样本中的可卡因浓度却相当高。患有多种慢性疾病的老年人成为凶杀案受害者的风险更高。对注射部位进行全面的法医记录对于避免忽视注射导致的死亡以及将其与复苏尝试中的医疗措施区分开来至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Sickle cell trait in non-firearm arrest-related deaths of Black persons. 黑人非因枪杀而死亡者中的镰状细胞性状。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-14 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15668
Mark W Kroll, Dwayne A Wolf, Stacey L Hail, Tasha L Zemrus, Sebastian Kunz, Howard E Williams

The role of sickle cell trait (SCT) in sudden exertional death is well-recognized in sports and military training. However, it is not yet studied for non-firearm arrest-related death (NF-ARD). With extensive multi-pronged searches, a large database (n = 1389) of NF-ARDs was established. For the years 2006-2021 (inclusive) there were 50 NF-ARDs of Black persons in which postmortem evidence of SCT was found. A control cohort consisted of 414 NF-ARDs of Black persons with no reported SCT. The mean age for SCT cases was 33.1 ± 10.4 years versus 37.0 ± 10.4 years for the control group (p = 0.01). The body-mass index for SCT cases was 28.3 ± 6.6 kg/m2 versus 30.7 ± 7.6 kg/m2 for the control group (p = 0.03). The prevalence of cardiomegaly was 21% for SCT cases versus 39% in the control cohort (p = 0.008). The postmortem prevalence of SCT in NF-ARDs of Black persons (n = 50, 10.7%) was higher than the prevalence of SCT in the US Black population, which is 7.1% (p = 0.003). In this study of NF-ARDs in Black persons, the prevalence of SCT and the differences between the SCT cases and the control cohort suggest that exertional collapse associated with sickle cell trait may be a contributory factor in NF-ARDs.

镰状细胞性状(SCT)在运动和军事训练中对劳累性猝死的作用已得到广泛认可。然而,关于非枪械骤停相关死亡(NF-ARD)的研究尚属空白。通过多方面的广泛搜索,我们建立了一个大型 NF-ARD 数据库(n = 1389)。2006 年至 2021 年(含 2021 年)期间,有 50 例黑人非枪杀相关死亡病例在死后发现了 SCT 证据。对照组包括 414 例无 SCT 报告的黑人 NF-ARD 病例。SCT病例的平均年龄为(33.1 ± 10.4)岁,对照组为(37.0 ± 10.4)岁(P = 0.01)。SCT 病例的体重指数为 28.3 ± 6.6 kg/m2,对照组为 30.7 ± 7.6 kg/m2(P = 0.03)。SCT病例的心脏肿大率为21%,而对照组为39%(P = 0.008)。黑人 NF-ARDs 死后 SCT 患病率(n = 50,10.7%)高于美国黑人 SCT 患病率(7.1%)(p = 0.003)。在这项关于黑人 NF-ARDs 的研究中,SCT 患病率以及 SCT 病例与对照组之间的差异表明,与镰状细胞性状相关的劳累性衰竭可能是 NF-ARDs 的一个促成因素。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of interferents in sampling materials for analysis of post-explosion residues (explosive emulsion/ANFO) using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC/MS). 评估使用气相色谱-质谱法(GC/MS)分析爆炸后残留物(爆炸乳剂/ANFO)的取样材料中的干扰物。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15657
Lúcio Paulo Lima Logrado, Jez Willian Batista Braga

Chemical analysis aimed at identifying post-explosion residues is critical for investigating crimes or accidents involving explosives, establishing it as a vital area of forensic chemistry. In general, only trace amounts remain in samples analyzed for this purpose, making the presence of interferents a constant concern. Therefore, understanding the materials used from collection to sample preparation is essential for this type of analysis. This study focuses on organic contaminants in collection and laboratory materials analyzed by gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (GC/MS), complementing a previous study by Mauricio et al. (2020), which addressed inorganic contaminants in materials used for similar purposes in ion chromatography (IC). No prior studies have specifically investigated the potential organic interferences introduced by various materials commonly used in forensic laboratories for sample pre-processing, storage, and evidence collection in this context. Plastic films, bottle caps, disposable gloves, syringes, swabs, disposable cups, plastic tubes, and plastic pipettes were examined. GC/MS analyses revealed that certain materials, particularly syringe plungers, gloves, and plastic films, can interfere with the detection of post-explosion residues from explosive emulsions and ANFO (ammonium nitrate-fuel oil). These findings emphasize the importance of evaluating materials for potential interferences prior to sample collection and processing to minimize contamination risks. This study provides significant insights into how commonly used laboratory materials can impact forensic analysis, thereby enhancing the reliability of post-explosion residue analysis and supporting more accurate forensic investigations.

旨在确定爆炸后残留物的化学分析对于调查涉及爆炸物的犯罪或事故至关重要,因此成为法医化学的一个重要领域。一般来说,为此目的进行分析的样本中只残留痕量物质,因此干扰物的存在始终是一个令人担忧的问题。因此,了解从采集到样品制备所使用的材料对此类分析至关重要。本研究的重点是通过气相色谱/质谱法(GC/MS)分析采集和实验室材料中的有机污染物,是对 Mauricio 等人(2020 年)之前研究的补充,后者研究了离子色谱法(IC)中用于类似目的的材料中的无机污染物。此前没有研究专门调查过法医实验室在样本预处理、储存和证据收集过程中常用的各种材料可能带来的有机干扰。研究人员检查了塑料薄膜、瓶盖、一次性手套、注射器、棉签、一次性杯子、塑料管和塑料吸管。GC/MS 分析表明,某些材料,尤其是注射器活塞、手套和塑料薄膜,会干扰爆炸物乳化液和 ANFO(硝酸铵-燃料油)爆炸后残留物的检测。这些发现强调了在样本采集和处理之前对材料进行潜在干扰评估以最大程度降低污染风险的重要性。这项研究就实验室常用材料如何影响法医分析提供了重要见解,从而提高了爆炸后残留物分析的可靠性,支持了更准确的法医调查。
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引用次数: 0
A fatal case of potassium gold cyanide poisoning. 一起致命的氰化金钾中毒事件。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-12 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15654
Ilung Seol, Seungho Lee, Hyejung Kim, Hyung Joo Kim, Su-Jin Ahn, Jieun Jung, Jaesin Lee

A 77-year-old professional gold craftsman ingested a white powder used in goldsmithing, mistaking the powder for a health supplement. He detected a strange taste and immediately fell sick, reported the incident to 911, and was taken to the emergency room. He died approximately 8.5 h post-ingestion despite treatment. There were no significant findings in the autopsy, the victim's heart blood sample, gastric contents, and the white powder the victim had taken were submitted to the department of forensic toxicology. Using scanning electron microscopy energy dispersive X-ray analysis, potassium and gold (Au) were detected in the white powder. Ion chromatography analysis detected cyanide. Concentrations of cyanide were 0.5 mg/L in heart blood and 13.3 mg/L in gastric contents. Qualitative and quantitative analyses of Au in the heart blood sample and gastric contents using inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectrometry detected concentrations of 79.8 mg/L and 2010.1 mg/L, respectively. Au and cyanide synergistically enhance cytotoxicity through inhibition of detoxification and increasing intracellular accumulation. In the present case, the detected blood cyanide concentration was sub or minimally lethal, and the blood Au concentration was high. The cause of the victim's death was the combined toxicity of Au and cyanide.

一位 77 岁的专业金匠误将一种用于金匠工艺的白色粉末当作保健品服用。他闻到一股奇怪的味道,立即感到不适,向 911 报警,并被送往急诊室。尽管经过治疗,他还是在进食后约 8.5 小时死亡。尸检没有发现明显异常,受害者的心血样本、胃内容物和服用的白色粉末被提交给法医毒理学部门。通过扫描电子显微镜能量色散 X 射线分析,在白色粉末中检测出钾和金(Au)。离子色谱分析检测出氰化物。氰化物在心血中的浓度为 0.5 毫克/升,在胃内容物中的浓度为 13.3 毫克/升。使用电感耦合等离子体-光发射光谱法对心血样本和胃内容物中的金进行定性和定量分析,检测到的浓度分别为 79.8 毫克/升和 2010.1 毫克/升。金和氰化物通过抑制解毒和增加细胞内积累,协同增强细胞毒性。在本病例中,检测到的血液氰化物浓度为亚致死浓度或最低致死浓度,而血液中的金浓度较高。受害者的死因是金和氰化物的联合毒性。
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引用次数: 0
No practice effect on the classification accuracy of the response time concealed information test. 练习对反应时间隐藏信息测试的分类准确性没有影响。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-08 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15656
Gáspár Lukács, Izumi Matsuda

The Response Time Concealed Information Test can reveal that a person recognizes a relevant item (probe, e.g., a murder weapon) among other, irrelevant items (controls), based on slower responses to the probe compared to the controls. A previous study (Lukács, 2022, JARMAC) analyzed the data of 14 experiments and demonstrated that classification accuracy is increased by increased test length (i.e., increased number of trials included in the analysis). However, that study left the important question open whether prior practice (whose trials are not included in the analysis) influences the classification accuracy of subsequent testing (i.e., subsequent trials included in the analysis). Reanalyzing the same data from the 14 experiments (comprising 2223 individual tests), we show that different sections of the test (each with the same number of trials), such as the first and second half of each examined test, do not differ substantially in their classification accuracy. The main implications for real-life application are that, at least up to about 600 trials, prior practice does not affect subsequent tests' results, and the number of examined relevant items or their order of presentation may be freely chosen without compromising the method's validity.

反应时间隐藏信息测试可以揭示出,一个人在其他无关项目(对照组)中识别出一个相关项目(探针,例如凶器),其依据是对探针的反应比对照组慢。之前的一项研究(Lukács,2022 年,JARMAC)分析了 14 个实验的数据,证明分类准确率会随着测试长度的增加(即分析中包含的试验次数增加)而提高。然而,该研究留下了一个重要问题,即先前的练习(其试验未纳入分析)是否会影响后续测试(即纳入分析的后续试验)的分类准确性。通过重新分析来自 14 次测试(包括 2223 次测试)的相同数据,我们发现测试的不同部分(每个部分的测试次数相同),如每次测试的前半部分和后半部分,在分类准确性上并无实质性差异。这对实际应用的主要意义在于,至少在大约 600 次测试之前,先前的练习不会影响后续测试的结果,而且可以自由选择相关测试项目的数量或呈现顺序,而不会影响该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
A Bayesian approach to Suchey-Brooks age estimation from the pubic symphysis using modern American samples. 利用现代美国样本从耻骨联合处估算 Suchey-Brooks 年龄的贝叶斯方法。
Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1111/1556-4029.15651
K Godde, Samantha M Hens

A critical component of the biological profile involves accurate estimation of the age-at-death of the decedent(s). While bias, inaccuracy, and population specificity have plagued age estimation methods, these issues are minimized by Bayesian statistics. Our primary analysis generated ages of transition from the published Suchey-Brooks pubic symphysis dataset and coupled them with informative priors derived from two modern American forensic samples (Forensic Data Bank [FDB] and Forensic Anthropology Database for Assessing Methods Accuracy [FADAMA]) to test the accuracy of Bayesian analysis against the original method. Exact binomial tests assessed the accuracy of the generated age ranges; realized accuracies and bias are reported for final age ranges at various coverages. In a second analysis, the Bayesian Suchey-Brooks parameters and original, non-Bayesian age ranges were also applied to FADAMA. In the primary analyses, the Bayesian approach improved age estimates over traditional ranges, especially for females. Highest posterior density ranges at 95% provided realized accuracies on a holdout sample between 93% and 96% with extremely low bias for most phases. We provide lookup tables with Bayesian age ranges for various coverages. In the second analysis, realized accuracies were slightly higher in the non-Bayesian approach for both sexes (86%-92% vs. 83%-91%), due to lower precision and likely practitioner bias in aging forensic cases. The popularity of the Suchey-Brooks pubic symphysis aging method in modern forensic casework necessitates the use of the Bayesian approach and we encourage practitioners to utilize the lookup tables for forensic casework in the United States.

生物特征的一个重要组成部分是准确估计死者的死亡年龄。虽然偏差、不准确性和人群特异性一直困扰着年龄估计方法,但贝叶斯统计法可以最大限度地减少这些问题。我们的主要分析从已发表的 Suchey-Brooks 耻骨干数据集中生成了过渡年龄,并将其与从两个现代美国法医样本(法医数据库 [FDB] 和法医人类学方法准确性评估数据库 [FADAMA])中得出的信息先验值相结合,以检验贝叶斯分析法与原始方法相比的准确性。精确二项式检验评估了生成年龄范围的准确性;报告了不同覆盖率下最终年龄范围的实现准确性和偏差。在第二项分析中,贝叶斯 Suchey-Brooks 参数和原始的非贝叶斯年龄范围也应用于 FADAMA。在主要分析中,贝叶斯方法比传统的年龄范围提高了年龄估计值,尤其是对女性而言。最高后验密度范围为 95%,在 93% 到 96% 之间的保留样本上提供了实现的准确度,而且大多数阶段的偏差极低。我们提供了不同覆盖率的贝叶斯年龄范围查找表。在第二次分析中,非贝叶斯方法的男女实际准确率略高(86%-92% 对 83%-91%),原因是精确度较低,而且在老龄化法医案件中可能存在从业人员偏差。由于 Suchey-Brooks 耻骨联合老化法在现代法医案件工作中的普及,有必要使用贝叶斯方法,我们鼓励从业人员在美国的法医案件工作中使用查询表。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of forensic sciences
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