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Novel causal associations between plasma metabolites and prostate cancer risk revealed by mendelian randomization 孟德尔随机化揭示血浆代谢物与前列腺癌风险之间新的因果关系
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100421
Hanghang Chen , Huiduo Zhao , Bingxin Meng , Qi Liu

Background

Prostate cancer (PCa) is a major global health concern for men, yet its underlying metabolic mechanisms are not fully understood. Identifying causal metabolites could reveal novel pathways for risk assessment and prevention.

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive two-sample Mendelian randomization (TSMR) study following STROBE-MR guidelines. Genetic instruments for plasma metabolites were derived from two independent sources, including the METSIM study, a cohort exclusively comprising Finnish men, and the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging (CLSA). Summary-level data for PCa were obtained from the PRACTICAL consortium and FinnGen. Inverse variance weighted (IVW) was the primary analysis method, supplemented by sensitivity analyses and Bayesian colocalization (coloc) to assess shared causal genetic variants, a key methodological strength enhancing causal inference.

Results

Our analysis identified four plasma metabolites with a significant causal relationship with PCa risk. Ribitol was associated with a reduced risk, while N2,N5-diacetylornithine, N-acetylarginine, and N-acetylcitrulline were associated with an elevated risk. These findings were consistent across datasets and robust in sensitivity analyses. Colocalization analysis provided strong evidence (PP.H4 > 0.8) for a shared causal variant at the rs10201159 locus between N2,N5-diacetylornithine and PCa.

Conclusion

This study provides robust genetic evidence supporting a causal role of specific plasma metabolites in prostate cancer development. The incorporation of a male-exclusive metabolomic dataset (METSIM) strengthens the validity of our findings for this male-specific cancer. These metabolites represent promising candidates for further mechanistic investigation into prostate cancer etiology and potential translation into clinical biomarkers.
前列腺癌(PCa)是全球男性健康关注的主要问题,但其潜在的代谢机制尚不完全清楚。确定因果代谢物可以揭示风险评估和预防的新途径。方法采用双样本孟德尔随机化(TSMR)研究,采用STROBE-MR方法。血浆代谢物的遗传仪器来自两个独立的来源,包括METSIM研究(一个完全由芬兰男性组成的队列)和加拿大老龄化纵向研究(CLSA)。PCa的汇总数据来自PRACTICAL consortium和FinnGen。以逆方差加权法(IVW)为主要分析方法,以敏感性分析和贝叶斯共定位法(coloc)为辅助分析方法来评估共有的因果遗传变异,这是增强因果推理的关键方法优势。结果我们的分析确定了四种血浆代谢物与PCa风险有显著的因果关系。利比醇与风险降低相关,而N2、n5 -二乙酰鸟氨酸、n -乙酰精氨酸和n -乙酰瓜氨酸与风险升高相关。这些发现在数据集之间是一致的,在敏感性分析中是稳健的。共定位分析提供了强有力的证据(PP.H4 > 0.8),表明N2、n5 -二乙酰虫氨酸和PCa之间在rs10201159位点存在共同的因果变异。结论本研究提供了强有力的遗传学证据,支持特定血浆代谢物在前列腺癌发展中的因果作用。纳入男性专属代谢组学数据集(METSIM)加强了我们研究结果对这种男性特异性癌症的有效性。这些代谢物代表了前列腺癌病因进一步机制研究和潜在转化为临床生物标志物的有希望的候选者。
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引用次数: 0
The role of pancreatic islet macrophages in type 2 diabetes mellitus: from underlying pathological mechanisms to therapeutic target discovery 胰岛巨噬细胞在2型糖尿病中的作用:从潜在的病理机制到治疗靶点的发现
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100418
Zhongpeng Qiu , Dejing Shang
The pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is closely associated with chronic inflammation within the islet microenvironment, where pancreatic islet macrophages serve as central orchestrators of local immune regulation. This review provides a systematic overview of the ontogeny, phenotypic heterogeneity, and functional roles of pancreatic islet macrophages in T2DM pathology. Pancreatic islet macrophages contribute to β-cell proliferation and the maintenance of islet homeostasis through the secretion of various growth factors, such as platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF). Under conditions of metabolic stress, including lipotoxicity and glucotoxicity, these macrophages are polarized toward a pro-inflammatory phenotype. In this state, they impair β-cell function by releasing inflammatory mediators, including interleukin-1β (IL-1β) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α). Furthermore, this article discusses potential clinical strategies that target pancreatic islet macrophages—such as anti-inflammatory agents and immunomodulators—highlighting their promise as novel perspectives for precise intervention in T2DM.
2型糖尿病(T2DM)的发病机制与胰岛微环境中的慢性炎症密切相关,胰岛巨噬细胞在胰岛微环境中充当局部免疫调节的中枢协调者。本文综述了胰岛巨噬细胞在T2DM病理中的个体发生、表型异质性和功能作用。胰岛巨噬细胞通过分泌各种生长因子,如血小板衍生生长因子(PDGF)和血管内皮生长因子(VEGF),促进β细胞增殖和维持胰岛稳态。在代谢应激条件下,包括脂毒性和糖毒性,这些巨噬细胞向促炎表型极化。在这种状态下,它们通过释放炎症介质,包括白细胞介素-1β (IL-1β)和肿瘤坏死因子-α (TNF-α),损害β细胞功能。此外,本文还讨论了针对胰岛巨噬细胞的潜在临床策略,如抗炎剂和免疫调节剂,强调了它们作为精确干预T2DM的新前景。
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引用次数: 0
Probiotics, prebiotics, synbiotics, and FMT for glycemic control: A systematic review of clinical efficacy and mechanistic readouts in type 2 diabetes and related dysglycemia 益生菌、益生元、合成菌和FMT用于血糖控制:对2型糖尿病和相关血糖异常的临床疗效和机制的系统回顾
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-11-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100419
Neda Shalbaf , Soheila Sadeghi , Sina Homaee , Farnaz Saberian

Objective

To systematically evaluate the clinical efficacy of probiotics, prebiotics, synbiotics, and fecal microbiota transplantation (FMT) on glycemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and related dysglycemia, and to synthesize associated mechanistic changes in microbial metabolites and composition.

Methods

A systematic review was conducted following PRISMA 2020 guidelines. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched from inception through August 2025 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in adults with T2D, prediabetes, or metabolic syndrome. Interventions included probiotics, prebiotics, synbiotics, or FMT compared to control. Outcomes were glycemic indices (e.g., HbA1c, HOMA-IR) and mechanistic biomarkers (e.g., SCFAs, bile acids). Risk of bias was assessed using the Cochrane RoB 2 tool. A narrative synthesis was performed.

Results

Thirty studies were included. Multi-strain probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics yielded modest but significant improvements in HbA1c (≈−0.2 to −0.4 %), fasting glucose, and HOMA-IR, particularly with durations ≥12 weeks. These benefits were linked to mechanistic shifts, including increased circulating butyrate and ursodeoxycholate, enrichment of SCFA-producing taxa, and reduced endotoxemia. Efficacy was moderated by concomitant medications: metformin use was synergistic, while sulfonylureas attenuated effects. FMT consistently improved clamp-measured insulin sensitivity in insulin-resistant phenotypes, but its effects on HbA1c were less consistent and donor-dependent.

Conclusion

Microbiome-targeted interventions, especially multi-strain probiotics and substrate-matched synbiotics, are effective adjuncts for improving glycemic control, with effects mediated through microbial metabolite production. FMT primarily modulates insulin sensitivity. Clinical outcomes are context-dependent, influenced by intervention design, duration, and pharmacomicrobiomic interactions.
目的系统评价益生菌、益生元、合成菌和粪便微生物群移植(FMT)对成人2型糖尿病(T2D)及相关血糖异常患者血糖控制的临床疗效,并综合相关微生物代谢物及组成变化的机制。方法按照PRISMA 2020指南进行系统评价。我们检索了PubMed/MEDLINE、Scopus和Web of Science从成立到2025年8月的t2dm、糖尿病前期或代谢综合征成人随机对照试验(rct)。与对照组相比,干预措施包括益生菌、益生元、合成菌或FMT。结果是血糖指数(如HbA1c, HOMA-IR)和机制生物标志物(如scfa,胆汁酸)。使用Cochrane RoB 2工具评估偏倚风险。进行了叙事综合。结果共纳入30项研究。多菌株益生菌、益生元和合成菌对HbA1c(≈−0.2至−0.4%)、空腹血糖和HOMA-IR有适度但显著的改善,尤其是持续时间≥12周的患者。这些益处与机制变化有关,包括循环丁酸盐和熊脱氧胆酸盐的增加、scfa生成类群的富集和内毒素血症的减少。联合用药可减缓疗效:二甲双胍的使用具有协同作用,而磺脲类药物可减弱疗效。FMT在胰岛素抵抗表型中持续改善钳测胰岛素敏感性,但其对HbA1c的影响不太一致且依赖于供体。结论以微生物组为目标的干预措施,特别是多菌株益生菌和底物匹配的合生剂,是改善血糖控制的有效辅助手段,其作用通过微生物代谢物的产生介导。FMT主要调节胰岛素敏感性。临床结果依赖于环境,受干预设计、持续时间和药物微生物组相互作用的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Prevalence of normal weight obesity among adults in Southeast Asia: Insights from a systematic review and meta-analysis 东南亚成年人正常体重肥胖的患病率:来自系统回顾和荟萃分析的见解
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100416
K.G. Sruthi , C. Aditya , Paramjot Panda , Jyoti Ranjan Mohanty , Manas Ranjan Behera

Background

Normal Weight Obesity (NWO) describes individuals with a normal body mass index (BMI) but elevated body fat percentage (BF%), placing them at increased risk for cardiometabolic complications. This condition is particularly relevant in Southeast Asian populations, where visceral adiposity occurs at lower BMI thresholds. However, regional pooled prevalence data are limited.

Methods

A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar for studies published between January 2010 and May 2025. Eligible studies included observational data on adults (≥18 years) from Southeast Asia reporting NWO prevalence, defined by normal BMI (18.5–24.9 kg/m2) with validated surrogate indices indicative of excess adiposity. Two reviewers independently conducted screening, data extraction, and quality appraisal using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) tool. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed using the Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation, with heterogeneity assessed via the I2 statistic.

Results

Eight studies involving 9028 participants from five Southeast Asian countries (Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, Myanmar, Singapore) were included. The pooled prevalence of NWO was 57 % (95 % CI: 37 %–75 %), with study-specific estimates ranging from 22.8 % to 82 %. Heterogeneity was high (I2 = 98.9 %). Most studies used bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) for body fat assessment and were rated as moderate to high quality.

Conclusion

NWO is common among adults in Southeast Asia, especially in women and young adults. These findings highlight the limitations of BMI as a screening tool and support the integration of body fat assessments into public health screening and clinical protocols for early risk detection.
正常体重肥胖(NWO)是指身体质量指数(BMI)正常但体脂率(BF%)升高的个体,使他们患心脏代谢并发症的风险增加。这种情况在东南亚人群中尤为重要,在那里内脏肥胖发生在较低的BMI阈值。然而,区域汇总流行率数据有限。方法系统检索2010年1月~ 2025年5月在PubMed、EMBASE、Scopus、Web of Science、谷歌Scholar等数据库中发表的研究成果。符合条件的研究包括来自东南亚报告NWO患病率的成年人(≥18岁)的观察性数据,其定义为正常BMI (18.5-24.9 kg/m2)和表明过度肥胖的有效替代指标。两位审稿人使用乔安娜布里格斯研究所(JBI)的工具独立进行筛选、数据提取和质量评估。采用Freeman-Tukey双反正弦变换进行随机效应荟萃分析,通过I2统计量评估异质性。结果纳入来自菲律宾、马来西亚、泰国、缅甸、新加坡5个东南亚国家的8项研究,共9028名受试者。NWO的总患病率为57% (95% CI: 37% - 75%),具体研究估计范围为22.8%至82%。异质性高(I2 = 98.9%)。大多数研究使用生物电阻抗分析(BIA)进行体脂评估,并被评为中等至高质量。结论nwo在东南亚成年人中较为常见,以女性和青壮年居多。这些发现强调了BMI作为筛查工具的局限性,并支持将体脂评估纳入公共健康筛查和早期风险检测的临床方案。
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引用次数: 0
Hepatic activating transcription factor 3 protects against systemic inflammation by attenuating lipotoxicity 肝脏激活转录因子3通过减轻脂肪毒性来预防全身炎症
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100417
Chencheng Hu , Qian Yang , Runzhi Yu , Shuwei Hu , Bing Meng , Yanyong Xu

Background

Activating transcription factor 3 (ATF3) is known to play a key role in regulating lipid and lipoprotein metabolism. However, the effects of hepatic ATF3 on systemic inflammation and the underlying mechanisms remain unclear.

Methods

An adeno-associated virus with hepatocyte-specific promoter was used to construct mouse models with hepatocyte-specific overexpression or knockdown of ATF3.

Results

Overexpression of human ATF3 in hepatocytes prevented high-fat (HF) diet-induced systemic inflammation in C57BL/6J mice and reversed systemic inflammation in db/db mice. Conversely, hepatocyte-specific loss of ATF3 aggravated diet-induced systemic inflammation. In co-culture studies, the anti-inflammatory effect of hepatocyte ATF3 on adipose tissue was found to be dependent on the presence of free fatty acids mixture. Mechanistically, ATF3 ameliorated HF diet-induced hepatic lipid accumulation and lipotoxicity likely mediated through AMPKα activation.

Conclusion

Our findings collectively indicate that hepatocyte ATF3 alleviates systemic inflammation by reducing hepatic lipotoxicity, a mechanism that may involve the activation of AMPKα. Targeting hepatic ATF3 represents a promising therapeutic strategy for systemic inflammation induced by hepatic lipotoxicity.
背景:已知活化转录因子3 (ATF3)在调节脂质和脂蛋白代谢中起关键作用。然而,肝脏ATF3对全身性炎症的影响及其潜在机制尚不清楚。方法采用肝细胞特异性启动子腺相关病毒构建肝细胞特异性过表达或低表达ATF3的小鼠模型。结果肝细胞中高表达人ATF3可预防高脂肪饮食诱导的C57BL/6J小鼠全身炎症,逆转db/db小鼠全身炎症。相反,肝细胞特异性ATF3缺失加重了饮食诱导的全身性炎症。在共培养研究中,发现肝细胞ATF3对脂肪组织的抗炎作用依赖于游离脂肪酸混合物的存在。在机制上,ATF3改善了HF饮食诱导的肝脏脂质积累和脂质毒性,可能是通过AMPKα激活介导的。结论肝细胞ATF3通过降低肝脂毒性减轻全身性炎症,其机制可能与AMPKα的激活有关。靶向肝ATF3是一种很有前途的治疗肝脂毒性引起的全身性炎症的策略。
{"title":"Hepatic activating transcription factor 3 protects against systemic inflammation by attenuating lipotoxicity","authors":"Chencheng Hu ,&nbsp;Qian Yang ,&nbsp;Runzhi Yu ,&nbsp;Shuwei Hu ,&nbsp;Bing Meng ,&nbsp;Yanyong Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.metop.2025.100417","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.metop.2025.100417","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Activating transcription factor 3 (ATF3) is known to play a key role in regulating lipid and lipoprotein metabolism. However, the effects of hepatic ATF3 on systemic inflammation and the underlying mechanisms remain unclear.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>An adeno-associated virus with hepatocyte-specific promoter was used to construct mouse models with hepatocyte-specific overexpression or knockdown of ATF3.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Overexpression of human ATF3 in hepatocytes prevented high-fat (HF) diet-induced systemic inflammation in <em>C5</em>7BL<em>/6J</em> mice and reversed systemic inflammation in <em>db/db</em> mice. Conversely, hepatocyte-specific loss of ATF3 aggravated diet-induced systemic inflammation. In co-culture studies, the anti-inflammatory effect of hepatocyte ATF3 on adipose tissue was found to be dependent on the presence of free fatty acids mixture. Mechanistically, ATF3 ameliorated HF diet-induced hepatic lipid accumulation and lipotoxicity likely mediated through AMPKα activation.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>Our findings collectively indicate that hepatocyte ATF3 alleviates systemic inflammation by reducing hepatic lipotoxicity, a mechanism that may involve the activation of AMPKα. Targeting hepatic ATF3 represents a promising therapeutic strategy for systemic inflammation induced by hepatic lipotoxicity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":94141,"journal":{"name":"Metabolism open","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100417"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145519832","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unsaturated alginate oligosaccharides alleviate insulin resistance and fatty liver in non-obese NAFLD mice by regulating bile acid metabolism through gut microbiota 不饱和海藻酸寡糖通过调节肠道菌群中的胆酸代谢,减轻非肥胖NAFLD小鼠的胰岛素抵抗和脂肪肝
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100412
Qianqian Cha , Wenrui Zhao , Liyuan Ran , Yu Wang , Xiaofei Wang , Fei Xu , Zichao Yu , Yingjie Wu
Despite the rising global incidence of non-obese non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), this condition has received limited attention. Unsaturated alginate oligosaccharides (UAOS) have shown promising potential in the management of metabolic diseases. In this study, we used liver-specific growth hormone receptor (GHR) knockout mice as a model for non-obese NAFLD and treated them with UAOS. Our findings demonstrated that UAOS effectively ameliorated insulin resistance and hepatic steatosis in GHR-deficient mice. Additionally, UAOS improved intestinal barrier integrity, altered gut microbiota composition, and increased the relative abundance of beneficial bacteria, including Dubosiella, Akkermansia, Lachnoclostridium, Faecalibaculum, Romboutsia, and Turicibacter, while reducing the prevalence of harmful bacteria. Fecal metabolomics analysis revealed significant reductions in taurohyodeoxycholic acid and isodeoxycholic acid. Furthermore, UAOS may modulate the synthesis and secretion of secondary bile acids through the gut microbiota, potentially inhibiting hepatic bile acid synthesis and contributing to the maintenance of bile acid homeostasis via the FGF15-FGFR4-CYP7A1 signaling pathway. These mechanisms ultimately contributed to improved hepatic lipid metabolism. Together, these results position UAOS as a promising prebiotic candidate for the treatment of non-obese NAFLD.
尽管非肥胖非酒精性脂肪性肝病(NAFLD)的全球发病率不断上升,但这种疾病受到的关注有限。不饱和海藻酸寡糖(UAOS)在代谢性疾病的治疗中显示出良好的潜力。在本研究中,我们将肝脏特异性生长激素受体(GHR)敲除小鼠作为非肥胖型NAFLD的模型,并给予UAOS治疗。我们的研究结果表明,UAOS可有效改善ghr缺陷小鼠的胰岛素抵抗和肝脏脂肪变性。此外,UAOS改善了肠道屏障的完整性,改变了肠道微生物群的组成,增加了有益细菌的相对丰度,包括Dubosiella, Akkermansia, Lachnoclostridium, Faecalibaculum, Romboutsia和Turicibacter,同时减少了有害细菌的流行。粪便代谢组学分析显示牛磺酸去氧胆酸和异去氧胆酸显著减少。此外,UAOS可能通过肠道菌群调节次级胆汁酸的合成和分泌,潜在地抑制肝脏胆汁酸的合成,并通过FGF15-FGFR4-CYP7A1信号通路维持胆汁酸稳态。这些机制最终促进了肝脏脂质代谢的改善。总之,这些结果将UAOS定位为治疗非肥胖NAFLD的有希望的益生元候选物。
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引用次数: 0
Using metabolic syndrome severity in the “real world”: Associations with diabetes and cardiovascular disease in all of us vs. NHANES 在“现实世界”中使用代谢综合征的严重程度:我们所有人与糖尿病和心血管疾病的关联与NHANES
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100415
Mark D. DeBoer , Matthew J. Gurka , Marieke K. Jones , Mark E. Smolkin

Background

While the severity of the metabolic syndrome (MetS) is associated with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD) in research cohorts, it is unclear if this association remains when using clinically-collected data, which is more subject to error and bias.

Methods

We used a previously-validated MetS-severity z-score (MetS-Z) to compare the degree of cardiometabolic derangement between clinically-collected data from the electronic health-record (EHR) in the All-of-Us cohort (N = 101,676) with research-collected data from NHANES 2017–2020 (n = 3470). We assessed (separately) the odds of current diabetes and CVD in each cohort based on MetS z-score, adjusted for sex, race/ethnicity, education and income.

Results

Mean MetS-Z-scores in All of Us (vs. NHANES) were higher overall (0.41 vs. 0.15), including being slightly higher among those without diabetes (0.03 vs. −0.09) and similar among those with diagnosed diabetes (1.42 vs. 1.50). In All of Us (vs. NHANES) MetS-Z was higher among those without CVD (0.36 vs. 0.10) but similar among those with CVD (0.72 vs. 0.66). Adjusted odds of diagnosed diabetes and CVD based on MetS-Z remained significant when using clinically-collected data in All of Us (diabetes: 3.41 [95 % confidence interval 3.34, 3.49]; CVD: 1.20 [1.18, 1.21]), though not as high as in NHANES (diabetes: 5.83 [4.52, 7.51]; CVD: 1.43 [1.27, 1.61]).

Conclusion

While EHR data is limited by selection bias and data accuracy concerns (e.g. lack of fasting laboratory testing), we found overall similar relationships between MetS-severity, diabetes and CVD in EHR-based and research-based cohorts, supporting utility of these data in risk algorithms.
虽然代谢综合征(MetS)的严重程度在研究队列中与2型糖尿病和心血管疾病(CVD)相关,但在使用临床收集的数据时,尚不清楚这种关联是否仍然存在,这些数据更容易出现误差和偏倚。方法:我们使用先前验证的MetS-severity z-score (MetS-Z)来比较All-of-Us队列中电子健康记录(EHR)的临床收集数据(N = 101,676)与NHANES 2017-2020的研究收集数据(N = 3470)之间的心脏代谢紊乱程度。我们根据MetS z-score分别评估了每个队列中当前糖尿病和心血管疾病的几率,并根据性别、种族/民族、教育和收入进行了调整。结果All of Us (vs. NHANES)的平均met - z评分总体较高(0.41 vs. 0.15),其中非糖尿病患者的平均met - z评分略高(0.03 vs. - 0.09),诊断为糖尿病的患者的平均met - z评分相似(1.42 vs. 1.50)。在All of Us中(与NHANES相比),met - z在没有心血管疾病的患者中较高(0.36比0.10),但在有心血管疾病的患者中相似(0.72比0.66)。在All of Us中使用临床收集的数据时,基于MetS-Z的诊断糖尿病和CVD的调整几率仍然显著(糖尿病:3.41[95%可信区间3.34,3.49];CVD: 1.20[1.18, 1.21]),尽管没有NHANES的高(糖尿病:5.83 [4.52,7.51];CVD: 1.43[1.27, 1.61])。结论:尽管电子病历数据受到选择偏差和数据准确性问题(例如缺乏禁食实验室测试)的限制,但我们发现基于电子病历和基于研究的队列中met -严重程度、糖尿病和心血管疾病之间的总体关系相似,支持这些数据在风险算法中的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
The association between the ZJU index and bone mineral density (BMD) among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus 2型糖尿病患者ZJU指数与骨密度的关系
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100413
Yuan Zhang , Yali Jing

Background

Previous studies have suggested that type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is associated with poor bone health, including osteoporosis (OP) and osteopenia. The ZJU index, a novel calculation that integrates fasting plasma glucose (FPG), body mass index (BMI), triglyceride (TG), and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) to aspartate aminotransferase (AST) ratio, is strongly associated with glucolipid metabolism and insulin resistance (IR). In this study, we explored the association of ZJU with bone mineral density (BMD) and OP/osteopenia, and investigated the predictive effect of ZJU on OP/osteopenia in patients with T2DM.

Methods

This cross-sectional study included 496 patients with T2DM aged>50 years. The clinical data were collected and the BMD of femoral neck (FN), left hip (LH), and lumbar spine (LS) were measured. The association between BMDs and ZJU levels was investigated by adjusting for covariates utilizing multiple linear regression analyses. Multivariable logistic regression was constructed to identify independent factors of OP and osteopenia, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to display the diagnostic performance according to the area under the ROC curve (AUC).

Results

OP and osteopenia patients showed significantly higher ZJU levels than those with normal BMD in T2DM (39.387 ± 3.558, 38.112 ± 2.552 vs 35.192 ± 2.600, p < 0.001). Spearman's correlation analysis showed that ZJU was significantly negatively correlated with the BMD of FN (r = −0.39, p < 0.001), LH (r = −0.35, p < 0.001), and LS (r = -0.32, p < 0.001). The multiple linear regression indicated a negative association between ZJU and BMD of FN (β = −0.006, p = 0.009), LS (β = -0.155, p = 0.011) after adjusted for covariates. Meanwhile, the results of logistic regression revealed that the ZJU was a contributing factor to osteopenia and OP risk in T2DM individuals aged>50 years (OR 1.446, 95 % CI: 1.087–1.923, p = 0.011; OR 1.878, 95 % CI: 1.218–3.715, p = 0.039, respectively). ZJU provided the AUC value of 0.695 and 0.716 on osteopenia and OP in T2DM, respectively.

Conclusions

A high ZJU index was significantly associated with an increasing risk of osteopenia and OP. The ZJU is expected to be a potential index for detecting decreased BMDs in middle-aged and elderly T2DM patients. Early intervention in T2DM patients with increased ZJU may further reduce the incidence of osteopenia and OP, in addition to focusing on independent biomarker in clinical practice.
背景先前的研究表明,2型糖尿病(T2DM)与骨质疏松(OP)和骨质减少等骨质健康不良相关。ZJU指数是一种综合空腹血糖(FPG)、体重指数(BMI)、甘油三酯(TG)和谷丙转氨酶(ALT)与天冬氨酸转氨酶(AST)比值的新型计算方法,它与糖脂代谢和胰岛素抵抗(IR)密切相关。在本研究中,我们探讨了ZJU与骨密度(BMD)和OP/osteopenia的关系,并探讨了ZJU对T2DM患者OP/osteopenia的预测作用。方法本横断面研究纳入496例50岁的2型糖尿病患者。收集临床资料,测量股骨颈(FN)、左髋关节(LH)和腰椎(LS)的骨密度。利用多元线性回归分析调整协变量,研究bmd与ZJU水平之间的关系。构建多变量logistic回归,确定OP和骨质减少的独立因素,并根据ROC曲线下面积(AUC)采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线显示诊断效果。结果T2DM患者血清中ZJU水平明显高于骨密度正常者(39.387±3.558,38.112±2.552 vs 35.192±2.600,p < 0.001)。Spearman相关分析显示,ZJU与FN (r = - 0.39, p < 0.001)、LH (r = - 0.35, p < 0.001)、LS (r = -0.32, p < 0.001)的BMD呈显著负相关。多元线性回归结果显示,校正协变量后,ZJU与FN (β = - 0.006, p = 0.009)、LS (β = -0.155, p = 0.011)骨密度呈负相关。同时,logistic回归结果显示,ZJU是50岁T2DM患者骨质减少和OP风险的一个因素(OR为1.446,95% CI: 1.087 ~ 1.923, p = 0.011; OR为1.878,95% CI: 1.214 ~ 3.715, p = 0.039)。浙江大学提供的T2DM患者骨质减少和OP的AUC值分别为0.695和0.716。结论高ZJU指数与骨量减少和op风险增加有显著相关性,有望成为检测中老年T2DM患者骨密度下降的潜在指标。在临床实践中,除了注重独立的生物标志物外,早期干预ZJU升高的T2DM患者可进一步降低骨质减少和OP的发生率。
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引用次数: 0
Synthetic target trial emulation and predictive modeling of amylin-pathway therapies for obesity and type 2 diabetes 胰淀素通路治疗肥胖症和2型糖尿病的合成靶标试验模拟和预测模型
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-10-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100414
Faisal A. Al-Harbi , Ahmed K. Alsaif , Atheer G. Almutairi , Hussam J. Alshehri , Elan A. Aleidan , Ghaida S. Alabdulaaly , Mashael E. Alanazi , Ahmed Y. Azzam

Introduction

Amylin-pathway therapies represent a novel therapeutic class for obesity and type 2 diabetes, however head-to-head comparative data and long-term outcome predictions remain limited. We conducted target trial emulation and computational predictive modeling aiming to predict future trial outcomes and comparative effectiveness across the amylin-pathway development program.

Methods

Following PRISMA 2020 and TARGET framework guidelines, we search in the current literature for eligible trials and extracted data from seven randomized controlled trials (N = 5,786 participants) of amylin-pathway therapies published up to September 2025. We reconstructed high-precision synthetic individual patient data (IPD) and developed computational models for virtual head-to-head comparisons, dose-response optimization, longitudinal trajectory prediction, and trial simulation. Network meta-analysis integrated evidence across CagriSema, cagrilintide, and amycretin formulations.

Results

Synthetic IPD reconstruction achieved >99 % fidelity to source trials, validated through leave-trial-out cross-validation (efficacy RMSE: 2.9 % points, calibration slope: 0.61; discontinuation RMSE: 0.18, slope: 1.08). Virtual head-to-head modeling confirmed CagriSema superiority over amycretin subcutaneous at matched timepoints (posterior probability >0.95). Dose-response modeling identified optimal amycretin exposures (ED80: 8.88 mg subcutaneous, 95 % CI: 7.12–11.08), with benefit-risk frontier analysis delineating a therapeutic window at 10–20 mg balancing efficacy plateau against tolerability thresholds (GI-AE <75 %, discontinuation <20 %). Longitudinal kinetics showed plateau timing at 52–68 weeks for obesity outcomes and 24–32 weeks for glycemic endpoints. Heterogeneity analysis revealed complete resolution for GI adverse events (I2_DL = 0 %, τ2 = 0) and moderate variation for discontinuation (I2_DL = 13 %, τ2 = 0.03) after logit-scale correction with proper within-arm variance weighting. Machine learning models predicted treatment response with 82–87 % accuracy using baseline characteristics.

Conclusions

Synthetic target trial emulation with structured validation (leave-trial-out, posterior predictive checks, simulation-based calibration) demonstrated promising evidence for amylin-pathway development optimization. Benefit-risk frontier analysis identified an optimal 10–20 mg subcutaneous therapeutic window, and heterogeneity quantification through maximum a posteriori (MAP) predictive interval provides design-ready estimates for confirmatory trials requiring around 800-1,200 participants per arm for 90 % power.
胰淀素通路疗法是治疗肥胖和2型糖尿病的一种新型治疗方法,然而,头对头的比较数据和长期结果预测仍然有限。我们进行了目标试验模拟和计算预测建模,旨在预测未来的试验结果和跨胰肽途径发展计划的比较有效性。方法:根据PRISMA 2020和TARGET框架指南,我们检索了当前文献中符合条件的试验,并提取了截至2025年9月发表的7项随机对照试验(N = 5,786名参与者)的淀粉酶途径治疗数据。我们重建了高精度的合成个体患者数据(IPD),并开发了虚拟头对头比较、剂量-反应优化、纵向轨迹预测和试验模拟的计算模型。网络荟萃分析整合了CagriSema、cagrilintide和amycretin制剂的证据。结果合成IPD重建与源试验的保真度达到99%,通过留试交叉验证(有效性RMSE: 2.9%点,校准斜率:0.61;终止RMSE: 0.18,斜率:1.08)。虚拟头对头建模证实,在匹配的时间点,CagriSema优于皮下注射的amycretin(后验概率>;0.95)。剂量-反应模型确定了最佳的amycretin暴露(ED80: 8.88 mg皮下,95% CI: 7.12-11.08),益处-风险前沿分析描绘了10-20 mg的治疗窗口,平衡了疗效平台和耐受性阈值(GI-AE和lt; 75%,停药和lt; 20%)。纵向动力学显示,肥胖终点的平台时间为52-68周,血糖终点为24-32周。异质性分析显示,经适当的组内方差加权进行对数尺度校正后,胃肠道不良事件(I2_DL = 0%, τ2 = 0)完全消退,停药不良事件(I2_DL = 13%, τ2 = 0.03)有中度变化。机器学习模型使用基线特征预测治疗反应的准确率为82 - 87%。结论采用结构化验证(留试、后验预测检查、基于模拟的校准)的合成靶试验模拟为优化胰淀粉蛋白通路提供了有希望的证据。获益-风险前沿分析确定了最佳的10 - 20mg皮下治疗窗口,通过最大后验预测间隔(MAP)进行异质性量化,为验证性试验提供了设计准备估计,每组需要约800- 1200名参与者,功率为90%。
{"title":"Synthetic target trial emulation and predictive modeling of amylin-pathway therapies for obesity and type 2 diabetes","authors":"Faisal A. Al-Harbi ,&nbsp;Ahmed K. Alsaif ,&nbsp;Atheer G. Almutairi ,&nbsp;Hussam J. Alshehri ,&nbsp;Elan A. Aleidan ,&nbsp;Ghaida S. Alabdulaaly ,&nbsp;Mashael E. Alanazi ,&nbsp;Ahmed Y. Azzam","doi":"10.1016/j.metop.2025.100414","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.metop.2025.100414","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Introduction</h3><div>Amylin-pathway therapies represent a novel therapeutic class for obesity and type 2 diabetes, however head-to-head comparative data and long-term outcome predictions remain limited. We conducted target trial emulation and computational predictive modeling aiming to predict future trial outcomes and comparative effectiveness across the amylin-pathway development program.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Following PRISMA 2020 and TARGET framework guidelines, we search in the current literature for eligible trials and extracted data from seven randomized controlled trials (N = 5,786 participants) of amylin-pathway therapies published up to September 2025. We reconstructed high-precision synthetic individual patient data (IPD) and developed computational models for virtual head-to-head comparisons, dose-response optimization, longitudinal trajectory prediction, and trial simulation. Network meta-analysis integrated evidence across CagriSema, cagrilintide, and amycretin formulations.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Synthetic IPD reconstruction achieved &gt;99 % fidelity to source trials, validated through leave-trial-out cross-validation (efficacy RMSE: 2.9 % points, calibration slope: 0.61; discontinuation RMSE: 0.18, slope: 1.08). Virtual head-to-head modeling confirmed CagriSema superiority over amycretin subcutaneous at matched timepoints (posterior probability &gt;0.95). Dose-response modeling identified optimal amycretin exposures (ED80: 8.88 mg subcutaneous, 95 % CI: 7.12–11.08), with benefit-risk frontier analysis delineating a therapeutic window at 10–20 mg balancing efficacy plateau against tolerability thresholds (GI-AE &lt;75 %, discontinuation &lt;20 %). Longitudinal kinetics showed plateau timing at 52–68 weeks for obesity outcomes and 24–32 weeks for glycemic endpoints. Heterogeneity analysis revealed complete resolution for GI adverse events (I<sup>2</sup>_DL = 0 %, τ<sup>2</sup> = 0) and moderate variation for discontinuation (I<sup>2</sup>_DL = 13 %, τ<sup>2</sup> = 0.03) after logit-scale correction with proper within-arm variance weighting. Machine learning models predicted treatment response with 82–87 % accuracy using baseline characteristics.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Synthetic target trial emulation with structured validation (leave-trial-out, posterior predictive checks, simulation-based calibration) demonstrated promising evidence for amylin-pathway development optimization. Benefit-risk frontier analysis identified an optimal 10–20 mg subcutaneous therapeutic window, and heterogeneity quantification through maximum a posteriori (MAP) predictive interval provides design-ready estimates for confirmatory trials requiring around 800-1,200 participants per arm for 90 % power.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":94141,"journal":{"name":"Metabolism open","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100414"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145416434","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pharmacokinetics and metabolic effects of ketone monoester supplementation: The first simultaneous CKM and CGM study under normal diet and activities 补充酮单酯的药代动力学和代谢影响:在正常饮食和活动下首次同时进行CKM和CGM研究
IF 2.7 Pub Date : 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.metop.2025.100411
Toshiya Miyatsu, Connor Tate, Jeremy McAdam, Chandler Massey, Timothy Broderick
Exogenous ketone supplementation has gained attention for its potential health and performance benefits, yet its real-world pharmacokinetics and metabolic effects remain underexplored. This study investigated the pharmacokinetics of ketone monoester (KME) supplementation during normal diet and activities, leveraging simultaneous interstitial fluid (ISF) continuous ketone and glucose monitoring (CKM and CGM). In this single-group observational study, twenty healthy adults underwent a 10-day KME supplementation protocol following a 4-day baseline period. Weight-based KME dosing rapidly elevated ISF β-hydroxybutyrate (BHB) levels, peaking within 1 h and sustaining ketosis for approximately 5 h. Exploratory correlational analyses revealed a two-stage influence pattern: larger skeletal/adipose mass slowed and blunted peak BHB levels (r = −.52 to −.63, p = .04–.08), whereas higher habitual activity, better baseline glucose regulation and greater protein intake prolonged BHB elevation and associated glucose-suppression window (r = .47–.58, p = .05–.09). Granger causality analysis confirmed that KME supplementation acutely suppressed ISF glucose, with an initial effect at 5 min and a sustained post-dose suppression phase between 25 and 55 min. Surprisingly, fasting glucose levels increased after 10 days of KME supplementation, suggesting compensatory metabolic adaptation. Additionally, sleep efficiency and quality declined during the intervention phase. These findings highlight the complex metabolic effects of KME use, emphasizing the need for personalized approaches to optimize its benefits. This study demonstrates the feasibility of CKM/CGM for capturing real-time metabolic dynamics and underscores the importance of further research into the physiological implications of exogenous ketone supplementation.
外源性酮补充剂因其潜在的健康和性能益处而受到关注,但其现实世界的药代动力学和代谢效应仍未得到充分探讨。本研究通过同时进行间质液(ISF)连续酮和葡萄糖监测(CKM和CGM),研究了在正常饮食和活动中补充酮单酯(KME)的药代动力学。在这项单组观察性研究中,20名健康成年人在4天的基线期后接受了10天的KME补充方案。基于体重的KME剂量迅速提高了ISF β-羟基丁酸(BHB)水平,在1小时内达到峰值,并维持酮症约5小时。探索性相关分析揭示了两阶段的影响模式:较大的骨骼/脂肪质量减慢并减弱了BHB峰值水平(r = -)。52 ~−。63, p = .04 -。08),而较高的习惯性活动、更好的基线血糖调节和更多的蛋白质摄入延长了BHB升高和相关的葡萄糖抑制窗口(r = 0.47 -)。58, p = 0.05 - 0.09)。格兰杰因果分析证实,补充KME可急性抑制ISF葡萄糖,其初始作用发生在5分钟,持续的给药后抑制期为25 - 55分钟。令人惊讶的是,补充KME 10天后,空腹血糖水平升高,表明代偿代谢适应。此外,在干预阶段,睡眠效率和质量下降。这些发现强调了KME使用的复杂代谢效应,强调需要个性化的方法来优化其益处。这项研究证明了CKM/CGM捕捉实时代谢动力学的可行性,并强调了进一步研究外源性酮补充的生理意义的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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