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The middle technology trap: China in a comparative perspective 中等技术陷阱:从比较角度看中国
Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00030-8
Yongnian Zheng

This article examines the concept of the "middle technology trap" as a critical challenge for China in transitioning from a middle-income to a high-income economy. It argues that overcoming this trap is essential for China to achieve high-quality economic development and sustain its growth momentum. The study compares China's technological landscape with that of both developed economies and those stuck in the middle-income trap, identifying the necessity of transitioning from applied to original technology for economic leapfrogging. Through comprehensive analysis, it is highlighted that China's current technological capabilities, although leading in certain areas, predominantly remain at an intermediate level, characterized by a significant reliance on foreign core technologies and a lack of original technological innovation. The paper further explores historical contexts, policy implications, and strategic reforms required to navigate this trap, emphasizing the importance of an open policy, the cultivation of a robust innovation ecosystem, and the strategic role of government in facilitating technological progress and industrial upgrading. It draws on the experiences of developed economies and successful latecomers, advocating for a "new whole nation system" that embraces openness and global integration, rather than isolation. By analyzing the complex interplay between technology diffusion, talent migration, industrial policies, and the global geopolitical landscape, this study provides insights into the systemic reforms and strategic initiatives China must undertake. It stresses the need for a balanced approach between leveraging external technologies and fostering domestic innovation capabilities to escape the middle technology trap and secure a position as a global technology leader. The findings contribute to the broader discourse on technology-led development strategies and offer policy recommendations for economies facing similar technological and developmental challenges.

本文探讨了 "中等技术陷阱 "这一概念,认为它是中国从中等收入经济体向高收入经济体转型过程中面临的关键挑战。文章认为,克服这一陷阱对于中国实现高质量经济发展和保持增长势头至关重要。研究将中国的技术格局与发达经济体和陷入中等收入陷阱的经济体进行了比较,明确了从应用技术向原创技术过渡以实现经济跨越的必要性。通过综合分析,本文着重指出,中国目前的技术能力虽然在某些领域处于领先地位,但主要仍处于中等水平,其特点是严重依赖外国核心技术,缺乏原始技术创新。本文进一步探讨了历史背景、政策含义以及跨越这一陷阱所需的战略改革,强调了开放政策、培育健全的创新生态系统以及政府在促进技术进步和产业升级中的战略作用的重要性。报告借鉴了发达经济体和成功的后来者的经验,主张建立一个拥抱开放和全球一体化而非孤立的 "新的整体国家体系"。通过分析技术扩散、人才流动、产业政策和全球地缘政治格局之间复杂的相互作用,本研究为中国必须采取的系统性改革和战略举措提供了真知灼见。研究强调,中国需要在利用外部技术和培养国内创新能力之间取得平衡,以摆脱中间技术陷阱,确保全球技术领导者的地位。研究结果有助于更广泛地讨论以技术为主导的发展战略,并为面临类似技术和发展挑战的经济体提供政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Nexus between digital trade and security: geopolitical implications for global economy in the digital age 数字贸易与安全之间的联系:数字时代地缘政治对全球经济的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00032-6
Chi Zhang, Xuechen Chen, Jilong Yang, Xinchuchu Gao

This special issue explores the relationship between digital trade and security, emphasizing the geopolitical implications for the global economy in the digital age. The rapid growth of digital trade has introduced significant challenges and opportunities, necessitating robust data governance to balance national security interests with the free flow of goods, services, and data across borders. The papers explore the different models of data governance championed by the US, China, and the EU, highlighting the complexities of cross-border data flows and their impact on international relations. Through detailed analyses of various international agreements and frameworks, this special issue provides a comprehensive overview of the current landscape of digital trade and its security implications, with a particular focus on China's evolving approach to data governance and its global influence.

本特刊探讨数字贸易与安全之间的关系,强调数字时代对全球经济的地缘政治影响。数字贸易的快速增长带来了巨大的挑战和机遇,需要强有力的数据治理来平衡国家安全利益与货物、服务和数据的跨境自由流动。论文探讨了美国、中国和欧盟倡导的不同数据治理模式,强调了跨境数据流的复杂性及其对国际关系的影响。通过对各种国际协议和框架的详细分析,本特刊全面概述了当前数字贸易的格局及其对安全的影响,尤其关注中国不断演变的数据治理方法及其全球影响力。
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引用次数: 0
Convergent antitrust regulation of the digital economy in China, the European Union and the United States: mirror of an intensifying geopolitical competition 中国、欧盟和美国对数字经济的反垄断监管趋同:地缘政治竞争加剧的镜像
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00027-3
Aifang Ma

China, the European Union, and the United States are the three largest digital economies in the world. This article compares the antitrust regulation of the digital economy in the three regions after the 2000s. It argues that over time, the antitrust regulation of the digital economy in the three regions tends to converge along three dimensions: growing separation of the antitrust regulation of the digital economy from that of the other economic sectors, convergence of regulatory objectives, and convergence of regulatory methods. In combination with the geopoliticization of the platform economy, this article argues that four factors have contributed to shape such convergence: (1) historical factors, (2) globalization of the digital economy, (3) increasing policy imitation and policy competition among the major digital powers of the world, (4) support from the civil society.

中国、欧盟和美国是世界上最大的三个数字经济体。本文比较了 2000 年代后三个地区对数字经济的反垄断监管。文章认为,随着时间的推移,三地对数字经济的反垄断监管在三个方面趋于一致:数字经济的反垄断监管与其他经济部门的反垄断监管日益分离、监管目标趋同、监管方法趋同。结合平台经济的地缘政治化,本文认为有四个因素促成了这种趋同:(1)历史因素,(2)数字经济全球化,(3)世界主要数字大国之间的政策模仿和政策竞争加剧,(4)民间社会的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Heading in the direction of bifurcated networks: Hong Kong's evolution amidst the global submarine cable system 朝着分叉网络的方向发展:香港在全球海底电缆系统中的演变
Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00029-1
Jun Zhang

The full understanding of the importance of submarine cables as part of the global network infrastructure in the digital economy era, along with decades of knowledge accumulation in this field, has not prevented Hong Kong from facing increasing difficulties in gaining more access to submarine cable systems since 2017. Given that geopolitical differences between China and the U.S. are dividing the international network infrastructure, the business interests of Hong Kong enterprises and the urban development prospects of the Hong Kong government have been forced to defer to Beijing’s security concerns. Meanwhile, in recent years China has been acquiring data power by modelling the “data collection – data sharing – data space governance” path that the United States and its allies set previously. During this process, the power shaped by China’s unique technological, social and institutional characteristics offers an alternative to American dominance, although it exacerbates the global divergence of internet infrastructure. Many projects along the Belt and Road Initiative and the Digital Silk Road are the examples of China’s data power projection, and will bring opportunities for Hong Kong’s own submarine cables sector and for the city’s role as a super connector in the coming years.

充分认识到海底光缆作为数字经济时代全球网络基础设施一部分的重要性,加上数十年来在这一领域的知识积累,并没有阻止香港自2017年以来在获取更多海底光缆系统接入方面面临越来越多的困难。在中美地缘政治分歧分化国际网络基础设施的情况下,香港企业的商业利益和香港政府的城市发展前景不得不服从北京的安全关切。与此同时,中国近年来也在仿效美国及其盟友此前设定的 "数据收集-数据共享-数据空间治理 "路径,获取数据权力。在这一过程中,中国独特的技术、社会和制度特征所形成的力量为美国的主导地位提供了替代选择,尽管它加剧了全球互联网基础设施的分化。一带一路 "倡议和 "数字丝绸之路 "沿线的许多项目都是中国数据力量投射的范例,也将在未来几年为香港的海底电缆行业和香港作为超级连接器的角色带来机遇。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding the evolution of China’s approach to digital trade: interests, ideas, and institutions 了解中国数字贸易方式的演变:利益、理念和制度
Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00026-4
Danni Zhang

Amid economic globalisation and the rapid development of advanced technologies in recent years, the world economy has shown an increasing trend of digitalisation, whilst digital trade has become the primary pattern of international trade. Based on differences rooted in socio-political systems, as well as the current precarious geopolitical realities, governments adopt different ideas in accordance with their respective interests in the institutionalisation of digital trade. As the world’s second-largest economy and a major digital power, China’s behaviours and ideological stances attract scholarly attention and states’ concern. Whilst Western countries and scholars have criticised China’s ideas of “government intervention in data regulation” and “cyber sovereignty” applied in its existing approach to digital trade, warning that China’s approach poses a threat to Western powers’ adherence to liberalism in the international digital trade system and the idea of “free data flow” in their approaches to digital trade, there has been insufficient research into how China’s approach to digital trade has evolved over time and which ideas and interests have influenced it. To bridge this gap in the literature, this paper divides the evolution of China’s approach to digital trade over the past three decades (1993–2023) into three phases using a longitudinal approach. This research conducts qualitative content analysis using official documents, white papers, and declarations from official Chinese websites, then adopts the 3I analytical framework to analyse which ideas and interests have influenced China’s approach in each phase and how its approach to digital trade has evolved over time.

近年来,在经济全球化和先进技术迅猛发展的背景下,世界经济呈现出日益数字化的趋势,而数字贸易已成为国际贸易的主要模式。基于社会政治制度的差异,以及当前地缘政治的不稳定性,各国政府根据各自的利益,在数字贸易制度化方面采取了不同的思路。作为世界第二大经济体和数字大国,中国的行为和意识形态立场引起了学者和国家的关注。虽然西方国家和学者对中国在现有数字贸易方式中应用的 "政府干预数据监管 "和 "网络主权 "思想提出了批评,警告中国的做法对西方大国在国际数字贸易体系中坚持自由主义和数字贸易方式中的 "数据自由流动 "思想构成了威胁,但对中国的数字贸易方式随着时间的推移是如何演变的,以及哪些思想和利益对其产生了影响的研究却一直不足。为了弥补这一文献空白,本文采用纵向方法,将中国过去三十年(1993-2023 年)的数字贸易方式演变分为三个阶段。本研究利用官方文件、白皮书和中国官方网站上的声明进行定性内容分析,然后采用 3I 分析框架,分析每个阶段中哪些思想和利益影响了中国的做法,以及中国的数字贸易做法是如何随着时间的推移而演变的。
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引用次数: 0
China’s privacy protection strategy and its geopolitical implications 中国的隐私保护战略及其地缘政治影响
Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00028-2
Chi Zhang

How has China’s privacy protection strategy been developed, with its broad scope and stringent requirements for data localization and cross-border data flows? What are the broader geopolitical implications of its divergence from Western models of data privacy? This paper argues that China's privacy protection strategy, characterized by its comprehensive regulatory framework and government access to data, is redefining the contours of global data governance and creating new geopolitical fault lines. Drawing on official documents, laws, regulations, and a case study, this paper highlights the evolution of the regulatory framework in response to emerging challenges posed by technological innovations and the wider geopolitical environment. This paper contributes to the broader discussion regarding the implications of China's privacy protection approach, highlighting potential normative clashes with countries that favor a more open digital economy. China's efforts in developing its own privacy protection strategy have also resulted in the formulation of global standards for data privacy.

中国的隐私保护战略范围广泛,对数据本地化和跨境数据流有严格要求,中国的隐私保护战略是如何制定的?它与西方数据隐私模式的差异会产生哪些更广泛的地缘政治影响?本文认为,以全面监管框架和政府数据访问为特征的中国隐私保护战略正在重新定义全球数据治理的轮廓,并形成新的地缘政治断层线。本文以官方文件、法律法规和案例研究为基础,强调了监管框架在应对技术创新和更广泛的地缘政治环境带来的新挑战方面的演变。本文有助于就中国隐私保护方法的影响展开更广泛的讨论,并强调了与支持更开放的数字经济的国家在规范方面的潜在冲突。中国在制定自身隐私保护战略方面的努力也促成了全球数据隐私标准的制定。
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引用次数: 0
Building partnerships for sustainable development: case study of Laos, the BRI, and the SDGs 为可持续发展建立伙伴关系:老挝、金砖四国倡议和可持续发展目标案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-04-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00025-5
Jing Gu

This study examines sustainable development cooperation and the effectiveness of sustainable development partnerships in supporting national development in meeting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study focuses on SDG 17, “Building Partnerships for Sustainable Development” and takes the Lao Democratic People’s Republic (Laos) as its case study. The study assesses Laos’s socio-economic condition, development trajectory and SDGs. It evaluates Laos’s development partnerships with China and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and wider development diplomacy. The study adopts a political economy perspective, drawing in global major power competition. The paper argues that development partnerships are pivotal to success in achieving national and global development goals. Laos holds the ASEAN Chair through 2024, whilst experiencing severe economic challenges domestically. Moving between these two domains, Laos will seek to achieve balance and even-handedness between regional and global interests. Laos’s long-standing development partnership with China and the BRI brings tangible results. However, the study concludes that greater diversification in building partnerships for development will provide additional support to Laos’s development strategy.

本研究探讨了可持续发展合作以及可持续发展伙伴关系在支持国家发展以实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)方面的有效性。本研究侧重于可持续发展目标 17 "为可持续发展建立伙伴关系",并以老挝人民民主共和国(老挝)为案例研究对象。本研究评估了老挝的社会经济状况、发展轨迹和可持续发展目标。它评估了老挝与中国的发展伙伴关系、"一带一路 "倡议(BRI)以及更广泛的发展外交。本研究采用政治经济学视角,将全球大国竞争纳入其中。本文认为,发展伙伴关系对于成功实现国家和全球发展目标至关重要。老挝担任东盟轮值主席国至 2024 年,与此同时,其国内也面临着严峻的经济挑战。在这两个领域之间,老挝将寻求在地区和全球利益之间实现平衡和不偏不倚。老挝与中国的长期发展伙伴关系和金砖倡议带来了实实在在的成果。然而,研究得出结论,在建立发展伙伴关系方面实现更大程度的多样化将为老挝的发展战略提供更多支持。
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引用次数: 0
A tale of two Southeast Asian states: media governance and authoritarian regimes in Singapore and Vietnam 两个东南亚国家的故事:新加坡和越南的媒体治理与独裁政权
Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00024-6
Martin Albrecht Haenig, Xianbai Ji

Political scientists have crafted intricate taxonomies to classify nations beyond liberal democracy, positioning these societies along an authoritarian continuum. Despite the pivotal role of journalists in accelerating political dynamics, there exists a lack of comparative research on media governance in these regimes. Consequently, this study scrutinizes the media governance ecosystems in Vietnam and Singapore. Vietnam is a one-party authoritarian state, whereas Singapore represents a hybrid political system. However, both countries exhibit a stable and uninterrupted rule by the respective ruling party. Our research uncovers the nuances of Singapore’s media regulation, which embeds trusted stakeholders with financial interests in key press roles to reinforce the implicit political norms. Conversely, Vietnam employs a more direct, coercive, and state-centric approach. Media actors in both nations occasionally test the boundaries of acceptable discourses, with each government’s responses being shaped by specific contexts and broader history. Reforms in Vietnam, embracing privatization and commercialization, mirror Singapore’s integration of capitalism, public ownership, and commercial interests when governing media. These findings highlight diverse yet effective authoritarian media governance strategies, unique features, and commonalities in both systems. Overall, media structures in these Southeast Asian countries have undergone profound evolutions towards more sophisticated regulatory tools to manage societal and political transformations.

政治学家们精心设计了错综复杂的分类法,对自由民主以外的国家进行分类,将这些社会定位为一个独裁的连续体。尽管新闻记者在加速政治动态方面发挥着举足轻重的作用,但缺乏对这些制度下媒体治理的比较研究。因此,本研究仔细研究了越南和新加坡的媒体治理生态系统。越南是一党专制国家,而新加坡是混合政治体制。然而,这两个国家的执政党都表现出稳定和不间断的统治。我们的研究揭示了新加坡媒体监管的细微差别,即让有经济利益的可信利益相关者担任重要的新闻角色,以强化隐性政治规范。相反,越南则采用了更为直接、强制性和以国家为中心的方法。两国的媒体行为者都会偶尔试探可接受言论的底线,而两国政府的反应则受特定环境和更广泛历史的影响。越南的媒体改革奉行私有化和商业化,这与新加坡在管理媒体时将资本主义、公有制和商业利益融为一体的做法如出一辙。这些研究结果凸显了两种制度中不同但有效的专制媒体治理策略、独特之处和共性。总体而言,这些东南亚国家的媒体结构经历了深刻的演变,采用了更先进的监管工具来管理社会和政治变革。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring regulatory barriers using annual reports of firms 利用企业年度报告衡量监管障碍
Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00023-7
Haosen Ge

Existing studies show that regulation is a major barrier to global economic integration. Nonetheless, identifying and measuring regulatory barriers remains a challenging task for scholars. I propose a novel approach to quantify regulatory barriers at the country-year level. Utilizing information from annual reports of publicly listed companies in the U.S., I identify regulatory barriers business practitioners encounter. The barrier information is first extracted from the text documents by a cutting-edge neural language model trained on a hand-coded training set. Then, I feed the extracted barrier information into a dynamic item response theory model to estimate the numerical barrier level of 40 countries between 2006 and 2015 while controlling for various channels of confounding. I argue that the results returned by this approach should be less likely to be contaminated by major confounders such as international politics. Thus, they are well-suited for future political science research.

现有研究表明,监管是全球经济一体化的主要障碍。然而,对于学者来说,识别和衡量监管壁垒仍然是一项具有挑战性的任务。我提出了一种在国家年度层面量化监管壁垒的新方法。利用美国上市公司年度报告中的信息,我识别了商业从业者遇到的监管障碍。首先,通过手工编码训练集训练出的尖端神经语言模型从文本文档中提取障碍信息。然后,我将提取的障碍信息输入动态项目反应理论模型,以估计 40 个国家在 2006 年至 2015 年间的数字障碍水平,同时控制各种混杂渠道。我认为,这种方法得出的结果不太可能受到国际政治等主要混杂因素的影响。因此,它们非常适合未来的政治科学研究。
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引用次数: 0
Leadership turnover, winning coalition size and foreign policy realignment 领导层更替、获胜联盟规模和外交政策调整
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8
Andrew X. Li, Wen Zha
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Review of Political Economy
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