首页 > 最新文献

Asian Review of Political Economy最新文献

英文 中文
Heading in the direction of bifurcated networks: Hong Kong's evolution amidst the global submarine cable system 朝着分叉网络的方向发展:香港在全球海底电缆系统中的演变
Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00029-1
Jun Zhang

The full understanding of the importance of submarine cables as part of the global network infrastructure in the digital economy era, along with decades of knowledge accumulation in this field, has not prevented Hong Kong from facing increasing difficulties in gaining more access to submarine cable systems since 2017. Given that geopolitical differences between China and the U.S. are dividing the international network infrastructure, the business interests of Hong Kong enterprises and the urban development prospects of the Hong Kong government have been forced to defer to Beijing’s security concerns. Meanwhile, in recent years China has been acquiring data power by modelling the “data collection – data sharing – data space governance” path that the United States and its allies set previously. During this process, the power shaped by China’s unique technological, social and institutional characteristics offers an alternative to American dominance, although it exacerbates the global divergence of internet infrastructure. Many projects along the Belt and Road Initiative and the Digital Silk Road are the examples of China’s data power projection, and will bring opportunities for Hong Kong’s own submarine cables sector and for the city’s role as a super connector in the coming years.

充分认识到海底光缆作为数字经济时代全球网络基础设施一部分的重要性,加上数十年来在这一领域的知识积累,并没有阻止香港自2017年以来在获取更多海底光缆系统接入方面面临越来越多的困难。在中美地缘政治分歧分化国际网络基础设施的情况下,香港企业的商业利益和香港政府的城市发展前景不得不服从北京的安全关切。与此同时,中国近年来也在仿效美国及其盟友此前设定的 "数据收集-数据共享-数据空间治理 "路径,获取数据权力。在这一过程中,中国独特的技术、社会和制度特征所形成的力量为美国的主导地位提供了替代选择,尽管它加剧了全球互联网基础设施的分化。一带一路 "倡议和 "数字丝绸之路 "沿线的许多项目都是中国数据力量投射的范例,也将在未来几年为香港的海底电缆行业和香港作为超级连接器的角色带来机遇。
{"title":"Heading in the direction of bifurcated networks: Hong Kong's evolution amidst the global submarine cable system","authors":"Jun Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00029-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-024-00029-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The full understanding of the importance of submarine cables as part of the global network infrastructure in the digital economy era, along with decades of knowledge accumulation in this field, has not prevented Hong Kong from facing increasing difficulties in gaining more access to submarine cable systems since 2017. Given that geopolitical differences between China and the U.S. are dividing the international network infrastructure, the business interests of Hong Kong enterprises and the urban development prospects of the Hong Kong government have been forced to defer to Beijing’s security concerns. Meanwhile, in recent years China has been acquiring data power by modelling the “data collection – data sharing – data space governance” path that the United States and its allies set previously. During this process, the power shaped by China’s unique technological, social and institutional characteristics offers an alternative to American dominance, although it exacerbates the global divergence of internet infrastructure. Many projects along the Belt and Road Initiative and the Digital Silk Road are the examples of China’s data power projection, and will bring opportunities for Hong Kong’s own submarine cables sector and for the city’s role as a super connector in the coming years.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-024-00029-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142414689","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Understanding the evolution of China’s approach to digital trade: interests, ideas, and institutions 了解中国数字贸易方式的演变:利益、理念和制度
Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00026-4
Danni Zhang

Amid economic globalisation and the rapid development of advanced technologies in recent years, the world economy has shown an increasing trend of digitalisation, whilst digital trade has become the primary pattern of international trade. Based on differences rooted in socio-political systems, as well as the current precarious geopolitical realities, governments adopt different ideas in accordance with their respective interests in the institutionalisation of digital trade. As the world’s second-largest economy and a major digital power, China’s behaviours and ideological stances attract scholarly attention and states’ concern. Whilst Western countries and scholars have criticised China’s ideas of “government intervention in data regulation” and “cyber sovereignty” applied in its existing approach to digital trade, warning that China’s approach poses a threat to Western powers’ adherence to liberalism in the international digital trade system and the idea of “free data flow” in their approaches to digital trade, there has been insufficient research into how China’s approach to digital trade has evolved over time and which ideas and interests have influenced it. To bridge this gap in the literature, this paper divides the evolution of China’s approach to digital trade over the past three decades (1993–2023) into three phases using a longitudinal approach. This research conducts qualitative content analysis using official documents, white papers, and declarations from official Chinese websites, then adopts the 3I analytical framework to analyse which ideas and interests have influenced China’s approach in each phase and how its approach to digital trade has evolved over time.

近年来,在经济全球化和先进技术迅猛发展的背景下,世界经济呈现出日益数字化的趋势,而数字贸易已成为国际贸易的主要模式。基于社会政治制度的差异,以及当前地缘政治的不稳定性,各国政府根据各自的利益,在数字贸易制度化方面采取了不同的思路。作为世界第二大经济体和数字大国,中国的行为和意识形态立场引起了学者和国家的关注。虽然西方国家和学者对中国在现有数字贸易方式中应用的 "政府干预数据监管 "和 "网络主权 "思想提出了批评,警告中国的做法对西方大国在国际数字贸易体系中坚持自由主义和数字贸易方式中的 "数据自由流动 "思想构成了威胁,但对中国的数字贸易方式随着时间的推移是如何演变的,以及哪些思想和利益对其产生了影响的研究却一直不足。为了弥补这一文献空白,本文采用纵向方法,将中国过去三十年(1993-2023 年)的数字贸易方式演变分为三个阶段。本研究利用官方文件、白皮书和中国官方网站上的声明进行定性内容分析,然后采用 3I 分析框架,分析每个阶段中哪些思想和利益影响了中国的做法,以及中国的数字贸易做法是如何随着时间的推移而演变的。
{"title":"Understanding the evolution of China’s approach to digital trade: interests, ideas, and institutions","authors":"Danni Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00026-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-024-00026-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Amid economic globalisation and the rapid development of advanced technologies in recent years, the world economy has shown an increasing trend of digitalisation, whilst digital trade has become the primary pattern of international trade. Based on differences rooted in socio-political systems, as well as the current precarious geopolitical realities, governments adopt different ideas in accordance with their respective interests in the institutionalisation of digital trade. As the world’s second-largest economy and a major digital power, China’s behaviours and ideological stances attract scholarly attention and states’ concern. Whilst Western countries and scholars have criticised China’s ideas of “government intervention in data regulation” and “cyber sovereignty” applied in its existing approach to digital trade, warning that China’s approach poses a threat to Western powers’ adherence to liberalism in the international digital trade system and the idea of “free data flow” in their approaches to digital trade, there has been insufficient research into how China’s approach to digital trade has evolved over time and which ideas and interests have influenced it. To bridge this gap in the literature, this paper divides the evolution of China’s approach to digital trade over the past three decades (1993–2023) into three phases using a longitudinal approach. This research conducts qualitative content analysis using official documents, white papers, and declarations from official Chinese websites, then adopts the 3I analytical framework to analyse which ideas and interests have influenced China’s approach in each phase and how its approach to digital trade has evolved over time.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-024-00026-4.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142414715","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
China’s privacy protection strategy and its geopolitical implications 中国的隐私保护战略及其地缘政治影响
Pub Date : 2024-05-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00028-2
Chi Zhang

How has China’s privacy protection strategy been developed, with its broad scope and stringent requirements for data localization and cross-border data flows? What are the broader geopolitical implications of its divergence from Western models of data privacy? This paper argues that China's privacy protection strategy, characterized by its comprehensive regulatory framework and government access to data, is redefining the contours of global data governance and creating new geopolitical fault lines. Drawing on official documents, laws, regulations, and a case study, this paper highlights the evolution of the regulatory framework in response to emerging challenges posed by technological innovations and the wider geopolitical environment. This paper contributes to the broader discussion regarding the implications of China's privacy protection approach, highlighting potential normative clashes with countries that favor a more open digital economy. China's efforts in developing its own privacy protection strategy have also resulted in the formulation of global standards for data privacy.

中国的隐私保护战略范围广泛,对数据本地化和跨境数据流有严格要求,中国的隐私保护战略是如何制定的?它与西方数据隐私模式的差异会产生哪些更广泛的地缘政治影响?本文认为,以全面监管框架和政府数据访问为特征的中国隐私保护战略正在重新定义全球数据治理的轮廓,并形成新的地缘政治断层线。本文以官方文件、法律法规和案例研究为基础,强调了监管框架在应对技术创新和更广泛的地缘政治环境带来的新挑战方面的演变。本文有助于就中国隐私保护方法的影响展开更广泛的讨论,并强调了与支持更开放的数字经济的国家在规范方面的潜在冲突。中国在制定自身隐私保护战略方面的努力也促成了全球数据隐私标准的制定。
{"title":"China’s privacy protection strategy and its geopolitical implications","authors":"Chi Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00028-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-024-00028-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>How has China’s privacy protection strategy been developed, with its broad scope and stringent requirements for data localization and cross-border data flows? What are the broader geopolitical implications of its divergence from Western models of data privacy? This paper argues that China's privacy protection strategy, characterized by its comprehensive regulatory framework and government access to data, is redefining the contours of global data governance and creating new geopolitical fault lines. Drawing on official documents, laws, regulations, and a case study, this paper highlights the evolution of the regulatory framework in response to emerging challenges posed by technological innovations and the wider geopolitical environment. This paper contributes to the broader discussion regarding the implications of China's privacy protection approach, highlighting potential normative clashes with countries that favor a more open digital economy. China's efforts in developing its own privacy protection strategy have also resulted in the formulation of global standards for data privacy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-024-00028-2.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142414735","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Building partnerships for sustainable development: case study of Laos, the BRI, and the SDGs 为可持续发展建立伙伴关系:老挝、金砖四国倡议和可持续发展目标案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-04-28 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00025-5
Jing Gu

This study examines sustainable development cooperation and the effectiveness of sustainable development partnerships in supporting national development in meeting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study focuses on SDG 17, “Building Partnerships for Sustainable Development” and takes the Lao Democratic People’s Republic (Laos) as its case study. The study assesses Laos’s socio-economic condition, development trajectory and SDGs. It evaluates Laos’s development partnerships with China and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and wider development diplomacy. The study adopts a political economy perspective, drawing in global major power competition. The paper argues that development partnerships are pivotal to success in achieving national and global development goals. Laos holds the ASEAN Chair through 2024, whilst experiencing severe economic challenges domestically. Moving between these two domains, Laos will seek to achieve balance and even-handedness between regional and global interests. Laos’s long-standing development partnership with China and the BRI brings tangible results. However, the study concludes that greater diversification in building partnerships for development will provide additional support to Laos’s development strategy.

本研究探讨了可持续发展合作以及可持续发展伙伴关系在支持国家发展以实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)方面的有效性。本研究侧重于可持续发展目标 17 "为可持续发展建立伙伴关系",并以老挝人民民主共和国(老挝)为案例研究对象。本研究评估了老挝的社会经济状况、发展轨迹和可持续发展目标。它评估了老挝与中国的发展伙伴关系、"一带一路 "倡议(BRI)以及更广泛的发展外交。本研究采用政治经济学视角,将全球大国竞争纳入其中。本文认为,发展伙伴关系对于成功实现国家和全球发展目标至关重要。老挝担任东盟轮值主席国至 2024 年,与此同时,其国内也面临着严峻的经济挑战。在这两个领域之间,老挝将寻求在地区和全球利益之间实现平衡和不偏不倚。老挝与中国的长期发展伙伴关系和金砖倡议带来了实实在在的成果。然而,研究得出结论,在建立发展伙伴关系方面实现更大程度的多样化将为老挝的发展战略提供更多支持。
{"title":"Building partnerships for sustainable development: case study of Laos, the BRI, and the SDGs","authors":"Jing Gu","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00025-5","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-024-00025-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines sustainable development cooperation and the effectiveness of sustainable development partnerships in supporting national development in meeting Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This study focuses on SDG 17, “Building Partnerships for Sustainable Development” and takes the Lao Democratic People’s Republic (Laos) as its case study. The study assesses Laos’s socio-economic condition, development trajectory and SDGs. It evaluates Laos’s development partnerships with China and the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and wider development diplomacy. The study adopts a political economy perspective, drawing in global major power competition. The paper argues that development partnerships are pivotal to success in achieving national and global development goals. Laos holds the ASEAN Chair through 2024, whilst experiencing severe economic challenges domestically. Moving between these two domains, Laos will seek to achieve balance and even-handedness between regional and global interests. Laos’s long-standing development partnership with China and the BRI brings tangible results. However, the study concludes that greater diversification in building partnerships for development will provide additional support to Laos’s development strategy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-024-00025-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142414467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A tale of two Southeast Asian states: media governance and authoritarian regimes in Singapore and Vietnam 两个东南亚国家的故事:新加坡和越南的媒体治理与独裁政权
Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00024-6
Martin Albrecht Haenig, Xianbai Ji

Political scientists have crafted intricate taxonomies to classify nations beyond liberal democracy, positioning these societies along an authoritarian continuum. Despite the pivotal role of journalists in accelerating political dynamics, there exists a lack of comparative research on media governance in these regimes. Consequently, this study scrutinizes the media governance ecosystems in Vietnam and Singapore. Vietnam is a one-party authoritarian state, whereas Singapore represents a hybrid political system. However, both countries exhibit a stable and uninterrupted rule by the respective ruling party. Our research uncovers the nuances of Singapore’s media regulation, which embeds trusted stakeholders with financial interests in key press roles to reinforce the implicit political norms. Conversely, Vietnam employs a more direct, coercive, and state-centric approach. Media actors in both nations occasionally test the boundaries of acceptable discourses, with each government’s responses being shaped by specific contexts and broader history. Reforms in Vietnam, embracing privatization and commercialization, mirror Singapore’s integration of capitalism, public ownership, and commercial interests when governing media. These findings highlight diverse yet effective authoritarian media governance strategies, unique features, and commonalities in both systems. Overall, media structures in these Southeast Asian countries have undergone profound evolutions towards more sophisticated regulatory tools to manage societal and political transformations.

政治学家们精心设计了错综复杂的分类法,对自由民主以外的国家进行分类,将这些社会定位为一个独裁的连续体。尽管新闻记者在加速政治动态方面发挥着举足轻重的作用,但缺乏对这些制度下媒体治理的比较研究。因此,本研究仔细研究了越南和新加坡的媒体治理生态系统。越南是一党专制国家,而新加坡是混合政治体制。然而,这两个国家的执政党都表现出稳定和不间断的统治。我们的研究揭示了新加坡媒体监管的细微差别,即让有经济利益的可信利益相关者担任重要的新闻角色,以强化隐性政治规范。相反,越南则采用了更为直接、强制性和以国家为中心的方法。两国的媒体行为者都会偶尔试探可接受言论的底线,而两国政府的反应则受特定环境和更广泛历史的影响。越南的媒体改革奉行私有化和商业化,这与新加坡在管理媒体时将资本主义、公有制和商业利益融为一体的做法如出一辙。这些研究结果凸显了两种制度中不同但有效的专制媒体治理策略、独特之处和共性。总体而言,这些东南亚国家的媒体结构经历了深刻的演变,采用了更先进的监管工具来管理社会和政治变革。
{"title":"A tale of two Southeast Asian states: media governance and authoritarian regimes in Singapore and Vietnam","authors":"Martin Albrecht Haenig,&nbsp;Xianbai Ji","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00024-6","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-024-00024-6","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Political scientists have crafted intricate taxonomies to classify nations beyond liberal democracy, positioning these societies along an authoritarian continuum. Despite the pivotal role of journalists in accelerating political dynamics, there exists a lack of comparative research on media governance in these regimes. Consequently, this study scrutinizes the media governance ecosystems in Vietnam and Singapore. Vietnam is a one-party authoritarian state, whereas Singapore represents a hybrid political system. However, both countries exhibit a stable and uninterrupted rule by the respective ruling party. Our research uncovers the nuances of Singapore’s media regulation, which embeds trusted stakeholders with financial interests in key press roles to reinforce the implicit political norms. Conversely, Vietnam employs a more direct, coercive, and state-centric approach. Media actors in both nations occasionally test the boundaries of acceptable discourses, with each government’s responses being shaped by specific contexts and broader history. Reforms in Vietnam, embracing privatization and commercialization, mirror Singapore’s integration of capitalism, public ownership, and commercial interests when governing media. These findings highlight diverse yet effective authoritarian media governance strategies, unique features, and commonalities in both systems. Overall, media structures in these Southeast Asian countries have undergone profound evolutions towards more sophisticated regulatory tools to manage societal and political transformations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-024-00024-6.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140212198","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Measuring regulatory barriers using annual reports of firms 利用企业年度报告衡量监管障碍
Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00023-7
Haosen Ge

Existing studies show that regulation is a major barrier to global economic integration. Nonetheless, identifying and measuring regulatory barriers remains a challenging task for scholars. I propose a novel approach to quantify regulatory barriers at the country-year level. Utilizing information from annual reports of publicly listed companies in the U.S., I identify regulatory barriers business practitioners encounter. The barrier information is first extracted from the text documents by a cutting-edge neural language model trained on a hand-coded training set. Then, I feed the extracted barrier information into a dynamic item response theory model to estimate the numerical barrier level of 40 countries between 2006 and 2015 while controlling for various channels of confounding. I argue that the results returned by this approach should be less likely to be contaminated by major confounders such as international politics. Thus, they are well-suited for future political science research.

现有研究表明,监管是全球经济一体化的主要障碍。然而,对于学者来说,识别和衡量监管壁垒仍然是一项具有挑战性的任务。我提出了一种在国家年度层面量化监管壁垒的新方法。利用美国上市公司年度报告中的信息,我识别了商业从业者遇到的监管障碍。首先,通过手工编码训练集训练出的尖端神经语言模型从文本文档中提取障碍信息。然后,我将提取的障碍信息输入动态项目反应理论模型,以估计 40 个国家在 2006 年至 2015 年间的数字障碍水平,同时控制各种混杂渠道。我认为,这种方法得出的结果不太可能受到国际政治等主要混杂因素的影响。因此,它们非常适合未来的政治科学研究。
{"title":"Measuring regulatory barriers using annual reports of firms","authors":"Haosen Ge","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00023-7","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-024-00023-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Existing studies show that regulation is a major barrier to global economic integration. Nonetheless, identifying and measuring regulatory barriers remains a challenging task for scholars. I propose a novel approach to quantify regulatory barriers at the country-year level. Utilizing information from annual reports of publicly listed companies in the U.S., I identify regulatory barriers business practitioners encounter. The barrier information is first extracted from the text documents by a cutting-edge neural language model trained on a hand-coded training set. Then, I feed the extracted barrier information into a dynamic item response theory model to estimate the numerical barrier level of 40 countries between 2006 and 2015 while controlling for various channels of confounding. I argue that the results returned by this approach should be less likely to be contaminated by major confounders such as international politics. Thus, they are well-suited for future political science research.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-024-00023-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142411621","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Leadership turnover, winning coalition size and foreign policy realignment 领导层更替、获胜联盟规模和外交政策调整
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8
Andrew X. Li, Wen Zha
{"title":"Leadership turnover, winning coalition size and foreign policy realignment","authors":"Andrew X. Li, Wen Zha","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"11 12","pages":"1-24"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139781891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Leadership turnover, winning coalition size and foreign policy realignment 领导层更替、获胜联盟规模和外交政策调整
Pub Date : 2024-02-13 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8
Andrew X. Li, Wen Zha

Why do states realign their foreign policies toward a major power? Conventional wisdom holds that change in political leadership tends to result in less drastic foreign policy realignment in countries with large winning coalitions. The current study capitalizes on this conventional wisdom by invoking a key insight of the selectorate theory, the non-linear welfare function. Since the welfare of coalition members falls before it rises as the size of winning coalition becomes larger, one should expect the stabilizing effects of winning coalitions to be the weakest for low-to-medium sized winning coalitions. Thus, leadership turnover in countries with middle-sized winning coalitions is expected to result in greater foreign policy realignment than in countries with very large or very small coalitions. We test this theoretical proposition by studying the foreign policies of 154 countries towards China from 1972 to 2015. With newly constructed measures of leadership turnover and winning coalitions size, the evidence supports a non-linear relationship between change in leadership and foreign policy realignment along the continuum of winning coalition size.

为什么国家会调整其外交政策,使之向大国靠拢?传统观点认为,在拥有庞大获胜联盟的国家,政治领导层的更迭往往不会导致外交政策的剧烈调整。本研究利用了这一传统观点,引用了选择理论的一个重要观点--非线性福利函数。由于联盟成员的福利会随着获胜联盟规模的扩大而先降后升,因此我们可以预期,对于中低规模的获胜联盟而言,获胜联盟的稳定效应是最弱的。因此,与联盟规模非常大或非常小的国家相比,中等规模获胜联盟国家的领导层更替预计会导致更大的外交政策调整。我们通过研究 154 个国家从 1972 年到 2015 年的对华外交政策来验证这一理论命题。通过新构建的领导层更替和获胜联盟规模的衡量指标,证据支持领导层更替与外交政策调整之间沿着获胜联盟规模的连续性存在非线性关系。
{"title":"Leadership turnover, winning coalition size and foreign policy realignment","authors":"Andrew X. Li,&nbsp;Wen Zha","doi":"10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Why do states realign their foreign policies toward a major power? Conventional wisdom holds that change in political leadership tends to result in less drastic foreign policy realignment in countries with large winning coalitions. The current study capitalizes on this conventional wisdom by invoking a key insight of the selectorate theory, the non-linear welfare function. Since the welfare of coalition members falls before it rises as the size of winning coalition becomes larger, one should expect the stabilizing effects of winning coalitions to be the weakest for low-to-medium sized winning coalitions. Thus, leadership turnover in countries with middle-sized winning coalitions is expected to result in greater foreign policy realignment than in countries with very large or very small coalitions. We test this theoretical proposition by studying the foreign policies of 154 countries towards China from 1972 to 2015. With newly constructed measures of leadership turnover and winning coalitions size, the evidence supports a non-linear relationship between change in leadership and foreign policy realignment along the continuum of winning coalition size.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-024-00022-8.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139841794","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Double jeopardy: FCPA enforcement and MNC risk-mitigation strategies 双重危险:FCPA 执法与跨国公司风险缓解战略
Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-023-00021-1
Jian Xu

Does transnational anti-bribery enforcement affect the risk-mitigation strategies of firms? This paper uses an original dataset on the enforcement actions of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) to examine the law’s impact on corporate behavior and political risks for multinational corporations (MNCs). I argue that corrupt institutions are not necessarily undesirable for foreign investors. Foreign firms seek above-normal returns in high-risk markets through informal exchanges with the host government. FCPA enforcement provides a “fire alarm” that affects firms differently given their sensitivity to corruption concerns. FCPA enforcement has unequal deterrence against corporate misconduct, encouraging some firms to adopt transparency norms while incentivizing other firms to be more insidious in their corrupt business practices. I use a partial observability bivariate probit model to estimate the unobservable propensity of firms to engage in corrupt exchanges. Then I examine the impact of FCPA enforcement on Chinese FDI, and find that Chinese investments are deterred from markets with robust legal institutions. The FCPA’s deterrence effects against corrupt competitors is a positive outcome for U.S. MNCs. However, American companies experience diminished returns in countries with strong investor protection regimes. External legal interventions under the FCPA generate regulatory burdens on U.S. that limit their business opportunities.

跨国反贿赂执法是否会影响企业的风险缓解策略?本文利用《反海外腐败法》(FCPA)执法行动的原始数据集,研究该法对企业行为和跨国公司(MNCs)政治风险的影响。我认为,对于外国投资者来说,腐败的制度并不一定是不可取的。外国公司通过与东道国政府的非正式交流,在高风险市场寻求高于正常水平的回报。FCPA 的实施提供了一个 "火警",由于企业对腐败问题的敏感度不同,其受到的影响也不同。FCPA 的实施对企业不当行为的威慑力是不平等的,它鼓励一些企业采用透明规范,同时也激励其他企业在腐败商业行为中更加隐蔽。我使用部分可观测性的双变量概率模型来估算企业参与腐败交易的不可观测倾向。然后,我研究了《反海外腐败法》的实施对中国外国直接投资的影响,发现中国的投资会受到法律制度健全的市场的阻碍。FCPA 对腐败竞争对手的威慑作用对美国跨国公司来说是一个积极的结果。然而,在投资者保护制度健全的国家,美国公司的收益会减少。根据《反海外腐败法》进行的外部法律干预给美国公司带来了监管负担,限制了它们的商业机会。
{"title":"Double jeopardy: FCPA enforcement and MNC risk-mitigation strategies","authors":"Jian Xu","doi":"10.1007/s44216-023-00021-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-023-00021-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Does transnational anti-bribery enforcement affect the risk-mitigation strategies of firms? This paper uses an original dataset on the enforcement actions of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) to examine the law’s impact on corporate behavior and political risks for multinational corporations (MNCs). I argue that corrupt institutions are not necessarily undesirable for foreign investors. Foreign firms seek above-normal returns in high-risk markets through informal exchanges with the host government. FCPA enforcement provides a “fire alarm” that affects firms differently given their sensitivity to corruption concerns. FCPA enforcement has unequal deterrence against corporate misconduct, encouraging some firms to adopt transparency norms while incentivizing other firms to be more insidious in their corrupt business practices. I use a partial observability bivariate probit model to estimate the unobservable propensity of firms to engage in corrupt exchanges. Then I examine the impact of FCPA enforcement on Chinese FDI, and find that Chinese investments are deterred from markets with robust legal institutions. The FCPA’s deterrence effects against corrupt competitors is a positive outcome for U.S. MNCs. However, American companies experience diminished returns in countries with strong investor protection regimes. External legal interventions under the FCPA generate regulatory burdens on U.S. that limit their business opportunities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-023-00021-1.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139523397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The emergence of geo-economic institutions: observations on European and Chinese development cooperation in Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova 2014 – 2020 地缘经济机构的出现:对欧洲和中国在乌克兰、格鲁吉亚和摩尔多瓦 2014-2020 年发展合作的观察
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-023-00020-2
Angelo Kruger, Jack Strosser

The emergence of China as a major provider of development finance has garnered considerable scholarly debate. Chinese investments and their impact on recipient states have been extensively studied, mainly focusing on the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). In response to the BRI, the European Commission recently announced its connectivity strategy, the Global Gateway initiative. In this context, and even before the announcement, little work has been done to map Chinese state capitalist development finance side by side with the European Union’s (EU) market-led, public-private partnership-oriented strategies, especially within Europe’s own neighborhood. Additionally, the literature insufficiently explains why development institutions (agents) would act geo-economically to enforce their most powerful member states’ (principals) international agendas. This lack of theoretical explanatory power poses a serious puzzle. Thus, we ask, how has EU and Chinese institutional investment cooperation developed (legally and financially) in the EU’s Eastern Partnership (EaP) region in the previous EU Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) from 2014 to 2020? We argue that development institutions have acted in accordance with their principal’s policy goals by facilitating investment and institutional agreements and by offering beneficial cooperation conditions, so that the EU and China can direct investment in a geo-economic manner if they choose to do so. In the following, we find that European investment in the EaP countries Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia, has been huge in absolute terms (amount invested) and strong in relative terms––through deeper economic cooperation––when compared to Chinese investment activity in the same countries. This development supports the EU’s aim of countering China’s increasing economic presence in the region. However, we find that this gap has been closing in total terms. Our study suggests that while China has not matched EU investment in the EaP region for the previous MFF, further research is needed to unpack individual sectors and their geo-economic implications for official development institutions and their respective states.

中国作为发展资金主要提供者的崛起引起了学术界的广泛讨论。中国的投资及其对受援国的影响已得到广泛研究,主要集中在 "一带一路 "倡议(BRI)上。作为对 "一带一路 "倡议的回应,欧盟委员会最近宣布了其互联互通战略--"全球门户 "倡议。在此背景下,甚至在该倡议宣布之前,很少有人将中国的国家资本主义发展融资与欧盟(EU)以市场为主导、公私合作为导向的战略并列研究,尤其是在欧洲周边地区。此外,相关文献也没有充分解释为什么发展机构(代理人)会采取地缘经济行动来执行其最强大的成员国(委托人)的国际议程。这种理论解释力的缺乏构成了一个严重的难题。因此,我们要问,在上一个 2014-2020 年欧盟多年期财政框架(MFF)中,欧盟和中国机构投资合作在欧盟东部伙伴关系(EaP)地区是如何发展的(法律上和财政上)?我们认为,发展机构按照其委托人的政策目标行事,为投资和机构协议提供便利,并提供有利的合作条件,从而使欧盟和中国能够以地缘经济的方式引导投资(如果它们选择这样做的话)。在下文中,我们会发现,与中国在 EaP 国家乌克兰、摩尔多瓦和格鲁吉亚的投资活动相比,欧洲在这些国家的投资在绝对值(投资额)上是巨大的,在相对值(通过更深入的经济合作)上也是强劲的。这一发展支持了欧盟对抗中国在该地区日益增长的经济存在的目标。然而,我们发现,从总量上看,这一差距正在缩小。我们的研究表明,尽管在上一个多年筹资框架中,中国在东欧和太平洋地区的投资额并未与欧盟的投资额相匹配,但仍需进一步研究,以解读各个领域及其对官方发展机构和各自国家的地缘经济影响。
{"title":"The emergence of geo-economic institutions: observations on European and Chinese development cooperation in Ukraine, Georgia, and Moldova 2014 – 2020","authors":"Angelo Kruger,&nbsp;Jack Strosser","doi":"10.1007/s44216-023-00020-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s44216-023-00020-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The emergence of China as a major provider of development finance has garnered considerable scholarly debate. Chinese investments and their impact on recipient states have been extensively studied, mainly focusing on the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). In response to the BRI, the European Commission recently announced its connectivity strategy, the Global Gateway initiative. In this context, and even before the announcement, little work has been done to map Chinese state capitalist development finance side by side with the European Union’s (EU) market-led, public-private partnership-oriented strategies, especially within Europe’s own neighborhood. Additionally, the literature insufficiently explains why development institutions (agents) would act geo-economically to enforce their most powerful member states’ (principals) international agendas. This lack of theoretical explanatory power poses a serious puzzle. Thus, we ask, how has EU and Chinese institutional investment cooperation developed (legally and financially) in the EU’s Eastern Partnership (EaP) region in the previous EU Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) from 2014 to 2020? We argue that development institutions have acted in accordance with their principal’s policy goals by facilitating investment and institutional agreements and by offering beneficial cooperation conditions, so that the EU and China can direct investment in a geo-economic manner if they choose to do so. In the following, we find that European investment in the EaP countries Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia, has been huge in absolute terms (amount invested) and strong in relative terms––through deeper economic cooperation––when compared to Chinese investment activity in the same countries. This development supports the EU’s aim of countering China’s increasing economic presence in the region. However, we find that this gap has been closing in total terms. Our study suggests that while China has not matched EU investment in the EaP region for the previous MFF, further research is needed to unpack individual sectors and their geo-economic implications for official development institutions and their respective states.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100130,"journal":{"name":"Asian Review of Political Economy","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s44216-023-00020-2.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138953871","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Review of Political Economy
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1