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A critical approach to security in the Middle East: towards sustainable security
Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-025-00045-9
Enayatollah Yazdani, Ji Zeng, Mohsen Bagheri

The failure of traditional approaches to provide security has resulted in introducing a new approach to security in the post-Cold War era known as "sustainable security." This issue is particularly important in the Middle East, where the security situation has deteriorated in recent decades due to traditional security approaches. The main question of this paper is, "What can be done to ensure long-term security in the Middle East?" This paper is based on the hypothesis that sustainable security can be achieved by addressing national security, regional security, global security, and human security at the same time. The paper addresses the problem of security in the Middle East using a descriptive-analytical methodology and utilizing a theoretical framework of critical approach to security. To do this, first, the relevant theoretical literature is discussed; second, the Middle East security issue is addressed. The factors most likely to contribute to long-term security at the human, national, regional, and global levels are discussed.

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引用次数: 0
The governance of Islamic extremism in the Middle East: a multidimensional assessment and implications
Pub Date : 2025-02-24 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-025-00044-w
Zhiqiang Zou, Li Li

Given the significant religious connotations, political demands, and social implications associated with Islamic extremism, it is crucial that counter-extremism strategies address a wide array of areas. This is particularly vital in the realms of political participation, religious management, and social governance, all of which are essential for the prevention of Islamic extremism. The complexity and diversity present in the political, religious, and social landscapes of Middle Eastern countries have led to variations in the policies and effectiveness of governance approaches related to Islamic extremism. These variations provide valuable lessons and insights. This article aims to analyze the differences and implications of governance approaches to extremism in the Middle East through a multidimensional assessment of the interrelations among politics and religion, religious-secular relations, and state-society relations. Rather than categorizing these approaches as inherently positive or negative, it is imperative for each country to identify governance strategies that are congruent with its unique circumstances.

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引用次数: 0
The crises in the Middle East: reshaping the region’s geopolitical landscape and altering the global order 中东危机:重塑该地区地缘政治格局,改变全球秩序
Pub Date : 2025-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00043-3
Seevan Saeed

The recent events in the Middle East caught most political commentators, observers and thinkers by surprise. Who would have imagined that a non-state actor like Hamas could launch an attack on Israel and create such a complex condition for a powerful state, heavily supported by the USA and Western powers? However, crises in the Middle East often escalate unpredictably, defying calculations and expectations. This paper argues that since October 7th 2023, not only in the Middle East but also in several other regions worldwide, major rival powers have been struggling with crises that are leading to reshape the global order. The paper argues that the realms of Economy, Security, and Diplomacy among the primary global powers are all under scrutiny as they navigate the crises that have intensified significantly towards altering the global order.

中东最近发生的事件让大多数政治评论员、观察家和思想家感到意外。谁能想到,像哈马斯这样的非国家行为体可以对以色列发动袭击,并为一个由美国和西方大国大力支持的强大国家创造如此复杂的条件?然而,中东的危机往往不可预测地升级,超出了计算和预期。本文认为,自2023年10月7日以来,不仅在中东,而且在世界其他几个地区,主要竞争大国一直在与危机作斗争,这些危机正在导致全球秩序的重塑。本文认为,全球主要大国之间的经济、安全和外交领域在应对危机的过程中都受到了密切关注,这些危机已显著加剧,可能会改变全球秩序。
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引用次数: 0
China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Southeast Asia and its implications for ASEAN-China strategic partnership 中国在东南亚的“一带一路”倡议及其对中国—东盟战略伙伴关系的影响
Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00042-4
Mukesh Shankar Bharti, Suprabha Kumari

This study aims to discuss China’s bilateral partnership with Southeast Asia under the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). China’s BRI framework of cooperation serves as a platform for enhancing economic, cultural, tourism, and trade relationships with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) member states, promoting regional development and cooperation. China’s BRI cooperation framework comprehensively defines “Globalization 5.0” and this research speaks rationally about the theory of power transition. As a result, BRI projects not only benefit Southeast Asian countries by improving infrastructure and economic growth but also contribute to China’s strategic goal of expanding its influence in the region through connectivity and cooperation. The BRI has been instrumental in developing large-scale infrastructure projects across Southeast Asia, including railways, ports, highways, and energy projects. The China-Laos Railway, which connects Vientiane with Kunming, is a notable example, promoting regional connectivity and trade. Similarly, the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway in Indonesia is another high-profile project aimed at enhancing transportation efficiency. In addition to economic and infrastructure projects, the BRI has enhanced cultural ties between China and Southeast Asia. This includes educational exchanges, joint research initiatives, and people-to-people exchanges, fostering stronger mutual understanding and cooperation. Collaborative cultural programs and tourism initiatives have been promoted to strengthen these ties.

本研究旨在探讨中国与东南亚在“一带一路”倡议下的双边伙伴关系。中国的“一带一路”合作框架是加强与东盟成员国经济、文化、旅游和贸易关系的平台,促进了区域发展与合作。中国的“一带一路”合作框架全面界定了“全球化5.0”,本研究理性地阐述了权力转移理论。因此,“一带一路”项目不仅有利于改善东南亚国家的基础设施和经济增长,也有助于中国通过互联互通和合作扩大在该地区影响力的战略目标。“一带一路”倡议为东南亚地区的铁路、港口、公路、能源等大型基础设施项目建设发挥了重要作用。连接万象和昆明的中老铁路就是一个显著的例子,它促进了区域互联互通和贸易。同样,印尼的雅万高铁是另一个旨在提高运输效率的备受瞩目的项目。除了经济和基础设施项目,“一带一路”还加强了中国与东南亚的文化联系。包括教育交流、联合研究、人文交流等,增进相互了解与合作。为加强这些联系,双方还推动了合作文化项目和旅游倡议。
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引用次数: 0
Single-party regime, cooptation, and strategic social spending in developing countries 发展中国家的一党制、拉拢和战略性社会支出
Pub Date : 2024-11-02 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00041-5
Li Zheng

How regime types affect the provision of social spending in the context of developing countries? This article provides a novel political-economic approach, arguing that single-party regimes are more likely to spend on pensions than other types of autocratic states to co-opt the large number of critical members although the regime type does not affect the general welfare spending across autocratic states. The theory emphasizes the effect of institutional and power structure heterogeneity across autocracies in shaping the incentives and strategies that the ruling elites co-opt and respond to the demands of the ruling coalition across different autocratic regimes. Using panel, ordinary least squares (OLS) regression with lagged dependent variable along with several empirical strategies, it finds the evidence supporting this argument with a new dataset from 1990 to 2012. The study provides new insights on how autocratic institutions especially the party utilize strategic social policies to resolve the elite-level dictator dilemma for regime survival that are absent in other autocratic types.

政权类型如何影响发展中国家的社会支出?本文提供了一种新颖的政治经济学方法,认为一党制政权比其他类型的专制国家更有可能在养老金方面投入资金,以拉拢大量关键成员,尽管政权类型并不影响各专制国家的一般福利支出。该理论强调了不同专制国家的制度和权力结构异质性在塑造统治精英的激励机制和策略方面的影响,以及对不同专制政权执政联盟的要求做出的回应。通过使用滞后因变量的面板普通最小二乘法(OLS)回归和几种实证策略,该研究利用 1990 年至 2012 年的新数据集找到了支持这一论点的证据。该研究为专制体制(尤其是政党)如何利用战略性社会政策来解决精英阶层独裁者为政权生存所面临的困境提供了新的见解,而其他专制类型的体制则不存在这种情况。
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引用次数: 0
Balancing power and prosperity: China’s geo-economic engagement with the Gulf Cooperation Council 平衡权力与繁荣:中国与海湾合作委员会的地缘经济交往
Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00040-6
Roa Al Shidhani, Saranjam Baig

Since the 1990s, China’s engagement beyond its geographical periphery, especially with Asian regions, has grown exceptionally, which is best evident in the Gulf sub-region and Western Asian nations. Indeed, energy-based interactions were the first to be established with Gulf Arab countries, and today, more than two decades after the Cold War, such relationships have evolved into tighter partnerships and engagement networks. Thus, in the last decade, China has increased its economic and political footprint in the Gulf region, as it has become one of the region’s largest external investors and trade partners. In its relations with the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, China faces varying challenges as each country pursues its interests, making the Chinese strategy in the region more complex. The Gulf countries have had to balance their relationship between the US as a security guarantor and China as an important economic partner. They strive to maximize their political and economic interests in the process. The main contention of this paper is that the GCC should not be viewed as a homogenous entity and that the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a flexible approach designed to bolster China’s economic objectives in each Gulf country. Our research scrutinizes China’s geo-economic strategy and geopolitical aims about the Gulf States’ aspirations to maximize their economic ties with China. Against this background, this paper discusses the political and economic relationships between the People’s Republic of China and the Gulf Arab states: Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), and the United Arab Emirates (UAE).

自 20 世纪 90 年代以来,中国与周边国家,尤其是亚洲地区的交往异常频繁,这在海湾次区域和西亚国家体现得最为明显。事实上,中国最早与海湾阿拉伯国家建立的是以能源为基础的互动关系,而在冷战结束二十多年后的今天,这种关系已发展成为更紧密的伙伴关系和接触网络。因此,在过去十年中,中国已成为海湾地区最大的外部投资者和贸易伙伴之一,其在海湾地区的经济和政治足迹也在不断扩大。在与海湾合作委员会(GCC)国家的关系中,中国面临着不同的挑战,因为每个国家都在追求自己的利益,这使得中国在该地区的战略变得更加复杂。海湾国家不得不在作为安全保障者的美国和作为重要经济伙伴的中国之间平衡关系。在此过程中,它们努力实现自身政治和经济利益的最大化。本文的主要论点是,海湾合作委员会不应被视为一个单一的实体,"一带一路 "倡议(BRI)是一种灵活的方法,旨在促进中国在每个海湾国家的经济目标。我们的研究仔细审视了中国的地缘经济战略和地缘政治目标,即海湾国家希望最大限度地加强与中国的经济联系。在此背景下,本文讨论了中华人民共和国与海湾阿拉伯国家之间的政治和经济关系:巴林、科威特、卡塔尔、阿曼、沙特阿拉伯王国(KSA)和阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)。
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引用次数: 0
Making sense of the interaction between geopolitics and middle-technology trap: evidence from China’s catching-up CNC machine tool industry 理解地缘政治与中等技术陷阱之间的互动关系:来自中国数控机床产业追赶者的证据
Pub Date : 2024-10-25 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00037-1
Haoyan Yuan

This study proposes a framework to analyze the interaction between geopolitics and the Middle-Technology Trap, drawing on evidence from China's CNC machine-tool industry. Qualitative methods such as interviews have been utilized to identify geopolitical variables that have driven the development of the Chinese CNC machine tools industry. To explore the combined effects of the Middle-Technology Trap and the intense competition between China and the West, this article focuses on an industry that has been significantly influenced by the economic decoupling between China and the US, a phenomenon deeply rooted in recent great power competition. While several industries may illustrate the new status quo of the Middle-Technology Trap, the CNC machine-tool industry is particularly exemplary due to its close interrelation with geopolitics. Accordingly, this study presents a catch-up case that incorporates technology-oriented aspects and factors from strategic competition, underlining three scenarios that geopolitics could influence the result of addresing the Middle-Technology Trap, respectively technological decoupling, the relocation of supply chain, and industrial policy.

本研究提出了一个分析地缘政治与 "中间技术陷阱 "之间互动关系的框架,并借鉴了中国数控机床行业的证据。本研究采用访谈等定性方法,以确定推动中国数控机床行业发展的地缘政治变量。为了探究 "中间技术陷阱 "和中西方激烈竞争的综合影响,本文将重点放在受中美经济脱钩显著影响的行业上,这一现象深深植根于近期的大国竞争。虽然有几个行业可以说明 "中间技术陷阱 "的新现状,但数控机床行业因其与地缘政治的密切关系而尤为典型。因此,本研究提出了一个包含技术导向和战略竞争因素的追赶案例,强调了地缘政治可能影响解决 "中等技术陷阱 "结果的三种情况,分别是技术脱钩、供应链转移和产业政策。
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引用次数: 0
A three-pronged new development model for overcoming the middle-technology trap in China 中国跨越中等技术陷阱的三管齐下发展新模式
Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00039-z
Zheng Yongnian, Yuan Randong

This article addresses a critical issue facing developing countries: overcoming the “middle-technology trap” to achieve sustainable economic growth. It posits that transitioning to an innovation-driven economic growth model is pivotal for surmounting this trap and is an essential prerequisite for high-quality development. This study introduces a strategic approach through a new development model, emphasizing the synergy among three core systems: basic scientific research, applied technology, and financial support. This “three-pronged” collaboration model is argued to foster sustainable innovation-driven growth, essential for leaping over the “middle-income trap” towards high-quality development. By analyzing the historical trajectories of the Soviet Union and the United States, the article delineates the critical role of the proposed model in fostering an innovation economy. The Soviet Union’s failure and the United States’ success are examined through the lens of their respective approaches to integrating basic scientific research, applied technology, and financial systems. The analysis underscores the necessity of a balanced and interactive relationship among these systems for technological innovation, industrial development, and sustainable economic growth. The article concludes that for China to overcome the “middle-technology trap” and achieve long-term prosperity, it should embrace this “three-pronged” new development model, ensuring continuous scientific exploration, technological innovation, and productivity enhancement.

本文探讨了发展中国家面临的一个关键问题:克服 "中等技术陷阱",实现可持续经济增长。文章认为,向创新驱动型经济增长模式转型是跨越这一陷阱的关键,也是实现高质量发展的必要前提。本研究通过一种新的发展模式引入了一种战略方法,强调基础科学研究、应用技术和金融支持三大核心系统之间的协同作用。这种 "三管齐下 "的合作模式被认为能够促进可持续的创新驱动型增长,这对于跨越 "中等收入陷阱",实现高质量发展至关重要。文章通过分析苏联和美国的历史轨迹,阐述了所提出的模式在促进创新经济中的关键作用。文章从苏联和美国各自整合基础科学研究、应用技术和金融体系的方法的角度,审视了这两个国家的失败和成功。分析强调了技术创新、工业发展和可持续经济增长需要这些体系之间平衡和互动的关系。文章的结论是,中国要跨越 "中等技术陷阱",实现长期繁荣,就应采用这种 "三管齐下 "的新发展模式,确保不断进行科学探索、技术创新和提高生产力。
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引用次数: 0
The role of open enterprises in overcoming the Middle-Technology Trap 开放型企业在克服 "中间技术陷阱 "中的作用
Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00038-0
Lanmeng Xu

This paper aims to unveil the role of openness in fostering enterprises to achieve technological progress. By conducting a comparative analysis of Chinese and Western companies’ supply chain strategies in the internet and new energy industries, the article finds that American enterprises have a higher level of supply chain openness than Chinese enterprises in both two industries. Based on the case analysis, that paper argues that openness plays a vital role in promoting technological innovation in enterprises. The profound influence of openness in promoting technological advancement may be observed through three aspects: openness at the technical level, openness in attracting talent, and openness in facilitating the development of rules and regulations. Accordingly, suggestions are proposed to assist Chinese enterprises in avoiding the “Middle-Technology Trap” through openness on the basis of legislation and public policy intervention. Meanwhile, the Chinese government is suggested to promote national coordination to establish a national unified market to realize the three levels of openness of the supply chain and industrial chain strategies: enterprise-level, domestic regional level, and international level.

本文旨在揭示开放在促进企业实现技术进步中的作用。文章通过对中西方企业在互联网和新能源产业的供应链战略进行比较分析,发现在这两个产业中,美国企业的供应链开放程度均高于中国企业。基于案例分析,该文认为,开放在促进企业技术创新方面发挥着至关重要的作用。开放在促进技术进步方面的深远影响可以从三个方面来观察:技术层面的开放、吸引人才的开放和促进规章制度发展的开放。因此,建议在立法和公共政策干预的基础上,通过开放帮助中国企业避免 "中等技术陷阱"。同时,建议中国政府推动国家协调,建立全国统一市场,实现企业层面、国内区域层面和国际层面三个层面的供应链开放和产业链战略。
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引用次数: 0
Whose democratization matters? Understanding the effects of regime change on normative changes in ASEAN 谁的民主化重要?了解政权更迭对东盟规范变化的影响
Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00036-2
Zhiqiang Sun

This article aims to elucidate the varying effects of democratization in ASEAN members on the normative changes in the core principles of the “ASEAN Way.” Utilizing a regional-centric approach that emphasizes ASEAN members’ agency, the article posits that two critical variables shape the changing trajectory of ASEAN norms: ASEAN members' democratic performances and their regional status. While an ASEAN member’s democratic performance influences its willingness to advocate for normative changes, its regional status is also crucial in determining its capability to implement changes by navigating the divergent interests among ASEAN members. Only the ASEAN member with a high-quality democratic performance at home and recognized regional leadership can effectively bring about normative changes to ASEAN norms. Otherwise, either the domestic democratic deficit or a lack of leadership status will hinder the ASEAN members’ efforts to promote normative changes. Using the process-tracing method, the article empirically focuses on the Philippines, Thailand, and Indonesia for comparative case studies. The findings reveal that the Philippines’ poor democratic performance since the democratic restoration in 1986 has hindered its motivation to push for normative changes in ASEAN, rendering the Philippines a reluctant promoter. Although Thailand has made notable achievements in democratic consolidation since the downfall of junta rule in 1992, its lack of regional leadership has greatly limited its capability to reconcile the divergent interests among ASEAN members, resulting in the failure of its “flexible engagement” initiative. Conversely, Indonesia, with a high-quality democratic performance at home and bolstered by its regional leadership status, successfully brought significant changes to ASEAN norms by facilitating the ASEAN Charter signed in 2007.

本文旨在阐明东盟成员国的民主化对 "东盟方式 "核心原则规范性变化的不同影响。文章采用以地区为中心的方法,强调东盟成员的能动性,认为两个关键变量决定了东盟规范的变化轨迹:东盟成员国的民主表现及其地区地位。虽然东盟成员国的民主表现会影响其倡导规范变革的意愿,但其地区地位也是决定其能否通过驾驭东盟成员国之间的利益分歧来实施变革的关键。只有在国内拥有高质量民主表现和公认的地区领导地位的东盟成员国才能有效地推动东盟准则的变革。否则,无论是国内民主赤字还是领导地位的缺失,都会阻碍东盟成员推动规范变革的努力。文章采用过程追踪法,重点对菲律宾、泰国和印度尼西亚进行了实证比较研究。研究结果表明,自 1986 年恢复民主以来,菲律宾的民主表现不佳,这阻碍了其推动东盟规范变革的动力,使菲律宾成为一个不情愿的推动者。泰国自 1992 年军政府统治垮台以来,虽然在巩固民主方面取得了显著成绩,但由于缺乏地区领导力,其调和东盟成员国之间利益分歧的能力受到很大限制,导致其 "灵活参与 "倡议失败。与此相反,印尼凭借其国内高质量的民主表现和地区领导地位,通过推动 2007 年签署的《东盟宪章》,成功地为东盟规范带来了重大变革。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Review of Political Economy
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