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A three-pronged new development model for overcoming the middle-technology trap in China 中国跨越中等技术陷阱的三管齐下发展新模式
Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00039-z
Zheng Yongnian, Yuan Randong

This article addresses a critical issue facing developing countries: overcoming the “middle-technology trap” to achieve sustainable economic growth. It posits that transitioning to an innovation-driven economic growth model is pivotal for surmounting this trap and is an essential prerequisite for high-quality development. This study introduces a strategic approach through a new development model, emphasizing the synergy among three core systems: basic scientific research, applied technology, and financial support. This “three-pronged” collaboration model is argued to foster sustainable innovation-driven growth, essential for leaping over the “middle-income trap” towards high-quality development. By analyzing the historical trajectories of the Soviet Union and the United States, the article delineates the critical role of the proposed model in fostering an innovation economy. The Soviet Union’s failure and the United States’ success are examined through the lens of their respective approaches to integrating basic scientific research, applied technology, and financial systems. The analysis underscores the necessity of a balanced and interactive relationship among these systems for technological innovation, industrial development, and sustainable economic growth. The article concludes that for China to overcome the “middle-technology trap” and achieve long-term prosperity, it should embrace this “three-pronged” new development model, ensuring continuous scientific exploration, technological innovation, and productivity enhancement.

本文探讨了发展中国家面临的一个关键问题:克服 "中等技术陷阱",实现可持续经济增长。文章认为,向创新驱动型经济增长模式转型是跨越这一陷阱的关键,也是实现高质量发展的必要前提。本研究通过一种新的发展模式引入了一种战略方法,强调基础科学研究、应用技术和金融支持三大核心系统之间的协同作用。这种 "三管齐下 "的合作模式被认为能够促进可持续的创新驱动型增长,这对于跨越 "中等收入陷阱",实现高质量发展至关重要。文章通过分析苏联和美国的历史轨迹,阐述了所提出的模式在促进创新经济中的关键作用。文章从苏联和美国各自整合基础科学研究、应用技术和金融体系的方法的角度,审视了这两个国家的失败和成功。分析强调了技术创新、工业发展和可持续经济增长需要这些体系之间平衡和互动的关系。文章的结论是,中国要跨越 "中等技术陷阱",实现长期繁荣,就应采用这种 "三管齐下 "的新发展模式,确保不断进行科学探索、技术创新和提高生产力。
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引用次数: 0
The role of open enterprises in overcoming the Middle-Technology Trap 开放型企业在克服 "中间技术陷阱 "中的作用
Pub Date : 2024-10-21 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00038-0
Lanmeng Xu

This paper aims to unveil the role of openness in fostering enterprises to achieve technological progress. By conducting a comparative analysis of Chinese and Western companies’ supply chain strategies in the internet and new energy industries, the article finds that American enterprises have a higher level of supply chain openness than Chinese enterprises in both two industries. Based on the case analysis, that paper argues that openness plays a vital role in promoting technological innovation in enterprises. The profound influence of openness in promoting technological advancement may be observed through three aspects: openness at the technical level, openness in attracting talent, and openness in facilitating the development of rules and regulations. Accordingly, suggestions are proposed to assist Chinese enterprises in avoiding the “Middle-Technology Trap” through openness on the basis of legislation and public policy intervention. Meanwhile, the Chinese government is suggested to promote national coordination to establish a national unified market to realize the three levels of openness of the supply chain and industrial chain strategies: enterprise-level, domestic regional level, and international level.

本文旨在揭示开放在促进企业实现技术进步中的作用。文章通过对中西方企业在互联网和新能源产业的供应链战略进行比较分析,发现在这两个产业中,美国企业的供应链开放程度均高于中国企业。基于案例分析,该文认为,开放在促进企业技术创新方面发挥着至关重要的作用。开放在促进技术进步方面的深远影响可以从三个方面来观察:技术层面的开放、吸引人才的开放和促进规章制度发展的开放。因此,建议在立法和公共政策干预的基础上,通过开放帮助中国企业避免 "中等技术陷阱"。同时,建议中国政府推动国家协调,建立全国统一市场,实现企业层面、国内区域层面和国际层面三个层面的供应链开放和产业链战略。
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引用次数: 0
Whose democratization matters? Understanding the effects of regime change on normative changes in ASEAN 谁的民主化重要?了解政权更迭对东盟规范变化的影响
Pub Date : 2024-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00036-2
Zhiqiang Sun

This article aims to elucidate the varying effects of democratization in ASEAN members on the normative changes in the core principles of the “ASEAN Way.” Utilizing a regional-centric approach that emphasizes ASEAN members’ agency, the article posits that two critical variables shape the changing trajectory of ASEAN norms: ASEAN members' democratic performances and their regional status. While an ASEAN member’s democratic performance influences its willingness to advocate for normative changes, its regional status is also crucial in determining its capability to implement changes by navigating the divergent interests among ASEAN members. Only the ASEAN member with a high-quality democratic performance at home and recognized regional leadership can effectively bring about normative changes to ASEAN norms. Otherwise, either the domestic democratic deficit or a lack of leadership status will hinder the ASEAN members’ efforts to promote normative changes. Using the process-tracing method, the article empirically focuses on the Philippines, Thailand, and Indonesia for comparative case studies. The findings reveal that the Philippines’ poor democratic performance since the democratic restoration in 1986 has hindered its motivation to push for normative changes in ASEAN, rendering the Philippines a reluctant promoter. Although Thailand has made notable achievements in democratic consolidation since the downfall of junta rule in 1992, its lack of regional leadership has greatly limited its capability to reconcile the divergent interests among ASEAN members, resulting in the failure of its “flexible engagement” initiative. Conversely, Indonesia, with a high-quality democratic performance at home and bolstered by its regional leadership status, successfully brought significant changes to ASEAN norms by facilitating the ASEAN Charter signed in 2007.

本文旨在阐明东盟成员国的民主化对 "东盟方式 "核心原则规范性变化的不同影响。文章采用以地区为中心的方法,强调东盟成员的能动性,认为两个关键变量决定了东盟规范的变化轨迹:东盟成员国的民主表现及其地区地位。虽然东盟成员国的民主表现会影响其倡导规范变革的意愿,但其地区地位也是决定其能否通过驾驭东盟成员国之间的利益分歧来实施变革的关键。只有在国内拥有高质量民主表现和公认的地区领导地位的东盟成员国才能有效地推动东盟准则的变革。否则,无论是国内民主赤字还是领导地位的缺失,都会阻碍东盟成员推动规范变革的努力。文章采用过程追踪法,重点对菲律宾、泰国和印度尼西亚进行了实证比较研究。研究结果表明,自 1986 年恢复民主以来,菲律宾的民主表现不佳,这阻碍了其推动东盟规范变革的动力,使菲律宾成为一个不情愿的推动者。泰国自 1992 年军政府统治垮台以来,虽然在巩固民主方面取得了显著成绩,但由于缺乏地区领导力,其调和东盟成员国之间利益分歧的能力受到很大限制,导致其 "灵活参与 "倡议失败。与此相反,印尼凭借其国内高质量的民主表现和地区领导地位,通过推动 2007 年签署的《东盟宪章》,成功地为东盟规范带来了重大变革。
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引用次数: 0
Party building in non-state sectors: a comparative study of China and Vietnam 非国有部门的党建工作:中国和越南的比较研究
Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00035-3
Bin Xiao, Quynh Phuong Vu

With the advancement of the reform and opening up, the non-state Sectors (NSS) in China and Vietnam have developed rapidly. The ruling parties, which used to have comprehensive control over politics, economy, and society, have now found it difficult to control the new economic space. To effectively control NSS, the Communist Party of China and the Communist Party of Vietnam have attempted to embed themselves in NSS by expanding grassroots party organizations. In this process, they have adopted different strategies and procedures, resulting in two distinct models: China’s expansion model, which is characterized by a proactive approach combining rigidity and flexibility, and Vietnam's expansion model, which is characterized by a flexible approach with a focus on soft cooperation. This study compares the formation, nature, and main characteristics of the two models for party organization expansion in China and Vietnam, hoping to provide a more comprehensive and objective understanding of the developments in China and Vietnam, preliminarily elucidate, from an academic perspective, the operational model of party-building in NSS in the two countries, and enrich the theoretical research on the continuous expansion of the existing Leninist parties in the new era.

随着改革开放的深入,中国和越南的非国有经济迅速发展。过去全面控制政治、经济和社会的执政党,如今已难以控制新的经济空间。为了有效控制新经济空间,中国共产党和越南共产党试图通过扩大基层党组织来嵌入新经济空间。在这一过程中,它们采取了不同的策略和程序,形成了两种截然不同的模式:中国的拓展模式以积极主动、刚柔并济为特点,越南的拓展模式以灵活机动、注重软合作为特点。本研究比较了中越两国党组织扩张两种模式的形成、性质和主要特点,希望能对中越两国的发展情况有一个较为全面客观的认识,从学术角度初步阐明两国新时期党建工作的运作模式,丰富新时期现有列宁主义政党不断扩张的理论研究。
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引用次数: 0
ASEAN Four’s middle income trap dilemma: evidence of the middle technology trap 东盟四国的中等收入陷阱困境:中等技术陷阱的证据
Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00033-5
Yian Ke

In Southeast Asia, Malaysia, Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines are defined by the World Bank as countries that failed to overcome the "middle income trap". The four Southeast Asian countries (hereinafter referred to as the "ASEAN Four") entered the ranks of middle-income economies in the late 1970s and early 1980s and achieved rapid economic development throughout the 1980s and 1990s. However, since the early 2000s, the competitive advantages of these countries’ labor-intensive industries have started to decline, while the process of industrial transformation and technological improvement has been stagnated due to the lack of innovation resources. With limited R&D input and insufficient indigenous tech innovation, these countries’ manufacturing industry show a trend of "deindustrialization" and the "middle technology trap" phenomenon emerged. As the manufacturing sector failed to generate value-added that promotes economic growth and national income increase, ASEAN Four have so far yet to enter the high-income ranks. Drawing from the cases of ASEAN Four, this paper argues that the "middle technology trap" is a key contributing factor to the “middle income trap,” and countries fallen into the “middle income trap” often experience the "middle technology trap" as a concomitant phenomenon. The paper first introduces the industrialization process of ASEAN Four while analyzes the challenges they faced in industrial structural transformation and technology advancement. It then discusses major reasons that these countries failed to step over both the "middle technology trap" and the “middle income trap”, including limited technology spillovers from FDI, R&D investment shortages and insufficient industrial policies, low-quality education system, deficient intellectual property protection and underdeveloped regional capital markets. The paper concludes with some implications for China and discussion on potential future research on distinctions of the “middle technology trap” phenomenon between upper middle-income and lower middle-income countries.

在东南亚,马来西亚、泰国、印度尼西亚和菲律宾被世界银行定义为未能跨越 "中等收入陷阱 "的国家。这四个东南亚国家(以下简称 "东盟四国")在 20 世纪 70 年代末和 80 年代初进入中等收入经济体行列,并在整个 80 年代和 90 年代实现了经济的快速发展。但自 21 世纪初以来,这些国家劳动密集型产业的竞争优势开始下降,同时由于缺乏创新资源,产业转型和技术改进的进程停滞不前。由于研发投入有限,本土技术创新不足,这些国家的制造业呈现出 "去工业化 "趋势,出现了 "中间技术陷阱 "现象。由于制造业未能产生促进经济增长和国民收入增加的附加值,东盟四国至今尚未进入高收入行列。本文从东盟四国的案例出发,认为 "中等技术陷阱 "是导致 "中等收入陷阱 "的关键因素,陷入 "中等收入陷阱 "的国家往往伴随着 "中等技术陷阱 "的出现。本文首先介绍了东盟四国的工业化进程,同时分析了它们在工业结构转型和技术进步方面面临的挑战。然后讨论了这些国家未能跨越 "中等技术陷阱 "和 "中等收入陷阱 "的主要原因,包括外国直接投资的技术溢出效应有限、研发投资短缺和产业政策不足、教育体系质量低下、知识产权保护不力以及地区资本市场不发达。本文最后提出了对中国的一些启示,并讨论了未来可能对中上收入国家和中下收入国家之间的 "中等技术陷阱 "现象进行区分的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Contesting coercion: U.S.-China strategic competition, the middle technology trap, and Chinese government-guided funds 对抗胁迫:美中战略竞争、中间技术陷阱和中国政府引导基金
Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00034-4
Xuanming Pan, Liu Aiwen, Chen Zhenzhen

This study examines the possible emergence of a Middle Technology Trap (MTT) in U.S.-China strategic competition through the lens of the Global Financial Network (GFN) and the Global Innovation Network (GIN). By conducting doctrinal analysis, theoretically informed case studies, and in-depth interviews, we offer a granular study into how the U.S. has been weaponizing its leading position in the GFN to affect China’s level of participation in the GIN. Our findings reveal three U.S. tactics to induce the MTT with China: first, leveraging U.S. private equity and venture capital (PEVC) to enhance its technology advantage over China; second, pushing U.S. investors to withdraw from China’s PEVC market, thereby restricting Chinese access to American capital; and third, inducing Advanced Business Services (ABS) supporting innovation and global business to cease or reduce their operations in China, thereby increasing intermediation costs for innovation. Although Chinese government-guided funds (GGFs) have managed to partially mitigate the “funding gap” from the departure of American PEVCs, they have yet to assume the brokerage role previously played by American PEVCs in both the GIF and the GIN. As such, our study contributes to a better understanding and theoretical advancements of the MTT by linking up the scholarship of innovation and finance with financial statecraft.

本研究通过全球金融网络(GFN)和全球创新网络(GIN)的视角,探讨了中美战略竞争中可能出现的 "中间技术陷阱"(MTT)。通过理论分析、有理论依据的案例研究和深入访谈,我们详细研究了美国如何利用其在全球金融网络中的领先地位来影响中国在全球创新网络中的参与程度。我们的研究结果揭示了美国诱导中国参与 MTT 的三种策略:第一,利用美国私募股权和风险投资(PEVC)来增强其对中国的技术优势;第二,推动美国投资者退出中国的私募股权和风险投资市场,从而限制中国获得美国资本的机会;第三,诱导支持创新和全球业务的高级商业服务(ABS)停止或减少在中国的业务,从而增加创新的中介成本。尽管中国政府引导基金(GGFs)已设法部分缓解了美国PEVCs撤离造成的 "资金缺口",但它们尚未承担起美国PEVCs之前在GIF和GIN中扮演的中介角色。因此,我们的研究通过将创新和金融学术研究与金融国策联系起来,有助于更好地理解 MTT 并推动其理论发展。
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引用次数: 0
The middle-income trap and the middle-technology trap in Latin America–practice comparison based on East Asian perspective 拉丁美洲的中等收入陷阱和中等技术陷阱--基于东亚视角的实践比较
Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00031-7
Qiuju Wu, Weichuang Fang

Most Latin American countries entered the ranks of middle-income levels almost simultaneously with Japan and South Korea. However, while Japan and South Korea embarked on the path of economic development through technological innovation and industrial upgrading, Latin America fell into the middle-income trap. By examining the history of industrial and technological development in Brazil, Argentina, and Mexico, three representative countries in Latin America, this paper finds that the fundamental reasons for Latin America falling into the middle-income trap lie in the tension between the choice of industrialization path and primitive accumulation, as well as the institutional deficiencies in technology and industrial development. Latin America, which has fallen into the middle-income trap, finds it hard to upgrade its technology and is trapped in premature industrialization and the middle-technology trap. It can be said that Latin America has fallen into a double trap, which reinforces each other and forms a solid trap pattern. The warning from the Latin American experience is that late-developing countries need to maintain an open attitude during the process of technological catching up, build a complete technological innovation system, enhance industrial and technological governance capabilities, and seize the window of opportunity for technological and industrial upgrading. Otherwise, there is a significant risk of falling into the middle-income trap and even the double trap.

大多数拉美国家几乎与日本和韩国同时进入中等收入行列。然而,当日本和韩国通过技术创新和产业升级走上经济发展之路时,拉美却陷入了中等收入陷阱。本文通过考察拉美三个代表性国家巴西、阿根廷和墨西哥的产业和技术发展历程,发现拉美陷入中等收入陷阱的根本原因在于工业化道路选择与原始积累之间的矛盾,以及技术和产业发展的制度缺陷。陷入中等收入陷阱的拉美难以实现技术升级,陷入过早工业化和中等技术陷阱。可以说,拉美已陷入双重陷阱,二者相互促进,形成稳固的陷阱格局。拉美经验的警示是,后发国家需要在技术追赶过程中保持开放态度,构建完整的技术创新体系,提升产业和技术治理能力,抓住技术和产业升级的机会窗口。否则,很有可能陷入中等收入陷阱甚至双重陷阱。
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引用次数: 0
The middle technology trap: China in a comparative perspective 中等技术陷阱:从比较角度看中国
Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00030-8
Yongnian Zheng

This article examines the concept of the "middle technology trap" as a critical challenge for China in transitioning from a middle-income to a high-income economy. It argues that overcoming this trap is essential for China to achieve high-quality economic development and sustain its growth momentum. The study compares China's technological landscape with that of both developed economies and those stuck in the middle-income trap, identifying the necessity of transitioning from applied to original technology for economic leapfrogging. Through comprehensive analysis, it is highlighted that China's current technological capabilities, although leading in certain areas, predominantly remain at an intermediate level, characterized by a significant reliance on foreign core technologies and a lack of original technological innovation. The paper further explores historical contexts, policy implications, and strategic reforms required to navigate this trap, emphasizing the importance of an open policy, the cultivation of a robust innovation ecosystem, and the strategic role of government in facilitating technological progress and industrial upgrading. It draws on the experiences of developed economies and successful latecomers, advocating for a "new whole nation system" that embraces openness and global integration, rather than isolation. By analyzing the complex interplay between technology diffusion, talent migration, industrial policies, and the global geopolitical landscape, this study provides insights into the systemic reforms and strategic initiatives China must undertake. It stresses the need for a balanced approach between leveraging external technologies and fostering domestic innovation capabilities to escape the middle technology trap and secure a position as a global technology leader. The findings contribute to the broader discourse on technology-led development strategies and offer policy recommendations for economies facing similar technological and developmental challenges.

本文探讨了 "中等技术陷阱 "这一概念,认为它是中国从中等收入经济体向高收入经济体转型过程中面临的关键挑战。文章认为,克服这一陷阱对于中国实现高质量经济发展和保持增长势头至关重要。研究将中国的技术格局与发达经济体和陷入中等收入陷阱的经济体进行了比较,明确了从应用技术向原创技术过渡以实现经济跨越的必要性。通过综合分析,本文着重指出,中国目前的技术能力虽然在某些领域处于领先地位,但主要仍处于中等水平,其特点是严重依赖外国核心技术,缺乏原始技术创新。本文进一步探讨了历史背景、政策含义以及跨越这一陷阱所需的战略改革,强调了开放政策、培育健全的创新生态系统以及政府在促进技术进步和产业升级中的战略作用的重要性。报告借鉴了发达经济体和成功的后来者的经验,主张建立一个拥抱开放和全球一体化而非孤立的 "新的整体国家体系"。通过分析技术扩散、人才流动、产业政策和全球地缘政治格局之间复杂的相互作用,本研究为中国必须采取的系统性改革和战略举措提供了真知灼见。研究强调,中国需要在利用外部技术和培养国内创新能力之间取得平衡,以摆脱中间技术陷阱,确保全球技术领导者的地位。研究结果有助于更广泛地讨论以技术为主导的发展战略,并为面临类似技术和发展挑战的经济体提供政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Nexus between digital trade and security: geopolitical implications for global economy in the digital age 数字贸易与安全之间的联系:数字时代地缘政治对全球经济的影响
Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00032-6
Chi Zhang, Xuechen Chen, Jilong Yang, Xinchuchu Gao

This special issue explores the relationship between digital trade and security, emphasizing the geopolitical implications for the global economy in the digital age. The rapid growth of digital trade has introduced significant challenges and opportunities, necessitating robust data governance to balance national security interests with the free flow of goods, services, and data across borders. The papers explore the different models of data governance championed by the US, China, and the EU, highlighting the complexities of cross-border data flows and their impact on international relations. Through detailed analyses of various international agreements and frameworks, this special issue provides a comprehensive overview of the current landscape of digital trade and its security implications, with a particular focus on China's evolving approach to data governance and its global influence.

本特刊探讨数字贸易与安全之间的关系,强调数字时代对全球经济的地缘政治影响。数字贸易的快速增长带来了巨大的挑战和机遇,需要强有力的数据治理来平衡国家安全利益与货物、服务和数据的跨境自由流动。论文探讨了美国、中国和欧盟倡导的不同数据治理模式,强调了跨境数据流的复杂性及其对国际关系的影响。通过对各种国际协议和框架的详细分析,本特刊全面概述了当前数字贸易的格局及其对安全的影响,尤其关注中国不断演变的数据治理方法及其全球影响力。
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引用次数: 0
Convergent antitrust regulation of the digital economy in China, the European Union and the United States: mirror of an intensifying geopolitical competition 中国、欧盟和美国对数字经济的反垄断监管趋同:地缘政治竞争加剧的镜像
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1007/s44216-024-00027-3
Aifang Ma

China, the European Union, and the United States are the three largest digital economies in the world. This article compares the antitrust regulation of the digital economy in the three regions after the 2000s. It argues that over time, the antitrust regulation of the digital economy in the three regions tends to converge along three dimensions: growing separation of the antitrust regulation of the digital economy from that of the other economic sectors, convergence of regulatory objectives, and convergence of regulatory methods. In combination with the geopoliticization of the platform economy, this article argues that four factors have contributed to shape such convergence: (1) historical factors, (2) globalization of the digital economy, (3) increasing policy imitation and policy competition among the major digital powers of the world, (4) support from the civil society.

中国、欧盟和美国是世界上最大的三个数字经济体。本文比较了 2000 年代后三个地区对数字经济的反垄断监管。文章认为,随着时间的推移,三地对数字经济的反垄断监管在三个方面趋于一致:数字经济的反垄断监管与其他经济部门的反垄断监管日益分离、监管目标趋同、监管方法趋同。结合平台经济的地缘政治化,本文认为有四个因素促成了这种趋同:(1)历史因素,(2)数字经济全球化,(3)世界主要数字大国之间的政策模仿和政策竞争加剧,(4)民间社会的支持。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Review of Political Economy
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