Pub Date : 2026-02-05DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9933
Gloria Marsano, Linda Horňaková, Katharina Faradsch, NetPlus
A pilot was carried out in order to test new ways of engaging with stakeholders alongside traditional public consultations. The project focused on the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)'s upcoming scientific opinion on plant lectins in food. This initiative aimed to enhance transparency, inclusiveness, and scientific quality of stakeholder contributions, addressing misconceptions and supporting mutual understanding of risk communication strategies. The pilot involved a targeted interactive public hearing using engagement tools to encourage participation and gather technically informed input. Insights from EFSA staff revealed that the hearing worked well especially in terms of engagement and moderation, although improvements were suggested for interactivity and handling participant questions. Stakeholder feedback indicated a positive experience, with suggestions for more discussion time. The report also looks at other EFSA experiences with complementary engagement methods, including work on risk-benefit assessment guidance, food additive, and animal welfare. These cases demonstrate the adaptability and effectiveness of structured, interactive formats in enhancing scientific assessment. The report introduces a decision tree and criteria for identifying suitable complementary formats based on topic nature, stakeholder interest, and the timing of the consultation.
{"title":"Pilot of an alternative engagement format to complement public consultations","authors":"Gloria Marsano, Linda Horňaková, Katharina Faradsch, NetPlus","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9933","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9933","url":null,"abstract":"<p>A pilot was carried out in order to test new ways of engaging with stakeholders alongside traditional public consultations. The project focused on the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)'s upcoming scientific opinion on plant lectins in food. This initiative aimed to enhance transparency, inclusiveness, and scientific quality of stakeholder contributions, addressing misconceptions and supporting mutual understanding of risk communication strategies. The pilot involved a targeted interactive public hearing using engagement tools to encourage participation and gather technically informed input. Insights from EFSA staff revealed that the hearing worked well especially in terms of engagement and moderation, although improvements were suggested for interactivity and handling participant questions. Stakeholder feedback indicated a positive experience, with suggestions for more discussion time. The report also looks at other EFSA experiences with complementary engagement methods, including work on risk-benefit assessment guidance, food additive, and animal welfare. These cases demonstrate the adaptability and effectiveness of structured, interactive formats in enhancing scientific assessment. The report introduces a decision tree and criteria for identifying suitable complementary formats based on topic nature, stakeholder interest, and the timing of the consultation.</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9933","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146154558","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-02-03DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9864
European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Jutta Berk, Joanna Marchewka, Virginie Michel, Nienke van Staaveren, Oana Maria Balmoș, Chiara Fabris, Yves Van der Stede, Cristina Rojo Gimeno, Antonio Velarde, Anja Brinch Riber
This Technical Report addresses a mandate from the European Commission according to Article 31 of Regulation (European Commission) No 178/2002, which requests a review of the most common husbandry systems and current practices for keeping turkeys (Meleagris gallopavo gallopavo) of all ages on farm. The mandate requests a description of litter availability, access to outdoors (including covered veranda), stocking density, the enrichment provided and the light scheme of each housing system, the use of cages and the practices of separation of sexes, mutilations and breeding practices, including artificial insemination. An extensive literature review, a survey amongst stakeholders, a public call for evidence addressed to stakeholders, data from EFSA Networks, reports from the European Commission (fact-finding studies), Eurostat and input from experts in the EFSA working group on the welfare of turkeys were considered. This report provides an overview of the turkey production process and the duration of its various stages. In the European Union the most common housing systems for keeping fattening turkeys are indoor floor systems with and without outdoor access and/or a covered veranda. Turkey breeders are kept in indoor systems. These systems, including hatcheries, are described in this report considering the availability of litter and enrichment, the stocking density and the light scheme applied. In addition, the practices of processing poults in hatcheries, including mutilations, and the practices of flock thinning and separation of sexes in fattening turkey farms, and artificial insemination in turkey breeders are described.
{"title":"Most common housing systems and practices of keeping turkeys (Meleagris gallopavo gallopavo) in the EU","authors":"European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Jutta Berk, Joanna Marchewka, Virginie Michel, Nienke van Staaveren, Oana Maria Balmoș, Chiara Fabris, Yves Van der Stede, Cristina Rojo Gimeno, Antonio Velarde, Anja Brinch Riber","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9864","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9864","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This Technical Report addresses a mandate from the European Commission according to Article 31 of Regulation (European Commission) No 178/2002, which requests a review of the most common husbandry systems and current practices for keeping turkeys (<i>Meleagris gallopavo gallopavo)</i> of all ages on farm. The mandate requests a description of litter availability, access to outdoors (including covered veranda), stocking density, the enrichment provided and the light scheme of each housing system, the use of cages and the practices of separation of sexes, mutilations and breeding practices, including artificial insemination. An extensive literature review, a survey amongst stakeholders, a public call for evidence addressed to stakeholders, data from EFSA Networks, reports from the European Commission (fact-finding studies), Eurostat and input from experts in the EFSA working group on the welfare of turkeys were considered. This report provides an overview of the turkey production process and the duration of its various stages. In the European Union the most common housing systems for keeping fattening turkeys are indoor floor systems with and without outdoor access and/or a covered veranda. Turkey breeders are kept in indoor systems. These systems, including hatcheries, are described in this report considering the availability of litter and enrichment, the stocking density and the light scheme applied. In addition, the practices of processing poults in hatcheries, including mutilations, and the practices of flock thinning and separation of sexes in fattening turkey farms, and artificial insemination in turkey breeders are described.</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9864","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146154609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.9885
European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Gabriele Rondoni, Ignazio Graziosi, Giulia Mattion, Laura Carotti
This document provides the conclusions of the pest survey card that was prepared in the context of the EFSA mandate on plant pest surveillance (M-2020-0114) at the request of the European Commission. The full pest survey card for Ips amitinus, I. cembrae, I. duplicatus and I. sexdentatus is published and available online in the EFSA Pest Survey Card gallery at the following link and will be updated whenever new information becomes available: https://efsa.europa.eu/plants/planthealth/monitoring/surveillance/ips-amitinus-cembrae-duplicatus-sexdentatus
{"title":"Pest survey card on Ips amitinus, I. cembrae, I. duplicatus and I. sexdentatus","authors":"European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Gabriele Rondoni, Ignazio Graziosi, Giulia Mattion, Laura Carotti","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.9885","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.9885","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This document provides the conclusions of the pest survey card that was prepared in the context of the EFSA mandate on plant pest surveillance (M-2020-0114) at the request of the European Commission. The full pest survey card for <i>Ips amitinus</i>, <i>I. cembrae</i>, <i>I. duplicatus</i> and <i>I. sexdentatus</i> is published and available online in the EFSA Pest Survey Card gallery at the following link and will be updated whenever new information becomes available: https://efsa.europa.eu/plants/planthealth/monitoring/surveillance/ips-amitinus-cembrae-duplicatus-sexdentatus</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.9885","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146099295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9791
Vryzas Zisis, H.P. Arts Gertie, Dalakouras Athanasios, Fragkoulis Georgios, Guijarro Belén, Karazafeiris Emmanouil, Karpouzas Dimitrios, Menkissoglu-Spiroudi Urania, Papadakis Emmanouil Nikolaos, K. Papadopoulou Kalliope, Patino-Ropero María José, Polst Bastian, Alonso-Prados José Luis, Steenbergh Anne, Tsaloumi Sofia, Tsampoula Aggeliki
This report describes a harmonised, stepwise methodology for the fit-for-purpose risk assessment of low-concern active substances (LCASs), developed in response to EFSA's call GP/EFSA/PLANTS/2023/04. LCASs include substances such as semiochemicals, botanicals, inorganics, peptides, and double-stranded RNA (dsRNA), which generally have lower risk profiles than conventional active substances. However, the current risk assessment framework – primarily designed for conventional substances – often lacks the flexibility required to appropriately address LCASs. The approach described here is based on problem formulation using generic pathways to harm. It offers a structured methodology aimed at harmonising case-by-case assessments based on the specific properties of individual LCASs. This approach supports both qualitative and quantitative assessments and covers hazards other than conventional toxicity, such as suffocation, desiccation and RNA interference. To apply this approach in practice, a problem formulation toolbox is provided, comprising three main elements:
1. Generic pathways to harm
2. Generic analysis plans, including the Analysis plan tool
3. Guidance on likelihood assessment
本报告描述了为响应欧洲食品安全局GP/EFSA/PLANTS/2023/04的要求而开发的低关注活性物质(LCASs)适合用途风险评估的统一的逐步方法。lcas包括一些物质,如semiochemicals, botanicals, inorganic, peptides, and double-strand RNA (dsRNA),这些物质通常比传统的活性物质具有更低的风险。然而,目前的风险评估框架——主要是为常规物质设计的——往往缺乏适当处理LCASs所需的灵活性。这里描述的方法是基于使用一般途径造成伤害的问题表述。它提供了一种结构化的方法,旨在根据个别班级的具体属性协调个案评估。这种方法支持定性和定量评估,并涵盖传统毒性以外的危害,如窒息、干燥和RNA干扰。为了在实践中应用这种方法,提供了一个问题表述工具箱,包括三个主要元素:1。一般的伤害途径2。通用分析计划,包括分析计划工具。可能性评估指引
{"title":"Fit-for-purpose risk assessment for low-concern active substances and uses","authors":"Vryzas Zisis, H.P. Arts Gertie, Dalakouras Athanasios, Fragkoulis Georgios, Guijarro Belén, Karazafeiris Emmanouil, Karpouzas Dimitrios, Menkissoglu-Spiroudi Urania, Papadakis Emmanouil Nikolaos, K. Papadopoulou Kalliope, Patino-Ropero María José, Polst Bastian, Alonso-Prados José Luis, Steenbergh Anne, Tsaloumi Sofia, Tsampoula Aggeliki","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9791","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9791","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This report describes a harmonised, stepwise methodology for the fit-for-purpose risk assessment of low-concern active substances (LCASs), developed in response to EFSA's call GP/EFSA/PLANTS/2023/04. LCASs include substances such as semiochemicals, botanicals, inorganics, peptides, and double-stranded RNA (dsRNA), which generally have lower risk profiles than conventional active substances. However, the current risk assessment framework – primarily designed for conventional substances – often lacks the flexibility required to appropriately address LCASs. The approach described here is based on problem formulation using generic pathways to harm. It offers a structured methodology aimed at harmonising case-by-case assessments based on the specific properties of individual LCASs. This approach supports both qualitative and quantitative assessments and covers hazards other than conventional toxicity, such as suffocation, desiccation and RNA interference. To apply this approach in practice, a problem formulation toolbox is provided, comprising three main elements:</p><p>1. Generic pathways to harm</p><p>2. Generic analysis plans, including the Analysis plan tool</p><p>3. Guidance on likelihood assessment</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9791","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146057820","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9883
European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Gabriele Rondoni, Jean-Claude Gregoire, Giulia Mattion, Laura Carotti
This document provides the conclusions of the pest survey card that was prepared in the context of the EFSA mandate on plant pest surveillance (M-2020-0114) at the request of the European Commission. The full pest survey card for Dendroctonus micans is published and available online in the EFSA Pest Survey Card gallery at the following link and will be updated whenever new information becomes available: https://efsa.europa.eu/plants/planthealth/monitoring/surveillance/dendroctonus-micans
{"title":"Pest survey card on Dendroctonus micans","authors":"European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Gabriele Rondoni, Jean-Claude Gregoire, Giulia Mattion, Laura Carotti","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9883","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9883","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This document provides the conclusions of the pest survey card that was prepared in the context of the EFSA mandate on plant pest surveillance (M-2020-0114) at the request of the European Commission. The full pest survey card for <i>Dendroctonus micans</i> is published and available online in the EFSA Pest Survey Card gallery at the following link and will be updated whenever new information becomes available: https://efsa.europa.eu/plants/planthealth/monitoring/surveillance/dendroctonus-micans</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9883","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146057819","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9884
European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Gabriele Rondoni, Jean-Claude Gregoire, Giulia Mattion, Laura Carotti
This document provides the conclusions of the pest survey card that was prepared in the context of the EFSA mandate on plant pest surveillance (M-2020-0114) at the request of the European Commission. The full pest survey card for Gilpinia hercyniae is published and available online in the EFSA Pest Survey Card gallery at the following link and will be updated whenever new information becomes available: https://efsa.europa.eu/plants/planthealth/monitoring/surveillance/gilpinia-hercyniae
{"title":"Pest survey card on Gilpinia hercyniae","authors":"European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Gabriele Rondoni, Jean-Claude Gregoire, Giulia Mattion, Laura Carotti","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9884","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9884","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This document provides the conclusions of the pest survey card that was prepared in the context of the EFSA mandate on plant pest surveillance (M-2020-0114) at the request of the European Commission. The full pest survey card for <i>Gilpinia hercyniae</i> is published and available online in the EFSA Pest Survey Card gallery at the following link and will be updated whenever new information becomes available: https://efsa.europa.eu/plants/planthealth/monitoring/surveillance/gilpinia-hercyniae</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9884","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146096432","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-06DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9863
European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Olga Minguez, German Cáceres, Sara Menozzi (AENOR Conocimiento SLU), Bernard Bottex, Georgia Gkrintzali (EFSA)
In 2025, The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) organised two crisis preparedness trainings: one external crisis exercise simulating a “One Health” crisis response to a vector-borne disease outbreak, and one internal crisis exercise to assess and discuss EFSA's role in crisis communication during an animal health incident under Regulation 178/2002, which escalates into a public health crisis under Regulation 2022/2371 on Serious Cross Border Threats to Health (SCBTH). The exercises were also aiming at testing EFSA's procedures for crisis response. The two-and-half-day external exercise was co-organised with the German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment, and consisted in presentations, facilitated discussions and a crisis simulation exercise based on a fictional, multifaceted scenario combining animal health, public health and food safety aspects. The training mainly focused on how to integrate and implement a national and multi-agency response process to ensure a united crisis response under “One Health” approach. The internal crisis preparedness training focused on i) outlining EFSA's role regarding crisis communication, and the differences whether EFSA's assistance is requested under EU General Food Law (Reg. (EC) 178/2002) or for a serious cross border threat to health (Reg. (EU) 2022/2371), and ii) reviewing the adequacy of EFSA crisis procedures. The objectives of both events were achieved, based on recorded outcomes and feedback provided by participants. This Annual Report provides a concise summary of the external training, which was subject to a dedicated event report (EFSA, 2025), and a more detailed overview of the internal event, including its development, content and conclusions, as well as the evaluation received from the participants.
{"title":"2025 Crisis Preparedness Training: Annual Report","authors":"European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), Olga Minguez, German Cáceres, Sara Menozzi (AENOR Conocimiento SLU), Bernard Bottex, Georgia Gkrintzali (EFSA)","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9863","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9863","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In 2025, The European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) organised two crisis preparedness trainings: one external crisis exercise simulating a “One Health” crisis response to a vector-borne disease outbreak, and one internal crisis exercise to assess and discuss EFSA's role in crisis communication during an animal health incident under Regulation 178/2002, which escalates into a public health crisis under Regulation 2022/2371 on Serious Cross Border Threats to Health (SCBTH). The exercises were also aiming at testing EFSA's procedures for crisis response. The two-and-half-day external exercise was co-organised with the German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment, and consisted in presentations, facilitated discussions and a crisis simulation exercise based on a fictional, multifaceted scenario combining animal health, public health and food safety aspects. The training mainly focused on how to integrate and implement a national and multi-agency response process to ensure a united crisis response under “One Health” approach. The internal crisis preparedness training focused on i) outlining EFSA's role regarding crisis communication, and the differences whether EFSA's assistance is requested under EU General Food Law (Reg. (EC) 178/2002) or for a serious cross border threat to health (Reg. (EU) 2022/2371), and ii) reviewing the adequacy of EFSA crisis procedures. The objectives of both events were achieved, based on recorded outcomes and feedback provided by participants. This Annual Report provides a concise summary of the external training, which was subject to a dedicated event report (EFSA, 2025), and a more detailed overview of the internal event, including its development, content and conclusions, as well as the evaluation received from the participants.</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9863","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145915815","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-06DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9712
Jacob Davies, Juan Gallego-Zamorano, Roos Reinartz, Rob Robinson, Stephen Baillie, Gabriel Gargallo, Céline Faverjon, Henk Sierdsema, Julia Stahl
Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is a threat to poultry production. It is desirable to be able to forecast HPAI outbreaks to allow for the implementation of elevated biosecurity measures. The Bird Flu Radar tool is an early warning system for HPAI based on wild bird movement and abundance. Here we develop the wild bird movement component of the Bird Flu Radar model by exploiting abundance data, which have greater spatio-temporal coverage than movement (ring-recovery or tracking) data. We explore two approaches for estimating bird movement from abundance data, building on recent migratory connectivity studies. In the first, week-to-week movement between areas of high abundance was estimated using a graph-theoretic approach, with abundance in the intervening area also informing connectivity between locations. In the second, movement from breeding areas to wintering areas and back was simulated using an individual-based model, the parameter values of which were calibrated for each species using weekly abundance maps. The output pseudo-movements from the individual-based model were easily integrated into the long-distance movement model in the early warning system for HPAI, to update the long-distance movement estimates for all 25 wild bird study species. Overall, we find that there are fundamental shortcomings of abundance data for inferring bird movement. However, when the accuracy of abundance-derived pseudo-movements can be confirmed, then they can complement ring-recovery or tracking data. Spatio-temporal coverage is still sparser for movement data than for abundance data, and so efforts to develop methods to exploit abundance data are likely to be useful in future endeavours estimating bird movement, and in downstream applications such as forecasting HPAI transmission.
{"title":"Integrating abundance and movement data to improve estimates of wild bird movement probability in the early warning system for avian influenza in the EU","authors":"Jacob Davies, Juan Gallego-Zamorano, Roos Reinartz, Rob Robinson, Stephen Baillie, Gabriel Gargallo, Céline Faverjon, Henk Sierdsema, Julia Stahl","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9712","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9712","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) is a threat to poultry production. It is desirable to be able to forecast HPAI outbreaks to allow for the implementation of elevated biosecurity measures. The Bird Flu Radar tool is an early warning system for HPAI based on wild bird movement and abundance. Here we develop the wild bird movement component of the Bird Flu Radar model by exploiting abundance data, which have greater spatio-temporal coverage than movement (ring-recovery or tracking) data. We explore two approaches for estimating bird movement from abundance data, building on recent migratory connectivity studies. In the first, week-to-week movement between areas of high abundance was estimated using a graph-theoretic approach, with abundance in the intervening area also informing connectivity between locations. In the second, movement from breeding areas to wintering areas and back was simulated using an individual-based model, the parameter values of which were calibrated for each species using weekly abundance maps. The output pseudo-movements from the individual-based model were easily integrated into the long-distance movement model in the early warning system for HPAI, to update the long-distance movement estimates for all 25 wild bird study species. Overall, we find that there are fundamental shortcomings of abundance data for inferring bird movement. However, when the accuracy of abundance-derived pseudo-movements can be confirmed, then they can complement ring-recovery or tracking data. Spatio-temporal coverage is still sparser for movement data than for abundance data, and so efforts to develop methods to exploit abundance data are likely to be useful in future endeavours estimating bird movement, and in downstream applications such as forecasting HPAI transmission.</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"23 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2026.EN-9712","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145915816","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-18DOI: 10.2903/sp.efsa.2025.EN-9803
European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)
In accordance with Article 31 of Regulation (EC) No 178/2002, in conjunction with Regulation (EC) No 396/2005, the European Commission requested EFSA to provide a technical report presenting comparative dietary exposure calculations performed with PRIMo 4 and the currently used version of PRIMo (rev. 3.1). These comparisons shall allow to assess the impact of an implementation of PRIMo 4 on the outcome of the risk assessment performed in the context of setting MRLs under Regulation (EC) No 396/2005 and Regulation (EC) No 1107/2009. EFSA therefore performed detailed analysis to assess the changes on acute and chronic exposure calculations resulting from the use of PRIMo 4 compared to the current version of PRIMo rev. 3.1. The assessment covered both theoretical calculations using default input values and practical examples selected from recently performed risk assessments.
根据法规(EC) No 178/2002第31条,以及法规(EC) No 396/2005,欧盟委员会要求EFSA提供一份技术报告,介绍使用PRIMo 4和目前使用的PRIMo版本(rev. 3.1)进行的饮食暴露计算的比较。这些比较将允许评估在法规(EC) No 396/2005和法规(EC) No 1107/2009设定MRLs的背景下实施PRIMo 4对风险评估结果的影响。因此,欧洲食品安全局进行了详细的分析,以评估与当前版本的PRIMo rev. 3.1相比,使用PRIMo 4导致的急性和慢性暴露计算的变化。评估包括使用默认输入值的理论计算和从最近进行的风险评估中选择的实际示例。
{"title":"Technical Report on the impact of the change from PRIMo 3.1 to PRIMo 4 on the outcome of the dietary exposure assessment","authors":"European Food Safety Authority (EFSA)","doi":"10.2903/sp.efsa.2025.EN-9803","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2903/sp.efsa.2025.EN-9803","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In accordance with Article 31 of Regulation (EC) No 178/2002, in conjunction with Regulation (EC) No 396/2005, the European Commission requested EFSA to provide a technical report presenting comparative dietary exposure calculations performed with PRIMo 4 and the currently used version of PRIMo (rev. 3.1). These comparisons shall allow to assess the impact of an implementation of PRIMo 4 on the outcome of the risk assessment performed in the context of setting MRLs under Regulation (EC) No 396/2005 and Regulation (EC) No 1107/2009. EFSA therefore performed detailed analysis to assess the changes on acute and chronic exposure calculations resulting from the use of PRIMo 4 compared to the current version of PRIMo rev. 3.1. The assessment covered both theoretical calculations using default input values and practical examples selected from recently performed risk assessments.</p>","PeriodicalId":100395,"journal":{"name":"EFSA Supporting Publications","volume":"22 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://efsa.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.2903/sp.efsa.2025.EN-9803","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145845778","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}