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I bet you feel safe! assessing cyclists’ subjective safety by objective scores 我打赌你会感到安全!用客观分数评估骑自行车者的主观安全
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100066
Stefan Fuest , Mariana Batista , Frauke Luise Berghoefer , Morten Flesser , Bhagya Shrithi Grandhi , Felix Spühler , Monika Sester , Mark Vollrath

Feeling safe is a major issue for cyclists, and some potential cyclists are still deterred from using the bicycle because they feel too unsafe. Assessing the subjective safety of existing cycling infrastructures and locations can be done by questionnaires that show pictures of infrastructures and ask participants for their safety ratings. However, future cycling infrastructures should also be evaluated as safe even before they are implemented. Therefore, it is desirable to have a method that is able to predict safety from infrastructural information. This study aims to propose two different ways for such a method and to test both ways in a use case. We first developed two scores, namely the Repertory Grid (RG) Score and the FixMyBerlin (FMB) Score, which predict subjective safety from objective environmental information but use different data bases and different methodologies. In a second step, we validated these scores by comparing them to questionnaire ratings that evaluated cyclists’ subjective safety at 20 locations in the city of Braunschweig, Germany. Finally, we compared the two scores as well as the questionnaire ratings with objective safety measures, namely crash statistics, at the respective locations. The results show that the RG Score has a moderate agreement and the FMB Score has a fair agreement with the questionnaire ratings. All methods agree on the overall safety evaluation of various cycling facilities. However, the RG Score showed less variance in the safety ratings, whereas the FMB Score rated most locations more unsafe than the participants in the questionnaire. Interestingly, neither the scores nor the questionnaire ratings could sufficiently deduce the occurrence of a crash at one of the locations. The findings strengthen the importance of subjective safety as a construct independent of objective safety. Furthermore, they provide insights into aspects of subjective safety that can easily be measured by objective scores, and into aspects that are important for cyclists but were not yet covered by the scores. This study, therefore, provides a basis for future considerations and future evaluation methods to assess the subjective safety of cyclists.

对骑自行车的人来说,安全感是一个主要问题,一些潜在的骑自行车的人们仍然不敢使用自行车,因为他们觉得太不安全了。可以通过问卷调查来评估现有自行车基础设施和地点的主观安全性,问卷显示基础设施的图片,并询问参与者的安全评级。然而,即使在实施之前,未来的自行车基础设施也应该被评估为安全的。因此,希望有一种能够根据基础设施信息预测安全性的方法。本研究旨在为这种方法提出两种不同的方法,并在用例中测试这两种方法。我们首先开发了两个评分,即汇编网格(RG)评分和FixMyBerlin(FMB)评分,它们根据客观环境信息预测主观安全性,但使用不同的数据库和不同的方法。在第二步中,我们通过将这些分数与问卷评分进行比较来验证这些分数,问卷评分评估了德国布伦瑞克市20个地点骑自行车者的主观安全性。最后,我们将这两个分数以及问卷评分与各自地点的客观安全措施(即碰撞统计数据)进行了比较。结果表明,RG评分与问卷评分具有适度一致性,FMB评分与问卷评级具有公平一致性。所有方法都同意对各种自行车设施进行整体安全评估。然而,RG评分显示安全评级的差异较小,而FMB评分则认为大多数地点比问卷中的参与者更不安全。有趣的是,无论是分数还是问卷评分都无法充分推断其中一个地点发生了车祸。研究结果强化了主观安全作为一种独立于客观安全的结构的重要性。此外,它们还深入了解了可以通过客观分数轻松衡量的主观安全方面,以及对骑自行车的人来说很重要但尚未被分数覆盖的方面。因此,这项研究为未来评估骑车人主观安全的考虑因素和评估方法提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Improving women's accessibility to public transport through participatory street experiments: The case of Maltepe, Istanbul 通过参与式街道实验改善妇女乘坐公共交通的可及性:伊斯坦布尔马尔特佩的案例
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100062
Eda Beyazit , Imge Akcakaya Waite , Hanna Balik , Arzu Erturan , Bahadır Keşan

Building on the literature concerning gender-responsive mobility, this paper aims to explore how street experiments can be used to promote gendered mobilities and create streetscapes in order to prioritise the needs of women in the improvement of access to public transport that grants them access to the many facets of urban life. It argues that by creating more inclusive and accessible streets through participatory planning and design processes, women will have greater opportunities to participate in and benefit from public transport. To that end, a street experiment project, TOPUK, was used as a case study focusing on improving women's access to public transport in Maltepe, Istanbul. The methodology consists of the critical assessment of various participation methods and a detailed narrative of the project process. Accessibility, mobility, and safety were found to be the most important women-centric public transportation issues addressed through participatory pop-up design solutions at the street level, most of which were implemented despite bureaucratic obstacles. The paper concludes with a discussion of the lessons learned from the TOPUK project and how these lessons can be applied to future street experiments to create more gender-responsive and inclusive living environments.

在有关促进性别平等的流动性的文献的基础上,本文旨在探索如何利用街头实验来促进性别流动性并创造街景,以便在改善公共交通的使用方面优先考虑妇女的需求,从而使她们能够接触城市生活的方方面面。它认为,通过参与式规划和设计过程,创造更具包容性和无障碍的街道,妇女将有更多机会参与公共交通并从中受益。为此,一个名为TOPUK的街头实验项目被用作案例研究,重点是改善伊斯坦布尔马尔特佩妇女使用公共交通的机会。该方法包括对各种参与方法的批判性评估和对项目过程的详细叙述。无障碍、机动性和安全性被发现是以妇女为中心的最重要的公共交通问题,通过街道一级的参与式弹出式设计解决方案来解决,其中大多数都是在官僚障碍的情况下实施的。论文最后讨论了从TOPUK项目中吸取的经验教训,以及如何将这些经验教训应用于未来的街头实验,以创造更具性别敏感性和包容性的生活环境。
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引用次数: 0
Learning from informal gendered mobilities: Towards a holistic understanding for experimenting with city streets 从非正式的性别流动中学习:对城市街道试验的整体理解
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100061
Krity Gera , Peter Hasdell

This paper argues that the right to access public spaces and streets is impacted not only because of automobility but also by socio-spatial factors of the urban environment. This paper presents insights towards a holistic understanding for street experiments (with a focus on stationary and slow travel modes) by highlighting the factors that impact the conditions of mobility and access through the lens of gender. By adopting a combination of new technologies, such as GPS, along with mobile methods, like ethnography, this research centres around the everyday travel experiences of urban marginalized women (UMW) from peri‑urban areas of New Delhi who contest their right to access public spaces on a day-to-day basis. This study examines the socio-spatial environment comprising the daily mobilities of UMW to reveal the conditions of mobility and access to public spaces. The findings highlight that the issues faced by these women while travelling, mainly guided by aspects of gender, act as barriers to their mobility and access to public spaces (streets) in urban informal conditions. The study also reveals elements of urban informality (socio-spatial elements) enhance as well as negatively on the daily mobilities of UMW. These socio-spatial factors were found to be interconnected to one another and thus cannot be implemented as individual or isolated factors. The results of the study support the proposal of a more inclusive and accessible public space.

本文认为,进入公共空间和街道的权利不仅受到汽车性的影响,还受到城市环境的社会空间因素的影响。本文通过从性别角度强调影响流动和进入条件的因素,为全面理解街头实验(重点关注静止和慢速旅行模式)提供了见解。通过将GPS等新技术与民族志等移动方法相结合,这项研究围绕着来自新德里城郊地区的城市边缘化妇女的日常旅行体验展开,她们每天都在争夺进入公共空间的权利。本研究考察了包括UMW日常流动性的社会空间环境,以揭示流动性和进入公共空间的条件。调查结果强调,这些妇女在旅行时面临的问题,主要是受性别因素的影响,阻碍了她们在城市非正规条件下的流动和进入公共空间(街道)。该研究还揭示了城市非正规性因素(社会空间因素)对UMW的日常流动性的增强和负面影响。这些社会空间因素被发现是相互关联的,因此不能作为单独或孤立的因素来实施。研究结果支持建立一个更具包容性和无障碍的公共空间的建议。
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引用次数: 0
The seventh transport revolution and the new challenges for sustainable mobility 第七次交通革命和可持续交通的新挑战
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100059
Ennio Cascetta , Ilaria Henke

Over the course of history there have been several and significant changes in the methods and technologies used to move people and things. Innovations typically follow the distributive and social needs of their time but in some cases they drive or at least contribute to the social and economic evolution of human communities. The paper is based on the hypothesis that transport system innovations occur with different speeds and have impacts of different magnitude in different historical moments. Changes can thus be classified as revolutions or as evolutions depending on weather they (contribute to) change societal, economic and/or territorial systems in a relatively short time period or not. In this paper, analysing the history of humanity, six transport revolutions and several evolutions following over time have been identified, extending and re-defining the ideas of Gilbert and Pearl (2010). We suggest that transportation systems are undergoing a seventh revolutionary phase due to the combined effects of three main drivers. These are innovations in energy sources and their transmission, developments of connected and autonomous vehicles for all transportation modes, and new smart mobility services. As for past revolutions it's impossible anticipate the extent of change it will bring about, both in the transportation market and in society at large. According to the “law of unintended consequences” of previous revolutions, the combined effects of the three drivers will likely further amplify the scope of possible changes. These changes can have positive, neutral or negative effects on short to medium term for environmental, social and economic sustainability of freights and passengers transportation. The paper starts with a synthetic description of previous transport revolutions, as proposed by the Authors. The main elements of the seventh transport revolution are then discussed together with some possible interactions among them. Finally the paper analyses some opportunities and risks connected to the ongoing innovation with respect to environmental, social ed economic sustainability. The perception of the current time as a revolutionary phase should change the approach of researchers and practitioners in the wide field of transportation system analysis with respect to the last evolutionary decades. Future research, in addition to sector specific evolutions, should focus on the actual holistic deployment of the seventh revolution trying to continuously update its combined effects and anticipate as much as possible its trajectory in order to reduce undesirable ones while boasting desirable ones. Future transport policies, especially in urban areas, will have to take into account the opportunities and risks deriving from the ongoing transport revolution as well as the resulting level of uncertainty.

在历史的进程中,用于移动人和物的方法和技术发生了几次重大变化。创新通常遵循其时代的分配和社会需求,但在某些情况下,它们推动或至少有助于人类社区的社会和经济发展。本文的假设是,交通系统创新以不同的速度发生,并在不同的历史时刻产生不同程度的影响。因此,变化可以被归类为革命或进化,这取决于它们是否在相对较短的时间内(有助于)改变社会、经济和/或领土系统。在本文中,通过对人类历史的分析,确定了六次运输革命和随后的几次演变,扩展并重新定义了Gilbert和Pearl(2010)的思想。我们认为,由于三个主要驱动因素的共同作用,交通系统正在经历第七个革命性阶段。这些都是能源及其传输的创新,适用于所有交通方式的联网和自动驾驶汽车的发展,以及新的智能移动服务。至于过去的革命,无论是在运输市场还是整个社会,都不可能预测它将带来的变化程度。根据前几次革命的“意外后果定律”,这三个驱动因素的综合作用可能会进一步扩大可能的变化范围。这些变化可能对货运和客运的环境、社会和经济可持续性的中短期产生积极、中性或负面影响。本文从作者提出的对以往运输革命的综合描述开始。然后讨论了第七次运输革命的主要要素,以及它们之间可能的相互作用。最后,本文从环境、社会和经济可持续性的角度分析了与持续创新相关的一些机遇和风险。将当前时代视为一个革命性的阶段,应该会改变研究人员和从业者在过去几十年的交通系统分析领域的方法。除了特定部门的演变外,未来的研究还应侧重于第七次革命的实际整体部署,试图不断更新其综合影响,并尽可能多地预测其轨迹,以减少不可取的影响,同时吹嘘可取的影响。未来的交通政策,特别是在城市地区,必须考虑到正在进行的交通革命带来的机遇和风险,以及由此产生的不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
Proximity-centred accessibility—A conceptual debate involving experts and planning practitioners 以邻近为中心的可达性——一场涉及专家和规划实践者的概念辩论
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100060
Cecília Silva , Benjamin Büttner , Sebastian Seisenberger , Anna Rauli

Recognised as an important dimension of quality of life, accessibility has gained increasing attention from research and planning practice in the last decades. Rising concern with global warming and the dehumanization of cities has spotlighted the proximity-centred dimension of accessibility, which for decades has been mostly undervalued. In both research and practice, we witness a rise in references to proximity-centred accessibility, however, using a variety of different terms, with somewhat nuanced meanings or underlying concerns. Proximity-centred accessibility concepts are still in flux, inhibiting the establishment of a comprehensive understanding for the development of a cohesive research field and of effective public policies.

This paper provides a first contribution to the development of a conceptual framework for proximity-centred accessibility, through a co-development process involving both research and practice. For this we used a mixed methods approach incorporating bibliographic research, surveys, and a focus group, involving both experts in the research field and a sample of planning practitioners from Portugal and Germany.

Our research revealed over a dozen different proximity-centred accessibility terms currently in use in the scientific research field, of which, local accessibility and neighbourhood accessibility are the most commonly used. A difference in favoured terminology was identified between research and practice as well as different national contexts, requiring further explorations. While Proximity thresholds have been defined using a variety of physical distances or travel times, our survey revealed a nearly unanimous consensus around a threshold of 1600 m (roughly 20 min walking). Mixed evidence was found with regard to activities relevant at proximity. Regardless, playgrounds, green spaces, food shopping and elementary education showed particular relevance.

Building on the empirical evidence collected, we strike out a first conceptual framework for proximity-centred accessibility. Building on the general definition for accessibility, we include a maximum distance threshold of 1600 m to consider accessibility as proximity-centred. The proposed framework encourages multiple distances (up to 1600 m), transport modes, and activities (although the relevance of activities seems to be clearly dependent of distance and local context). The importance of clearly specifying the exact distances, transport mode(s) and activities for each application of the framework is stressed.

无障碍被公认为生活质量的一个重要方面,在过去几十年中,无障碍越来越受到研究和规划实践的关注。人们对全球变暖和城市非人化的日益担忧,突显了以接近为中心的无障碍维度,几十年来,这一维度一直被低估。然而,在研究和实践中,我们看到越来越多的人提到以接近为中心的无障碍,使用了各种不同的术语,其含义或潜在的担忧有些微妙。以接近为中心的无障碍概念仍在不断变化,阻碍了对发展一个有凝聚力的研究领域和有效的公共政策的全面理解。本文通过涉及研究和实践的共同开发过程,首次为开发以接近为中心的无障碍概念框架做出了贡献。为此,我们采用了一种混合方法,包括书目研究、调查和焦点小组,包括研究领域的专家和来自葡萄牙和德国的规划从业者样本。我们的研究揭示了目前在科学研究领域使用的十几个不同的以接近为中心的无障碍术语,当地无障碍和邻里无障碍是最常用的。研究和实践以及不同的国家背景之间发现了受欢迎的术语的差异,需要进一步探索。虽然接近阈值是通过各种物理距离或旅行时间来定义的,但我们的调查显示,在1600米(步行约20分钟)的阈值上几乎达成了一致意见。关于附近的相关活动,发现了混杂的证据。无论如何,游乐场、绿地、食品购物和基础教育都显示出特别的相关性。在收集到的经验证据的基础上,我们提出了第一个以接近为中心的无障碍性的概念框架。在无障碍的一般定义的基础上,我们纳入了1600米的最大距离阈值,以将无障碍视为以接近为中心。拟议的框架鼓励多种距离(高达1600米)、运输方式和活动(尽管活动的相关性似乎明显取决于距离和当地环境)。强调了明确规定每种框架应用的确切距离、运输方式和活动的重要性。
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引用次数: 2
Autonomous shuttles contribution to independent mobility for children – a qualitative pilot study 自主穿梭车对儿童独立行动能力的贡献——一项定性试点研究
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100058
Kristina Larsson , Anna Anund , Simone Pettigrew

Children's mobility and the opportunity to get around the city on their own has decreased and is today limited to a large extent by unsafe traffic situations. Due to their limited independent mobility, children are excluded from the urban space and its facilities. Independent mobility can be related to several dimensions of children's social, physical, mental and cognitive wellbeing. The purpose of this study is to investigate if and in what way autonomous buses can contribute to children's independent mobility and, using children's experiences, provide insights into this before the introduction of autonomous buses in cities and public transport systems. To do so, the two research questions "How can autonomous buses in the transport system contribute to children's independent mobility?" and "What prerequisites are necessary for autonomous buses to contribute to children's independent mobility?" are answered. The survey is based on a case of introduction of autonomous buses in urban environments. Three focus groups with students in a primary school were conducted with the aim of gaining the participants' experiences. The results indicate that the introduction of autonomous buses in an urban area can contribute to children's independent mobility in several ways and that the buses have certain characteristics that enable them to be adapted to children's conditions. The low speed of the shuttles, which is often seen as an obstacle when it comes to time efficiency, has a positive effect on perceived safety in this case. The mobility solution is also child-friendly in that it is accessible in terms of trip planning and payment. However, it is important to consider the risk that the bus might replace active transportation modes, like cycling. To avoid this, autonomous shuttles should be integrated in a way that complement, not compete with, active travel.

儿童的流动性和独自在城市中走动的机会已经减少,今天在很大程度上受到不安全交通状况的限制。由于儿童的独立行动能力有限,他们被排斥在城市空间及其设施之外。独立行动能力可能与儿童的社会、身体、心理和认知健康的几个方面有关。本研究的目的是调查自动驾驶公交车是否以及以何种方式有助于儿童的独立行动,并利用儿童的经验,在城市和公共交通系统引入自动驾驶公交车之前对此提供见解。为此,回答了两个研究问题“交通系统中的自动驾驶公交车如何促进儿童的独立行动?”和“自动驾驶公交车促进儿童的自主行动需要什么先决条件?”。该调查基于一个在城市环境中引入自动驾驶公交车的案例。对一所小学的学生进行了三个焦点小组,目的是获得参与者的经验。结果表明,在城市地区引入自动驾驶公交车可以在几个方面促进儿童的独立行动,并且公交车具有一定的特性,使其能够适应儿童的条件。航天飞机的低速通常被视为时间效率方面的障碍,在这种情况下,它对感知安全有积极影响。移动解决方案也对儿童友好,因为它可以在旅行计划和付款方面使用。然而,重要的是要考虑公交车可能取代自行车等积极交通方式的风险。为了避免这种情况,自动驾驶航天飞机应该以一种补充而非竞争的方式进行整合。
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引用次数: 0
Are Italian cities already 15-minute? Presenting the Next Proximity Index: A novel and scalable way to measure it, based on open data 意大利的城市已经是15分钟了吗?呈现下一个邻近指数:一种基于开放数据的新颖且可扩展的测量方法
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100057
Beatrice Olivari , Piergiorgio Cipriano , Maurizio Napolitano , Luca Giovannini

In recent years, the concept of proximity has gathered significant attention and the best-known model dealing with this concept is Carlos Moreno's 15-minute city, where citizens can easily reach any essential service through a 15 minutes’ walk (or bike ride). This city model presents numerous advantages, including reductions in car traffic and carbon footprint, improvement in citizens' health and safety, enhancement of the economy in the whole city, improvement of accessibility and so on. However, transitioning to a 15-minute city is not a straightforward undertaking and we argue that for this process to succeed it is best to rely on data-driven assessments of its developments. Therefore, in this paper we present the NExt proXimity Index (NEXI), based on open data and capable of measuring the level of local proximity to services by walking, according to the principles of the 15-minute city. The goal of NEXI is to identify which of the different areas of a given territory already follow the 15-minute paradigm and its implementation is made available as an interactive map where the index is computed on a hexagonal grid and thematized according to its value. The NEXI is designed to be glocal: it is based on OpenStreetMap data so it can be replicated everywhere (global), but it is also granular enough to be able to evaluate the proximity at a small scale (local). Moreover, the index is designed to have a scalable computation and is in fact already available for the entirety of Italy. Finally, the NEXI can be combined with additional local data (e.g. population level) to gather additional insights, as was experimented in two use cases carried out in the cities of Ferrara and Bologna, Italy.

近年来,就近的概念受到了极大的关注,处理这一概念的最著名的模式是卡洛斯·莫雷诺的15分钟城市,在那里,市民可以通过15分钟的步行(或骑自行车)轻松获得任何基本服务。这种城市模式具有许多优势,包括减少汽车交通和碳足迹、改善公民健康和安全、增强整个城市的经济、提高可达性等,向一个15分钟的城市过渡并不是一件简单的事情,我们认为,要想这一过程取得成功,最好依靠对其发展的数据驱动评估。因此,在本文中,我们提出了NExt项目指数(NEXI),该指数基于开放数据,能够根据15分钟城市的原则,通过步行来衡量当地对服务的接近程度。NEXI的目标是确定特定领土的不同地区中哪些已经遵循了15分钟的模式,其实施是以互动地图的形式提供的,其中指数在六边形网格上计算,并根据其值进行主题化。NEXI的设计是全局的:它基于OpenStreetMap数据,因此可以在任何地方复制(全局),但它也足够精细,能够在小范围(局部)评估接近度。此外,该指数旨在具有可扩展的计算能力,事实上已经适用于整个意大利。最后,正如在意大利费拉拉市和博洛尼亚市进行的两个用例中所做的实验一样,可以将新十一项与额外的当地数据(如人口水平)相结合,以收集更多的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The value of street experiments for mobility and public life: Citizens’ perspectives from three European cities 街头实验对交通和公共生活的价值:来自三个欧洲城市的市民视角
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-06-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100055
Emilia Smeds, Enrica Papa

‘Street experiments’ (SE) are increasingly used to reallocate street space from traffic to space for people through temporary interventions. Existing research suggests that SE can mobilise the public in favour of post-car transitions and focuses on evaluating SE from an upscaling, public acceptability, or practitioner perspective, while there are few studies that explore what citizens value about SE in the context of everyday street life in an open-ended way. To fill this gap, this paper analyses how N = 458 citizens value five SE parklets and plazas in three neighbourhoods of London, Munich, and Bologna. We develop a primarily inductive and qualitative survey method for understanding what mobility and public life dimensions of SE that citizens value, considering both use value and the broader social meanings of street transformations. Based on empirical analysis, we develop a framework for analysing the value of SE with 10 categories spanning functional, social, safety, environmental and economic dimensions. The findings show that across all three European cities, the majority of citizens value the public life dimensions of SE more highly than SE benefits for active mobility: including the added value of SE for the attractiveness of the streetscape, making public space available for stationary activities, and creating opportunities for social and civic interaction within neighbourhoods. Our analytical approach can be used to understand citizens’ qualitative evaluations of SE, while our practitioner recommendations can help inform the design of more effective and inclusive SE interventions.

“街道实验”(SE)越来越多地被用来通过临时干预将街道空间从交通重新分配给人们。现有研究表明,SE可以动员公众支持车后过渡,并专注于从扩大规模、公众可接受性或从业者的角度评估SE,而很少有研究以开放的方式探讨公民在日常街头生活中对SE的重视程度。为了填补这一空白,本文分析了N=458名市民如何评价伦敦、慕尼黑和博洛尼亚三个街区的五个SE公园和广场。我们开发了一种主要是归纳和定性的调查方法,以了解公民重视SE的流动性和公共生活维度,同时考虑到街道改造的使用价值和更广泛的社会意义。在实证分析的基础上,我们开发了一个分析SE价值的框架,包括10个类别,涵盖功能、社会、安全、环境和经济维度。研究结果表明,在所有三个欧洲城市中,大多数公民更重视SE的公共生活维度,而不是SE对积极流动的好处:包括SE对街景吸引力的附加值,为固定活动提供公共空间,以及为社区内的社会和公民互动创造机会。我们的分析方法可用于了解公民对SE的定性评估,而我们的从业者建议可帮助设计更有效、更具包容性的SE干预措施。
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引用次数: 5
The preferences of transport mode of certain travelers in the age of autonomous vehicle 在自动驾驶汽车时代,某些出行者对交通方式的偏好
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-05-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100054
Jamil Hamadneh , Domokos Esztergár-Kiss

Individuals choose transport modes to travel based on their preferences and journey characteristics. The availability of autonomous vehicles (AVs) on the market will affect the traditional mode choice models. In this regard, this research studies three transport modes: conventional car, privately-owned autonomous vehicle (PAV), and shared autonomous vehicle (SAV). The potential changes in transport mode choice are evaluated, where the impact of changes of some sociodemographic and travel variables on choices are estimated. A discrete choice modeling approach is applied in this study to develop a transport choice model. A stated preference (SP) approach is used, where 306 answers are collected in Hungary. A discrete choice experiment (DCE) is designed to collect the choices of people. Multinomial Logit (MNL) model is applied to the data to develop a transport mode choice model, where differentiations between some parameters across transport modes are presented. People are varied in their willingness to use a transport mode across groups, such as the income, the family size, and the current transport mode. The results demonstrate that people are more likely to use a conventional car than PAV, while they are more likely to use PAV than SAV. The output of this study can be used to support policy implications in the AV era.

个人根据自己的喜好和行程特点选择出行方式。市场上自动驾驶汽车的可用性将影响传统的模式选择模型。在这方面,本研究研究研究了三种交通方式:传统汽车、私人自动驾驶汽车和共享自动驾驶汽车。评估了交通方式选择的潜在变化,其中估计了一些社会人口和旅行变量的变化对选择的影响。本研究采用离散选择建模方法来开发交通选择模型。采用陈述偏好(SP)方法,在匈牙利收集了306个答案。离散选择实验(DCE)旨在收集人们的选择。将多项式Logit(MNL)模型应用于数据,以开发运输模式选择模型,其中给出了不同运输模式的一些参数之间的差异。不同群体使用交通方式的意愿各不相同,如收入、家庭规模和当前的交通方式。结果表明,人们比PAV更有可能使用传统汽车,而他们比SAV更有可能使用PAV。这项研究的成果可用于支持AV时代的政策含义。
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引用次数: 2
Determinants of shared moped mode choice 共享机动车辆模式选择的决定因素
Q1 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-04-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.urbmob.2023.100053
Eveline Loudon , Nejc Geržinič , Eric Molin , Oded Cats

A plethora of shared fleet services have been introduced in cities worldwide. Despite their increased presence in urban areas, it is insofar unknown what are the main determinants of travellers’ choices between the usage of shared-mopeds and cars and thereby the extent to which shared moped can substitute car travel. To this end, we design and conduct an SP choice model experiment. The estimated Panel Mixed Logit model is applied to explore the potential market share for shared moped, car and bike under several scenarios which are devised based on the expert interviews. Our findings demonstrate that the return availability of shared moped is the most influential travel time attribute. Walk time from home to the shared moped is an influential factor for people without moped experience. Moreover, model estimation results show that people who have used a shared moped before value the attributes differently than people without previous moped experience. We specifically focus on choice determinants and policy measures targeting car users to facilitate desirable behavioural changes. We present results from model application to demonstrate the effect of different policy packages on the market share of each mode, showing that certain policy interventions can attract car users to switch to shared moped while avoiding a strong reduction in bike use.

世界各地的城市都引入了大量的共享车队服务。尽管它们在城市地区的存在越来越多,但目前尚不清楚旅行者在使用共享轻便摩托车和汽车之间做出选择的主要决定因素是什么,以及共享轻便摩托车在多大程度上可以取代汽车出行。为此,我们设计并进行了SP选择模型实验。在基于专家访谈设计的几个场景下,应用估计的面板混合Logit模型来探索共享轻便摩托车、汽车和自行车的潜在市场份额。我们的研究结果表明,共享助力车的返回可用性是最具影响力的旅行时间属性。对于没有轻便摩托车经验的人来说,从家到共享轻便摩托车的步行时间是一个影响因素。此外,模型估计结果表明,以前使用过共享轻便摩托车的人与以前没有使用过轻便摩托车经验的人对这些属性的评价不同。我们特别关注针对汽车用户的选择决定因素和政策措施,以促进理想的行为改变。我们展示了模型应用的结果,以证明不同的政策包对每种模式的市场份额的影响,表明某些政策干预可以吸引汽车用户转向共享助力车,同时避免自行车使用量的大幅减少。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Journal of Urban Mobility
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