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Rainfall early warning threshold and its spatial distribution of rainfall-induced landslides in China 中国降雨诱发滑坡降雨预警阈值及其空间分布
Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100056
Hongqiang Dou , Rui Wang , Hao Wang , Wenbin Jian

In order to investigate the spatial distribution of early warning threshold for landslide induced by rainfall in China, the literatures about rainfall thresholds of landslides in China in recent 20 years are selected. Statistical analysis and visualization methods were employed to systematically analyze the research progress of rainfall early warning thresholds at various scales. Taking the typical rainfall intensity-duration (I-D) threshold model as the research object, combined with the geographical characteristics of China and the average annual rainfall of 20 years, the spatial distribution of early warning thresholds for rainfall-induced landslide in China is depicted. The results show that the inspired rain intensity coefficient α of the rainfall threshold (I-D curve) in China roughly increases gradually with the decrease of topography. Moreover, under consistent annual rainfall conditions, the scalar index β exhibits regular changes corresponding to variations in terrain. Topography and rainfall are the two main factors strongly associated with the rainfall threshold. This research establishes a clear framework for studying the early warning thresholds for rainfall-induced landslides in China and holds significant scientific implications for developing more effective rainfall threshold models.

为了研究我国降雨诱发滑坡预警阈值的空间分布,选取了近20年来我国滑坡降雨阈值的相关文献。采用统计分析和可视化方法,系统分析了不同尺度降雨预警阈值的研究进展。以典型降雨强度-持续时间(I-D)阈值模型为研究对象,结合我国地理特征和20年平均年降雨量,刻画了我国降雨诱发滑坡预警阈值的空间分布。结果表明,我国降雨阈值(I-D曲线)的启发雨强系数α大致随着地形的减小而逐渐增大。此外,在一致的年降雨量条件下,标量指数β表现出与地形变化相对应的规律性变化。地形和降雨量是与降雨量阈值密切相关的两个主要因素。这项研究为研究中国降雨诱发滑坡的预警阈值建立了一个清晰的框架,并对开发更有效的降雨阈值模型具有重要的科学意义。
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引用次数: 2
Hyper-gravity experiment of solute transport in fractured rock and evaluation method for long-term barrier performance 裂隙岩体溶质输运超重力实验及长期屏障性能评价方法
Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100042
Wenjie Xu , Yingtao Hu , Yunmin Chen , Liangtong Zhan , Ruiqi Chen , Jinlong Li , Duanyang Zhuang , Qingdong Li , Ke Li

Hyper-gravity experiment enable the acceleration of the long-term transport of contaminants through fractured geological barriers. However, the hyper-gravity effect of the solute transport in fractures are not well understood. In this study, the sealed control apparatus and the 3D printed fracture models were used to carry out 1 ​g and N g hyper-gravity experiments. The results show that the breakthrough curves for the 1 ​g and N g experiments were almost the same. The differences in the flow velocity and the fitted hydrodynamic dispersion coefficient were 0.97–3.12% and 9.09–20.4%, indicating that the internal fractures of the 3D printed fracture models remained stable under hyper-gravity, and the differences in the flow and solute transport characteristics were acceptable. A method for evaluating the long-term barrier performance of low-permeability fractured rocks was proposed based on the hyper-gravity experiment. The solute transport processes in the 1 ​g prototype, 1 ​g scaled model, and N g scaled model were simulated by the OpenGeoSys (OGS) software. The results show that the N g scaled model can reproduce the flow and solute transport processes in the 1 ​g prototype without considering the micro-scale heterogeneity if the Reynolds number (Re) ​≤ ​critical Reynolds number (Recr) and the Peclet number (Pe) ​≤ ​the critical Peclet number (Pecr). This insight is valuable for carrying out hyper-gravity experiments to evaluate the long-term barrier performance of low-permeability fractured porous rock.

超重力实验能够加速污染物通过断裂地质屏障的长期传输。然而,裂缝中溶质运移的超重力效应还没有得到很好的理解。在本研究中,使用密封控制装置和3D打印的裂缝模型进行了1​g和N g超重力实验。结果表明​g和NG实验几乎相同。流速和拟合的流体动力学分散系数的差异分别为0.97–3.12%和9.09–20.4%,表明3D打印裂缝模型的内部裂缝在超重力作用下保持稳定,流动和溶质传输特性的差异是可以接受的。在超重力实验的基础上,提出了一种评价低渗透裂隙岩长期屏障性能的方法。1中的溶质迁移过程​g原型,1​g比例模型和N g比例模型通过OpenGeoSys(OGS)软件进行模拟。结果表明,N g标度模型可以再现1​g原型,如果雷诺数(Re)​≤​临界雷诺数(Recr)和Peclet数(Pe)​≤​临界Peclet数(Pecr)。这一见解对开展超重力实验评估低渗透裂隙多孔岩石的长期屏障性能具有重要价值。
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引用次数: 2
First-arrival traveltime tomography for monitoring the excavation damaged zone in the Horonobe Underground Research Laboratory 用于监测Horonobe地下研究实验室开挖破坏区的初到旅行时断层扫描
Pub Date : 2023-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100057
Yusuke Ozaki

Subsurface excavation results in the formation of a zone called excavation damaged zone (EDZ) around the tunnel wall. An EDZ is a major concern in the field of high-level radioactive waste disposal because it may act as a flow path after the closure of a repository. In this study, first-arrival traveltime tomography was repeatedly conducted on the EDZ at a depth of 350 ​m in the Horonobe Underground Research Laboratory. However, the acquired data was highly affected by the support structure on the drift wall. For proper visualization of the EDZ, information about the structure was incorporated into the inversion by modifying the model constraint. The synthetic study showed that the approach reproduced the EDZ in the model without the artifacts. The method was applied to field data, and the EDZ around the drift was detected. The inversion was extended to a time-lapse inversion to trace the changes in P-wave velocity in the EDZ. The synthetic study demonstrated that temporal changes in the P-wave velocity distribution could be detected. Data obtained from 12 surveys under open-drift conditions were analyzed by time-lapse inversion. The results indicated that the EDZ did not undergo sealing or evolution at the site for approximately seven years.

地下开挖导致隧道壁周围形成一个称为开挖损坏区(EDZ)的区域。EDZ是高放射性废物处理领域的一个主要问题,因为它可能在储存库关闭后充当流动路径。在这项研究中,在深度为350的EDZ上重复进行了首次到达旅行时间断层扫描​我在Horonobe地下研究实验室。然而,所获得的数据在很大程度上受到漂移壁上支撑结构的影响。为了使EDZ正确可视化,通过修改模型约束将有关结构的信息纳入反演中。综合研究表明,该方法在没有伪影的情况下再现了模型中的EDZ。将该方法应用于现场数据,并对漂移周围的EDZ进行了检测。反演被扩展为延时反演,以跟踪EDZ中P波速度的变化。综合研究表明,可以检测到P波速度分布的时间变化。通过延时反演分析了在开放漂移条件下进行的12次调查的数据。结果表明,EDZ在大约七年的时间里没有在现场进行密封或进化。
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引用次数: 2
Permeability evolution during pressure-controlled shear slip in saw-cut and natural granite fractures 锯切和天然花岗岩裂缝压控剪切滑移过程中渗透率演化
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2022.100027
Zhiqiang Li , Xiaodong Ma , Xiang-Zhao Kong , Martin O. Saar , Daniel Vogler

Fluid injection into rock masses is involved during various subsurface engineering applications. However, elevated fluid pressure, induced by injection, can trigger shear slip(s) of pre-existing natural fractures, resulting in changes of the rock mass permeability and thus injectivity. However, the mechanism of slip-induced permeability variation, particularly when subjected to multiple slips, is still not fully understood. In this study, we performed laboratory experiments to investigate the fracture permeability evolution induced by shear slip in both saw-cut and natural fractures with rough surfaces. Our experiments show that compared to saw-cut fractures, natural fractures show much small effective stress when the slips induced by triggering fluid pressures, likely due to the much rougher surface of the natural fractures. For natural fractures, we observed that a critical shear displacement value in the relationship between permeability and accumulative shear displacement: the permeability of natural fractures initially increases, followed by a permeability decrease after the accumulative shear displacement reaches a critical shear displacement value. For the saw-cut fractures, there is no consistent change in the measured permeability versus the accumulative shear displacement, but the first slip event often induces the largest shear displacement and associated permeability changes. The produced gouge material suggests that rock surface damage occurs during multiple slips, although, unfortunately, our experiments did not allow quantitatively continuous monitoring of fracture surface property changes. Thus, we attribute the slip-induced permeability evolution to the interplay between permeability reductions, due to damages of fracture asperities, and permeability enhancements, caused by shear dilation, depending on the scale of the shear displacement.

在各种地下工程应用中,都涉及到向岩体中注入流体。然而,注入引起的流体压力升高会引发预先存在的天然裂缝的剪切滑动,从而导致岩体渗透率和注入能力的变化。然而,滑动引起的渗透率变化的机制,特别是当受到多次滑动时,仍然没有完全理解。在本研究中,我们进行了实验室实验,以研究锯切和粗糙表面的天然裂缝中剪切滑移引起的裂缝渗透率演化。我们的实验表明,与锯切裂缝相比,当触发流体压力引起滑动时,天然裂缝显示出小得多的有效应力,这可能是由于天然裂缝的表面粗糙得多。对于天然裂缝,我们观察到渗透率和累积剪切位移之间关系中的一个临界剪切位移值:天然裂缝的渗透率最初增加,然后在累积剪切位移达到临界剪切位移后渗透率降低。对于锯切裂缝,测得的渗透率与累积剪切位移之间没有一致的变化,但第一次滑动事件通常会引起最大的剪切位移和相关的渗透率变化。所产生的凿泥材料表明,岩石表面损伤发生在多次滑动期间,尽管不幸的是,我们的实验无法定量连续监测断裂表面性质的变化。因此,我们将滑动引起的渗透率演化归因于由于裂缝微凸体的破坏而导致的渗透率降低和由于剪切膨胀而导致的渗透性增强之间的相互作用,这取决于剪切位移的规模。
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引用次数: 8
Uniquely determine fracture dimension and formation permeability from diagnostic fracture injection test 通过诊断性裂缝注入试验,独特地确定裂缝尺寸和地层渗透率
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100040
HanYi Wang , Mukul M. Sharma

Estimating formation permeability is crucial for production estimation, hydraulic fracturing design optimization and rate transient analysis. Laboratory experiments can be used to measure the permeability of rock samples, but the results may not be representative at a field scale because of reservoir heterogeneity and pre-existing natural fracture systems. Diagnostic Fracture Injection Tests (DFIT) have now become standard practice to estimate formation pore pressure and formation permeability. However, in low permeability reservoirs, after-closure radial flow is often absent, which can cast significant uncertainties in interpreting DFIT data. Without knowing the fracture dimension prior, open fracture stiffness/compliance can't be determined, which is required for formation permeability estimation. Previous work has to assume a fracture radius or fracture height in order to estimate formation permeability, thus dent the confidence in the interpretation results. In the study, we present a new approach to determine fracture dimension, leak-off coefficient and formation permeability uniquely based on material balance and basic fracture mechanics, using data from shut-in to after-closure linear flow. Field examples are also presented to demonstrate the simplicity and effectiveness of this new approach.

地层渗透率的估算对于产量估算、水力压裂设计优化和速率瞬态分析至关重要。实验室实验可以用来测量岩石样品的渗透率,但由于储层的非均质性和预先存在的天然裂缝系统,结果在现场规模上可能不具有代表性。裂缝注入诊断测试(DFIT)现在已经成为估计地层孔隙压力和地层渗透率的标准实践。然而,在低渗透油藏中,通常不存在闭合后的径向流,这可能会给解释DFIT数据带来很大的不确定性。在事先不知道裂缝尺寸的情况下,无法确定开口裂缝的刚度/柔度,这是地层渗透率估计所必需的。以前的工作必须假设裂缝半径或裂缝高度来估计地层渗透率,从而降低解释结果的可信度。在这项研究中,我们提出了一种新的方法,以材料平衡和基本断裂力学为基础,利用从关井到关井后的线性流动数据,唯一地确定裂缝尺寸、漏失系数和地层渗透率。现场实例也证明了这种新方法的简单性和有效性。
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引用次数: 1
Effect of temperature-dependent rock thermal conductivity and specific heat capacity on heat recovery in an enhanced geothermal system 温度相关岩石热导率和比热容对强化地热系统热回收的影响
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100045
Hui Wu , Yujie Liu , Ming Yang , Jinjiang Zhang , Bo Zhang

The modeling of heat recovery from an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) requires rock thermal parameters as inputs such as thermal conductivity and specific heat capacity. These parameters may encounter significant variations due to the reduction of rock temperature during heat recovery. In the present study, we investigate the effect of temperature-dependent thermal conductivity and specific heat capacity on the thermal performance of EGS reservoirs. Equations describing the relationships between thermal conductivity/specific heat capacity and temperature from previous experimental studies were incorporated in a field-scale single-fracture EGS model. The modeling results indicate that the increase of thermal conductivity caused by temperature reduction accelerates thermal conduction from rock formations to fracture fluid, and thus improves thermal performance. The decrease of specific heat capacity due to temperature reduction, on the contrary, impairs the thermal performance but the impact is smaller than that of the increase of thermal conductivity. Due to the opposite effects of thermal conductivity increase and specific heat capacity decrease, the overall effect of temperature-dependent thermal parameters is relatively small. Assuming constant thermal parameters measured at room temperature appears to be able to provide acceptable predictions of EGS thermal performance.

增强型地热系统(EGS)的热回收建模需要岩石热参数作为输入,如热导率和比热容。由于热回收过程中岩石温度的降低,这些参数可能会出现显著变化。在本研究中,我们研究了温度相关的热导率和比热容对EGS储层热性能的影响。将先前实验研究中描述热导率/比热容与温度之间关系的方程纳入现场规模的单裂缝EGS模型中。模拟结果表明,温度降低导致的热导率增加加速了岩层向压裂液的热传导,从而提高了热性能。相反,由于温度降低而导致的比热容降低会损害热性能,但其影响小于热导率增加的影响。由于热导率增加和比热容降低的相反影响,与温度相关的热参数的总体影响相对较小。假设在室温下测量的恒定热参数似乎能够提供EGS热性能的可接受预测。
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引用次数: 1
A temperature gradient test system for investigating thermo-mechanical responses of containment materials of underground storage facilities 用于研究地下储存设施安全壳材料热机械响应的温度梯度测试系统
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100043
Wei Wu , Dazhao Lu , Alessandro Romagnoli

Underground energy storage is a promising option for the global ambition of moving towards carbon neutrality. To achieve safe and reliable energy storage in underground caverns, it is essential to understand the contributions of thermal and mechanical loads to the deformation of containment materials (e.g., concrete and geomaterials) and to forecast potential risks related to unexpected failure of these materials. A temperature gradient test system is developed to investigate the thermo-mechanical responses of containment materials under simulated temperature gradient and earth pressure conditions. The test system has advantages of establishing a temperature gradient of over 400 ​°C/m across a large-scale specimen and examining the resulting strain based on the digital image correlation analysis. This study sheds light on 3 typical applications of the test system to examine the thermal and mechanical responses of intact limestone, flawed limestone, and fractured concrete. The results demonstrate that the mechanical load mainly controls the strain evolution of the intact limestone, while the thermal load strongly affects the strain evolution around the circular hole. The failure pattern of concrete primarily influences the mechanically induced strain, and the thermally induced strain is insensitive to the concrete failure. This test system can be modified and upgraded to study various research topics related to underground energy storage.

地下储能是实现碳中和全球目标的一个很有前途的选择。为了在地下洞室中实现安全可靠的储能,必须了解热负荷和机械负荷对安全壳材料(如混凝土和岩土材料)变形的影响,并预测与这些材料意外失效相关的潜在风险。开发了一个温度梯度测试系统来研究安全壳材料在模拟温度梯度和土压力条件下的热机械响应。该测试系统具有建立超过400的温度梯度的优点​°C/m,并基于数字图像相关性分析检查产生的应变。本研究揭示了测试系统的3个典型应用,以检查完整石灰石、有缺陷石灰石和断裂混凝土的热响应和力学响应。结果表明,机械载荷主要控制完整石灰石的应变演化,而热载荷强烈影响圆孔周围的应变演化。混凝土的破坏模式主要影响机械应变,而热应变对混凝土的破坏不敏感。该测试系统可以进行修改和升级,以研究与地下储能相关的各种研究课题。
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引用次数: 1
Evaluation method of underground water storage space and thermal reservoir model in abandoned mine 废弃矿井地下蓄水空间评价方法及热储模型
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100044
Pingye Guo , Meng Wang , Guanjie Dang , Tianci Zhu , Jie Wang , Manchao He

A large number of mines are closed or abandoned every year in China. Geothermal utilization is one of the important ways to efficiently reuse underground resources in abandoned mines. How to calculate the volume and distribution of underground water storage space is the key to accurately evaluate the sustainable geothermal production in abandoned mines. In this paper, according to the multi-scale characteristics of the underground space in abandoned mine, the flow and heat transfer equations in the multi-scale space are sorted out systematically, and the calculation methods of different secondary space volumes are derived in detail. Taking Jiahe abandoned mine as the background, the volume and distribution of underground secondary space are calculated, and three heat storage evaluation models considering different water storage spaces are established by using COMSOL. The simulation results show that there are great differences among different models, and the results of the equivalent porous media model considering the multi-scale space are most consistent with the reality. Sensitivity analyses of key parameters model results indicated that the heat production is closely related to not only the recharge flow rate but also the recharge temperature and operating time. Furthermore, the energy saving and emission reduction benefits of geothermal utilization in abandoned mines are calculated, the results show that geothermal utilization of abandoned mines can effectively reduce energy consumption and CO2 emissions, and it has great economic benefits.

中国每年都有大量的矿山被关闭或废弃。地热利用是废弃矿山有效利用地下资源的重要途径之一。如何计算地下储水空间的体积和分布,是准确评价废弃矿山可持续地热生产的关键。本文根据废弃矿井地下空间的多尺度特征,系统地梳理了多尺度空间中的流动和传热方程,并详细推导了不同二次空间体积的计算方法。以嘉禾废弃矿井为背景,计算了地下二次空间的体积和分布,并利用COMSOL建立了考虑不同储水空间的三个储热评价模型。仿真结果表明,不同模型之间存在很大差异,考虑多尺度空间的等效多孔介质模型的结果最符合实际。对关键参数模型结果的敏感性分析表明,热量产生不仅与补给流量密切相关,还与补给温度和运行时间密切相关。此外,对废弃矿山地热利用的节能减排效益进行了计算,结果表明,废弃矿山的地热利用可以有效降低能源消耗和二氧化碳排放,具有巨大的经济效益。
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引用次数: 2
Study on instability fracture and simulation of surrounding rock induced by fault activation under mining influence 采动影响下断层活化致围岩失稳破裂及模拟研究
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100037
Jie Chen , Kaiwen Shi , Yuanyuan Pu , Derek B. Apel , Chuanjiu Zhang , Yujun Zuo , Jiongkun Chen , Le Xu , Zhen Gui , Longfei Song

The fault is potentially vulnerability's geological structure in the working face and its vicinity, and it is also a crucial geological factor affecting coal mine safety exploitation. To investigate the unstable failure of surrounding rock induced by fault activation under the influence of adoption, which was studied utilizing field case and numerical analysis for the deformation and failure process of surrounding rock near the fault-affected zone. Combined with field cases, this paper analyzes disturbance stress and roof abscission layer monitoring in effecting zones of fault activation. Using the discrete element 3DEC numerical analysis method, the model of surrounding rock unstable fracture induced by fault activation under adoption is established. The unstable fracture and stress variation characteristics of surrounding rock induced by fault activation during the excavation of the upper side wall and lower side wall of the faults are simulated and analyzed. Field analysis shows that as the coal working face continues to advance, the mining stress gradually increases. There is a zigzag wave on the relationship curve between coal mining and roof displacement near the fault, which reveals that the surrounding rock of the fault activation affected zone is in the superposition state of static load and dynamic load. Furthermore, the simulation results show that the stress and displacement of surrounding rock near the fault increase with the advance of coal mining face. The closer to the fault plane, the displacement gradually returns to zero, and the stress is also in a lower state.

断层是工作面及其附近潜在的脆弱性地质构造,也是影响煤矿安全开采的重要地质因素。为了研究采动影响下断层激活引起的围岩不稳定破坏,利用现场实例和数值分析方法,对断层影响区附近围岩的变形和破坏过程进行了研究。结合现场实例,分析了断层活动影响区的扰动应力和顶板脱落层监测。采用离散元3DEC数值分析方法,建立了采用断层活化引起的围岩不稳定断裂模型。模拟分析了断层上侧壁和下侧壁开挖过程中断层活化引起的围岩不稳定断裂和应力变化特征。现场分析表明,随着采煤工作面的不断推进,开采应力逐渐增大。断层附近煤矿开采与顶板位移的关系曲线上存在锯齿波,表明断层活化影响区围岩处于静载荷和动载荷的叠加状态。此外,模拟结果表明,断层附近围岩的应力和位移随着采煤工作面的推进而增加。离断层面越近,位移逐渐归零,应力也处于较低的状态。
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引用次数: 11
Constitutive modeling of a laumontite-rich tight rock and the application to poromechanical analysis of deeply drilled wells 富laumonite致密岩本构建模及在深井孔隙力学分析中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.rockmb.2023.100039
Sina Heidari , Biao Li , Antoine B. Jacquey , Bin Xu

Geological formations containing laumontite-rich rock are usually treated as problematic for geo-energy production projects because the presence of laumontite mineral can promote complex mechanical behaviors. Previous laboratory results indicate that rock formations with a higher laumontite content display severe stress sensitivity in poromechanical responses. With an increase in confining pressure, there is a transition from dilation to compression regime and the resulting localization styles range from shear dilation to compaction bands. In this study, we conduct finite element modeling of constitutive behaviors of rocks retrieved from the tight glutenite reservoir formation using a thermodynamic-consistent plasticity model. The shear dilation to compaction transition is well characterized. Poromechanical analysis is also conducted to analyze the plastic zone development around a borehole drilled in an over pressured reservoir. The simulated stress-paths of key points around the borehole are used to demonstrate the plastic strain development processes. The impact of in-situ stress on the wellbore stability is highlighted, and a comparison with the results from using the traditional plastic constitutive model is conducted.

含有富含laumontite岩石的地质构造通常被视为地质能源生产项目的问题,因为laumontite矿物的存在会促进复杂的力学行为。先前的实验室结果表明,laumontite含量较高的岩层在孔隙力学响应中表现出严重的应力敏感性。随着围压的增加,出现了从膨胀到压缩的转变,由此产生的局部化样式从剪切膨胀到压实带。在本研究中,我们使用热力学一致塑性模型对从致密砂砾岩储层中提取的岩石的本构行为进行了有限元建模。剪切膨胀-压实转变具有良好的特征。还进行了孔隙力学分析,以分析超压储层中钻孔周围的塑性区发育。利用钻孔周围关键点的模拟应力路径来演示塑性应变的发展过程。强调了地应力对井筒稳定性的影响,并与传统塑性本构模型的结果进行了比较。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Rock Mechanics Bulletin
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