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The transformation process as an adaptive cycle and its application to recovery from desertification in Shinyanga 作为适应周期的转变过程及其在信扬加荒漠化恢复中的应用
Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100398
Bryan Jenkins
Using Holling's adaptive cycle, a framework for social-ecological system assessment and transformation is described. It includes assessments of disturbance beyond the biophysical system capacity to recover. This can trigger a transformation process for recovery with elements of an adaptive cycle: an exploitation phase of using human and economic resources, an accumulation phase of acquiring knowledge and social, cultural, and economic capital, a disturbance phase of formulating new approaches to biophysical system management, and a reorganization phase of developing new institutional arrangements. Management interventions are then implemented. These interventions relate to the four phases of the biophysical system adaptive cycle: reducing pressure on the resource in the exploitation phase, addressing legacy issues in the accumulation phase, increasing system resilience in the disturbance phase, and rehabilitating adverse effects in the reorganization phase. This framework is applied to woodland clearance to expand agriculture and eradicate tsetse fly that led to soil erosion and desertification in Shinyanga, Tanzania. After centralized attempts at restoration failed, the program manager worked in partnership with local farmers and incorporated traditional knowledge and institutions. The transformation led to woodland restoration and increased ecosystem services.
利用霍林的适应周期,描述了社会生态系统评估和转型框架。它包括对超出生物物理系统恢复能力的干扰的评估。这可以触发一个具有适应性循环要素的恢复转型过程:利用人力和经济资源的开发阶段,获取知识和社会、文化及经济资本的积累阶段,制定生物物理系统管理新方法的干扰阶段,以及制定新制度安排的重组阶段。然后实施管理干预措施。这些干预措施与生物物理系统适应周期的四个阶段有关:在开发阶段减少对资源的压力,在积累阶段解决遗留问题,在扰动阶段提高系统复原力,在重组阶段恢复不利影响。这一框架被应用于坦桑尼亚欣扬加地区为扩大农业规模和消灭采采蝇而进行的林地清理,该清理导致了土壤侵蚀和荒漠化。在集中恢复的尝试失败后,项目经理与当地农民合作,将传统知识和制度融入其中。这一转变带来了林地恢复和生态系统服务的增加。
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引用次数: 0
Machine learning algorithms to forecast wet-period rainfall using climate indices in Northern Territory of Australia 利用气候指数预报澳大利亚北部地区湿期降雨量的机器学习算法
Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100397
Rashid Farooq , Monzur Alam Imteaz , Donghui Shangguan , Kamila Hlavčová
Accurate rainfall prediction is crucial for understanding and managing a region's social and agricultural environment. As a key indicator of climate change, natural disasters, and local geography, rainfall data empowers us to make informed decisions for various beneficial purposes. Machine learning offers powerful tools for improving rainfall prediction accuracy and estimation capabilities. This study examines how multiple climate indices simultaneously influence wet-period rainfall patterns at two Northern Territory (NT) stations, Hermannsburg and Undoolya. We selected two machine learning models, Random Forest (RF) for its robustness and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) for its ability to capture temporal patterns, to investigate these relationships. For this purpose, a variety of input sets, including lagged Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO), and Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), were proposed and utilized to calibrate and validate, RF and LSTM Models. Our analysis revealed that large-scale climate factors like IOD, Nino 3.4, and MJO significantly influence wet-period rainfall predictions of the NT. Furthermore, the LSTM model outperformed the RF model to predict the wet-period rainfall at the selected stations. For instance, the LSTM achieved higher R2 i.e., 0.86 and lower values for both RMSE (ranging from 0.63 to 0.72) and MAE (ranging from 0.43 to 0.64) during the testing phase, indicating a closer fit between predicted and actual wet-period rainfall values.
准确的降雨预测对于了解和管理一个地区的社会和农业环境至关重要。作为气候变化、自然灾害和当地地理环境的一个关键指标,降雨数据使我们能够为各种有益的目的做出明智的决策。机器学习为提高降雨预测的准确性和估算能力提供了强大的工具。本研究探讨了多种气候指数如何同时影响北领地(NT)两个站点--赫尔曼斯堡(Hermannsburg)和恩杜利亚(Undoolya)--的湿期降雨模式。我们选择了两种机器学习模型来研究这些关系,一种是随机森林模型(RF),因为它具有鲁棒性;另一种是长短期记忆模型(LSTM),因为它能够捕捉时间模式。为此,我们提出了各种输入集,包括滞后的印度洋偶极子(IOD)、厄尔尼诺南方涛动(ENSO)和马登朱利安涛动(MJO),并利用这些输入集对 RF 和 LSTM 模型进行了校准和验证。我们的分析表明,IOD、尼诺 3.4 和 MJO 等大尺度气候因素对新界湿期降雨预测有显著影响。此外,在预测选定站点的湿期降雨量方面,LSTM 模型优于 RF 模型。例如,在测试阶段,LSTM 的 R2(即 0.86)较高,RMSE(介于 0.63 至 0.72 之间)和 MAE(介于 0.43 至 0.64 之间)均较低,表明其预测值与实际湿期降雨量值更为接近。
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引用次数: 0
Academic visitor management system with pervasive mobile integration 普遍集成移动设备的学术访客管理系统
Pub Date : 2024-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100396
Jose Naldrix D. Rivera
Protecting faculty, staff and student is one of the main obligations of any educational institution but having a visitor at school grounds may mean sacrificing their safety. Visitors who enter the school come for different reasons and intentions. Some are legitimate visitors but some are burglars and troublemakers that disrupt the educational process. This becomes the primary security challenge for many educational institutions. The gate entrance and security personnel are the primary line of defense of the school against unwanted visitor. On the other hand, legitimate visitors are very important for the school since they can be a potential client and potential marketer if they witness how good the school system and infrastructure is. Most schools are still using a traditional and paper-based method. The visitor fill-out their information in the log book which can be falsified and some hand writing were hard to read. Hence, the report submitted is unreliable when administrator or school employee ask for a particular purpose, like theft or fighting incident. In addition, instructions of office, student, or employee whereabouts is very time consuming. This research study addresses these issues by developing an academic visitor management system (AVMS) with pervasive mobile integration.
保护教职员工和学生的安全是任何教育机构的主要义务之一,但有访客进入校园可能意味着要牺牲他们的安全。进入学校的访客出于不同的原因和意图。有些是合法访客,但也有些是窃贼和捣乱分子,他们扰乱了教育进程。这成为许多教育机构面临的首要安全挑战。大门入口和保安人员是学校防范不速之客的主要防线。另一方面,合法访客对学校来说也非常重要,因为如果他们亲眼目睹学校系统和基础设施有多好,他们就可能成为学校的潜在客户和潜在营销人员。大多数学校仍在使用传统的纸质方法。来访者在记录本上填写的信息可能会被伪造,而且有些字迹难以辨认。因此,当管理者或学校员工出于特定目的(如盗窃或打架斗殴事件)提出要求时,所提交的报告并不可靠。此外,指示办公室、学生或员工的行踪也非常耗时。为了解决这些问题,本研究开发了一个与普遍移动集成的学术访客管理系统(AVMS)。
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引用次数: 0
Automated surface roughness classification using robot vision 利用机器人视觉自动进行表面粗糙度分类
Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100395
Sanjay Krishnarao Darvekar , Juttuka Yaswanth Sai Venkatesh , Abbaraju Bala Koteswara Rao , Ravi Sekhar , Pritesh Shah , Gautam Ingle
A robot vision system, also known as a Machine Vision (MV) system, enables automatic inspection using image processing techniques. This research focuses on the classification of turned surface images into four categories (A, B, C, and D) using deep learning algorithms with transfer learning. Images were captured under varying machining conditions (speed, feed, depth of cut) as per a full factorial experimental design. The dataset was divided with 70 % for training, 15 % for validation, and 15 % for testing the algorithms. Surface roughness parameters were analyzed using a robot vision system, comprising a Mitsubishi articulated robot with 6 degrees of freedom and a 4 kg payload, and a Cognex In-Sight 7801 camera (1.3 MP, 1280 × 1024 resolution). The performance of the models was evaluated based on average accuracy. The system demonstrated significant potential in enhancing the surface finish inspection process in high-production industries, reducing labor costs, inspection time, operator errors, and setup requirements, thereby increasing productivity and lowering production costs.
机器人视觉系统又称机器视觉系统(MV),可利用图像处理技术实现自动检测。本研究的重点是利用迁移学习的深度学习算法将车削表面图像分为四类(A、B、C 和 D)。按照全因子实验设计,在不同的加工条件(速度、进给量、切削深度)下采集图像。数据集的 70% 用于训练,15% 用于验证,15% 用于测试算法。表面粗糙度参数使用机器人视觉系统进行分析,该系统包括一个具有 6 个自由度和 4 千克有效载荷的三菱铰接式机器人,以及一个康耐视 In-Sight 7801 摄像机(130 万像素,1280 × 1024 分辨率)。根据平均精度对模型的性能进行了评估。该系统在提高高产量行业的表面粗糙度检测流程方面表现出巨大潜力,可减少劳动力成本、检测时间、操作员错误和设置要求,从而提高生产率并降低生产成本。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term recovery of taste and smell following acute COVID-19 infection in a New Jersey cohort 新泽西州队列中的 COVID-19 急性感染后味觉和嗅觉的长期恢复情况
Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100390
Samuel C.Z. Gautier , Vaishnavi Coneti , Daniel B. Horton , Patricia Greenberg , Tracy Andrews , Emily S. Barrett , Jeffrey L. Carson , Martin J. Blaser , Reynold A. Panettieri Jr , Shristi Rawal

Loss of taste and smell is one of the most troubling symptoms of long COVID and may be permanent for some. Correlation between subjectively and objectively assessed olfactory and gustatory impairment is low, leading to uncertainty about how many people are affected, how many recover, and to what extent. We prospectively investigated the effects of COVID-19 on long-term chemosensory function in a university and hospital-based cohort in NJ. We followed 856 participants from March 2020 through April 2022, of which 58 were diagnosed with COVID-19 and completed the NHANES 2013–2014 taste and smell protocol, including a chemosensory questionnaire, whole-mouth taste tests, and an 8-item odor identification test at and/or before acute COVID-19 infection. Of these, 29 repeated taste and smell assessments at 6 months (183.0 ± 54.6) follow-up. Total overall smell score significantly improved from baseline to 6-month follow up (6.9 ± 1.4 vs 7.6 ± 0.8; p = .01). Taste intensity also improved across 6 months, but not significantly. Our study is the first to show psychophysically-assessed and self-reported long-term recovery of olfactory and gustatory function in the same population after acute COVID-19.

味觉和嗅觉的丧失是长期 COVID 最令人不安的症状之一,对某些人来说可能是永久性的。主观和客观评估的嗅觉和味觉损伤之间的相关性很低,导致无法确定有多少人受到影响、有多少人可以恢复以及恢复到什么程度。我们前瞻性地调查了 COVID-19 对新泽西州大学和医院队列中长期化学感觉功能的影响。我们从 2020 年 3 月到 2022 年 4 月对 856 名参与者进行了随访,其中 58 人确诊感染了 COVID-19,并完成了 NHANES 2013-2014 年味觉和嗅觉方案,包括在急性 COVID-19 感染时和/或感染前的化学感觉问卷、全口味觉测试和 8 项气味识别测试。其中 29 人在随访 6 个月(183.0 ± 54.6)时重复进行了味觉和嗅觉评估。从基线到 6 个月随访期间,嗅觉总分明显提高(6.9 ± 1.4 vs 7.6 ± 0.8; p = .01)。味觉强度在 6 个月内也有改善,但不明显。我们的研究首次显示了同一人群在急性 COVID-19 后通过心理物理评估和自我报告获得的嗅觉和味觉功能的长期恢复情况。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a virtual reality spacecraft environment as a ground-based analog for collecting space food sensory data (‘Food in Space’) 开发虚拟现实航天器环境,作为收集太空食品感官数据的地面模拟环境("太空食品)
Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100391
Julia Low, Grace Loke

The present study aimed to address the potential of ground-based food and sensory research in representing the isolated and confined environment of a spacecraft. Virtual Reality (VR) technology was employed to simulate the experience of perceived isolation and confinement within space. The VR simulation emulates the International Space Station in low Earth orbit, comprising interconnected space modules equipped with integrated sensory analysis tools for evaluating food odor cues within the VR environment (‘Food in Space’, Supplementary A). In our first experiment, 44 healthy participants were asked to rate the intensity of three commercially available food odor samples (vanilla, lemon, almond) and a control on a 5-point Likert scale, in the neutral sitting posture, a NASA-Neutral sitting posture (mimicking a ‘microgravity’ posture using a commercial ‘Zero-gravity’ outdoor chair set at 122–124°), and within the VR simulation. This first phase revealed large individual variations across odors. Importantly, there were no significant differences for most odors when the odor perceptions of the three odors between the neutral and ‘microgravity’ neutral postures were compared. However, there were significant differences for select odors between VR and both the postures (Supplementary B) indicating that the VR ‘Food in Space’ environment may impact odor perception differently across odors. A second pilot study with 16 participants evaluated four food odor samples (vanilla, lemon, almond, eucalyptus) and a control across different contexts (baseline control, virtual reality) and time points during virtual reality. The emotional responses during the experiences were also evaluated explicitly using validated scales such as the Self-Assessment Manikin (SAM) and the short-formed Positive and Negative Affect Schedule (PANAS-SF). This second phase revealed that participants' descriptions of their emotional responses underwent changes before and after their virtual reality experiences. Terms used were generally more neutral and positive before VR (e.g., ‘interested’, ‘attentive’) and more negative after spending an average of 9 min 35 s in virtual reality (e.g., ‘nervous’, ‘guilty’). There was also variation across participants in terms of emotional responses and odor intensity perception (blank control) especially after spending a longer time in the virtual reality environment (Supplementary C). This exploratory study underscores the potential of using VR technology as a space analog to simulate context for studying sensory responses in relation to food as the current data matches anecdotal eating behavior of space travelers. Personal variation in odor perception should also be taken into consideration, especially in creating personalized meal plans for space applications.

本研究旨在探讨地面食品和感官研究在表现航天器孤立和封闭环境方面的潜力。研究采用了虚拟现实(VR)技术来模拟太空中的隔离和封闭环境。VR 模拟仿真了低地球轨道上的国际空间站,由相互连接的空间模块组成,这些模块配备了综合感官分析工具,用于评估 VR 环境中的食物气味线索("太空食物",补充 A)。在我们的第一项实验中,44 名健康参与者被要求在中立坐姿、NASA-中立坐姿(使用设置在 122-124° 的商用 "零重力 "室外椅模拟 "微重力 "坐姿)和 VR 模拟环境中,以 5 点李克特量表对三种市售食物气味样本(香草、柠檬、杏仁)和对照组的气味强度进行评分。第一阶段发现,不同气味的个体差异很大。重要的是,在比较中性姿势和 "微重力 "中性姿势对三种气味的感知时,大多数气味没有显著差异。然而,在 VR 和两种姿态下,对某些气味的感知却存在明显差异(补充 B),这表明 VR "太空食物 "环境可能会对不同气味的感知产生不同的影响。第二项试验性研究有 16 名参与者参加,评估了四种食物气味样本(香草、柠檬、杏仁、桉树)和一个对照组在不同情境(基线对照组、虚拟现实)和虚拟现实期间不同时间点的气味。体验过程中的情绪反应也通过自评量表(SAM)和短式积极和消极情绪表(PANAS-SF)等有效量表进行了明确评估。第二阶段的结果显示,参与者对其情绪反应的描述在虚拟现实体验前后发生了变化。在虚拟现实体验前,参与者使用的词语一般比较中性和积极(如 "感兴趣"、"专注"),而在虚拟现实体验平均 9 分 35 秒后,他们使用的词语则比较消极(如 "紧张"、"内疚")。不同参与者的情绪反应和气味强度感知(空白对照)也存在差异,尤其是在虚拟现实环境中停留时间较长之后(补充资料 C)。这项探索性研究强调了利用虚拟现实技术模拟太空环境来研究与食物有关的感官反应的潜力,因为目前的数据与太空旅行者的饮食行为传闻相吻合。还应考虑到个人对气味感知的差异,特别是在为太空应用制定个性化膳食计划时。
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引用次数: 0
Cutting forces in ultraprecision machining freeform optics: Analysis through virtual simulations and experiments 超精密加工自由形态光学元件时的切削力:通过虚拟仿真和实验进行分析
Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100392
Shangkuan Liu, Kai Cheng

In ultraprecision manufacturing of freeform surfaced optics and devices, the ultraprecision diamond turning process holds a significant importance. However, high costs, quality assurance and long machining times are inevitable challenges in ultraprecision manufacturing. This scientific talk presents the concept of a virtual lens model based on the requirement of ‘deterministic manufacturing’ in the ultraprecision machining process, while enabled by scientific understanding of micro cutting mechanics and its applicational affect. By analysis of the freeform surface modelling and machining toolpaths and underlying micro cutting mechanics, this research aims to define surface quality and its optical performance prior to the machining process. The research further delves into cutting force modelling and 3D surface parameters to analyze the machining toolpath, and virtual simulations and experiments are conducted. The simulations and experiments are focused on verifying the correlations between the surface characteristics, such as surface roughness, peak valley distance and most importantly, surface texture aspect ratio, and the optical performance of the freeform surface. The analysis of surface texture formation and cutting forces modelling are essential for the simulation development and experimental design. The cutting forces modelling integrates the Akins' model with the influence of continuously varying shear angles on the freeform surface. Toolpath data from the cutting process is used to meticulously analyze depth-of-cut (DoC), curvature variations, and shear angle variations throughout the process, and thus to enable the consistent surface texture aspect ratio at the surface generation as desired.

在自由曲面光学元件和设备的超精密制造中,超精密金刚石车削工艺具有重要意义。然而,高成本、质量保证和加工时间长是超精密制造不可避免的挑战。本科学讲座基于超精密加工过程中 "确定性制造 "的要求,同时借助对微观切削力学及其应用影响的科学理解,提出了虚拟透镜模型的概念。通过分析自由形态表面建模和加工刀具路径以及潜在的微切削力学,本研究旨在在加工过程之前确定表面质量及其光学性能。研究进一步深入切削力建模和三维表面参数,以分析加工刀具路径,并进行虚拟仿真和实验。模拟和实验的重点是验证表面特征(如表面粗糙度、峰谷距离以及最重要的表面纹理纵横比)与自由形态表面光学性能之间的相关性。表面纹理形成分析和切削力建模对模拟开发和实验设计至关重要。切削力建模将 Akins 模型与自由曲面上连续变化的剪切角的影响相结合。切削过程中的刀具轨迹数据用于细致分析整个过程中的切削深度 (DoC)、曲率变化和剪切角变化,从而使表面纹理的纵横比在表面生成时保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
A holistic strategy for generating low-carbon high-octane gasoline biofuel using several renewable and sustainable additives 利用多种可再生和可持续添加剂生成低碳高辛烷值汽油生物燃料的整体战略
Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100389
Tamer M.M. Abdellatief , Mohammad Ali Abdelkareem , Abdul Ghani Olabi

The development of sustainable and renewable gasoline additives is necessary to provide green engine fuels in response to environmental issues and the energy crisis. From this angle, the current study aims to assess the impact of environmentally friendly and renewable gasoline additives on generating low-carbon high-octane gasoline biofuel using multiple renewable and sustainable additives. Renewable and sustainable gasoline biofuel additives include ethanol, methanol, ethyl tertiary butyl ether (ETBE), isopropanol, and so on, which have exceptional anti-detonation properties and excellent chemical and physical characteristics. Furthermore, the base commercial gasoline components involve straight-run naphtha (SRN), naphtha made from natural gas condensate, heavy hydrocracked naphtha (HHN), gasoline Fisher Tropsch, and so on, which have poor chemical and physical attributes and low octane rating. Physicochemical characteristics and operational properties of various gasoline biofuel components are studied. Research findings indicated that these encouraging constituents have yielded favorable synergistic chemical, physical, mechanical, and environmental properties when combined with low-octane hydrocarbon fractions. Besides, the results reported that by combining with gasoline components to create high-octane gasoline, the amount and quality of low-octane gasoline fractions were optimized. The primary issues that affect the entire planet are the scarcity of water, energy, and the environment. Two of the above energy and environmental issues might be resolved by utilizing these motor gasoline components. Finally, environmental gasoline offers refining firms favorable prospects due to its low overhead, improved product grade, and significant environmental impact.

为应对环境问题和能源危机,有必要开发可持续和可再生汽油添加剂,以提供绿色发动机燃料。从这个角度出发,本研究旨在评估环保和可再生汽油添加剂对使用多种可再生和可持续添加剂生成低碳高辛烷值汽油生物燃料的影响。可再生和可持续汽油生物燃料添加剂包括乙醇、甲醇、乙基叔丁基醚(ETBE)、异丙醇等,这些添加剂具有优异的抗爆性和化学物理特性。此外,基础商用汽油成分还包括直馏石脑油(SRN)、天然气冷凝物制石脑油、重加氢裂化石脑油(HHN)、费希尔特罗姆汽油等,这些汽油的化学和物理属性较差,辛烷值较低。对各种汽油生物燃料成分的理化特性和操作性能进行了研究。研究结果表明,这些令人鼓舞的成分与低辛烷值碳氢化合物馏分结合后,可产生良好的化学、物理、机械和环境协同特性。此外,研究结果表明,通过与汽油成分结合制造高辛烷值汽油,低辛烷值汽油馏分的数量和质量都得到了优化。影响整个地球的首要问题是缺水、能源和环境。利用这些车用汽油组分可以解决上述两个能源和环境问题。最后,环保汽油因其低成本、更高的产品等级和显著的环境影响,为炼油公司提供了有利的发展前景。
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引用次数: 0
The fate of Zostera marina as part of beach wrack at the Baltic Sea coast in Poel, Germany 德国波罗的海沿岸波尔海滩 Zostera marina 的命运
Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100388
Philipp-Konrad Schätzle , Katharina Kesy , Mia Bengtsson , Katarzyna Koziorowska-Makuch , Karol Kuliński , Hendrik Schubert

Beach wrack plays an important role as an ecosystem engineer with its function to beach fauna in and off the water and its role to dune formation and preventing coastal erosion at land.

The seasonality and species composition of beach wrack at the micro-tidal coast of the Baltic Sea was evaluated at the island of Poel and litterbag experiments were conducted, both at land and in the water column of the shallow coast. Special interest was given to the seasonal decay of seagrass of the species Zostera marina in the water until its complete disintegration. The decomposition experiments were divided into a light group in translucent mesh bags, and a dark group in black mesh bags: The influence of abiotic parameters on the microbial community during decay was the objective of these experiments.

The results provide an important insight into the decomposition processes of seagrass at a micro-tidal coast, its lasting effects on beach management processes at recreational beaches and coasts and also into a balanced co-existence between humanity and nature.

波罗的海微潮汐海岸沙滩裹挟物的季节性和物种组成在波尔岛进行了评估,并在陆地和浅海海岸的水体中进行了垃圾袋实验。特别关注的是海草 Zostera marina 在水中的季节性腐烂,直至完全分解。分解实验分为装在半透明网袋中的浅色组和装在黑色网袋中的深色组:这些实验的目的是研究非生物参数对腐烂过程中微生物群落的影响。实验结果为了解微潮汐海岸海草的腐烂过程、其对休闲海滩和海岸的海滩管理过程的持久影响以及人类与自然的平衡共存提供了重要依据。
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引用次数: 0
When machine learning meets econometrics: Can it build a better measure to predict multidimensional poverty and examine unmeasurable economic conditions? 当机器学习遇上计量经济学:机器学习能否更好地预测多维度贫困并研究不可测量的经济状况?
Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.sctalk.2024.100387
Emmanuel A. Onsay , Jomar F. Rabajante

Poverty is as old as human civilization, hard to eradicate, multidimensional, and difficult to measure. The methods used to measure poverty today are costly, labor-intensive, and time-consuming. Therefore, policymakers find it difficult to target policies when putting poverty reduction initiatives into action. Indigenous communities are among the most disadvantaged and vulnerable populations in society. Their socioeconomic situations are complex and multifaceted. While research on poverty is usually generic, prone to large sampling errors, and intended to guide national policy, research on indigenous people is qualitative. Thus, to measure multidimensional poverty with disaggregated techniques, this work blends machine learning and econometrics. Researchers who have been studying poverty worldwide can replicate all of the approaches, strategies, and resources used in this study. With the best R-square and accuracy, random forest models perform better than all regressors and classifiers combined. It also confirms the causal relationship and current econometric association between multidimensional characteristics and poverty consequences. This study demonstrates the viability of using machine learning to predict poverty in a way that can save costs, cut labor, and maximize time to empower indigenous communities and alleviate the poverty of impoverished societies in the poorest region of Luzon, Philippines.

贫困与人类文明一样古老,难以消除,涉及多个层面,而且难以衡量。如今用来衡量贫困的方法成本高、劳动密集、耗时长。因此,政策制定者在实施减贫举措时很难做到有的放矢。土著社区是社会中处境最不利和最脆弱的群体之一。他们的社会经济状况复杂而多面。关于贫困问题的研究通常是一般性的,容易出现较大的抽样误差,目的是指导国家政策,而关于土著人的研究则是定性的。因此,为了用分类技术测量多维贫困,这项工作融合了机器学习和计量经济学。在世界范围内研究贫困问题的研究人员可以复制这项研究中使用的所有方法、策略和资源。随机森林模型具有最佳的 R 方和准确性,其表现优于所有回归因子和分类器的总和。研究还证实了多维特征与贫困后果之间的因果关系和当前的计量经济学关联。这项研究表明,利用机器学习预测贫困是可行的,它可以节约成本、减少人力、最大限度地缩短时间,从而增强菲律宾吕宋岛最贫困地区土著社区的能力,减轻贫困社会的贫困状况。
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